1. History of the Soviet Union: social, political, and cultural
changes – a philosophical vision The history of the USSR is a history of social mobility of an enormous part of Russian peasantry made for town and industrial enterprises in the course of the industrialization. Urbanization and modernization passed in exceptionally short historical time, in which a good half of the population of the Soviet Union moved to town and abandoned the traditional rural mode of living, but did not the patriarchal and collectivistic mentality. It is indicative of the collapsing of the USSR that it happened when the urbanization discontinued (at about 74% urban population). We could characterize the Soviet Union socially and politically as state of modernizing peasant, a state catering for its accelerated social mobility. The very short historical time of modernization determined some typical features of the USSR development: – accelerated industrialization and rather rapid economic growth; – ''cultural revolution'', forming of a ''people's intelligentsia'', results in education, health care and other social spheres; – terror for elimination of natural obstacles and restraints regulating the unusual fast process of peasant social mobility (including terror for supporting the traditional homogeneity of an urbanizing mass under conditions causing individualization and de-traditionalizing). – gradually coming to the end of that process, political radicalism is replaced by political conservatism; ''Stalin's era'' was transformed into ''Brezhnev's era'' by means of ''Hrushchov's warm spell''. Modernization is an extensive factor of growth and progress since it is limited by natural restrictions: roughly speaking, modernization growth is limited by proportion 3:1 of urban to peasant population, of industry to agriculture, of people with secondary education to those without secondary education. Modernization is a limited resource that may be consumed in very short historical time and to be gained impetus for ''doping'' development, but involving difficulties, secondary effects, one of which is the very crash of the USSR. The urbanization and industrialization themselves turned out fraught with omissions, negligence, and defects in pursuit of amount and target dates at the expense of quality. An attendant characteristic social and psychological feature, determining political radicalism and terror was the marginalization of the new townsman deprived of his patriarchal peasant mainstay. The eschatological which is typical both for Marxism and Russian orthodoxy is an essential cultural, historical and spiritual premise for the Soviet Union. That is achievement of the end, of "the Kingdom of God on the earth'', the final triumph of the spiritual over the material, of the eternal bliss over the daily pain and problems. Sobornost, which can be culturally and politically opposed to democracy presupposes absence of the political as continuous and statutory struggle of politically organized parts of the whole. On the contrary, it presupposes spiritual unity of the whole. The collective body makes a decision ''from on high''. The autocracy of pre-revolutionary Russia had been transformed into autocracy of the USSR. Poor geographical and climatic circumstances, exceptional scattered state of peasant population, very small surplus value determined preserving of Russian commune also after abolition of the serfdom. The commune was liquidated not until the collectivization, in 1930, bit its spirit continued to exist as special mentality of Soviet citizen and sociopolitical organization. The Soviet Union was a state that is culturally and politically a successor of Russian orthodox sobornost, autocracy, and communal collectivism. 2. Outlook on the eve of ''perestroika'' Two main and opposing factors produced objectively necessity of ''perestroika'': 1) exhausting the resource of accelerated modernization and social mobility; 2) sobornost, collectivistic and autocratic tradition. The USSR strived for finding such a direction, which had to substitute intensive for extensive development and which had not be the west, ''capitalist'' course. The last three secretary-generals Andropov, Chernenko and Gorbachov typified three possibilities, which can be marked provisionally and respectively: ''moderate'', ''conservative'', and ''radical'' alternative. Andropov's ''moderate'' alternative. Andropov and Chernenko were secretaries–general for a short time and for that reason both the alternatives are hypothetic possibilities. The real fact was that Andropov took some measures of repression for reinforcing of labour discipline by means of the repressive authorities.A hypothetic suggestion is that he would achieve stabilization of socialism by means of repressive measures. Chernenko's ''conservative'' alternative. In the same hypothetic aspect of expectations, this alternative could be described as ostentation and bureaucratizing, a ''second edition'' of ''Breghnev's era'' and striving for maximum preserving of socialism. Gorbacov's ''radical'' alternative. Gorbachov took the road of radical changes: at first, as ''acceleration'' of socialism, then as reorganization, ''perestroika'' and in the end as ''market'' or ''democratic socialism''. The regular choice was made by history in favour of radical road. The exhausted extensive factor of modernization precluded both the moderate and conservative alternatives. The only opportunity was radical outcome that happened not as a social revolution, but as transformation and still uncompleted transition to market economy and free entrepreneurship, at that the former elite succeeded to partially retain their position 3. History of 'perestroika' Two processes determined the course of ''perestroika'': 1) extenuation of the Soviet social, economic, and political system in combination with unsoundness of the attempts to be offered a new alternative for its transformation; 2) transformation of the power and privileges of a considerable part of nomenclature into economic domination accompanied by involving of outside people in the arising new elite. There are four periods in ''perestroika": 1) from March, 1985 to January, 1987 – ''acceleration, ''more socialism''; 2) 1987-1988 – ''perestroika'', ''more democracy''] 3) 1989–1990 is a period of demarcating and schism against the following of ''perestroika''; 4) 1991 – sudden change in alignment of forces in favour of radical and reformist groups and their coming to power. 