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February 28 - March 6 2011 Email:businessmatters@hotmail.ph Vol. IV No 0040
By Lito U. Gagni
The turmoil in the Middle East, with prove to have a disastrous effects Libya, where there is a continuing horizon is that the bulk of the The government is expected
the fallout from tottering regimes, on the economy would be a regime battle between the forces of Muammar remittances come from the United to devise deployment strategies to
could affect remittances from the change in Bahrain, number 10 in Gaddhafi and the anti-government States and Canada which contribute other countries should the Middle
OFWs (Overseas Filipino Workers) the listing of Top Ten destinations protesters, is home to 10,383, almost about half of the total dollar inflows East region turn for the worse.
of just less than five percent for now, of OFWs. Bahrain, which hosts double the 2003 OFW listing of 5,083. coming from overseas Filipino But its options are very limited
but it could rise to up to 20 percent 15,001 OFWs as of the latest Egypt just had 483 OFW s . workers. especially with the downturn in
should the domino effect hit other Philippine Overseas Employment Analysts are keenly watching According to the Bangko the Japanese economy that used to
countries in the region. Administration (POEA) statistics, the developments in Bahrain as any Sentral ng Pilipinas the stable employ thousands of OFWs until
Also, analysts say that the could ultimately affect Saudi Arabia, change in the regime there could have flow of remittances continued to stricter processing of entertainers
economic costs could double or should there be a domino effect. disastrous consequences for Saudi provide economic impetus by way were put in place.
even triple that of the effects of Saudi Arabia is the top Arabia. Also being watched is the of driving domestic demand. The Analysts said that the
less remittances as affected OFWs destination of land-based workers United Arab Emirates which is the $1.8 billion remittances recorded government should invoke the Japan
struggle for a living in the country. with 291,419 workers listed as second biggest host to OFWs with last year accounted for 10 percent Philippine Economic Partnership
Remittances from the Middle of end-2009. This compares with 196,815 Filipinos working in its new of the gross domestic product Agreement as a way to increase
East region constitutes a tenth of 169,011 in 2003 and 239,419 in hotels and other tourist and hospital (GDP). the number of OFWs in Japan. The
the total $1.8 billion that were sent 2007 and 275,933 in 2008. facilities. Domestic consumption , Asian country needs nurses but its
by the OFWs last year but what is Protesters in Bahrain want the The Middle East region is home especially fueled by the families of hiring protocol is disadvantageous
worrying is the economic costs for monarchy , headed by the ruling Al to almost half-a-million OFWs OFWs have resulted in economic to Filipino nurses.
the government which would have Khalifa family,out and should this including the undocumented Filipino gains as in the rise in domestic They also said that the
to devise strategies to make the happen, Saudi Arabia is seen to be workers there and the remittances tourism, the surge in domestic government has to fast track its
dislocated OFWs go back into the the next battleground. Already, there could reach up to 20 percent of the goods production and the beneficial projects so that the displaced
economic mainstream. are Facebook calls for a protest in the total dollar inflows from the OFWs effects of an improved economy in workers in the Middle East can find
Analysts say that what could Kingdom of Saudi Arabia next month. But the silver lining in the the provinces. meaningful employment here.
(DOTC) and the LTO itself required the LTO interconnectivity budget. According to Bautista, remit a total of 121.284 billion to the to 12150 million in January 2011.
projects to address past problems, such as the proliferation of fake most of the savings were generated mandated recipients of PAGCOR Said Fund is being utilized for the
third-party liability insurance policies and bogus certificates of from marketing, supplies and funds. This is 13.73% or 12155 priority projects of the Office of the
emission compliance, said Salcedo. materials, and Ads/PR/Promotions. million higher than the 121.129 President.
Through interconnectivity, Stradcom has successfully “Cost-saving measures continue billion remittances for the same “We are happy to note that
prevented the double or multiple sale of insurance policies by fixers to be implemented in line with period of 2010,” Bautista noted. under the new PACGOR leadership,
as computerization allows instant cross-checking of insurance our management’s campaign to Comparing January 2011 and our corporation is beginning to be
policies against registered vehicles, she added. implement austerity measures and 2010 figures, remittances of PAGCOR more responsive and efficient in its
“Stradcom has done all of these even if it is a private and not a judicious spending of the agency’s to the BIR in the form of franchise tax, mandate of being an active partner of
government corporation because of our commitment to the public, resources,” she said. to the National Treasury in the form of our government in its nation-building
specifically to road users,” Salcedo said. “This campaign under the 50% government share, and the PSC efforts,” Bautista said.
