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Introduction
2009 Intelligence Specialist, U.S. 2008 2005 2006 2007 Attorneys Office
Government Theological
Road Map
Self censorship and political correctness will destroy our ability to discuss issues critical to our survival
Bernard Lewis, author of Crisis in Islam, Princeton University, professor emeritus of ME history
(i) to intimidate or coerce a civilian population; (ii) to influence the policy of a government by intimidation or coercion; or (iii) to affect the conduct of a government by assassination or kidnapping.
Title VIII, Section 802 of the USA PATRIOT Act
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Terrorism in History
Pre-Modern Origins Modern Terrorism 50s Non-State Terror 70s 70s International
XXI st Century
Global, Transnational
Ist Cent XVIIIst Cent Scarii (dagger) - Fr. Revolution Jews killing Reign of Roman occupiers Terror to transform XI+st Cent monarchy. ashhashin Violence will Muslim usher in a assassins better system
XXst Cent Non-state actors Nationalism IRA PKK Tamil Tigers Suicide bomber
9/11/2001
No Longer One-on-One/Few Threat of WMD Destructive Potential of WMD Access to WMD
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Black Sept
-70 Munich Olympics
Hijacking/ hostage
Colleen R. LaRose Charged with Internet recruiting of jihadist fighters Women with passports and the ability tor travel around Europe Recruiting for violent attacks and murders overseas Related arrests in Ireland
Century
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2 Inescapable Facts:
1. All Say they are Muslim
1 May 2010 New York's Times Square evacuated after the discovery of a car bomb. Faisal Shahzad confesses.
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Committed Attack
U.S. Army Recruiting Station, Little Rock, AR
ARKANSAS YEMEN
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Resident Alien
- (U) Legal Resident, Childhood in New York - (U) Trip to Pakistan from AUG 08 to JAN 09
Peshwar and Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA)
PAKISTAN AFGHANISTAN
NORTH CAROLINA
ISRAEL
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Resident Alien
Jihad Recruiting
Minneapolis Minnesota
MINNESOTA
SOMALIA
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SYRIA
ARKANSAS
Iraq
Ft Hood, TX
Anwar al-Awlaki
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1 May 2010 New York's Times Square evacuated after the discovery of a car bomb. Faisal Shahzad confesses.
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400 BC
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Nature of Islam (the religion) Nature of Muslims (the people) Nature of the Conflict Start of the Conflict Who is the Enemy?
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1. NATURE OF ISLAM
(THE RELIGION)
2.
3. 4. 5.
Nature of Muslims (the people) Nature of th Conflict N t f the C fli t Start of the Conflict Who is the Enemy
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Disclaimer 1:
Disclaimer 1:
History of Islam
Classical View
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Islams Foundation:
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-Consolidated Muslim rule over the rest of Arabia -Islamic History 78 battles -Succeeded by Four Caliphs -100 years of Expansion
Prophets Choices
1. 2. 3. Convert to Islam Pay poll tax (jizya) Fight/Die
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The Quran
Hadiths Sunna
Prayer (Salat)
) Fasting (Sawm)
Creed (Shahada)
Almsgiving (Zakat)
Pilgrimage (Hajj)
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Doctrines of Islam
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Comparison of Worldviews
God w/ Man Gen 3:9 Messiah/Faith JudeoChristian Ch i ti
Judaism: Messiah is Christianity: Messiah FUTUREPAST (Jesus) (Internal Belief) (Internal Belief)
Creation
Creation Story
Eternity
Do right things (External Actions)
Man/Works
Doctrines of Islam
Fear Motivation
Of Allah
(Insha Allah God Willing)
Sharia
Sharia: Foundation of society
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Sharia Law
JohnMarsh,IntelligenceSpecialist USAttorneysOffice,Harrisburg,PA,Jan15,2010
Sharia
Foundation of society
Communal
Ummah
Political
Transcendant
Economics
Interest Banking
Societal
A Major World Religion Founded by a man, Mohammad Derives Authority from 1. NATURE OF ISLAM Mohammads deeds and
(THE RELIGION)
Sacred Books A Religion of Works for Salvation Significantly Motivated by Fear of Hellfire/Damnation Implements Shariah Law
2. NATURE OF MUSLIMS
(THE PEOPLE)
Nature of Muslims (the people) Nature of th Conflict N t f the C fli t Start of the Conflict Who is the Enemy
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separate politics, religion co-exist with other cog religions Women can be independent
Can
Muslim Islamist
Islamist
Politics
