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Handbook for Mainstreaming Sustainable Development i n P u b l i c S e c t o r D e c i s i o n - M a k i n g

Published by: The Coordinating Secretariat Philippine Council for Sustainable Development NEDA Agriculture Staff 3rd Floor, NEDA sa Pasig Building #2 St. Josemaria Escriva Drive Ortigas Center, Pasig City 605 Metro Manila, Philippines Telephone Numbers: (632) 62-287/63-374 Fax Numbers: (632) 633-605/63-3745

zOverview

Handbook for Mainstreaming Sustainable Development in Public Sector Decision-Making

Handbook for Mainstreaming Sustainable Development i n P u b l i c S e c t o r D e c i s i o n - M a k i n g

Contents
Overview Module I
Page  Page 3

The Concept and Principles of Sustainable Development and Some Related Issues Lesson : Lesson 2: Lesson 3: The Concept of Sustainable Development Mainstreaming Sustainable Development Measuring Sustainability: Some Tools and Indicators
Page 24

Module II

SD-Enhanced Situational Analysis Lesson : Situational Analysis (SA) Lesson 2: SD-Enhanced Situational Analysis Lesson 3: Prioritizing Problem Situations Workshop : Improving SA and Prioritizing Problem Situations

Module III

SD-Enhanced Development Plan Leson : Guiding Plan Formulation: Vision, Goal, Objective, Target Lesson 2: Formulating Plan Interventions: Policy, Strategy, Program and Project Workshop 2: Assessing the Sustainability of Programs and Projects

Page 40

Module IV

SD-Enhanced Investment Plan

Page 59

Lesson : Basic Concepts of Investment Programming Lesson 2: Assessment of Programs and Projects Workshop 3: Assessing Programs and Projects Lesson 3 Prioritizing Programs and Projects Workshop 4: Developing Prioritization Criteria and Prioritizing Programs and Projects Lesson 4: Identifying Internal and External Funds for LGUs Lesson 5: Plan Implementation Lesson 6: Plan Monitoring and Evaluation

Annexes

Page 85

zOverview

List of Tables and Figures


Tables
Table : Summary of the Sectoral Situation of a Locality (an example) Table 2: SD Analyzer (an example) Table 3: Summary of Plan Formulation Process Table 4: Matrix of Governance: Role of Government and Private Sector in Program/Project Delivery Table 5: Conflict-Compatibility-Complementation Matrix Table 6: List of Programs/Projects by Sector Table 7: Goals Analysis Matrix Table 8: Final Investment Program of a Locality (suggested form) Table 9: Projected Future Total Revenues Table 0: Projected Future Fiscal Balance
Page 34 Page 55 Page 57 Page 66 Page 69 Page 70 Page 74 Page 75 Page 78 Page 79

Figures
Figure : The Development Process: A Framework Figure 2: The Process of Mainstreaming Sustainable Development Figure 3: The Planning Process: SA and Problem Identification Figure 4: Relationship between Outcome and Determinants Figure 5: Determinants of Health Figure 6: The Planning Process: Vision, Goal, Objective and Target Setting Figure 7: Relationship of Goals, Objectives and Targets Figure 8: The Planning Process: Policy and Strategy Formulation Figure 9: The Planning Process: Program and Project Identification Figure 0: Framework for Analyzing Various Interacting Factors at the Household Level Figure : The Planning Process: Investment Programming/Budgeting Figure 2: Stages in Investment Programming Figure 3. The Planning Process: Plan Implementation Figure 4. The Planning Process: Plan Monitoring and Implementation
Page 8 Page 6 Page 25 Page 28 Page 32 Page 42 Page 45 Page 47 Page 50 Page 52 Page 60 Page 6 Page 8 Page 84

Handbook for Mainstreaming Sustainable Development i n P u b l i c S e c t o r D e c i s i o n - M a k i n g

LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS

BOO BOT AO daDBM DMI DPO eaEO GAM GDP GNI GNP GOP GOPA 2 gY IISD IMR IRA IRR LCSD LDC LDP LGU ManCom MBM MFA MTPDP NAMEA NAS NEDA ODA PA 2 PCSD POPDEV RDC RCSD SA SD SDA SDDP SEEA SEP SIP SNA SWOT TDO TMR UNCED UNDP WCED

Build-Own-Operate Build-Operate-Transfer Administrative Order depletion adjusted (as prefix to GDP, GNP, GNI, etc) Department of Budget Management Direct Material Input Domestic Processed Output environmentally adjusted (as prefix to GDP, GNP, GNI, etc.) Executive Order Goals Analysis Matrix (weighted) Gross Domestic Products Gross National Income Gross National Product Government of the Philipines Governance for Philippine Agenda 2 Genuine Savings International Institute for Sustainable Development Infant Mortality Rate Internal Revenue Allotment Internal Rate of Return Local Council for Sustainable Development Local Development Council Local Development Plan Local Government Unit Management Committee Minimum Basic Needs Materials Flow Analysis Medium-Term Philippine Development Plan National Accounting Matrix Including Environmental Accounts Net Addition to Stock National Economic and Development Authority Official Development Assistance Philippine Agenda 2 Philippine Council for Sustainable Development Population and Development Regional Development Council Regional Council for Sustainable Development Situational Analysis Sustainable Development SD Analyzer SD-Enhanced Development Plan System of Integrated Environment and Economic Accounts Socio-Economic Profile Sustainable Investment Program System of National Accounts Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats Total Domestic Output Total Material Requirement United Nations Conference on Environment and Development United Nations Development Programme World Commission of Environment and Development

Handbook for Mainstreaming Sustainable Development i n P u b l i c S e c t o r D e c i s i o n - M a k i n g

Overview
This Handbook for Mainstreaming Sustainable Development in Public Sector Decision Making or SD Handbook explores how development decisions and actions can be implemented in a sustainable way to achieve intergenerational wellbeing or the wellbeing of all present and future Filipinos. It looks into the social, economic and environmental effects of development decisions and actions that lead to the attainment of intergenerational wellbeing.
A better understanding and knowledge of these interactions will help us examine the sustainability of different patterns of resource allocation. Policymakers and planners need to be aware of the long term consequences of their policies and plans on social and environmental objectives. Those who set environmental standards need to be conscious of the effects of these standards on human development as well as on the economy. Finally, policymakers and planners who deal with social development issues must be aware of the long-term implications of human development on the economy and the environment. Objective of the SD Handbook The handbook will enhance the understanding and capability of policymakers and planners in mainstreaming sustainable development (SD) in public sector decision making, specifically in planning, programming and budgeting. Through a modular approach of lectures and workshops, it will give policymakers and planners a hands-on experience in improving their development plans and making them sustainable. The guide consists of four modules: Module I Module II Module III Module IV : The Concept and Principles of Sustainable Development and Some Related Issues : SD-Enhanced Situational Analysis : SD-Enhanced Development Plan : SD-Enhanced Investment Plan

Overview

The handbook provides guide questions that will help mainstream or integrate the intergenerational and interdependence SD principles into existing manuals, guides or handbooks of agencies or institutions. The handbook is not intended to replace these materials. Policymakers and planners may use these questions, processes, activities or tools [e.g., the SD Analyzer which will be discussed in Module III] to integrate the SD principles into their existing manuals, guides or handbooks to make them more responsive to the goals and objectives of SD. This handbook may also be used as is or as a template on how to incorporate SD principles into training activities in order to ensure that our present needs are met without compromising the ability of our children and their childrens children to meet their own needs. Linkage of the Modules Module I presents SD concepts, principles, issues and tools needed for mainstreaming SD in the development planning, programming and budgeting processes. A better understanding of these concepts and issues would enable the policy makers and planners to incorporate more effectively the SD principles in the development processes. Using existing development plans, Module II then assists policymakers and planners in systematically analyzing the situation of their locality based on correct

and relevant data and indicators from their socioeconomic profile (SEP); and in improving their situational analysis by integrating the SD principles. The outputs of Module II then become inputs to Module III. Module III discusses the various components of a development plan and shows how to mainstream or integrate the SD principles to arrive at a SD-Enhanced Development Plan (SDDP). It introduces a way to assess the sustainability of plan interventions policies/strategies, programs and projects through the use of the SD Analyzer. The SD Analyzer looks at the resource build-up or drawdown, and hence, the sustainability of a development intervention to assist policymakers and planners decide on whether or not to implement such an intervention. Module IV helps local planners develop an SD-Enhanced Investment Plan (SDIP). The module discusses ways of screening, assessing and prioritizing programs and projects to be included in the SDIP. It also shows local policymakers and planners how to identify and mobilize local financial resources, both internal and external. In addition, Module IV assists in identifying structures and mechanisms needed to implement the SDIP. It explains the importance of monitoring and evaluation to make sure that the SDIP is carried out on time, within budget and more importantly, that it reaches and positively affects the lives of the target population of women and men.

Handbook for Mainstreaming Sustainable Development i n P u b l i c S e c t o r D e c i s i o n - M a k i n g

Module I
The Concept and Principles of Sustainable Development and Some Related Issues
Module I has three lessons. Lesson 1 discusses the concept and principles of sustainable development. It helps policymakers and planners understand what sustainable development is and appreciate the issues related to it. Lesson 2 explains the process of mainstreaming or integrating sustainable development into existing and future development activities to help policymakers and planners make informed decisions. Lesson 3 introduces some tools and indicators of how sustainability may be measured. LESSON 1 The Concept of Sustainable Development Since 1987 when the World Commission on Environment and Development (WCED) first introduced the concept of sustainable development, people have been talking about it but were not clear as to what it meant. They seem to have different meanings. Looking at the literature and talking to people, we came up with several definitions that people have attached to sustainable development. Many of these are not exactly what is meant by sustainable development in the context of the Philippines. These are the following: Sustainable Development is not only 1. Environmental protection Central to this ecological view of sustainable development is that economic and social systems are sub-systems of the environment. Therefore, sustainability in these spheres is subordinate to the sustainability of the environment. Development from this perspective refers to the maintenance of the ecosystems capacity to respond adaptively to change and opportunity (Golley, 990). Thus, the health of ecosystems must be protected and enhanced.

Module I: The Concept and Pri n c i p l e s o f S u s t a i n a b l e D e v e l o p m e n t a n d S o m e R e l a t e d I s s u e s

Many developed and industrialized countries champion this view. Thus, many of their sustainable development policies and strategies are primarily green plans that focus on the protection of the environment. This is understandable since these countries have achieved the level of economic and social progress that allows most of their people to enjoy a good life. Therefore, sustainable development to them is merely a matter of protecting the environment and managing natural resources to enable their future generations to enjoy the same quality of life. However, for developing countries like the Philippines still concerned with providing people with basic needs and reducing poverty, equating sustainable development with just environmental protection may not be appropriate. Thus, this is not what we mean by sustainable development although it is an important part of it. For instance, the implementation of the Philippine Mining Act of 995 (Republic Act 79) may at first seem contrary to the protection of the environment, yet ecologically-friendly mining projects may generate investment and hence, generate employment and income needed to help meet the basics needs of people, and reduce poverty. 2. Non-declining income or wealth Many economists see sustainable development as closely related to the long-standing economic concept of income. Hicks (96) defines income as the maximum amount an individual can consume during a period and remain

as well-off at the end of the period as at the beginning. To illustrate: if an individuals only source of income is, say, an inheritance of Php  million at the beginning of a year and he/she manages and invests it well at 0 percent annually,his/her annual income is Php 00,000.00 and this is the maximum amount that he/she can consume in a year without depleting his/her capital investment. Although there are obvious and important differences between the economic affairs of an individual and those of the entire country, the above definition of income applies equally well to both. The countrys income can, therefore, be defined as the amount that it can collectively spend during a period without depleting the capital base (or wealth) on which it relies to generate this income. This economic approach to sustainable development defines sustainable development as the development that ensures non-declining per capita national wealth. However, for a country that has a huge budget deficit and a lot of foreign debts, this definition of sustainable development is not quite appropriate. We cannot simply equate sustainable development with economic wellbeing. Thus, this is not what we mean by sustainable development although it is a significant component of it. 3. A new program or project In the advent of devolution through the passage and implementation of the 99 Local Government Code, all development

Handbook for Mainstreaming Sustainable Development i n P u b l i c S e c t o r D e c i s i o n - M a k i n g

initiatives have been localized, usually in the form of programs or projects. This practice may have misled people into believing that sustainable development is just another program or project. Furthermore, the use of the phrase implementing sustainable development may have also contributed to this misconception. It gives the impression that sustainable development is a program that is implemented as part of a wider development effort. This concept of sustainable development is not what we mean because sustainable development is neither a program nor a project. 4. Fulfillment of international commitments Sustainable development has been placed at the forefront of development discussions in the Philippines since the 1992 United Nations Conference on Environment and Development (UNCED). Unfortunately, the advocacy strategies conducted to promote sustainable development may have inadvertently given the impression that it is being pursued merely to meet international commitments. And since international commitments are perceived as far removed from peoples daily struggles, many stakeholders find it difficult to relate with sustainable development. Again, though we are committed to its promotion as a way of life in the country, this is not what we mean by sustainable development.

What it is To get at the real meaning of sustainable development, it is important to understand what development is. The Concept of Development It is useful to adopt a simple but comprehensive concept of development -- development is the sustained capacity to achieve a better life. Better life, the object of development, is one that is long and of higher quality. The quality of life, in turn, involves the capacity to be (e.g., to be educated, to be healthy and well-nourished, to be secure from harm) and the capacity to do (e.g., to do productive and creative work, to participate in community affairs, to bear and rear the desired number of children, to travel in search of economic and social opportunities). Underlying these capacities is the freedom of choice. Hence, development is also about expanding the range of choices for people (Sen, 988). How is better life achieved? The means of development includes: 1. Consumption of basic goods and services consumption of basic goods and services helps achieve better health, better nutrition, and better education that help achieve certain types of being. . Generation of more productive employment more employment opportunities provide greater choices on how and where to earn a living, and to be able to do productive and satisfying work.

Module I: The Concept and Pri n c i p l e s o f S u s t a i n a b l e D e v e l o p m e n t a n d S o m e R e l a t e d I s s u e s

. Reduction of inequalities in income and access when inequalities are reduced, more people have opportunities to take advantage of certain things opportunities to acquire education, better health, better food, better surroundings; opportunities to participate in community activities; opportunities to enjoy leisure, etc. In the context of this definition of development, we now understand the importance of the many interrelated factors -- social, economic and environment -- necessary in the attainment of development or a better life. For example, economic growth (or sustained increases in GNP or GNP per capita) is not development but is an important means of achieving that better life. GNP is nothing more than a bundle of goods and services. If this is what people consume, it helps them achieve all those abilities and capacities they are seeking. The higher the rate of economic growth, the higher the rate of per capita income increases, and the more goods and services are available for consumption. Therefore, stable economic growth, income equality, employment, reduction of poverty, access to services such as health, nutrition and education are means to help achieve the end or object of development a better life or wellbeing. However, these processes involve major changes in social structures, institutions and attitudes and are facilitated or constrained by certain givens such as religion, culture and tradition, politics, etc. But these givens could change over time in the process of achieving a better life.

Who then determines what better life is? The person herself/himself, depending on her/his needs and wants, within the context of societal norms. Since there may be a wide range of needs/wants, there is a hierarchy of values related to how we define better life. For example, some people or countries might have reached a stage in their development process where certain values are no longer as important as others. For instance, for some developed countries that have already reached high levels of incomes, the question of consumption of goods and services is no longer a critical problem. So now, they are more concerned with the environment, the conservation of certain species of plants and animals and other finer things in life. Whereas, for developing countries still grappling with some of the basic necessities of life, the concern for economic growth, and the production and consumption of more goods and services, especially social services, are still important. The Concept of Sustainable Development (Herrin, 2003) The World Commission on Environment and Development (WCED, 1987) defined sustainable development as the development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs. In line with this definition, the Philippine Agenda  states that the ultimate aim of development is human development now and through future generations through the harmonious integration of a sound and viable economy, responsible governance, social cohesion and ecological integrity.

Handbook for Mainstreaming Sustainable Development i n P u b l i c S e c t o r D e c i s i o n - M a k i n g

In both conceptualizations, the key idea is intergenerational wellbeing. While the basic idea of development is sustained capacity to achieve a better life, the time dimension is not made explicit but merely implied in the term sustained. The concept of sustainable development explicitly stresses the time dimension the idea of intergenerational wellbeing. In the WCED concept of sustainable development, it is important that it is not only this generation that will achieve a better life but also those of future generations. However, we can extend this original concept by taking time dimension to refer not only to generations but also to life cycles. Thus, in sustainable development, it is also important that wellbeing achieved in one stage of the life cycle (e.g., in childhood) is not compromised in the next cycle (in adulthood), and that disadvantages in one stage of the life cycle are compensated in subsequent cycles. The definition of sustainable development implies two principles: () interdependence principle -- for development to be sustainable, we must consider the interdependence of economic, social and environmental dimensions; and () intergenerational principle -- for development to be sustainable, we must consider time dimension so that better life or improved well-being is enjoyed by both present and future generations. Understanding the Interdependence Principle of SD A widely held view of sustainable development is that it refers at once to economic, social and environmental

dimensions. Therefore, all systems economic, social and environmental must be simultaneously sustainable. Satisfying one of these systems without satisfying the others is not enough because: a) each system is independently crucial; b) each need is urgent; and c) the three systems are interconnected. Thus, there is a risk of unintentionally causing or worsening problems in one system while trying to correct problems in another. Therefore, the only way to avoid this is to integrate decisions such that effects in all three systems are considered before any action is taken (Robinson and Tinker, 998). To understand the interconnectedness of social, economic and environmental systems, we use a simple framework (Figure ) to illustrate the roles of these systems in the development process or how better life or improved wellbeing is achieved. It highlights some sustainable development issues. 1. Well-being. Consistent with our concept of development as better life or improved well-being, the outcomes of the development process are improvements in indicators of wellbeing. These indicators of abilities (to be) or capabilities (to do) include, among others, health (to be healthy); nutrition (to be well-nourished); education (to be educated or to be knowledgeable and skillful); fertility (to bear and rear the desired number of children); and migration (to travel in search of economic and social opportunities).

Module I: The Concept and Pri n c i p l e s o f S u s t a i n a b l e D e v e l o p m e n t a n d S o m e R e l a t e d I s s u e s

2. Consumption of Goods and Services. The indicators of wellbeing are partly determined by the consumption of goods and services. Thus, better health is partly determined by the consumption of various types of preventive and curative health services; educational attainment is partly determined by the consumption of education services; and fertility is partly determined by the use of contraceptive services, etc.

3. Income and Expenditures on Goods and Services. The consumption of goods and services, in turn, is partly determined by the availability of such goods and services. And this availability is in turn determined by (a) the households level of income, which determines how much goods and services it can purchase and make available to members of the household, and (b) the amount of goods and services made available by the public or

Productive Productive Resources Resources


Natural Natural Capital Capital Human Capital Human Economic capital Capital

Production Production Own Own enterprise enterprise Home production Home


production

Consumption Consumption of of Goods / Goods/Services Services Income Income & &


Expenditures in Expenditures Goods & in Goods and Services

(capabilities (capabilities and& freedom) freedom)

Wellbeing Wellbeing

Food Food Health Health services services Educational Educational services services Water & Water & sanitation sanitation Housing Housing Security Security etc. etc.

Health Health Nutrition Nutrition Education Personal security Personal security Participation Participation Fertility Fertility Migration Migration Ecological Ecological integrity integrity etc. etc.