“In fact, recognizing this commitment, Stradcom has refused leadership of Chairman Naguiat share all rose by 12.84% for the month “PAGCOR was basically
to increase its fees annually though it can do that under its contract. has put PAGCOR in a much better under review. “The franchise tax paid created not only to regulate games
Stradcom had increased the fees only once in the past eight years.” fiscal position which enabled our to BIR was higher by 1211 million of chance or to raise revenues for our
Salcedo revealed that Stradcom has also been operating without corporation to comply with its (total remittance of PAGCOR is 1297 government’s socio-civic projects.
payment since September 2010. She said the company has been mandate of raising the much-needed million), the national government’s It was also created to help boost the
advancing operating costs if only to ensure continuous services to revenues for the government,” share was higher by 12105 million country’s tourism industry. Efforts
the public, in spite of LTO's failure to pay. Bautista added. (total remittance of 12925 million), are currently underway to study the
“Stradcom welcomes any inspection of the company's contract With the higher gaming and the PSC share was higher by more repositioning of our casinos not only
with LTO. Stradcom is very transparent. All of Stradcom's operations revenues and lower operating than 125 million (total remittance of as mere gaming and entertainment
are above board and within the parameters of our contracts, expenses, PAGCOR was able 1246 million),” she added. centers, but also as premium
otherwise we would not get the government permits necessary to to increase its remittances to its PAGCOR’s remittances to the destinations for foreign tourists and
operate.” mandated beneficiaries. “For the Social Fund also rose by 29.89% travelers in the near future,” she
month of January, we were able to from 12115 million in January 2010 added.
February 28 - March 6 2011 3
Human contributions
climate center, said, "the House is deaf, live within our means also compel us
dumb and blind on climate change." to do the same when it comes to our
He notes that H.R. 1 would prevent energy resources."
to eating disorders
them.
A statement from Senator Edgardo J. Angara said that only 29,711 of the
84,287 nursing graduates who took the December 2010 exams passed.
The 35.35 percent passing rate for the December batch was even lower
THE more time adolescent girls disorders and certain television tyhan the 41.4 percent passing rate for the July 2010 batch of examinees.
spend on the social networking programming: Girls awho often Angara said that a possible
website Facebook, the greater watched gossip- and leisure- solution to the unemployment
their risk of developing a negative related programs, such as woes of the country’s nurses
body image and eating disorders "Gossip Girl," were more likely may be found in the Registered
such as anorexia, bulimia and to suffer from anorexia, the Nurses for Health Enhancement
exaggerated dieting, according study showed. and Local Services (RN HEALS)
to a recent study by researchers According to the researchers, program from the Department
at the University of Haifa in parents played a key role in the of Labor and Employment. The
Israel. girls' susceptibility to eating program designates nurses to the local government units in rural areas.
EarthTimes.org said that a disorders. Girls whose parents "The RN HEALS project might just be able to address this issue--some
group of 248 girls aged between were aware of their media of the new nurses should be deployed to serve in the Rural Health Units
12 to 19 took part in the study exposure, who watched or surfed (RHU) throughout the country, which would perhaps nudge the numbers in
and they were asked to provide along with them and had critical these areas closer to the optimum 1:10 nurse-to-patient ratio," he said.
information on their internet discussions with them about the Recently, Angara filed Senate Bill 2629 which seeks to establish a
and television viewing habits, content, showed more personal Local Health Unit in each municipality and a RHU in each town in the
their attitudes towards eating, empowerment. This served as a provinces to provide basic health services even to the far-flung corners of
slimming and bulimia, and their "protective shield" against eating the country. The bill would require a five-member health team in each unit,
degree of satisfaction with their disorders. with no less than two nurses.
