Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
17 NOVEMBER 2010
Carol Chan
+852 2825 1821
carol.t.chan@asia.bnpparibas.com
Food retailers with strong franchises are in the best position to benefit
from the rising food price inflation. Within the consumer staples space,
we believe the less essential and more discretionary product
producers are the safer place to be at the moment. Snack food producers
such as Want Want are less likely to see price intervention from the
government. In the same token, wines and spirits producers are also less
likely to be affected by government price caps. In fact, this has been one
of the most resilient sub-segments within the consumer space.
Consumer discretionary names should continue to benefit from strong
consumer confidence and rising inflationary expectations. High-end
retailers should be in a better position to benefit than mass-market
retailers, as their clientele are generally less sensitive to rising prices for
basic goods. We are less keen on the mass market brand retailers as
their ability to pass on rising costs to consumers is more restricted.
Most consumer stocks have come off on the back of their high valuations
in the recent market correction. We see this as an opportunity to
accumulate on the stronger consumer franchises. Top picks in the sector
include: Want Want, Hengan, Ajisen, GOME and Huiyin.
Dynasty (828.HK, NR) is one of the top three grape wine producers in the
China market. The company is 44.8% owned by Tianjin Development
and 27.0% owned by Remy Pacifique. The company produces a wide
spectrum of products under the Dynasty brand, with Dynasty Dry Red
being its best seller and contributing 36% of revenue.
With the change in its business strategy since 2H09, the company has
been actively: 1) raising its sales and promotion efforts, 2) developing
new markets, and 3) revamping its existing sales distribution channels.
During 1H10, Dynastys net profit growth accelerated to 18%, from 9% in
FY09. Turnover growth also accelerated from 9% growth in FY09 to 14%
growth in 1H10. Managements target is to achieve above industry
average growth trend in the coming few years.
According to consensus estimates, Dynasty is expected to see a 17%
increase in 2010 net profit to HKD182m (diluted EPS: HKD0.14) and 19%
increase in 2011 net profit to HKD216m (diluted EPS: HKD0.17). The
counter is trading on 33x 2010 consensus P/E and 27x for 2011. The
company was in a net cash position as at end-June.
BNP Paribas Securities Asia research is available on Thomson One, Bloomberg, TheMarkets.com, Factset and on http://equities.bnpparibas.com. Please contact your
salesperson for authorisation. Please see the important notice on the back page.
17 NOVEMBER 2010
BBG
Share price
code
15-Jan-08
15-Feb-08
Change
(LC)
(LC)
(%)
506 HK
5.90
5.38
(9)
2319 HK
25.66
20.83
(19)
(16)
1068 HK
10.92
9.15
Henan Shuanghui
000895 CH
56.35
53.13
(6)
600887 CH
27.98
20.76
(26)
Tingyi
322 HK
11.36
10.68
(6)
Uni-President China
220 HK
5.70
4.44
(22)
Source: Bloomberg
In 2008, share prices of major F&B companies corrected by 6-26% in the month after
the government price controls were announced. Although quite a few F&B companies
have taken the opportunity to put through a round of price hikes recently, near-term
concerns over the possibility of a fresh round of government price controls is expected
to put pressure on the performance of consumer staples names in general. Within the
consumer staples space, the less essential and more discretionary product
producers are the safer place to be at the moment. The governments measures will
mainly be focused on basic foodstuff rather than on discretionary products. For
instance, snack food producers like Want Want are less likely to see price intervention
from the government. In the same token, wines and spirits producers are also less likely
to be affected by government price caps. In fact, wines and spirits producers have been
one of the most resilient sub-segments within the consumer space.
Under the current environment, food retailers with strong franchises are in the best
position to benefit from the rising food price inflation. In general, it is easier for retailers
to raise product prices when consumers inflationary expectations are already high.
Higher food prices will drive stronger same-store-sales growth, which in turn will help to
drive positive operating leverage for these operators. In addition, in the event where
government does impose price caps, the stronger retail chains would be in a better
position to push back price increases by suppliers.
BNP PARIBAS
17 NOVEMBER 2010
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
BNP PARIBAS
17 NOVEMBER 2010
Year-ended 31 Dec
Year-ended 31 Dec
2008
2009
(RMB m)
(RMB m)
Turnover
3,453
4,199
Turnover
Gross profit
2,417
3,008
Gross profit
722
70.0
71.6
53.0
1,176
1,472
34.1
35.1
Net profit
895
1,127
25.9
26.8
2008
Year-ended 31 Dec
2008
2009
(HKD m)
(HKD m)
Turnover
2,790
3,197
756
Gross profit
1,599
1,854
51.0
57.3
58.0
(HKD m) (HKD m)
1,361
1,483
Operating profit
217
213
16.0
14.4
Net profit
143
156
10.5
10.5
BNP PARIBAS
17 NOVEMBER 2010
15x
2.00
10x
1.00
0.00
Jan-06
Sep-06
May-07
Jan-08
Sep-08
May-09
Jan-10
Sep-10
Place of listing
Offer
price
17-Nov-10
Hong Kong
1.85-2.55
Goodbaby Group
24-Nov-10
Hong Kong
3.70-4.90
Modern Farming
26-Nov-10
Hong Kong
2.89-3.69
na
Shanghai
na
na
Shanghai
na
Jinzi Ham
Ham products and various fermented meat products and lowtemperature meat
na
Shanghai
na
na
Singapore
na
na
Stock code
Company name
Company description
312 HK
1086 HK
1117 HK
002507 CH
002503 CH
002515 CH
MII SP
(LC)
4135489Z IJ
na
Indonesia
PRADAZ HK
Prada SpA
na
Hong Kong
na
WGWCDZ CH
na
Shanghai
na
ZBGCLZ CH
na
Shengzhen
na
BNP PARIBAS
17 NOVEMBER 2010
Stock code
Company name
Company description
238 HK
Evergreen International
Holdings
Yashili International
Holdings
Global Dairy Holdings
4-Nov-10
Hong Kong
1-Nov-10
Hong Kong
4.20
3.24
(23)
28-Oct-10
Hong Kong
4.39
3.56
(19)
21-Oct-10
Hong Kong
5.93
6.20
15-Oct-10
15-Oct-10
Shenzhen
Shenzhen
26.60
10.90
29.34
14.25
10
31
14-Oct-10
12-Oct-10
12-Oct-10
Hong Kong
Natl India
JASDAQ
0.25
135.00
1,400
0.41
68.35
801
64
(49)
(43)
8-Oct-10
Singapore
0.22
0.27
20
7-Oct-10
Indonesia
5,395
5,350
(1)
5-Oct-10
Hong Kong
0.60
0.89
48
29-Sep-10
Hong Kong
4.98
6.75
36
29-Sep-10
Hong Kong
3.12
3.54
13
28-Sep-10
Korea SE
35,000
77,700
122
24-Sep-10
Hong Kong
3.30
5.76
75
15-Sep-10
Shenzhen
35.00
62.62
79
15-Sep-10
13-Sep-10
GreTai Sec M
Korea SE
40.00
90,000
52.20
95,000
31
6
23-Aug-10
Kuala Lumpur
0.39
0.33
(15)
20-Aug-10
Shenzhen
11.90
24.27
104
18-Aug-10
Shenzhen
5.80
23.00
297
18-Aug-10
16-Aug-10
10-Aug-10
Natl India
Kuala Lumpur
Shenzhen
660.00
0.50
24.00
573.20
0.41
32.42
(13)
(18)
35
5-Aug-10
28-Jul-10
Singapore
Bangkok
0.22
4.90
0.23
7.00
2
43
16-Jul-10
Shenzhen
14.20
25.45
79
13-Jul-10
Shenzhen
28.98
81.00
180
9-Jul-10
Indonesia
210.00
270.00
29
8-Jul-10
Shenzhen
14.38
15.22
7-Jul-10
28-Jun-10
Indonesia
Indonesia
350.00
1,275
420.00
2,925
20
129
24-Jun-10
JASDAQ
4,200
2,980
(29)
21-Jun-10
Hong Kong
2.38
5.91
148
11-Jun-10
Hong Kong
2.06
3.95
92
1007 HK
1700 HK
002485 CH
002486 CH
Springland International
Holdings
Sinoer Men's Wear
Shanghai Challenge Textile
8269 HK
CANT IN
7818 JP
YGR SP
ICBP IJ
1682 HK
1698 HK
926 HK
Boshiwa International
Holding
Besunyen Holdings
081660 KS
Fila Korea
1633 HK
Magic Holdings
International
Henan Chuying Agropastoral
G-fun Industrial Corp
Hyundai Home Shopping
Network Corp
Focus Point Holdings Bhd