1.3 is the churches Many formerb h ldh in MI1 l3 billion Muslims i h Islam = S worlds I Islamf i Submission l (20% oflargest mosques the EU are now religion second the world) Peace? Islam = Peace for the one who submits to Allah
Many Muslims Do Desire Peace
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Zenith cenit
Azimuth al sumut
Ibn Batuta
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Muslims Supra-national Center Islam & ummah Islam ummah ummah Transcend Nation or Nation-State Nation Nation-
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Islam in America
Separation & avoid Immigration to 70000brought to America as http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Islam_in_the_United_States; wars and internal slaves Assimilation came from nations accessed 4/19/2010 60000 conflicts in Turkey,
predominantly controlled Middle East, South by Muslims and the 50000 Asia teachings of Islam. Well, Assimilation maybe
40000 30000
PrePost Pre-1860 Muslim WWII African Post 1960 It is slave trade. estimated that as -1960 as the U.S. immigration to 18601860 many Multiculturalism 30 percent of the blacks
N i Nationalism struggles li l
Assimilation
AMERICAN MUSLIMS
1965
1971
1977
1983 1986
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1962
1968
1974
1980
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Islam in America
American born vs. overseas born
Immigrants 56%
Islam in America
U.S. Muslims ethnic diversity
African-American 42%
American-born 44%
Arab 12.4%
Whites 1.6%
Information courtesy of Dr. Carl Ellis
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Islam in America
Demographics of Americanborn converts to Islam
African Americans African-Americans 56%
2. NATURE OF MUSLIMS
(THE PEOPLE)
Other 8%
Nature of th Conflict N t f the C fli t Start of the Conflict Who is the Enemy
Salafi
Wahhabi
Jihadi
Supporters Terrorists
Information courtesy of Dr. Carl Ellis
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Before Hadi bin Mubarak Qahtani exploded himself into an anonymous fireball, he was young and interested only in "fooling around." Like many Saudis, he was said to have experienced a religious awakening after the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks on the United States and dedicated himself to Allah, inspired by "the holy attack that demolished the p y y foolish infidel Americans and caused many young men to awaken from their deep sleep,"
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"Declaration of War against the Americans Occupying the Land of the Two Holy Places. Al Quds Al Arabi, a London-based newspaper,
February,
Authority
bin Laden, head of al Qaeda; Ayman al-Zawahiri, head of Jihad Group in Egypt other Islamic terrorist groups.
Importance:
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The world The Canaan? Canaan? C No N Major Muslim group l Defensive belongs to Allah Limited ethnically life property, communityrenounced the has ever when to protect ones attacked upon is also Limited geographically a lesser form of jihad. jihad of the doctrines of Limited in time sword. Mohammads Example Material Benefits
The Overall Classification of this Briefing is: UNCLASSIFIED
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Nature of Islam (the religion) Nature of Muslims (the people) Nature of the Conflict
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Roman Empire 45 AD
Western Civ.
Western Civ.
(abridged)
Rome R
(abridged)
Rome
Constantinople
Constantinople
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320AD Christianity 320AD Christianity spread becomes the religion of the by the blood of the Empire (State +Religion) martyrs (physical/verbal testimony) State enforced orthodoxy
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In Majority Mohammad Rejected: Against People of Book In Minority Mohammed Sought Approval : Pro-People of Book
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Mongol
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CONCLUSION: Andulseia 1492 Defeat in 1682 - in Decline Islam Ottoman Turks retreat Islam is from Vienna NOT PURE PURE QUESTION: NOT PURE 1600s - is Why? Colonialism salaf Islam European
1300 Ibn Tayyhimya Reform
1740
1800s
Religious Reform Movement re-connected religious ideology + jihad of the sword today
The History Islam & The History the Westthe West Islam &
1922 Caliphate Abolished (Turkey) 1918 Fr Br Divide ME
WWI
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1740
1800s
1928
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90
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"In the final phase of the ongoing struggle, the world of the infidels was divided between two superpowers: the United States and the Soviet Union. Now we have defeated and destroyed the more difficult and the more dangerous of the two.
