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INDUSTRY OVERVIEW

17 NOVEMBER 2010

Asia Consumer Anecdotes


Chinese government to unveil a series of price controls
Food retailers with strong franchises are in the best position
Rising inflationary expectations favour discretionaries
Dynasty Fine Wines: Raising its growth trajectory

Back to price controls


Michele Mak, CFA
+852 2825 1105
michele.mak@asia.bnpparibas.com

Carol Chan
+852 2825 1821
carol.t.chan@asia.bnpparibas.com

Rising inflationary expectations favour discretionaries


Chinas October CPI came in at 4.4% y-y or 0.7% m-m, much stronger
than expectation. Food prices accelerated 10.1% y-y, while non-food
prices gained 1.6% y-y. In order to curb rising inflationary pressures, it
has been reported that the Chinese government will unveil a series of
food price controls as well as crack down on agricultural commodities
speculation. The suggested scope seems to be even more elaborate
than the last round of price controls implemented in January 2008.

Food retailers with strong franchises are in the best position to benefit
from the rising food price inflation. Within the consumer staples space,
we believe the less essential and more discretionary product
producers are the safer place to be at the moment. Snack food producers
such as Want Want are less likely to see price intervention from the
government. In the same token, wines and spirits producers are also less
likely to be affected by government price caps. In fact, this has been one
of the most resilient sub-segments within the consumer space.
Consumer discretionary names should continue to benefit from strong
consumer confidence and rising inflationary expectations. High-end
retailers should be in a better position to benefit than mass-market
retailers, as their clientele are generally less sensitive to rising prices for
basic goods. We are less keen on the mass market brand retailers as
their ability to pass on rising costs to consumers is more restricted.
Most consumer stocks have come off on the back of their high valuations
in the recent market correction. We see this as an opportunity to
accumulate on the stronger consumer franchises. Top picks in the sector
include: Want Want, Hengan, Ajisen, GOME and Huiyin.

Dynasty Fine Wines: Raising its growth trajectory

Dynasty (828.HK, NR) is one of the top three grape wine producers in the
China market. The company is 44.8% owned by Tianjin Development
and 27.0% owned by Remy Pacifique. The company produces a wide
spectrum of products under the Dynasty brand, with Dynasty Dry Red
being its best seller and contributing 36% of revenue.
With the change in its business strategy since 2H09, the company has
been actively: 1) raising its sales and promotion efforts, 2) developing
new markets, and 3) revamping its existing sales distribution channels.
During 1H10, Dynastys net profit growth accelerated to 18%, from 9% in
FY09. Turnover growth also accelerated from 9% growth in FY09 to 14%
growth in 1H10. Managements target is to achieve above industry
average growth trend in the coming few years.
According to consensus estimates, Dynasty is expected to see a 17%
increase in 2010 net profit to HKD182m (diluted EPS: HKD0.14) and 19%
increase in 2011 net profit to HKD216m (diluted EPS: HKD0.17). The
counter is trading on 33x 2010 consensus P/E and 27x for 2011. The
company was in a net cash position as at end-June.
BNP Paribas Securities Asia research is available on Thomson One, Bloomberg, TheMarkets.com, Factset and on http://equities.bnpparibas.com. Please contact your
salesperson for authorisation. Please see the important notice on the back page.

PREPARED BY BNP PARIBAS SECURITIES ASIA


THIS MATERIAL HAS BEEN APPROVED FOR U.S DISTRIBUTION. IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES CAN BE FOUND IN THE DISCLOSURES APPENDIX.

MICHELE MAK, CFA

ASIA CONSUMER ANECDOTES

17 NOVEMBER 2010

Rising inflationary expectations favour discretionaries


Chinas October CPI came in at 4.4% y-y or 0.7% m-m, much stronger than
expectation. Food prices accelerated 10.1% y-y, while non-food prices gained 1.6% y-y.
In order to curb rising inflationary pressures, it has been reported that the Chinese
government will unveil a series of food price controls as well as crack down on
agricultural commodities speculation. The suggested scope seems to be even more
elaborate than the last round of price controls implemented in January 2008, which
mainly involved: grain products including instant noodles, edible oil, meat, milk, eggs
and liquefied petroleum gas. At the time, the governments focus was very much on
controlling the leading F&B enterprises, and required them to apply for official approval
for any price increases. This time, however, there seems to be greater emphasis on
controlling the surge in upstream agricultural product price increases. While upstream
prices are much more difficult to contain, it is probably a more balanced approach to
address the root cause of the current food price inflation problem.
Exhibit 1: Performance Of Major F&B Companies After Price Control
Company name
China Foods
China Mengniu
China Yurun

BBG

Share price

code

15-Jan-08

15-Feb-08

Change

(LC)

(LC)

(%)

506 HK

5.90

5.38

(9)

2319 HK

25.66

20.83

(19)
(16)

1068 HK

10.92

9.15

Henan Shuanghui

000895 CH

56.35

53.13

(6)

Inner Mongolia Yili

600887 CH

27.98

20.76

(26)

Tingyi

322 HK

11.36

10.68

(6)

Uni-President China

220 HK

5.70

4.44

(22)

Source: Bloomberg

In 2008, share prices of major F&B companies corrected by 6-26% in the month after
the government price controls were announced. Although quite a few F&B companies
have taken the opportunity to put through a round of price hikes recently, near-term
concerns over the possibility of a fresh round of government price controls is expected
to put pressure on the performance of consumer staples names in general. Within the
consumer staples space, the less essential and more discretionary product
producers are the safer place to be at the moment. The governments measures will
mainly be focused on basic foodstuff rather than on discretionary products. For
instance, snack food producers like Want Want are less likely to see price intervention
from the government. In the same token, wines and spirits producers are also less likely
to be affected by government price caps. In fact, wines and spirits producers have been
one of the most resilient sub-segments within the consumer space.
Under the current environment, food retailers with strong franchises are in the best
position to benefit from the rising food price inflation. In general, it is easier for retailers
to raise product prices when consumers inflationary expectations are already high.
Higher food prices will drive stronger same-store-sales growth, which in turn will help to
drive positive operating leverage for these operators. In addition, in the event where
government does impose price caps, the stronger retail chains would be in a better
position to push back price increases by suppliers.

BNP PARIBAS

MICHELE MAK, CFA

ASIA CONSUMER ANECDOTES

17 NOVEMBER 2010

Exhibit 2: Lianhua & Wumarts Operating Margins


(%)
16

Lianhua - Operating profit margin


Wumart - Operating profit margin

14

China CPI: Food y-y

12
10
8
6
4
2
0
2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Sources: Company data; National Bureau of Statistics; BNP Paribas

Consumer discretionary names should continue to benefit from strong consumer


confidence and rising inflationary expectations. In this regard, high-end retailers, such
as Trinity, should be in a better position to benefit than mass-market retailers, as their
clientele are generally less sensitive to rising prices for basic goods. Note also that
while top-line growth is likely to remain strong for most retailers, some players are
already cautioning the rise in labour and rental rates. In general, retailers with higher
percentage of commercial property ownership, such as Golden Eagle and Intime, should
be able to enjoy more stable cost structure as well as potential value appreciation on
their commercial property portfolio. Branded retailers with strong brand presence and a
high percentage of their stores leased on concession basis, such as Belle, should also
have more stable rental cost structure. We are less keen on the mass market brand
retailers as their ability to pass on rising costs to consumers is more restricted.
Most consumer stocks have come off on the back of their high valuations in the recent
market correction. We see this as an opportunity to accumulate on the stronger
consumer franchises. Top picks in the sector include: Want Want (151.HK, HK$6.93,
BUY), Hengan (1044.HK, HK$67.75, BUY), Ajisen (538.HK, HK$12.80, BUY), GOME
(493.HK, HK$3.00, BUY) and Huiyin (1280.HK, HK$2.06, BUY).

Dynasty Fine Wines: Raising its growth trajectory


Strong French connection
Dynasty (828.HK, NR) is one of the top three grape wine producers in the China
market. The company is 44.8% owned by Tianjin Development and 27.0% owned by
Remy Pacifique. The origins of Dynasty dated back to 1980 when Dynasty was
established as a Sino-French JV between Tianjin City Grape Garden and Remy Martin.
The company produces a wide spectrum of more than 50 products under the Dynasty
brand, with Dynasty Dry Red being its best seller and contributing 36% of total revenue.
Due to Chinese consumers prevalent preference for red wines, the company is able to
set higher prices for its red wines and also obtain higher margins for its red wine
products. Red wines, with gross margins of 53.0% in FY09, accounted for 83% of the
companys sales. White wines, with gross margins of 40.4% in FY09, accounted for
16% of the companys sales.

BNP PARIBAS

MICHELE MAK, CFA

ASIA CONSUMER ANECDOTES

17 NOVEMBER 2010

Exhibit 3: Major Grape Wine Producers In China


Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine Company Limited

Dynasty Fine Wines Group Limited

Year-ended 31 Dec

Year-ended 31 Dec

2008

2009

(RMB m)

(RMB m)

Turnover

3,453

4,199

Turnover

Gross profit

2,417

3,008

Gross profit

722

70.0

71.6

Gross profit margin (%)

53.0

1,176

1,472

34.1

35.1

Net profit

895

1,127

Net profit margin (%)

25.9

26.8

Gross profit margin (%)


Operating profit
Operating profit margin (%)

2008

China Foods Limited: Great Wall Wines


2009

Year-ended 31 Dec

2008

2009

(HKD m)

(HKD m)

Turnover

2,790

3,197

756

Gross profit

1,599

1,854

51.0

Gross profit margin (%)

57.3

58.0

(HKD m) (HKD m)
1,361

1,483

Operating profit

217

213

Operating profit margin (%)

16.0

14.4

Net profit

143

156

Net profit margin (%)

10.5

10.5

Source: Company data

Change in strategic focus since 2H09


Over the years, Dynasty has delivered fairly stable earnings growth of around 10% p.a.
as the companys strategy was more focused on wine production rather than sales and
distribution. With the addition of Mr. Jean-Marie Laborde (previously chairman and CEO
of Moet et Chandon) onto its board in February 2009, the company decided to realign
its business strategy to become more market focused in 2H09. Since then, the
company has significantly increased its sales and promotions effort. Dynasty now puts
greater emphasis on media advertising, public relationships, event sponsorships and
exhibitions, as well as joint promotions with distributors to raise consumer awareness.
In addition, the company is also moving more aggressively to develop the Southern
China and Northern China markets. Historically, Eastern China accounted for over 70%
of the companys sales. With the companys efforts to push sales in new markets,
Eastern China now accounts for less than 60% of sales according to management.
Initial successes showing through in 1H10
To achieve better market penetration for its products, Dynasty is in the process of doing
a thorough review of the performance its existing distributors. According to
management, the whole strategic initiative to revamp its sales and distribution network
will take 3 years to complete. However, the initial benefits of the companys hard work
are already starting to show. During 1H10, the companys net profit growth accelerated
to 18%, from 9% achieved in FY09. Turnover growth also accelerated from 9% growth
in FY09 to 14% growth in 1H10. Gross profit margin has remained stable at 50% in
1H10 as the prices of grapes and grape juice (40% of COGS) has remained relatively
stable according to management. In addition, the companys distribution costs were
contained at around 26% despite the increased sales effort. In fact, the companys
operating margin actually improved by 0.6ppt to 19.8% in 1H10. Management currently
expects the growth momentum to be maintained for the rest of this year. Going forward,
Dynasty expects the domestic wine industry to grow at 13-18% in the coming five years.
Managements target is to achieve above industry average growth trend in the coming
few years.
According to consensus estimates, Dynasty is expected to see a 17% increase in 2010
net profit to HKD182m (diluted EPS: HKD0.14) and 19% increase in 2011 net profit to
HKD216m (diluted EPS: HKD0.17). The counter is trading on 33x 2010 consensus P/E
and 27x for 2011. The company was in net cash position as at end-June.

BNP PARIBAS

MICHELE MAK, CFA

ASIA CONSUMER ANECDOTES

17 NOVEMBER 2010

Exhibit 4: Dynasty Forward P/E Band Chart


(HKD)
6.00
30x
5.00
25x
4.00
20x
3.00

15x

2.00

10x

1.00
0.00
Jan-06

Sep-06

May-07

Jan-08

Sep-08

May-09

Jan-10

Sep-10

Sources: Bloomberg; BNP Paribas

Exhibit 5: Upcoming IPOs


Upcoming IPO Information
Listing date

Place of listing

Offer
price

Retail department stores and supermarkets

17-Nov-10

Hong Kong

1.85-2.55

Goodbaby Group

Producers of baby strollers

24-Nov-10

Hong Kong

3.70-4.90

Modern Farming

Operates dairy farms

26-Nov-10

Hong Kong

2.89-3.69

Produces pickled mustard products, mustard sauce and other


appetizers

na

Shanghai

na

Dongguan Souyute Fashion

Women's clothing, menswear and casual wear

na

Shanghai

na

Jinzi Ham

Ham products and various fermented meat products and lowtemperature meat

na

Shanghai

na

Mewah International Inc

Produces palm, coconut, soybean, canola, sunflower, and


corn oil

na

Singapore

na
na

Stock code

Company name

Company description

312 HK

Shirble Department Store

1086 HK
1117 HK
002507 CH

Chongqing Fuling Zhacai Group

002503 CH
002515 CH
MII SP

(LC)

4135489Z IJ

Midi Utama Indonesia Tbk PT

The company operates convenience stores in Indonesia

na

Indonesia

PRADAZ HK

Prada SpA

Designs and markets luxury clothing and accessories

na

Hong Kong

na

WGWCDZ CH

Wenfeng Great World Chain


Development Corp

Department store, supermarket and household appliances


retail chain

na

Shanghai

na

ZBGCLZ CH

Zhejiang Busen Garments

Designs, produces and sells men's clothing

na

Shengzhen

na

Sources: Company data

BNP PARIBAS

MICHELE MAK, CFA

ASIA CONSUMER ANECDOTES

17 NOVEMBER 2010

Exhibit 6: Recent IPO Performance


Listed IPO Information
Acc
change
(%)
17

Stock code

Company name

Company description

238 HK

Evergreen International
Holdings
Yashili International
Holdings
Global Dairy Holdings

High-end business formal and casual menswear

4-Nov-10

Hong Kong

Operates milk processing plants and produces dairy


products
Produces both milk formula products and whole milk
products
Operates a chain of department stores and
supermarkets
Casual menswear
Manufactures clothing and apparel for international
sportswear companies
Manufactures and supplies fresh noodles
Designs, manufactures, brands and retails apparel
The Company is a retailer of health care products
and egoods
Operates a shiitake mushroom cultivation base in
Fujian Province
Food solutions company with operations in all stages
of food manufacturing
Sourcing management, manufacturing, and trading
garment products
Manufactures and retails clothing for children from
newborns to 14 years old
Processes and markets both traditional and herbal
teas
Imports and wholesales a variety of textile and
apparel products
Chinese maker of cosmetic facial masks

1-Nov-10

Hong Kong

4.20

3.24

(23)

28-Oct-10

Hong Kong

4.39

3.56

(19)

