Suffolk University/7NEWS

NH Likely Republican Primary Voters

REG
N=
Hillsborough....................................
Rockingham .....................................
North/West .....................................
Central ........................................

1
2
3
4

400 100%
120 30%
92 23%
90 23%
98 25%

START
Hello, my name is __________ and I am conducting a survey for 7NEWS/Suffolk
University and I would like to get your opinions on some political questions.
Would you be willing to spend five minutes answering some questions?
N=
Continue .......................................

400 100%
400 100%

GEND
RECORD GENDER
N=
Male ...........................................
Female .........................................

1
2

400 100%
201 50%
199 50%

S2. How likely are you to vote in the Republican Presidential primary in seven
weeks?
N=
Very likely .................................... 1
Somewhat likely ................................ 2
50/50 .......................................... 3
Not very likely ................................ 4
Not at all likely .............................. 5
Other/Dk/RF .................................... 6

400 100%
347 87%
53 13%
0
0%
0
0%
0
0%
0
0%

S3. Are you currently registered as a Democrat, Republican, Unenrolled/

Independent, something else or are you not registered to vote?
N=
Democrat ....................................... 1
Republican ..................................... 2
Unenrolled/Ind ................................. 3
Other .......................................... 4
Not registered ................................. 5

400 100%
0
0%
231 58%
165 41%
0
0%
4
1%

S4. Just to be clear, although you are a registered Independent, you intend to vote in
the Republican Presidential Primary in seven weeks?
N=
165 100%
Yes ............................................ 1
165 100%
No ............................................. 2
0
0%
S5. What is your age category? (READ LIST)
N=
18-34 years ....................................
35-44 years ....................................
45-54 years ....................................
55-64 years ....................................
65-74 years ....................................
75+ years ......................................
Refused ........................................

1
2
3
4
5
6
7

S6. For statistical purposes only, can you please tell me what your ethnic
background / ancestry is?
READ LIST
N=
White/Caucasian ................................ 1
Black/African American ......................... 2
American Indian/Alaska Native .................. 3
Asian .......................................... 4
Native Hawaiian/Other Pacific Islander ......... 5
Hispanic/Latino ................................ 6
Other (DO NOT READ) ............................ 7
Refused (DO NOT READ) .......................... 8

400 100%
38 10%
64 16%
98 25%
92 23%
71 18%
36
9%
1
0%

400 100%
352 88%
2
1%
1
0%
4
1%
0
0%
2
1%
18
5%
21
5%

PRE1
Great, I am going to read you a list of individuals in state and local politics. For
each, please tell me if your opinion of them is generally favorable or generally unfavorable.
If you are undecided or if you have never heard of someone, just tell me that. First take Barack Obama.

Suffolk University/7NEWS

NH Likely Republican Primary Voters

N=
Continue .......................................
Q1. Is your opinion of Barack Obama generally favorable or
unfavorable?
N=
Never heard of .................................
Favorable ......................................
Unfavorable ....................................
Heard of/Undecided .............................

400 100%
400 100%

generally
1
2
3
4

400 100%
2
1%
100 25%
271 68%
27
7%

Q2. Is your opinion of Mitt Romney generally favorable or generally

unfavorable?
N=
Never heard of ................................. 1
Favorable ...................................... 2
Unfavorable .................................... 3
Heard of/Undecided ............................. 4

400 100%
2
1%
277 69%
77 19%
44 11%

Q3. Is your opinion of Sarah Palin generally favorable or generally

unfavorable?
N=
Never heard of ................................. 1
Favorable ...................................... 2
Unfavorable .................................... 3
Heard of/Undecided ............................. 4

400 100%
4
1%
132 33%
219 55%
45 11%

Q4. Is your opinion of Jon Huntsman generally favorable or

unfavorable?
N=
Never heard of .................................
Favorable ......................................
Unfavorable ....................................
Heard of/Undecided .............................

