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June 8, 2011

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Oil that is, Black Gold, Texas Tea


Exxon-Mobil (XOM,$XOM) Reports Major Gulf Discovery, ValuEngine.com
Rates Energy Giant a Buy
Another down day for stocks was tempered by news of a major Gulf of Mexico
discovery by Exxon-Mobil (XOM). While stocks were down, oil prices rose on news that
OPEC has declined to increase production. With the hot days of Summer upon us,
crude over $100/barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange-- yet again-- could
make travel to the shore a more expensive proposition. The news seems destined to
keep major oil producers profits pegged to record levels.
ValuEngine has issued a BUY recommendation for Exxon-Mobil on Jun. 08, 2011.
Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that
Exxon-Mobil has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the
next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE company size, volatility and risk.
Based on available data as of Jun. 08, 2011, we believe that XOM should be
trading at $84.83. This makes XOM 5.69% undervalued. Fair Value indicates what we
believe the stock should be trading at today if the stock market were perfectly
efficient and everything traded at its true worth. For XOM, we base this on actual
earnings per share (EPS) for the previous four quarters of $7.49, forecasted EPS for the
next four quarters of $9.19, and correlations to the 30-year Treasury bond yield of
4.26%.
Exxon Mobil Corporation's principal business is energy, involving exploration for,
and production of, crude oil and natural gas, manufacturing of petroleum products
and transportation and sale of crude oil, natural gas and petroleum products. Exxon
Mobil is a major manufacturer and marketer of basic petrochemicals, including
olefins, aromatics, polyethylene and polypropylene plastics and a wide variety of
specialty products. Exxon Mobil is engaged in exploration for, and mining and sale of
coal, copper and other minerals.
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MARKET OVERVIEW
Summary of VE Stock Universe
Stocks Undervalued 56.47%
Stocks Overvalued 43.53%
Stocks Undervalued by 20% 23.05%
Stocks Overvalued by 20% 16.01%

SECTOR OVERVIEW

Sector Change MTD YTD Valuation Last 12- P/E


MReturn Ratio
Aerospace 0.56% -0.12% 11.90% 2.06% undervalued 30.12% 17.95
Auto-Tires-Trucks -0.16% -2.12% -11.65% 6.01% undervalued 44.60% 18.48
Basic Materials 0.48% -2.92% -7.81% 6.86% undervalued 50.30% 34.71
Business Services 0.66% -1.72% 1.42% 0.53% undervalued 20.62% 26.62
Computer and Technology 0.11% -2.72% 5.61% 2.79% undervalued 37.65% 37.79
Construction -0.87% -4.63% -9.70% 4.89% undervalued 6.79% 29.05
Consumer Discretionary -0.08% -2.86% 0.53% 5.25% undervalued 18.68% 29.87
Consumer Staples 0.11% -1.66% -7.28% 0.95% overvalued 20.50% 31.6
Finance 0.20% -1.65% -0.28% 2.81% undervalued 13.00% 27.65
Industrial Products 0.11% -2.88% -2.95% 5.32% undervalued 31.76% 28.16
Medical 0.07% -2.70% 12.16% 1.94% undervalued 22.09% 31.28
Multi-Sector Conglomerates -0.23% -1.17% 0.05% 14.81% overvalued 36.73% 25.05
Oils-Energy 0.26% -3.22% -1.80% 2.99% overvalued 44.42% 56.32
Retail-Wholesale 0.04% -2.83% 2.15% 2.87% undervalued 26.21% 33.55
Transportation 0.00% -2.61% -6.50% 4.04% overvalued 22.10% 20.18
Utilities 0.14% -1.27% 3.69% 4.45% overvalued 27.48% 23.83

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