002477 CH
4429 TT
057050 KS
FPHB MK
300106 CH
002461 CH
BJCOR IN
BRIB MK
002458 CH
CSF SP
OFM TB
002450 CH
002447 CH
IPOL IJ
300094 CH
GOLD IJ
ROTI IJ
3163 JP
2228 HK
873 HK
Place of
listing
Last
closing
price
(LC)
5.37
Listing
price
(LC)
4.60
1230 HK
Listing
date
BNP PARIBAS
17 NOVEMBER 2010
Place of
listing
Listing
price
Last
closing
price
Acc
change
Stock code
Company name
Company description
002425 CH
8-Jun-10
Shenzhen
22.00
37.85
72
002427 CH
8-Jun-10
Shenzhen
13.50
19.47
44
KSTR MK
K-Star Sports
4-Jun-10
Kuala Lumpur
2.15
0.93
(57)
002419 CH
1-Jun-10
Shenzhen
40.00
46.00
15
300087 CH
26-May-10
Shenzhen
35.60
61.18
72
MNDN IN
Mandhana Industries
19-May-10
Natl India
130.00
271.75
109
002404 CH
11-May-10
Shenzhen
22.00
19.81
(10)
973 HK
L'Occitane International SA
7-May-10
Hong Kong
15.08
21.75
44
002397 CH
Hunan Mendale
Hometextile
29-Apr-10
Shenzhen
51.00
44.47
(13)
1863 HK
Sijia Group
29-Apr-10
Hong Kong
3.28
4.55
39
002395 CH
29-Apr-10
Shenzhen
25.00
27.24
GPR SP
29-Apr-10
Singapore
0.46
0.36
(23)
002394 CH
23-Apr-10
Shenzhen
45.00
47.30
900110 KS
23-Apr-10
KOSDAQ
5,000
4,700
(6)
3161 JP
AZEARTH Corp
16-Apr-10
JASDAQ
470.00
335.00
(29)
MINZ SP
15-Apr-10
Singapore
1.20
1.25
002387 CH
Blackcow Food
13-Apr-10
Shenzhen
27.00
39.75
47
002385 CH
Beijing Dabeinong
Technology Group
9-Apr-10
Shenzhen
35.00
44.50
27
SGJ IN
9-Apr-10
Natl India
260.00
206.80
(20)
PRAD IN
Pradip Overseas
5-Apr-10
Natl India
110.00
90.60
(18)
OVSE MK
1-Apr-10
Kuala Lumpur
0.23
0.15
(35)
1998 HK
26-Mar-10
Hong Kong
1.90
1.86
(2)
1280 HK
Huiyin Household
Appliances Holdings
25-Mar-10
Hong Kong
1.69
2.06
22
QMEI SP
17-Mar-10
Singapore
0.31
0.26
(16)
EMMB IN
Emmbi Polyarns
24-Feb-10
Natl India
45.00
19.50
(57)
TJL IN
Thangamayil Jewellery
19-Feb-10
Natl India
75.00
176.90
136
JUBI IN
Jubilant Foodworks
8-Feb-10
Natl India
145.00
585.60
304
953 HK
Meike International
Holdings
1-Feb-10
Hong Kong
1.43
1.82
27
002345 CH
28-Jan-10
Shenzhen
33.00
37.89
15
002344 CH
26-Jan-10
Shenzhen
20.00
61.55
208
002343 CH
26-Jan-10
Shenzhen
31.00
30.90
(0)
002329 CH
6-Jan-10
Shenzhen
20.10
44.32
120
002330 CH
6-Jan-10
Shenzhen
13.18
17.53
33
BNP PARIBAS
17 NOVEMBER 2010
Country
Economic statistics
2009
Jul-10
Aug-10
Sep-10
Oct-10
(y-y %)
(y-y %)
(y-y %)
(y-y %)
(y-y %)
18-Nov-10
Taiwan
Visitor Arrivals
14.3
23.4
20.3
23.1
na
22-Nov-10
China
15.5
23.3
24.3
24.0
na
22-Nov-10
Hong Kong
Visitor Arrivals
0.3
31.9
21.9
21.2
na
25-Nov-10
Japan
Visitor Arrivals
(18.7)
38.9
18.2
34.0
na
25-Nov-10
Japan
Retail Sales
(2.3)
3.8
4.3
1.2
na
26-Nov-10
Japan
(1.4)
(0.9)
(0.9)
(0.6)
na
26-Nov-10
Philippines
Visitor Arrivals
(3.9)
24.6
na
na
na
26-Nov-10
South Korea
Visitor Arrivals
13.1
23.9
19.8
12.7
na
26-Nov-10
US
Visitor Arrivals
(5.5)
24.3
na
na
na
29-Nov-10
Singapore
0.6
3.1
3.3
3.7
na
29-Nov-10
Taiwan
Retail Sales
29-Nov-10
Thailand
Visitor Arrivals
2.4
7.4
7.6
7.6
na
(3.0)
14.2
8.9
14.5
30-Nov-10
South Korea
na
Retail Sales
3.9
10.7
11.2
7.8
30-Nov-10
na
Thailand
Retail Sales
(4.2)
12.3
8.2
na
na
1-Dec-10
Hong Kong
0.6
19.2
17.1
17.2
na
1-Dec-10
Hong Kong
(0.8)
16.2
14.9
15.8
na
1-Dec-10
Indonesia
Visitor Arrivals
1.7
11.0
3.5
13.8
na
1-Dec-10
Singapore
Visitor Arrivals
(4.3)
24.1
18.0
18.5
na
1-Dec-10
South Korea
2.8
2.6
2.6
3.6
na
1-Dec-10
Thailand
(0.8)
3.5
3.3
3.0
na
2-Dec-10
China
Visitor Arrivals
(2.7)
7.3
5.6
9.7
na
2-Dec-10
Malaysia
Visitor Arrivals
7.2
10.5
3.4
0.0
na
2-Dec-10
EU
0.3
1.7
1.6
1.8
na
2-Dec-10
Hong Kong
0.5
1.4
3.0
2.6
na
2-Dec-10
India
10.9
11.3
9.9
9.8
na
2-Dec-10
Indonesia
Retail Sales
11.0
24.6
32.0
21.1
na
2-Dec-10
Malaysia
0.6
1.9
2.1
1.8
na
6-Dec-10
Philippines
3.2
3.87
3.99
3.6
na
6-Dec-10
Singapore
Retail Sales
(7.4)
(1.3)
(1.2)
0.3
na
6-Dec-10
Indonesia
6.4
6.2
6.4
5.8
5.7
6-Dec-10
Taiwan
(0.9)
0.4
(0.6)
(0.7)
(0.2)
8-Dec-10
India
Visitor Arrivals
(3.3)
4.0
9.0
12.6
9.2
12-Dec-10
China
(0.7)
3.3
3.5
3.6
4.4
15-Dec-10
US
Retail Sales
(7.3)
5.5
4.0
8.2
1.2
15-Dec-10
US
(0.4)
1.2
1.2
1.1
1.1
Index points
26-Nov-10
China
Jul-10
Aug-10
Sep-10
107.80
107.30
104.40
Oct-10
26-Nov-10
South Korea
112.00
110.00
109.00
26-Nov-10
US
51.00
53.20
48.60
108.00
50.20
3-Dec-10
Indonesia
105.70
104.00
107.60
112.00
10-Dec-10
Japan
43.40
42.50
41.40
41.10
11-Dec-10
Thailand
79.30
80.80
81.50
80.20
11-Dec-10
Taiwan
78.64
79.69
80.14
80.19
BNP PARIBAS
17 NOVEMBER 2010
Market
3M avg
daily
Share
cap
turnover
price
1 WK
1M
3M
YTD
1 WK
1M
3M
YTD
(USD m)
(USD m)
(LC)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
69.73
(4.0)
(1.2)
11.7
7.4
(6.0)
MXCN Index
Absolute performance
Relative performance
322 HK
13,821
15.89
19.18
(7.1)
(1.7)
2.9
1.5
(3.1)
(0.6)
(8.8)
151 HK
11,809
13.43
6.93
(8.0)
(2.3)
9.1
31.5
(4.0)
(1.1)
(2.6)
24.0
220 HK
2,326
2.16
5.01
(12.1)
(5.8)
15.7
(9.9)
(8.1)
(4.6)
4.0
(17.3)
HFCI SP
2,016
0.05
3.30
(2.4)
4.8
26.9
53.5
1.6
6.0
15.2
46.1
60 HK
41
0.13
1.23
(3.9)
(12.8)
6.0
23.9
0.1
(11.6)
(5.7)
16.4
8269 HK
29
0.41
17.1
2.5
21.1
3.7
1068 HK
6,303
33.31
27.70
(13.6)
(6.6)
2.2
22.1
(9.6)
(5.4)
(9.5)
14.7
829 HK
2,220
4.76
10.36
(5.3)
9.6
40.0
48.6
(1.3)
10.8
28.3
41.2
000895 CH
HOGS US
777
1.11
22.07
(2.8)
5.5
50.2
41.4
1.2
6.7
38.5
34.0
PFH SP
606
0.05
0.70
(4.3)
5.5
50.2
41.4
(0.3)
6.7
38.5
34.0
SYNF SP
249
0.29
0.24
(4.7)
(2.1)
(9.6)
(25.4)
(0.7)
(0.9)
(21.3)
(32.8)
3999 HK
198
0.11
1.52
(3.8)
(8.4)
(6.7)
(7.2)
0.2
(7.2)
(18.5)
(14.6)
(29.9)
F&B: Dairy
China Mengniu Dairy
2319 HK
4,786
19.91
21.35
(5.5)
(9.0)
(8.4)
(22.5)
(1.5)
(7.8)
(20.1)
600887 CH
5,055
42.31
41.99
0.1
13.4
25.6
58.6
4.1
14.6
13.9
51.1
600597 CH
1,519
15.98
9.61
(10.4)
2.9
4.3
0.8
(6.3)
4.1
(7.4)
(6.6)
1230 HK
1,463
3.24
(9.2)
(5.2)
600429 CH
1,050
11.39
7.88
(9.2)
5.1
25.1
(2.5)
(5.2)
6.3
13.4
(9.9)
28.4
462 HK
529
1.60
2.20
0.0
0.0
35.8
35.8
4.0
1.2
24.1
1007 HK
464
3.56
(9.2)
(5.2)
1717 HK
431
2.05
3.20
(9.6)
(17.9)
(30.9)
(49.6)
(5.6)
(16.8)
(42.6)
(57.1)
506 HK
2,071
4.69
5.75
(8.6)
(7.1)
2.3
(16.6)
(4.6)
(5.9)
(9.4)
(24.1)
600300 CH
1,665
20.78
6.61
(6.2)
8.2
2.5
(21.2)
(2.2)
9.4
(9.2)
(28.6)
000848 CH
1,440
20.51
31.43
(2.7)
9.1
13.4
92.4
1.3
10.3
1.7
85.0
1886 HK
1,054
2.77
5.53
2.2
0.9
(3.8)
1.1
6.2
2.1
(15.5)
(6.4)
345 HK
838
0.50
6.38
(3.5)
3.6
4.1
21.8
0.5
4.8
(7.6)
14.4
Besunyen Holdings
926 HK
768
3.54
(0.8)
(0.6)
3.2
0.6
CPMC Holdings
906 HK
706
1.25
6.59
(3.1)
(9.8)
(6.0)
(35.2)
0.9
(8.7)
(17.7)
(42.6)
35.0
756 HK
378
0.29
2.89
4.3
(0.7)
9.5
42.4
8.3
0.5
(2.2)
8259 HK
234
0.30
0.43
2.4
0.0
4.9
14.2
6.4
1.2
(6.8)
6.8
359 HK
177
0.93
1.09
(6.0)
(0.9)
13.5
(0.2)
(2.0)
0.3
1.8
(7.6)
2898 HK
154
0.23
0.83
9.2
(4.6)
66.0
(2.4)
13.2
(3.4)
54.3
(9.8)
508 HK
101
1.19
0.33
13.8
(16.5)
(50.0)
54.9
17.8
(15.3)
(61.7)
47.5
107.4
F&B: Brewery
Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery Joint-Stock
002304 CH
16,503
24.60
243.47
(1.7)
17.6
30.5
114.8
2.3
18.8
18.8
291 HK
10,130
19.05
32.75
(0.9)
2.3
7.4
17.6
3.1
3.5
(4.3)
10.1
Tsingtao Brewery
168 HK
7,127
9.60
40.90
(7.0)
(8.6)
5.8
(4.5)
(3.0)
(7.4)
(5.9)
(11.9)
Chongqing Brewery
600132 CH
5,736
44.15
78.68
11.4
48.2
120.0
237.2
15.4
49.4
108.2
229.8
000729 CH
3,518
44.33
19.30
(7.7)
(3.7)
(9.2)
3.6
(3.6)
(2.5)
(20.9)
(3.8)
002461 CH
2,356
23.00
(14.2)
(4.8)
(10.2)
(3.6)
124 HK
422
0.73
1.91
(2.1)
(8.2)
2.7
6.1
2.0
(7.0)
(9.0)
(1.3)
236 HK
58
0.01
1.20
(1.6)
(3.2)
0.0
3.4
2.4
(2.0)
(11.7)
(4.0)
200869 CH
6,631
4.09
97.50
1.2
0.9
14.7
44.1
5.2
2.1
3.0
36.6
828 HK
753
1.88
4.68
(1.7)
0.9
38.1
89.5
2.3
2.1
26.3
82.0
F&B: Winery
Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine
Dynasty Fine Wines Group
BNP PARIBAS
17 NOVEMBER 2010
3M avg
daily
turnover
(USD m)