bodies and sense of personal Girls whose parents were not "If passed, this bill might just provide a win-win solution to both
empowerment. aware of the media content they problems--the RN's difficulty in securing a job and the shortage of health
The results showed that were consuming, and who sought care workers in the provinces," said Angara.
the more time girls spent to limit or prohibit exposure
on Facebook, the more they
suffered from bulimia, anorexia,
a negative body image and
instead of becoming familiar
with that content, showed a lower
sense of self-empowerment, a
Beverly Hills arrives in QC
BEVERLY Hills 6750, one of the outperforming the industry’s P100,000 in Beverly Hills.
exaggerated dieting. more negative body image and premiere beauty facilities in the average of 52 percent. It expects to The company has positioned
A correlation was a greater likelihood of eating country, is expanding to Quezon gain significant growth given its itself in the Class A and B market,
also found between eating disorders. City with a P30 million facility expansion, she said. which represents only about 15
that would cater to its growing Lopez said that despite its percent or 15 million of the entire
clientele. state-of-the-art facilities, crème de la Philippine population. Of that
Chief executive officer Suzette crème medical doctors and first class number, only 10 to 15 percent
Hahn-Lopez said this would be the services, they are actually 30 percent are open to the idea of aesthetic
company’s first branch out of its cheaper than their competitors. enhancement procedures or as
Ayala Avenue facility in Makati Balikbayans and Filipinos much as two million Filipinos.
City. working abroad account for 30 But this number is changing
The bigger Timog Avenue percent of their clients while because more Filipinos are now
branch in Quezon City, which will its foreign clients, mostly from open to having beauty enhancement
open next month, will have the same Australia, Guam and United procedures.
comprehensive services that its Ayala Kingdom have been growing In its website, Beverly Hills
facility offers. substantially. 6750 points out that they are
Lopez said the company has These individuals prefer to dedicated to excellence in multi-
been growing 20 percent annually do their aesthetic services with specialty "aesthetics" that includes
and has gained as much as 20 Beverly Hills 6750 where they aesthetic plastic surgery, skin
percent market share since it started can get as much as 50 percent care & rejuvenation, weight loss
operating in 2006. cheaper for dental services and 60 management, cosmetic gynecology,
The company also posted a percent for cosmetic procedures. peripheral vascular laser surgery
60 percent gross margin in 2010, An average Filipino spends about and cosmetic dentistry. (PNA)
Food Pri
FEBRUA
Global food prices continue to prices to more than
rise. The World Bank’s food price double between the
index increased by 15% between lows of June 2010 and
October 2010 and January 2011 January 2011 (figure 2).
and is only 3% below its 2008 Currently two factors
peak. The last six months have are keeping wheat prices
seen sharp increases in the global high. On the supply
prices of wheat, maize, sugar side, there is uncertainty
and edible oils, with a relatively about the size and the
smaller increase in rice prices. quality of wheat exports
Higher global wheat prices have from Australia—where
fed into significant increases crops were damaged
in local wheat prices in many by excessive rains and
countries. Higher maize, sugar, floods—as well as
and oil prices have contributed concerns about China’s
to increase the costs of various winter wheat crop.
types of food, though local maize Demand drivers center
prices have largely been stable in around the possibility of
Sub-Saharan Africa. Local rice large wheat-importing
prices have increased in line with countries, particularly
global prices in some large rice- in the Middle East and
consuming Asian countries. North Africa, coming
These food price rises create to the market with large
macro vulnerabilities, particularly orders. These are related
for countries with a high share of to assuring the public
food imports and limited fiscal that adequate domestic
space, as well as increases in food stocks exist during
poverty. Estimates of those who uncertain political times
fall into, and move out of, poverty in some countries.
as a result of price rises since June Another reason is that Wheat
2010 show there is a net increase countries like Saudi higher global wheat prices—for America, particularly
in extreme poverty of about Arabia are progressively reducing instance in Argentina, which
44 million people in low- and domestic production of wheat to Cambodia bread prices have has been affected by
middle-income countries. In the conserve valuable water resources remained stable as consumers use unusually dry weather
immediate term, it is important and relying more on imports. flour made from locally produced due to the La Nina effect,
cassava. and the extent of import
Maize prices have increased demand from China in
sharply and are affected by 2011 as well as oil and
complex linkages with other sugar price trajectories.
