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Drury explains that capital investment decisions are applicable to all sectors of the society
and gives examples of such decisions in business firms (including investments in plant and
machinery, research and development, advertising and warehouse facilities) and the public
sector (including new roads, schools, and airports). He also highlights the importance of such
decisions, stating that they represent the most important decisions that an organisation
makes, since they commit a substantial portion of the firm's resources into actions that are
likely to be irreversible.
The idea of value creation is to capitalise on what, as an organisation, you are out for. The
organisation may be a business, a school, a corporation or a government department. For
example, to create value for its shareholders, a profit making business will only invest in
projects that yield a rate of return greater than the company's cost of capital. In the same way,
to create value for members of its community, a community run health centre will choose to
invest scarce capital resources only on projects that enhance the health and medical
conditions of members of the community.
Organisations serve a purpose. They exist to deliver certain services / values. Therefore the
activities of the organisation should be geared towards achieving the purpose for which it
exists. To achieve its objectives, an organisation makes use of tremendous amount of time,
effort, finance and other resources, and so it makes perfect sense to ensure judicious
utilization of these resources. The purpose of Investment Appraisal as an aid to management
is to ensure that management commits capital resources only to those projects that will create
or add value to the organisation.
Therefore, to attain its very goals and objectives, every investment appraisal effort by an
organisation should be geared towards selecting the best alternative that will add the most
value to the organisation by creating value for either its shareholders (for businesses) or
customers (for businesses) or members (for clubs and societies) or beneficiaries (for
charities), etc.
For the rest of this essay, we are going to discuss the two main discounted cash flow (DCF)
methods of investment appraisal available to management.
'Discounted cash flow techniques take account of the time value of money. This means
that they take into account the fact that £1 now is worth more than £1 received in the
future, because £1 received now can be invested and made to grow bigger as time
passes'
(Walker, 2009)
Dayanada et al (2002) identify two discounted cash flow methods, namely the Net Present
Value (NPV) method and the Internal Rate of Return. They go further to outline three basic
assumptions that underlie these DCF techniques, namely:
NPV and IRR are used in both Accept / Reject decisions and Ranking decisions.
The Net Present Value (NPV) of a project is the Present Value of cash inflows over the life
the project less the present value of cash outflows. Present value can be described as the
value, now, of future cash flows. Drury states that the process of converting future cash flows
into a value at the present time by use of an interest rate is termed discounting. He provides
the following formula for present value:
1 FV
PV = FV x OR (1 + K)n
(1 + K)n
Where:
PV = present value
FV = future value
K= Cost of Capital (required rate of return for the investment)
n= number of years for which money is invested
1
and (1 + K)n is the discount factor (DF)
Where:
I0 = initial investment
FV = future value received in 1 to n years
Shim & Siegel (1999) present the NPV formula as follows, summarising all the items in
bracket [from the above formula], as Present Value (PV):
NPV = PV – I0 where:
PV = Present value of future net cash flows
There are three possible results of NPV, looking at the above formula.
1. If PV > I0, NPV will be positive: According to Drury, a positive NPV indicates that
the return on the project is greater that the return on an equivalent risk investment
traded in the financial markets, and therefore, management should accept the project.
2. If PV = I0, NPV will be equal to zero: Drury also states that an NPV of zero indicates
that the firm should the indifferent to whether the project is accepted or rejected [and
funds invested in an equivalent risk-free security in the financial markets].
3. If PV < I0, NPV will be negative: A negative NPV according to Drury, a negative
NPV indicates that the return on the project is lower that the return on an equivalent
risk investment traded in the financial markets, and therefore management should
reject the project – since the firm is better off investing in risk free securities.
In ranking decisions, where selection has to be made between projects that all have a positive
NPV, clearly, the best decision is to select the project with the highest NPV since this
indicates a higher return.
According to Wisniewski (2006), in practice, the NPV method is the one to be favoured in
project appraisal. However, like everything else, the NPV method has its pros and cons.
- It is easy to compare the NPV of different projects and to reject projects that do not have an
acceptable NPV
- It is difficult to estimate the net cash flows for each year of the project's life
- It may be difficult to estimate the initial cost of the project and the time periods in which
instalments must be paid back
An alternative discounted cash flow method of investment appraisal is the Internal Rate of
Return (IRR) method. Dayanada et al, define IRR as the highest rate at which the future
cash flows can be discounted, making the project's NPV equal to zero. Simply put, the IRR is
the discount rate at which the project's NPV is equal to zero.
