GIS-based wind and solar resource mapping in Central & West Asia (TA 7274)

Peter J. Hayes, Senior Climate Change Specialist, ADB (CWRD) phayes@adb.org Mark Allington, Managing Director ICF International mallington@icfi.com Business Models for Renewable Energy (Asia Clean Energy Forum), Manila, 22 June 2011

Tools for wind & solar resource mapping

$5M TA7274: Enabling Climate Change Interventions in Central & West Asia Need for Vulnerability & RE (solar & wind) resource maps Formulation of high resolution wind and solar resource maps

Benefits to Investors of wind and solar maps

Allows investors to assess energy yield, at scale

of investment needed (and possible returns), at a range of power purchase tariffs, across a geographical area viability of different locations opportunities

Allows comparison of the relative economic

Allows identification of priority investment

TA 7274 map coverage (10 DMCs)

Afghanistan Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia Kazakhstan Kyrgyzstan Pakistan Tajikistan Turkmenistan Uzbekistan

INFRASTRUCTURE MAPS

Kazakhstan infrastructure and ADB project locations

ECOLOGICAL RESOURCE MAPS

Constraint Layers

Constraint Layers

CWA region

Wind constraints

Wind constraints - accumulated weighting > 4

Pakistan wind ecological resource

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Kyrgyzstan wind ecological resource

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Pakistan PV ecological resource

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Armenia PV ecological resource

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Georgia concentrating solar ecological resource

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Uzbekistan concentrating solar ecological resource

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ECONOMIC RESOURCE LOOP EXAMPLE

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CSP economic resource calculation

Capital costs (capex) Grid connection costs: Operational lifetime: Nearest electricity grid: Others Straight line depreciation period: Income tax rate: Operating/maintenance costs: Discount rate: Power purchase tariff USD/MWh: $6,068/kW $55,000/km 25 years 200 ha urban

20 years 20% 1.2% capex 8% or 12% varied

Grid square assumed economically viable at a given tariff / discount rate combination if Net Present Value is positive after operational lifetime
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Uzbekistan CSP - economically viable resource at 12% discount rate

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Limitations

This method can guide where pre-feasibility

study work is likely to be worthwhile

However it does not replace site-specific,

technical and economic investigations and costing

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 Online GIS Visualization & DecisionMaking Tool: Demonstration

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GIS-based wind and solar resource mapping in Central & West Asia (TA 7274)
Peter J. Hayes, Senior Climate Change Specialist, ADB (CWRD) phayes@adb.org Mark Allington, Managing Director ICF International mallington@icfi.com Business Models for Renewable Energy (Asia Clean Energy Forum), Manila, 22 June 2011