Employment
Employment
Paid & Paid & unpaid unpaid Formal & Formal & informal informal

Services

Economic capital

Population processes and outcome Population processes and outcomes Government, markets and institutions Government, markets and institutions Figure 1: The Development Process: A Framework

Handbook for Mainstreaming Sustainable Development i n P u b l i c S e c t o r D e c i s i o n - M a k i n g

private sectors. Thus, poor households with low purchasing power in the market due to low income can still increase their consumption of goods and services if they can access subsidized goods and services made available by the public or private sectors. 4. Production and Employment. Household income is derived either from production in the case of householdoperated enterprises or from employment in the wage sector. 5. Productive Resources. Earnings or profits from own-production depend on the one hand, the households or individuals access to productive inputs such as natural capital, economic or manufactured capital, and human capital, and on the other hand, on households or individuals access to markets for its outputs. Earnings from employment depend on the quality of human capital of workers as well as the strength of labor demand from firms. 6. Population. The demographic processes of fertility, mortality and migration affect the size, age-sex structure and distribution of the population. These in turn affect the formation and use of productive resources, and therefore, production and employment, and hence incomes and consumption. Population pressure on the land if not countered adequately with productivity-enhancing innovations and

technology, contributes to declining productivity per worker. Population pressure on natural resources contributes to deforestation, erosion and degradation of the environment, which again contributes to declining productivity per worker. Rapid growth of labor supply relative to demand, tend to depress the real wage, thus adversely affecting incomes, especially of the poor who depend mainly on labor income. Rapid growth of labor supply relative to demand also contributes to greater inequality in incomes as labor income declines relative to income from capital. 7. Markets and Government Action. The entire process operates through markets, which may be modified by government action. Government actions include protection of human rights, ensuring peace and order, and implementation of various economic, social and environmental policies to correct market failures, including the direct provision of specific goods and services, and to correct institutional failures. The framework shows us the interrelationships of social, economic and environmental resources and their roles in attaining a better life or improved wellbeing. If we understand and appreciate how these interactions can be used to improve the way we think and do things, we can begin to do things consistent with the intergenerational principle of SD.

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Module I: The Concept and Pri n c i p l e s o f S u s t a i n a b l e D e v e l o p m e n t a n d S o m e R e l a t e d I s s u e s

Understanding the Intergenerational Principle of SD (Herrin, 2003) The intergenerational principle of sustainable development is evident in development issues related to environment and natural resources. As shown in Figure , these resources are inputs of the production of goods and services that are, in turn, inputs of the production of better life or well-being in this generation. But if the use of these resources is such that they are rapidly depleted or their regenerative capacities are irreparably damaged by inappropriate and excessive use, then the ability of future generations to produce goods and services from such resources are compromised. This is how the current excessive and inappropriate use of natural resources and the environment has led to unsustainable development and has compromised the better life or wellbeing of future generations. The time dimension of sustainable development can also be seen in the development issues related to human capital formation where both the intergenerational and life cycle aspects are important. Human capital, among the young, needs to be expanded and upgraded to provide the necessary human capital inputs for future production. But such expansion and upgrading to increase future productivity might be hindered by the lack of investments in human capital in the present (e.g., lack or poor quality health, education and nutrition services, especially early in life) or when future human capital is currently consumed in the form, for example, of early labor force

participation of children at the expense of their schooling and health. Sustainable development also requires non-decreasing levels of capital stock over time as indicated by either the value of total assets every period or by the change of wealth in the national accounts. Unless the countrys wealth is non-declining, the wellbeing of future generations is not assured. In short, for a proper measure of sustainability, all assets manufactured capital (economic), natural capital and human capital -- should be included in such an indicator of non-declining capital stock. From the above discussion, we see that sustainable development is keeping in mind the time dimension or the implications on intergenerational wellbeing of what and how we do things. It starts with our own thinking -- how we think about relationships of various factors (social, economic and environment, etc.); how we think in terms of cause and effect; how we think about the impacts and consequences of our decisions and actions and of various policies, programs and projects not only on the wellbeing of the present but also that of future generations. Failure to take into account these relationships in making decisions at the micro or macro level could lead to disastrous and unsustainable consequences. By understanding and taking into account all these interrelationships as well as the time dimension of development, we can begin to do things in ways that would lead to a better life for us, for our children and for their childrens children.

Handbook for Mainstreaming Sustainable Development i n P u b l i c S e c t o r D e c i s i o n - M a k i n g



Some Sustainable Development Issues The WCED definition of sustainable development puts emphasis on the two key principles elaborated above, leaving countries to determine for themselves how these principles can be redefined to suit individual country concerns and situations. For example, the common concern for the conservation and protection of natural capital is only one of the many development issues that can be viewed from the sustainable development perspective. The other development issues include human capital formation, stable economic growth and poverty reduction. Natural capital conservation and protection Natural capital is generally considered to comprise three principal categories: natural resource stocks, land and ecosystems (UN, 997). All are considered essential to the intergenerational sustainability of development for their provision of functions to the economy, as well as to man and other living beings outside the economy. These functions fall in three groups: . Resource functions cover natural resources drawn into the economy to be converted into goods and services for the benefit of man (e.g., mineral deposits, timber from natural forests, and deep-sea fishes). . Sink functions absorb the unwanted byproducts of production and consumption (e.g., exhaust gases from combustion or chemical processing, water used to clean products or people, discarded packaging

and goods no longer wanted). These waste products are vented into the air, water (including the sea) and buried in landfill sites. These three destinations are often referred to as sinks. . Service functions provide the habitat for all living beings including man. Some aspects of the habitat are essential, such as air to breathe and water to drink. These are called survival functions. If the quantity and quality of survival functions are diminished, biodiversity of species is threatened, including human species. Some service functions are not essential in the same way but improve the quality of life, for example, by providing a pleasing landscape for recreation and leisure. These are called amenity functions and affect only humans. Intergenerational sustainability of development is seen as depending on the maintenance of natural capital (in addition to other forms of capital e.g., manufactured/ produced or economic capital and human capital). If the stocks of natural capital decline to the point where they are no longer able to adequately provide the functions listed above, any pattern of development that relies on these functions is not sustainable. Of course other patterns of development may still be possible but may require changes in order to: () eliminate the need for a particular natural capital service (e.g., technology -replacing soil with hydroponics); or () find a means of replacing the natural capital service with a service of manufactured or produced capital (e.g., chemical fertilizer as substitute for natural fertility of soil).



Module I: The Concept and Pri n c i p l e s o f S u s t a i n a b l e D e v e l o p m e n t a n d S o m e R e l a t e d I s s u e s

Many believe that technological advancement that has allowed substituting scarce resources will continue, even at increased rates, in the future. Others think that the possibilities for substitution are more limited, even completely absent in some cases because many forms of capital are of value only when combined with another form. For example, a fishing fleet (manufactured capital) is worthless unless combined with adequate fish stocks (natural capital) to be harvested by healthy and skilled fisherfolk (human capital). Here, fishing fleet and fish stocks are said to be complementary and fisherfolk, unsubstitutable. The effect of an increasing population also plays a critical role. Not only must capital stocks be non-diminishing, they must also grow at the same rate as the population if per capita income is to remain constant. While technological change may allow the population to grow faster than the natural stock, this could be detrimental if left unchecked. Moreover, development must be compatible with long-term maintenance of all assets (human, natural and economic) because sustainability is more a longrun consideration than a problem of the present. Thus, renewable resources should not be used beyond their natural regeneration rates. Nonrenewable resources should be used prudently and efficiently to ensure that the same resource functions are available to future generations, either by technological development or shift to the use of renewable resources. Sink functions (e.g., of forests) should not be used beyond their assimilative capacities. Activities (e.g. polluting the air, soil or water), which

cause deterioration in service functions should be avoided or at least minimized. Human capital formation Viewed from a sustainable development perspective, the development issues related to human capital formation focus on the effects of the interaction of health, nutrition and education on human productivity, capabilities and wellbeing. Poor health, nutrition and educational performance especially of children have implications for future productivity, and by extension, the health, nutrition and education of future generations. Many studies show that poor nutrition in early childhood, which is reflected in stunting in adults, affects future productivity of these adults. The study of Herrin (997) explains that the mutually reinforcing effects of malnutrition and poor health among infants and young children reduce the survival chances of these children. These also adversely affect the mental and physical development of these children. These mental and physical handicaps are carried forward to the time when these children are of school age, contributing significantly to low levels of achievement and early dropping out of school. Upon entering the labor force, these children who are now young adults are doubly handicapped, first by the effects of poor mental and physical development during early childhood, and second, by less schooling and poor achievement in school. As a consequence, these young adults will become the less productive members of the labor force, thus significantly reducing the overall productive potential of the economy as well as their own well-being. Thus, since poor health and nutrition of children (female and male) affect their future

Handbook for Mainstreaming Sustainable Development i n P u b l i c S e c t o r D e c i s i o n - M a k i n g



productivity as adults, improvements in their nutritional status can have substantial long-term pay-offs in terms of productivity and earnings when they become adults. Moreover, investments in quality basic education increase productivity of investments in health and employment generation in the future. Herrins (997) study also shows that: (a) environmental health hazards, such as lead pollution, increase incidence of mental retardation among children, with implication for future productivity; (b) high fertility reduces survival chances of infants and young children and reduces opportunities for households to invest more per child in health, nutrition and education; and (c) child labor, in response to a households need to augment its income to meet pressing needs, may reduce childrens schooling participation and performance. This has a substantial impact on the childs future productivity and chances for escaping poverty. Child labor also exposes children to various health hazards and injuries that might have long-term effects. Herrin adds that this set of relationships is reinforced by two other important factors, namely: poverty and high fertility. Poverty for the households involved, means less capacity to obtain adequate nutrition and health care, and to provide better education for its members. The role of fertility is more complex. High fertility adversely affects infant and child health and survival, child nutritional status and childcare, and schooling performance of children. At the aggregate level, continued high fertility and rapid population growth increase the pressure on government resources to provide basic health, nutrition

and education services to the rapidly growing population. Such added pressure could compromise the quality of such services. The availability of goods and services for consumption partly depends on the amount of goods and services made available by the public sector, as we saw in Figure . These include social services such as health and education. People (especially women) with low purchasing power may still increase their consumption of these services, and thereby improve their well-being, if they can access publicly subsidized services. However, access to services of high quality may not be sustainable over time. For example, the government program to provide free health services for all regardless of income might result in everybody getting equal access to health services. However, in time, as population grows relative to government resources, continuing to give free services to all could result in providing good quality services to some and poor quality services to others. In other words, high quality service may not be sustainable due to rapid population growth. The government spends its limited resources on expanding instead of improving the quality of services. Stable economic growth According to the Human Development Report (UNDP, 00) poor countries face structural barriers that make it difficult for them to achieve stable economic growth. Stable growth requires that these countries attain thresholds on: sound economic governance, basic health care and education, core infrastructure and access to foreign markets. If one of these



Module I: The Concept and Pri n c i p l e s o f S u s t a i n a b l e D e v e l o p m e n t a n d S o m e R e l a t e d I s s u e s

thresholds is not met because of structural conditions (e.g., rampant disease, location far from world market, poor soil and poor food production, or high susceptibility to natural disasters), the country tends to fall into a poverty trap, making stable economic growth unlikely. Economic growth is necessary because: (a) it directly reduces poverty for many households, increasing their savings and investments in human development; and (b) it increases government revenue. This is significant because most investments in human development health, nutrition, education, infrastructure come from the public sector. Of course, this depends on whether the government focuses policies and investments on noneconomic outcomes (e.g., substantial improvements in education, health and nutrition, especially of the poor) as well as on growth. It was discussed earlier that good education, health and nutrition have intrinsic values on peoples wellbeing. In fact, they are closely linked as education helps improve health and nutrition and good health and nutrition contribute to better education. In addition, education contributes to economic growth and raises peoples incomes. Improvements in health and nutrition also contribute to higher productivity; and improvements in the health and nutrition of children which ensure their higher productivity in the future. Poverty reduction The conditions for unsustainable development all converge on the poor. Low income means less capacity to

obtain goods and services particularly those that enhance current and future capacities, such as health and educational services for children. The poor (especially women) lack ownership or control over productive assets such as land as well as access to modern technology. The poor also have very limited resource base since they have access only to marginal lands characterized by low productivity and high susceptibility to environmental degradation, as in the case of the uplands or densely populated coastal areas. Given such unfavorable initial characteristics, the poor (female and male) must nevertheless cope as best they can. But the coping mechanisms they employ often lead to further deterioration of the natural and human resource base. For example, the pressure to produce for current consumption contributes to excessive or inappropriate use of the natural resource base upon which they earn their livelihood (e.g., dynamite fishing, kaingin or cutting trees for firewood), leading to degradation and reduced future productivity. In other words, poverty contributes to environmental degradation and environmental degradation, in turn, hurts the poor. Most poverty is still rural and most rural people are directly dependent on the use of natural resources to secure a livelihood. The linkage between poverty and the quality of soils, vegetation and water resources is critical. In addition, indoor and outdoor pollution, as well as provision of water supply and sanitation are linked to health outcomes (especially of children) which, as mentioned earlier, affect present and future productivity.

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The other coping mechanism of the poor is related to their need to supplement meager household incomes, which often results in the use of child labor at the expense of childrens schooling and other human capital investment, leading to low productivity of these children when they become adults. Thus, addressing these problems of the poor (especially those of poor women) can go a long way towards addressing the issue of sustainability. To paraphrase the 1987 WCED, meeting the needs of the poor in this generation is an essential aspect of sustainably meeting the needs of subsequent generations. LESSON 2 Mainstreaming Sustainable Development Mainstreaming sustainable development is the advocacy, integration, and harmonization of the SD concept to emphasize the value of considering intergenerational equity and the interdependence of social, economic and social dimensions into development thinking through the formulation of development plans, policies and programs. In mainstreaming SD, we: (a) describe the development issues and concerns; (b) analyze their interacting economic, social and environmental causes and effects or consequences; (c) identify policy/ strategy and program/project responses to these challenges considering their costs and benefits (resource drawdown and resource buildup) as well as their effects/impacts on other new and/or existing policies, programs and projects and their overall effects/impacts on intergenerational wellbeing; and (d) ensure

that a participatory, stakeholder process underpinning the strategies takes place to ensure that multi-disciplinary concerns are considered, and more importantly, that commitment is forthcoming. The experience of the Governance for Philippine Agenda  (GOPA ) piloted in nine local government units (LGU) showed the importance of a participatory, stakeholder process in successfully mainstreaming SD. The Elements and Challenges of the Mainstreaming Process The process of mainstreaming SD in public sector decision-making is shown in Figure . 1. Leadership probably the most critical aspect of the process. Through consultation and participation, leadership provides the vision for development activities. Its role involves determining the overall type of strategy approach; demonstrating commitment and focus; and ensuring the incorporation of the intergenerational SD and interdependence SD principles. Thus, leadership must be grounded in the fundamental principles of sustainable development, i.e., it must represent both present and future generations and understand the interdependence of economic, social and environmental systems. In addition, leadership must have good governance, strong political commitment, and consensual decision and long-term vision; take a people-centered approach; and use effective participation.

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Module I: The Concept and Pri n c i p l e s o f S u s t a i n a b l e D e v e l o p m e n t a n d S o m e R e l a t e d I s s u e s

1. Leadership

4. Monitoring

2. Planning

3. Implementation

Figure 2: The Process of Mainstreaming Sustainable Development (IISD, 1992)

Challenges
Choosing the type of strategy approach Demonstrating commitment & focus Intergenerational SD principle Addressing linkages of economic, social and environmental sustainability

Approaches and Tools


Integration into existing planning and programming processes Executive and legislative orders Linking planning with budgeting Long-term vision, goals and objectives Intersectoral policy assessment Intersectoral formulation of goals and objectives

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2. Planning Stems from the strategy approach identified by the leadership. It involves providing an enabling environment for achieving objectives; identifying the means of achieving these objectives through appropriate legal and institutional bases, necessary management instruments and policy assessment that take into consideration their interlinking economic, social and environmental consequences; and identifying programmatic structures and specific policy initiatives.

Challenges
Legal Institutional basis

Approaches and Tools


Enactment of Executive Order (EO), Administrative Order (AO) or law Philippine Council for Sustainable Development (PCSD), Regional Council for Sustainable Development (RCSD), Local Council for Sustainable Development (LCSD) Intersectoral policy assessment; NEDA ManCom/Board

Policy assessment

3. Implementation The plans are developed, employing and financing a mix of policy and program initiatives. These plans are then implemented, building on existing capacity; providing cohesion between budget, capacity and priorities; building partnerships; ensuring accountability and establishing clear and coordinated responsibility; and linking efforts to the private sector.

Challenges
Accountability/responsibility Financing

Approaches and Tools


All sectors at all government levels with NEDA oversight Internal and external financing National budget, green budgeting (environmental users fees) MTPDP, agency plans, regional plans & local plans

Mix of specific SD-based policy initiatives

4. Monitoring, learning and adapting Plan implementation is monitored and evaluated. These processes constitute a critical feedback that closes the cycle. Monitoring and evaluation should be based on SMART (specific, measurable, achievable, relevant/ realistic and time-bound) indicators and built into strategies to steer the process, track progress, cull and capture lessons and signal when change of direction is necessary. This also includes formal and informal feedback mechanisms to ensure that monitoring results continually inform the adaptation of leadership, planning and implementation.

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Module I: The Concept and Pri n c i p l e s o f S u s t a i n a b l e D e v e l o p m e n t a n d S o m e R e l a t e d I s s u e s

Challenges
Process monitoring

Approaches and Tools


Assessment against timeframe Expenditure review; auditing Ensuring target beneficiaries are reached Internal and external evaluation using SD indicators of objectives and targets Assessing whether target beneficiaries benefited from achieved objectives.

Monitoring outcomes

5. Coordination and stakeholder participation Coordination is a cross-cutting aspect of the process. There are many dimensions to coordination in mainstreaming SD: Linking national, regional and local priorities and actions, making sure they are sustainable and not at cross-purposes with each other; Linking national, regional and local levels; Linking different sectors; Coherence between budgets and priority initiatives; and Linking the short-term to the medium- and the long-term visions/goals/ objectives/plans.

The first two refers to vertical coordination, the next two to horizontal coordination and the last to intergenerational coordination.

Coordination Challenges With budgeting process With other strategy processes With sub-national strategy processes

Approaches and Tools With Department of Budget and Management With appropriation Congressional committees PCSD and other NEDA existing committees RCSD, LCSD, Regional Development Council (RDC) and other local committees

In short, mainstreaming SD into existing government development undertakings is a cyclical and continuous process. It is an adaptive process that requires putting in place mechanisms, policies, legal and institutional frameworks for coordinating and integrating economic, social and environmental aspects of development while considering their impacts on intergenerational well-being. It involves the following key considerations:

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Key considerations in mainstreaming SD: Creating a sustainable development culture SD should be a way of thinking and a way of life. The integration of economic, social and environmental aspects of development and inter-generational well-being should be pursued as a routine undertaking. Institutionalizing sustainable development SD efforts should be fully institutionalized and not seen as ad hoc or a one time undertaking. It should be fully mainstreamed in development policy and in the day-today functioning of government and other stakeholders. Putting in place appropriate legal and enforcement mechanisms legal and enforcement mechanisms are indispensable for making SD a way of life. Coordinating effectively because SD is a multisectoral and multilevel undertaking, effective coordination is essential for its success. Coordination ensures incorporating SD in the government decision making process and in the annual budget at the national, regional and local levels. Creating effective public communication and participation there should be regular public consultation at the national, regional and local levels to reach consensus on the development objectives for the country and also for the implementation of specific programs and projects. Mobilizing, engaging and strengthening national capacity for continuous SD efforts it is important to identify on a regular basis what skills and capacities exist and what are needed for various mechanisms. Local capacities (human, organizational and financial resources) should be built or strengthened through formal and informal training.