Share
price
(LC)
Absolute performance
1 WK
1M
3M
YTD
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
Relative performance
1 WK
1M
3M
YTD
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
F&B: Distillers
Kweichow Moutai
Wuliangye Yibin
Luzhou Laojiao
Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory
Sichuan Swellfun
Zhejiang Guyuelongshan
Anhui Gujing Distillery
Anhui Golden Seed Winery
Xinjiang Yilite Industry
Silver base Group Holdings
China Tontine Wines Group
JLF Investment
600519 CH
000858 CH
000568 CH
600809 CH
600779 CH
600059 CH
200596 CH
600199 CH
600197 CH
886 HK
389 HK
472 HK
25,189
21,350
9,198
5,343
1,761
1,473
1,431
1,213
1,104
990
412
204
81.89
123.61
58.89
17.79
32.35
28.17
1.43
50.77
20.27
5.63
6.03
0.26
177.19
37.34
43.80
81.93
23.93
15.40
47.20
15.44
16.62
6.45
1.86
0.95
6.8
0.9
2.6
13.5
(13.9)
(5.5)
(0.6)
(9.1)
(9.0)
(6.5)
(18.4)
41.8
10.8
14.3
28.5
30.6
7.3
9.7
25.4
4.2
1.7
34.7
(7.0)
63.8
15.9
20.5
26.6
49.6
9.7
26.2
47.5
(8.9)
(9.0)
87.0
14.1
61.0
5.3
18.6
15.0
93.0
7.0
58.7
149.0
77.6
28.0
146.3
11.4
35.7
10.8
4.9
6.6
17.5
(9.9)
(1.5)
3.4
(5.1)
(5.0)
(2.5)
(14.4)
45.8
11.9
15.5
29.7
31.8
8.5
10.9
26.6
5.4
2.9
35.8
(5.8)
65.0
4.2
8.8
14.9
37.9
(2.0)
14.5
35.8
(20.6)
(20.7)
75.2
2.4
49.3
(2.1)
11.2
7.6
85.6
(0.4)
51.3
141.5
70.1
20.6
138.9
4.0
28.3
F&B: Upstream
Qinghai Salt Lake Potash
China Agri-Industries Holdings
Huabao International Holdings
Heilongjiang Agriculture
Sinofert Holdings
China BlueChemical
Dalian Zhangzidao Fishery Group
Beijing Dabeinong Technology Group
Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings
Shenzhen Agricultural Products
COFTunhe
Sichuan New Hope Agribusiness
Hsu Fu Chi International
Gansu Ronghua Industry Group
Shandong Denghai Seeds
Fujian Sunner Development
Xinjiang Guannong Fruit & Antler
Beijing Shunxin Agriculture
Angel Yeast
China Fishery Group
China Animal Husbandry Industry
Shandong Homey Aquatic Dev
Zhejiang Haitong Food Group
Yuan Longping High-tech Agriculture
Henan Chuying Agro-pastoral
CP Pokphand
Nanning Sugar Industry
Zhengzhou Sanquan Foods
China Green Holdings /Bermuda
Pacific Andes Resources Development
Pacific Andes International Holdings
Global Bio-Chem Technology Group
China Starch Holdings
Oceanus Group
Heng Tai Consumables Group
Pine Agritech
China Corn Oil
Xiwang Sugar Holdings
Global Sweeteners Holdings
LAM Soon Hong Kong
Asia Cassava Resources Holdings
Vedan International Holdings
China Flavors & Fragrances
Golden Resources Development Intl
China Essence Group
First Natural Foods Holdings
Hop Hing Group Holdings
Ever Fortune International Holdings
000792 CH
606 HK
336 HK
600598 CH
297 HK
3983 HK
002069 CH
002385 CH
682 HK
000061 CH
600737 CH
000876 CH
HFCI SP
600311 CH
002041 CH
002299 CH
600251 CH
000860 CH
600298 CH
CFG SP
600195 CH
600467 CH
600537 CH
000998 CH
002477 CH
43 HK
000911 CH
002216 CH
904 HK
PAH SP
1174 HK
809 HK
3838 HK
OCNUS SP
197 HK
PAG SP
1006 HK
2088 HK
3889 HK
411 HK
841 HK
2317 HK
3318 HK
677 HK
CESS SP
1076 HK
47 HK
875 HK
7,227
5,511
4,929
4,008
3,794
3,342
3,295
2,686
2,792
2,591
2,293
2,207
2,016
1,901
1,842
1,989
1,452
1,659
2,064
1,669
1,527
1,471
1,411
1,309
1,259
1,586
964
1,113
900
733
557
557
522
490
516
367
332
237
229
126
126
119
112
103
45
28
14
80.12
14.60
6.68
56.64
9.55
5.47
53.22
18.15
21.14
30.38
30.36
43.55
0.05
79.18
18.08
14.33
30.39
22.42
12.08
0.09
18.98
31.71
23.52
34.74
1.14
34.24
4.25
5.48
0.22
0.48
2.66
6.46
0.54
8.14
0.20
1.99
3.18
0.46
0.02
0.92
0.19
0.05
0.40
0.01
0.02
-
62.51
10.58
12.14
14.97
4.19
5.62
48.35
44.50
6.48
22.38
15.14
17.60
3.30
18.96
69.49
32.20
26.63
25.11
44.78
2.16
25.99
15.41
40.71
31.36
62.62
1.06
22.32
39.53
7.89
0.34
1.41
1.33
0.70
0.32
1.37
0.20
5.41
2.56
1.60
7.28
2.44
0.64
1.90
0.56
0.34
0.30
0.43
0.04
(16.8)
(8.3)
0.8
(10.9)
(8.1)
(9.1)
(6.4)
(13.8)
(5.8)
(4.9)
(17.9)
(11.2)
(2.4)
(8.2)
(8.2)
0.9
(22.3)
(9.7)
17.0
(1.8)
(8.8)
(3.3)
(6.9)
(0.9)
(3.8)
9.3
(20.5)
(2.2)
(5.3)
(1.6)
(7.2)
(5.0)
(2.8)
(4.1)
(4.9)
0.0
(5.4)
(7.6)
(4.2)
(2.8)
(5.1)
(3.0)
(2.6)
(1.8)
6.3
0.0
(10.4)
0.0
(9.9)
(4.7)
(7.6)
3.2
(10.3)
(10.5)
9.0
(2.6)
(7.4)
4.4
1.5
3.0
4.8
68.4
3.1
14.1
(13.9)
7.8
24.7
0.5
5.2
18.4
27.8
5.1
23.3
60.6
(8.3)
11.8
0.5
0.0
1.4
3.9
(5.4)
(4.5)
4.6
0.0
(0.9)
(7.2)
(8.0)
(2.7)
(4.3)
(1.5)
(2.6)
(9.7)
4.6
0.0
(10.4)
0.0
22.4
6.2
1.5
4.3
5.0
9.8
24.7
10.9
(24.3)
20.8
8.1
105.6
26.9
100.6
12.1
4.3
26.1
17.9
14.7
21.3
(10.4)
45.7
43.6
37.7
76.7
11.2
9.2
(9.3)
11.1
13.7
(0.7)
(17.6)
3.3
69.1
11.1
(8.0)
16.4
6.7
7.1
7.0
(5.9)
12.4
1.8
25.9
0.0
8.9
0.0
10.6
4.9
48.9
(0.7)
(3.5)
20.1
159.7
(21.9)
62.2
(9.4)
42.3
53.5
61.8
99.9
29.3
5.1
42.9
50.3
60.4
28.9
57.1
54.6
69.1
84.0
(3.1)
81.1
9.4
21.2
(9.1)
(19.1)
4.5
(28.4)
75.6
21.2
(12.7)
(4.0)
(5.1)
67.7
19.4
(16.7)
15.7
14.5
0.0
32.3
0.0
(12.8)
(4.3)
4.8
(6.9)
(4.1)
(5.1)
(2.4)
(9.8)
(1.8)
(0.9)
(13.9)
(7.2)
1.6
(4.2)
(4.2)
4.9
(18.3)
(5.7)
21.0
2.2
(4.8)
0.7
(2.9)
3.1
0.2
13.3
(16.5)
1.9
(1.3)
2.4
(3.2)
(1.0)
1.2
(0.1)
(0.9)
4.0
(1.4)
(3.6)
(0.2)
1.2
(1.1)
1.0
1.4
2.3
10.3
4.0
(6.4)
4.0
(8.8)
(3.5)
(6.4)
4.4
(9.1)
(9.3)
10.2
(1.4)
(6.2)
5.6
2.7
4.2
6.0
69.6
4.3
15.3
(12.7)
9.0
25.9
1.7
6.4
19.6
29.0
6.3
24.5
61.8
(7.1)
13.0
1.7
1.2
2.6
5.1
(4.2)
(3.4)
5.8
1.2
0.3
(6.1)
(6.9)
(1.5)
(3.1)
(0.3)
(1.4)
(8.5)
5.8
1.2
(9.2)
1.2
10.6
(5.5)
(10.2)
(7.4)
(6.7)
(1.9)
13.0
(0.8)
(36.0)
9.1
(3.6)
93.9
15.2
88.9
0.4
(7.4)
14.4
6.2
3.0
9.6
(22.2)
33.9
31.9
26.0
65.0
(0.5)
(2.5)
(21.0)
(0.6)
2.0
(12.5)
(29.4)
(8.4)
57.4
(0.6)
(19.7)
4.7
(5.0)
(4.7)
(4.7)
(17.6)
0.6
(9.9)
14.2
(11.7)
(2.9)
(11.7)
3.2
(2.5)
41.5
(8.1)
(10.9)
12.7
152.2
(29.4)
54.8
(16.8)
34.9
46.1
54.3
92.4
21.9
(2.3)
35.4
42.9
52.9
21.5
49.7
47.1
61.6
76.6
(10.6)
73.7
2.0
13.8
(16.6)
(26.6)
(2.9)
(35.8)
68.2
13.8
(20.2)
(11.4)
(12.5)
60.3
11.9
(24.1)
8.3
7.1
(7.4)
24.9
(7.4)
10
BNP PARIBAS
17 NOVEMBER 2010
3M avg
daily
Share
cap
turnover
price
1 WK
1M
3M
YTD
1 WK
1M
3M
YTD
(USD m)
(USD m)
(LC)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
12.4
Absolute performance
Relative performance
1044 HK
10,698
18.52
67.75
(7.1)
(4.9)
(3.1)
19.8
(3.1)
(3.7)
(14.9)
L'Occitane International SA
973 HK
4,143
6.18
21.75
(4.4)
(0.7)
28.9
(0.4)
0.5
17.1
1338 HK
1,260
8.58
3.36
(8.9)
(8.7)
(21.3)
(36.1)
(4.9)
(7.5)
(33.0)
(43.5)
600439 CH
1,398
29.49
12.55
1.1
14.8
17.1
29.7
5.1
16.0
5.4
22.2
3331 HK
1,232
8.78
10.20
(0.2)
(1.4)
18.5
88.4
3.8
(0.2)
6.8
81.0
1633 HK
617
5.76
(3.5)
11.6
0.5
12.8
157 HK
617
0.31
2.39
(3.2)
30.6
68.3
80.9
0.8
31.8
56.6
73.5
3828 HK
256
1.80
3.12
2.0
(4.0)
15.6
138.0
6.0
(2.8)
3.8
130.6
1161 HK
134
0.42
1.36
0.7
4.6
14.3
(2.3)
4.7
5.8
2.6
(9.7)
8108 HK
34
0.06
0.16
(2.5)
(8.8)
11.5
31.4
1.5
(7.6)
(0.2)
23.9
8176 HK
34
0.50
0.40
1.3
(17.5)
(2.4)
(49.4)
5.3
(16.3)
(14.2)
(56.8)
3308 HK
5,525
7.97
22.05
0.7
13.3
15.0
40.3
4.7
14.5
3.3
32.9
3368 HK
4,899
8.93
13.52
0.0
(0.6)
0.3
0.4
4.0
0.6
(11.4)
(7.1)
1212 HK
4,128
2.68
19.06
(1.9)
(1.1)
8.9
34.1
2.2
0.0
(2.8)
26.7
600631 CH
2,733
10.33
16.48
(6.4)
19.4
19.4
(8.5)
(2.4)
20.6
7.7
(16.0)
20.9
600859 CH
2,954
15.98
46.96
0.8
5.5
20.1
28.3
4.8
6.7
8.4
002419 CH
2,772
11.87
46.00
(5.8)
13.4
15.1
(1.8)
14.6
3.4
1833 HK
2,618
9.23
11.52
(8.0)
(1.0)
32.4
63.1
(4.0)
0.2
20.7
55.7
600694 CH
2,560
24.14
57.87
4.9
9.3
19.0
32.2
8.9
10.5
7.3
24.7
848 HK
2,380
2.74
3.59
(1.4)
5.6
11.5
69.5
2.6
6.8
(0.2)
62.1
1700 HK
1,999
6.20
(7.6)
(3.6)
825 HK
1,609
1.75
7.40
(4.1)
(3.1)
9.3
6.2
(0.1)
(2.0)
(2.4)
(1.2)
(2.8)
000987 CH
1,549
12.23
28.65
(5.1)
3.5
2.8
4.6
(1.1)
4.7
(8.9)
000501 CH
1,557
9.42
20.38
(1.6)
4.5
10.8
37.1
2.4
5.7
(1.0)
29.7
600729 CH
1,645