21-Oct-10

Hong Kong

5.93

6.20

15-Oct-10
15-Oct-10

Shenzhen
Shenzhen

26.60
10.90

29.34
14.25

10
31

14-Oct-10
12-Oct-10
12-Oct-10

Hong Kong
Natl India
JASDAQ

0.25
135.00
1,400

0.41
68.35
801

64
(49)
(43)

8-Oct-10

Singapore

0.22

0.27

20

7-Oct-10

Indonesia

5,395

5,350

(1)

5-Oct-10

Hong Kong

0.60

0.89

48

29-Sep-10

Hong Kong

4.98

6.75

36

29-Sep-10

Hong Kong

3.12

3.54

13

28-Sep-10

Korea SE

35,000

77,700

122

24-Sep-10

Hong Kong

3.30

5.76

75

15-Sep-10

Shenzhen

35.00

62.62

79

15-Sep-10
13-Sep-10

GreTai Sec M
Korea SE

40.00
90,000

52.20
95,000

31
6

23-Aug-10

Kuala Lumpur

0.39

0.33

(15)

20-Aug-10

Shenzhen

11.90

24.27

104

18-Aug-10

Shenzhen

5.80

23.00

297

18-Aug-10
16-Aug-10
10-Aug-10

Natl India
Kuala Lumpur
Shenzhen

660.00
0.50
24.00

573.20
0.41
32.42

(13)
(18)
35

5-Aug-10
28-Jul-10

Singapore
Bangkok

0.22
4.90

0.23
7.00

2
43

16-Jul-10

Shenzhen

14.20

25.45

79

13-Jul-10

Shenzhen

28.98

81.00

180

9-Jul-10

Indonesia

210.00

270.00

29

8-Jul-10

Shenzhen

14.38

15.22

7-Jul-10
28-Jun-10

Indonesia
Indonesia

350.00
1,275

420.00
2,925

20
129

24-Jun-10

JASDAQ

4,200

2,980

(29)

21-Jun-10

Hong Kong

2.38

5.91

148

11-Jun-10

Hong Kong

2.06

3.95

92

1007 HK
1700 HK
002485 CH
002486 CH

Springland International
Holdings
Sinoer Men's Wear
Shanghai Challenge Textile

8269 HK
CANT IN
7818 JP

Wealth Glory Holdings


Cantabil Retail India
Transaction

YGR SP

Yamada Green Resources

ICBP IJ

Indofood CBP Sukses


Makmur TBK PT
Ford Glory Group Holdings

1682 HK
1698 HK
926 HK

Boshiwa International
Holding
Besunyen Holdings

081660 KS

Fila Korea

1633 HK

Magic Holdings
International
Henan Chuying Agropastoral
G-fun Industrial Corp
Hyundai Home Shopping
Network Corp
Focus Point Holdings Bhd

002477 CH
4429 TT
057050 KS
FPHB MK
300106 CH
002461 CH
BJCOR IN
BRIB MK
002458 CH

CSF SP
OFM TB
002450 CH
002447 CH
IPOL IJ
300094 CH
GOLD IJ
ROTI IJ
3163 JP
2228 HK
873 HK

Xinjiang Western Animal


Husbandry
Guangzhou Zhujiang
Brewery
Bajaj Corp
Berjaya Retail Bhd
Shandong Yisheng
Livestock & Poultry
Breeding
Consciencefood Holding
OfficeMate PCL
Beijing Kangde Xin
Composite Material
Dalian Yi Qiao Marine
Seeds
Indopoly Swakarsa Industry
Tbk PT
Zhanjiang Guolian Aquatic
Products
Golden Retailindo Tbk PT
Nippon Indosari Corpindo
Tbk PT
Total Medical Service
Costin New Materials
Group
International Taifeng
Holdings

Produces poultry products and engages in feed


production
Manufactures and sells coated and laminated fabrics
Retails through TV home shopping channels and the
Internet shopping mall
Operates eye care centers and also franchises eye
care centers
Operates feed production plants, cattle farming and
slaughtering house
Brews and sells beers, hops, bottle lid and
beverages
Hair products retailers
Operates retail stores and sells consumer durables
Farms and breeds livestock and poultry

Produces instant noodles and snack noodles


Retails office supplies through a catalogue and over
the Internet
Develops, produces and sells laminating film and
laminating equipment
Researches, breeds and cultivates marine products
Offers packaging solutions for a wide range of food
and other products
Breeds, manufactures and sells seafood products
Operates department stores and retails clothing
Produces bread, cakes, bread pudding, lasagne, and
other foods
Sells prescription medicine via the Sakura pharmacy
chain
Manufactures non-woven fabrics along with chemical
fibers
Manufactures and distributes cotton yarns and
bedding products

Place of
listing

Last
closing
price
(LC)
5.37

Listing
price
(LC)
4.60

1230 HK

Listing
date

(Continued on next page)

BNP PARIBAS

MICHELE MAK, CFA

ASIA CONSUMER ANECDOTES

17 NOVEMBER 2010

Exhibit 6: Recent IPO Performance (Contd)


Listed IPO Information
Listing
date

Place of
listing

Listing
price

Last
closing
price

Acc
change

Stock code

Company name

Company description

002425 CH

Kaiser China Holding

Manufactures ladies and men clothing and leather


products

8-Jun-10

Shenzhen

22.00

37.85

72

002427 CH

Zhejiang Unifull Industrial


Fiber

Manufactures, and sells raw materials used in the


textile industry

8-Jun-10

Shenzhen

13.50

19.47

44

KSTR MK

K-Star Sports

Manufactures and distributes sports footwear and


leisure footwear

4-Jun-10

Kuala Lumpur

2.15

0.93

(57)

002419 CH

Rainbow Department Store

Operates retail department stores and franchises


shopping malls

1-Jun-10

Shenzhen

40.00

46.00

15

300087 CH

Winall Hi-Tech Seed

Researches, produces, processes and markets crop


seed

26-May-10

Shenzhen

35.60

61.18

72

MNDN IN

Mandhana Industries

Manufactures, supplies and exports textile and


apparel products

19-May-10

Natl India

130.00

271.75

109

002404 CH

ZheJiang Jiaxin Silk Corp

Develops, produces and sells silk, garment and


apparel products

11-May-10

Shenzhen

22.00

19.81

(10)

973 HK

L'Occitane International SA

Manufactures and retails cosmetics and personal


care products

7-May-10

Hong Kong

15.08

21.75

44

002397 CH

Hunan Mendale
Hometextile

Develops, manufactures, and sells household textile


products

29-Apr-10

Shenzhen

51.00

44.47

(13)

1863 HK

Sijia Group

Designs and manufactures polyester fabric


composite materials

29-Apr-10

Hong Kong

3.28

4.55

39

002395 CH

Wuxi Double Elephant


Micro Fibre Material

Manufactures and sells artificial leather and synthetic


leather

29-Apr-10

Shenzhen

25.00

27.24

GPR SP

Global Palm Resources


Holdings

Cultivates oil palms and harvests from oil palm


plantation

29-Apr-10

Singapore

0.46

0.36

(23)

002394 CH

Jiangsu Lianfa Textile

Manufactures and sell woven fabric, apparel and


textile

23-Apr-10

Shenzhen

45.00

47.30

900110 KS

East Asia Sports


International

Manufactures and distributes sportswear

23-Apr-10

KOSDAQ

5,000

4,700

(6)

3161 JP

AZEARTH Corp

Wholesales protected gear for dioxine, asbestos and


bird flu

16-Apr-10

JASDAQ

470.00

335.00

(29)

MINZ SP

China Minzhong Food Corp

Markets fresh vegetables domestically and


processes vegetables

15-Apr-10

Singapore

1.20

1.25

002387 CH

Blackcow Food

Develops, manufactures and sells soy and grain


beverages

13-Apr-10

Shenzhen

27.00

39.75

47

002385 CH

Beijing Dabeinong
Technology Group

Produces and sells animal feeds, cultivates and


promotes seed products

9-Apr-10

Shenzhen

35.00

44.50

27

SGJ IN

Shree Ganesh Jewellery


House

Retails handcrafted hallmarked gold jewellery with


precious stones

9-Apr-10

Natl India

260.00

206.80

(20)

PRAD IN

Pradip Overseas

Manufactures textile products

5-Apr-10

Natl India

110.00

90.60

(18)

OVSE MK

Oversea Enterprise Bhd

Contemporary Chinese food with an emphasis on


Cantonese cuisine

1-Apr-10

Kuala Lumpur

0.23

0.15

(35)

1998 HK

Flyke International Holdings

Produces shoes for skateboarding, running and other


recreational purposes

26-Mar-10

Hong Kong

1.90

1.86

(2)

1280 HK

Huiyin Household
Appliances Holdings

Retailer and wholesaler for appliances and


electronics

25-Mar-10

Hong Kong

1.69

2.06

22

QMEI SP

QingMei Group Holdings

Produces and sells its products to athletic shoe


manufacturers

17-Mar-10

Singapore

0.31

0.26

(16)

EMMB IN

Emmbi Polyarns

Produces woven sacks, plastic bags and printed


paper/file laminated sacks

24-Feb-10

Natl India

45.00

19.50

(57)

TJL IN

Thangamayil Jewellery

Operates a chain of retail jewellery stores in Maduari

19-Feb-10

Natl India

75.00

176.90

136

JUBI IN

Jubilant Foodworks

The Company owns and operates fast food chains

8-Feb-10

Natl India

145.00

585.60

304

953 HK

Meike International
Holdings

Produces and distributes leisure sportswear products


under the Meike brand

1-Feb-10

Hong Kong

1.43

1.82

27

002345 CH

Guangdong Chj Industry

Designs, develops, manufactures and sells


jewelleries and accessories

28-Jan-10

Shenzhen

33.00

37.89

15

002344 CH

Haining China Leather


Market

Sales and leases out spaces of leather-product


market

26-Jan-10

Shenzhen

20.00

61.55

208

002343 CH

Zhejiang Hexin Industry


Group

Develops, manufactures and sells synthetic leather


products

26-Jan-10

Shenzhen

31.00

30.90

(0)

002329 CH

Guangxi Royal Dairy

Produces, processes and sells liquid milk and liquid


dairy products

6-Jan-10

Shenzhen

20.10

44.32

120

002330 CH

Shandong Delisi Food

Manufactures and sells frozen meat and low


temperature meat products

6-Jan-10

Shenzhen

13.18

17.53

33

Sources: Bloomberg, Company data

BNP PARIBAS

MICHELE MAK, CFA

ASIA CONSUMER ANECDOTES

17 NOVEMBER 2010

Exhibit 7: Economic Calendar


Estimated next
announcement date

Country

Economic statistics

2009

Jul-10

Aug-10

Sep-10

Oct-10

(y-y %)

(y-y %)

(y-y %)

(y-y %)

(y-y %)

18-Nov-10

Taiwan

Visitor Arrivals

14.3

23.4

20.3

23.1

na

22-Nov-10

China

Total retail sales of consumer goods

15.5

23.3

24.3

24.0

na

22-Nov-10

Hong Kong

Visitor Arrivals

0.3

31.9

21.9

21.2

na

25-Nov-10

Japan

Visitor Arrivals

(18.7)

38.9

18.2

34.0

na

25-Nov-10

Japan

Retail Sales

(2.3)

3.8

4.3

1.2

na

26-Nov-10

Japan

Consumer Price Index

(1.4)

(0.9)

(0.9)

(0.6)

na

26-Nov-10

Philippines

Visitor Arrivals

(3.9)

24.6

na

na

na

26-Nov-10

South Korea

Visitor Arrivals

13.1

23.9

19.8

12.7

na

26-Nov-10

US

Visitor Arrivals

(5.5)

24.3

na

na

na

29-Nov-10

Singapore

Consumer Price Index

0.6

3.1

3.3

3.7

na

29-Nov-10

Taiwan

Retail Sales

29-Nov-10

Thailand

Visitor Arrivals

2.4

7.4

7.6

7.6

na

(3.0)

14.2

8.9

14.5

30-Nov-10

South Korea

na

Retail Sales

3.9

10.7

11.2

7.8

30-Nov-10

na

Thailand

Retail Sales

(4.2)

12.3

8.2

na

na

1-Dec-10

Hong Kong

Retail Sales - Value

0.6

19.2

17.1

17.2

na

1-Dec-10

Hong Kong

Retail Sales - Volume

(0.8)

16.2

14.9

15.8

na

1-Dec-10

Indonesia

Visitor Arrivals

1.7

11.0

3.5

13.8

na

1-Dec-10

Singapore

Visitor Arrivals

(4.3)

24.1

18.0

18.5

na

1-Dec-10

South Korea

Consumer Price Index

2.8

2.6

2.6

3.6

na

1-Dec-10

Thailand

Consumer Price Index

(0.8)

3.5

3.3

3.0

na

2-Dec-10

China

Visitor Arrivals

(2.7)

7.3

5.6

9.7

na

2-Dec-10

Malaysia

Visitor Arrivals

7.2

10.5

3.4

0.0

na

2-Dec-10

EU

Consumer Price Index

0.3

1.7

1.6

1.8

na

2-Dec-10

Hong Kong

Consumer Price Index

0.5

1.4

3.0

2.6

na

2-Dec-10

India

Consumer Price Index

10.9

11.3

9.9

9.8

na

2-Dec-10

Indonesia

Retail Sales

11.0

24.6

32.0

21.1

na

2-Dec-10

Malaysia

Consumer Price Index

0.6

1.9

2.1

1.8

na

6-Dec-10

Philippines

Consumer Price Index

3.2

3.87

3.99

3.6

na

6-Dec-10

Singapore

Retail Sales

(7.4)

(1.3)

(1.2)

0.3

na

6-Dec-10

Indonesia

Consumer Price Index

6.4

6.2

6.4

5.8

5.7

6-Dec-10

Taiwan

Consumer Price Index

(0.9)

0.4

(0.6)

(0.7)

(0.2)

8-Dec-10

India

Visitor Arrivals

(3.3)

4.0

9.0

12.6

9.2

12-Dec-10

China

Consumer Price Index

(0.7)

3.3

3.5

3.6

4.4

15-Dec-10

US

Retail Sales

(7.3)

5.5

4.0

8.2

1.2

15-Dec-10

US

Consumer Price Index

(0.4)

1.2

1.2

1.1

1.1

Index points

26-Nov-10

China

Jul-10

Aug-10

Sep-10

Consumer Confidence Index

107.80

107.30

104.40

Oct-10

26-Nov-10

South Korea

Consumer Confidence Index

112.00

110.00

109.00

26-Nov-10

US

Consumer Confidence Index

51.00

53.20

48.60

108.00
50.20

3-Dec-10

Indonesia

Consumer Confidence Index

105.70

104.00

107.60

112.00

10-Dec-10

Japan

Consumer Confidence Index

43.40

42.50

41.40

41.10

11-Dec-10

Thailand

Consumer Confidence Index

79.30

80.80

81.50

80.20

11-Dec-10

Taiwan

Consumer Confidence Index

78.64

79.69

80.14

80.19

Source: Bloomberg, CEIC

BNP PARIBAS

MICHELE MAK, CFA

ASIA CONSUMER ANECDOTES

17 NOVEMBER 2010

Exhibit 8: Hong Kong And China Share Price Performance

MSCI China Index

Market

3M avg
daily

Share

cap

turnover

price

1 WK

1M

3M

YTD

1 WK

1M

3M

YTD

(USD m)