By making SD a way of life in planning and action, policies, programs and activities become more effective in achieving intergenerational wellbeing; greater efficiency in the use of limited resources; and greater equity impact of policies and programs that would contribute to the achievement of SD goals. LESSON 3 Measuring Sustainability: Some Tools and Indicators Consistent with our concept of development as better life or improved wellbeing, the outcome of the development process are improvements in the indicators of wellbeing. SD requires that total assets (human capital, natural capital and manufactured capital) are not declining over time. To properly measure sustainability, all assets -- manufactured capital, natural capital and human capital -- must be included in the

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Module I: The Concept and Pri n c i p l e s o f S u s t a i n a b l e D e v e l o p m e n t a n d S o m e R e l a t e d I s s u e s

indicators. In the past, only manufactured capital was recorded in the System of National Accounts (SNA), but the recognition of the importance of natural capital has led to the inclusion of this asset in some countries. However, human capital is not yet included because there is no agreement on how to measure it. Ideally, though, since economic, social and environmental processes are interrelated and affect sustainable development, economic, social and environmental indicators must be considered in monitoring and assessing the sustainability of development paths towards intergenerational wellbeing of the individual as well as the wellbeing of the country as a whole. Indicators of a Countrys Wellbeing A fundamental indicator of a countrys wellbeing is the value of its wealth over time. While nondeclining national wealth does not guarantee sustainable development, declining national wealth is a cause for concern. Many researchers and practitioners have searched for a way to measure sustainability either by revising conventional macroeconomic indicators or by coming up with new ones in physical units used in conjunction with conventional economic indicators. At this time there is no consensus as to which indicators to use since each indicator serves a different purpose, but some indicators are discussed below. The choice of indicator depends on the policy question that policy-makers may pose. For example: (a) Is the current level of national income

sustainable? (b) What level of income would be sustainable? Physical Indicators of Macro-level Performance Macroeconomic indicators measured in physical units have been proposed to be used either as alternative to monetary indicators or in conjunction with monetary aggregates in assessing economic performance. The use of physical indicators reflects a strong sustainability approach. The two major sources of physical macroeconomic indicators are the National Accounting Matrix including Environmental Accounts (NAMEA) and the Material Flow Accounts (MFA), which are closely related to environmental accounts. The NAMEA provides physical macroeconomic indicators for major environmental policy themes: climate change, acidification of the atmosphere, eutrophication of water bodies and solid wastes. The indicators are then compared to a national standard (e.g., target level of greenhouse gas emission) to assess sustainability. The MFA, on the other hand, provide several macro indicators, the most widely known of which is total materials requirements (TMR). The TMR adds up all the materials used in the economy by weight, including hidden flows or materials excavated and disturbed along with the desired material, but do not themselves enter the economy. Unlike the NAMEA theme indicators, TMR provides a single-valued indicator of all materials used. Sustainability is assessed in terms of dematerialization as in Factor  (halving resource use while doubling wealth),

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(von Weisacker, et al, 997). However, TMR does not differentiate materials by environmental impact highly toxic materials are simply added to materials that are much less environmentally damaging. Thus, the sustainability goals set under this framework appear rather vague as guides to policy. Hence, TMR requires further disaggregation by material and by industry for better interpretation. Other physical indicators derived from MFA include (SEEA, 2003): Direct Material Input (DMI) Net Addition to Stock (NAS) Total Domestic Output (TDO) Domestic Processed Output (DPO)

(conventional NDP) with hypothetical monetary values of environmental degradation. If the costs of environmental mitigation had actually been paid, relative prices throughout the economy would have changed, thereby affecting economic behavior and, ultimately, the level and structure of GDP and NDP (Lange, 00). A macro indicator related to eaNDP is Genuine Savings (gY). It attempts to measure changes in asset values rather than income. According to economic theory, sustainability requires that wealth is non-declining over time. But many countries do not have comprehensive balance sheets, so it is not feasible for them to monitor wealth. But it is possible to measure savings, that in turn, shows how wealth is changing, and whether the trend is sustainable or not. Genuine Savings adjusts gross domestic savings for consumption of fixed capital, investment in human capital, changes in natural capital, and environmental damage. The following list summarizes measures that revise existing macroeconomic indicators (SEEA, 00): daGDP, daNDP, daGNI, daNNI (depletion adjusted product and income measures) -- depletion of natural capital assets is subtracted from macroeconomic aggregates. eaNDP, eaNNI (environmentally adjusted product and income measures) depletion of natural capital and environmental degradation based on maintenance cost are subtracted from macroeconomic aggregates. In some cases, part of environmental protection expenditures (EPE) are subtracted

Monetary Environmental Indicators The purpose of most monetary environmental macroeconomic aggregates has been to more accurately measure sustainable income. The first approach revised conventional macroeconomic indicators by adding and subtracting the relevant environmental components of the System of Integrated Environmental and Economic Accounting (SEEA) the depletion of natural capital and environmental degradation. An environmentally adjusted product and income is obtained by subtracting depletion of natural capital and environmental degradation based on maintenance cost from macroeconomic aggregates. Most economists and statisticians accept this adjustment of NDP for asset depletion, even though there is still no consensus over the correct way of measuring it. Environmentallyadjusted NDP (eaNDP) has been criticized for combining actual transactions



Module I: The Concept and Pri n c i p l e s o f S u s t a i n a b l e D e v e l o p m e n t a n d S o m e R e l a t e d I s s u e s

Genuine Savings (gY) -- (NNI less damage costs; it is related to genuine savings, goods and services) depletion of natural capital and environmental degradation based on damage cost are subtracted from macroeconomic aggregates. Other measures that estimate new hypothetical macroeconomic aggregates include (SEEA, 2003): Huetings (00) Sustainable National Income (SNI) (sustainable income measure preserving environmental service) based on modeling hypothetical GDP, GNI if economy was forced to meet environmental standards using currently available technology. geGDP, geNDP, geGNI, geNNI (greened economy product and income measures) -- based on modeling of hypothetical GDP if hypothetical environmental protection costs were required. Other forms of sustainable GDP, NDP, GNI, NNI (no technical term) based on modeling of hypothetical GDP from a range of either short- and medium-term options (e.g. carbon tax) or long-term strategic analysis of alternatives for sustainable development. We have seen that better and more comprehensive accounts of national wealth would definitely contribute to more effective monitoring of sustainable national wealth and improve the ability of policy-makers to make informed decisions. Unfortunately, many developing countries, including the Philippines, do not have

data for many of these indicators. We hope that because of their importance in monitoring and measuring sustainability of development policies, programs and projects, developing countries will begin to gather the needed data so that they can use these indicators. Indicators of Individual Well-being So far, we have looked at total wealth/ income. But in most countries, population is still increasing rapidly. Therefore, a constant level of wealth and income would result in a declining per capita level of wealth and income for future generations. Inter-generational equity requires that not just total wealth, but per capita national wealth is nondeclining over time and this is why a population growing faster than economic growth is a concern. Sustainable development also requires that the indicators of wellbeing are nondeclining over time. The following sets of indicators provide an idea of whether peoples wellbeing are improving or declining over time. Human Development Index (HDI) The United Nations Development Program (UNDP) uses the Human Development Index to monitor various countries achievement of the goals of eradicating poverty, promoting human dignity and equality and achieving peace, democracy and environmental sustainability (i.e., the various means of achieving better life or wellbeing), using three composite indicators, namely: life expectancy, educational attainment and adjusted real income.

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Population and Development (POPDEV) Indicators A total of 59 population-denominated indicators of development are grouped into: population processes, population outcomes, development processes and development outcomes based on the framework for integrating population and development in planning (Herrin, 990). This list of POPDEV indicators was developed under the POPDEV Planning at the Local Level Project of the Commission on Population in 999. The indicators, expressed as number, percentage, ratio, rate, average, mean or median, measure various means and levels of well-being. Minimum Basic Need (MBN) Indicators and Poverty Indicators The  indicators were established through the Integrated Approach to Local Development Management. These MBN indicators were intended to regularly monitor, at the barangay level, the situation of families in terms of the attainment of their minimum basic needs of food and nutrition, health, water and sanitation, clothing, shelter, peace and order/public safety, income and employment, basic education and literacy, peoples participation and family care/

psychological needs, to identify families that need poverty reduction interventions. These indicators can also show how many families are moving in or out of poverty. The Presidential Commission to Fight Poverty adopted 9 of these MBN indicators for its use in identifying the poor. However, these indicators were trimmed down to 6 indicators because of the difficulty of getting information on the other indicators from the community-based monitoring systems. Balisacans (997) study on correlates of poverty in the Philippines provides such indicators such as location, dwelling, family characteristics and ownership of durable goods to predict household welfare levels. Again, since economic, social and environmental processes are interrelated, it is important to have economic, social and environmental indicators or indices in monitoring and assessing the sustainability of development processes and interventions policies, strategies, programs and projects -- so that we have an idea of whether we are accomplishing intergenerational wellbeing of individuals and of the country as a whole.



Module II: SD-Enhanced Situational Analysis

Module II
SD-Enhanced Situational Analysis
Module II is designed to enhance the knowledge and skills of policymakers and planners in analyzing the situation of their locality. This is an important skill because a good situational analysis (SA) is an important component of plan formulation and the basis of all the succeeding steps in the development planning process. One of the bases of a good SA for planning is a good socio-economic profile (SEP), which provides planners with needed data and indicators. This module consists of four lessons and two workshops. Lesson 1 discusses the concept of SA and its importance in the development planning process. Lesson 2 illustrates how the SA might be improved by integrating the interdependence and intergenerational principles of sustainable development into a locality with an already existing SA and involving the participation of stakeholders and experts in the process. After the lesson, a workshop on improving SA is conducted to apply the concepts in their own situations. Lesson 3 introduces the concept of prioritizing problem situations besetting the locality as identified in the SA. It explains the importance of focusing on priority problems since the SA might come up with a host of development problems and concerns that the locality may not be able to address effectively with limited resources and within a specified plan period. After Lesson 3, a workshop allows the planners to have a hands-on experience in prioritizing the problems of their locality. LESSON 1 Situational Analysis Lesson  introduces the concepts and processes of SA. It discusses why we conduct an SA and the importance of a good SA in the entire sustainable development planning process. Lesson  covers the following topics:

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What is situational analysis? Why conduct a situational analysis? What is a good situational analysis?

Where are we in the development planning process? To place SA in context, let us first review the development planning process. The planning process consists of several stages: plan formulation, investment programming and resource allocation or budgeting, plan implementation and plan monitoring and evaluation (Figure ). Plan formulation involves several activities: situational analysis and problem identification; development of a vision; setting of goals, objectives and targets; formulation of policies and strategies; and identification of programs and projects. We see in Figure  that SA is the first step in the planning process. As such, SA provides inputs into the succeeding steps of the planning process and at the same time draws inputs from the evaluation of the previous planning cycle. It is important to note that in SA, the involvement of planners as well as stakeholders and experts is important to make the process correct and effective.

SA and problem problem identification identification

SA and

Vision, goal, objective and target setting

Policy and strategy formulation

Program and project identification

Plan formulation

Plan monitoring and evaluation

Plan implementation

Investment programming /budgeting

Figure 3: The Planning Process: SA and Problem Identification

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Module II: SD-Enhanced Situational Analysis

What is situational analysis? SA is an assessment of the conditions of a locality and the social, economic, environmental, physical, political, cultural and institutional factors affecting these conditions. When doing an SA, we look into a localitys past and present situations and ask the question: How are we doing? What are the impacts of past policies/strategies, programs/projects on sustainable development in the current situation in terms of total assets human, natural and manufactured or economic capital? Are the conditions existing in the locality desirable or not? If not, why is it so? What factors brought about these undesirable situations? On the other hand, if the situations are desirable, how can we make them even more desirable or at least maintain the same level of desirability? What factors brought about these desirable conditions as opposed to the undesirable ones? SA is primarily undertaken to determine the key development issues and concerns of an area its strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats and the factors that brought about these issues and concerns. In other words, what factors made a particular situation a strength, a weakness, an opportunity or a threat? A thorough and correct understanding of the situation is important in the formulation of an SD-enhanced development plan. A plan is a look at where we are, where we hope to go and how to get there. So unless we know exactly where we are, we would not know where to go or how to get there. We would be like a ship without a rudder, drifting around without a port, which is not exactly the image of effectiveness and efficiency. Determining the impacts of past policies, programs and projects on sustainable development in the current situation in terms of the following: Human capital -- Were there improvements in the target populations access to basic services -- health, nutrition, education -- due to past plan interventions? Were the correct target beneficiaries (disaggregated by age and sex), reached by these interventions? Natural capital -- What is the state of our natural capital in terms of land use, quality and quantity of water, air, soil, biodiversity, reserves, etc.? Are these resources declining? If so, at what rate? Manufactured or economic capital -- What is the countrys situation in terms of technology, infrastructure, savings/investments, employment generation, production of goods and services, etc.? To what extent have they contributed to increasing the income/wealth of the nation or at least reducing budget deficit? How far is the country from achieving non-declining income/wealth?

What factors -- social, economic and environmental -- made the current situation desirable or undesirable, compared with the localitys or agencys past situation? What potential impacts does the current situation have on intergenerational wellbeing?

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Why conduct a situational analysis? We need to understand the different factors that influence a particular situation in a locality. These factors determine a localitys comparative advantages. Comparative advantages are those features or characteristics of a locality that make it more competitive compared with other localities. Since a good SA is based on a reliable and updated set of data, it provides an objective basis for mapping out specific courses of action and identifying appropriate interventions, either to address identified problems or develop potentials for sustainable development of the area. Thus, a thorough and correct understanding of the situation is important in the formulation of a good sustainable development plan (SDP). That is why SA is the first step in the planning process and the basis of all the succeeding steps in planning. This is also why a plan is only as good as its SA. A poor SA could result in a poor or ineffective plan. What is a good situational analysis? A good SA is one that provides an accurate and comprehensive view of the conditions and dynamics of a locality and its people. An accurate and comprehensive view: (a) allows us to see clearly the sustainable development vision, goals, objectives and targets of the locality; (b) provides us with a wide range of options for identifying and choosing appropriate interventions to address its problems, develop its potentials and attain its stated sustainable development vision, goals, objectives and targets; and (c) helps us identify correctly the population groups or areas affected by specific situations. Unless we target the correct population groups or areas, the planned interventions may not be effective and may not make a difference in the lives of people now and in the future. To be able to accomplish these tasks objectively, a good SA must be based on accurate, relevant, timely, reliable and accurate data and information. The primary source of data for the SA is a complete, reliable, up-to-date socio-economic profile (SEP) of a locality. A good SEP guides and facilitates the preparation of a good SA.

Does the SEP have accurate social, economic and environmental data and indicators to enable the planner to conduct a good SA that explicitly considers the interdependence and intergenerational SD principles?

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Module II: SD-Enhanced Situational Analysis

LESSON 2 SD-Enhanced Situational Analysis We already know the importance of a good SA in the development of a good sustainable development plan. In this lesson, we will look into how to enhance an existing SA by integrating the intergenerational and interdependence principles of sustainable development. In short, we will look at: (a) ways to explicitly consider the interrelationships among social, environment and economic development factors and (b) intergenerational development impacts of our decisions and actions. How do we prepare a SD-Enhanced SA? There are several approaches in preparing an acceptable situational analysis, such as the problem tree analysis, the SWOT analysis, fishbone diagram (Annexes A, B and C, respectively) and the determinants-outcome approach . In this module, we use the determinants-outcome approach. This approach tells us that a situation is likely to be the result or outcome of many interacting factors -- social, economic, environmental, institutional and other factors. It is a useful method of analyzing the determinants of an outcome or the result of interventions of the previous planning period. A determinant is a factor influencing or causing an outcome. There are two types of determinants proximate and underlying. A proximate determinant affects an outcome directly. An underlying determinant affects an outcome indirectly by directly affecting the proximate determinant (Figure ).

Underlying Determinants

Proximate Determinants

Development Outcome

Figure 4: Relationship between Outcome and Determinants


Let us look at how the analysis of determinants-outcome relationships might help us develop a SD-enhanced SA. To do this, it might be easier to work by sector (since the current development planning process uses a sectoral approach), although the analysis of interrelationships is intersectoral. The following steps may be followed: 1. Identify a sector or sub-sector desired outcome or result Development outcomes of a sector are the end-results or goals, objectives or targets that we expect the sector to accomplish to improve the wellbeing of present and future generations. These outcomes or results usually characterize a sector. For example, in the health sector, we usually look at what is happening to the health status of 1 Also known as POPDEV approach (NEDA-IPDP, 1993, Training Module on the Integrated Population and Development Planning)

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the community in terms of mortality, morbidity, nutritional status and disability. In infrastructure, we are concerned with adequacy and quality of transportation (e.g., roads, seaports, airports and various transport facilities), adequacy and quality of communication (e.g., various communication media, telephone system, TV, radio and newspapers), adequacy and quality of water supply, electrification coverage, and other social services facilities. In tourism, we want to know the sectors contribution to revenue generation and environmental preservation and protection. Under the macroeconomic sector, the outcomes include standard of living, level of prices, employment situation, etc. In agriculture, outcomes might include farm productivity, farmer income, and so on. In environment, we are concerned with the quality and quantity of the environment and natural resources. In industry, the relevant outcomes might be investment generation and export promotion. These are just a few development outcomes of different sectors that we are concerned about to ensure that people now and in the future achieve a better life. It is useful to remember that the desired development outcomes of a sector can be gleaned from the goals, objectives and targets of the previous planning period. 2. Identify indicators of each sector/sub-sector outcome Indicators measure and describe the prevailing reality of each development outcome. Various indicators may be identified for each of the different sectoral outcomes. For example, in the industry sector, employment generation may be measured by such indicators as employment rate, unemployment rate, underemployment rate, number of new jobs created, labor force participation rate, type of investment, type of technology and others. The health outcomes of mortality may be indicated by infant mortality rate (IMR), crude death rate (CDR), child mortality rate (CMR), maternal mortality rate (MMR), etc. An environment sector outcome of quantity of natural resources may be indicated by rate of utilization or regeneration of specific resources (e.g., forest, marine resources, etc.). 3. Obtain data of each indicator Data quantify or show the magnitude of the outcome being described by the indicator (e.g., 0% unemployment rate, 0,000 hectares of denuded forests, 5 IMR, etc.). The primary source of data is the socio-economic profile. 4. Determine whether the outcome is desirable or not Using the data for the indicators, we compare the current outcome with: Past outcome A planning standard The outcome of a similar planning unit The outcome of a higher planning unit (province, region or country in the case of a municipality) Other reference/comparison points

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Module II: SD-Enhanced Situational Analysis

From this comparison, we determine whether we are better off or worse off than the past outcome and/or other reference data. If our situation is worse off, then we have a problem. For instance, if our IMR was 0 in the preceding planning period (past outcome) and our current IMR is 5, our situation has worsened. On the other hand, if our current IMR is 5, our situation has improved. However, knowing whether our situation has improved or worsened is not enough. We need to know how well or how badly we have performed compared with the planning standard or with other planning units. For example, if our IMR is 5 and the countrys or regions is 50, then we are better than the regional or national average. If we are better off, this situation is a strength of the locality or agency. The more reference points we compare our localitys data with, the more confident we are to conclude that the situation is either a problem or a strength. Simply comparing the localitys situation with that of another locality, region or country may not show that a problem situation exists since it is possible that the situation of the other locality, region or country might be below standard. It is important, therefore, that we know the planning standards for different sectors so that the conduct of SA will be more comprehensive and correct. These planning standards may be requested from different sector agencies. A comparison with either the regions or the countrys data situates the condition of the locality or agency within a larger development picture. Comparing the locality with planning standards tells us how it fares against a prescribed ideal level. For example, the standard for teacher-student ratio is :5. If the localitys figure is :5, then it is above standard. If, however, it is :50, then it is doing poorly in this sector and that something must be done to improve class size. 5. Find out what factors caused the situation to be the way it is We want to understand why a situation is the way it is. What factors caused the situation to be a problem or strength? What social, economic, environmental, political and institutional factors influenced it? We want to know these factors so that we would know how to correct problem situations or enhance desirable ones. These factors are potential areas for identifying interventions policies, strategies, programs and projects needed to solve a problem or enhance a strength.