6.16
53.53
3.1
9.6
5.3
34.0
7.1
10.8
(6.4)
26.6
(24.1)
PCD Stores
331 HK
1,357
6.41
2.49
(5.7)
4.2
3.8
(16.7)
(1.7)
5.4
(8.0)
000759 CH
1,441
24.17
14.05
(0.3)
16.1
6.8
21.0
3.7
17.3
(4.9)
13.6
000417 CH
1,470
8.78
20.35
5.4
18.3
7.1
39.7
9.4
19.5
(4.6)
32.3
600628 CH
1,052
24.30
13.13
(9.3)
1.1
(1.6)
(12.3)
(5.3)
2.3
(13.4)
(19.8)
Chengshang Group
600828 CH
1,170
4.94
21.24
1.4
13.2
12.4
70.9
5.4
14.3
0.7
63.4
600327 CH
1,057
11.91
13.45
(3.0)
10.7
22.8
50.8
1.0
11.9
11.1
43.3
600785 CH
1,062
9.40
34.00
1.9
2.1
(3.0)
45.0
5.9
3.3
(14.7)
37.5
600824 CH
829
19.20
7.52
(10.7)
1.3
(5.4)
(18.8)
(6.7)
2.5
(17.1)
(26.2)
Wing On Co International
289 HK
560
0.14
14.70
(0.5)
(0.3)
3.7
43.1
3.5
0.9
(8.0)
35.7
Sincere
244 HK
69
1.35
0.93
(17.0)
38.8
97.9
232.1
(13.0)
40.0
86.2
224.7
602 HK
52
0.02
0.39
(8.3)
(2.5)
(1.3)
1.3
(4.3)
(1.3)
(13.0)
(6.1)
DFI SP
11,015
0.12
8.16
1.0
3.9
9.1
39.7
5.0
5.1
(2.6)
32.3
8277 HK
3,177
1.91
19.70
1.8
4.3
19.1
62.1
5.8
5.5
7.4
54.7
980 HK
2,676
2.23
33.35
0.0
(0.3)
10.6
44.2
4.0
0.9
(1.1)
36.7
600361 CH
868
20.25
11.88
(7.0)
(2.1)
6.9
25.7
(3.0)
(1.0)
(4.8)
18.3
900923 CH
1,011
0.13
2.14
7.3
48.8
48.8
44.7
11.3
50.0
37.1
37.2
984 HK
570
0.08
17.00
(2.3)
0.0
34.9
37.3
1.7
1.2
23.2
29.8
Beijing Jingkelong
814 HK
499
0.68
9.39
(4.2)
4.9
(1.3)
52.0
(0.2)
6.1
(13.0)
44.6
CP Lotus Corp
121 HK
302
0.14
0.26
(7.3)
(8.9)
0.0
24.4
(3.3)
(7.7)
(11.7)
17.0
8052 HK
301
0.22
3.19
0.9
4.6
28.8
67.4
5.0
5.8
17.1
59.9
11
BNP PARIBAS
17 NOVEMBER 2010
3m avg
daily
Share
cap
turnover
price
1 WK
1M
3M
YTD
1 WK
1M
3M
YTD
(USD m)
(USD m)
(LC)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
Absolute performance
Relative performance
002024 CH
15,048
94.87
14.28
(5.6)
(5.0)
3.0
3.4
(1.5)
(3.8)
(8.7)
(4.1)
493 HK
6,457
67.72
3.00
11.5
19.0
37.0
6.4
15.5
20.2
25.3
(1.0)
1280 HK
279
1.84
2.06
(6.4)
0.5
10.2
(2.4)
1.7
(1.6)
Combest Holdings
8190 HK
167
0.10
0.41
(6.9)
1.3
15.7
313.3
(2.9)
2.4
4.0
305.8
000527 CH
7,473
56.64
15.90
(10.8)
(7.1)
14.6
3.4
(6.8)
(5.9)
2.8
(4.0)
000651 CH
6,817
87.04
16.06
(12.0)
(5.8)
8.5
(14.7)
(7.9)
(4.6)
(3.2)
(22.1)
Qingdao Haier
600690 CH
5,542
29.15
27.49
2.5
15.2
17.9
12.4
6.5
16.4
6.2
5.0
TCL Corp
000100 CH
2,349
22.98
3.68
(10.0)
(5.9)
(9.1)
(28.3)
(6.0)
(4.7)
(20.8)
(35.7)
1169 HK
1,948
5.27
7.11
(3.3)
8.4
34.2
40.2
0.7
9.6
22.4
32.8
Hisense Electric
600060 CH
1,715
32.18
13.14
(11.1)
(0.3)
(4.1)
(23.0)
(7.1)
0.9
(15.8)
(30.5)
600839 CH
1,647
24.27
3.84
(11.1)
(8.4)
(5.9)
(12.2)
(7.1)
(7.2)
(17.6)
(19.6)
751 HK
1,445
25.79
4.36
(6.4)
(14.7)
(14.0)
(44.5)
(2.4)
(13.5)
(25.7)
(51.9)
921 HK
683
1.71
3.91
(2.7)
(3.2)
(1.0)
1.0
1.3
(2.0)
(12.7)
(6.4)
200016 CH
491
1.82
3.16
(9.7)
(4.5)
(0.9)
(16.5)
(5.7)
(3.3)
(12.7)
(23.9)
449 HK
452
1.88
4.57
(8.4)
1.6
5.4
20.3
(4.4)
2.7
(6.3)
12.9
1070 HK
437
4.87
3.12
(9.6)
(7.7)
(6.0)
(62.5)
(5.6)
(6.5)
(17.7)
(70.0)
3389 HK
2,514
12.57
4.45
3.7
1.1
16.5
52.8
7.7
2.3
4.8
45.3
116 HK
1,743
3.18
19.96
(10.5)
10.2
27.0
119.9
(6.5)
11.3
15.3
112.5
600086 CH
1,484
44.25
27.96
0.6
24.5
167.6
187.4
4.7
25.7
155.8
179.9
590 HK
1,464
4.05
23.05
(5.7)
36.2
77.3
250.4
(1.7)
37.4
65.6
242.9
900905 CH
907
0.35
2.71
0.3
17.5
22.6
45.1
4.3
18.6
10.9
37.7
887 HK
825
3.90
1.13
(14.4)
31.4
82.3
149.4
(10.4)
32.6
70.5
142.0
113 HK
342
1.32
7.13
(3.6)
14.8
30.3
83.7
0.4
16.0
18.6
76.2
104 HK
3.64
(3.7)
0.3
860 HK
261
1.91
0.81
(8.0)
12.5
52.8
45.4
(3.9)
13.7
41.1
38.0
417 HK
224
0.70
8.25
(9.8)
9.7
33.3
264.6
(5.8)
10.9
21.6
257.1
398 HK
222
1.61
4.32
(9.1)
11.3
72.1
166.0
(5.0)
12.5
60.4
158.6
280 HK
177
4.95
3.16
(0.3)
50.5
232.6
303.1
3.7
51.7
220.9
295.6
Artini China
789 HK
82
0.31
0.50
(5.7)
(3.8)
(15.3)
(51.9)
(1.7)
(2.7)
(27.0)
(59.3)
63.3
84 HK
96
0.07
0.78
(3.7)
23.8
47.2
70.7
0.3
25.0
35.5
8351 HK
37
0.15
0.50
0.0
(3.8)
81.8
35.1
4.0
(2.7)
70.1
27.7
475 HK
50
0.20
1.44
20.0
35.8
144.1
203.2
24.0
37.0
132.4
195.7
SA SA International Holdings
178 HK
1,342
3.68
7.45
(0.5)
8.6
24.8
49.6
3.5
9.8
13.1
42.2
Bonjour Holdings
653 HK
517
5.95
1.36
(2.9)
(9.3)
17.7
124.1
1.1
(8.1)
6.0
116.6
8079 HK
16
0.98
0.29
76.8
90.8
0.0
(83.6)
80.8
92.0
(11.7)
(91.0)
Eternite International
Noble Jewelry Holdings
Organized retail: Cosmetics
BAL Holdings
Organized retail: Specialty stores
Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding
601607 CH
7,173
39.12
23.90
3.4
19.3
19.6
71.8
7.4
20.5
7.9
64.4
600655 CH
3,189
62.58
14.73
(15.1)
(10.1)
(0.6)
(2.7)
(11.0)
(8.9)
(12.3)
(10.1)
1999 HK
1,621
2.27
12.94
(5.0)
29.4
41.4
(1.0)
30.6
29.7
811 HK
653
0.82
4.46
(5.5)
0.0
7.7
50.3
(1.5)
1.2
(4.0)
42.9
674 HK
288
0.08
0.23
0.4
(9.6)
(3.4)
18.4
4.5
(8.4)
(15.1)
11.0
919 HK
100
0.14
1.07
17.6
24.4
86.7
80.7
21.6
25.6
75.0
73.3
12
BNP PARIBAS
17 NOVEMBER 2010
3m avg
daily
Share
cap
(USD m)
turnover
(USD m)
price
(LC)
1 WK
(%)
Absolute performance
1M
(%)
3M
(%)
YTD
(%)
Relative performance
1 WK
(%)
1M
(%)
3M
(%)
YTD
(%)
538 HK
1,767
3.93
12.80
(10.4)
(6.3)
38.8
96.6
(6.4)
(5.1)
27.1
89.2
341 HK
968 HK
1,527
688
1.13
0.70
21.05
5.17
(5.6)
1.0
(6.4)
(2.5)
9.0
15.9
21.2
22.3
(1.6)
5.0
(5.3)
(1.3)
(2.8)
4.2
13.7
14.8
573 HK
228 HK
357
250
0.06
1.66
2.72
0.45
(6.2)
4.7
(9.0)
(9.2)
(9.3)
9.9
(12.4)
3.5
(2.2)
8.7
(7.8)
(8.0)
(21.0)
(1.8)
(19.8)
(3.9)
Fairwood
G-Vision International Holdings
52 HK
657 HK
165
103
0.31
0.06
10.20
0.41
(2.1)
(2.4)
5.6
5.1
24.1
9.3
37.7
135.6
1.9
1.6
6.8
6.3
12.4
(2.4)
30.3
128.2
611 HK
156
0.84
3.31
25.9
63.9
128.3
94.7
29.9
65.1
116.6
87.3
Vongroup
318 HK
77
0.31
0.10
(3.8)
(3.8)
6.3
(46.9)
0.2
(2.6)
(5.5)
(54.3)
494 HK
22,520
41.15
43.45
2.5
3.5
13.7
37.9
6.5
6.5
2.0
30.5
330 HK
002269 CH
6,879
4,900
41.90
7.65
41.40
32.40
(4.6)
(0.6)
(6.7)
25.1
(9.8)
32.0
(17.6)
46.1
(0.6)
3.4
(5.5)
26.3
(21.5)
20.3
(25.0)
38.7
Brands: Apparel
Li & Fung
Esprit Holdings
Shanghai Metersbonwe Fashion &
Accessories
Youngor Group
600177 CH
3,947
29.31
11.77
(11.8)
(8.4)
(5.3)
(15.4)
(7.8)
(7.2)
(17.0)
(22.9)
3998 HK
002344 CH
3,759
2,596
9.68
11.11
3.75
61.55
(4.1)
15.3
4.7
35.0
45.9
61.7
124.1
-
(0.1)
19.3
5.9
36.2
34.2
50.0
116.7
-
1698 HK
1234 HK
1,807
1,753
5.44
6.75
11.32
(7.0)
(5.2)
(4.8)
15.6
0.3
50.4
(3.0)
(1.2)
(3.6)
16.8
(11.5)
43.0
Trinity
Ports Design
Fujian Septwolves Industry
Your-Mart
891 HK
589 HK
002029 CH
002277 CH
1,580
1,561
1,479
1,430
5.24
5.69
7.43
27.08
7.76
21.35
34.70
27.18
(3.8)
(4.0)
(0.1)
(2.7)
(3.7)
8.0
8.7
18.1
23.7
2.4
51.6
10.9
113.5
(8.6)
148.5
43.2
0.2
(0.0)
3.9
1.4
(2.6)
9.2
9.9
19.3
12.0
(9.3)
39.9
(0.8)
106.0
(16.0)
141.1
35.8
002154 CH
999 HK
1,309
1,042
9.33
7.48
29.59
6.76
(2.7)
(9.9)
19.2
25.7
11.2
107.4
32.1
368.8
1.3
(5.9)
20.4
26.8
(0.5)
95.7
24.6
361.4
709 HK
393 HK
937
491
2.08
0.23
4.86
3.59
1.3
(1.4)
0.4
4.7
17.9
20.9
124.4
31.0
5.3
2.6
1.6
5.9
6.2
9.2
117.0
23.5
990 HK
375 HK
533 HK
1388 HK
448 HK
462
417
405
362
232
0.54
0.79
0.32
0.80
1.20
0.98
20.50
3.20
6.90
1.83
(2.0)
(13.5)
(4.5)
(8.1)
9.6
5.4
54.4
2.9
7.8
37.6
14.0
78.3
16.4
50.3
60.5
(21.6)
233.7
66.9
75.3
278.1
2.0
(9.5)
(0.5)
(4.1)
13.6
6.6
55.6
4.1
9.0
38.8
2.2
66.5
4.7
38.6
48.8
(29.0)
226.3
59.5
67.8
270.7
592 HK
164
2.71
0.79
(9.2)
5.8
25.8
100.0
(5.2)
6.9
14.1
92.6
483 HK
686 HK
1173 HK
130 HK
333 HK
647 HK
8272 HK
122 HK
627 HK
173
151
100
89
89
103
77
57
6
0.37
1.28
0.75
1.27
0.52
1.18
0.77
0.77
-
3.73
1.60
0.38
2.45
0.64
0.49
0.25
0.71
0.01
(4.6)
3.9
(1.3)
(8.9)
0.0
12.6
2.1
10.9
0.0
19.9
17.6
1.3
2.5
1.6
38.0
(26.3)
20.3
0.0
30.1
128.6
49.0
20.1
18.5
50.8
(5.0)
26.8
0.0
164.2
182.7
155.0
177.5
31.1
178.4
(55.1)
79.7
0.0
(0.6)
7.9
2.7
(4.9)
4.0
16.6
6.1
14.9
4.0
21.1
18.8
2.5
3.7
2.8
39.2
(25.1)
21.5
1.2
18.3
116.9
37.3