(USD m)

(LC)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

69.73

(4.0)

(1.2)

11.7

7.4

(6.0)

MXCN Index

Absolute performance

Relative performance

F&B: Dried foods


Tingyi Cayman Islands Holding Corp

322 HK

13,821

15.89

19.18

(7.1)

(1.7)

2.9

1.5

(3.1)

(0.6)

(8.8)

Want Want China Holdings

151 HK

11,809

13.43

6.93

(8.0)

(2.3)

9.1

31.5

(4.0)

(1.1)

(2.6)

24.0

Uni-President China Holdings

220 HK

2,326

2.16

5.01

(12.1)

(5.8)

15.7

(9.9)

(8.1)

(4.6)

4.0

(17.3)

HFCI SP

2,016

0.05

3.30

(2.4)

4.8

26.9

53.5

1.6

6.0

15.2

46.1

60 HK

41

0.13

1.23

(3.9)

(12.8)

6.0

23.9

0.1

(11.6)

(5.7)

16.4

8269 HK

29

0.41

17.1

2.5

21.1

3.7

1068 HK

6,303

33.31

27.70

(13.6)

(6.6)

2.2

22.1

(9.6)

(5.4)

(9.5)

14.7

829 HK

2,220

4.76

10.36

(5.3)

9.6

40.0

48.6

(1.3)

10.8

28.3

41.2

000895 CH

HOGS US

777

1.11

22.07

(2.8)

5.5

50.2

41.4

1.2

6.7

38.5

34.0

Hsu Fu Chi International


Hong Kong Food Investment Holdings
Wealth Glory Holdings
F&B: Processed meat products
China Yurun Food Group
Shenguan Holdings Group
Henan Shuanghui Investment & Dev
Zhongpin Inc
People's Food Holdings
Synear Food Holdings
DaChan Food Asia

PFH SP

606

0.05

0.70

(4.3)

5.5

50.2

41.4

(0.3)

6.7

38.5

34.0

SYNF SP

249

0.29

0.24

(4.7)

(2.1)

(9.6)

(25.4)

(0.7)

(0.9)

(21.3)

(32.8)

3999 HK

198

0.11

1.52

(3.8)

(8.4)

(6.7)

(7.2)

0.2

(7.2)

(18.5)

(14.6)

(29.9)

F&B: Dairy
China Mengniu Dairy

2319 HK

4,786

19.91

21.35

(5.5)

(9.0)

(8.4)

(22.5)

(1.5)

(7.8)

(20.1)

Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial

600887 CH

5,055

42.31

41.99

0.1

13.4

25.6

58.6

4.1

14.6

13.9

51.1

Bright Dairy & Food

600597 CH

1,519

15.98

9.61

(10.4)

2.9

4.3

0.8

(6.3)

4.1

(7.4)

(6.6)

1230 HK

1,463

3.24

(9.2)

(5.2)

600429 CH

1,050

11.39

7.88

(9.2)

5.1

25.1

(2.5)

(5.2)

6.3

13.4

(9.9)
28.4

Yashili International Holdings


Beijing Sanyuan Foods
Natural Dairy NZ Holdings

462 HK

529

1.60

2.20

0.0

0.0

35.8

35.8

4.0

1.2

24.1

Global Dairy Holdings

1007 HK

464

3.56

(9.2)

(5.2)

Ausnutria Dairy Corp

1717 HK

431

2.05

3.20

(9.6)

(17.9)

(30.9)

(49.6)

(5.6)

(16.8)

(42.6)

(57.1)

F&B Juice & beverage


China Foods

506 HK

2,071

4.69

5.75

(8.6)

(7.1)

2.3

(16.6)

(4.6)

(5.9)

(9.4)

(24.1)

V V Food & Beverage

600300 CH

1,665

20.78

6.61

(6.2)

8.2

2.5

(21.2)

(2.2)

9.4

(9.2)

(28.6)

Hebei Chengde Lolo

000848 CH

1,440

20.51

31.43

(2.7)

9.1

13.4

92.4

1.3

10.3

1.7

85.0

1886 HK

1,054

2.77

5.53

2.2

0.9

(3.8)

1.1

6.2

2.1

(15.5)

(6.4)

Vitasoy International Holdings

345 HK

838

0.50

6.38

(3.5)

3.6

4.1

21.8

0.5

4.8

(7.6)

14.4

Besunyen Holdings

926 HK

768

3.54

(0.8)

(0.6)

3.2

0.6

CPMC Holdings

906 HK

706

1.25

6.59

(3.1)

(9.8)

(6.0)

(35.2)

0.9

(8.7)

(17.7)

(42.6)
35.0

China Huiyuan Juice Group

Tianyi Fruit Holdings


Yantai North Andre Juice
China Haisheng Juice Holdings
Longrun Tea Group
Chevalier Pacific Holdings

756 HK

378

0.29

2.89

4.3

(0.7)

9.5

42.4

8.3

0.5

(2.2)

8259 HK

234

0.30

0.43

2.4

0.0

4.9

14.2

6.4

1.2

(6.8)

6.8

359 HK

177

0.93

1.09

(6.0)

(0.9)

13.5

(0.2)

(2.0)

0.3

1.8

(7.6)

2898 HK

154

0.23

0.83

9.2

(4.6)

66.0

(2.4)

13.2

(3.4)

54.3

(9.8)

508 HK

101

1.19

0.33

13.8

(16.5)

(50.0)

54.9

17.8

(15.3)

(61.7)

47.5

107.4

F&B: Brewery
Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery Joint-Stock

002304 CH

16,503

24.60

243.47

(1.7)

17.6

30.5

114.8

2.3

18.8

18.8

China Resources Enterprise

291 HK

10,130

19.05

32.75

(0.9)

2.3

7.4

17.6

3.1

3.5

(4.3)

10.1

Tsingtao Brewery

168 HK

7,127

9.60

40.90

(7.0)

(8.6)

5.8

(4.5)

(3.0)

(7.4)

(5.9)

(11.9)

Chongqing Brewery

600132 CH

5,736

44.15

78.68

11.4

48.2

120.0

237.2

15.4

49.4

108.2

229.8

Beijing Yanjing Brewery-A

000729 CH

3,518

44.33

19.30

(7.7)

(3.7)

(9.2)

3.6

(3.6)

(2.5)

(20.9)

(3.8)

Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery

002461 CH

2,356

23.00

(14.2)

(4.8)

(10.2)

(3.6)

Kingway Brewery Holdings

124 HK

422

0.73

1.91

(2.1)

(8.2)

2.7

6.1

2.0

(7.0)

(9.0)

(1.3)

San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong

236 HK

58

0.01

1.20

(1.6)

(3.2)

0.0

3.4

2.4

(2.0)

(11.7)

(4.0)

200869 CH

6,631

4.09

97.50

1.2

0.9

14.7

44.1

5.2

2.1

3.0

36.6

828 HK

753

1.88

4.68

(1.7)

0.9

38.1

89.5

2.3

2.1

26.3

82.0

F&B: Winery
Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine
Dynasty Fine Wines Group

(Continued on next page)

BNP PARIBAS

MICHELE MAK, CFA

ASIA CONSUMER ANECDOTES

17 NOVEMBER 2010

Exhibit 8: Hong Kong And China Share Price Performance (Contd)


Market
cap
(USD m)

3M avg
daily
turnover
(USD m)

Share
price
(LC)

Absolute performance
1 WK
1M
3M
YTD
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)

Relative performance
1 WK
1M
3M
YTD
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)

F&B: Distillers
Kweichow Moutai
Wuliangye Yibin
Luzhou Laojiao
Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory
Sichuan Swellfun
Zhejiang Guyuelongshan
Anhui Gujing Distillery
Anhui Golden Seed Winery
Xinjiang Yilite Industry
Silver base Group Holdings
China Tontine Wines Group
JLF Investment

600519 CH
000858 CH
000568 CH
600809 CH
600779 CH
600059 CH
200596 CH
600199 CH
600197 CH
886 HK
389 HK
472 HK

25,189
21,350
9,198
5,343
1,761
1,473
1,431
1,213
1,104
990
412
204

81.89
123.61
58.89
17.79
32.35
28.17
1.43
50.77
20.27
5.63
6.03
0.26

177.19
37.34
43.80
81.93
23.93
15.40
47.20
15.44
16.62
6.45
1.86
0.95

6.8
0.9
2.6
13.5
(13.9)
(5.5)
(0.6)
(9.1)
(9.0)
(6.5)
(18.4)
41.8

10.8
14.3
28.5
30.6
7.3
9.7
25.4
4.2
1.7
34.7
(7.0)
63.8

15.9
20.5
26.6
49.6
9.7
26.2
47.5
(8.9)
(9.0)
87.0
14.1
61.0

5.3
18.6
15.0
93.0
7.0
58.7
149.0
77.6
28.0
146.3
11.4
35.7

10.8
4.9
6.6
17.5
(9.9)
(1.5)
3.4
(5.1)
(5.0)
(2.5)
(14.4)
45.8

11.9
15.5
29.7
31.8
8.5
10.9
26.6
5.4
2.9
35.8
(5.8)
65.0

4.2
8.8
14.9
37.9
(2.0)
14.5
35.8
(20.6)
(20.7)
75.2
2.4
49.3

(2.1)
11.2
7.6
85.6
(0.4)
51.3
141.5
70.1
20.6
138.9
4.0
28.3

F&B: Upstream
Qinghai Salt Lake Potash
China Agri-Industries Holdings
Huabao International Holdings
Heilongjiang Agriculture
Sinofert Holdings
China BlueChemical
Dalian Zhangzidao Fishery Group
Beijing Dabeinong Technology Group
Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings
Shenzhen Agricultural Products
COFTunhe
Sichuan New Hope Agribusiness
Hsu Fu Chi International
Gansu Ronghua Industry Group
Shandong Denghai Seeds
Fujian Sunner Development
Xinjiang Guannong Fruit & Antler
Beijing Shunxin Agriculture
Angel Yeast
China Fishery Group
China Animal Husbandry Industry
Shandong Homey Aquatic Dev
Zhejiang Haitong Food Group
Yuan Longping High-tech Agriculture
Henan Chuying Agro-pastoral
CP Pokphand
Nanning Sugar Industry
Zhengzhou Sanquan Foods
China Green Holdings /Bermuda
Pacific Andes Resources Development
Pacific Andes International Holdings
Global Bio-Chem Technology Group
China Starch Holdings
Oceanus Group
Heng Tai Consumables Group
Pine Agritech
China Corn Oil
Xiwang Sugar Holdings
Global Sweeteners Holdings
LAM Soon Hong Kong
Asia Cassava Resources Holdings
Vedan International Holdings
China Flavors & Fragrances
Golden Resources Development Intl
China Essence Group
First Natural Foods Holdings
Hop Hing Group Holdings
Ever Fortune International Holdings

000792 CH
606 HK
336 HK
600598 CH
297 HK
3983 HK
002069 CH
002385 CH
682 HK
000061 CH
600737 CH
000876 CH
HFCI SP
600311 CH
002041 CH
002299 CH
600251 CH
000860 CH
600298 CH
CFG SP
600195 CH
600467 CH
600537 CH
000998 CH
002477 CH
43 HK
000911 CH
002216 CH
904 HK
PAH SP
1174 HK
809 HK
3838 HK
OCNUS SP
197 HK
PAG SP
1006 HK
2088 HK
3889 HK
411 HK
841 HK
2317 HK
3318 HK
677 HK
CESS SP
1076 HK
47 HK
875 HK

7,227
5,511
4,929
4,008
3,794
3,342
3,295
2,686
2,792
2,591
2,293
2,207
2,016
1,901
1,842
1,989
1,452
1,659
2,064
1,669
1,527
1,471
1,411
1,309
1,259
1,586
964
1,113
900
733
557
557
522
490
516
367
332
237
229
126
126
119
112
103
45
28
14

80.12
14.60
6.68
56.64
9.55
5.47
53.22
18.15
21.14
30.38
30.36
43.55
0.05
79.18
18.08
14.33
30.39
22.42
12.08
0.09
18.98
31.71
23.52
34.74
1.14
34.24
4.25
5.48
0.22
0.48
2.66
6.46
0.54
8.14
0.20
1.99
3.18
0.46
0.02
0.92
0.19
0.05
0.40
0.01
0.02
-

62.51
10.58
12.14
14.97
4.19
5.62
48.35
44.50
6.48
22.38
15.14
17.60
3.30
18.96
69.49
32.20
26.63
25.11
44.78
2.16
25.99
15.41
40.71
31.36
62.62
1.06
22.32
39.53
7.89
0.34
1.41
1.33
0.70
0.32
1.37
0.20
5.41
2.56
1.60
7.28
2.44
0.64
1.90
0.56
0.34
0.30
0.43
0.04

(16.8)
(8.3)
0.8
(10.9)
(8.1)
(9.1)
(6.4)
(13.8)
(5.8)
(4.9)
(17.9)
(11.2)
(2.4)
(8.2)
(8.2)
0.9
(22.3)
(9.7)
17.0
(1.8)
(8.8)
(3.3)
(6.9)
(0.9)
(3.8)
9.3
(20.5)
(2.2)
(5.3)
(1.6)
(7.2)
(5.0)
(2.8)
(4.1)
(4.9)
0.0
(5.4)
(7.6)
(4.2)
(2.8)
(5.1)
(3.0)
(2.6)
(1.8)
6.3
0.0
(10.4)
0.0

(9.9)
(4.7)
(7.6)
3.2
(10.3)
(10.5)
9.0
(2.6)
(7.4)
4.4
1.5
3.0
4.8
68.4
3.1
14.1
(13.9)
7.8
24.7
0.5
5.2
18.4
27.8
5.1
23.3
60.6
(8.3)
11.8
0.5
0.0
1.4
3.9
(5.4)
(4.5)
4.6
0.0
(0.9)
(7.2)
(8.0)
(2.7)
(4.3)
(1.5)
(2.6)
(9.7)
4.6
0.0
(10.4)
0.0

22.4
6.2
1.5
4.3
5.0
9.8
24.7
10.9
(24.3)
20.8
8.1
105.6
26.9
100.6
12.1
4.3
26.1
17.9
14.7
21.3
(10.4)
45.7
43.6
37.7
76.7
11.2
9.2
(9.3)
11.1
13.7
(0.7)
(17.6)
3.3
69.1
11.1
(8.0)
16.4
6.7
7.1
7.0
(5.9)
12.4
1.8
25.9
0.0
8.9
0.0

10.6
4.9
48.9
(0.7)
(3.5)
20.1
159.7
(21.9)
62.2
(9.4)
42.3
53.5
61.8
99.9
29.3
5.1
42.9
50.3
60.4
28.9
57.1
54.6
69.1
84.0
(3.1)
81.1
9.4
21.2
(9.1)
(19.1)
4.5
(28.4)
75.6
21.2
(12.7)
(4.0)
(5.1)
67.7
19.4
(16.7)
15.7
14.5
0.0
32.3
0.0

