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because of expanded regional capacities, cut down in construction activities post economic meltdown and heavy sea freight charges on exports.
P KR (m) Net Sales Cost of Sales Gross Profit Financial Charges P rofit Before Tax Taxation P rofit After Tax E PS DPS Gross profit margin Net profit margin FY10 24,509 16,530 7,979 569 3,418 280 3,137 9.70 4.00 33% 13% FY11 25,521 17,059 8,462 568 4,049 287 3,762 11.63 4.00 33% 15% YoY 4% 3% 6% 0% 18% 3% 20%
BUY
Market Snapshot Index KSE 30 11687.85 KSE 100 12265.53 KSE ALL 8501.36 Chg -129.54 -98.53 -67.00 % -1.1 -0.80 -0.78
Pakistan Research
Synopsis
We anticipate LUCK to witness a sharp 20% YoY rise in earnings. Volumetric sales to witness decline mainly because of 34% YoY expected decline in export sales. Retention prices increased substantially by 32% YoY. We expect sales and COGS to post a marginal upsurge of 4% and 3% YoY respectively. Decline in coal prices in international market, higher dispatches and improved retention prices would be they key catalysts for earnings of FY12. Our Fair value of the scrip is PKR85, therefore, we suggest a BUY stance at current level.
Key Data Market Cap(PRs bn) hares Outstanding (m) Bloomberg 12M Avg. Volume (m)
119%
101%
83%
KSE-100
LUCK
65% Aug-10 Sep-10 Feb-11 Apr-11 Dec-10 Oct-10 Jan-11 May-11 Nov-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Jul-10
Analyst: Muhammad Sarfraz Abbasi sarfraz.abbasi@summitcapital.com.pk 021-35376125 B-209, Park Towers, Clifton, Karachi
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