A desirable sectoral development outcome contributes to the attainment of wellbeing of the present generation without compromising the chances of future generations to attain their wellbeing as well.

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If the situation is problematic, what are its potential impacts on the wellbeing of the present as well as of future generations?

For this purpose, we use different sectoral determinant-outcome frameworks. These frameworks help us understand a situation and its determinants. Earlier, we saw in Figure 4 the relationship between outcomes and determinants. Figure 5 illustrates the relationship with examples in the health sector. It enumerates the different health outcomes and their corresponding proximate or sectoral determinants and underlying or intersectoral determinants. The health outcomes are mortality, morbidity, nutritional status and disability. The proximate or sectoral determinants that directly affect these health outcomes include: (a) utilization of health care service, whether preventive or curative, affects health status; (b) environmental factors such as contamination of air, soil or water increase risk of infection; (c) nutrients or dietary intakes directly affect nutritional status as well as risk of illness; (d) fertility, proxied by age of mother, number of children and birth spacing is related to infant and maternal mortality; and (e) injury may cause disability or death. All these proximate determinants have to be understood in terms of the underlying or intersectoral factors. Let us take income as an example. Income affects health outcomes by affecting ones ability to afford health care services or the right nutrients and so on. Education indirectly affects health outcomes by directly affecting the proximate determinants. Education is related to a persons beliefs and attitudes toward health practices whether one prefers to go to a medical practitioner or consult a hilot; how he disposes of his/her garbage and cleans his/her surroundings as well as what food he/she eats. All these then, indirectly affect health outcomes. This framework for analyzing interrelationships of various factors affecting the health sector provides us with an example of how to identify the factors directly affecting an outcome (proximate determinants) and the factors indirectly affecting an outcome (underlying determinants). Any situation in any sector can be analyzed using a similar determinants-outcome framework (Annex D) for other sectoral determinants-outcome frameworks. These frameworks are effective tools in analyzing a situation and looking at what causes (determines) the situation to be the way it is. They help us look

Among the various factors that brought about the situation, were social, economic and environmental factors explicitly considered?



Module II: SD-Enhanced Situational Analysis

Underlying or Intersectoral Determinants


(Social, Economic, Environmental Factors)

Proximate or Sectoral Determinants

Health Outcomes

Individual Age, sex Education Health beliefs and attitudes Household Income or wealth Age/sex composition Social network Community Ecology: climate Markets and prices Transportation Population size, age-sex structure & distribution Social structures & organization Others Figure 5: Determinants of Health

Health care utilization Environmental contamination Nutrient or dietary intake Fertility

Mortality Morbidity Nutritional Status Disability

at the different factors that brought about such a situation in a more systematic and comprehensive way. Knowing why a situation is the way it is makes it easier for us to see what needs to be done about that situation to make it desirable and sustainable and how to go about it. 6. Identify the population affected by the situation. For each problem situation, we identify the specific population group (women and men of various groups) or areas affected by the problem. This group of people or area is the target population or target area which we intend to reach with our programs or projects.

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It is important to clearly identify the target population or area because everything else follows. If we have not specified the target population or area we will not be able to determine later the extent to which the program or project is reaching them because they were not properly identified in the first place. And at the end of the program or project, when we assess its impact, we will not be able to determine if, and to what extent, the program or project has affected or will affect the peoples lives now and in the future, because we did not define who these people are or what areas the target beneficiaries were supposed to be. Choosing a target population depends on the problem and its implications on resources and impact on present and future wellbeing. The criteria for choosing the target population or area should be well defined. Unless one has clearly specified the criteria as to who should belong or who should not then there is a danger that everyone is included or that those who should belong will not be included. This has implications on impact and resources. Knowing the extent of the target populations or target areas problem is also important for us to appreciate the urgency of addressing a problem. A useful tool in summarizing the situation of the locality for each sector is shown on Table . We use a health outcome to illustrate how it may be done. 7. Use projections (population or area) Knowing how many will be in need of specific interventions or services until the end of the plan period gives us an idea of the magnitude of the problem. This will also provide some basis for determining the funding requirements of a program or project later on. 8. Validate SA with local community Consultation with and participation of credible stakeholders and experts in SA ensures that the findings are correct and that the felt needs and concerns of the communitys women and men are taken into account. This step is important partly because the available data for analysis may be incomplete or inaccurate; or information from different sectors of the community may further enrich or verify the accuracy of the analysis. Usually, consultation is done through interviews or community meetings (e.g., pulongpulong), focus group discussions (FGDs)and others. Decisions should be based on consensus.

Who are affected by the problem? Will the choice of target population of women and men or target area (e.g., upland forested area or coastal area, etc.) have intergenerational impact? For example, if we do something about the health and education of poor children now, it will improve their productivity in adulthood and their chances of getting out of poverty?

 LGU/Agency: ______ Sector: Health Outcome Indicators Outcome Name of indicator Data of indicator Planning standard or reference points 5/000 live births Statement or problem or strength

Module II: SD-Enhanced Situational Analysis

Determinants Proximate or sectoral Underlying or intersectoral Affected target population or area (who/ where) Families below poverty line in Barangay A

Health Status (mortality)

IMR

50/000 live births

Increasing infant mortality

-Poor nutrition -High fertility -Poor sanitation -Lack of access to health services -Etc.

-Low income -Uneducated mothers -Large family size -High price of healthcare services -Etc.

Table 1: Summary of the Sectoral Situation of a Locality (an example)


It is also important to consult local officials, both executive and legislative, to make sure that their perceived priority concerns coincide with the priorities identified in the SA or that they are at least considered. Participation of officials in every step of the planning process ensures their support and commitment to the plan, especially during its implementation. LESSON 3 Prioritizing Problem Situations The previous lessons introduced us to the processes involved in identifying development problems and concerns. Given a wider view of the situation of a locality and provided with a good, comprehensive and SD-enhanced situational analysis, we can expect to identify a host of problem situations. In this lesson, we look at the many identified problems and concerns so that we can initially prioritize them. An initial prioritization is important for us to know the value the community attaches to these problems. These values enable us to decide which problems must be attended to first, and which ones should follow. In addition, these values will be useful later on in identifying the criteria for prioritizing programs and projects in Module III.

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How do we prioritize problem situations? Since resources are scarce and implementation capabilities are limited, we need to prioritize or rank the long list of identified problems to find out which among them ought to be dealt with during the plan period. To do this, the following steps may be followed: 1. Make sure the problems are the localitys concerns We review the problems to make sure that all of them are the localitys concerns. If a problem has spillover or cross-border effects, then it is a common concern of the locality and the other affected areas or sectoral agencies. Spillover or cross-border effects are those not confined to only one locality but extend to neighboring areas. It is important to know these types of problems since their solutions will have to be coordinated with the other affected areas. Otherwise, the solution might not work and the problem may persist or even worsen. We also want to know whether a problem is appropriately the concern of the government or of the private sector. Again, this is important so that we know who to coordinate with to address a specific situation. If it is a government concern, we also need to know whether it is a local, regional or national concern so that it can be addressed by the appropriate level of government. 2. Set criteria for prioritization We subject each of the localitys problems and concerns against a set of simple, common sense criteria as part of the initial prioritization process. The more rigid prioritization is done with programs and projects in Module III. The locality or agency chooses a set of criteria such as: Urgency of the problem or concern Seriousness of the problem or concern Extent of the problem or concern Magnitude of directly affected human resources (women and men of various ages), natural resources or manufactured or economic resources, Magnitude of indirectly affected human resources (women and men of various ages), natural resources or manufactured or economic resources

Have we considered the problems impact on intergenerational wellbeing of women and men of various groups?

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Module II: SD-Enhanced Situational Analysis

Consequences of the problem/ concern Impact on intergenerational wellbeing (present and future generations of women and men of various ages) Impact on the solution of other problems/concerns Impact on sustainability of strengths, potentials and opportunities of the area Impact on other localities and other planning levels Others

another. The general rule is the more criteria a particular problem or concern meets, the higher the priority of that particular problem or concern. This exercise may also be applied to the localitys strengths and potentials, because there are strengths and potentials that can be harnessed in the long run. However, given limited available resources, priority may have to be given to the problem situations; otherwise they might fester and worsen. There are also potentials that could have spillover effects (e.g., the presence of geothermal reserves in one locality; a tertiary hospital; or a college). In this case, doing something about a potential might have to wait for higherlevel pronouncements before it can benefit a particular locality. While this type of potentials offer bright hope for a locality, their actual development is not decided locally as external factors (e.g., policies at the national level) dictate or affect the pace of development in a particular locality or community. 3. Rank the problems Ranking problems is intended to guide decisions on which problems to address immediately and which ones to put on hold. How do we rank problems? One way is to assign weights to the chosen set of criteria. These weights represent the value a locality places on a particular problem situation and may differ from locality to locality. The involvement of stakeholders and experts may help in assigning the weights. Some localities or agencies might give higher priority to human resource development while others would prioritize environmental protection or physical/ structural development. This implies that

Urgency indicates the time response needed to solve a problem or alleviate negative effects of a problem situation. One example is a life or death situation such as the occurrence of a calamity or an epidemic. Such a situation is given high priority. Seriousness suggests the gravity of the problem even if it is not a life or death situation. For example, third degree malnutrition is more serious than first- or seconddegree malnutrition or mercury pollution of water bodies. Extent implies the size or magnitude of the people or area directly or indirectly affected by the problem. The more people or the greater the area affected, the higher the priority. For example, epidemic affects a lot of people; or a situation of 500,000 third degree malnourished children in Barangay A is worse than 0,000 third degree malnourished children in another barangay. Obviously, these criteria are not mutually exclusive. In fact, they overlap with one

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weights for prioritizing criteria cannot be prescribed for adoption by all localities because only the community can put a value to a problem that besets it. Another way is to use uniform or equal weights to all criteria but realistically, different weights are assigned to reflect the different values of the criteria. Regardless of the method used, the sum of all the weights should not exceed 00 percent. Sometimes it is useful to breakdown a criterion into sub-criteria and assign them weights as well. This is done to further reduce the element of subjectivity in the ranking process. For example: This can be done for the other criteria. For instance: seriousness of the problem (very serious, serious, less serious, and not serious); extent of problem (very large, large, small, very small population or area affected); consequence of problem (very great, great, not so great, small impact on the community, etc.). Urgency of the problem Very urgent (solution needed immediately) Urgent (solution needed within the year) Less urgent (solution needed within next  yrs) Not urgent (solution needed after 5 or more yrs) :  points : 5 points :  points :  points :  point

The relative rank of the list of problems is determined from the total score of each problem, using a -to-n ranking. From the ranking, a decision is made either to assign a cut-off point to short-list the problems for inclusion in the plan or to include all identified problems. Another approach to ranking problems is non-quantitative in nature. Prioritization is done through consultation with key informants officials, leaders and concerned groups and experts in the community or sector -- or through an official pronouncement of the leadership.

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Module II: SD-Enhanced Situational Analysis

WORKSHOP 1 Suggested Materials/Equipment: Laptop and LCD or OHP and transparencies Whiteboard or manila paper Whiteboard markers/erasers A. Improving SA

Meta cards (colored cartolina of -5 colors) Scissors, masking tape Socio-economic Profile localitys development plan

This activity provides an opportunity for trainees to apply the concepts to their actual situation. Therefore, the participants work on their SA. Expected Outputs: Sector determinants-outcome framework of social, economic and environment interrelationships (or problem tree) Analysis of situation in Presentation Form . (below) Workshop: Presentation: Open Forum:  hours 0 minutes per group  hour Duration:

Workshop Guidelines: . Identify the various sector/sub-sector outcomes. . Identify the indicators of each outcome. . Get data on each on these indicators. 4. Compare the data with Localitys past data Planning standards Data of a similar locality Data of the higher level planning unit of locality (province, region, country) 5. Determine whether your locality is better off or worse off than the reference points. If worse off, you have a problem; if better off, this is a strength. 6. List down problems and strengths by sector using prescribed format (Presentation Form .). 7. For each problem or strength, identify the factors social, economic, environmental, political, and institutional that made the situation the way it is (a problem or strength). Presentation Form . LGU Sector : ______________________ : ______________________
Indicators
Name Value/Weight Standard/ Reference Points

Outcome/ Results

Statement of Problem or Strength

Determinants
Proximate Underlying

Affected Target Population or Area


(who/where)

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8. Prepare a determinants-outcome framework of these factors showing proximate determinants and underlying determinants of the problem or strength under study (distinguishing cause and effect). A sectoral determinants-outcome list can be found in the Annex section. 9. Using Presentation Form ., fill in the determinants of each problem or strength. 10. Identify who are affected by each problem situation; specify where they are located. Fill in appropriate columns in Presentation Form .. . Assign a presenter and present to group for further comments/validation. B. Prioritizing Problem Situations

This activity gives the trainees an opportunity to have a hands-on experience in coming up with their own criteria for prioritizing and ranking problem situations of their respective localities. It also allows them to establish linkages among sectorally identified problems, enabling them to evolve a set of problems that are multisectoral in scope. Expected Outputs: A set of prioritizing criteria A list of ranked sectoral problems A list of ranked multisectoral problems Duration: Workshop Presentation Open Forum : : :  hours 5 minutes per group  hour

Workshop Guidelines: 1. Sectoral Classification a. Break up into sectoral groups. b. Identify a set of prioritization criteria and assign weights. c. Using a set of problem situations identified in Workshop Part A, prioritize and rank them. d. Present the sectoral problems in their order of priority.

2. Multisectoral Classification a. Group by locality. b. Using the set of sectoral problem situations, discuss how the problems in one sector relate with problems in other sectors. Identify common underlying determinants or causes. c. List the resulting common problem situations as problems of multisectoral concern. d. Prioritize these problems using a set of agreed upon criteria (could be the same as those used in the sectoral classification). e. List intersectoral problems in their order of priority. f. Assign a presenter and present to group for further comments/validation.

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Module III
SD-Enhanced Development Plan

Module III: SD-Enhanced Development Plan

This module takes off from the situational analysis discussed in Module II. It takes us through the rest of the plan formulation stage of the planning process - setting of vision, goals, objectives and targets; formulation of policies and strategies, and identification of programs and projects. The module aims to deepen understanding of the planning process from the sustainable development perspective. It also allows gaining of experience in the formulation of an SD-enhanced Development Plan(SDDP) by assessing the sustainability of its vision, goals, objectives and targets, and various interventions (policies,strategies, programs and projects) that address development concerns in the SA. LESSON 1 Guiding Plan Formulation: Vision, Goal, Objective, Target Lesson  discusses the concepts, processes and rationale for developing the instruments that guide the planvision, goals, objectives and targets. We start Lesson  with a brief discussion on sustainable development planning. What is sustainable development planning? It is the conscious effort of the community to guide the localitys economy towards a steady sustainable long-term growth for an improved quality of life for its people and future generations. To be effective, sustainable development planning must meet two social preconditions. First, all groups that exercise political or economic power must agree on the planning framework (vision, goals or objectives of the plan) and on the methods to be used. Second, the stakeholders especially the localitys officials, policymakers and the women and men who will implement the plan must be seriously committed to it. In sustainable development planning, we review the current state of the locality (SA), determine where it hopes to go (vision, goals or objectives) and the steps needed to get there (policies, strategies, programs and projects). As we establish the localitys immediate and long-term goals and generate sustainable ways of meeting these goals, we keep in mind the probable impact

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on the intergenerational wellbeing as well as changes in the localitys situation and environment. In brief, a plan tells us: () where we want to go in the short, medium or long run; and (2) how to get there effectively, efficiently, equitably and sustainably so that the pursuit of a better life by the present populace does not compromise the wellbeing of future generations. The planning process is an unending, repetitive and iterative cycle. Should the planning steps be done in sequence? Does it matter whether planning is done systematically or not? It matters as much as in any process. Consider for example, if a doctor treats a patient first and only diagnoses afterwards. It may not matter if a patient is given cough syrup when he has a broken leg. Not much harm is done as long as this is eventually discovered. However, there are cases when treating a patient before diagnosing his/her illness has disastrous results. It certainly matters if a patient is given a pain reliever for a stomachache when actually his/ her appendix has already burst and is spreading poison in his/her body. This is also true in planning. It may not be that harmful to build a bridge where there is no river, but it would be a waste of resources. It can be disastrous if money is used to cement the road to the municipal hall instead of repairing an old rundown bridge over a river that rises with floodwater. Surely, there are instances when coming up with the solution before identifying the problem would not only be financially costly but could result in lives lost. Planning therefore requires a disciplined approach and follows a systematic sequence of logical steps to yield better outcomes that are effective, efficient,

equitable and sustainable. A planner does not come up with the solution (policy/ strategy or program/project) before the problem or concern is identified. Otherwise there is no assurance that the intervention will effectively, efficiently, equitably and sustainably solve the problem. For example, building a hospital may be a more costly solution to the problem of high infant mortality rate (IMR) when immunization is simply what is needed. The hospital may not even serve infants of poor families such that it will have little bearing on the problem of high IMR. Why do we plan? We plan to set a clear direction. We plan to know how to reach a goal or an objective with better results. Planning guides us in clarifying our goals/objectives and in formulating ways of accomplishing them. Because society has many wants and needs, we plan to find appropriate ways to optimize the use of limited resources. This will help us achieve the greatest good for all people, both present and future generations. It is important that we know the different players of development, considering their gender, age as well as other factors. We should also understand their roles in the sustainable development efforts of a locality. Moreover, we should consider the roles of the different levels of government and that of the private sector. This is crucial because in local sustainable development planning, for example, the local government should concern itself only with actions that are clearly within its mandate and jurisdiction. Beyond this, the private sector or higher government levels may be the proper group to address the concern. Thus, we must recognize that a comprehensive situational analysis is needed to come up with a good sustainable plan. Only when



Module III: SD-Enhanced Development Plan

we understand the situation correctly and have a holistic view of it can we decide who does what. How do we set a vision, goal, objective or target? First, let us see where we are in the planning process (Figure 6). We see that the SA helps us set our vision, goal, objective and target from which we base the succeeding steps in the planning process. The Planning Process Figure 7.

SA and problem identification

Vision, goal, Vision, goal, objective and objective and target setting target setting

Policy and strategy formulation

Program and project identification

Plan formulation

Plan monitoring and evaluation

Plan implementation

Investment programming /budgeting

Figure 6: The Planning Process: Vision, Goal, Objective and Target Setting

Is the vision, goal, objective or target sustainable? Will it guide the development of sustainable interventions and the identification of correct target beneficiaries, both present and future?

What is a vision? A vision is a desired future state of a locality and its people. It describes what a locality or community wants to become or where it wants to go in the long run, say 0 to 0 years. In developing a vision statement, the local officials in consultation with the community decide on what they would like their locality to be in the future based on an analysis of their past, present and likely future scenarios. This is why a comprehensive SA is critical. A good vision statement captures the aspirations of all sectors of the community. It maximizes the strengths, opportunities and comparative advantages of a locality or agency. Comparative advantages are the characteristics of a locality or agency that makes it unique and competitive compared with other localities in

Does the vision consider or capture the wellbeing of present and future generations of women and men of all ages?