(12.8)
(4.3)
4.8
(6.9)
(4.1)
(5.1)
(2.4)
(9.8)
(1.8)
(0.9)
(13.9)
(7.2)
1.6
(4.2)
(4.2)
4.9
(18.3)
(5.7)
21.0
2.2
(4.8)
0.7
(2.9)
3.1
0.2
13.3
(16.5)
1.9
(1.3)
2.4
(3.2)
(1.0)
1.2
(0.1)
(0.9)
4.0
(1.4)
(3.6)
(0.2)
1.2
(1.1)
1.0
1.4
2.3
10.3
4.0
(6.4)
4.0

(8.8)
(3.5)
(6.4)
4.4
(9.1)
(9.3)
10.2
(1.4)
(6.2)
5.6
2.7
4.2
6.0
69.6
4.3
15.3
(12.7)
9.0
25.9
1.7
6.4
19.6
29.0
6.3
24.5
61.8
(7.1)
13.0
1.7
1.2
2.6
5.1
(4.2)
(3.4)
5.8
1.2
0.3
(6.1)
(6.9)
(1.5)
(3.1)
(0.3)
(1.4)
(8.5)
5.8
1.2
(9.2)
1.2

10.6
(5.5)
(10.2)
(7.4)
(6.7)
(1.9)
13.0
(0.8)
(36.0)
9.1
(3.6)
93.9
15.2
88.9
0.4
(7.4)
14.4
6.2
3.0
9.6
(22.2)
33.9
31.9
26.0
65.0
(0.5)
(2.5)
(21.0)
(0.6)
2.0
(12.5)
(29.4)
(8.4)
57.4
(0.6)
(19.7)
4.7
(5.0)
(4.7)
(4.7)
(17.6)
0.6
(9.9)
14.2
(11.7)
(2.9)
(11.7)

3.2
(2.5)
41.5
(8.1)
(10.9)
12.7
152.2
(29.4)
54.8
(16.8)
34.9
46.1
54.3
92.4
21.9
(2.3)
35.4
42.9
52.9
21.5
49.7
47.1
61.6
76.6
(10.6)
73.7
2.0
13.8
(16.6)
(26.6)
(2.9)
(35.8)
68.2
13.8
(20.2)
(11.4)
(12.5)
60.3
11.9
(24.1)
8.3
7.1
(7.4)
24.9
(7.4)

(Continued on next page)

10

BNP PARIBAS

MICHELE MAK, CFA

ASIA CONSUMER ANECDOTES

17 NOVEMBER 2010

Exhibit 8: Hong Kong And China Share Price Performance (Contd)


Market

3M avg
daily

Share

cap

turnover

price

1 WK

1M

3M

YTD

1 WK

1M

3M

YTD

(USD m)

(USD m)

(LC)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

12.4

Absolute performance

Relative performance

Staples: Household & personal care products


Hengan International Group

1044 HK

10,698

18.52

67.75

(7.1)

(4.9)

(3.1)

19.8

(3.1)

(3.7)

(14.9)

L'Occitane International SA

973 HK

4,143

6.18

21.75

(4.4)

(0.7)

28.9

(0.4)

0.5

17.1

1338 HK

1,260

8.58

3.36

(8.9)

(8.7)

(21.3)

(36.1)

(4.9)

(7.5)

(33.0)

(43.5)

BaWang International Group Holding


Henan Rebecca Hair Products

600439 CH

1,398

29.49

12.55

1.1

14.8

17.1

29.7

5.1

16.0

5.4

22.2

Vinda International Holdings

3331 HK

1,232

8.78

10.20

(0.2)

(1.4)

18.5

88.4

3.8

(0.2)

6.8

81.0

Magic Holdings International

1633 HK

617

5.76

(3.5)

11.6

0.5

12.8

157 HK

617

0.31

2.39

(3.2)

30.6

68.3

80.9

0.8

31.8

56.6

73.5

Natural Beauty Bio-Technology


Ming Fai International Holdings

3828 HK

256

1.80

3.12

2.0

(4.0)

15.6

138.0

6.0

(2.8)

3.8

130.6

Water Oasis Group

1161 HK

134

0.42

1.36

0.7

4.6

14.3

(2.3)

4.7

5.8

2.6

(9.7)

FAVA International Holdings

8108 HK

34

0.06

0.16

(2.5)

(8.8)

11.5

31.4

1.5

(7.6)

(0.2)

23.9

China AU Group Holdings

8176 HK

34

0.50

0.40

1.3

(17.5)

(2.4)

(49.4)

5.3

(16.3)

(14.2)

(56.8)

Organized retail: Department stores


Golden Eagle Retail Group

3308 HK

5,525

7.97

22.05

0.7

13.3

15.0

40.3

4.7

14.5

3.3

32.9

Parkson Retail Group

3368 HK

4,899

8.93

13.52

0.0

(0.6)

0.3

0.4

4.0

0.6

(11.4)

(7.1)

Lifestyle International Holdings


Shanghai Bailian Group

1212 HK

4,128

2.68

19.06

(1.9)

(1.1)

8.9

34.1

2.2

0.0

(2.8)

26.7

600631 CH

2,733

10.33

16.48

(6.4)

19.4

19.4

(8.5)

(2.4)

20.6

7.7

(16.0)
20.9

Beijing Wangfujing Department Store

600859 CH

2,954

15.98

46.96

0.8

5.5

20.1

28.3

4.8

6.7

8.4

Rainbow Department Store

002419 CH

2,772

11.87

46.00

(5.8)

13.4

15.1

(1.8)

14.6

3.4

1833 HK

2,618

9.23

11.52

(8.0)

(1.0)

32.4

63.1

(4.0)

0.2

20.7

55.7

600694 CH

2,560

24.14

57.87

4.9

9.3

19.0

32.2

8.9

10.5

7.3

24.7

848 HK

2,380

2.74

3.59

(1.4)

5.6

11.5

69.5

2.6

6.8

(0.2)

62.1

1700 HK

1,999

6.20

(7.6)

(3.6)

825 HK

1,609

1.75

7.40

(4.1)

(3.1)

9.3

6.2

(0.1)

(2.0)

(2.4)

(1.2)
(2.8)

Intime Department Store Group


Dashang Group
Maoye International Holdings
Springland International Holdings
New World Department Store China
Guangzhou Friendship Group

000987 CH

1,549

12.23

28.65

(5.1)

3.5

2.8

4.6

(1.1)

4.7

(8.9)

Wuhan Department Store Group

000501 CH

1,557

9.42

20.38

(1.6)

4.5

10.8

37.1

2.4

5.7

(1.0)

29.7

Chongqing Department Store

600729 CH

1,645

6.16

53.53

3.1

9.6

5.3

34.0

7.1

10.8

(6.4)

26.6
(24.1)

PCD Stores

331 HK

1,357

6.41

2.49

(5.7)

4.2

3.8

(16.7)

(1.7)

5.4

(8.0)

Wuhan Zhongbai Group

000759 CH

1,441

24.17

14.05

(0.3)

16.1

6.8

21.0

3.7

17.3

(4.9)

13.6

Hefei Department Store Group

000417 CH

1,470

8.78

20.35

5.4

18.3

7.1

39.7

9.4

19.5

(4.6)

32.3

Shanghai New World

600628 CH

1,052

24.30

13.13

(9.3)

1.1

(1.6)

(12.3)

(5.3)

2.3

(13.4)

(19.8)

Chengshang Group

600828 CH

1,170

4.94

21.24

1.4

13.2

12.4

70.9

5.4

14.3

0.7

63.4

Wuxi Commercial Mansion Grand


Orient

600327 CH

1,057

11.91

13.45

(3.0)

10.7

22.8

50.8

1.0

11.9

11.1

43.3

Yinchuan Xinhua Department Store

600785 CH

1,062

9.40

34.00

1.9

2.1

(3.0)

45.0

5.9

3.3

(14.7)

37.5

Shanghai Yimin Commercial

600824 CH

829

19.20

7.52

(10.7)

1.3

(5.4)

(18.8)

(6.7)

2.5

(17.1)

(26.2)

Wing On Co International

289 HK

560

0.14

14.70

(0.5)

(0.3)

3.7

43.1

3.5

0.9

(8.0)

35.7

Sincere

244 HK

69

1.35

0.93

(17.0)

38.8

97.9

232.1

(13.0)

40.0

86.2

224.7

Jiahua Stores Holdings

602 HK

52

0.02

0.39

(8.3)

(2.5)

(1.3)

1.3

(4.3)

(1.3)

(13.0)

(6.1)

Organized retail: Food retailers


Dairy Farm International Holdings

DFI SP

11,015

0.12

8.16

1.0

3.9

9.1

39.7

5.0

5.1

(2.6)

32.3

8277 HK

3,177

1.91

19.70

1.8

4.3

19.1

62.1

5.8

5.5

7.4

54.7

980 HK

2,676

2.23

33.35

0.0

(0.3)

10.6

44.2

4.0

0.9

(1.1)

36.7

Beijing Hualian Hypermarket

600361 CH

868

20.25

11.88

(7.0)

(2.1)

6.9

25.7

(3.0)

(1.0)

(4.8)

18.3

Shanghai Friendship Group Inc

900923 CH

1,011

0.13

2.14

7.3

48.8

48.8

44.7

11.3

50.0

37.1

37.2

Wumart Stores Inc


Lianhua Supermarket Holdings

Aeon Stores Hong Kong

984 HK

570

0.08

17.00

(2.3)

0.0

34.9

37.3

1.7

1.2

23.2

29.8

Beijing Jingkelong

814 HK

499

0.68

9.39

(4.2)

4.9

(1.3)

52.0

(0.2)

6.1

(13.0)

44.6

CP Lotus Corp

121 HK

302

0.14

0.26

(7.3)

(8.9)

0.0

24.4

(3.3)

(7.7)

(11.7)

17.0

8052 HK

301

0.22

3.19

0.9

4.6

28.8

67.4

5.0

5.8

17.1

59.9

Convenience Retail Asia

(Continued on next page)

11

BNP PARIBAS

MICHELE MAK, CFA

ASIA CONSUMER ANECDOTES

17 NOVEMBER 2010

Exhibit 8: Hong Kong And China Share Price Performance (Contd)


Market.

3m avg
daily

Share

cap

turnover

price

1 WK

1M

3M

YTD

1 WK

1M

3M

YTD

(USD m)

(USD m)

(LC)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

Absolute performance

Relative performance

Organized retail: Home appliance retailers


Suning Appliance

002024 CH

15,048

94.87

14.28

(5.6)

(5.0)

3.0

3.4

(1.5)

(3.8)

(8.7)

(4.1)

GOME Electrical Appliances Holdings

493 HK

6,457

67.72

3.00

11.5

19.0

37.0

6.4

15.5

20.2

25.3

(1.0)

Huiyin Household Appliances Holdings

1280 HK

279

1.84

2.06

(6.4)

0.5

10.2

(2.4)

1.7

(1.6)

Combest Holdings

8190 HK

167

0.10

0.41

(6.9)

1.3

15.7

313.3

(2.9)

2.4

4.0

305.8

Home appliance manufacturers


GD Midea Holding

000527 CH

7,473

56.64

15.90

(10.8)

(7.1)

14.6

3.4

(6.8)

(5.9)

2.8

(4.0)

Gree Electric Appliances Inc

000651 CH

6,817

87.04

16.06

(12.0)

(5.8)

8.5

(14.7)

(7.9)

(4.6)

(3.2)

(22.1)

Qingdao Haier

600690 CH

5,542

29.15

27.49

2.5

15.2

17.9

12.4

6.5

16.4

6.2

5.0

TCL Corp

000100 CH

2,349

22.98

3.68

(10.0)

(5.9)

(9.1)

(28.3)

(6.0)

(4.7)

(20.8)

(35.7)

Haier Electronics Group

1169 HK

1,948

5.27

7.11

(3.3)

8.4

34.2

40.2

0.7

9.6

22.4

32.8

Hisense Electric

600060 CH

1,715

32.18

13.14

(11.1)

(0.3)

(4.1)

(23.0)

(7.1)

0.9

(15.8)

(30.5)

Sichuan Changhong Electric

600839 CH

1,647

24.27

3.84

(11.1)

(8.4)

(5.9)

(12.2)

(7.1)

(7.2)

(17.6)

(19.6)

751 HK

1,445

25.79

4.36

(6.4)

(14.7)

(14.0)

(44.5)

(2.4)

(13.5)

(25.7)

(51.9)

921 HK

683

1.71

3.91

(2.7)

(3.2)

(1.0)

1.0

1.3

(2.0)

(12.7)

(6.4)

200016 CH

491

1.82

3.16

(9.7)

(4.5)

(0.9)

(16.5)

(5.7)

(3.3)

(12.7)

(23.9)

Skyworth Digital Holdings


Hisense Kelon Electrical Holdings
Konka Group
Chigo Holding

449 HK

452

1.88

4.57

(8.4)

1.6

5.4

20.3

(4.4)

2.7

(6.3)

12.9

1070 HK

437

4.87

3.12

(9.6)

(7.7)

(6.0)

(62.5)

(5.6)

(6.5)

(17.7)

(70.0)

3389 HK

2,514

12.57

4.45

3.7

1.1

16.5

52.8

7.7

2.3

4.8

45.3

116 HK

1,743

3.18

19.96

(10.5)

10.2

27.0

119.9

(6.5)

11.3

15.3

112.5

600086 CH

1,484

44.25

27.96

0.6

24.5

167.6

187.4

4.7

25.7

155.8

179.9

590 HK

1,464

4.05

23.05

(5.7)

36.2

77.3

250.4

(1.7)

37.4

65.6

242.9

900905 CH

907

0.35

2.71

0.3

17.5

22.6

45.1

4.3

18.6

10.9

37.7

Emperor Watch & Jewellery

887 HK

825

3.90

1.13

(14.4)

31.4

82.3

149.4

(10.4)

32.6

70.5

142.0

Dickson Concepts International

113 HK

342

1.32

7.13

(3.6)

14.8

30.3

83.7

0.4

16.0

18.6

76.2

Asia Commercial Holdings

104 HK

3.64

(3.7)

0.3

Ming Fung Jewellery Group

860 HK

261

1.91

0.81

(8.0)

12.5

52.8

45.4

(3.9)

13.7

41.1

38.0

TCL Multimedia Technology Holdings


Organized retail: Jewelry & accessories
Hengdeli Holdings
Chow Sang Sang Holdings
Hubei Eastern Gold Jade
Luk Fook Holdings International
Lao Feng Xiang

Tse Sui Luen Jewellery International

417 HK

224

0.70

8.25

(9.8)

9.7

33.3

264.6

(5.8)

10.9

21.6

257.1

Oriental Watch Holdings

398 HK

222

1.61

4.32

(9.1)

11.3

72.1

166.0

(5.0)

12.5

60.4

158.6

King Fook Holdings

280 HK

177

4.95

3.16

(0.3)

50.5

232.6

303.1

3.7

51.7

220.9

295.6

Artini China

789 HK

82

0.31

0.50

(5.7)

(3.8)

(15.3)

(51.9)

(1.7)

(2.7)

(27.0)

(59.3)
63.3

Stelux Holdings International

84 HK

96

0.07

0.78

(3.7)

23.8

47.2

70.7

0.3

25.0

35.5

8351 HK

37

0.15

0.50

0.0

(3.8)

81.8

35.1

4.0

(2.7)

70.1

27.7

475 HK

50

0.20

1.44

20.0

35.8

144.1

203.2

24.0

37.0

132.4

195.7

SA SA International Holdings

178 HK

1,342

3.68

7.45

(0.5)

8.6

24.8

49.6

3.5

9.8

13.1

42.2

Bonjour Holdings

653 HK

517

5.95

1.36

(2.9)

(9.3)

17.7

124.1

1.1

(8.1)

6.0

116.6

8079 HK

16

0.98

0.29

76.8

90.8

0.0

(83.6)

80.8

92.0

(11.7)

(91.0)

Eternite International
Noble Jewelry Holdings
Organized retail: Cosmetics

BAL Holdings
Organized retail: Specialty stores
Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding

601607 CH

7,173

39.12

23.90

3.4

19.3

19.6

71.8

7.4

20.5

7.9

64.4

Shanghai Yuyuan Tourist Mart

600655 CH

3,189

62.58

14.73

(15.1)

(10.1)

(0.6)

(2.7)

(11.0)

(8.9)

(12.3)

(10.1)

Man Wah Holdings

1999 HK

1,621

2.27

12.94

(5.0)

29.4

41.4

(1.0)

30.6

29.7

Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media

811 HK

653

0.82

4.46

(5.5)

0.0

7.7

50.3

(1.5)

1.2

(4.0)

42.9

Culture Landmark Investment

674 HK

288

0.08

0.23

0.4

(9.6)

(3.4)

18.4

4.5

(8.4)

(15.1)

11.0

Modern Beauty Salon Holdings

919 HK

100

0.14

1.07

17.6

24.4

86.7

80.7

21.6

25.6

75.0

73.3

(Continued on next page)

12

BNP PARIBAS

MICHELE MAK, CFA

ASIA CONSUMER ANECDOTES

17 NOVEMBER 2010

Exhibit 8: Hong Kong And China Share Price Performance (Contd)


Market.