8.4
6.8
39.1
(16.7)
15.1
(11.7)
156.7
175.3
147.6
170.0
23.7
171.0
(62.5)
72.3
(7.4)
1880 HK
15,861
34.56
14.58
(2.0)
2.1
10.2
63.6
2.0
3.3
(1.6)
56.2
551 HK
210 HK
1836 HK
3813 HK
738 HK
1170 HK
1386 HK
676 HK
1223 HK
645 HK
5,700
1,851
1,625
703
306
137
122
117
87
56
8.18
3.79
0.67
0.90
1.48
0.58
0.05
0.00
0.03
0.14
26.80
8.76
15.86
1.27
3.71
1.60
1.52
1.24
0.39
1.28
(6.5)
(4.2)
(3.8)
(2.3)
(15.5)
(7.0)
(5.0)
0.0
(2.5)
(1.5)
(6.9)
(5.2)
(1.7)
10.4
(17.6)
(3.0)
(1.3)
(0.8)
(1.3)
(7.9)
8.1
16.5
9.4
19.8
14.2
3.9
7.8
(2.4)
(2.5)
10.3
23.6
42.1
18.7
9.5
110.2
81.2
11.8
(9.4)
(6.6)
64.1
(2.5)
(0.2)
0.2
1.7
(11.5)
(3.0)
(1.0)
4.0
1.5
2.5
(5.8)
(4.0)
(0.5)
11.6
(16.4)
(1.8)
(0.1)
0.4
(0.1)
(6.7)
(3.6)
4.8
(2.3)
8.1
2.4
(7.8)
(3.9)
(14.1)
(14.2)
(1.4)
16.1
34.7
11.3
2.1
102.8
73.8
4.3
(16.8)
(14.0)
56.7
Giordano International
Glorious Sun Enterprises
Theme International Holdings
YGM Trading
Goldlion Holdings
Embry Holdings
Hang Ten Group Holdings
Bossini International Hldg
Bauhaus International Holdings
Time Infrastructure Holdings
Veeko International Holdings
Moiselle International
Top Form International
Joyce Boutique Holdings
Best Miracle International
Crocodile Garments
U-RIGHT International Holdings
Brands: Footwear
13
BNP PARIBAS
17 NOVEMBER 2010
Brands: Sportswear
Anta Sports Products
China Dongxiang Group
Li Ning
XTEP International Holdings
361 Degrees International
Peak Sport Products
China Hongxing Sports
Meike International Holdings
Flyke International Holdings
China Sports International
Textiles
Sunvim Group
Jiangsu Sunshine
Ningbo Shanshan
Texwinca Holdings
Zhejiang Huafeng Spandex
Luolai Home Textile
Shenzhou International Group
Luthai Textile
Jiangsu Huaxicun
Black Peony Group
Yantai Spandex
Weiqiao Textile
Pacific Textile Holdings
Texhong Textile Group
Shanghai Nine Dragon
Costin New Materials Group
International Taifeng Holdings
Sijia Group
Wai Chun Mining Industry Group
China Ting Group Holdings
Victory City International Holdings
Win Hanverky Holdings
Eagle Nice International Holdings
Kam Hing International Holdings
Fountain SET Holdings
Hua Lien International Holding
High Fashion International
Tack Fat Group
Luen Thai Holdings
Huafeng Group Holdings
Tristate Holdings
Addchance Holdings
Tungtex Holdings
Co-Prosperity Holdings
Ford Glory Group Holdings
Yangtzekiang Garment
Mainland Headwear Holdings
Guangdong Tannery
Kingdom Holdings
Jiangchen International Holdings
Art Textile Technology International
Chanco International Group
Carry Wealth Holdings
Easyknit Enterprises Holdings
Pak Tak International
Ching Hing Holdings
Zhejiang Yonglong Enterprises
Market.
cap
(USD m)
3m avg
daily
turnover
(USD m)
Share
price
(LC)
Absolute performance
1 WK
1M
3M
YTD
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
2020 HK
3818 HK
2331 HK
1368 HK
1361 HK
1968 HK
CHHS SP
953 HK
1998 HK
CSPORT SP
4,619
2,989
2,855
1,875
1,758
1,521
356
244
192
85
15.31
11.93
21.79
5.32
6.01
6.42
0.79
0.93
0.34
0.12
14.36
4.09
21.05
6.68
6.59
5.62
0.17
1.82
1.86
0.12
(6.5)
(9.1)
(10.0)
(4.8)
(8.3)
(9.4)
(8.3)
(7.6)
(7.0)
(4.2)
(11.0)
(10.1)
(13.2)
(1.9)
(12.7)
(18.0)
(10.8)
(6.7)
(4.6)
(8.0)
(4.1)
(6.9)
(19.8)
14.4
5.3
(1.9)
3.1
21.3
(0.5)
9.5
28.5
(28.5)
(27.2)
59.3
47.6
35.0
(10.9)
(34.3)
(2.5)
(5.1)
(6.0)
(0.8)
(4.3)
(5.3)
(4.3)
(3.6)
(3.0)
(0.2)
(9.8)
(8.9)
(12.0)
(0.7)
(11.5)
(16.8)
(9.6)
(5.5)
(3.4)
(6.8)
(15.8)
(18.6)
(31.5)
2.7
(6.4)
(13.6)
(8.6)
9.6
(12.2)
(2.2)
21.0
(36.0)
(34.6)
51.8
40.1
27.5
(18.3)
(41.7)
002083 CH
600220 CH
600884 CH
321 HK
002064 CH
002293 CH
2313 HK
200726 CH
000936 CH
600510 CH
002254 CH
2698 HK
1382 HK
2678 HK
900955 CH
2228 HK
873 HK
1863 HK
660 HK
3398 HK
539 HK
3322 HK
2368 HK
1,566
1,561
1,417
1,549
1,382
1,501
1,394
998
999
1,177
1,176
991
797
706
615
610
509
486
508
332
285
190
170
62.12
58.88
58.51
2.15
40.96
5.51
2.76
2.13
30.91
10.00
23.31
2.82
0.82
1.05
0.16
3.27
1.72
1.35
0.53
0.27
1.87
0.22
0.83
11.08
5.81
22.89
8.89
12.43
71.01
8.68
7.78
8.87
9.82
29.90
6.43
4.31
6.19
0.47
5.91
3.95
4.55
0.26
1.23
1.82
1.16
2.64
(12.4)
(12.0)
(14.9)
(4.6)
(15.7)
(2.6)
(4.6)
(11.6)
(18.8)
(11.2)
(9.2)
(4.6)
(2.9)
(7.3)
(6.9)
(0.7)
(12.6)
(3.8)
3.2
(3.1)
(5.7)
(4.9)
(4.7)
(7.8)
(8.5)
6.6
4.2
(5.5)
5.9
(10.4)
10.5
(7.7)
(0.5)
3.1
4.4
(4.2)
34.3
4.9
40.7
(7.9)
27.1
4.9
(6.8)
(3.2)
(2.5)
3.5
7.4
0.3
25.7
14.0
19.1
18.4
(9.6)
20.2
22.9
(12.7)
22.4
26.1
(2.7)
27.1
8.8
86.4
110.1
31.9
(16.4)
(4.1)
9.6
13.9
28.8
22.2
0.3
36.4
26.7
31.0
75.4
(11.2)
23.1
46.1
(19.7)
36.0
25.8
(9.9)
605.0
(0.6)
87.5
5.5
20.9
4.6
(16.9)
(8.4)
(8.0)
(10.9)
(0.6)
(11.7)
1.4
(0.6)
(7.6)
(14.8)
(7.2)
(5.2)
(0.6)
1.1
(3.3)
(2.9)
3.3
(8.6)
0.2
7.2
0.9
(1.7)
(0.9)
(0.7)
(6.6)
(7.3)
7.8
5.4
(4.3)
7.0
(9.2)
11.7
(6.5)
0.7
4.3
5.6
(3.0)
35.5
6.1
41.9
(6.7)
28.3
6.1
(5.6)
(2.0)
(1.3)
4.7
(4.3)
(11.4)
14.0
2.3
7.4
6.7
(21.3)
8.5
11.2
(24.4)
10.7
14.4
(14.4)
15.4
(3.0)
74.7
98.4
20.2
(28.1)
(15.8)
(2.1)
2.2
17.1
14.7
(7.1)
28.9
19.2
23.6
68.0
(18.6)
15.7
38.7
(27.2)
28.5
18.4
(17.3)
597.6
(8.1)
80.1
(1.9)
13.5
(2.8)
(24.4)
2307 HK
420 HK
969 HK
608 HK
928 HK
311 HK
364 HK
458 HK
3344 HK
518 HK
707 HK
1682 HK
294 HK
1100 HK
1058 HK
528 HK
8305 HK
565 HK
264 HK
643 HK
616 HK
2668 HK
692 HK
8211 HK
149
131
129
111
114
102
89
87
73
64
56
50
49
45
40
55
48
34
28
24
22
17
17
11
0.41
0.37
0.23
0.06
0.09
0.59
0.03
0.05
0.04
0.09
0.03
0.02
0.05
0.04
0.02
0.04
0.01
0.14
0.03
0.00
0.83
-
1.39
1.28
0.80
2.85
0.40
0.80
0.48
2.52
1.28
1.41
0.37
0.89
1.82
0.87
0.58
0.69
1.01
0.25
0.68
0.51
0.47
0.55
0.24
0.08
(6.1)
(3.8)
(3.6)
(3.7)
0.0
0.0
0.0
3.3
8.5
(1.4)
2.8
(10.1)
0.0
(4.4)
(9.4)
6.2
7.4
(2.0)
4.6
2.0
16.0
3.8
(38.4)
0.0
5.3
(3.0)
11.1
0.7
0.0
1.3
(1.0)
17.8
10.3
(2.1)
(2.6)
(2.2)
2.8
4.8
(17.1)
38.0
29.5
(2.0)
11.5
(3.8)
23.7
(6.8)
(13.8)
0.0
1.5
4.1
17.6
9.6
0.0
0.0
18.8
29.2
11.3
(0.6)
2.8
13.8
13.0
46.8
25.5
42.3
3.3
28.3
29.1
27.0
10.0
(52.6)
0.0
(31.9)
4.1
(26.6)
84.6
0.0
7.4
6.7
88.5
5.6
(6.6)
(43.9)
28.6
(3.0)
36.5
89.0
44.3
0.0
20.1
34.2
46.9
31.0
(94.6)
0.0
(2.1)
0.2
0.4
0.3
4.0
4.0
4.0
7.3
12.5
2.6
6.8
(6.1)
4.0
(0.4)
(5.4)
10.2
11.5
2.0
8.6
6.0
20.1
7.8
(34.4)
4.0
6.5
(1.8)
12.3
1.9
1.2
2.5
0.1
18.9
11.5
(0.9)
(1.4)
(1.0)
4.0
6.0
(16.0)
39.2
30.7
(0.8)
12.7
(2.6)
24.9
(5.6)
(12.6)
1.2
Relative performance
1 WK
1M
3M
YTD
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(10.3) (39.3)
(7.6)
(3.4)
5.9 (34.0)
(2.1)
77.2
(11.7)
(7.4)
(11.7)
(0.0)
7.0
(0.7)
17.5
81.1
(0.4)
(1.8)
(12.3) (14.0)
(8.9) (51.4)
2.0
21.2
1.3 (10.4)
35.1
29.0
13.7
81.6
30.5
36.9
(8.4)
(7.4)
16.6
12.7
17.4
26.8
15.3
39.4
(1.7)
23.5
(64.3) (102.0)
(11.7)
(7.4)
Source: Bloomberg
14
BNP PARIBAS
17 NOVEMBER 2010
BBG
Mkt
Share
code
cap
price
P/E
11E
12E
11E
EPS growth
12E
P/BV
11E
12E
Yield
11E
12E
11E
ROE
12E
(USD m)
(LC)
(x)
(x)
(%)
(%)
(x)
(x)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
322 HK
13,821
19.18
25.8
21.5
21.5
19.8
6.9
5.8
1.9
2.2
28.4
28.8
151 HK
11,809
6.93
24.2
20.8
27.6
16.2
9.2
8.3
2.8
3.6
40.7
43.3
220 HK
2,326
5.01
19.8
16.0
24.7
23.5
2.2
2.0
2.3
2.8
11.0
12.9
1068 HK
6,303
27.70
18.0
14.8
18.5
21.3
3.5
2.9
1.6
2.0
21.6
22.3
829 HK
2,220
10.36
21.6
16.7
32.2
29.4
5.9
4.7
1.8
2.4
32.4
33.3
HOGS US
777
22.07
11.2
9.3
22.3
19.8
1.8
1.5
16.9
18.0
SYNF SP
249
0.24
9.3
8.6
18.2
7.7
2319 HK
4,786
21.35
19.2
16.2
25.1
18.5
3.1
2.7
1.2
1.5
17.6
17.8
600887 CH
5,055
41.99
32.3
25.7
28.8
26.0
6.5
5.3
0.5
0.6
22.1
22.2
600597 CH
1,519
9.61
40.4
31.7
24.6
27.3
3.8
1.2
1.6
8.0
8.0
600429 CH
1,050
7.88
1717 HK
431
3.20
12.7
10.0
19.4
27.0
1.8
1.5
2.3
3.0
16.3
17.8
12.2
506 HK
2,071
5.75
24.0
19.9
34.1
20.4
2.4
2.2
1.4
1.7
