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Mobile- The Global Future
By 2005
In Asia Pacific an 8% penetration of mobile users would translate into 282 million.
* Census 2001
# Source – World Bank Data base
Demography Matters …
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India unbound
India is third largest economy in Asia & one of the fastest growing one.
Staggering growth over 10% in 3rd & 4th quarter last year
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India - Telecom Unleashed!
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India…Leapfrogging Technology
5 Fixed – 4.5%
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Mobile – 3.5%
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0
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Affordability Availability
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2200
5 1481
1400
4 1116
1200 918
3 1000
800 607
2 421
600
1 400 249
200
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0
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3
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02
02
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Dec-98 Jun-99 Jun-00 Nov-00 Apr-01 May-02 Sep-02 Mar-03
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ar
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Falling ARPUs Need
16 15
1USD=Rs. 45
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High Potential for “Connectivity”
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both in rural & urban areas
In USD
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Mobility : The “killer” application
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2001 2002 2003 2004
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Mobility a bearer of Convergence ?
GSM TeleDocs
General Practitioners are using GSM-based
General Packet Radio Service to deliver
healthcare and medical services to rural India
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The real revolution has been the continuous growth
of the low income group market
Issues to be addressed
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Broadband – the Next Frontier
Indian Regulator has identified Broadband as the next focus area & has
recommended the following targets:
Year Ending Numbers
2005 3 Millions
2007 9 Millions
2010 20 Million
Expected that broadband will have an even more explosive impact on the market
than cellular mobile
Indian GSM operators can play a key role in contributing to growth of broadband
through 3G services
Key Internet and Broadband Indicators
Parameters Korea Malaysia China India
GDP (US$ Per capita) 10,000 4,000 965 465
No. of Internet connections 26 12 2.5 0.4
(per 100 persons)
No. of broadband connections 25 0.4 1.4 0.02
(per 100 persons)
Charges for broadband 30 29 16 20
(per month US$) Source : TRAI
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Drivers & Initiatives
Affordability Cost of backhaul & device Lower domestic Bandwidth cost through reduction
in levies & duties
Lower International Bandwidth cost through opening
up of bottleneck facilities at landing stations
Promotion of National Internet Exchange to reduce
reliance on international bandwidth
Reduction in cost of PCs
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Can mobility be the bearer for Convergence in the
Asia-Pacific Region?
With China and India becoming the manufacturing & service bases to the world, the
future will witness shifting of wealth, to areas with a higher share of population
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Thank You
Dilipmodi@mcorpglobal.com
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