3m avg
daily

Share

cap
(USD m)

turnover
(USD m)

price
(LC)

1 WK
(%)

Absolute performance
1M
(%)

3M
(%)

YTD
(%)

Relative performance
1 WK
(%)

1M
(%)

3M
(%)

YTD
(%)

Organized retail: Restaurants & catering


Ajisen China Holdings

538 HK

1,767

3.93

12.80

(10.4)

(6.3)

38.8

96.6

(6.4)

(5.1)

27.1

89.2

Cafe de Coral Holdings


Little Sheep Group

341 HK
968 HK

1,527
688

1.13
0.70

21.05
5.17

(5.6)
1.0

(6.4)
(2.5)

9.0
15.9

21.2
22.3

(1.6)
5.0

(5.3)
(1.3)

(2.8)
4.2

13.7
14.8

Tao Heung Holdings


China Energy Development Holdings

573 HK
228 HK

357
250

0.06
1.66

2.72
0.45

(6.2)
4.7

(9.0)
(9.2)

(9.3)
9.9

(12.4)
3.5

(2.2)
8.7

(7.8)
(8.0)

(21.0)
(1.8)

(19.8)
(3.9)

Fairwood
G-Vision International Holdings

52 HK
657 HK

165
103

0.31
0.06

10.20
0.41

(2.1)
(2.4)

5.6
5.1

24.1
9.3

37.7
135.6

1.9
1.6

6.8
6.3

12.4
(2.4)

30.3
128.2

Tack Hsin Holdings

611 HK

156

0.84

3.31

25.9

63.9

128.3

94.7

29.9

65.1

116.6

87.3

Vongroup

318 HK

77

0.31

0.10

(3.8)

(3.8)

6.3

(46.9)

0.2

(2.6)

(5.5)

(54.3)

494 HK

22,520

41.15

43.45

2.5

3.5

13.7

37.9

6.5

6.5

2.0

30.5

330 HK
002269 CH

6,879
4,900

41.90
7.65

41.40
32.40

(4.6)
(0.6)

(6.7)
25.1

(9.8)
32.0

(17.6)
46.1

(0.6)
3.4

(5.5)
26.3

(21.5)
20.3

(25.0)
38.7

Brands: Apparel
Li & Fung
Esprit Holdings
Shanghai Metersbonwe Fashion &
Accessories
Youngor Group

600177 CH

3,947

29.31

11.77

(11.8)

(8.4)

(5.3)

(15.4)

(7.8)

(7.2)

(17.0)

(22.9)

Bosideng International Holdings


Haining China Leather Market

3998 HK
002344 CH

3,759
2,596

9.68
11.11

3.75
61.55

(4.1)
15.3

4.7
35.0

45.9
61.7

124.1
-

(0.1)
19.3

5.9
36.2

34.2
50.0

116.7
-

1698 HK
1234 HK

1,807
1,753

5.44

6.75
11.32

(7.0)
(5.2)

(4.8)
15.6

0.3

50.4

(3.0)
(1.2)

(3.6)
16.8

(11.5)

43.0

Trinity
Ports Design
Fujian Septwolves Industry
Your-Mart

891 HK
589 HK
002029 CH
002277 CH

1,580
1,561
1,479
1,430

5.24
5.69
7.43
27.08

7.76
21.35
34.70
27.18

(3.8)
(4.0)
(0.1)
(2.7)

(3.7)
8.0
8.7
18.1

23.7
2.4
51.6
10.9

113.5
(8.6)
148.5
43.2

0.2
(0.0)
3.9
1.4

(2.6)
9.2
9.9
19.3

12.0
(9.3)
39.9
(0.8)

106.0
(16.0)
141.1
35.8

Zhejiang Baoxiniao Garment


IT

002154 CH
999 HK

1,309
1,042

9.33
7.48

29.59
6.76

(2.7)
(9.9)

19.2
25.7

11.2
107.4

32.1
368.8

1.3
(5.9)

20.4
26.8

(0.5)
95.7

24.6
361.4

709 HK
393 HK

937
491

2.08
0.23

4.86
3.59

1.3
(1.4)

0.4
4.7

17.9
20.9

124.4
31.0

5.3
2.6

1.6
5.9

6.2
9.2

117.0
23.5

990 HK
375 HK
533 HK
1388 HK
448 HK

462
417
405
362
232

0.54
0.79
0.32
0.80
1.20

0.98
20.50
3.20
6.90
1.83

(2.0)
(13.5)
(4.5)
(8.1)
9.6

5.4
54.4
2.9
7.8
37.6

14.0
78.3
16.4
50.3
60.5

(21.6)
233.7
66.9
75.3
278.1

2.0
(9.5)
(0.5)
(4.1)
13.6

6.6
55.6
4.1
9.0
38.8

2.2
66.5
4.7
38.6
48.8

(29.0)
226.3
59.5
67.8
270.7

592 HK

164

2.71

0.79

(9.2)

5.8

25.8

100.0

(5.2)

6.9

14.1

92.6

483 HK
686 HK
1173 HK
130 HK
333 HK
647 HK
8272 HK
122 HK
627 HK

173
151
100
89
89
103
77
57
6

0.37
1.28
0.75
1.27
0.52
1.18
0.77
0.77
-

3.73
1.60
0.38
2.45
0.64
0.49
0.25
0.71
0.01

(4.6)
3.9
(1.3)
(8.9)
0.0
12.6
2.1
10.9
0.0

19.9
17.6
1.3
2.5
1.6
38.0
(26.3)
20.3
0.0

30.1
128.6
49.0
20.1
18.5
50.8
(5.0)
26.8
0.0

164.2
182.7
155.0
177.5
31.1
178.4
(55.1)
79.7
0.0

(0.6)
7.9
2.7
(4.9)
4.0
16.6
6.1
14.9
4.0

21.1
18.8
2.5
3.7
2.8
39.2
(25.1)
21.5
1.2

18.3
116.9
37.3
8.4
6.8
39.1
(16.7)
15.1
(11.7)

156.7
175.3
147.6
170.0
23.7
171.0
(62.5)
72.3
(7.4)

Belle International Holdings

1880 HK

15,861

34.56

14.58

(2.0)

2.1

10.2

63.6

2.0

3.3

(1.6)

56.2

Yue Yuen Industrial Holdings


Daphne International Holdings
Stella International Holdings
Pou Sheng International Holdings
Le Saunda Holdings
Kingmaker Footwear Holdings
Walker Group Holdings
Pegasus International Holdings
Symphony Holdings /Hong Kong
KTP Holdings

551 HK
210 HK
1836 HK
3813 HK
738 HK
1170 HK
1386 HK
676 HK
1223 HK
645 HK

5,700
1,851
1,625
703
306
137
122
117
87
56

8.18
3.79
0.67
0.90
1.48
0.58
0.05
0.00
0.03
0.14

26.80
8.76
15.86
1.27
3.71
1.60
1.52
1.24
0.39
1.28

(6.5)
(4.2)
(3.8)
(2.3)
(15.5)
(7.0)
(5.0)
0.0
(2.5)
(1.5)

(6.9)
(5.2)
(1.7)
10.4
(17.6)
(3.0)
(1.3)
(0.8)
(1.3)
(7.9)

8.1
16.5
9.4
19.8
14.2
3.9
7.8
(2.4)
(2.5)
10.3

23.6
42.1
18.7
9.5
110.2
81.2
11.8
(9.4)
(6.6)
64.1

(2.5)
(0.2)
0.2
1.7
(11.5)
(3.0)
(1.0)
4.0
1.5
2.5

(5.8)
(4.0)
(0.5)
11.6
(16.4)
(1.8)
(0.1)
0.4
(0.1)
(6.7)

(3.6)
4.8
(2.3)
8.1
2.4
(7.8)
(3.9)
(14.1)
(14.2)
(1.4)

16.1
34.7
11.3
2.1
102.8
73.8
4.3
(16.8)
(14.0)
56.7

Boshiwa International Holding


China Lilang

Giordano International
Glorious Sun Enterprises
Theme International Holdings
YGM Trading
Goldlion Holdings
Embry Holdings
Hang Ten Group Holdings
Bossini International Hldg
Bauhaus International Holdings
Time Infrastructure Holdings
Veeko International Holdings
Moiselle International
Top Form International
Joyce Boutique Holdings
Best Miracle International
Crocodile Garments
U-RIGHT International Holdings
Brands: Footwear

(Continued on next page)

13

BNP PARIBAS

MICHELE MAK, CFA

ASIA CONSUMER ANECDOTES

17 NOVEMBER 2010

Exhibit 8: Hong Kong And China Share Price Performance (Contd)

Brands: Sportswear
Anta Sports Products
China Dongxiang Group
Li Ning
XTEP International Holdings
361 Degrees International
Peak Sport Products
China Hongxing Sports
Meike International Holdings
Flyke International Holdings
China Sports International
Textiles
Sunvim Group
Jiangsu Sunshine
Ningbo Shanshan
Texwinca Holdings
Zhejiang Huafeng Spandex
Luolai Home Textile
Shenzhou International Group
Luthai Textile
Jiangsu Huaxicun
Black Peony Group
Yantai Spandex
Weiqiao Textile
Pacific Textile Holdings
Texhong Textile Group
Shanghai Nine Dragon
Costin New Materials Group
International Taifeng Holdings
Sijia Group
Wai Chun Mining Industry Group
China Ting Group Holdings
Victory City International Holdings
Win Hanverky Holdings
Eagle Nice International Holdings
Kam Hing International Holdings
Fountain SET Holdings
Hua Lien International Holding
High Fashion International
Tack Fat Group
Luen Thai Holdings
Huafeng Group Holdings
Tristate Holdings
Addchance Holdings
Tungtex Holdings
Co-Prosperity Holdings
Ford Glory Group Holdings
Yangtzekiang Garment
Mainland Headwear Holdings
Guangdong Tannery
Kingdom Holdings
Jiangchen International Holdings
Art Textile Technology International
Chanco International Group
Carry Wealth Holdings
Easyknit Enterprises Holdings
Pak Tak International
Ching Hing Holdings
Zhejiang Yonglong Enterprises

Market.
cap
(USD m)

3m avg
daily
turnover
(USD m)

Share
price
(LC)

Absolute performance
1 WK
1M
3M
YTD
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)

2020 HK
3818 HK
2331 HK
1368 HK
1361 HK
1968 HK
CHHS SP
953 HK
1998 HK
CSPORT SP

4,619
2,989
2,855
1,875
1,758
1,521
356
244
192
85

15.31
11.93
21.79
5.32
6.01
6.42
0.79
0.93
0.34
0.12

14.36
4.09
21.05
6.68
6.59
5.62
0.17
1.82
1.86
0.12

(6.5)
(9.1)
(10.0)
(4.8)
(8.3)
(9.4)
(8.3)
(7.6)
(7.0)
(4.2)

(11.0)
(10.1)
(13.2)
(1.9)
(12.7)
(18.0)
(10.8)
(6.7)
(4.6)
(8.0)

(4.1)
(6.9)
(19.8)
14.4
5.3
(1.9)
3.1
21.3
(0.5)
9.5

28.5
(28.5)
(27.2)
59.3
47.6
35.0
(10.9)
(34.3)

(2.5)
(5.1)
(6.0)
(0.8)
(4.3)
(5.3)
(4.3)
(3.6)
(3.0)
(0.2)

(9.8)
(8.9)
(12.0)
(0.7)
(11.5)
(16.8)
(9.6)
(5.5)
(3.4)
(6.8)

(15.8)
(18.6)
(31.5)
2.7
(6.4)
(13.6)
(8.6)
9.6
(12.2)
(2.2)

21.0
(36.0)
(34.6)
51.8
40.1
27.5
(18.3)
(41.7)

002083 CH
600220 CH
600884 CH
321 HK
002064 CH
002293 CH
2313 HK
200726 CH
000936 CH
600510 CH
002254 CH
2698 HK
1382 HK
2678 HK
900955 CH
2228 HK
873 HK
1863 HK
660 HK
3398 HK
539 HK
3322 HK

2368 HK

1,566
1,561
1,417
1,549
1,382
1,501
1,394
998
999
1,177
1,176
991
797
706
615
610
509
486
508
332
285
190
170

62.12
58.88
58.51
2.15
40.96
5.51
2.76
2.13
30.91
10.00
23.31
2.82
0.82
1.05
0.16
3.27
1.72
1.35
0.53
0.27
1.87
0.22
0.83

11.08
5.81
22.89
8.89
12.43
71.01
8.68
7.78
8.87
9.82
29.90
6.43
4.31
6.19
0.47
5.91
3.95
4.55
0.26
1.23
1.82
1.16
2.64

(12.4)
(12.0)
(14.9)
(4.6)
(15.7)
(2.6)
(4.6)
(11.6)
(18.8)
(11.2)
(9.2)
(4.6)
(2.9)
(7.3)
(6.9)
(0.7)
(12.6)
(3.8)
3.2
(3.1)
(5.7)
(4.9)
(4.7)

(7.8)
(8.5)
6.6
4.2
(5.5)
5.9
(10.4)
10.5
(7.7)
(0.5)
3.1
4.4
(4.2)
34.3
4.9
40.7
(7.9)
27.1
4.9
(6.8)
(3.2)
(2.5)
3.5

7.4
0.3
25.7
14.0
19.1
18.4
(9.6)
20.2
22.9
(12.7)
22.4
26.1
(2.7)
27.1
8.8
86.4
110.1
31.9
(16.4)
(4.1)
9.6
13.9
28.8