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the province, region or country. However, although the vision considers the localitys uniqueness, it must be consistent with visions of the province, region and country. This is to ensure that development efforts complement each other and move in tandem toward the attainment of the countrys sustainable vision, goals and objectives. To correctly capture peoples aspirations, the formulation of a vision statement must be participatory and consultative. Different groups of women and men of all ages in the community may have divergent needs, interests and aspirations. By generating, discussing and harmonizing these differences, a participatory process arrives at a shared vision that promotes community unity and commitment. When everyone shares a vision, it ceases to be just an idea. It becomes the driving force that moves the entire community toward a common sustainable development direction and outcome. A widely shared vision is a powerful force which ensures that all present and future members of the community progress and attain a better life. An example of a vision statement is: By 2030, (our community) will be a city of God-loving, highly educated, technologically competent and ecology-friendly people. The city will be the center of technological and academic endeavors and the international gateway of northwestern Luzon for export of finished agricultural goods, trade, commerce, and eco-friendly tourism. Since a vision statement is broad and long-term, its core message does not change every planning period. Thus, visioning is not conducted every time a plan is prepared or updated but the vision statement is reviewed to make sure that the plan is consistent with it. The vision statement in also revisited to ensure that it is still relevant with the times and matched with the resources and capabilities of the locality. What is a goal, objective or target? In most literature, the terms goal, objective and target are used interchangeably. All of them imply a desired outcome or result but are distinguished from inputs or activities. Goals, objectives and targets tell us where we want to go or what we want to achieve. They address identified problems or concerns. In this module, however, we differentiate between goal, objective and target. We define a goal as a broad statement of a medium to long-range desired outcome or result. Usually intersectoral in nature, it addresses a general or overarching problem situation of a locality. An objective, on the other hand, is a more specific statement of a short-range desired outcome or result. It may be viewed as a subset of a goal and therefore, contributes to the attainment of a stated goal. A target is an even more particular statement of a desired outcome or result that is specific, measurable, attainable, realistic and relevant, and time-bound (SMART). It is a subset of an objective and as such, contributes to the attainment of a stated objective.



Module III: SD-Enhanced Development Plan

The example below illustrates the above distinctions:


Problem Situation: Poor health of infants and mothers in Barangay A High incidence of poverty in Barangay A High unemployment rate. Goal Statement: Improved quality of life of the community. Objectives: . Improved health of infants and mothers in Barangay A . Increased income and productivity of poor farmers in Barangay A. . Generation of more job opportunities in the locality. Targets: . Reduced infant mortality rate in Barangay A from 50 to 0 percent by the end of the planning period. . Reduced maternal mortality rate from 0 to 5 percent by 008. . Increased income of poor rice farmers in Barangay A by 50 percent in two years. . Increased investments on labor-intensive industries by 5 percent by 00.

The relationship between goals, objectives and targets is shown in Figure 7. The goal statement encompasses an intersectoral problem situation. The objectives, usually sectoral in nature, respond to specific problem situations while the targets state the desired outcome or result in SMART terms. In our example in the previous pagepoor health status in Barangay Athe desired outcome is reduction in infant and maternal mortality rate in that place. Our goal statement of improved quality of life of the community is broad, encompassing the specific objectivereduced infant and maternal deathswhich is an aspect of better quality of life. The other problems in our examplehigh incidence of poverty and unemploymentalso fall under the broad goal statement. Thus, the objectives of improved income and generation of employment also fall under the goal statement since we know that improved income and employment are means to a better life. From our analysis, we see that some situations are not good enough, problematic or unsustainable. We then set our goals, objectives and targets depending on what we think we can do to improve these situations during the planning period even as we factor in the impact of our actions on intergenerational wellbeing. In determining goals, objectives and targets (or the desired outcomes of problem situations), we need to identify specific population groups of women and men or specific areas (our target population or intended beneficiaries) affected by particular problems. This is because we want to make sure that these people or areas are actually reached by the programs and projects that we put in our plan. Otherwise, our plan may not

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address the problem or worse, it may even worsen. In earlier modules, we underscored the importance of clearly identifying the target population or area because everything else follows from that. If we have not done this, then when we monitor the programs or projects intended to solve the problem, we will be unable to know who have been reached and to what extent have they been reached. Consequently, when we evaluate the impact of the program or project upon completion, we will not know whether it has made a difference in the lives of the people simply because we did not identify the target population whose lives the program or project was supposed to change. What is the process of setting goals, objectives and targets? The process of setting goals, objectives and targets starts with a review of the situational analysis. From the list of identified problem situations and concerns, we pinpoint the broad or intersectoral concerns that encompass the many specific or sectoral problems. Based on these intersectoral concerns, we formulate our goal statements. For each goal, we come up with our objectives based on the Figure 8. fall under a particular goal. In the problem situations that mightRelationship of Goals, Objectives same manner, we lay down our targets for each objective. As mentioned earlier, because of the intersectoral nature of the goal,

In setting goals, objectives and targets, do we explicitly analyze or consider their impacts on intergenerational wellbeing? In short, are they and Targets sustainable?

GOAL

OBJECTIVE

OBJECTIVE

OBJECTIVE

OTHERS

TARGET

TARGET

TARGET

TARGET

TARGET

TARGET

OTHERS

Figure 7: Relationship of Goals, Objectives and Targets

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Module III: SD-Enhanced Development Plan

Will the stated goals, objectives and targets contribute to intergenerational wellbeing?

one or more objectives may fall under it. This also holds true for an objective. Several targets may be needed to incorporate all the concerns of one objective. Each target is stated in terms of the expected degree of improvement of a problem situation and the time frame this expected improvement might be realized. For each objective and target, we specify: who are affected by the problem; where they are, and the extent of their problem. Next, we check the consistency of goals, objectives and targets with each other and with the vision. This means all goals must be consistent with the vision of the locality or agency; all objectives must be in line with the stated goals; and all targets must be compatible with the stated objectives. This is to ensure that each contributes to the attainment of higher level desired outcomes. Finally, we check for consistency of the localitys goals against higher and lower planning units visions and goals so that all planning units are in harmony and move together towards the attainment of the countrys sustainable vision, goals, objectives and targets. To check the appropriateness and consistency of our stated goals, objectives and targets, the following questions may be used as guide: Are stated goals, objectives and targets responsive to the problems and concerns identified in the SA? Are they consistent with the vision? Will the stated objectives contribute to the attainment of the stated goals? Will the stated targets contribute to the attainment of the stated objectives? Are the stated goals, objectives and targets sustainable? Are these goals, objectives and targets consistent with higher and lower level visions, goals, objectives and targets? Are there existing goals, objectives and targets that might be in conflict with these goals, objectives and targets?

LESSON 2 Formulating Plan Interventions: Policy, Strategy, Program and Project

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Figure 9. The Planning Process


SA and problem identification Vision, goal, objective and target setting Policy Policy and strategy strategy formulation formulation Program and project identification

Plan formulation

Plan monitoring and evaluation

Plan implementation

Investment programming /budgeting

Figure 8: The Planning Process: Policy and Strategy Formulation


Where are we in the planning process? We just discussed the development of a vision, goals, objectives and targets based on the problems and concerns identified in the SA. Lesson  brings us to the formulation of policies/strategies and the identification of programs and projects needed to attain the stated vision, goals, objectives and targets (Figure 8). What is a policy and what is a strategy? In some literature, policy is differentiated from strategy. In this module, we use the two terms interchangeably. A policy or a strategy is a statement of principle, thrust or direction that guides the identification of different activities in a plan aimed at meeting the stated goals, objectives and targets, thus addressing the identified problems and concerns. In other words, a policy/strategy indicates how the goals, objectives and targets are to be achieved.

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Let us illustrate using our earlier example: Problem: Poor health of infants and mothers in Barangay A High incidence of poverty in Barangay A High unemployment rate Goal Statement: Objective: Improved quality of life of the community. Improved health of infants and mothers in Barangay A.

Targets: . Reduced infant mortality rate in Barangay A from 50 to 0 by the end of the planning period. . Reduced maternal mortality rate from 0 to 5 by 008. Policy/Strategy: . Promotion of preventive rather than curative care. . Promotion of primary health care. In formulating policies/strategies, we identify the interacting social, economic, environmental, political and institutional factors affecting or causing a problem situation. We did this in situational analysis. It is important to point out these factors because they are the areas where appropriate interventions are drawn. These determinants or causes of the problem provide a clue on how to solve a particular problem. In the case of poor health of infants and mothers (in our example), the provision of health care services is not the only intervention. We can also do something about nutrition, sanitation, better water supply, fertility, education of mothers, and increasing household incomes, to name a few. This is because we have learned in the previous lessons that health outcomes (Figure 5, p.) are affected directly not only by health care services utilization but also by such factors as environmental contamination, nutrient or dietary intake, fertility, and injury. These are called proximate determinants. Health outcomes are also indirectly affected by factors such as age, sex, education (especially of mothers), health beliefs, household income, prices of commodities, social network and others. These are underlying determinants. Unless we do something about the various determinants or causes of a problem, both proximate and underlying, we may not be able to effectively solve the problem. We need to look at as many determinants as possible so we can have a wider range of options for solving the problem. How do we formulate policies/strategies? First we go back to our SA to identify the determinants (proximate and underlying) of a problem situation. Next, we formulate policies/strategies that respond to the

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determinants of the problem and thus, contribute to meeting the goals, objectives and targets (the solutions of the problem). Then, we check if the chosen policies/strategies are consistent with other policies/strategies. The following steps may be used in formulating policies/strategies: . Identify the problem or set of problems to be addressed (Review SA.). . Identify the determinants (or causes) of each problem - social, economic, environmental, political, institutional, etc. (Review SA.). . Analyze how these determinants or causes of the problem can be addressed (Formulate policy/strategy.) . Determine which combination of policies/strategies will yield the best results, that is, contribute to the attainment of the stated sustainable goals, objectives or targets. 5. Check whether there are existing policies/strategies that are already addressing the problem. If so, is there a need to revise existing or proposed policies/strategies? Our policies/strategies should guide the activities that will lead to the attainment of the stated sustainable goals, objectives and targets. After formulating the policies/strategies, we check for their consistency with the identified problems, goals, objectives and targets, and with each other using the following questions as guide: Does each policy/strategy address determinants or causes of the problem identified in the SA? Are the policies/strategies consistent with the stated sustainable goals, objectives and targets? Are the policies/strategies consistent with each other and with other existing policies/strategies? What action (e.g., legislative or executive) will these policies/strategies require to make it effective? In choosing policies/ strategies, were their effects/impacts on the interacting social, economic and environmental systems considered at the same time rather than separately? We go back to our SA and identify the factors -- social, economic, environmental, political and institutional affecting the problem situation. These factors are the areas for appropriate interventions.

Subsequently, the formulated policies/strategies have to be translated into concrete programs and projects that directly affect the people (present and future) in the community. This brings us to the fourth step of the planning process identification of programs and projects (Figure 9). What is a program or a project? A project is an activity or set of activities that put into action a chosen policy/strategy in order to achieve a stated sustainable goal, objective or target. A project may also be viewed as a subset

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Figure 10. The Planning Process


Vision, goal, objective and target setting Policy and strategy formulation

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SA and problem identification

Program and Program project and project identification identification

Plan formulation

Plan monitoring and evaluation

Plan implementation

Investment programming /budgeting

Figure 9: The Planning Process: Program and Project Identification


of a program. A program, on the other hand, is a package of interrelated projects that follow the direction or thrust of a stated policy/strategy. A program translates the chosen policy/strategy into implementable activities to meet the stated sustainable goal, objective or target. How are programs and projects identified and designed? The 1. 2. 3. . project planning process includes the following steps: Problem identification and specification of objectives; Identification and designing of project activities; Planning project implementation; and Identifying monitoring and evaluation procedures.

1. Problem identification and specification of objectives Let us go back to the SA. We see that there is a problem which the project wants to address. This is our target problem. Based on this problem we formulate our project objectives. We also see that there are specific population groups of women and men of various ages or of specific areas affected by the problem. These are our target population or target area. We need to specify the population groups or areas that the project activities, services or resources intend to reach. It is important to point out clearly what the problem is and who it affects. We need to specify the target population or area so that when we monitor the project, we will know whom the project has reached. We will also be able to determine: (a) the extent to which the project is reaching the affected population or area; and (b) whether the project has

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made a difference in their lives. Otherwise it would be like a shooter who is not clear about his target. He does not know where to aim and does not know how close or how far he is to the target. If he hits the target, it would only be by chance and not by design. In the end, a shooter who is clueless about his target is likely to miss it. How then do we distinguish the target population? Some useful concepts in specifying the target population are: (a) population-at-risk, population-at-need, and populationat-demand; and (b) direct targets and indirect targets. [For a detailed discussion on how to specify the target population, please refer to NEDA-Integrated Population and Development Plan (99)]. 2. Designing project activities and coordinating complementary projects After identifying the target problem, specifying the objectives and determining the target population or area, the next step in project planning is designing the project activities, pinpointing complementary projects and coordinating with other people for the conduct of these activities. a) Understanding the determinants of the problem We refer to our SA and look at the factors or determinants influencing the target problem in order to come up with the types of activities that are appropriate and adequate to achieve the project objectives. For example, what are the determinants or causes of the problem of low agricultural outputs of small farmers? This has to be looked into logically and systematically because the determinants are interrelated in terms of cause and effectsome factors are causes of the problems while others are effects. Figure 10 is a useful tool of analysis (NEDA IPDP, 1993). Low agricultural output might be directly related to the factors of production: farmers have little access to productive assets, that is, they own only a very small parcel of land or none at all; they may not have appropriate farm equipment and no access to technology (e.g., fertilizers, irrigation, high-yield variety seeds); they may have little knowledge of modern farming practices; and their human capital is low (they have poor health and are malnourished and therefore cannot work hard). These are the proximate determinants. We then analyze why these factors of production are such. What are the underlying reasons? Some may be due to access to credit or access to various infrastructure which are related to household characteristics and resources. The other reasons are because of the community environment. Is there anything in the communitys social structure, organization or resource base that is directly or indirectly affecting low agricultural output? Perhaps land available to the community is no longer fertile or the river, the source of water for irrigation, is badly silted. In short, one factor is the problem, the rest are determinants. A thorough analysis of the determinants of the problem will tell us how we are going to solve lack of credit

5

Figure 11. Framework for Analyzing Various Interacting Factors at the Household Levele I I I : S D - E n h a n c e d D e v e l o p m e n t P l a n Modul
Community Community
Agricult Agricultural and ural and natural natural resources resource bases bases

Structure of markets Structure of markets & prices of and prices of factor factor inputs inputs &
products

Other sources of Other sources of change change


Social, economic, Social, environmental economic, policies and projects environmental
policies and projects

Physical, Physical, social, economic, social, economic, environmental environmental infrastructure infrastructure Social structures and Social organizations
structures and organizations

Household characteristic Characteristic


Physical assets Physical Human capital assets Size, age-sex Human composition capital Size, age-sex Population size and composition of age-sex Population size members composition and age-sex composition

Household decisions Household decisions


Savings/consumption Savings/consu Investment in physical and mption human capital Investment in physical and human Labor utilization capital Labor utilization Fertility Migration

Figure 10: Framework for Analyzing Various Interacting Factors at the Household Level (NEDA IPDP, 1993)
facilities or lack of access to technology, for example. We will also know that doing something with one determinant might impact on the others. So we need to find out which are critical determinants of the problem since not all have equal influence and importance. We also want to know which ones can we do something about. Some are easy to address while others are not and require a lot of things. Once we understand the determinants of the target problem, it is easier to identify what would be the most appropriate and adequate activities to implement to achieve the project objectives. b) Understanding the consequences of project activities After determining the project activities, we need to identify their likely effects, both direct and indirect (and often unintended). This will help us identify other projects that may be implemented or expanded to maximize the impact of the proposed project or minimize negative unintended effects that may arise (mitigating intervention). For example, if we put up an irrigation system to address low agricultural output, the direct effect could be increased production. But indirectly, the irrigation system might affect the health of farmers in places prone to schistomiasis. It might also have an indirect effect on income and income distribution because as more produce is generated, prices are pulled down given that demand remains constant. Thus, to minimize the negative effects of our project, we might have to think of other projects. We may also coordinate with other projects in the area. Complementary projects could be credit provision, access to inputs and

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technology (fertilizer, pesticides, high-yield variety seeds, etc) which would enable farmers to take advantage of the irrigation system. This is what we mean by looking at other project effects and complementary projects that maximize the effects or impact of the proposed project. c) Identifying causal links between project activities and outcomes In designing the project, another important step is to determine the causal links between activities and outcomes. We need to identify the intended (direct) and unintended (indirect) impact or outcomes of project activities. Knowing these, we can fine tune the project by adding or deleting some component activities. We can also coordinate with complementary projects that may yet be initiated or are already in place in the community. These other projects should address the potentially adverse consequences of our proposed project. 3. Assessing the sustainability of projects (and other plan interventions) After identifying the proposed and complementary projects intended to address the problem situations identified in the SA, we assess each one to see whether they contribute to the locality and countrys sustainable development. A useful tool for screening the sustainability of interventionspolicies/strategies, programs and projectsis the SD Analyzer (Table ). The SD Analyzer qualitatively determines the resource build-up or benefits (potential positive consequences, both intended and unintended) and the resource drawdown or costs (potential negative consequences, both intended and unintended) of development interventionspolicies, strategies, programs or projects. As yet, we do not have the necessary quantitative measures/indicators to analyze sustainability. The intervention is deemed sustainable if the net effect shows that its overall resource build-up is greater than its resource drawdown (i.e., resource build-up minus resource drawdown equals a positive net effect). To arrive at the net effect, assign weights or values to the indicators of resource build-up and resource drawdown. Localities have different short, medium and long-term visions Some localities might give higher value to human development, others to environmental preservation/

The SD Analyzer assesses the sustainability of plan interventions policies/ strategies, programs and projects. It is an improvement from the traditional development planning process, which does not explicitly assess whether or not a program/project is sustainable. The SD Analyzer provides assurance that the plan interventions we will implement contribute to the sustainable development goals of the locality.

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restoration and other still, to economic growth. We cannot prescribe the weights for measuring the resource build-up or drawdown of proposed interventions. Only the community can put a value to a problem that besets it and similarly, on the solutions of that problem. Thus, it is important that credible officials and stakeholders of the locality assign the relative values (e.g., value of -0 with 0 being the highest or values measured in percentage, not exceeding 00%) to each indicator of every proposed intervention. These values are placed in the appropriate column of the SD Analyzer. Each proposed intervention is then rated according to how well it responds to the indicators. To illustrate, let us take the examples in Table  and assign hypothetical values of -0 to the indicators. For the Reforestation Program, let us assume that we have identified the following economic indicators of resource build-up and resource drawdown and gave them values: Economic Resource Build-up: - provision of\supply for timber production - employment generation - improved income - economic growth Total Value Economic Resource Drawdown: - use of government budget for IEC and capability building Total Value Net Effect

    10

5 5 5

We do the same for the Social and Environment indicators as shown in Table 2 and sum up the values of all resource build-up and resource drawdown. If the net effect of an intervention is positive, it is deemed sustainable. However, if the net effect of any of the sectors (economic, social or environment) is negative, the intervention is considered non-sustainable and should be reconsidered. If the locality thinks that the program or project is important inspite of its non-sustainability, then planners should identify other interventions that could mitigate the proposed non-sustainable program or project. The mitigating intervention(s) should also be assessed to make sure that it is indeed sustainable. The program or project is then redesigned or repackaged to include mitigating projects or component activities. Annex E provides more examples of resource build-up and draw-down indicators.

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Net Effect Mitigating Interventions

Intervention: Policy/ strategy/ program/ project Reforestation program

Sector

Resource Build-up Indicators

Value

Resource Draw-down Indicators

Value

Sustainable

Nonsustainable

Economic

- provision of supply for timber production - employment generation - improved income - improved economic growth - etc. - improved access to basic services with improved income - etc. - forest restored/ conserved - watershed protection - biodiversity conservation - etc. - jobs generated - improved income - improved economic growth - reduced illegal /non-registered commercial timber production - better quality of life due to better access to goods/ services - etc. - decreased forest denudation with proper implementation - etc.