10.8
600300 CH
1,665
6.61
000848 CH
1,440
31.43
35.0
27.9
25.6
25.3
11.3
1.3
1.6
33.5
36.3
1886 HK
1,054
5.53
26.2
19.4
90.5
34.8
1.2
1.1
0.8
1.2
4.8
6.1
345 HK
838
6.38
19.4
16.6
14.8
16.9
3.9
3.5
5.0
6.7
21.6
23.4
Besunyen Holdings Co
926 HK
768
3.54
19.6
14.8
210.0
32.3
2.8
2.5
3.3
4.3
16.2
18.4
906 HK
706
6.59
16.8
13.9
31.4
20.9
1.8
1.6
1.0
1.2
11.1
12.1
756 HK
378
2.89
11.5
9.9
20.7
16.3
22.4
20.9
8259 HK
234
0.43
1.2
2.7
359 HK
177
1.09
0.9
508 HK
101
0.33
30.7
F&B: Brewery
Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery Joint-Stock
002304 CH
16,503
243.47
37.3
27.5
41.9
35.7
11.0
7.8
31.4
291 HK
10,130
32.75
30.3
24.8
23.8
22.4
2.6
2.4
1.5
1.7
8.4
9.4
168 HK
7,127
40.90
25.2
21.5
19.2
17.0
4.3
3.8
1.1
1.2
18.4
18.8
Chongqing Brewery Co
600132 CH
5,736
78.68
155.2
144.4
16.0
7.5
26.9
24.1
15.1
13.2
000729 CH
3,518
19.30
22.6
19.1
22.2
18.3
2.5
2.4
1.4
1.9
10.6
11.5
002461 CH
2,356
23.00
113.3
90.2
20.1
25.6
4.4
4.2
3.7
4.1
200869 CH
6,631
97.50
25.2
20.4
24.3
23.1
9.4
7.8
2.1
2.9
40.8
40.3
828 HK
753
4.68
26.9
24.1
20.8
11.5
2.8
2.6
1.8
2.0
10.7
11.5
600519 CH
25,189
177.19
25.1
20.9
24.7
20.4
6.9
5.5
1.1
1.4
29.3
28.2
000858 CH
21,350
37.34
23.4
19.7
27.6
18.8
6.0
4.8
0.7
0.8
26.3
25.6
000568 CH
9,198
43.80
23.8
18.4
22.3
29.2
10.3
7.8
2.4
2.9
43.8
41.6
600809 CH
5,343
81.93
43.1
32.0
40.7
34.7
13.4
10.3
1.2
1.5
34.8
38.3
600779 CH
1,761
23.93
25.5
20.1
20.7
26.6
34.1
Zhejiang Guyuelongshan
600059 CH
1,473
15.40
49.8
38.7
25.6
28.8
4.7
3.9
9.4
11.0
200596 CH
1,431
47.20
24.0
17.4
49.3
37.7
600199 CH
1,213
15.44
28.2
21.8
55.7
29.2
22.0
18.1
F&B: Winery
Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine Co
Dynasty Fine Wines Group Ltd
F&B: Distillers
600197 CH
1,104
16.62
36.1
29.9
40.7
20.7
886 HK
990
6.45
12.2
9.3
22.4
31.1
4.2
3.8
4.2
4.8
35.5
33.6
389 HK
412
1.86
10.4
8.7
20.5
19.6
1.6
1.5
1.9
2.5
17.6
18.2
15
BNP PARIBAS
17 NOVEMBER 2010
BBG
Mkt
Share
code
cap
price
P/E
11E
12E
11E
EPS growth
12E
P/BV
11E
12E
Yield
11E
12E
11E
ROE
12E
(USD m)
(LC)
(x)
(x)
(%)
(%)
(x)
(x)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
F&B: Upstream
Qinghai Salt Lake Potash Co
000792 CH
7,227
62.51
22.9
21.2
39.9
8.0
9.4
8.0
1.5
1.3
40.2
40.5
606 HK
5,511
10.58
12.4
10.6
20.7
16.9
1.9
1.6
1.9
2.2
16.0
16.5
336 HK
4,929
12.14
20.2
16.4
21.3
22.7
6.3
5.0
1.8
2.1
35.9
34.5
600598 CH
4,008
14.97
297 HK
3,794
4.19
16.4
13.1
47.0
25.1
1.7
1.6
1.1
1.3
11.9
14.0
3983 HK
3,342
5.62
12.1
10.0
44.2
21.4
1.8
1.6
2.4
2.9
15.3
15.7
002069 CH
3,295
48.35
42.4
29.8
29.3
42.5
7.6
6.4
20.8
21.5
002385 CH
2,686
44.50
32.8
24.5
44.7
33.9
4.9
4.3
0.9
1.1
15.1
17.7
682 HK
2,792
6.48
3.9
3.1
17.0
27.0
0.7
0.5
2.0
3.0
20.9
20.3
000061 CH
2,591
22.38
600737 CH
2,293
15.14
4.2
3.7
14.3
16.4
000876 CH
2,207
17.60
24.2
17.1
17.1
41.7
HFCI SP
2,016
3.30
21.9
19.3
4.1
13.6
21.5
21.1
600311 CH
1,901
18.96
45.5
22.0
304.9
106.2
9.6
6.7
30.9
30.4
002041 CH
1,842
69.49
39.8
33.0
44.9
20.6
10.7
8.7
1.0
1.2
22.8
25.0
002299 CH
1,989
32.20
32.1
25.0
52.5
28.4
6.2
5.1
17.4
19.5
600251 CH
1,452
26.63
22.0
30.3
188.8
(27.5)
000860 CH
1,659
25.11
25.9
19.2
31.2
35.3
3.3
3.1
13.2
16.5
600298 CH
2,064
44.78
31.7
24.8
31.3
28.0
6.5
5.2
20.8
20.3
CFG SP
1,669
2.16
10.7
9.6
9.9
10.9
2.1
1.8
2.9
3.1
23.7
20.0
600195 CH
1,527
25.99
26.1
22.2
25.2
17.7
5.6
4.7
20.0
19.3
600467 CH
1,471
15.41
48.2
40.9
45.5
17.8
6.0
5.3
0.7
0.9
11.9
13.2
600537 CH
1,411
40.71
28.8
23.0
24.1
25.1
7.3
6.3
2.6
3.4
31.9
34.6
000998 CH
1,309
31.36
76.7
48.8
42.0
57.2
7.6
6.6
9.8
13.3
002477 CH
1,259
62.62
45.7
32.2
54.2
42.1
30.7
35.5
000911 CH
964
22.32
26.4
37.4
17.5
(29.3)
4.2
4.3
14.3
8.8
002216 CH
1,113
39.53
50.4
37.9
27.9
32.9
6.6
13.1
14.0
904 HK
900
7.89
8.0
6.6
20.9
20.7
1.4
1.2
3.5
4.2
21.3
21.2
PAH SP
733
0.34
6.5
6.0
2.1
8.5
0.9
0.8
2.8
2.9
13.9
13.8
1174 HK
557
1.41
5.3
4.4
17.0
19.8
0.8
0.8
4.7
5.9
13.8
15.5
809 HK
557
1.33
8.8
7.7
10.1
13.2
0.4
0.5
1.4
1.7
5.4
6.8
3838 HK
522
0.70
15.4
10.3
5.4
48.7
2.1
1.9
1.8
2.8
OCNUS SP
490
0.32
6.0
4.7
75.3
27.8
1.3
1.1
1.1
1.9
23.3
23.4
-
PAG SP
(50.0)
1006 HK
367
5.41
12.9
11.6
56.5
11.1
1.8
1.6
2088 HK
332
2.56
8.1
7.3
21.1
11.1
1.0
1.0
3.9
4.5
12.6
12.6
3889 HK
237
1.60
7.0
7.3
54.1
(3.5)
0.8
0.8
2.2
3.1
11.6
11.1
841 HK
126
2.44
3.9
43.9
6.1
39.0
3318 HK
119
1.90
9.9
5.8
(8.3)
69.7
CESS SP
103
0.34
3.2
2.8
31.6
13.4
0.8
0.8
15.1
13.7
1044 HK
10,698
67.75
25.5
21.0
24.3
21.6
7.3
6.4
2.4
3.0
29.5
32.3
973 HK
4,143
21.75
24.5
20.6
19.1
18.7
5.0
4.3
1.1
1.2
22.6
23.1
1338 HK
1,260
3.36
20.6
15.8
59.1
30.0
3.5
3.1
1.8
2.4
22.0
24.4
600439 CH
1,398
12.55
27.1
20.7
42.9
30.9
0.8
16.4
3331 HK
1,232
10.20
17.5
14.3
29.5
22.4
3.3
2.8
1.5
1.7
20.3
21.6
1633 HK
617
5.76
28.8
21.1
7.2
36.3
3.7
3.1
0.8
0.8
16.7
18.8
3828 HK
256
3.12
9.5
6.7
73.7
40.9
1.7
1.4
4.5
6.4
19.0
20.9
16
BNP PARIBAS
17 NOVEMBER 2010
BBG
Mkt
Share
code
cap
price
P/E
11E
12E
11E
EPS growth
12E
P/BV
11E
12E
Yield
11E
12E
11E
ROE
12E
(USD m)
(LC)
(x)
(x)
(%)
(%)
(x)
(x)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
3308 HK
5,525
22.05
29.1
22.9
29.6
27.5
8.7
7.2
1.5
1.9
33.3
34.8
3368 HK
4,899
13.52
24.6
20.2
22.7
21.7
6.2
5.2
1.9
2.3
27.2
28.2
1212 HK
4,128
19.06
22.9
20.9
14.6
9.5
4.1
3.6
1.7
1.7
18.4
18.2
600631 CH
2,733
16.48
31.2
27.3
8.8
14.0
2.4
2.2
1.1
1.2
8.8
9.8
2,954
46.96
29.6
24.1
29.2
22.7
5.3
4.6
1.0
1.3
17.9
19.1
002419 CH
2,772
46.00
28.8
23.9
30.9
20.2
4.8
4.2
0.4
0.5
18.4
19.3
1833 HK
2,618
11.52
25.6
20.5
22.9
24.6
4.0
3.5
1.6
2.0
18.1
21.1
600694 CH
2,560
57.87
49.5
41.5
78.6
19.2
848 HK
2,380
3.59
22.4
16.2
24.5
38.7
3.7
3.2
1.4
2.0
17.3
19.9
825 HK
1,609
7.40
16.6
14.0
19.3
18.4
2.2
2.0
2.7
3.3
15.7
17.2
000987 CH
1,549
28.65
24.4
19.0
24.3
28.4
5.8
4.8
1.7
2.2
23.6
25.5
000501 CH
1,557
20.38
28.7
23.4
21.2
22.8
4.3
3.6
0.2
17.7
18.3
600729 CH
1,645
53.53
41.8
29.7
28.9
40.6
8.1
6.7
18.9
19.2
331 HK
1,357
2.49
22.4
17.1
26.7
31.6
3.3
2.9
1.9
2.3
16.3
18.6
000759 CH
1,441
14.05
28.0
22.8
23.7
23.0
4.1
3.7
1.1
1.2
15.8
17.0
000417 CH
1,470
20.35
30.3
26.0
25.2
16.8
5.3
4.5
0.7
0.8
20.2
20.8
600628 CH
1,052
13.13
25.8
23.3
10.9
10.8
11.3
11.5
600828 CH
1,170
21.24
30.2
21.6
67.6
39.9
8.8
6.4
0.6
1.0
29.2
31.0
600327 CH
1,057
13.45
25.9
22.8
23.8
13.5
5.7
4.7
0.3
0.6
22.9
22.8
600785 CH
1,062
34.00
23.5
19.4
21.6
21.1
4.8
3.8
22.9
23.7
600824 CH
829
7.52
35.8
31.3
16.7
14.3
DFI SP
11,015
8.16
23.8
24.0
11.7
(0.9)
12.0
2.4
1.8
54.3
8277 HK
3,177
19.70
31.4
25.6
22.9
22.9
6.0
5.3
1.4
1.8
21.9
24.0
980 HK
2,676
33.35
24.1
20.6
18.5
17.0
5.3
4.7
1.5
1.5
24.3
24.2
600361 CH
868
11.88
41.4
36.0
40.0
15.0
3.0
2.8
1.0
1.1
10.0
10.8
984 HK
570
17.00
14.0
12.7
10.0
10.7
3.1
2.7
3.6
3.9
23.0
22.8
814 HK
499
9.39
16.0
13.0
14.8
23.3
1.9
2.8
3.9
12.8
15.4
002024 CH
15,048
14.28
19.2
15.7
28.8
22.7
4.5
3.6
0.7
1.0
23.5
22.9
493 HK
6,457
3.00
18.0
14.9
20.2
20.3
2.5
2.2
1.5
1.8
16.3
16.6
1280 HK
279
2.06
12.2
10.4
31.8
17.2
1.6
1.5
0.9
0.9
13.8
15.0
000527 CH
7,473
15.90
13.0
11.2
19.4
16.5
3.7
3.0
2.2
2.5
24.9
24.2
000651 CH
6,817
16.06
10.6
9.2
16.8
14.7
2.8
2.3
2.8
5.1
26.9
24.7
600690 CH
5,542
27.49
16.2
14.4
23.8
12.6
3.4
2.9
1.5
1.9
21.0
21.1
TCL Corp
000100 CH
2,349
3.68
19.3
15.7
15.1
22.5
1.6
1.5
0.5
1.6
8.3
11.2
1169 HK
1,948
7.11
13.8
12.9
37.1
6.4
4.2
2.8
0.8
1.0
37.6
30.0
600060 CH
1,715
13.14
14.5
12.0
22.0
21.0
1.6
1.4
1.5
1.8
12.8
14.1
600839 CH
1,647
3.84
25.6
36.6
32.7
(30.0)
751 HK
1,445
4.36
6.8
6.3
17.3
7.3
1.3
1.2
4.7
4.9
23.5
20.3
449 HK
452
4.57
6.3
6.0
7.8
4.8
1.1
1.0
4.4
5.1
18.5
17.0
1070 HK
437
3.12
9.0
6.4
39.5
0.9
0.8
4.7
5.7
7.6
11.3
3389 HK
2,514
4.45
23.7
19.0
17.5
24.8
