Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
Presentation Outline Economy and Steel Trends Impacting the Steel Industry Positioning of Tata Steel Cost Structure Comparisons Long Term Plans
800
600
Growth World - CAGR 1993-98 : 1.3% 1998-03 : 4.0%
400
200
0 '91
Source: IISI
'94
'97
'00
'03
Importance of Steel
Steels of Yesterday
Dull Grey Commodity Useful but uninteresting Limited strength range Heavy Prone to rust
Steels of Today
Product of beauty Durable, Corrosion resistant Environment-friendly Recyclable, reusable Branded products Complex shapes Wide combinations of properties
bn 1990 Int $
60 40 20
0 0 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
Source: IISI, Angus Maddison, The World Economy: A Millennial Perspective. OECD, 2001
mtpa
250
200
bn 1990 Int $
3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
India steel consumption India GDP China steel consumption
Source: IISI, Angus Maddison, The World Economy: A Millennial Perspective. OECD, 2001
290
Million tonnes
483
487
493
1998
2001
2004(E)
China Rest of Asia(w/o Japan & Midd. East) Rest of the World
China ~ Share of global steel consumption from 13.5% in 1995 to 31% in 2004
Source: IISI
China
290 257
211
World
1200 1100 mmt 1000 900 800 2002
Source: IISI CAGR (2002-07) High Low - 5.5% - 3.6%
Medium 4.6%
831
2003
2004
2007
Weaker Dollar -
costs in $
Continuing consolidation
India 1999 GDP (US$ Bn at PPP) GDP per head (US$ at PPP) Real GDP Growth (%) FDI (Inwards as % of GDP) External Debt (% of GDP) CPI (Average %)
Source: Economist Intelligence Unit Website
China 2003E 2951 2780 6.4 0.9 17.7 4.0 1999 4566 3650 7.1 3.9 15.3 -1.5 2003E 6675 5150 8.6 3.4 13.4 1.0
Volume
Time
Presentation Outline
Economy and Steel Trends Impacting the Steel Industry Positioning of Tata Steel Cost Structure Comparisons Long Term Plans
Presentation Outline Economy and Steel Trends Impacting the Steel Industry Positioning of Tata Steel Cost Structure Comparisons Long Term Plans
5.5
6.5
7.5
8.5
15,000 tpd
75 %
N M L K I J H
O O H G K D
47 %
Advantage of a late start
G F D AB
1965
IJ F A B C
85 90 95 2000 05
E
70
Tonnes/man year
256
73
78
50%
FP 58% LP 33%
Apr-Dec FY 03 (Actual)
Market Attractiveness
H
Competitive position
40%
FP 52% LP 17%
Competitive position
80 60 40
20% 10% 0%
CR (Appliances)
8
Galvanized (Construction)
16%
20%
120 100 80
13%
4
8%
8%
10%
60 40 20 0
FY'01
FY'02
FY'03
FY'04
Market Share
000 tonnes
Galvanized (Auto)
75% 70% 65%
73% 64%
5 4 3 2 1 0
9%
12%
8%
4%
4%
53% 52%
0%
FY'01
FY'02
FY'03
FY'04
Galvanized (Appliances)
2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0
13%
60%
10%
6%
5%
80 60 40 20
40%
20%
Market Share
000 tonnes
Started producing Galvanized (Auto) and Galvanized (Appliances) since FY03 only
Mn tons
3 3.17 2.99
YoY 5.8%
Mn tons
2.75
2.91
2.51
2.82
YoY 5.7%
Fy'02
Fy'03
Fy'04
Fy'02
Fy'03
Fy'04
Revenue
US $ Mn 1142
86 1057
US $ Mn 309 191
17 Fy'02 112 Fy'03
Net Profit
1402
184 1219
230 1598
501
30.3%
242 Fy'04
116.6%
Fy'02
Fy'03 Domestic
Fy'04 Exports
Continuous Investment
2002-03
CRM (1998-02)
Phase 4 (1996-98) Phase 3 Expansion of Flat Products to 2 MT (1990-94) Phase 2 (1985-88) Phase 1 (1980-83)