   8

- government budget for IEC and capability building - etc.

Social

Environmental

       - government budget - etc.

Promotion of the entry of investors to help develop municipalitys forest industry with emphasis on community -based forest management

Economic

Social

Environmental

- increased forest denudation if not monitored - loss of biodiversity - negative effects on watershed - increased pollution - etc.

   

regular monitoring of concerned entity

Table 2: SD Analyzer (an example)

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Any remaining unsustainable project should be taken off from the list. All those considered sustainable are then processed for investment programming and resource allocation and implementation. The examples (Table ) illustrate the importance of a good development plan. If the plan does not clearly state the development priorities (goals and objectives) of the locality, it may be difficult to identify indicators of sustainability and their values. 4. Implementation, monitoring and evaluation At this stage, we look at the proposed project in terms of inputs, outputs, effects and impact. We trace each step of implementation, monitoring and evaluation: a) Project inputs to outputs The output is the project itself. The inputs are money, machine, manpower and management (usually called the Ms). We look at whether the inputs are used to implement the project according to schedule and within budget. b) Project outputs to effects Once the project is in place, we want to see whether it is reaching the correct target population or area as planned. Is there over-coverage or under-coverage? Why? We need to know these things to fine tune the implementation of the project, that is, make sure the goods or services are actually delivered to the intended beneficiaries. c) Project effects to impact Did the project make a difference in the lives of the intended beneficiaries or in the situation of target areas? What is the impact of the project? First, did it meet its stated objectives or targets? If it did not, should the project be modified to improve its impact or should it be discontinued altogether? Were there other projects that contributed to the observed impact of our project? We need to know this because only then can we say that our project really made a difference. It might be possible that an observed impact is not due to our project but rather to other projects in the community. We have to be careful about attributing success to a project when there might be other reasons for the observed impact.

Let us summarize the program/project identification process by using our example of low agricultural output. The SA might show that this problem is directly related to the factors of production: farmers own little or no land; they do not have appropriate farm equipment; they have no access to technology (e.g., fertilizers, irrigation, high-yield variety seeds); they have little knowledge of modern farming practices; and their human capital is low (poor health and malnourished and therefore cannot work hard). These factors of production are such because of some underlying reasons related to: access to credit; access to various infrastructures such as post-harvest facilities, irrigation, farmto-market roads, etc.

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Given this situation, the possible development interventions (policy/strategy, programs and projects) are as follows:
General Problem: Slow economic development of the locality Goal: Objective: Target: Policy/Strategy: Program: Project : Project : Improved and sustained economic growth Improved agricultural productivity Increased production of low income farmers from two to five metric tons per hectare within two years Promotion of agri-industrial development Comprehensive Agrarian Reform Land acquisition and distribution Provision of infrastructure: irrigation development and construction of post-harvest facilities and farm-to-market roads Establishment of cooperatives Provision of credit and marketing assistance Others Specific Problem: Low agricultural output

Project 3: Project : Project 5:

We see from the example that the interventions are responsive to the identified determinants of the problem. These determinants must be addressed to prevent the problem from persisting or worsening. The results of the plan formulation process can be summarized in Table . Development Problems (Concerns to be addressed) Goals, Objectives, Targets (Desired outcomes) () Policies/ Strategies (How column  is to be attained see determinants) () Programs/ Projects (Translation of column  see determinants) () Target Beneficiaries (Who are affected by the problem) (5)

()

Table 3: Summary of Plan Formulation Process

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WORKSHOP 2 Assessing the Sustainability of Programs and Projects This workshop aims to provide the trainees with skills in assessing the sustainability of programs and projects using the SD Analyzer in conjunction with the Goals Analysis Matrix (GAM). It also allows the trainees to identify mitigating interventions for nonsustainable programs and projects deemed important in their locality. Materials/Equipment Needed: Laptop and LCD or OHP Whiteboard or Manila papers Transparencies Whiteboard markers/erasers Meta card (colored cartolina, 4-5 colors) Scissors; masking tape Local SEP LDP Expected Outputs: Accomplished SD Analyzer Duration: Workshop Presentation Open forum : : :  hours 5 minutes per group 0 minutes

Workshop Guidelines: . Identify at least three programs or project in your locality. . For each program or project, identify the social, economic and environment indicators of resource build-up and resource drawdown (project goals/objectives or effects/impact may be used as indicators) and fill in the appropriate columns of the SD Analyzer. . Determine the numerical value (e.g., -0 or -00% with 0 and 00 being the highest, respectively) of each indicator of resource build-up/drawdown. Fill in the appropriate value columns. 4. Compute the net effect of each program or project by deducting the value for resource drawdown from the value of resource build-up in each of the dimensions (social-economic-environmental). Decide whether the program or project is sustainable or not. It is deemed sustainable if it has an overall positive net effect. 5. If there are unsustainable programs or projects, identify mitigating projects and fill in the appropriate column of the SD Analyzer. Prepare to explain how your mitigating project transforms the proposed project from being unsustainable to sustainable. 6. Assign a presenter and present to group for further comments/validation.

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Module IV
SD-Enhanced Investment Plan
Module IV is the final module of the handbook on mainstreaming sustainable development in public sector decision making. It further enhances the planners skills in formulating a sustainable investment plan (SIP) since investment programming is an integral part of the development planning process. This module introduces the planners to various concepts, methods and tools of investment programming. Consisting of six lessons, it shows how these methods are applied. Lesson 1 deals with the basic concepts of investment programming. Lesson 2 discusses the various methods of assessing programs and projects and allows the planners to apply these to their own programs and projects. Lesson 3 teaches the process of prioritizing programs and projects. Lesson 4 is especially useful to local government units (LGUs). It addresses the issue of financing priority programs and projects and discusses the different financing options available to LGUs. Meanwhile, lessons 5 and 6 lay down the requirements for plan implementation (mechanisms and structures) as well as the importance of plan monitoring and evaluation. LESSON 1 Basic Concepts of Investment Programming Lesson  discusses the basic concepts, processes and tools of investment programming and presents the rationale for developing an SD-enhanced investment plan. Where are we in the development planning process? A review of the development planning process puts investment programming in context (Figure ). In the previous modules, we saw how each step in the planning process inputs into the next step SA is the basis of the setting of a vision, goal, objective and target. This step, in turn, becomes the basis of the formulation of various interventions policies/strategies and programs/projects.

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We also learned from Module III that available resources are limited. Therefore, we need to assess and prioritize the identified programs and projects. This is where investment programming comes in.

SA and problem identification

Vision, goal, objective and target setting

Policy and strategy formulation

Program and project identification

Plan formulation

Plan monitoring and evaluation

Plan implementation

Investment Investment programming Programming / /budgeting Budgeting

Figure 11: The Planning Process: Investment Programming/Budgeting


What is investment programming? Investment programming is the process of screening, classifying and prioritizing programs and projects to ensure that there is sufficient available financing to implement effectively and efficiently the priority programs and projects. It also involves determining how the priority programs and projects will be funded -- whether public or private funding will be used as well as whether internal or external funds will be used; and how available limited resources will be allocated among the competing programs and projects. For investment programming to result in an effective, efficient, equitable and sustainable investment plan, it should be based on a SD-enhanced development plan. In other words, all the steps in plan formulation (i.e., drawing up a situational analysis, setting of goal, objective and target setting, and formulating a policy/strategy, program and project) are necessary inputs to come up with an SD-enhanced development plan. What is an investment plan? An investment plan is a mix of priority programs and projects that have been developed and selected from an initial list identified in the sustainable development plan as appropriate means of addressing problems and concerns of a locality and its people. The programs and projects in the investment plan are expected to contribute to the attainment of the localitys sustainable development vision, goals, objectives and targets.

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The implementation of these programs and projects may be financed for a period of one year or longer, i.e., up to 5-0 years. An investment plan may be formulated at the national, regional or local level depending on the scope and jurisdiction of the proposed programs and projects. But regardless of level, all investment plans must be consistent with and supportive of the national sustainable development vision, goals, objectives and targets. In developing a local investment plan, several factors influence and guide the process: National vision and priorities which provide the broad shape of sustainable development; Local sustainable development plan which shows the picture of the localitys aspirations, conditions, priorities and realities, Taxation and revenue generation which determine the level of available resources; Policies, standards, regulations and enforcement which provide the environment conducive to sustainable development as well as influence private sector participation; Private sector investment which contribute to sustainable development; and Market environment which influences the mix of public and private investments that impact on the sustainable development of a locality.

How do we develop a local investment plan? The investment programming process has several steps or stages. Figure  provides us with an overview:

Outputs

SD-Enhanced Plan

Investment Plan

Major activities

Situational Analysis Situational Analysis Goal, objective& target setting Goal, objective & target setting Policy/strategy formulation Policy/strategyformulation Program/project idea generation Program/projectidea generation

Stage1. Identification and Stage 1: Identification and preparation of program/project preparation of program/ project concepts/designs concepts/designs
concepts

Stage 4. IdentifiStage 4: Identification of cation of internal/ internal/external funding external funding funding

Stage 2. Screening, consolidation, Stage 2: Screening, consolidation, integration and integration & packaging of programs/projects packaging of programs/projects

Stage 3: Stage 3. Prioritization ofof Prioritization programs/projects programs/projects

Figure 12: Stages in Investment Programming

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Stage 1 involves the identification, preparation and development of program/project concepts and designs. These programs and projects are derived from the program/ project ideas or concepts developed in the SD-enhanced development plan. At this stage, the program and projects are individually listed (e.g., farm-to-market road, feeding program, irrigation system, immunization, etc.). The proposed programs and projects are consolidated in a master list showing costs, category and proposed schedule of implementation. The master list contains all programs and projects categorized by sector. These programs and projects are screened, prioritized or ranked according to importance. In Stage 2, programs and projects are compared with each other to screen out unrealistic projects, consolidate or integrate similar or complementary ones, or redesign or repackage those with potential negative side effects to eliminate or minimize these repercussions. In Stage 3, a set of criteria is chosen to prioritize and rank the screened programs and projects in Stage 2. Each criterion is then assigned a weight corresponding to the value that the locality places on it. The weights provide a measure of the importance of the program or project to the community. These weights then become the basis for ranking the programs or projects. All these are subjected uniformly to the same set of criteria to avoid bias. The resulting ranking becomes the final investment program of the locality. Again, we cannot overemphasize the importance that credible officials and stakeholders identify the criteria and assign these weights. In Stage 4, the prioritized programs and projects are matched with projected funds of the locality. If there is not enough money to finance the investment program, external funding is sought. The implementation of the priority programs and projects are then scheduled or phased over the planning period according to the expected cash flow of internal and external funds. What are the characteristics of an SD-enhanced investment plan? An SD-enhanced investment plan depends on how each stage is undertaken. After Stage , the investment plan should only include programs and projects that: 1. Address a specific development problem or concern For example, an irrigation project addresses low agricultural productivity; a barangay health station answers the problem of inaccessible health services; and an income-generating project helps increase low family income. 2. Address unsatisfied demands or needs of certain population groups or areas For instance, if there are certain economic, social or environmental needs that are not being met by existing programs or projects, new ones that fill in these

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Does the project address unmet social, economic and environmental needs simultaneously rather than separately?

unmet needs may be included in the investment plan. This is related to the above characteristic since the program or project addresses a development problem or concern. 3. Harness the sustainable development potential of a locality This refers to existing and potential human, fiscal and environmental resources in the area (e.g. available skilled labor, major employment generating industries, water and power resources, transport facilities, health/education facilities, forests and marine resources, etc.) that can be tapped and made productive through the program or project under consideration. 4. Complement other sustainable programs, projects and investments in the area There may be situations where the use of existing facilities or services could be beefed up by providing complementary investments. An example is the improvement of transportation and telecommunication to encourage major employmentgenerating industries to stay or come in. Likewise, better technology and credit facilities may be provided or inter-island transport improved for export of agricultural products to increase agricultural productivity. 5. Sensitive to the initiatives of various sectors a. Private sector needs and concerns programs or projects that will allow or encourage greater private sector participation in development (e.g., transportation and telecommunication projects to support commerce and industry, various build-operate-transfer [BOT], build-ownoperate [BOO] schemes, etc.); b. Government leaders response to local or social pressures - programs or projects that address growing economic, social, gender or regional inequities, and environmental degradation; and c. Public opinion and aspirations programs and projects that are not controversial to the community. If the SD-enhanced investment plan is based on an SDenhanced development plan, the identified programs and projects should all have the above characteristics. In effect, the investment programming process serves to validate the appropriateness of the interventions identified in the SDenhanced development plan.

Does the project efficiently and effectively harness human, natural and economic capital

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After Stage , the investment plan should have the characteristics below: . It is balanced and not biased in favor of one sector The development concerns of the various sectors should be considered since the problems in the locality should not be concentrated in only one sector. . The programs and projects are realistic Programs and projects should be attuned to the capabilities and resources of the locality for them to be implementable. . The programs and projects complement each other As mentioned earlier, programs and projects in the investment program and those already existing in a locality should complement each other to promote greater cohesiveness, effectiveness, efficiency and synergy. Duplication wastes limited resources. After Stage , the following characteristics should be evident in the investment plan: . Programs and projects are prioritized based on criteria that are uniformly applied to all programs and projects The chosen criteria and their weights should, among others, reflect the values of the locality and its people as reflected in the vision, goals, objectives, targets, policies/strategies stated in the SDDP. These criteria should have been applied uniformly in ranking all programs and projects. . The investment plan is consistent with and supportive of national/regional vision, goals, objectives and policy initiatives The investment plan should not only consider the priorities of the locality but also those of the national sustainable development vision, goals, objectives, targets and policy initiatives. LESSON 2 Assessment of Programs and Projects Lesson  deals with the screening and assessing of programs and projects to be included in the investment plan. Among the factors to consider in developing an investment plan is the impact of current policies and the role of government and the private sector in the sustainable development of a locality. In screening and assessing programs and projects, it is imperative to determine who should be responsible for each program or project so that even at the start of the process, we already eliminate those programs and projects that are not the responsibility of the locality. To do this, we answer the following questions: Who should do it government or the private sector? If it is government, what level of government national, regional or local? What should that level of government do produce, finance or regulate?

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Government at each level should be concerned only with programs and projects that are clearly within its purview and leave the rest to the responsibility of higher or lower levels of government or the private sector. For the programs and projects that are the responsibility of government, it should decide whether or not to directly provide or produce the goods and services required by the program or project, just finance their production or provision, or merely regulate or come up with policies that will provide the environment conducive to private sector implementation of the programs or projects. The current policy of government is to encourage greater private sector participation in the delivery of programs and projects with government providing the development path and the climate that encourages private sector participation. The Matrix of Governance (Veloso and Lacsamana, 1999) (Table 4) distinguishes the roles of government and private sector in program and project delivery. The matrix shows that the nature of government intervention (national, regional or local) focuses on guiding a concerted sustainable development effort towards a common goal. The primary role of government, therefore, is to set and ensure the implementation of appropriate laws and policies to guide private decisions, stimulate competition, equalize the playing field, correct inequity, ensure political stability, national security, peace and order, and protect individual rights. Where appropriate, the government may also produce and deliver goods and services or finance their production and delivery (see Mode of Intervention for areas where government may intervene in Table ). The private sector, on the other hand, is responsible for free enterprise through the market. It also shares in the responsibility and costs of providing public goods and services. The private sector may participate in government programs and projects through government and private sector collaborations, such as BOT schemes. The difference between the responsibilities of national and local governments in the delivery of goods and services lies mainly in the specific location of the programs and projects. For example, as long as the projects are within the boundary of the LGU and they have no negative or positive spillover effects on neighboring localities, then these projects are clearly the responsibility of the LGU. The role of national government in this situation is to provide overall direction and standards and to monitor and evaluate performance. At the local level, the private sector may also participate in these programs and projects through collaboration schemes with local government or through direct investments. On the other hand, national or regional government is responsible for programs and projects that have cross-border effects (e.g., national highways and railways or geothermal projects), or those that offer the advantage of economies of scale when run by higher-level units. Again, at the national and regional levels, the private sector may also participate in these programs and projects through collaboration with government or through direct investments.

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Name of Government Intervention Principle of steering the macroeconomy and the sectors: - guides private sector decisions, stimulates competition and equalizes and levels the playing field; - distributes justice and corrects inequality; - mitigates threats to political stability and national security; - positively influences the functioning of the economy [towards sustainable development]; - sets appropriate rules and procedures for determination and protection of individual rights. National Economies of scale, cost & efficiency considerations: -national defense -police protection -absence of private sector participation and/or market (e.g., science, nuclear and technology research) -national highways, railways, river basins, -protection of environment and natural resources (with countrywide spillover effects) Mode of Interventions in Sectors Agriculture Education Health Trade, Industry, Tourism Science and Technology Public Works Communication and Transportation Defense Macroeconomics Justice LEGEND: RM Rule Making PM Promotion National Local Location-specific: -Minimal/no externalities involved and/or geographical spillover effects (cross-border issues and concerns) Subject to uniform standards set by national government: - social welfare - local infrastructure - health - local forestry and other natural resources Local

Private Sector Free enterprise through the market. Shares in the responsibility and costs of providing or producing public goods and services.

May participate in: - franchising - co-ownership schemes - private sector management - management contracts - lease agreements

Private Sector

DPG Delivery of Public Goods

PD -- Production

Table 4: Matrix of Governance: Role of Government and Private Sector in Program/Project Delivery

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How do we assess programs and projects? As mentioned earlier, we are concerned only with programs and projects that are clearly the responsibility of the locality. These programs and projects undergo Stage  of the investment programming process. Stage : Identification and preparation of program or project design or concept papers and initial screening of programs and projects. In this stage, a concept paper or design is prepared for each program or project idea in the initial long list. The box below may be used for this purpose. Title of Project: Proponent: Brief description of project: Objectives: Type of project (capital/non-capital): Cost (Total and annual): Location: Target beneficiaries: Source of funds: Proposed period of implementation: Status: Each program and project is further screened using the following questions as guide: Does the program or project address a specific development problem? Is it clearly focused and targeted to population groups of women and men or areas exhibiting a problem situation? Does it address the different unsatisfied demands or needs of these target populations or areas? Was it identified and designed to harness the development potential of the locality? Does it complement other investments? Is it sensitive to the initiatives of various sectors private sector, civil society, political leaders, public opinion and aspirations? Is it sustainable? Is it realistic?

