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Prices failed to stabilize on the bottom of their channels and a selloff has begun.

Fridays last hour rally helped reduce


the percentage loss for the week but with so many channel violations across sectors more selling next week is most likely.
The macro concern has returned in the face of some good earning news. Next week however many of the sicker finan-
cials are reporting and expectations have been too high across all sectors and indexes. A disappointment is likely and
markets this week began preparing for that. In spite of companies beating analyst estimates (they usually do) the con-
cerns of Europe and the US debt ceiling has returned to the forefront. The political overhang will continue to create trou-
ble and markets need resolution soon. The Euro reversal has run out of gas and a run to channel support is likely in the
near term.. I will post more charts and commentary on www.sealionllc.com on my technical analysis blog.
Markets give more ground
Chart #1SPY, SPDR S&P 500
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This chart book is for educational purposes only and not a solicitation to buy or sell any security.
07/15/2011 Volume 1, Issue 9
Sea Lion Capital Management LLC
Chart Book
Chart Notes
3. Possible lower high with
shooting star candle
4. Prices are now above the
median line of the bullish
channel and have found
short-term resistance.
5. Prices rally through resis-
tance and out of the
channel. A consolidation
will be required before
the next move up.
6. No consolidation yet as
prices are rising along
channel resistance.
7. Prices retreat to prior
resistance now support
for consolidation
8. Prices testing lower
channel support and
need to reverse quickly
to maintain the rally
9. Prices could be back
testing setting up a move
lower but more likely the
channel needs to be
redrawn or this is a tem-
porary noisy overshoot.
10. Prices have no violated
the channel support and
are trying a back test.
The back looks weak in
nature.
Page 2
Sea Lion Capital Management LLC
The Russell 2000 ETF continues to outperform the S&P 500 ETF. Prices failed to stop falling at the
median line and found support at the lower channel line. If prices move higher from here they will
need to rally to resistance and higher to avoid having placed in the lower low and lower high.
There is no room on the downside to fall and maintain the bullish rally as channel support is being
tested.
Chart Notes:
3. Possible change in
trend needs confirma-
tion with a new high.
4. Prices are now in the
upper half of the bull-
ish channel and have
more room to run.
5. Prices have continued
up and no extend be-
yond the channel.
Prices will need to
consolidate before the
next leg higher.
6. Prices rising along
resistance.
7. A return to former
resistance now turned
support. A mild con-
solidation has begun.
8. Testing the median
line. Price often finds
support here.
9. Prices found support
at the median line and
are poised to move
higher.
10. Prices are holding
their channel support
and a bounce may
occur.
Chart #2IWM, iShares Russell 2000
Page 3
Volume 1, Issue 9
The reversal stand as a one day event as prices are now below the reversal high. The lack of follow
through is concerning and makes a return to channel support most likely. For now a sideways chan-
nel in place. With Bernankes comments regarding a lack of interest in QE3 a violation of support
could create a bearish channel. The Euros state in fragile but has been buoyed by a weakening
dollar. This situation may reverse for a little while.
Chart# 3EUR/USD, Eurodollar
Chart Notes:
1. Markets bullish
trend broken with
violation of prior
swing low.
2. Markets bounces and
reverses but puts in
a lower high.
3. Market retests $1.40
low and if it holds a
sideways channel is
in place.
4. Prices reverse on
support in an
evening star rever-
sal in a show of
strength and the
markets wiliness to
be open to risk.
5. Prices have failed to
advance the reversal
and are now below
the reversal high. A
retest of lower
channel support
looks likely.
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