7he reforms led to: In the political sphere: The center of power transferred from the CPSU to the Soviet of people's deputies and after that to the executive: the presidency and the regional administration. Democratic elections were initiated. In the economic sphere: the party control over the economy was reduced and structures of alternative ''Comsomol'' economy were created; reform of the financial infrastructure and banksliquidation of State supply of the USSR and development of commodity exchange, "experimental" privatization. Gorbacov played a part of a transformation initiator by means of his subordinated machinery of the Soviet bureaucracy. His yielding, opportunistic, and pragmatic leadership in the nature of compromise lost gradually control over the processes and yet prevented a revolutionary explosion. The main real result of ''perestroika'' was the dismantling of the Soviet system and spontaneous creating of an eclectic, oligarchic, and clan system of transition. The Soviet society and economy entered upon a new stage of deep crisis but yet the danger of catastrophic destabilization and a civil war was warded off. The liberated centrifugal tendencies drove to disintegration of the Soviet Union. ''Perestroika'' history is history of a steered shipwreck accompanied by unsuccessful and groundless attempts of being avoided. 4. Historical and philosophical meaning of 'perestroika' The time distance affords an opportunity for generalized, philosophical evaluation of historical and civilization meaning of ''perestroika''. Russia removes obstacles to farther movement to Europe. The urban culture, education system, modern industrial economy and infrastructure created during the Soviet time demarcated, irrespective of all the defects, categorically Russia from the Third world The bust–up between China and the USSR come after 20th congress of the CPSU was not only and chiefly an ad hoc and political rivalry, but a broadening of the civilization and historical gap. The resource of Chinese modernization is colossal potential, but as any extensive factor will exhaust some time or other. As for Russia, it has already exhausted. Russia has no one outcome but the way of intensive development and forming of political and economic system based on the middle class. In spite of difficulties and zigzags of real politics, it is the strategic line of President Putin and it will bear fruit. In long–term civilization and geo-strategic prospects, the road "to the West" divides into two: Europe or USA. The "Europe" prospect means: Euro–liberalism and social democracy, social state, guarded and humane orientated economic development, preponderance of bureaucracy over entrepreneurship, political principle of groups freedom, protection of difference, of the animals, and nature, humanitarian researches, cultural, historical, and civilization traditionalism. The "US" prospect means: neo–liberalism and neo–conservatism, state of "equal start'', aggressive economic development, preponderance of entrepreneurship over bureaucracy, political principle of individual freedoms, tolerance to the successful at expense of the underdog, space and scientific expansion, stimulation of brain–drain, multi–culturalism and anti– traditionalism. "US" is also literary the prospect "Mars", "Europe" is metaphorically the prospect "Venus" and literary "Earth" In the future, Russia will have to make that choice as alternative "either "Europe" or "USA"". The considerably more probable choice is rather "Europe", although the Soviet Union, if "perestroika" had not happened, would be hypothetically oriented to the alternative "USA" even though as rivalry. The reasons of such a prognosis are the following: orthodox civilization tradition, spiritual and collectivistic value system, cultural and historical heredity of the USSR, vast territory and natural resources still liable to exploiting In conclusion, we would like to point out the effect of Russian civilization choice upon Bulgarian–Russian relations in short and medium– term prospect. Because of the cultural and civilization closeness, because of the exceptionally close relations during the Soviet Union period, because of the advanced Euro–integration of Bulgaria, the direction of Bulgaria is a pilot project of Russian development Answers of asked questions: 1. After the end of our school, our section in the Institute for philosophical researches – it is the section 'Philosophy of history' – will have also a conference devoted to "overtaking development". My report is "The Russian Transition: Retribution for Overtaking Development". In that report I will describe three roads in front of Russia: oligarchic, autocratic, and one still hypothetical, which is directed to forming and consolidating of economic and political system based on the middle class. These three roads are alternatives, but simultaneously they are three stages of Russian transition: the first is the oligarchic stage, Eltsin's government; the next is the autocratic stage, President Putin's mandates, still the hypothetical stage lies ahead in the future: it will be the government after Putin. Every of those roads could be reality only if had not happened transformation in Soviet time: urbanization, modernization, industrialization, creating of modern education system. Namely they predetermined both the crash of the Soviet Union and future victory of the middle class. 