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We note again that if the programs and projects have been identified correctly in the plan formulation step of the planning process, all of them should pass this initial screening and generate a yes to all the above questions. However, if there are programs and projects that still fail Stage  screening, then they are scrapped. Those that pass this stage undergo Stage . Stage : Comparing, consolidating, integrating and repackaging programs and projects The programs and projects that pass Stage  are compared with each other to screen out those that are undesirable, consolidate or integrate those that are similar or complementary, and redesign or repackage conflicting those with potential negative side effects to eliminate or at least minimize these conflicts or adverse repercussions. First, the programs and projects are checked for desirability, redundancy, practicality and efficiency. Those that are undesirable, inefficient, impractical or redundant are deleted from the master list. The projects that pass the criteria are further assessed to see whether they are compatible, conflicting or complementary. . Redundant projects duplicate or overlap with existing, new or proposed projects. Examples are building a barangay road in the same alignment as a secondary road; or setting up an agricultural college or hospital in every municipality. . Inefficient projects are costly to run and do not take advantage of economies of scale. Examples include implementing a house-to-house health or nutrition program instead of providing it at an accessible health center; or training all farmers on a type of technology rather than setting up a demo farm to promote this innovation. 3. Conflicting projects have expected benefits that tend to nullify the gains of others or the implementation of which obstructs the execution of another. For example, an incineration project to solve a garbage disposal problem in an area conflicts with an environmental project that seeks to minimize air pollution to protect peoples health. 4. Complementary projects are those whose activities, components or objectives mutually support each other. For instance, provision of post-harvest facilities, farmto-market road, agricultural credit facilities complements an irrigation project. 5. Compatible projects are neutral, neither conflicting with nor complementing each other. These can be implemented without affecting the costs or benefits of the other projects. An example would be the construction of classrooms which has no effect on the building of health centers, although they may compete for scarce resources. In the suggested Conflict-Compatibility-Complementation Matrix (Table 5), the projects that are conflicting are marked X. Complementary projects are marked O while compatible projects are marked N. Projects that are not in harmony with many or

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most of the other projects are taken out of the master list. Those that clash with some projects but are compatible or complementary with others may be redesigned to remove conflicting project components. Complementary projects may be repackaged, if needed. Repackaging projects means that two or more complementary projects may be integrated into one proposal. Project 1 Project 1 Project 2 Project 3 Project 4 Project 5 Project 6 Project 7 Project 2 Project 3 Project 4 Project 5 Project 6 Project 7

Table 5: Conflict-Compatibility-Complementation Matrix


This applies especially for multidisciplinary and multi-sectoral projects (e.g., projects on poverty alleviation, minimum basic needs, or ecological security). However, we should be aware that integrating many project proposals may result in one that might be too costly or too grand to be practical or efficient. In other words, they may fail the practicality or efficiency criterion. How do we know that programs and projects are complementary, compatible or conflicting? We look at their objectives, activities, target beneficiaries and location. We need to identify which programs and projects in our original master list are more likely to complement others so that they reinforce rather than cancel out one anothers effects or impact. If they conflict, we need to redesign them to make them compatible and reinforce each others results or impact. The projects that are undesirable and impractical are scrapped, those that are complementary are integrated and those that are conflicting or with potential negative side effects, redesigned. The resulting sustainable programs and projects are written down in the suggested format on the next page (Table 6) under the appropriate sector category and distinguished as capital or non-capital projects. In general, capital projects are those requiring relatively large, permanent and tangible investments. These are, for example, the construction or improvement of infrastructure

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Project Title/Sector Sector A: Economic 1. 2. 3. Sector B: Social 1. 2. 3. Sector C: Environment 1. 2. 3.

Total Estimated Cost

Annual Costs Yr1 Yr2 Yr3 Yr4 Yr5 Yr6

Capital or Non-capital

Table 6: List of Programs/Projects by Sector


(e.g., roads, buildings, bridges, ports, public markets, water supply systems, sewerage systems, housing, etc.); and the acquisition and replacement of equipment (e.g., tractors, CTscan, computers, vehicles, etc.). Non-capital projects are those related to the installation or improvement of services and systems. These include the introduction or adoption of new methodologies, reorganization, staff training and development, research and development, various health care services (e.g., immunization, feeding program, and family planning) and other interventions that add to the efficiency of the locality and improve peoples welfare. Capital projects are marked C while non-capital projects are marked NC. The distinction is useful in the latter stages of investment programming and financing, especially if national or foreign assistance (grant or loan) is availed of, since these funding sources require projects to be classified as capital or non-capital. The new master list is now ready for Stage  of the investment programming process, i.e., prioritizing and ranking programs and projects, which will be discussed in Lesson .

After integrating those that are complementary and redesigning those that are conflicting or with potential negative side effects, the resulting programs and projects undergo the sustainability test using the SD Analyzer, to make sure that their sustainability had not changed during the process of redesigning/ integrating.

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WORKSHOP  Assessing Programs and Projects This workshop aims to provide the trainees with hands-on experience in assessing programs and projects. The trainees are grouped by local government units. Materials/Equipment Needed: Laptop and LCD or OHP Transparencies Meta cards (colored cartolina, at least  colors) Local SEP Expected Output:

Whiteboard or Manila paper Whiteboard markers Scissors LDP

Filled-up Conflict-Compatibility-Complementation Matrix Master list of programs/projects by sector : : :  hours 5 minutes per group 0 minutes

Duration:

Workshop Presentation Open forum

Workshop Guidelines: 1. Check and evaluate the list of programs and projects to see if they satisfy the characteristics of an SD-enhanced investment plan. 2. Evaluate each program/project for redundancy, practicality, desirability and efficiency. Modify, redesign or delete programs/projects that do not satisfy these criteria. 3. Assess programs/projects using the Conflict-Compatibility-Complementation Matrix (Presentation Format .). 4. Classify programs/projects according to sector. 5. Distinguish between capital and non-capital projects. 6. Go back to the individual project concepts to integrate, modify or refine projects that are: (a) complementary and may, therefore, be combined into one proposal; (b) not compatible; and (c) conflicting. 7. Test the resulting redesigned or integrated programs/projects for sustainability using the SD Analyzer. 8. Finalize the list, per sector, to include only those programs/projects that have passed the assessment criteria, including those that have been redesigned (Presentation Format .). 9. Assign a presenter and present to group for further comments/validation.

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Presentation Format 3.1 Conflict- Compatibility-Complementation Matrix Project 1 Project 1 Project 2 Project 3 Project 4 Project 5 Project 6 Project 7 Projects that are conflicting are marked X. complementary projects are marked O while compatible projects are marked N Presentation Format 3.2 List of Programs/Projects by Sector (Suggested Form) Project Title/Sector Sector A: Economic 1. 2. 3. Sector B: Social 1. 2. 3. Sector C: Environment 1. 2. 3. Total Estimated Cost Annual Costs Yr1 Yr2 Yr3 Yr4 Yr5 Yr6 Capital or Non-capital Project 2 Project 3 Project 4 Project 5 Project 6 Project 7

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LESSON 3 Prioritizing Programs and Projects Lesson  discusses how programs and projects are prioritized. Why do we prioritize them? As we have learned in previous lessons, prioritization is necessary because available resources, especially capital resources, are scarce and limited and may not be enough to fund all programs and projects identified in the local sustainable development plan. By prioritizing and ranking programs and projects, it is easier for us to decide which should be funded first and how these should be scheduled for implementation so that available resources can accommodate them. Stage : Prioritizing and Ranking Programs and Projects Among methods for prioritizing and ranking programs and projects are: Cost-benefit analysis weighted Goals Analysis Matrix Problem structure approach Supply and demand projection Economic profitability indicators

The handbook suggests the use of the weighted Goals Analysis Matrix (GAM). It is a means of validating the development priorities (goals and objectives) of the development plan and the relative values the locality places on these goals and objectives. The GAM complements the assessment process used in Lesson . How do we use the weighted Goals Analysis Matrix? First, we get the social, economic and environment development goals/objectives of the locality and write them down in the suggested format (Table 7). These social, economic and environment goals/objectives become our prioritizing criteria or indicators. Next, we determine the relative values (in percentage) of each goal/objective in consultation with local officials and other credible women and men stakeholders in the locality. Then, we place the corresponding values of the indicators (goals or objectives) in the appropriate column. The sum total of these values should not exceed 00 percent. Each proposed project is then rated according to how well it responds to the indicators, as shown in the example in Table 7. If the plan does not clearly state the development priorities (goals and objectives) of the locality, we may have difficulty in identifying a reliable set of prioritization criteria and in determining their relative values. This is why the previous modules kept underscoring the importance of a comprehensive SA to point out the development priorities of the localitys SD-enhanced development plan.

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Sector: ________________________ INDICATORS

Value (%)

Projects 1 2 3 4 5 6

1. Economic 1.1 improved income 1.2 employment generation 1.3 export promotion 1.4 investment generation 1.5 reduced fiscal deficit Others 2. Social 2.1 improved access to goods and services 2.2 improved health, nutrition, education 2.3 improved empowerment of women 2.4 promotion of intergeneration wellbeing 2.5 improved literacy rate Others 3. Environment 3.1 protected watershed 3.2 decreased forest denudation/forest conserved 3.3 conservation and protection of biodiversity 3.4 decreased air pollution 3.5 carrying capacity of resource maintained Others Total Table 7: Goals Analysis Matrix (suggested form, with sample indicators)

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It is also essential that different sector planners are involved in rating every project according to their perception of how well each one addresses the criteria. The projects are ranked according to their total scores. That which has the highest score is ranked number one, the next highest, number two and so on. This ranking represents the collective evaluation of the proposed project by the localitys various sector planners. The ranked list of projects is transferred to Table 8. This now becomes the final investment plan of the locality which will be programmed for budgeting.

Rank

Proposed Project

Location Total Yr1

Cost Estimate Yr2 Yr3 Yr4

Yr5

Yr6

Capital or Noncapital

1 2 3 4 5 Table 8: Final Investment Plan of a Locality (suggested form)


There is, however, a note of caution. The GAM is limited since it does not have explicit cost considerations. Therefore, economically inefficient projects may get into the highpriority list. To avoid this predicament, economic criteria such as internal rate of return (IRR) should be used. If a project fails to meet a minimum requirement, say 0 percent IRR, then the project goes back to the drawing board or is scrapped all together.

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WORKSHOP 4 Developing Prioritization Criteria and Prioritizing Programs and Projects This workshop aims to equip trainees with skills in identifying a set of criteria and using them to prioritize programs and projects. Materials/Equipment Needed: Laptop and LCD or OHP Transparencies Meta card (colored cartolina, at least 4 colors) LDP Expected Output:

Whiteboard or Manila paper Whiteboard markers Scissors Local SEP

List of prioritization criteria Final list of priority programs and projects : : :  hours 5 minutes per group 0 minutes

Duration:

Workshop Presentation Open Forum

Workshop Guidelines: . Developing prioritization criteria a. Review the Local Development Plan (LDP), particularly the following sections: Development vision Development goals, objectives and targets Development policies, strategies (overall and sectoral)

b. Review the national/regional prioritization criteria (Medium-Term Public Investment Program Guidelines and Criteria) and examine which goal, objective or indicator is applicable or can be adapted by the locality. c. Fill up the weighted Goals Analysis Matrix (Table 7). d. Assign weights to the listed goals/objectives according to your evaluation of the LDP priorities in the medium term (at least in the next five to six years).

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. Prioritizing programs and projects for financing a. Rate and rank the programs and projects listed in Table 6. b. List the ranked programs and projects using Presentation Format .. . Assign a presenter and present to group for further comments/validation.

Presentation Format 4.1 Final Investment Plan of a Locality Rank Proposed Project Location Total Yr1 Cost Estimate Yr2 Yr3 Yr4 Capital or noncapital

Yr5

Yr6

1 2 3 4 5

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LESSON 4 Identifying Internal and External Funds for LGUs Lesson  teaches local planners how to estimate internal funds for funding the LIP. It also shows them the financing options available to them if internal funds are not sufficient to fund their investment plan. How do we estimate LGU internal funds? This section suggests a method of estimating the total internal revenue and fiscal balance of a locality to see whether there are sufficient local funds to finance the investment plan. First, we estimate the total LGU recurrent revenues for six years, using historical trends. We disregard unusually high or unusually low revenues since these may not represent the actual financial situation of the locality. Unusually high revenues in a particular year may be due to special grants from external sources such as calamity funds or special or foreign assistance. The suggested format for this activity is shown in Table 9. Columns 1-6 are added to get column 7. However, column 5 reflects only 80 percent of the internal revenue allotment (IRA). Year Projected Real Property Tax (1) Business Fees & Licenses (2) Other Taxes (3) Services & Operations (4) IRA (80%) (5) All Others (6) Projected Total Revenues (7)

Table 9: Projected Future Total Revenues


Next, we calculate for the projected future fiscal balance of the locality. This is done by deducting from the projected total revenues the regular operating expenses, capital outlay, non-office expenditures, and debt servicing. The projected fiscal balance is the projected amount available for funding programs and projects in the investment program. To this amount, 0 percent of the IRA and 5 percent for gender and development (GAD) are added to obtain the total amount available for programs and projects. Table 0 may be used for this purpose.

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Item No.
1 2

Item 1
Projected Revenue Less: Projected Operating Expenses Capital Outlay Non-office Expenditures

Year 3 4

3 4 5

Subtotal (1-2) Less: Obligated Debt Service Fiscal Balance Add: 20% IRA 5% GAD

Total amount for programs/projects

Table 10: Projected Future Fiscal Balance


Then, the cost of the final investment plan (Table 8) is matched with the projected fiscal balance to get an idea of how much the proposed programs and projects can be financed internally and how much additional funds are needed from external sources (national, private lending institutions, and foreign funding) to fully fund the entire investment plan. If demand for funds exceeds supply, trimming down the project list may be the only option. How will the local investment plan be funded? The investment plan may be funded with internally generated funds of a locality. However, if internal funds are inadequate to fully finance its investment plan, the LGU may augment their limited resources through various financing options/mixes. These options include funds from the national government, the private sector, official development assistance (ODA) and other sources. The NEDA Board through its Investment Coordinating Committee (ICC) supports cost sharing for devolved activities with social and/or environmental objectives. However, the extent of grants to LGUs depends upon the nature of the activity and the classification status of the LGU.

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What are the financing options for local investment plan? Local financing Local funds may be made up of the IRA, tax revenues, sale of assets, and bond floatation. As mentioned earlier, the LGU may augment these internally generated funds with those from the national government, private sector, ODA that are directly extended to the LGUs, credit windows of government and commercial banks, countrywide development fund, the Presidents Social Fund, and grants from philanthropic organizations. National financing Assistance from national government may be difficult to obtain because all LGUs in the country compete for the meager resources of the national coffers. Moreover, national government funds are usually allotted to national and regional priority programs and projects as well as the sectoral investment plans of various line agencies. In addition to funds of the Government of the Philippines (GOP), other national government financing may be ODA extended to LGUs as financial and/or technical assistance coursed through national agencies. This assistance is intended for activities implemented within the jurisdiction of the LGU or those of national importance that are to be accomplished by the LGU. National government financing may also take the

form of credit from government banks such as the Land Bank of the Philippines and the Development Bank of the Philippines. Private sector financing The LGU also has the option to tap funds from the private sector through various collaborative schemes such as: Build-own-operate (BOO) projects wholly funded, owned and operated by the private sector; Build-operate-transfer (BOT) projects financed by the private sector from which it derives financial returns within a concessional period and after such time, the assets are transferred to the LGU; and Joint ventures between the LGU and the private for sector commercial and business undertakings.

Build-Operate type projects may be solicited by government or initiated by the private sector. In considering any of the Build-Operate schemes, we have to take into account the financial viability and security of the project and also ensure it is the only one serving that purpose in the area. The LGU may also avail of credit from private commercial banks or apply a mixed financing scheme using funding options in the LGU.

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LESSON 5 Plan Implementation This lesson introduces the various mechanisms and structures needed to implement the plan. It explains the importance of these structures and identifies vital areas to consider for the effective and efficient implementation of planned activities. Where are we now in the planning process? We are in the sixth box plan (Figure ).

SA and problem identification

Vision, goal, objective and target setting

Policy and strategy formulation

Program and project identification

Plan formulation

Plan monitoring and evaluation

Plan Plan implementation Implementation

Investment programming /budgeting

Figure 13. The Planning Process: Plan Implementation


implementation mechanisms. Preparing for Plan Implementation For the effective and efficient implementation of the plan, we need to put in place various mechanisms and structures. Plan implementation deals with the actual undertaking of the activities in order to achieve desired outcomes goals, objectives and targets. Why do we need to prepare for plan implementation? The development plan is multisectoral in character. It contains priority programs and projects that respond to different sectoral and intersectoral concerns of the community. Hence, the attainment of the sustainable development plans goals, objectives and targets requires the joint and coordinated

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efforts of the different sectoral groups within and outside the locality. Among the many implementation concerns, the major ones include: Defining of roles and assigning of responsibility to the different implementing bodies; Determining and establishing the mechanisms for coordinating the various activities of the implementers; Identifying and putting in place the other implementation structures; and Developing a monitoring and evaluation system to assess the effectiveness and efficiency of the implementers and the effectiveness, efficiency and sustainability of the programs and projects that they implement.

At the local level, the Local Development Council (LDC), through its planning and development office, identifies structures and mechanisms to facilitate the start of the implementation process. These structures and mechanisms include: structures and staffing patterns within the LGU for coordinating the efforts of the different implementing bodies; various implementation concerns; a system for monitoring and evaluation; and specific government agencies and private institutions expected to implement the programs and projects.

1. Institutionalizing public participation The LDC could be the effective mechanism for institutionalizing the participation of the public to reflect peoples needs. This can be done, for example, by increasing the participation of nongovernment organizations (NGOs), peoples organizations (POs) and the private sector. 2. Plan implementers These are government agencies, NGOs and private sector entities that will play a role in implementing the various programs and projects of the LDP. The LDC defines the roles and responsibilities of these entities in plan implementation; gets their acceptance of their identified roles and responsibilities; and makes the appropriate arrangements with each of the participating groups. 3. LGU organizational structures: Planning and development office This office is responsible for coordinating the different actors involved in plan implementation. This includes organizing and coordinating all groups involved to ensure that the plan is being implemented smoothly and in synergy. Sectoral assignments, however, are given to relevant departments and agencies in the LGU. These units develop the details of the sectoral programs and projects in accordance with the targets and schedules set in the LDP.

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Fiscal planning and management unit This unit is involved in the preparation of a financial plan to support implementation. The financial plan includes a thorough analysis of the LGUs current and future incomes from all possible sources. It also indicates how and to what extent internally generated funds may be augmented to fully support the investment plan. Project development and operations unit This section comes up with project ideas, assesses and screens them, develops the project concepts, packages them into a program or project proposal, prioritizes programs and projects, conducts or hires experts to do feasibility studies, or phases programs. This unit also identifies sources of funds for their implementation. Actual implementation is done by the responsible sector, department or agency of the LGU. Monitoring and evaluation unit or system This unit or system keeps track of the progress of the implementation of the overall plan as well as specific programs and projects; and establishes a system of communicating with the implementers for periodic reporting and review of the status of the activities. d. Sustainable development regulation and control measures: Zoning ordinance This is a legal mechanism or tool to ensure that development projects are implemented according to the land use plan of the locality. The LGU is divided into zones or districts such as agricultural, residential, industrial, commercial, mixed use and other uses. Taxation measures Such measures are a mechanism for increasing the revenues of the LGU. It includes the provision of tax incentives to motivate the private sector to get involved in sustainable development activities that support the development thrust of the locality. This mechanism also takes care of imposing disincentives (e.g., higher taxes) to discourage activities not included in the plan or not compatible with the sustainable development path of the community. LESSON 6 Plan Monitoring and Evaluation This lesson explains the importance of monitoring and evaluation (M&E) in the entire development planning process. We are now in the last phase of the planning process as indicated in Figure . During actual implementation, the programs and projects are closely monitored to ensure that they are carried out as scheduled and within the budget, and more importantly, that the intended beneficiaries are reached. If things are not running as planned, then corrective measures are instituted. At the end of the planning period or upon completion of a program or project, evaluation is undertaken.

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SA and problem identification

Vision, goal, objective and target setting

Policy and strategy formulation

Program and project identification

Plan formulation

Plan monitoring Plan Monitoring and evaluation and Evaluation

Plan implementation

Investment programming /budgeting

Figure 14. The Planning Process: Plan Monitoring and Evaluation

In detail, we undertake monitoring and evaluation to: ensure that activities are undertaken according to the planned schedule and budget; correct deviations, if any; find out if and to what extent the intended beneficiaries are reached; determine whether and to what extent stated goals, objectives and targets have been achieved and if so, whether they were attained efficiently; decide if the program or project should be continued, expanded, redesigned or scrapped altogether; and determine what else needs to be done in the next planning period.

The results of past monitoring and evaluation activities serve as bases for updating the SDDP, especially in the light of changing conditions in the locality. At the end of the plan period, the evaluation results become inputs to the situational analysis of the next planning cycle.

