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In trial and error strategies, an informal "intuitive" analysis is carried out and
sometimes improvements are achieved despite the fact that the experiment was
based on trial and error, although in complex situations it is not enough to apply
this type of experimentation, so it is better to always proceed in an efficient way
that guarantees obtaining the answers to the questions posed in a short period of
time and using few resources.
Statistical design is the most efficient way of testing. It consists of determining
which tests should be performed and in what way, in order to obtain data that,
when statistically analyzed, will provide objective evidence to answer the questions
posed and thus clarify the uncertain aspects of a process, solve a problem or
achieve improvements.
Experiments are tests that are done with the intention of solving a problem or
testing an idea. It is common for these tests to be done on the fly, based on trial
and error, appealing to experience and intuition, instead of following a proper
experimental plan that guarantees a good answer to the questions posed.
Designing an experiment consists of planning and carrying out a set of tests with
the objective of generating data that, when analyzed statistically, will provide
objective evidence to answer the questions posed by the experimenter about a
given situation.
A response variable helps to know the effect or results of each experimental test.
The factors studied are the variables that are investigated in the experiment to
observe how they affect or influence the response variable. The relationship
between the two concepts is that the factors studied in turn study the response
variable.
If a given study factor remains fixed in all experimental runs, it will NOT be possible
to study the effect it has on a given response variable, because since the levels of
a factor do not vary, it is not possible to accept or discard its effect on the result.
The resulting combination will be: 2 x 3 = 6 treatments; and these will be:
1) FA-10-60
2) FA-10-90
3) FA-20-60
4) FA-20-90
5) FA-30-60
6) FA-30-90
Random error is the type of error that naturally generates variability in the process
and cannot be explained by the factors studied.
Experimental error is the type of error that is generated when serious errors are
made in the experiment, and which cannot be determined as random error.
9. Point out the stages in the design of an experiment, as well as some key
aspects each of them.
2.-Analysis: Use inferential statistical methods to see if the sample differences are
large enough to warrant population differences.
10. Why is the planning of the experiment considered the most important
stage?
Because it is here where the problem is defined, the controllable factors that could
have an influence are determined and the most appropriate experimental plan is
designed, with which the process runs are specified, i.e. which treatments and how
many repetitions of each one.
-Blocking: It is to nullify or adequately take into account all factors that may affect
the observed response.
The difference lies in the fact of the practical application of the findings, and their
relevance for strategic decision making. Although it is known that the existence of
statistical significance indicates that there is variability in a certain characteristic of
the sample, this does not ensure that the difference is sufficient to make practical
market (or discipline-specific) decisions. This is when the researcher's judgment
takes on great relevance in determining how to act based on the results.
EXAMPLE
13. Describe five aspects that are relevant when selecting the experimental
design.
14. Name two problems in your area of work that could be addressed with
design of experiments. For each problem list some control factors and at
least one response variable.
Decomposition of food in a restaurant: The asepsis, the time it takes to be
consumed, the safety of the elements used for food preparation and storage can
be controlled. A response variable could be the time it takes to present
contamination.
Fruit crops (apples): Factors to control, irrigation of the trees, fertilization of the
trees, pesticides, pesticides or some other method of inhibiting the presence of
pathogenic microorganisms. Response variables: number of fruits per experimental
unit (tree), fruit weight.
15. Suppose you want to study the performance of an automobile, and you
want to find the factors that most influence its performance. What could be
the response variables, what are the factors to be studied, what are the
uncontrollable or noise factors?
Response variables:
Fuel efficiency
Security
Factors to be studied:
Vehicle response to an accident or road accident, air bag system, type of brakes.
Non-controllable factors:
16. You want to compare the wear of two brands of tires A and B, for which
10 private drivers of a certain city are chosen at random. Five of them,
selected at random, are installed free of charge with brand A tires and the
remaining five with brand B tires, with a written commitment to allow wear
verification every six months.
a) Do you think this experiment allows a fair comparison of the wear of the
two brands of tires?
NO
That the use of the vehicle is similar, the roads or conditions where it is driven are
the same, the tires are properly calibrated.
c) Propose at least one change to the experiment that you believe would
improve the comparison.
The number of vehicles used for the analysis should be larger, since a larger
number of experimental units can provide greater reliability to the results obtained.
18. In the above case, what could happen if the possible source of variation,
which is age, is not controlled?
We would be making an experimental error, which would clearly affect our results,
causing the analysis to be statistically wrong.