22.2
0.3
36.4
26.7
31.0
75.4
(11.2)
23.1
46.1
(19.7)
36.0
25.8
(9.9)
605.0
(0.6)
87.5
5.5
20.9
4.6
(16.9)

(8.4)
(8.0)
(10.9)
(0.6)
(11.7)
1.4
(0.6)
(7.6)
(14.8)
(7.2)
(5.2)
(0.6)
1.1
(3.3)
(2.9)
3.3
(8.6)
0.2
7.2
0.9
(1.7)
(0.9)
(0.7)

(6.6)
(7.3)
7.8
5.4
(4.3)
7.0
(9.2)
11.7
(6.5)
0.7
4.3
5.6
(3.0)
35.5
6.1
41.9
(6.7)
28.3
6.1
(5.6)
(2.0)
(1.3)
4.7

(4.3)
(11.4)
14.0
2.3
7.4
6.7
(21.3)
8.5
11.2
(24.4)
10.7
14.4
(14.4)
15.4
(3.0)
74.7
98.4
20.2
(28.1)
(15.8)
(2.1)
2.2
17.1

14.7
(7.1)
28.9
19.2
23.6
68.0
(18.6)
15.7
38.7
(27.2)
28.5
18.4
(17.3)
597.6
(8.1)
80.1
(1.9)
13.5
(2.8)
(24.4)

2307 HK
420 HK
969 HK
608 HK
928 HK
311 HK
364 HK
458 HK
3344 HK
518 HK
707 HK
1682 HK
294 HK
1100 HK
1058 HK
528 HK
8305 HK
565 HK
264 HK
643 HK
616 HK
2668 HK
692 HK
8211 HK

149
131
129
111
114
102
89
87
73
64
56
50
49
45
40
55
48
34
28
24
22
17
17
11

0.41
0.37
0.23
0.06
0.09
0.59
0.03
0.05
0.04
0.09
0.03
0.02
0.05
0.04
0.02
0.04
0.01
0.14
0.03
0.00
0.83
-

1.39
1.28
0.80
2.85
0.40
0.80
0.48
2.52
1.28
1.41
0.37
0.89
1.82
0.87
0.58
0.69
1.01
0.25
0.68
0.51
0.47
0.55
0.24
0.08

(6.1)
(3.8)
(3.6)
(3.7)
0.0
0.0
0.0
3.3
8.5
(1.4)
2.8
(10.1)
0.0
(4.4)
(9.4)
6.2
7.4
(2.0)
4.6
2.0
16.0
3.8
(38.4)
0.0

5.3
(3.0)
11.1
0.7
0.0
1.3
(1.0)
17.8
10.3
(2.1)
(2.6)
(2.2)
2.8
4.8
(17.1)
38.0
29.5
(2.0)
11.5
(3.8)
23.7
(6.8)
(13.8)
0.0

1.5
4.1
17.6
9.6
0.0
0.0
18.8
29.2
11.3
(0.6)
2.8
13.8
13.0
46.8
25.5
42.3
3.3
28.3
29.1
27.0
10.0
(52.6)
0.0

(31.9)
4.1
(26.6)
84.6
0.0
7.4
6.7
88.5
5.6
(6.6)
(43.9)
28.6
(3.0)
36.5
89.0
44.3
0.0
20.1
34.2
46.9
31.0
(94.6)
0.0

(2.1)
0.2
0.4
0.3
4.0
4.0
4.0
7.3
12.5
2.6
6.8
(6.1)
4.0
(0.4)
(5.4)
10.2
11.5
2.0
8.6
6.0
20.1
7.8
(34.4)
4.0

6.5
(1.8)
12.3
1.9
1.2
2.5
0.1
18.9
11.5
(0.9)
(1.4)
(1.0)
4.0
6.0
(16.0)
39.2
30.7
(0.8)
12.7
(2.6)
24.9
(5.6)
(12.6)
1.2

Relative performance
1 WK
1M
3M
YTD
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)

(10.3) (39.3)
(7.6)
(3.4)
5.9 (34.0)
(2.1)
77.2
(11.7)
(7.4)
(11.7)
(0.0)
7.0
(0.7)
17.5
81.1
(0.4)
(1.8)
(12.3) (14.0)
(8.9) (51.4)
2.0
21.2
1.3 (10.4)
35.1
29.0
13.7
81.6
30.5
36.9
(8.4)
(7.4)
16.6
12.7
17.4
26.8
15.3
39.4
(1.7)
23.5
(64.3) (102.0)
(11.7)
(7.4)

Source: Bloomberg

14

BNP PARIBAS

MICHELE MAK, CFA

ASIA CONSUMER ANECDOTES

17 NOVEMBER 2010

Exhibit 9: Hong Kong And China Valuation Table


Company

BBG

Mkt

Share

code

cap

price

P/E
11E

12E

11E

EPS growth
12E

P/BV
11E

12E

Yield
11E

12E

11E

ROE
12E

(USD m)

(LC)

(x)

(x)

(%)

(%)

(x)

(x)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

F&B: Dried foods


Tingyi Cayman Islands Holding Corp

322 HK

13,821

19.18

25.8

21.5

21.5

19.8

6.9

5.8

1.9

2.2

28.4

28.8

Want Want China Holdings Ltd

151 HK

11,809

6.93

24.2

20.8

27.6

16.2

9.2

8.3

2.8

3.6

40.7

43.3

Uni-President China Holdings Ltd

220 HK

2,326

5.01

19.8

16.0

24.7

23.5

2.2

2.0

2.3

2.8

11.0

12.9

1068 HK

6,303

27.70

18.0

14.8

18.5

21.3

3.5

2.9

1.6

2.0

21.6

22.3

829 HK

2,220

10.36

21.6

16.7

32.2

29.4

5.9

4.7

1.8

2.4

32.4

33.3

HOGS US

777

22.07

11.2

9.3

22.3

19.8

1.8

1.5

16.9

18.0

SYNF SP

249

0.24

9.3

8.6

18.2

7.7

China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd

2319 HK

4,786

21.35

19.2

16.2

25.1

18.5

3.1

2.7

1.2

1.5

17.6

17.8

Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial

600887 CH

5,055

41.99

32.3

25.7

28.8

26.0

6.5

5.3

0.5

0.6

22.1

22.2

Bright Dairy & Food Co Ltd

600597 CH

1,519

9.61

40.4

31.7

24.6

27.3

3.8

1.2

1.6

8.0

8.0

Beijing Sanyuan Foods Co Ltd

600429 CH

1,050

7.88

1717 HK

431

3.20

12.7

10.0

19.4

27.0

1.8

1.5

2.3

3.0

16.3

17.8

12.2

F&B: Processed meat products


China Yurun Food Group Ltd
Shenguan Holdings Group Ltd
Zhongpin Inc
Synear Food Holdings Ltd
F&B: Dairy

Ausnutria Dairy Corp Ltd


F&B Juice & beverage
China Foods Ltd

506 HK

2,071

5.75

24.0

19.9

34.1

20.4

2.4

2.2

1.4

1.7

10.8

V V Food & Beverage Co Ltd

600300 CH

1,665

6.61

Hebei Chengde Lolo Co

000848 CH

1,440

31.43

35.0

27.9

25.6

25.3

11.3

1.3

1.6

33.5

36.3

China Huiyuan Juice Group Ltd

1886 HK

1,054

5.53

26.2

19.4

90.5

34.8

1.2

1.1

0.8

1.2

4.8

6.1

Vitasoy International Holdings Ltd

345 HK

838

6.38

19.4

16.6

14.8

16.9

3.9

3.5

5.0

6.7

21.6

23.4

Besunyen Holdings Co

926 HK

768

3.54

19.6

14.8

210.0

32.3

2.8

2.5

3.3

4.3

16.2

18.4

CPMC Holdings Ltd

906 HK

706

6.59

16.8

13.9

31.4

20.9

1.8

1.6

1.0

1.2

11.1

12.1

Tianyi Fruit Holdings Ltd

756 HK

378

2.89

11.5

9.9

20.7

16.3

22.4

20.9

8259 HK

234

0.43

1.2

2.7

China Haisheng Juice Holdings Co Ltd

359 HK

177

1.09

0.9

Chevalier Pacific Holdings Ltd

508 HK

101

0.33

30.7

Yantai North Andre Juice Co

F&B: Brewery
Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery Joint-Stock

002304 CH

16,503

243.47

37.3

27.5

41.9

35.7

11.0

7.8

31.4

China Resources Enterprise Ltd

291 HK

10,130

32.75

30.3

24.8

23.8

22.4

2.6

2.4

1.5

1.7

8.4

9.4

Tsingtao Brewery Co Ltd

168 HK

7,127

40.90

25.2

21.5

19.2

17.0

4.3

3.8

1.1

1.2

18.4

18.8

Chongqing Brewery Co

600132 CH

5,736

78.68

155.2

144.4

16.0

7.5

26.9

24.1

15.1

13.2

Beijing Yanjing Brewery-A

000729 CH

3,518

19.30

22.6

19.1

22.2

18.3

2.5

2.4

1.4

1.9

10.6

11.5

Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery Co Ltd

002461 CH

2,356

23.00

113.3

90.2

20.1

25.6

4.4

4.2

3.7

4.1

200869 CH

6,631

97.50

25.2

20.4

24.3

23.1

9.4

7.8

2.1

2.9

40.8

40.3

828 HK

753

4.68

26.9

24.1

20.8

11.5

2.8

2.6

1.8

2.0

10.7

11.5

Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd

600519 CH

25,189

177.19

25.1

20.9

24.7

20.4

6.9

5.5

1.1

1.4

29.3

28.2

Wuliangye Yibin Co Ltd

000858 CH

21,350

37.34

23.4

19.7

27.6

18.8

6.0

4.8

0.7

0.8

26.3

25.6

Luzhou Laojiao Co Ltd

000568 CH

9,198

43.80

23.8

18.4

22.3

29.2

10.3

7.8

2.4

2.9

43.8

41.6

Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory

600809 CH

5,343

81.93

43.1

32.0

40.7

34.7

13.4

10.3

1.2

1.5

34.8

38.3

Sichuan Swellfun Co Ltd

600779 CH

1,761

23.93

25.5

20.1

20.7

26.6

34.1

Zhejiang Guyuelongshan

600059 CH

1,473

15.40

49.8

38.7

25.6

28.8

4.7

3.9

9.4

11.0

Anhui Gujing Distillery Co Ltd

200596 CH

1,431

47.20

24.0

17.4

49.3

37.7

Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co Ltd

600199 CH

1,213

15.44

28.2

21.8

55.7

29.2

22.0

18.1

Xinjiang Yilite Industry Co Ltd

F&B: Winery
Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine Co
Dynasty Fine Wines Group Ltd
F&B: Distillers

600197 CH

1,104

16.62

36.1

29.9

40.7

20.7

Silver base Group Holdings Ltd

886 HK

990

6.45

12.2

9.3

22.4

31.1

4.2

3.8

4.2

4.8

35.5

33.6

China Tontine Wines Group Ltd

389 HK

412

1.86

10.4

8.7

20.5

19.6

1.6

1.5

1.9

2.5

17.6

18.2

(Continued on next page)

15

BNP PARIBAS

MICHELE MAK, CFA

ASIA CONSUMER ANECDOTES

17 NOVEMBER 2010

Exhibit 9: Hong Kong And China Valuation Table (Contd)


Company

BBG

Mkt

Share

code

cap

price

P/E
11E

12E

11E

EPS growth
12E

P/BV
11E

12E

Yield
11E

12E

11E

ROE
12E

(USD m)

(LC)

(x)

(x)

(%)

(%)

(x)

(x)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

F&B: Upstream
Qinghai Salt Lake Potash Co

000792 CH

7,227

62.51

22.9

21.2

39.9

8.0

9.4

8.0

1.5

1.3

40.2

40.5

China Agri-Industries Holdings Ltd

606 HK

5,511

10.58

12.4

10.6

20.7

16.9

1.9

1.6

1.9

2.2

16.0

16.5

Huabao International Holdings Ltd

336 HK

4,929

12.14

20.2

16.4

21.3

22.7

6.3

5.0

1.8

2.1

35.9

34.5

600598 CH

4,008

14.97

297 HK

3,794

4.19

16.4

13.1

47.0

25.1

1.7

1.6

1.1

1.3

11.9

14.0

Heilongjiang Agriculture Co Ltd


Sinofert Holdings Ltd
China BlueChemical Ltd

3983 HK

3,342

5.62

12.1

10.0

44.2

21.4

1.8

1.6

2.4

2.9

15.3

15.7

Dalian Zhangzidao Fishery Group Co Ltd

002069 CH

3,295

48.35

42.4

29.8

29.3

42.5

7.6

6.4

20.8

21.5

Beijing Dabeinong Technology Group

002385 CH

2,686

44.50

32.8

24.5

44.7

33.9

4.9

4.3

0.9

1.1

15.1

17.7

682 HK

2,792

6.48

3.9

3.1

17.0

27.0

0.7

0.5

2.0

3.0

20.9

20.3

Shenzhen Agricultural Products Co Ltd

000061 CH

2,591

22.38

COFCO Tunhe Co Ltd

600737 CH

2,293

15.14

4.2

3.7

14.3

16.4

Sichuan New Hope Agribusiness Co Ltd

000876 CH

2,207

17.60

24.2

17.1

17.1

41.7

HFCI SP

2,016

3.30

21.9

19.3

4.1

13.6

21.5

21.1

Gansu Ronghua Industry Group Co Ltd

600311 CH

1,901

18.96

45.5

22.0

304.9

106.2

9.6

6.7

30.9

30.4

Shandong Denghai Seeds Co Ltd

002041 CH

1,842

69.49

39.8

33.0

44.9

20.6

10.7

8.7

1.0

1.2

22.8

25.0

Fujian Sunner Development Co Ltd

002299 CH

1,989

32.20

32.1

25.0

52.5

28.4

6.2

5.1

17.4

19.5

Xinjiang Guannong Fruit & Antler Group

600251 CH

1,452

26.63

22.0

30.3

188.8

(27.5)

Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co

000860 CH

1,659

25.11

25.9

19.2

31.2

35.3

3.3

3.1

13.2

16.5

Angel Yeast Co Ltd

600298 CH

2,064

44.78

31.7

24.8

31.3

28.0

6.5

5.2

20.8

20.3

CFG SP

1,669

2.16

10.7

9.6

9.9

10.9

2.1

1.8

2.9

3.1

23.7

20.0

China Animal Husbandry Industry Co

600195 CH

1,527

25.99

26.1

22.2

25.2

17.7

5.6

4.7

20.0

19.3

Shandong Homey Aquatic Development

600467 CH

1,471

15.41

48.2

40.9

45.5

17.8

6.0

5.3

0.7

0.9

11.9

13.2

Zhejiang Haitong Food Group Co Ltd

600537 CH

1,411

40.71

28.8

23.0

24.1

25.1

7.3

6.3

2.6

3.4

31.9

34.6

Yuan Longping High-tech Agriculture Co

000998 CH

1,309

31.36

76.7

48.8

42.0

57.2

7.6

6.6

9.8

13.3

Henan Chuying Agro-pastoral Co Ltd

002477 CH

1,259

62.62

45.7

32.2

54.2

42.1

30.7

35.5

Nanning Sugar Industry Co Ltd

000911 CH

964

22.32

26.4

37.4

17.5

(29.3)