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Annexes

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Annexes

ANNEX A The SWOT Analysis A method that is popular and often used in a Situational Analysis is the SWOT analysis. It enables us to determine the distinct comparative advantages of an area in relation to its neighbors by assessing its strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats (SWOT). This is done through an assessment of the areas present condition, characteristics, current state of its natural, human and fiscal resources. Strengths refer to an areas existing social, economic and environmental features or attributes that enhance its development. This may refer to educated and highly skilled people, rich natural resources (e.g., fertile soil, vast forests, scenic vista, accessibility to facilities, etc.). Weaknesses, on the other hand, refer to the present social, economic and environmental characteristics that limit or inhibit an areas development. This may refer to poor soil, lack of infrastructure support facilities, lack of market, uneducated or unskilled labor force, adherence to unsustainable farming practices, peace and order problems, typhoon-prone location, etc. In short, strengths and weaknesses are related to present conditions within the area that affect its development. Opportunities refer to economic, social, political, environmental, technological and competitive trends and events that could significantly benefit an area in the future. This may refer to national policies or events that may result in harnessing untapped resources or situations in the area. Examples include decentralization of international trade relations that will make the area the gateway of international trade in that section of the country, large demand for a provinces product, passage of new laws, technological breakthrough, discovery of mineral resources in the area, etc. Threats are economic, social, political, environmental, technological and competitive trends and events that are potentially harmful to an areas future development. These may be promotion of capital-intensive technologies if the area has a large unemployed labor force, denudation of forest which can cause flash floods in lowlands, environmentally polluting industries located near the area, oil spills, pollution of river systems, destruction of aquatic and marine habitat, change in government policies, and others. Opportunities and threats deal with factors outside the area that can affect future development. After listing the strengths, weaknesses (or problems), opportunities and threats, these are placed in appropriate cells in the SWOT matrix (Figure A-) following the procedure below: 1. 2. 3. . List List List List the the the the areas areas areas areas key key key key internal strengths in the upper middle cell; internal weaknesses in the upper right cell; external opportunities in the middle left cell; and external threats in the lower left cell.

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The value of the SWOT analysis becomes apparent in the formulation of policies, strategies, programs and projects in the planning process. It is a useful strategy-formulation matching tool for identifying four types of strategies: SO strategies, WO strategies, ST strategies, and WT strategies. Matching key internal and external factors is the most difficult part of SWOT analysis. The matching process requires good judgment and there is no best answer. The steps in matching are as follows: ) Match internal strengths with external opportunities and record the resulting SO in the SO cell. ) Match internal weaknesses with external opportunities and record the resulting WO in the WO cell. ) Match the internal strengths with the external threats and record the resulting ST in the ST cell. ) Match the internal weaknesses with external threats and record the resulting WT in the WT cell.

Strength

Weakness

Opportunity

SO

WO

Threat
Figure A-1. The SWOT Matrix

ST

WT

The purpose of matching is to generate alternative strategies and not necessarily to select or determine which strategies to implement. An area can use its internal strengths to take advantage of external opportunities or to overcome external threats. Alternatively, a locality could pursue defensive-type strategies aimed at overcoming weaknesses and avoiding external threats. It can also pursue strategies that would improve its internal weaknesses by taking advantage of external opportunities. The weakness of the SWOT analysis is that it does not go into identifying the determinants or causes of a weakness (or problem) which, as mentioned earlier, tells us the potential areas for solving the problem. Thus, we suggest that the SWOT analysis be used in conjunction with the POPDEV planning approach of SA or the Problem Tree Analysis approach.

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ANNEX B Fishbone Diagram What is a fishbone diagram? The fishbone diagram (Ishikawa, 98) is an analysis tool that provides a systematic way of looking at effects and what caused them. This cause-and-effect diagram was developed by Japanese quality control statistician Kauro Ishikawa of Tokyo University in 9 and is therefore also known as the Ishikawa Diagram. It is important to remember that the value of the fishbone or Ishikawa diagram is to assist teams in categorizing the many potential causes of problems or issues in an orderly way and in identifying root causes.

Material

Machine / Plant

Measurement / Policies

Quality Problem

Men / People
Figure B-1. Fishbone Diagram

Methods / Procedures

Cause-and-effect diagrams are used to list systematically the different causes that can be attributed to a problem (or an effect). A cause-and-effect or fishbone diagram, like other problem-solving techniques, is a heuristic tool. It helps users to organize their thoughts and identify the reasons why a process goes out of control. As such, it is part of the improvement process but does not provide solutions to quality problems. It also does not rank causes according to their importance. In other words, it is unable to identify leverage points or points that can be manipulated to significantly improve the quality of the process.

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Finally, while the diagram is a very attractive tool and seems easy to learn and apply, the user needs to have some organizational learning skills for it to be effective. These skills include being able to work with others, seek the truth, and open to different and opposing ideas. Without such capabilities, internal politics can dominate the process (e.g., team members bring to the diagram construction process a political agenda and in the end, the most powerful opinion dominates). When should a fishbone diagram be used? A fishbone or cause-and-effect diagram is used when the team: Needs to study a problem/issue to determine the root cause; Wants to look at all the possible reasons why a process is beginning to have difficulties, problems, or breakdowns; Needs to identify areas for data collection; and Wants to study why a process is not performing properly or producing the desired results.

There are three main applications of cause-and-effect diagrams: 1. Cause enumeration is one of the most widely used graphical techniques for quality control and improvement. It usually starts with a brainstorming session in which all possible types of causes (however remote they may be) are listed to show their influence on the problem (or effect) in question. Cause enumeration facilitates the identification of the roots of the problem because all conceivable reasons are listed. . In Dispersion analysis, each major cause is thoroughly analyzed by investigating the sub-causes and their impact on the quality characteristics (or effect) in question. The key to this diagrams effectiveness lies in the reiteration of the question, Why does this dispersion occur? This diagram helps us analyze the reasons for any variability, or dispersion. In cause enumeration, smaller causes that are considered insignificant are still listed while in dispersion analysis, those that do not fit the selected categories are not recorded. Since sometimes small causes are not isolated or observed, it is possible that some root causes will not be identified in dispersion analysis. . When cause-and-effect diagrams are constructed for process analysis, the emphasis is on listing the causes in the sequence in which the operations are actually conducted. The advantage of this diagram is that, since it follows the sequence of the production process, it is easy to assemble and understand. The

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disadvantage is that similar causes keep reappearing, and those that are due to a combination of more than one factor are difficult to illustrate. How do we create a fishbone diagram? Basic Steps: . Identify a problem . Draw the fishbone diagram . List the problem/issue to be studied in the head of the fish. . Label each bone of the fish. The major categories used typically in the production and quality control processes are: The  Ms: Methods, Machines, Materials, Manpower The  Ps: Place, Procedure, People, Policies The  Ss: Surroundings, Suppliers, Systems, Skills Note: We may use one of the four categories suggested, combine them in any fashion, or make up your own. The categories help us organize our ideas. 5. Generate causesuse an idea-generating technique {e.g., unstructured or structured brainstorming [Round Robin; 6-3-5 (6 people - 5 minutes - 3 ideas); etc.]} 6. Construct the fishbone diagram -- use check sheets and Pareto charts to identify root causes (e.g. material, machine, measurement, methods, men) and secondary causes to pinpoint the factors within each category that may be affecting the problem/issue and/or effect being studied. The team should ask... What are the issues affecting/causing... 7. Repeat this procedure with each factor under the category to produce sub-factors. Continue asking, Why is this happening? and put additional segments under each factor and subsequently under every sub-factor. 8. Continue until you no longer get useful information as you ask, Why is that happening? 9. Analyze the results of the fishbone after team members agree that an adequate amount of detail has been provided under each major category. Do this by looking for those items that appear in more than one category. These become the most likely causes. 0. For items identified as the most likely causes, the team should reach a consensus on listing those items according to priority with the first being the most probable cause.

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ANNEX C Problem Tree The problem tree is an analysis tool for identifying the main problems and determining their cause-and-effect relationships so that they may be sufficiently addressed in a project design. The analysis starts with a brainstorming session with a group of different stakeholders identifying all problems in the situation. The group prepares a set of blank cards to carry out the process of coming up with a problem tree. Each identified problem is written on a card and the group agrees on a common core concern (i.e., linked to most other problems). A precise definition of the core problem is then written on a card. Causes and effects of the core problem are then noted down on the other cards. Cards bearing the causes are put below the core problem card while the effects are placed above. Some cards may be overall constraints and are moved to the side of the core problem. The idea is to try to find all cause-and-effect relations and move the cards accordingly. There can be more causes for one effect or more effects for one cause. The result is reviewed, checked for logic and revised, if necessary. Vertical links are drawn to show cause-effect relationships and horizontal links to reflect joint causes and combined effects. The diagram is then copied on a sheet of paper. Workshop Conducting problem tree analysis . Identifying and listing the main problems a. Explain the purpose of the exercise and the context within which it is taking place, for example, the preparation of a primary health care project. Discuss the problem tree method and the inputs expected from the participants. Provide some examples of cause-and-effect relationships before starting, emphasizing the importance of identifying root causes; b. Using contributions from the group, list all the negative statements about the situation you are analyzing; and c. On a card, write each problem statement clearly and display this on the wall or floor. . Identifying core problems a. Discuss and identify a core problem, the one which appears to be linked to most negative statements. b. Write a precise definition of the core problem on a card (if the existing statement requires further clarification). c. Display the card on a wall (or on the floor) so that the whole group can see it clearly.

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. Identifying cause and effect a. Classify the negative statement cards according to whether they are causes (leading to the core problem) or effects (resulting from the core problem). All cards identified as causes are put below the core problem and all effects, above the core problem. Statements that are deemed unclear should either be specified or discarded. Problems that are very general which not only affect the issue at hand and apply to almost any development concern can be treated as overall constraints and moved to the side of the main problem tree. This helps keep the core problem tree focused and manageable. As a guide, consider whether or not the problem can be addressed by a project based solution. It is a constraint if it cannot be solved by a project. b. From the cards, choose any negative statement printed as a problem and ask What leads to that? Then select from the cards the most likely cause of the problem, and place it below the chosen problem statement. c. If there are two or more causes that needs to be combined to produce an effect, place them side by side below the resulting effect. d. Review your output after you have placed the card/s for each relationship. Then ask the group if they can still think of more causes leading to the core problem. e. Similarly you must ask if there are any more effects resulting from that problem. f. If there are multiple effects resulting from a cause, place the cards representing these side by side and above the other cause(s). 4. Checking the logic a. At each stage you should invite participants to move the cards, i.e. to suggest or hypothesize other relationships. b. When you have classified all cards, review the structure to ensure that related streams of cause and effect are close to each other on the problem diagram. c. Choose one of the cards at the top line of your Problem Tree, then work back through the diagram according to the guiding question: What leads to, or causes, that? in order to check the logic or completeness of your cause-effect structure. 5. Drafting the problem tree diagram a. Draw vertical links to show cause-effect relationships, and horizontal links to show joint causes and combined effects; and finally b. Copy your diagram onto a sheet of paper and distribute it for further comments and variations within a set time period.

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6. Dealing with overall constraints Overarching development problems that are identified during the analysis, but which cannot be addressed directly by a project-based intervention, should be taken out of the main problem tree diagram and considered as overall constraints. Examples might include institutional corruption, lack of government revenue, and pressures of high population. These constraints should then be considered as part of the risk and sustainability analyses undertaken later in the project preparation process.

Example of a Problem Tree Public passenger transport in a rural district

Income insufficient to meet basic needs Farmers cannot market their perishable goods on time

EFFECTS EFFECTS CORE CORE PROBLEM

People reach market late

Passengers injured injured

PROBLEMS
CAUSES CAUSES Bad condition of vehicles

Frequent bus Frequent bus accidents accidents

Drivers not careful

Bad road conditions

Vehicles are old

Lack of maintenance

Long driving periods

Lack of knowledge of traffic rules

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ANNEX D Sample Determinants Determinants of Health Outcomes

Underlying or Determinants
Socioeconomic, Demographic and Cultural Factors

Proximate Determinants

Health Outcomes

Individual Age, sex Education Health beliefs and attitudes Household Income or wealth Age/sex composition Social network Community Ecology: climate Markets and prices Transportation Population size, age-sex structure & distribution Social structures & organization Others

Health care utilization Environmental contamination Nutrient or dietary intake Fertility Injury

Mortality Morbidity Nutritional Status Disability

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Determinants of Environment Outcomes

Underlying or Determinants

Proximate Determinants

Environment Outcomes

Socioeconomic, Demographic and Cultural Factors

Level & Rate of Consumption/Utilization

Individual Age, sex Cultural beliefs & attitudes Household Income Age/sex composition Education/ Knowledge Community Level/type of economic investment (e.g. industrial/agri) Market structure Income, wealth Policies/programs Social structure & organization Others

Level & Rate of consumption / utilization Technology Natural calamities / disasters / climate Garbage disposal / waste management Sanitation practices Rate of Regeneration Agriculture

Quantity & Quality of Environment and Natural Resources

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Determinants of Employment Outcomes

Underlying or Determinants
Socioeconomic, Demographic and Cultural Factors

Proximate Determinants

Employment Outcomes

Conditions of air, water & land Sanitation Practices Education Health Status Knowledge Beliefs Culture

Size, age, sex composition & spatial distribution Level, sectoral & spatial patterns of investment Choice of technology Labor force participation rate Wage rates

Employment rate Unemployment rate Average family income

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Determinants of Education Outcomes

Underlying or Determinants
Socioeconomic, Demographic and Cultural Factors

Proximate Determinants
School Characteristics

Education Outcomes

Individual Age, sex Previous Education Beliefs & attitudes Household Income Size, sge/sex composition Education of parents Ability/attitude of parents Community Output markets & prices Wage Rate Population size, age-sex structure & distribution Social structure & organization Access & availability of services/facilities Others

Teachers Instructional materials Average distance to households Courses offered Tuition-quality structure Curriculum Student Characteristics Ability/attitude Schooling attitude (towards learning & completion) Health & nutrition Labor Market Employment opportunities On-the-job training Market segmentation Information dissemination Enrollment / Participation

Attainment Quality Socio-moral Values

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Determinants of Housing Outcomes

Underlying or Determinants
Socioeconomic, Demographic and Cultural Factors

Proximate Determinants

Housing Outcomes

Household Income/wealth Size, sge/sex composition Household Type Mobility Characteristics of household head Community Output markets & prices Population size, age-sex structure & distribution Social structure & organization Weather condition Structure of land market Access and availability of social services Others

Housing standards Financing Schemes Affordability of Housing Units Rate of Urbanization Housing Needs

Tenure/Type of Occupancy Type & Quality of Housing Units Site Services & Facilities Available

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Determinants of Food Adequacy and Nutrition Outcomes

Underlying or Determinants
Socioeconomic, Demographic and Cultural Factors

Proximate Determinants

Nutrition Outcomes

Individual Age, sex Food consumption, habits & preferences Education Physiologic status (pregnant, lactating) Occupation habits & preferences Household Income Size, sge/sex composition Education of parents Intra-household food allocation Community Output markets & prices Population size, age-sex structure & distribution Social structure & organization Food production & distribution Environment Access & availability of services/facilities Others

Nutrient Intake Protein-Energy Adequacy Micronutrient Adequacy - Iron - Vitamin A - Iodine Health Status

Birth-weight Nutritional Status Weight-for-age Weight-for-height Height-for-age

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ANNEX E Sample Indicators Sector Economic Resource build-up Employment generation Increased (rural or urban) income Investment generation Development of new products Contributes to local, regional or national economic growth Improved labor productivity Improved agricultural productivity Improved rural development Increased farm production Lowered prices Importation avoided Stable/affordable prices Export promoted/ increased Forex situation improved Breakaway from subsistence farming; More non-traditional high-value crops Increased, diversified marketable farm surplus Reduced unemployment/ underemployment Expanded farm and non-farm related enterprises Increased access to information on livelihood options Improved management & more efficient water services for agriculture, industry and households Optimized investments in tight financing situations Improved productivity of present & future labor due to better health Reduced work absenteeism from illnesses Focus on basic services Increased savings/ domestic investments, Others Resource draw-down Increased national government expenditure (on specific goods or services) Increased fiscal deficit Lack of inputs to industries Increased borrowings Government expansion (national, regional or local budget) Foregone taxes Higher rural expenditures Reduced productivity due to lack of economies of scale (smaller farms) Reduced individual farmers income Lack of supplies for wood-based industries, importation needed Increase in prices of wood-based products Negative effects on economic growth High cost for government, requires private sector financing Negative effects on forex Bidding of contract may be subject to corruption Increased public spending to expand basic services Others

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Sector Social

Resource-buildup Improved income distribution Improved facilities for health, education, other services Better access to basic services due to increased income Better future wellbeing Improved security, peace and order Better children/women protection Better health from clean environment Sufficient food supply Reduced poverty Control of land Improved social justice & equity Better access to support services Greater well-being of greater number of people Decreased corruption Better provision of safe, potable water to hholds Improved hygiene / sanitation practices, especially of poor Shortened poor womens time spent queuing for/ collecting water; more time for income generation Reduced school absenteeism from illnesses Better health of mothers and children Improved empowerment of poor women Better chances of women to earn / work Easier, cheaper travel Enables people to seek better opportunities Sustainable groups of employment promoted Increased number and enhanced participation of multi-stakeholders in stewardship of natural resources Others

Resource-drawdown Increased health problems due to pollution Increased healthcare expenditures Loss of working hours/days due to illnesses, therefore, decreased present or future productivity Health problems associated with fertilizer use Greater use of child labor Increase in school dropouts Poor quality future labor force Farmers subject to harassment by landlords Increased corruption if not well implemented / monitored Subject to abuse, if not monitored properly Possible politization of program Promotes dole-out mentality Increased urban migration More urban slums/ congestion Others

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Sector Environmental

Resource-buildup Decreased degradation Improved protection from natural calamities Watershed protected Reduced upland migration; Forests conserved, forest denudation prevented Better use of forest areas Hydrological cycle regulated Flash flooding, other damages prevented Biodiversity & wildlife protected Improved quality of water resources Renewability of freshwater made possible Restored/conserved ecosystems Carrying-capacity of specific resources maintained/ not exceeded Others

Resource-drawdown Negative effects of fertilizer use Increased soil acidity & pollution Decreased soil fertility needing more fertilizer to increase production (vicious circle) Loss of indigenous crops Environmental pollution (depending on technologies used) Pollution due to mine tailings Siltation of water bodies Increased pollution of air, water, land Conversion of some agricultural land Loss of forest cover Watershed degraded Increased greenhouse gas emissions Increased upland migration Loss of biodiversity Carrying-capacity of specific resources exceeded Resources used beyond their natural regenerative capacities Sink function used beyond their assimilative capacities Recreational function of natural resources destroyed Others

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ANNEX F Sustainable Development Analyzer (additional examples)


Intervention: Policy/ strategy/ program/ project Policy on Rice Sufficiency Sector Resource Build-up Indicators Value Resource Drawdown Indicators Value Net Effect Sustainable Nonsustainable Mitigating Interventions

Economic

Importation avoided; stable, affordable prices Encouraged/ improved productivity

Increased government expenditure Income lost from non-traditional high value crops Opportunity cost lost from nonconversion Areas will remain rural Increased use of fertilizers/ pesticides (negative impact on health) Increased expenditure on basic services Decreased soil fertility

Encourage agri-business ventures

Social

Improved income Sufficient food supply Improved quality of life

Environmental

Conservation of Network of Protected Areas for Agricultural and Agro-industrial Development Employment generation Increased investments/business generation Contribution to national income & exports Infrastructure development assistance Increased income & better access to basic services Increase in social investment projects

Adoption of SD strategies

Adopt Sustainable Mining Policy

Economic

Adopt eco-friendly mining practices Create multi-sectoral monitoring committee

Social

Social ills Health impact Other issues put forward by critics

IEC

Environmental

Environmental degradation Pollution

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