The Bangladesh Telecommunications Report

• Independent 5-year telecommunications forecast for Bangladesh.

• Original telecommunications market research and telecommunications sector trend analysis for
Bangladesh's telecommunications industry.
• Competitive intelligence, regional telecommunications company rankings and SWOT analyses on
international and domestic telecommunications companies in Bangladesh.

The Bangladesh Telecommunications Report Report has been researched at source in 2007 and features
latest-available data covering all headline indicators; 5-year industry forecasts through end-2012;
company rankings and competitive landscapes covering leading multinational handset manufacturers and
equipment vendors, domestic fixed-line and mobile operators, and analysis of latest industry news, trends
and regulatory developments.

Business Monitor International's Bangladesh Telecommunications Report Report provides industry

professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial
services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the
telecommunications industry in Bangladesh.

KEY BENEFITS OF REPORT

• Benchmark BMI's Independent 5-Year Telecommunications Industry Forecast for Bangladesh

to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the
Bangladeshi telecommunications market.
• Target Business Opportunities & Risks in Bangladesh 's Telecommunications Sector through
our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and
investments in Bangladesh .
• Exploit Latest Competitive Bangladeshi Telecommunications Intelligence & company SWOTS
on your competitors and peers through company rankings by sales, market share, investments
and leading products and services.

COVERAGE

Executive Summary

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts and trend analysis, covering ICT, fixed-line, mobile and internet
markets, and headline news of key industry events from the latest quarter.

Market Overview

At-a-glance outlook of the structure, size and value of the industry, including an overview of key players
and a snapshot of regional penetration rates for fixed-line, mobile and internet markets.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI provides a cross-border analysis of telecoms regulatory systems across regional markets, and their
investor prospects, discussing the merits and downfalls of each country’s business environment, and
ranking them in order of competitiveness. The rankings take into account industry factors, such as Market
Maturity, Growth Potential, Competitive Environment and Licensing Framework in addition to BMI’s
political and economic risk ratings.

BMI 5-Year Industry Forecast

Historic data series and 5-year forecasts to end-2012 for all key industry indicators (see list below),
supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

• Fixed-Line Telephony - Telephone Lines ('000); Telephone Lines/100 Inhabitants;

• Cellular Telephony - Phone Subscribers ('000); Mobile Phone Subscribers/ 100 Inhabitants; Mobile
Phone Subscribers/100 Fixed Line Subscribers;
• Internet Markets - Internet Users ('000); Internet Users/100 Inhabitants; Broadband Internet
Subscribers ('000); Broadband Internet Subscribers/100 Inhabitants;
BMI 5-Year Macroeconomic Forecast

BMI forecasts for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal
balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.

Competitive Landscape & Rankings

Commentary on key operators highlighting ownership structures, latest available revenue figures, market
share analysis and ARPU counts.

Company Profiles & SWOTS

Company profiles, including SWOT (strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats) analyses, fully
researched senior executives and contact details, business activity, leading products and services, and a
record of all recent foreign direct investments and projects.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Chapter - Executive Summary