markets. In January The transmission
2011, maize prices were of higher global maize
about 73% higher than June prices is varied and has
2010. These increases are due to depended significantly
a series of downward revisions of on domestic
crop forecasts, low stocks (U.S. harvest conditions.
stocks-to-use ratio for 2010/11 Countries in Sub-
is projected to be 5%, the Saharan Africa have
lowest since 1995), the positive benefitted from excellent
relationship between maize and maize harvests, which
wheat prices, and the use of corn have led to a sharp fall
for biofuels. Ethanol production in prices. The declines
demand for corn increases as from June–December
oil prices go up, with sugar- 2010 shown in table countries saw the price of maize
based ethanol less competitive 1 come on the heels of even rise dramatically in the last half
at current sugar prices. Recent sharper price falls in the early of 2010 as dry weather lowered
United States Department of part of the year—on average, yields—the largest increases were
Agriculture (USDA) estimates maize prices were lower in 2010 witnessed in Brazil (56%) and
show the share of ethanol for in comparison to 2009 in Uganda Argentina (40%). Higher global
fuel rising from 31% of U.S. (52%), Rwanda (37%), Kenya maize prices are also passed
corn output in 2008/9 (33%), Malawi (30%), Ethiopia through to consumers indirectly
to a projected 40% in (22%), and Tanzania (19%).1 by raising animal feed prices,
to ensure that further increases Higher global wheat prices 2010/11. Increased demand for However, these prices also exhibit meat prices, and the price of many
in poverty are curtailed by taking have fed into sharp increases in high fructose corn syrup from considerable volatility, which has processed food categories.
measures that calm jittery markets domestic wheat prices in many countries such as Mexico, as they adverse impacts on both producers Global rice prices have
and by scaling up safety net and countries. The transmission rate of substitute away from higher priced and consumers. For instance, after increased at a slower rate than
nutritional programs. global wheat price increases to the sugar, also contributes to higher a sharp decline in the early part other grains and the outlook
Investments in raising domestic price of wheat-related demand for corn. Prospects of of 2010, maize prices in Rwanda remains stable. The export price
environmentally sustainable products has been high in many easing in this market depend partly have rebounded by 19% since for Thai rice has increased by
agricultural productivity, better countries. For instance, between
risk-management tools, less food- June 2010 and December 2010, the 8% (Thai 5%) between
intensive biofuel technologies, price of wheat increased by large October and January 2011,
and climate change adaptation amounts in Kyrgyzstan (54%), and 17% since June 2010.
measures are all necessary over Bangladesh (45%), Tajikistan They remain about 70%
the medium term to mitigate the (37%), Mongolia (33%), Sri below the peak reached
impact of expected food price Lanka (31%), Azerbaijan (24%), during the 2008 food crisis.
volatility on the most vulnerable. Afghanistan (19%), Sudan (16%), Following good harvests in
Global food prices continue and Pakistan (16%). Several of large exporting countries,
to rise, though not uniformly for these countries have a large share the decision by the
all grains. The World Bank’s food of calories consumed from wheat- Philippines to limit imports,
price based products, particularly for and the release of large
index rose by 15% between the poor (table 1). stocks onto the market by
October 2010 and January 2011, is In several other countries, Thailand, prices appear to
29% above its level a year earlier, the adjustment to higher global be leveling off. One factor
and only 3% below its June 2008 wheat prices has been shared by limiting the downward
peak (figure 1). A breakdown of the government and consumers. In pressure on rice prices are
the index shows that the grain price India,higherdomesticprocurement recent announcements by
index remains 16% below its peak prices for wheat have contributed large importers such as
mainly due to relatively stable to record domestic grain stocks, Bangladesh and Indonesia
rice prices, which are significantly which have been released to curb to significantly increase
lower than in 2008. The increase prices. In parallel, the subsidized domestic stocks.