3.3
2.9
1.3
1.7
16.4
17.7
116 HK
1,743
19.96
17.5
14.7
20.0
19.3
2.4
2.1
2.0
2.4
13.4
14.5
590 HK
1,464
23.05
14.0
11.7
22.6
19.4
4.2
3.4
3.0
3.6
33.7
33.5
900905 CH
907
2.71
887 HK
825
1.13
15.3
11.0
64.4
39.2
2.8
2.4
9.3
5.4
20.5
25.3
860 HK
261
0.81
12.5
5.8
13.0
115.4
398 HK
222
4.32
9.6
22.1
1.0
2.1
11.4
280 HK
177
3.16
15.6
17.6
0.7
8.6
17
BNP PARIBAS
17 NOVEMBER 2010
BBG
Mkt
Share
code
cap
price
P/E
11E
12E
11E
EPS growth
12E
P/BV
11E
12E
Yield
11E
12E
11E
ROE
12E
(USD m)
(LC)
(x)
(x)
(%)
(%)
(x)
(x)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
178 HK
1,342
7.45
19.3
16.2
21.9
19.3
7.7
7.0
4.9
5.8
43.2
46.2
653 HK
517
1.36
15.8
12.4
28.4
27.9
15.1
11.3
5.1
6.3
92.8
86.9
601607 CH
7,173
23.90
27.2
22.4
26.8
21.4
4.5
3.9
0.8
14.0
14.6
600655 CH
3,189
14.73
24.3
20.6
23.0
18.3
15.0
15.2
1999 HK
1,621
12.94
11.9
10.2
22.2
17.1
3.1
2.5
2.3
2.6
27.7
27.0
811 HK
653
4.46
8.7
8.7
18.9
8.6
8.9
12.4
12.2
538 HK
1,767
12.80
25.2
20.1
27.6
25.6
4.7
4.1
1.8
2.3
18.6
20.7
341 HK
1,527
21.05
19.3
16.9
12.0
13.8
3.8
3.5
3.7
4.4
21.2
22.6
968 HK
688
5.17
19.4
16.3
26.0
19.3
3.9
3.6
2.1
2.6
21.3
24.9
52 HK
165
10.20
10.5
14.7
2.5
5.9
25.6
494 HK
22,520
43.45
25.0
20.9
30.6
19.6
7.6
7.0
3.2
3.8
31.1
33.5
330 HK
6,879
41.40
12.0
10.6
5.2
13.3
2.7
2.4
5.4
6.1
24.5
24.0
002269 CH
4,900
32.40
31.9
24.1
38.4
32.3
7.6
6.2
1.1
1.5
27.1
27.3
600177 CH
3,947
11.77
12.8
10.5
18.0
21.7
3998 HK
3,759
3.75
17.1
15.1
14.7
13.6
3.5
3.4
5.2
6.0
20.6
22.2
002344 CH
2,596
61.55
46.7
36.8
73.0
26.9
1234 HK
1,753
11.32
21.3
17.0
31.9
25.5
5.5
4.8
1.9
2.3
26.9
28.0
Trinity Ltd
891 HK
1,580
7.76
27.6
21.4
39.8
28.8
5.2
4.7
2.1
2.8
19.7
23.3
589 HK
1,561
21.35
17.7
14.5
16.6
22.6
5.5
4.7
3.6
4.4
34.9
35.9
002029 CH
1,479
34.70
27.6
21.6
29.2
28.0
5.2
4.3
0.8
1.0
18.8
19.9
Your-Mart Co Ltd
002277 CH
1,430
27.18
30.6
24.1
34.4
27.4
3.4
3.0
1.1
1.4
12.4
14.0
002154 CH
1,309
29.59
28.2
22.8
25.3
23.5
4.1
3.5
0.7
0.9
12.5
14.1
IT Ltd
999 HK
1,042
6.76
19.5
15.9
23.2
22.1
4.0
3.5
2.3
2.7
22.1
22.1
709 HK
937
4.86
14.7
13.3
10.3
10.6
3.1
2.9
5.0
5.8
21.1
22.0
393 HK
491
3.59
11.2
9.0
10.3
25.0
1.7
1.6
5.7
6.4
14.5
16.5
1388 HK
362
6.90
14.8
12.1
27.4
22.6
2.3
2.0
2.4
2.9
16.0
17.5
448 HK
232
1.83
9.9
12.9
1.8
4.0
19.0
Fairwood Ltd
Brands: Apparel
Brands: Footwear
Belle International Holdings Ltd
1880 HK
15,861
14.58
25.5
21.2
22.9
20.7
5.4
4.7
1.4
1.6
22.2
23.4
551 HK
5,700
26.80
10.4
14.5
1.6
1.5
4.2
4.6
15.2
15.4
210 HK
1,851
8.76
16.0
13.0
29.0
23.0
4.2
3.4
1.6
2.0
30.0
29.4
1836 HK
1,625
15.86
12.5
10.2
15.5
22.0
1.9
1.7
5.2
6.0
15.3
17.4
3813 HK
703
1.27
11.7
43.6
0.9
0.8
6.7
8.0
738 HK
306
3.71
12.0
9.5
26.4
26.4
2.2
1.9
4.3
6.2
19.3
22.0
1386 HK
122
1.52
202.7
32.2
0.1
18
BNP PARIBAS
17 NOVEMBER 2010
BBG
Mkt
Share
code
cap
price
P/E
11E
12E
11E
EPS growth
12E
P/BV
11E
12E
Yield
11E
12E
11E
ROE
12E
(USD m)
(LC)
(x)
(x)
(%)
(%)
(x)
(x)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
Brands: Sportswear
Anta Sports Products Ltd
2020 HK
4,619
14.36
16.9
14.0
21.9
20.6
4.6
4.0
3.6
4.2
28.9
29.9
3818 HK
2,989
4.09
11.0
9.6
12.8
15.5
2.2
2.1
6.3
7.0
21.7
22.9
Li Ning Co Ltd
2331 HK
2,855
21.05
14.7
12.6
15.3
17.2
4.6
3.8
2.8
3.3
34.3
33.0
1368 HK
1,875
6.68
13.4
11.1
20.3
20.6
3.3
2.9
4.5
5.3
26.0
27.1
1361 HK
1,758
6.59
10.2
8.5
16.3
20.2
2.4
2.0
4.6
4.6
27.8
26.5
1968 HK
1,521
5.62
10.3
8.4
23.9
22.9
2.4
2.1
3.6
4.4
25.2
26.1
CHHS SP
356
0.17
15.1
15.4
9.8
(1.8)
1.9
3.0
3.0
953 HK
244
1.82
6.8
4.6
64.3
47.8
2.0
1.4
3.2
4.5
1998 HK
192
1.86
6.1
4.3
30.0
42.3
5.0
6.9
46.0
46.0
CSPORT SP
85
0.12
002083 CH
1,566
11.08
23.1
29.2
51.9
(20.8)
3.5
9.2
600220 CH
1,561
5.81
600884 CH
1,417
22.89
33.7
21.1
46.9
59.3
2.5
2.2
6.5
9.1
25.8
Textiles
321 HK
1,549
8.89
9.3
8.3
14.8
12.7
2.1
2.0
7.1
7.9
25.1
002064 CH
1,382
12.43
19.3
14.8
26.1
30.6
002293 CH
1,501
71.01
35.8
27.2
36.5
31.7
5.7
4.7
0.3
0.4
16.3
18.2
-
2313 HK
1,394
8.68
5.4
4.1
20.3
33.3
1.5
1.3
6.5
8.5
200726 CH
998
7.78
3.0
000936 CH
999
8.87
17.6
16.8
117.2
4.8
3.7
3.2
1.5
1.6
21.2
18.8
600510 CH
1,177
9.82
002254 CH
1,176
29.90
22.9
19.1
28.0
19.7
4.1
3.9
29.0
46.2
15.5
16.8
Weiqiao Textile Co
2698 HK
991
6.43
0.4
4.0
1382 HK
797
4.31
6.7
5.9
9.7
13.1
1.5
1.3
8.4
9.3
23.4
22.5
2678 HK
706
6.19
6.3
5.2
21.7
21.4
1.9
1.5
5.5
6.6
2228 HK
610
5.91
14.9
19.5
33.3
(23.5)
1.8
873 HK
509
3.95
8.2
6.8
13.9
22.0
4.1
5.3
22.2
22.2
539 HK
285
1.82
4.8
4.3
10.5
9.8
0.5
0.5
6.6
7.1
Source: Bloomberg
19
BNP PARIBAS
HISTORY
OF CHANGE
IN
INVESTMENT
RATING
AND/OR
17 NOVEMBER 2010
TARGET
PRICE
(HKD)
Target Price
Date
24-Apr-08
8.25
Reco
TP
BUY
3.57
7.25
6.25
5.25
4.25
3.25
2.25
Mar-08
Sep-08
Mar-09
Sep-09
Mar-10
Sep-10
(HKD)
Hengan
Target Price
85.50
Date
Reco
TP
1-Nov-06
HOLD
18.00
8-Jan-09
BUY
28.50
75.50
65.50
55.50
45.50
35.50
25.50
15.50
Nov-06
Nov-07
Nov-08
Nov-09
Nov-10
(HKD)
Target Price
16.00
Date
Reco
TP
15-Feb-08
BUY
13.60
28-Apr-08
REDUCE
8.70
14.00
20-Jul-09
HOLD
5.60
12.00
23-Sep-09
BUY
7.00
10.00
8.00
6.00
4.00
2.00
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
20
BNP PARIBAS
17 NOVEMBER 2010
(HKD)
GOME Electrical
Target Price
Date
1-Nov-06
6.50
Reco
TP
HOLD
5.73
BUY
5.75
14-May-08
5.50
4.50
3.50
2.50
1.50
0.50
Nov-06
Nov-07
Nov-08
Nov-09
Nov-10
(HKD)
Target Price
Date
Reco
TP
BUY
2.55
28-Sep-10
3.20
3.00
2.80
2.60
2.40
2.20
2.00
1.80
1.60
1.40
Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10
Charlie Chen started covering this stock from 28 September 2010
Price and TP are in local currency
Valuation and risks: Our DCF-based target price of HKD2.55 is based on a target FY11E P/E of 15x. We see two major downside risks to our target price.
1 Revenue of new stores may not ramp-up as quickly as we forecast. 2 Cannibalization between self-owned stores and franchise stores may be worse
than we expect.
Sources: Bloomberg, BNP Paribas
21
BNP PARIBAS
DISCLAIMERS
&
17 NOVEMBER 2010
DISCLOSURES
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report in any other places to persons which are not permitted under the applicable laws or regulations of such places is strictly prohibited.
This report is for the use of intended recipients only and may not be reproduced (in whole or in part) or delivered or transmitted to any other
person without our prior written consent. By accepting this report, the recipient agrees to be bound by the terms and limitations set out
herein.
2010 BNP Paribas Group
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BNP PARIBAS
DISCLAIMERS
&
17 NOVEMBER 2010
DISCLOSURES
ANALYST(S)
Michele Mak, CFA, BNP Paribas Securities (Asia) Ltd, +852 2825 1105, michele.mak@asia.bnpparibas.com.
Sarah Xing, BNP Paribas Securities (Asia) Ltd, +852 2825 1154, sarah.xing@asia.bnpparibas.com.
Charlie Y Chen, BNP Paribas Securities (Asia) Ltd, +852 2825 1109, charlie.y.chen@asia.bnpparibas.com.
Carol Chan, BNP Paribas Securities (Asia) Ltd, +852 2825 1821, carol.t.chan@asia.bnpparibas.com.
This report was produced by a member company of the BNP Paribas Group (Group)1. This report is for the use of intended recipients only and
may not be reproduced (in whole or in part) or delivered or transmitted to any other person without our prior written consent. By accepting this
report, the recipient agrees to be bound by the terms and limitations set out herein.
The information contained in this report has been obtained from public sources believed to be reliable and the opinions contained herein are
expressions of belief based on such information. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or opinions is