Islam Defeats USSR (#2 Superpower)! (#2
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Mogadishu, Somalia
2006
Bin Laden
Islamist expansion
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West Responds
Map provided by the Investigative Project
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Nature of Islam (the religion) Nature of Muslims (the people) Nature of the Conflict
Nature of Islam (the religion) Nature of Muslims (the people) Nature of th Conflict N t f the C fli t Start of the Conflict
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Next Generation
-Recruited -Radicalized -Trained -Autonomous
distinct entities.
Core vanguard, (Al-Qaeda prime Osama bin Laden and his trusted associates. 2. Al-Qaeda franchise groups such as Al-Qaeda in Iraq, 3. Grassroots jihadist movement inspired by Al-Qaeda prime and the franchise groups
99 100 Jihadism in 2010: The Trends Continue, by Scott Stewart, 6 January 2010.
Al-Qaeda Prime
Under
intense pressure by the U.S. government and its allies, Reduced in size since 9/11 Remains relatively small because of y operational security concerns. Laying low in Pakistan near the Afghan border and comprises only a small portion of the larger jihadist universe.
in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM) or Q d i th Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) Qaeda in the A bi P i l (AQAP).
Other groups PRIVATELY adopt some or all of al Qaedas jihadist ideology and cooperate with the core group,
Maintain E.g.
their independence for a variety of reasons. Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), Laskar-e-Taiba (LeT) and Harkat-ul-Jihad e-Islami (HUJI)
101 Jihadism in 2010: The Trends Continue, by Scott Stewart, 6 January 2010.
102 Jihadism in 2010: The Trends Continue, by Scott Stewart, 6 January 2010.
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2009 US Attacks
Operational Capability, Expertise, Skill sets
Worldwide
inspired
by the al Qaeda core and the g p franchise groups but who may have little or no actual connection to these groups.
Numbers, Geographic reach, Comm (Inet)
Q u a l i t y / Q u a n t i t y
AQ Prime
AQ Franchise
Umar Abdul Mutalla, NIGERIA/YEMEN Somali al-Shabaab Recruits, SOMALIA Nidal Hasan, Ft. Hood, TX
Grassroots
Daniel BOYD, et al, Quantico VA Najibullah ZAZI, Denver, NYC MUHAMED (Carlos BLEDSOE), AR Hosam Maher SMADI, Dallas TX Michael C. FINTON, Springfield IL
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103 Jihadism in 2010: The Trends Continue, by Scott Stewart, 6 January 2010.
Road Map
5.
Thoughts Th ht
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Ideological Foundation
Operational Basis
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The Ikhwan [MB] must understand that their work in America is a kind of grand Jihad in eliminating and destroying the Western civilization from within and sabotaging' its miserable house by their hands and the hands of the believers so that it is eliminated and Allah's religion is made victorious over all other religions."
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2. A Framework to Understand
a. Components of National Power POLITICAL
Ideological
Military
Economic
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Ideological
cant blame it on poverty or any of that stuff. They will have to realize its an ideology and its a way of life that makes people change.
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Media!
Rebukes
of to avoid Be inclusive of Sunni the battle is democratization taking place Win majority Shiite "public support" on the battlefield Dont attack mosques, ordinary people Brutality use bullets the media." of rather than beheading
insurgencys tactics
..What matters is not whether [he] is a fanatic or not, he's doing the will of a fanatic God. It doesn't matter if he's a terrorist or a traditional Muslim. At the end of the day traditional Muslim is doing d a t diti l M li i d i the will of a fanatic, fundamentalist, terrorist God. I know this is harsh to say. Most governments avoid this subject. They don't want to admit this is an ideological war. war
(Press, 10/7/2005)
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2010 03 06 WSJ They Need to be Liberated from Their God, The on his conversion to Christianity, spying for Israel, and shaming his family. MATTHEW KAMINSKI
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Political Economic
2. Operational Conflict
Clash of Civilizations
Clash of Civilizations
Military
Ground War
4.