4.2

4.3

14.3

8.8

Zhengzhou Sanquan Foods Co Ltd

002216 CH

1,113

39.53

50.4

37.9

27.9

32.9

6.6

13.1

14.0

Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd

Hsu Fu Chi International Ltd

China Fishery Group Ltd

China Green Holdings Ltd/Bermuda

904 HK

900

7.89

8.0

6.6

20.9

20.7

1.4

1.2

3.5

4.2

21.3

21.2

Pacific Andes Resources Development Ltd

PAH SP

733

0.34

6.5

6.0

2.1

8.5

0.9

0.8

2.8

2.9

13.9

13.8

Pacific Andes International Holdings Ltd

1174 HK

557

1.41

5.3

4.4

17.0

19.8

0.8

0.8

4.7

5.9

13.8

15.5

Global Bio-Chem Technology Group Co

809 HK

557

1.33

8.8

7.7

10.1

13.2

0.4

0.5

1.4

1.7

5.4

6.8

3838 HK

522

0.70

15.4

10.3

5.4

48.7

2.1

1.9

1.8

2.8

OCNUS SP

490

0.32

6.0

4.7

75.3

27.8

1.3

1.1

1.1

1.9

23.3

23.4
-

China Starch Holdings Ltd


Oceanus Group Ltd
Pine Agritech Ltd

PAG SP

(50.0)

China Corn Oil Co Ltd

1006 HK

367

5.41

12.9

11.6

56.5

11.1

1.8

1.6

Xiwang Sugar Holdings Co Ltd

2088 HK

332

2.56

8.1

7.3

21.1

11.1

1.0

1.0

3.9

4.5

12.6

12.6

Global Sweeteners Holdings Ltd

3889 HK

237

1.60

7.0

7.3

54.1

(3.5)

0.8

0.8

2.2

3.1

11.6

11.1

841 HK

126

2.44

3.9

43.9

6.1

39.0

3318 HK

119

1.90

9.9

5.8

(8.3)

69.7

CESS SP

103

0.34

3.2

2.8

31.6

13.4

0.8

0.8

15.1

13.7

1044 HK

10,698

67.75

25.5

21.0

24.3

21.6

7.3

6.4

2.4

3.0

29.5

32.3

973 HK

4,143

21.75

24.5

20.6

19.1

18.7

5.0

4.3

1.1

1.2

22.6

23.1

1338 HK

1,260

3.36

20.6

15.8

59.1

30.0

3.5

3.1

1.8

2.4

22.0

24.4

600439 CH

1,398

12.55

27.1

20.7

42.9

30.9

0.8

16.4

Vinda International Holdings Ltd

3331 HK

1,232

10.20

17.5

14.3

29.5

22.4

3.3

2.8

1.5

1.7

20.3

21.6

Magic Holdings International Ltd

1633 HK

617

5.76

28.8

21.1

7.2

36.3

3.7

3.1

0.8

0.8

16.7

18.8

Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd

3828 HK

256

3.12

9.5

6.7

73.7

40.9

1.7

1.4

4.5

6.4

19.0

20.9

Asia Cassava Resources Holdings Ltd


China Flavors & Fragrances Co Ltd
China Essence Group Ltd

0.20 (102.4) (204.7)

Staples: Household & personal care products


Hengan International Group Co Ltd
L'Occitane International SA
BaWang International Group Holding Ltd
Henan Rebecca Hair Products Co Ltd

(Continued on next page)

16

BNP PARIBAS

MICHELE MAK, CFA

ASIA CONSUMER ANECDOTES

17 NOVEMBER 2010

Exhibit 9: Hong Kong And China Valuation Table (Contd)


Company

BBG

Mkt

Share

code

cap

price

P/E
11E

12E

11E

EPS growth
12E

P/BV
11E

12E

Yield
11E

12E

11E

ROE
12E

(USD m)

(LC)

(x)

(x)

(%)

(%)

(x)

(x)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

Organized retail: Department stores


Golden Eagle Retail Group Ltd

3308 HK

5,525

22.05

29.1

22.9

29.6

27.5

8.7

7.2

1.5

1.9

33.3

34.8

Parkson Retail Group Ltd

3368 HK

4,899

13.52

24.6

20.2

22.7

21.7

6.2

5.2

1.9

2.3

27.2

28.2

Lifestyle International Holdings Ltd

1212 HK

4,128

19.06

22.9

20.9

14.6

9.5

4.1

3.6

1.7

1.7

18.4

18.2

600631 CH

2,733

16.48

31.2

27.3

8.8

14.0

2.4

2.2

1.1

1.2

8.8

9.8

Beijing Wangfujing Department Store Group 600859 CH

2,954

46.96

29.6

24.1

29.2

22.7

5.3

4.6

1.0

1.3

17.9

19.1

Rainbow Department Store Co Ltd

002419 CH

2,772

46.00

28.8

23.9

30.9

20.2

4.8

4.2

0.4

0.5

18.4

19.3

1833 HK

2,618

11.52

25.6

20.5

22.9

24.6

4.0

3.5

1.6

2.0

18.1

21.1

600694 CH

2,560

57.87

49.5

41.5

78.6

19.2

848 HK

2,380

3.59

22.4

16.2

24.5

38.7

3.7

3.2

1.4

2.0

17.3

19.9

Shanghai Bailian Group Co Ltd

Intime Department Store Group Co Ltd


Dashang Group Co Ltd
Maoye International Holdings Ltd
New World Department Store China Ltd

825 HK

1,609

7.40

16.6

14.0

19.3

18.4

2.2

2.0

2.7

3.3

15.7

17.2

Guangzhou Friendship Group Co Ltd

000987 CH

1,549

28.65

24.4

19.0

24.3

28.4

5.8

4.8

1.7

2.2

23.6

25.5

Wuhan Department Store Group Co Ltd

000501 CH

1,557

20.38

28.7

23.4

21.2

22.8

4.3

3.6

0.2

17.7

18.3

Chongqing Department Store

600729 CH

1,645

53.53

41.8

29.7

28.9

40.6

8.1

6.7

18.9

19.2

331 HK

1,357

2.49

22.4

17.1

26.7

31.6

3.3

2.9

1.9

2.3

16.3

18.6

Wuhan Zhongbai Group Co Ltd

000759 CH

1,441

14.05

28.0

22.8

23.7

23.0

4.1

3.7

1.1

1.2

15.8

17.0

Hefei Department Store Group Co Ltd

000417 CH

1,470

20.35

30.3

26.0

25.2

16.8

5.3

4.5

0.7

0.8

20.2

20.8

Shanghai New World Co Ltd

600628 CH

1,052

13.13

25.8

23.3

10.9

10.8

11.3

11.5

Chengshang Group Co Ltd

600828 CH

1,170

21.24

30.2

21.6

67.6

39.9

8.8

6.4

0.6

1.0

29.2

31.0

Wuxi Commercial Mansion Grand Orient

600327 CH

1,057

13.45

25.9

22.8

23.8

13.5

5.7

4.7

0.3

0.6

22.9

22.8

Yinchuan Xinhua Department Store Co Ltd

600785 CH

1,062

34.00

23.5

19.4

21.6

21.1

4.8

3.8

22.9

23.7

Shanghai Yimin Commercial Co Ltd

600824 CH

829

7.52

35.8

31.3

16.7

14.3

PCD Stores Ltd

Organized retail: Food retailers


Dairy Farm International Holdings Ltd
Wumart Stores Inc
Lianhua Supermarket Holdings Co Ltd

DFI SP

11,015

8.16

23.8

24.0

11.7

(0.9)

12.0

2.4

1.8

54.3

8277 HK

3,177

19.70

31.4

25.6

22.9

22.9

6.0

5.3

1.4

1.8

21.9

24.0

980 HK

2,676

33.35

24.1

20.6

18.5

17.0

5.3

4.7

1.5

1.5

24.3

24.2

600361 CH

868

11.88

41.4

36.0

40.0

15.0

3.0

2.8

1.0

1.1

10.0

10.8

Aeon Stores Hong Kong Co Ltd

984 HK

570

17.00

14.0

12.7

10.0

10.7

3.1

2.7

3.6

3.9

23.0

22.8

Beijing Jingkelong Co Ltd

814 HK

499

9.39

16.0

13.0

14.8

23.3

1.9

2.8

3.9

12.8

15.4

002024 CH

15,048

14.28

19.2

15.7

28.8

22.7

4.5

3.6

0.7

1.0

23.5

22.9

493 HK

6,457

3.00

18.0

14.9

20.2

20.3

2.5

2.2

1.5

1.8

16.3

16.6

1280 HK

279

2.06

12.2

10.4

31.8

17.2

1.6

1.5

0.9

0.9

13.8

15.0

GD Midea Holding Co Ltd

000527 CH

7,473

15.90

13.0

11.2

19.4

16.5

3.7

3.0

2.2

2.5

24.9

24.2

Gree Electric Appliances Inc

000651 CH

6,817

16.06

10.6

9.2

16.8

14.7

2.8

2.3

2.8

5.1

26.9

24.7

Qingdao Haier Co Ltd

600690 CH

5,542

27.49

16.2

14.4

23.8

12.6

3.4

2.9

1.5

1.9

21.0

21.1

TCL Corp

000100 CH

2,349

3.68

19.3

15.7

15.1

22.5

1.6

1.5

0.5

1.6

8.3

11.2

1169 HK

1,948

7.11

13.8

12.9

37.1

6.4

4.2

2.8

0.8

1.0

37.6

30.0

Hisense Electric Co Ltd

600060 CH

1,715

13.14

14.5

12.0

22.0

21.0

1.6

1.4

1.5

1.8

12.8

14.1

Sichuan Changhong Electric Co Ltd

600839 CH

1,647

3.84

25.6

36.6

32.7

(30.0)

751 HK

1,445

4.36

6.8

6.3

17.3

7.3

1.3

1.2

4.7

4.9

23.5

20.3

Beijing Hualian Hypermarket

Organized retail: Home appliance retailers


Suning Appliance Co Ltd
GOME Electrical Appliances Holdings Ltd
Huiyin Household Appliances Holdings
Home appliance manufacturers

Haier Electronics Group Co Ltd

Skyworth Digital Holdings Ltd


Chigo Holding Ltd
TCL Multimedia Technology Holdings Ltd

449 HK

452

4.57

6.3

6.0

7.8

4.8

1.1

1.0

4.4

5.1

18.5

17.0

1070 HK

437

3.12

9.0

6.4

39.5

0.9

0.8

4.7

5.7

7.6

11.3

Organized retail: Jewelry & accessories


Hengdeli Holdings Ltd

3389 HK

2,514

4.45

23.7

19.0

17.5

24.8

3.3

2.9

1.3

1.7

16.4

17.7

Chow Sang Sang Holdings International

116 HK

1,743

19.96

17.5

14.7

20.0

19.3

2.4

2.1

2.0

2.4

13.4

14.5

Luk Fook Holdings International Ltd

590 HK

1,464

23.05

14.0

11.7

22.6

19.4

4.2

3.4

3.0

3.6

33.7

33.5

900905 CH

907

2.71

Emperor Watch & Jewellery Ltd

887 HK

825

1.13

15.3

11.0

64.4

39.2

2.8

2.4

9.3

5.4

20.5

25.3

Ming Fung Jewellery Group Ltd

860 HK

261

0.81

12.5

5.8

13.0

115.4

Oriental Watch Holdings

398 HK

222

4.32

9.6

22.1

1.0

2.1

11.4

King Fook Holdings

280 HK

177

3.16

15.6

17.6

0.7

8.6

Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd

(Continued on next page)

17

BNP PARIBAS

MICHELE MAK, CFA

ASIA CONSUMER ANECDOTES

17 NOVEMBER 2010

Exhibit 9: Hong Kong And China Valuation Table (Contd)


Company

BBG

Mkt

Share

code

cap

price

P/E
11E

12E

11E

EPS growth
12E

P/BV
11E

12E

Yield
11E

12E

11E

ROE
12E

(USD m)

(LC)

(x)

(x)

(%)

(%)

(x)