400 100%
39 10%
141 35%
85 21%
135 34%

generally
1
2
3
4

Q5. Is your opinion of Rick Perry generally favorable or generally

unfavorable?
N=
Never heard of ................................. 1
Favorable ...................................... 2
Unfavorable .................................... 3
Heard of/Undecided ............................. 4

400 100%
18
5%
85 21%
206 52%
91 23%

Q6. Is your opinion of Newt Gingrich generally favorable or generally

unfavorable?
N=
Never heard of ................................. 1
Favorable ...................................... 2
Unfavorable .................................... 3
Heard of/Undecided ............................. 4

400 100%
6
2%
178 45%
148 37%
68 17%

Q7. Is your opinion of Michele Bachmann generally favorable or generally

unfavorable?
N=
Never heard of ................................. 1
Favorable ...................................... 2
Unfavorable .................................... 3
Heard of/Undecided ............................. 4

400 100%
11
3%
107 27%
211 53%
71 18%

Q8. Is your opinion of Herman Cain generally favorable or generally

unfavorable?
N=
Never heard of ................................. 1
Favorable ...................................... 2
Unfavorable .................................... 3
Heard of/Undecided ............................. 4

400 100%
9
2%
161 40%
162 41%
68 17%

Suffolk University/7NEWS

NH Likely Republican Primary Voters

Q9. Is your opinion of Ron Paul generally favorable or generally unfavorable?

N=
Never heard of ................................. 1
Favorable ...................................... 2
Unfavorable .................................... 3
Heard of/Undecided ............................. 4

400 100%
3
1%
185 46%
146 37%
66 17%

Q10. Is your opinion of Rick Santorum generally favorable or generally

unfavorable?
N=
Never heard of ................................. 1
Favorable ...................................... 2
Unfavorable .................................... 3
Heard of/Undecided ............................. 4

400 100%
40 10%
108 27%
103 26%
149 37%

The following are questions about national politicians and issues:

Q11. Do you think the country is heading in the right direction or is on the
wrong track?
N=
Right direction ................................ 1
Wrong track .................................... 2
Undecided ...................................... 3

400 100%
46 12%
326 82%
28
7%

Q12. Do you believe the Republican Party today is too conservative, not
conservative enough, or does it match your values?
N=
Too conservative ............................... 1
Not conservative enough......................... 2
Matches my values .............................. 3
Undecided ...................................... 4

400 100%
120 30%
110 28%
104 26%
66 17%

PRE13
There will be thirty Republican candidates listed on the New Hampshire ballot
on January 10th. However, there is a much smaller group that has participated
in the televised debates.
N=
Continue ....................................... 1

400 100%
400 100%

Q13. If the Republican Primary for President of the United States were held
today and the candidates were {alphabetical} Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain,
Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Gary Johnson, Fred Karger, Ron Paul, Rick Perry,
Buddy Roemer, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum for whom will you vote or toward
whom do you LEAN at this time?
N=
Michele Bachmann ............................... 01
Herman Cain .................................... 02
Newt Gingrich .................................. 03
Jon Huntsman ................................... 04
Gary Johnson ................................... 05
Fred Karger .................................... 06
Ron Paul ....................................... 07
Rick Perry ..................................... 08
Buddy Roemer ................................... 09
Mitt Romney .................................... 10
Rick Santorum .................................. 11
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 12

400 100%
4
1%
32
8%
56 14%
37
9%
0
0%
2
1%
54 14%
6
2%
2
1%
163 41%
10
3%
34
9%

Q14. Now, how likely are you to change your mind about your choice before the
January Primary - would you say it's very likely you'll change your mind,
somewhat likely you'll change your mind, or unlikely you'll change your mind?
N=
Very likely I'll change my mind ................ 1
Somewhat likely I'll change my mind ............ 2
Unlikely I'll change my mind ................... 3
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 4

400 100%
34
9%
170 43%
168 42%
28
7%

Q15. If your first choice for the Republican Presidential nominee dropped out
of the race, who would you vote for instead (READ LIST), for whom will you
vote or toward whom do you LEAN at this time?
N=
Michele Bachmann ............................... 01
Herman Cain .................................... 02
Newt Gingrich .................................. 03
Jon Huntsman ................................... 04
Gary Johnson ................................... 05

400 100%
13
3%
34
9%
74 19%
31
8%
5
1%

Suffolk University/7NEWS

NH Likely Republican Primary Voters

Fred Karger ....................................