SWOT
Bangladesh Telecoms Business Environment SWOT
Bangladesh Political SWOT
Bangladesh Economic SWOT
Bangladesh Business Environment SWOT
Chapter - Business Environment
Asia
Bangladesh
TABLE: BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT RANKINGS
Chapter - Industry Forecasts
Mobile
TABLE: BANGLADESH TELECOMS SECTOR – MOBILES – HISTORICAL DATA & FORECASTS
Fixed-Line
TABLE: BANGLADESH TELECOMS SECTOR – FIXED-LINE – HISTORICAL DATA & FORECASTS
Internet
TABLE: BANGLADESH TELECOMS SECTOR – INTERNET – HISTORICAL DATA & FORECASTS
Chapter - Market Data Analysis
Mobile Market
TABLE: BANGLADESH WIRELESS MARKET, JUNE 2008
TABLE – BANGLADESH WIRELESS MARKET NET ADDITIONS, Q208
Chapter - The Dominance Of Prepaid Services
Fixed-Line
TABLE: BANGLADESH FIXED-LINE MARKET, JUNE 2008
Chapter - Mobile Operator Data
Grameenphone
TABLE: AKTEL
Banglalink
CityCell
Chapter - Macroeconomic Forecast Scenario
 TABLE: BANGLADESH – ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
Chapter - Regulatory Development
Chapter - Company Monitor
Case StudyChapter - : AlcatelChapter - -Lucent Technologies
TABLE: ALCATEL-LUCENT Q108 FINANCIAL BREAKDOWN BY BUSINESS GROUP (EURMN)
Asia Pacific Drives Growth
TABLE: RECENT ASIA CONTRACT WINS
Pairing Up With Asian Adversaries
Selected Profiles – Operators
Grameenphone
Aktel
Banglalink
CityCell
Bangladesh Telegraph And Telephone Board
Chapter - Competitive Landscape
Competitor Analysis
TABLE: KEY PLAYERS – BANGLADESH TELECOMS SECTOR
Key Players
Fixed-Line
TABLE: REGIONAL FIXED-LINE PENETRATION OVERVIEW
Broadband
TABLE: REGIONAL BROADBAND PENETRATION OVERVIEW
Mobile
TABLE: REGIONAL MOBILE PENETRATION OVERVIEW
Chapter - Glossary Of Terms
BMI Forecast Modelling
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Telecommunications Industry
Sources
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

By the end of June, the number of Bangladeshi mobile subscribers had risen to 43.664mn, up 53.3% on the
previous year. Mobile penetration had increased to 30.9%, up from 25% at the start of the year.
Furthermore, according to the regulator, Bangladesh had 45.4mn mobile customers at the end of August
2008. This reflects growth of 29% for the first eight months of 2008.

BMI now predicts that Bangladesh will gain nearly 13.2mn new mobile customers in 2008, and that
penetration will rise to 34% by the end of the year. Mobile subscriber growth rates are expected to remain
strong over the next few years; we now predict that, by the end of 2012, Bangladesh will be home to
almost 148mn mobile subscribers and a penetration rate of nearly 99%.

Grameenphone, Bangladesh’s largest mobile operator by subscriber numbers, once again secured the
highest number of new customers in Q208; by the end of June, the market leader served more than
20.3mn mobile subscribers. Grameenphone reported gains of over 2.5mn mobile customers, which was
equivalent to 52.4% of total net additions in the second quarter.

Grameenphone’s two largest competitors in the mobile market, Banglalink and Aktel, continued to feel
the pressure from United Arab Emirates (UAE)’s Warid Telecom, which launched commercial services in
Bangladesh in May 2007 and which had raised its share of the market to 7.6% by the end of June 2008.
Warid Telecom remains confident that it can win 10mn subscribers by the end of 2009.

Aktel appears to have suffered more than Grameenphone and Banglalink since the launch of commercial
services by Warid Telecom. However, September 2008 saw the completion of a US$350mn purchase of a
30% stake in Aktel by Japanese mobile operator NTT DoCoMo. This move is expected to bring about a new
round of investment for Aktel and has potential to revive the operator’s flagging performance.

Beyond the country’s mobile market, fixed-line services continue to grow, helped along by a sizeable
number of alternative operators which offer code division multiple access (CDMA)-based wireless local
loop (WiLL) services. Despite this growth, fixed-line penetration is not expected to rise above 1.5%
anytime in the next five years. Although the lack of fixed-line infrastructure has had a dampening effect
on the development of internet and broadband services, there are signs that the broadband market will
benefit from the launch of wireless services based on technologies such as WiMAX. At the end of
September 2008, the Bangladesh Telecommunication Regulatory Commission (BTRC) announced that three
companies – Bangla Lion Communications, Brac Bdmail Network and Aguri Wireless Broadband
Bangladesh – had been awarded 2.3GHz and 2.5GHz WiMAX licences.

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