LD Shop 1 Hot Strip Mill (1 MT) LD Shop 2
EBIDTA Comparison
50 40
Net Profit % of Net Sales
30 20 10 0 FY'98 Tata Steel FY'99 FY'00 China Steel FY'01 FY'02 FY'03 Arcelor FY'04 Nucor
POSCO
: USD $1,827 million : USD $ 230 million : USD $ 367 million : USD $ 242 million : USD $ 112 million : USD $ 0.66
EBIDTA Margin * Net Profit Margin * Earnings per Share Net Worth per share Return on Equity ** EVA ** EBIDTA Debt : Equity *** Interest Coverage
Apr-Dec FY'04 32.16% 14.89% 0.66 2.53 39.79% 5.36% 523 0.86 11.39 1.47 28 41 18
Activity
Times Fixed AssetsTurnover Avg Debtors Velocity No of days Avg Inventory Turnover No of days Avg Net Working No of days Capital Turnover
* EBIDTA margin and Net Profit Margin calculated as % of Net sales (Gross Sales Excise duty) ** Annualised *** Equity = Share Capital + Reserves & Surplus Miscellaneous expenditure. Debt = Secured loans + Unsecured loans
7.4
6.00
5.0
`
4.00
2.8 2.3
2.00 FY'91 FY'93 FY'95 FY'97 FY'99 FY'01 FY'03 FY'05 FY'07
CR 21%
CR 21%
Semis 7%
Galv. 8%
Longs 34%
(E)
Longs 25%
Galv. 9%
03 (Actual)
40
000 Tonnes
Percentage
30 20
6%
7% 10 0 F Y' 0 4
B r a n d e d P r o d u c t s ( To n n a g e )
% B r a n d e d , o f To t a l P r o d u c t s
50 0
31%
40 30
000 Tonnes
Percentage
20 10 0
Branding in
Enhancing Sales
6.00
Million tonnes
5.5
5.00
4.4
4.00
`
3.00
2.8
2.9
2.00 FY 94 FY 96 FY 98 FY 00 FY 02 FY 04 FY 06(E)
Presentation Outline
Economy and Steel Mega Trends Impacting the Steel Industry Positioning of Tata Steel Cost Structure Comparisons Long Term Plans
$/t
COKE SINTER HOT METAL LIQUID STEEL SLAB CASTER H R COIL
Act. FY'03
Re/ $ =48.5
Source : CRU
Cost Competitiveness
Indexed
210
180
Cumulative inflation
150
120 90
Cost
60
Real cost
30 93 95 97 99 '01
Presentation Outline Economy and Steel Trends Impacting the Steel Industry Positioning of Tata Steel Cost Structure Comparisons Long Term Plans
750
75 No of Countries
Million tpa
500
50
250
25
0 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
No of Countries
De-Integrated Production
De-integration of the steel value chain - Mine head production Reduction in costs ~ $ 25-50/t Investments in developing countries represents lower risk
CONDITIONS FAVOURING INDIA Access to high quality iron ore Proximity to SE Asian markets Avoidance of high costs associated with deep sea ports. Reduced freight costs Skilled and innovative workforce, globally competitive labour costs
Jamshedpur
Dhamra
Distance from (Kms) Jamshedpur (present) Dhamra 372 372 522 290
Paradip
Jamshedpur (post D-B line) Joda (present) Joda (post D-B line)
Statements in this presentation describing the Companys objectives, projections, estimates, expectations may be forward looking statements within the meaning of applicable securities laws and regulations. Actual results could differ materially from those expressed or implied. Important factors that could make a difference to the Companys operations include, among others, economic conditions affecting demand / supply and price conditions in the domestic and overseas markets in which the Company operates, changes in Government regulations, tax laws and other statutes and incidental factors
Thank You