Ron Paul .......................................
Rick Perry .....................................
Buddy Roemer ...................................
Mitt Romney ....................................
Rick Santorum ..................................
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................

06
07
08
09
10
11
12

0
42
16
2
78
23
82

0%
11%
4%
1%
20%
6%
21%

Q16. Despite who you're personally voting for, who do you expect the next
president will be - Barack Obama or one of the Republican candidates?
N=
Barack Obama ................................... 01
Michele Bachmann ............................... 02
Herman Cain .................................... 03
Newt Gingrich .................................. 04
Jon Huntsman ................................... 05
Gary Johnson ................................... 06
Fred Karger .................................... 07
Ron Paul ....................................... 08
Rick Perry ..................................... 09
Buddy Roemer ................................... 10
Mitt Romney .................................... 11
Rick Santorum .................................. 12
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 13

400 100%
116 29%
6
2%
19
5%
26
7%
3
1%
0
0%
0
0%
16
4%
1
0%
0
0%
130 33%
2
1%
81 20%

Q17. Which Republican candidate would do best against Barack Obama in a

debate?
(READ IF DON'T KNOW)
N=
Michele Bachmann ............................... 01
Herman Cain .................................... 02
Newt Gingrich .................................. 03
Jon Huntsman ................................... 04
Gary Johnson ................................... 05
Fred Karger .................................... 06
Ron Paul ....................................... 07
Rick Perry ..................................... 08
Buddy Roemer ................................... 09
Mitt Romney .................................... 10
Rick Santorum .................................. 11
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 12

400 100%
4
1%
32
8%
135 34%
18
5%
0
0%
0
0%
19
5%
1
0%
0
0%
136 34%
2
1%
53 13%

{RANDOMIZE Q 18-22}
Q18. Is Mitt Romney presidential?
N=
Yes ............................................
No .............................................
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................

1
2
3

400 100%
330 83%
45 11%
25
6%

Q19. Is Herman Cain presidential?

N=
Yes ............................................
No .............................................
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................

1
2
3

400 100%
131 33%
215 54%
54 14%

Q20. Is Newt Gingrich presidential?

N=
Yes ............................................
No .............................................
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................

1
2
3

400 100%
209 52%
149 37%
42 11%

Q21. Is Rick Perry presidential?

N=
Yes ............................................
No .............................................
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................

1
2
3

400 100%
93 23%
235 59%
72 18%

Q22. Is Ron Paul presidential?

N=
Yes ............................................
No .............................................
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................

1
2
3

400 100%
162 41%
187 47%
51 13%

Q23. Mitt Romney is probably one of the most well known of the Republican candidates,
having run for President in 2008. But, in national polls, Romney can't seem to stay
above 25 percent among likely Republican voters. Why do you think that 75 percent
of Republican voters across the country are holding back from supporting Mitt Romney?

Suffolk University/7NEWS

NH Likely Republican Primary Voters

{OPEN RESPONSE}
N=
Religion/Mormon...............................
His healthcare plan...........................
Flip-flops....................................
Not conservative enough.......................
Too many candidates right now.................
Being from Mass...............................
Unsure of him.................................
Boring........................................
Not a real Republican.........................
Other ..........................................
Don't know .....................................

01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
00
99

( 1/132)
( 1/134)
( 1/136)

400 100%
64 16%
40 10%
41 10%
36
9%
40 10%
9
2%
11
3%
13
3%
8
2%
51 13%
108 27%

Q24. Do you trust Mitt Romney to say what he believes, even if it is

unpopular?
N=
Yes ............................................ 1
No ............................................. 2
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 3

400 100%
202 51%
147 37%
51 13%

Q25. Do you think Mitt Romney is comfortable around regular people?