accurate, complete or verified and it should not be relied upon as such. This report does not constitute a prospectus or other offering document or
an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or other investments. Information and opinions contained in this report are published for reference
of the recipients and are not to be relied upon as authoritative or without the recipients own independent verification or taken in substitution for the
exercise of judgement by the recipient. All opinions contained herein constitute the views of the analyst(s) named in this report, they are subject to
change without notice and are not intended to provide the sole basis of any evaluation of the subject securities and companies mentioned in this
report. Any reference to past performance should not be taken as an indication of future performance. No member company of the Group accepts
any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of the materials contained in this report.
The analyst(s) named in this report certifies that (i) all views expressed in this report accurately reflect the personal views of the analyst(s) with
regard to any and all of the subject securities and companies mentioned in this report and (ii) no part of the compensation of the analyst(s) was, is,
or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendation or views expressed herein.
This report is prepared for professional investors and is being distributed in Hong Kong by BNP Paribas Securities (Asia) Limited to persons whose
business involves the acquisition, disposal or holding of securities, whether as principal or agent. BNP Paribas Securities (Asia) Limited, a
subsidiary of BNP Paribas, is regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission for the conduct of dealing in securities, advising on securities
and providing automated trading services. This report is being distributed in the United Kingdom by BNP Paribas London Branch to persons who
are not private customers as defined under U.K. securities regulations. BNP Paribas London Branch, a branch of BNP Paribas, is regulated by the
Financial Services Authority for the conduct of its designated investment business in the U.K. This report may be distributed in the United States by
BNP PARIBAS SECURITIES ASIA or by BNP Paribas Securities Corp.
Where this report has been distributed by BNP PARIBAS SECURITIES ASIA it is intended for distribution in the United States only to major
institutional investors (as such term is defined in Rule 15a-6 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended) and is not intended for the
use of any person or entity that is not a major institutional investor. Where this report has been distributed by BNP Paribas Securities Corp, a U.S.
broker dealer, it will have been reviewed by a FINRA S16 qualified registered supervisory analyst or a S24 qualified and authorized person, in
accordance with FINRA requirements concerning third party affiliated research.
All U.S. institutional investors receiving this report should effect transactions in securities discussed in the report through BNP Paribas Securities
Corp. BNP Paribas Securities Corp. is a member of the New York Stock Exchange, the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority and the Securities
Investor Protection Corporation. Reproduction, distribution or publication of this report in any other places or to persons to whom such distribution or
publication is not permitted under the applicable laws or regulations of such places is strictly prohibited.
Information on Taiwan listed stocks is distributed in Taiwan by BNP Paribas Securities (Taiwan) Co., Ltd.
Distribution or publication of this report in any other places to persons which are not permitted under the applicable laws or regulations of such
places is strictly prohibited.
1
No portion of this report was prepared by BNP Paribas Securities Corp personnel.
Disclosure and Analyst Certification
For a complete set of required disclosures relating to the companies that are the subject of this report, please mail a request to BNP Paribas
Compliance Department, 787 Seventh Avenue, New York, NY 10019.
BNP Paribas represents that:
BNPP or its affiliates makes a market in the securities of Hengan International Group Company Ltd.
BNPP or its affiliates had an investment banking relationship with Huiyin Household Appliances (Holdings) Co., Ltd. in the last 12 months.
Within the next three months, BNPP or its affiliates may receive or seek compensation in connection with an investment banking relationship with
one or more of the companies referenced herein.
The analyst(s) named in this report certifies that (i) all views expressed in this report accurately reflect the personal view of the analyst(s) with
regard to any and all of the subject securities and companies mentioned in this report; (ii) no part of the compensation of the analyst(s) was, is, or
will be, directly or indirectly, relate to the specific recommendation or views expressed herein; and (iii) BNPP is not aware of any other actual or
material conflicts of interest concerning any of the subject securities and companies referenced herein as of the time of publication of the research
report.
A detailed discussion of the valuation methodologies used to derive our target prices and the risks that could impede their achievement for stocks
recommended in the report is available on request from the analyst(s) named in this report.
Recommendation structure
All share prices are as at market close on 16 November 2010 unless otherwise stated. Stock recommendations are based on absolute upside
(downside), which we define as (target price* - current price) / current price. If the upside is 10% or more, the recommendation is BUY. If the
downside is 10% or more, the recommendation is REDUCE. For stocks where the upside or downside is less than 10%, the recommendation is
HOLD. In addition, we have key buy and key sell lists in each market, which are our most commercial and/or actionable BUY and REDUCE calls
and are limited to at most five key buys and five key sells in each market at any point in time.
Unless otherwise specified, these recommendations are set with a 12-month horizon. Thus, it is possible that future price volatility may cause a
temporary mismatch between upside/downside for a stock based on market price and the formal recommendation.
*In most cases, the target price will equal the analyst's assessment of the current fair value of the stock. However, if the analyst doesn't think the market
will reassess the stock over the specified time horizon due to a lack of events or catalysts, then the target price may differ from fair value. In most cases,
therefore, our recommendation is an assessment of the mismatch between current market price and our assessment of current fair value.
Rating distribution (as at 15 November)
Out of 512 rated stocks in the BNP Paribas coverage universe, 318 have BUY ratings, 132 are rated HOLD and 62 are rated REDUCE. Within
these rating categories, 5.35% of the BUY-rated companies either currently are or have been BNP Paribas clients in the past 12 months, 5.30% of
the HOLD-rated companies are or have been clients in the past 12 months, and 8.06% of the REDUCE-rated companies are or have been clients in
the past 12 months
Should you require additional information please contact the relevant BNP Paribas research team or the author(s) of this report.
2010 BNP Paribas Group
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BNP PARIBAS