2. Some words speaking of Eltsin's government. A Russian researcher, Lepehin, wrote in 1999: "In Russia, the President turned out rather not guarantor of democracy, but guarantor of oligarchy." Eltsin's government was marked by a consecution of sign events, which represented also natural boundaries of different stages. The first stage represented the struggle for much more power. The end of that stage was the passing of the new Constitution by referendum in December, 1993. The end of the second stage was the first regular elections in 1995. The third stage spanned the period before the crisis in august 1998. The last stage was the very crisis, the economic and politic measures made by the President for its getting under control up to his abdication of power. In the whole period of Eltsin was formed oligarchic state government closely, narrowly entangled in President's kitchen cabinet and in his administration. 3. Some words speaking of Putin's government. The career of Vladimir Putin make an impression. He after leaving the KGB passed all the level of state bureaucracy from a vice-mayor of Petersburg up to his nominating for the prime-minister of Russia by keeping changing at every of the intermediate levels average about three months. By abdication for forward amnesty, Boris Eltsin predetermined Putin to have been elected president. In his first mandate, Putin created prestige of the presidential institution in a merciless political struggle with some of oligarches. He succeeded in transforming of presidential institution into a symbol and mainstay of the reviving state system. In his government, Putin – in keeping with Russian and Soviet state tradition – succeeded in relying upon central and regional bureaucracy. In the economic sphere, the actions for stabilizing of the state enterprises as well as the military and industrial complex made an impression. Namely those measures predetermined the bitter political and economical skirmish with the oligarches. Seemingly, Putin's government makes an impression on partial restoration of the Soviet system. In reality, Russia has no one outcome but the way of intensive development and forming of political and economic system based on the middle class. That's why Putin's government is not marked an autocratic or authoritarian road but only an inevitable stage of transition toward market economy and democracy. 4. Russian presidential system, which contains powerful control levers for subordinating not only of the executive, even not only of the legislative and judiciary power, but also of economic power and media, not as copies the US system as the pre-revolutionary and Soviet autocracy. The Russian President has to be qualified as a removable and limited to two mandates constitutional monarch. 5. The main factor, which determined the forming and consolidation of economic and political system based on the middle class is the stratification development in the course of crisis overcoming. The very crisis hindered the middle class stabilization, but its overcoming will support the middle class in the course of enrichment of the society. If the oligarchic stage corresponds with a gulf, gap between an insignificant minority of super-rich people and the huge part of miserable, destitute, poor or ''of modest means'' population, if the authoritarian stage moderate the difference at the expense of violating democracy, then forming of political and economic system based on the middle class presupposes a redistribution to the high half of strata and as a result the gap will be gradually substituted by continuous transition between the rich and the poor. 6. In Russia, forming and consolidation of middle class is hindered by many civilization, historical, cultural and political factors as well as specific economic factors: sobornost, spiritual and colectivistic mentality, autocracy as state political tradition, schism as the opposite of mediation, that is the opposite of the middle of the middle class. ''Crisis style of Russia development'', instability, ethnic conflicts, especially that in Chechenia, terrorism both as threat and real acts are just the opposite of what is necessary to forming and consolidating of middle class. Some authors propose a typology of Russian consciousness: paternalism and collectivism (about 30%), individualism and liberalism (about 20%), intermediate types between the two types of mentality (about 50%). There is nostalgia for Soviet time. Corrupt practices and bureaucratic blackmails are obstacles to business activity. Economy through patronage, by the old-boy network also don't help the forming and consolidation of the middle class in the West meaning of the term. Another obstacle to establishing of the middle class is the huge share of the shady, underground economy. This way, the middle class is subordinated to the oligarchy and mafia. 7. The middle class is predominantly connected with the choice of ''liberal'' model of Russia development, which model can be roughly characterized in comparison with ''social-democratic'' and ''paternalistic'' model this way: ''liberal'' model – the state assures human rights and a legal order and legal protection of entrepreneurship and the social relief, benefits are minimum; ''social-democratic'' model – the state regulates certain economic spheres and protects the most needy; ''paternalistic'' model – the states regulates the better part of economy and supports all the strata of society. The ''liberal'' model is preferred by the rich, the ''paternalistic'' model is preferred by the poor, and the ''social-democratic'' model occupies an intermediate position. Consequently, if and as far as the share of the rich and middle increases, so much economic and politic system based on the middle class will form and consolidate.