According to walker (2009), we can determine the IRR of a proposed investment by a trial
and error process of calculating the NPV at a number of discount rates until a result close to
zero is obtained.
According to Drury, we can also use the method of interpolation to calculate IRR without
carrying out trial and error calculations [he also mentions that the interpolation method only
provides an estimate of the IRR]. Barfield et al (2004) define interpolation as the process of
finding a term between two terms in a series. Therefore going by interpolation, it is important
to find two NPVs for the project, preferably one negative NPV and one positive NPV, since
the objective is to find between these two, the point at which NPV equals zero.
CIMA (2008) provides the following interpolation formula for calculating the IRR of a
project:
NPV1
IRR = DR1 + X (DR2 – DR1)
(NPV1 - NPV2)
Where:
NPV
NPV1
IRR (NPV=0)
0 DR
DR1 DR2
NPV2
The IRR is determined as the point where the line crosses the x-axis. At this point NPV = 0.
The Decision Rule for IRR is that, if IRR is greater than the company's required rate of return
or cost of capital, then the NPV of the project will be positive and so the project should be
accepted. If the IRR is lower, the project should be rejected, since NPV will be negative.
A major drawback of the IRR method is that it is possible to find many rates at which the
NPVs of the project's cash flows equal to zero. This is occurs when the project cash flows are
uneven over the lifetime of the project.
Question 2a:
Workings:
* Obtained from the established table of discount factors by summing the respective percentage
column from 0 to 10 years.
- NPV @ 20% = PV - I0
= £419,200 (W2) - £440,400
NPV2 = - £21,200
Answers:
Project 1
NPV1
IRR = DR1 + X (DR2 – DR1)
(NPV1 - NPV2)
Where:
NPV1= £ 72,200 (W3)
NPV2 = - £21,200 (W3)
DR1 = 14% and
DR2 = 20%
Therefore:
72200
IRR = 14% + X (20% – 14%)
(72200 - (-21200))
72200
IRR = 14% + X 6%
93400
IRR = 18.6%
Project 2:
Mathematically,
NPV = PV - I0
0 = [70,000 x 4.192(W1)] - I0
0 = 293,440 - I0
I0 = £ 293,440
Therefore C = £293,440
E) The Annual Net cash flow (FV) will be the annual amount of net cash flow required
on the project to yield an NPV of zero at a predetermined discount rate of 14% over
10 years.
Therefore,
I0 - PV =0
200,000 - FV x 5.216(W1) = 0
FV = 200,000 / 5.216
FV = £38,344
Therefore E = £38,344
F) F is the cost of capital that will give an NPV of £35,624 for project 3.
To have an NPV of £35,624, the present value of future cash flows must be greater
than the initial investment by £35,624.
Therefore,
PV - I0 = £35,624
[FV x DF] - 200,000 = £35,624
[38,344 x DF] - 200,000 = £35,624
38,344DF = 35,624 + 200,000
38,344DF = 235624
DF = 235624 / 38344
DF = 6.145
Therefore F = 10%
Project 4
G) G is the annual net cash flow that will yield an NPV of £39,000 on an initial
investment of £300,000 discounted at 12% for 10 years.
Mathematically,
NPV = PV - I0
NPV = [FV x DF] - I0
£339,000 = (5.650) FV
FV = £339,000 / 5.650
FV = £60,000
Therefore G = £60,000
H)
= - £48,480
DR1 = 12%
DR2 = 20%
By interpolation,
NPV1
IRR = DR1 + X (DR2 – DR1)
(NPV1 - NPV2)
39000
IRR = 12% + X (20% – 12%)
(39000 - (-48480))
39000
IRR = 12% + X 8%
87480
IRR = 15.6%
Question 2b
From the investment appraisal computations in part A, Project 2 has proven to be the most
viable project since it provides the highest Net Present Value and Internal Rate of Return.
This means that the project is going to yield a higher return per £1 invested in it.
6. Drury, C. (2005) Management Accounting for Business Decisions: 2nd ed: Thomson
Learning: London
7. Dyson, R. (2007) Accounting For Non-Accountants: 7th ed: Prentice Hall FT: England
8. Shim, J. & Siegel, J (1999) Theory and Problems of Managerial Accounting: 2nd ed.
McGraw-Hill, San Francisco
9. Walker, J (2009) Accounting in a Nutshell: Accounting for the Non-Specialist, 3rd ed.
Elsevier, Oxford
10. Wisniewski, M (2006) Quantitative methods for decision makers, 4th ed. Prentice
Hall, Edinburgh gate, England