N=
Yes ............................................ 1
No ............................................. 2
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 3

400 100%
284 71%
77 19%
39 10%

Q26. Is Romney-Care the same as Obama-Care?

N=
Yes ............................................
No .............................................
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................

400 100%
89 22%
212 53%
99 25%

1
2
3

Q27. Knowing what you know now about the allegations of sexual harassment
against Herman Cain, how do they influence your vote - do they make you more
likely to support him, less likely to support him, or makes no difference?
N=
More likely .................................... 1
Less likely .................................... 2
No Difference .................................. 3
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 4

400 100%
14
4%
124 31%
244 61%
18
5%

Q28. Do you believe the charges against Herman Cain?

N=
Yes ............................................
No .............................................
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................

400 100%
111 28%
151 38%
138 35%

1
2
3

Q29. How satisfied are you with the Republican field of candidates?
N=
Very satisfied ................................. 1
Somewhat satisfied ............................. 2
Somewhat dissatisfied .......................... 3
Very dissatisfied .............................. 4
Undecided ...................................... 5

400 100%
80 20%
170 43%
61 15%
72 18%
17
4%

Q30. How confident are you that the Republican nominee will defeat Barack
Obama next November - very confident, somewhat confident, not very confident,
not at all confident?
N=
Very confident ................................. 1
Somewhat confident ............................. 2
Not very confident ............................. 3
Not at all confident ........................... 4
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 5

400 100%
109 27%
130 33%
89 22%
53 13%
19
5%

Suffolk University/7NEWS

NH Likely Republican Primary Voters

Q31. What do you think is the most important issue facing the country right
now?
READ LIST
N=
Reducing the national debt ..................... 01
Taxes .......................................... 02
Jobs and the economy ........................... 03
Schools and education .......................... 04
Healthcare .................................... 05
Military involvement in Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya 06
Energy independence ............................ 07
Illegal immigration ............................ 08
Abortion policy ................................ 09
Same sex marriage .............................. 10
Civil liberties ................................ 11
Terrorism and national security ................ 12
Undecided ...................................... 13

400 100%
60 15%
14
4%
202 51%
7
2%
23
6%
22
6%
16
4%
25
6%
2
1%
4
1%
8
2%
11
3%
6
2%

Q32. What do you think is the second most important issue facing the country
right now?
READ LIST
N=
Reducing the national debt ..................... 01
Taxes .......................................... 02
Jobs and the economy ........................... 03
Schools and education .......................... 04
Healthcare .................................... 05
Military involvement in Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya 06
Energy independence ............................ 07
Illegal immigration ............................ 08
Abortion policy ................................ 09
Same sex marriage .............................. 10
Civil liberties ................................ 11
Terrorism and national security ................ 12
Undecided ...................................... 13

394 100%
71 18%
23
6%
91 23%
15
4%
53 13%
39 10%
17
4%
26
7%
4
1%
3
1%
10
3%
38 10%
4
1%

Q33. Do you think that the near-universal health care bill

last year should be repealed, modified or left alone?
N=
Repealed .......................................
Modified .......................................
Left alone .....................................
Undecided ......................................

400 100%
209 52%
121 30%
42 11%
28
7%

passed by Democrats
1
2
3
4

DEMO
[THE FINAL QUESTION WILL HELP US CLASSIFY YOUR RESPONSES WITH OTHERS TAKING
THE SURVEY]
N=
Continue ....................................... 1

400 100%
400 100%

Q34. Would you describe yourself as conservative, moderate

N=
Conservative ...................................
Moderate .......................................
Liberal ........................................
Undecided ......................................

400 100%
188 47%
178 45%
26
7%
8
2%

or liberal?
1
2
3
4