(x)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

Organized retail: Cosmetics


SA SA International Holdings Ltd

178 HK

1,342

7.45

19.3

16.2

21.9

19.3

7.7

7.0

4.9

5.8

43.2

46.2

Bonjour Holdings Ltd

653 HK

517

1.36

15.8

12.4

28.4

27.9

15.1

11.3

5.1

6.3

92.8

86.9

Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding Co Ltd

601607 CH

7,173

23.90

27.2

22.4

26.8

21.4

4.5

3.9

0.8

14.0

14.6

Shanghai Yuyuan Tourist Mart Co Ltd

600655 CH

3,189

14.73

24.3

20.6

23.0

18.3

15.0

15.2

1999 HK

1,621

12.94

11.9

10.2

22.2

17.1

3.1

2.5

2.3

2.6

27.7

27.0

811 HK

653

4.46

8.7

8.7

18.9

8.6

8.9

12.4

12.2

Ajisen China Holdings Ltd

538 HK

1,767

12.80

25.2

20.1

27.6

25.6

4.7

4.1

1.8

2.3

18.6

20.7

Cafe de Coral Holdings Ltd

341 HK

1,527

21.05

19.3

16.9

12.0

13.8

3.8

3.5

3.7

4.4

21.2

22.6

Little Sheep Group Ltd

968 HK

688

5.17

19.4

16.3

26.0

19.3

3.9

3.6

2.1

2.6

21.3

24.9

52 HK

165

10.20

10.5

14.7

2.5

5.9

25.6

Li & Fung Ltd

494 HK

22,520

43.45

25.0

20.9

30.6

19.6

7.6

7.0

3.2

3.8

31.1

33.5

Esprit Holdings Ltd

330 HK

6,879

41.40

12.0

10.6

5.2

13.3

2.7

2.4

5.4

6.1

24.5

24.0

Shanghai Metersbonwe Fashion &


Accessories Co Ltd

002269 CH

4,900

32.40

31.9

24.1

38.4

32.3

7.6

6.2

1.1

1.5

27.1

27.3

Youngor Group Co Ltd

600177 CH

3,947

11.77

12.8

10.5

18.0

21.7

3998 HK

3,759

3.75

17.1

15.1

14.7

13.6

3.5

3.4

5.2

6.0

20.6

22.2

002344 CH

2,596

61.55

46.7

36.8

73.0

26.9

1234 HK

1,753

11.32

21.3

17.0

31.9

25.5

5.5

4.8

1.9

2.3

26.9

28.0

Trinity Ltd

891 HK

1,580

7.76

27.6

21.4

39.8

28.8

5.2

4.7

2.1

2.8

19.7

23.3

Ports Design Ltd

589 HK

1,561

21.35

17.7

14.5

16.6

22.6

5.5

4.7

3.6

4.4

34.9

35.9

Fujian Septwolves Industry Co Ltd

002029 CH

1,479

34.70

27.6

21.6

29.2

28.0

5.2

4.3

0.8

1.0

18.8

19.9

Your-Mart Co Ltd

002277 CH

1,430

27.18

30.6

24.1

34.4

27.4

3.4

3.0

1.1

1.4

12.4

14.0

Zhejiang Baoxiniao Garment Co Ltd

002154 CH

1,309

29.59

28.2

22.8

25.3

23.5

4.1

3.5

0.7

0.9

12.5

14.1

IT Ltd

999 HK

1,042

6.76

19.5

15.9

23.2

22.1

4.0

3.5

2.3

2.7

22.1

22.1

Giordano International Ltd

709 HK

937

4.86

14.7

13.3

10.3

10.6

3.1

2.9

5.0

5.8

21.1

22.0

Glorious Sun Enterprises Ltd

393 HK

491

3.59

11.2

9.0

10.3

25.0

1.7

1.6

5.7

6.4

14.5

16.5

1388 HK

362

6.90

14.8

12.1

27.4

22.6

2.3

2.0

2.4

2.9

16.0

17.5

448 HK

232

1.83

9.9

12.9

1.8

4.0

19.0

Organized retail: Specialty stores

Man Wah Holdings Ltd


Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co

Organized retail: Restaurants & catering

Fairwood Ltd

Brands: Apparel

Bosideng International Holdings Ltd


Haining China Leather Market Co Ltd
China Lilang Ltd

Embry Holdings Ltd


Hang Ten Group Holdings Ltd

Brands: Footwear
Belle International Holdings Ltd

1880 HK

15,861

14.58

25.5

21.2

22.9

20.7

5.4

4.7

1.4

1.6

22.2

23.4

Yue Yuen Industrial Holdings Ltd

551 HK

5,700

26.80

10.4

14.5

1.6

1.5

4.2

4.6

15.2

15.4

Daphne International Holdings Ltd

210 HK

1,851

8.76

16.0

13.0

29.0

23.0

4.2

3.4

1.6

2.0

30.0

29.4

Stella International Holdings Ltd

1836 HK

1,625

15.86

12.5

10.2

15.5

22.0

1.9

1.7

5.2

6.0

15.3

17.4

Pou Sheng International Holdings Ltd

3813 HK

703

1.27

11.7

43.6

0.9

0.8

6.7

8.0

738 HK

306

3.71

12.0

9.5

26.4

26.4

2.2

1.9

4.3

6.2

19.3

22.0

1386 HK

122

1.52

202.7

32.2

0.1

Le Saunda Holdings Ltd


Walker Group Holdings Ltd

(Continued on next page)

18

BNP PARIBAS

MICHELE MAK, CFA

ASIA CONSUMER ANECDOTES

17 NOVEMBER 2010

Exhibit 9: Hong Kong And China Valuation Table (Contd)


Company

BBG

Mkt

Share

code

cap

price

P/E
11E

12E

11E

EPS growth
12E

P/BV
11E

12E

Yield
11E

12E

11E

ROE
12E

(USD m)

(LC)

(x)

(x)

(%)

(%)

(x)

(x)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

Brands: Sportswear
Anta Sports Products Ltd

2020 HK

4,619

14.36

16.9

14.0

21.9

20.6

4.6

4.0

3.6

4.2

28.9

29.9

China Dongxiang Group Co

3818 HK

2,989

4.09

11.0

9.6

12.8

15.5

2.2

2.1

6.3

7.0

21.7

22.9

Li Ning Co Ltd

2331 HK

2,855

21.05

14.7

12.6

15.3

17.2

4.6

3.8

2.8

3.3

34.3

33.0

XTEP International Holdings

1368 HK

1,875

6.68

13.4

11.1

20.3

20.6

3.3

2.9

4.5

5.3

26.0

27.1

361 Degrees International Ltd

1361 HK

1,758

6.59

10.2

8.5

16.3

20.2

2.4

2.0

4.6

4.6

27.8

26.5

Peak Sport Products Co Ltd

1968 HK

1,521

5.62

10.3

8.4

23.9

22.9

2.4

2.1

3.6

4.4

25.2

26.1

China Hongxing Sports Ltd

CHHS SP

356

0.17

15.1

15.4

9.8

(1.8)

1.9

3.0

3.0

Meike International Holdings Ltd

953 HK

244

1.82

6.8

4.6

64.3

47.8

2.0

1.4

3.2

4.5

Flyke International Holdings Ltd

1998 HK

192

1.86

6.1

4.3

30.0

42.3

5.0

6.9

46.0

46.0

CSPORT SP

85

0.12

Sunvim Group Co Ltd

002083 CH

1,566

11.08

23.1

29.2

51.9

(20.8)

3.5

9.2

Jiangsu Sunshine Co Ltd

600220 CH

1,561

5.81

Ningbo Shanshan Co Ltd

600884 CH

1,417

22.89

33.7

21.1

46.9

59.3

2.5

2.2

6.5

9.1
25.8

China Sports International Ltd

Textiles

Texwinca Holdings Ltd

321 HK

1,549

8.89

9.3

8.3

14.8

12.7

2.1

2.0

7.1

7.9

25.1

Zhejiang Huafeng Spandex Co Ltd

002064 CH

1,382

12.43

19.3

14.8

26.1

30.6

Luolai Home Textile Co Ltd

002293 CH

1,501

71.01

35.8

27.2

36.5

31.7

5.7

4.7

0.3

0.4

16.3

18.2
-

Shenzhou International Group Holdings

2313 HK

1,394

8.68

5.4

4.1

20.3

33.3

1.5

1.3

6.5

8.5

Luthai Textile Co Ltd

200726 CH

998

7.78

3.0

Jiangsu Huaxicun Co Ltd

000936 CH

999

8.87

17.6

16.8

117.2

4.8

3.7

3.2

1.5

1.6

21.2

18.8

Black Peony Group Co Ltd

600510 CH

1,177

9.82

Yantai Spandex Co Ltd

002254 CH

1,176

29.90

22.9

19.1

28.0

19.7

4.1

3.9

29.0

46.2

15.5

16.8

Weiqiao Textile Co

2698 HK

991

6.43

0.4

4.0

Pacific Textile Holdings Ltd

1382 HK

797

4.31

6.7

5.9

9.7

13.1

1.5

1.3

8.4

9.3

23.4

22.5

Texhong Textile Group Ltd

2678 HK

706

6.19

6.3

5.2

21.7

21.4

1.9

1.5

5.5

6.6

Costin New Materials Group Ltd

2228 HK

610

5.91

14.9

19.5

33.3

(23.5)

1.8

International Taifeng Holdings Ltd

873 HK

509

3.95

8.2

6.8

13.9

22.0

4.1

5.3

22.2

22.2

Victory City International Holdings Ltd

539 HK

285

1.82

4.8

4.3

10.5

9.8

0.5

0.5

6.6

7.1

Source: Bloomberg

19

BNP PARIBAS

MICHELE MAK, CFA

HISTORY

ASIA CONSUMER ANECDOTES

OF CHANGE

IN

INVESTMENT

RATING

AND/OR

17 NOVEMBER 2010

TARGET

PRICE

Want Want China (151 HK)

(HKD)

Want Want China

Target Price

Date
24-Apr-08

8.25

Reco

TP

BUY

3.57

7.25
6.25
5.25
4.25
3.25
2.25
Mar-08

Sep-08

Mar-09

Sep-09

Mar-10

Sep-10

Michele Mak started covering this stock from 26 May 2010


Price and TP are in local currency
Valuation and risks: Our DCF-based target price of HKD6.70 translates into a target multiple of 25x 2011E P/E. Maintain BUY. Key downside risk to our TP is newly launched products fail to pick
up.
Sources: Bloomberg, BNP Paribas

Hengan (1044 HK)

(HKD)

Hengan

Target Price

85.50

Date

Reco

TP

1-Nov-06

HOLD

18.00

8-Jan-09

BUY

28.50

75.50
65.50
55.50
45.50
35.50
25.50
15.50
Nov-06

Nov-07

Nov-08

Nov-09

Nov-10

Michele Mak started covering this stock from 11 May 2010


Price and TP are in local currency
Valuation and risks: Key downside risk to our DCF-based target price are significantly higher raw-material price inflation from current levels
Sources: Bloomberg, BNP Paribas

Ajisen (China) Hldgs (538 HK)

(HKD)

Ajisen (China) Hdgs

Target Price

16.00

Date

Reco

TP

15-Feb-08

BUY

13.60

28-Apr-08

REDUCE

8.70

14.00

20-Jul-09

HOLD

5.60

12.00

23-Sep-09

BUY

7.00

10.00
8.00
6.00
4.00
2.00
Mar-07

Mar-08

Mar-09

Mar-10

Sarah Xing started covering this stock from 8 July 2010


Price and TP are in local currency
Valuation and risks: Key risks to our PEG-based TP include managements execution capability during fast expansion and a slowdown in economic growth in China.
Sources: Bloomberg, BNP Paribas

20

BNP PARIBAS

MICHELE MAK, CFA

ASIA CONSUMER ANECDOTES

17 NOVEMBER 2010

GOME Electrical Appliances (493 HK)

(HKD)

GOME Electrical

Target Price

Date
1-Nov-06

6.50

Reco

TP

HOLD

5.73

BUY

5.75

14-May-08

5.50
4.50
3.50
2.50
1.50
0.50
Nov-06

Nov-07

Nov-08

Nov-09

Nov-10

Charlie Chen started covering this stock from 28 September 2010


Price and TP are in local currency
Valuation and risks: Risk to our P/E based valuation is GOMEs expansion plan may not be implemented smoothly because of different business strategy of Directors. Different opinions in the
Board may also distract GOMEs focus on its operations.
Sources: Bloomberg, BNP Paribas

Huiyin Household Appliances (1280 HK)

(HKD)

Huiyin Household App

Target Price

Date

Reco

TP

BUY

2.55

28-Sep-10

3.20
3.00
2.80
2.60
2.40
2.20
2.00
1.80
1.60
1.40
Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10
Charlie Chen started covering this stock from 28 September 2010
Price and TP are in local currency

Valuation and risks: Our DCF-based target price of HKD2.55 is based on a target FY11E P/E of 15x. We see two major downside risks to our target price.
1 Revenue of new stores may not ramp-up as quickly as we forecast. 2 Cannibalization between self-owned stores and franchise stores may be worse
than we expect.
Sources: Bloomberg, BNP Paribas

21

BNP PARIBAS

MICHELE MAK, CFA

DISCLAIMERS

ASIA CONSUMER ANECDOTES

&

17 NOVEMBER 2010

DISCLOSURES

Not rated (NR): BNP Paribas Securities (Asia) Limited (henceforth referred to as BNP Paribas Asia) does not cover the stocks
referenced in this report. No normative or subjective commentary is provided for companies referenced in this report. BNP
Paribas Asia does not provide research coverage for companies referenced in this report and no BNP Paribas Asia research
recommendation or rating is attached to the companies. This information is provided solely for information purposes.
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Content as necessary, however, we make no warranties or representations as to the accuracy of the Content and assume no liability or
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2010 BNP Paribas Group

22

BNP PARIBAS

MICHELE MAK, CFA

DISCLAIMERS

ASIA CONSUMER ANECDOTES

&

17 NOVEMBER 2010

DISCLOSURES

ANALYST(S)
Michele Mak, CFA, BNP Paribas Securities (Asia) Ltd, +852 2825 1105, michele.mak@asia.bnpparibas.com.
Sarah Xing, BNP Paribas Securities (Asia) Ltd, +852 2825 1154, sarah.xing@asia.bnpparibas.com.
Charlie Y Chen, BNP Paribas Securities (Asia) Ltd, +852 2825 1109, charlie.y.chen@asia.bnpparibas.com.
Carol Chan, BNP Paribas Securities (Asia) Ltd, +852 2825 1821, carol.t.chan@asia.bnpparibas.com.
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The information contained in this report has been obtained from public sources believed to be reliable and the opinions contained herein are
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accurate, complete or verified and it should not be relied upon as such. This report does not constitute a prospectus or other offering document or
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of the recipients and are not to be relied upon as authoritative or without the recipients own independent verification or taken in substitution for the
exercise of judgement by the recipient. All opinions contained herein constitute the views of the analyst(s) named in this report, they are subject to
change without notice and are not intended to provide the sole basis of any evaluation of the subject securities and companies mentioned in this
report. Any reference to past performance should not be taken as an indication of future performance. No member company of the Group accepts
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The analyst(s) named in this report certifies that (i) all views expressed in this report accurately reflect the personal views of the analyst(s) with
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or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendation or views expressed herein.
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1
No portion of this report was prepared by BNP Paribas Securities Corp personnel.
Disclosure and Analyst Certification
For a complete set of required disclosures relating to the companies that are the subject of this report, please mail a request to BNP Paribas
Compliance Department, 787 Seventh Avenue, New York, NY 10019.
BNP Paribas represents that:
BNPP or its affiliates makes a market in the securities of Hengan International Group Company Ltd.
BNPP or its affiliates had an investment banking relationship with Huiyin Household Appliances (Holdings) Co., Ltd. in the last 12 months.
Within the next three months, BNPP or its affiliates may receive or seek compensation in connection with an investment banking relationship with
one or more of the companies referenced herein.
The analyst(s) named in this report certifies that (i) all views expressed in this report accurately reflect the personal view of the analyst(s) with
regard to any and all of the subject securities and companies mentioned in this report; (ii) no part of the compensation of the analyst(s) was, is, or
will be, directly or indirectly, relate to the specific recommendation or views expressed herein; and (iii) BNPP is not aware of any other actual or
material conflicts of interest concerning any of the subject securities and companies referenced herein as of the time of publication of the research
report.
A detailed discussion of the valuation methodologies used to derive our target prices and the risks that could impede their achievement for stocks
recommended in the report is available on request from the analyst(s) named in this report.
Recommendation structure
All share prices are as at market close on 16 November 2010 unless otherwise stated. Stock recommendations are based on absolute upside
(downside), which we define as (target price* - current price) / current price. If the upside is 10% or more, the recommendation is BUY. If the
downside is 10% or more, the recommendation is REDUCE. For stocks where the upside or downside is less than 10%, the recommendation is
HOLD. In addition, we have key buy and key sell lists in each market, which are our most commercial and/or actionable BUY and REDUCE calls
and are limited to at most five key buys and five key sells in each market at any point in time.
Unless otherwise specified, these recommendations are set with a 12-month horizon. Thus, it is possible that future price volatility may cause a
temporary mismatch between upside/downside for a stock based on market price and the formal recommendation.
*In most cases, the target price will equal the analyst's assessment of the current fair value of the stock. However, if the analyst doesn't think the market
will reassess the stock over the specified time horizon due to a lack of events or catalysts, then the target price may differ from fair value. In most cases,
therefore, our recommendation is an assessment of the mismatch between current market price and our assessment of current fair value.
Rating distribution (as at 15 November)
Out of 512 rated stocks in the BNP Paribas coverage universe, 318 have BUY ratings, 132 are rated HOLD and 62 are rated REDUCE. Within
these rating categories, 5.35% of the BUY-rated companies either currently are or have been BNP Paribas clients in the past 12 months, 5.30% of
the HOLD-rated companies are or have been clients in the past 12 months, and 8.06% of the REDUCE-rated companies are or have been clients in
the past 12 months
Should you require additional information please contact the relevant BNP Paribas research team or the author(s) of this report.
2010 BNP Paribas Group

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