over the last quarter is driven wheat program has been scaled Domestic rice prices
largely by increases in the price of up. In Egypt, the bread subsidy is have risen sharply in some
sugar (20%), fats and oils (22%), estimated to reach around 85% of countries and remained
wheat (20%), and maize (12%). the population. Nevertheless, even steady in others. The
Among grains, global wheat in these countries, consumers are domestic price of rice
prices have increased the most in not fully exempted from the impact was significantly higher
recent months. A confluence of of global price rises as prices of in Vietnam (46%) and
weather shocks to various large nonsubsidized wheat products, as Burundi (41%) between
producing countries, followed in well as other basic staples, have June–December 2010.
some cases by export restrictions, increased. Local practices have Indonesia (19%), Bangladesh
on the size of the crops in Latin June 2010.Several Latin American (19%), and Pakistan (19%) have
curtailed supply and caused wheat also shielded consumers from
February 28 - March 6 2011 7
ice Watch
ARY 2011
prices increased by 15% because it term, investments in raising
between September and was the main environmentally sustainable
December in Afghanistan. source of the agricultural productivity, climate
Several countries have contagion change adaptation measures, and
intervened to temper this t h a t finding less food intensive biofuel
pass through. In Algeria, precipitated technologies are all necessary to
taxes and import duties on the 2008 mitigate the impact of food price
sugar and edible oil were crisis when volatility on the most vulnerable.
sharply reduced in January many large Finally, these spikes underscore
2011 due to double-digit exporters the importance of efforts to raise
prices rises. In Indonesia, banned its incomes of the poor so that they
the government has reduced export. spend a lower share of their
taxes on sugar and increased There budgets on food and are less
subsidies to local cooking are several vulnerable to such shocks.
oil producers. short- and Box 1. Estimating the Poverty
Prices of other food medium- Impact of Recent Food Price
items essential for dietary term policy Rises
diversity have risen in many implications To quantify the poverty
countries. In India, food of this impacts of the recent rise in food
inflation stood at recent round prices, we use a global computable
18.3% in December partly of food price model (Global Trade Analysis
due to the higher prices of rises. Project [GTAP]) with a sample
fruits and vegetables, milk, There of 28 household surveys with
meat, and fish. In China, a r e data on individual households’
similarly, food inflation was from more expensive, nutritious certain key expenditures and income sources.
driven largely by vegetables food and into cheaper staples. commodity markets, such as rice, These national surveys are drawn
(see figure 3). In the second These nutritional setbacks are where informational uncertainty from low- and middle-income
half of 2010, beans prices particularly severe for infants (for example, of stocks held regions from around the world and
increased dramatically in between the ages of zero and two by large exporters) and ‘panic represent 41% of the population
Burundi (48%), Cameroon as well as pregnant women. The buying’ may keep prices from living in these countries (see
(43%), Kenya (38%), complex linkages across food falling to the levels expected by table 1).We use local food price
and Uganda (22%). In markets also affect obesity— the good harvests. The publication changes for the commodities
Mongolia, an outbreak of for instance, the increased of regular, accessible data on where we have data for the June–
the foot and mouth disease, demand for high fructose corn stocks as well as commitments December 2010 period. For the
coupled with a severe winter syrup, as a substitute for more by larger exporters not to impose commodities where the local
experienced in 2010, price data do not exist, we work
led to a sharp increase out the pass through of global
in meat prices. Average commodity price changes on
mutton meat prices were local prices using the share of
32% higher in 2010 that commodity’s import in total
compared to 2009. consumption. In the second
These food price stage of our calculations, we
rises create a range of apply the expected domestic
macro vulnerabilities. price changes to determine the
One aspect is the impact increase in the cost of living for
on domestic net consumers and the increased
food inflation and profits of net producers.
overall inflation. More Combining these two impacts,
than one-third of the we calculate the net impact on
countries in Eastern each household and determine
Europe and Central whether it has been thrown
Asia had more than into or lifted from poverty,
10% food inflation in defined at the expenditure level
increased in line with global 2010. Countries with a high of $1.25 per person per day.