Expel Western/American forces from Iraq Establish a caliphate in Iraq Extend the jihad neighboring countries (21 Arab, +24 Muslim nations) Finally, Obtain WMDs
1. 2.
~2020
Participants: Soldiers Weapons: Guns The Sources and Patterns of Terrorism in Islamic Law, William Gawthrop
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3.
Strategy (Afghanistan/Taliban I)
Holy Texts
Leaders/Clerics Sheiks Mohammad Imam (Iran) Mufti Mosques WorldView (12erMahdis Return)
Holy Texts
Leaders / Clerics
People
People General Population Urban/Rural Media Universities
Leaders/ Clerics
People
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Political
Ideological Economic
4. Civilizational Jihad
Clerics
People
Civilization/ Culture
Civiliational Jihad
TACTICAL
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www.NEFAFoundation.org
??
Bernard Lewis
author of Crisis in Islam, Princeton University, professor emeritus of ME y, y history, World authority on Islam
Holy Land Foundation
?? ??
HAMAS
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Self censorship and political correctness will destroy our ability to discuss issues critical to our survival
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Recommended Reading
Authors/Books
Bernard Lewis: Crisis in Islam Patrick Soohkdeo: Global Jihad, Faith, Power & Territory Robert Spencer: Stealth Jihad Best Mark Steyn: America Alone Reads Bat Yeor: EurAsia Dhimminitude Ye or: EurAsia, Global Intelligence: STRATFOR (Strategic Forecasting) http://www.stratfor.com/tour/ free intelligence reports, daily podcasts WSJ Opinion Journal, http://www.opinionjournal.com Islam: www.BarnabasFund.org (magazine inserts) World Magazine: www.WorldMag.com Herb Meyer: Four Major World Transformations
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Web/ Newspapers/Columnists:
ERIC HOLDER
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Summary
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SOURCES
- (U) National Intelligence Estimate, ODNI - July 2007 - (U) Annual Threat Assessment, ODNI January 2008 - (U) Counterterrorism White Paper Update, USDOJ December 2007 - (U) US Attorneys Case Management System, September 2009 - (U) Joint Regional Intelligence Center / LA-RTTAC Bulletin October 2009 - (U) Target: America The September 2009 New York/Denver Terror Plot Arrests - The NEFA Foundation,
www.nefafoundation.org - October 2009
Any A Questions?
FBI Joint Terrorism TF Philadelphia, PA (215) 418-4000
- (U) Somalia Extremist OSINT Report 20 NOV-3 DEC 08; 1st Information Operations Command, San Antonio TX - (U) A Call to Jihad, Answered in America; New York Times; Andrea Elliot 11 July 2009 - (U) Somalis In Minnesota More Details Emerge, Laura Yuen, Minnesota Public Radio, 20 October 2009
http://minnesota.publicradio.org/display/web/2009/10/20/third-somali-suspect/
- (U) Denmark Plot, BBC News, Tim Allman, 28 October 2009, http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/8329136.stm - (U) Memorandum of Law in Support of the Governments Motion for a Permanent Order of Detention; F.#2009R01793; United States vs. Najibullah Zazi; 09-CR-663 (RJD) - (U) United States vs. NAJIBULLAH ZAZI, Case No. 09-MJ-03001; CRIMINAL COMPLAINT; U.S. Court, District
Colorado; 19 September 2009
- (U) United States vs. HOSAM MAHER HUSEIN SMADI; Case No. 3-09-MJ-286; CRIMINAL COMPLAINT; US.
Court, Northern District of Texas; 24 September 2009
- (U) United States vs. MICHAEL C. FINTON; Case No. 09-3048-M; CRIMINAL COMPLAINT; U.S. Court, Central
District of Illinois; 24 September 2009
- (U) United States vs. DANIEL PATRICK BOYD; Case No. 5:09ci216-I FL; U.S. Court, Eastern District of North
Carolina; 22 July 2009
John.E.Marsh@USDOJ.gov
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- (U) United States vs. TAHAWWUR HUSSAIN RANA, CRIMINAL COMPLAINT posted to Chicago Tribune 30 October
2009; http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/chi-102709-rana-headley,0,5879769.htmlpage
- (U) Department of Justice Press Releases July 27. 2009 thru October 21, 2009
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