prices. These Asian countries are share of net food and energy The results show that in half
large rice consumers, especially imports face current account of our sample, we observe an
among the poor. Rice prices have vulnerabilities. These include increase in poverty greater than
increased in Vietnam despite Tajikistan, the Kyrgyz Republic, 0.5 percentage points, and in
good domestic harvests. This is Georgia, and Albania in Eastern eight countries an increase of
primarily due to the depreciation Europe and Central Asia, a more than 1 percentage point,
of the currency, which has fuelled region where limiting current Sorghum including Tajikistan, where
overall inflation and expectations account deficits is particularly poverty is expected to have risen
of higher demand from large important following the 2009 by more than 3.6 percentage
importers and led to the minimum financial crisis. The fiscal impact expensive sugar, has public policy export restrictions would help points, and Pakistan, where the
rice export price being raised of these price rises depends on the implications in a country like maintain stability, which is crucial 1.9 percentage point increase in
by the Vietnamese government. extent to which food tax revenues Mexico, where obesity is a serious to prevent further increases in poverty is mostly due to higher
Rice price increases in Sri Lanka increase and expenditures on public health concern. poverty. At the same time, safety wheat prices, with the impact on
(12%) and China (9%) have been mitigating measures—such as for There are two factors limiting net and nutritional programs need consumers far outweighing the
relatively moderate in the second social protection programs—are the poverty impact of the current to be scaled up in vulnerable beneficial impact on medium
half of 2010, while in Cambodia increased. global price spike. In many countries— and the international and large farmers. In contrast,
and the Philippines the retail Our estimates suggest that an countries in Africa, good harvests community may need to focus in Vietnam, poverty is expected
price of rice remained largely additional 44 million people may of domestic crops—like maize, on countries like Afghanistan, to have declined because a large
unchanged during this period. have fallen into poverty in low- sorghum, millet and cassava— Burundi, the Democratic Republic portion of poor households are
Rice prices outside Asia remained and middle-income countries due have limited the pass through of of Congo, the Kyrgyz Republic, net producers of rice and benefit
stable in many countries, such as to the rise in food prices since global staple prices and allowed and Mongolia, to name a few, from their high price. Applying
Cameroon, Guatemala, Mexico, June 2010. In order to assess the for substitution away from that are facing large price spikes. the population-weighted average
Panama, and Somalia, during this impact on poverty of the change imported wheat and rice in some Countries that are large net increase in poverty to the total
period. in food prices in the second half of the most vulnerable countries. commodity importers with low population in low- and middle-
Sugar and edible oil prices of 2010, we extend a model used Second, in sharp contrast to 2008 reserve cover and limited fiscal income countries, we infer that
have increased sharply in recent to estimate the impact of the 2008 and buoyed by good harvests in space will need to be monitored the recent rise in food prices may
months. Sugar prices have risen food price crisis (see box 1 for the Vietnam and Thailand, to assess their external have put 44 million people into
by 73% since June due to supply details). Net producers of food the fundamentals in the supply financing needs. The frequency poverty in these countries. This
shortfalls from Brazil, the largest benefit from higher prices while situation in the rice market remain of extreme weather-related events reflects 68 million people who fell
exporter, and weather shocks in net consumers suffer. Our results strong. Rice is an important over the past year and their impact below the $1.25 poverty line and
Australia. Similarly, edible oil show that extreme poverty in low- commodity not only because it on food prices underscores the the 24 million net food producers
prices were up on account of a and middle-income countries is the primary staple for many vulnerability of the poor to who were able to escape extreme
number of weather-related shocks. may have increased by 44 million developing countries, but also climate change. Over the medium poverty.
Prolonged dry weather related to people in net terms as a result of
La Nina lowered expectations of the food price increases between
yields in Brazil and Argentina, June and December 2010. This
which together account for reflects 68 million people who
roughly 45% of soybean exports. fell below the $1.25 poverty
On the other hand, floods in line and the 24 million net food
southern Malaysia and Indonesia producers who were able to
have hindered palm oil harvests. escape extreme poverty.
These higher prices feed There are nutritional
through to domestic prices implications related to higher
quickly in many countries—for food prices. Higher poverty
instance, sugar prices doubled is associated with increased
in Cambodia between June and malnutrition as poorer people
December 2010 and edible oil eat less and substitute away
8
Opinion February 28 - March 6, 2011
EDITORIAL