March 2, 2012

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MARKET OVERVIEW

Index
DJIA NASDAQ RUSSELL 2000 S&P 500

started week
12981.2 2945.87 822 1365.2

Thursday Close
12952.1 2988.97 815.22 1374.09

4 day change
-29.1 43.1 -6.78 8.89

4 day change %
-0.22% 1.46% -0.82% 0.65%

ytd
6.01% 14.73% 10.03% 9.26%

Summary of VE Stock Universe

Stocks Undervalued Stocks Overvalued Stocks Undervalued by 20% Stocks Overvalued by 20% 55.19% 44.81% 23.13% 17.65%

SECTOR OVERVIEW
Sector
Aerospace Auto-Tires-Trucks Basic Materials Business Services Computer and Technology Construction Consumer Discretionary Consumer Staples Finance Industrial Products Medical Multi-Sector Conglomerates Oils-Energy Retail-Wholesale Transportation Utilities

Change
0.07% 0.64% 0.51% 0.43% 0.37% 0.53% 0.36% 0.39% 0.39% 0.24% 0.25% 0.22% 0.65% 1.03% 0.68% 0.22%

MTD
0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% -0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

YTD
7.00% 18.65% 12.54% 9.65% 13.85% 15.57% 12.56% 8.04% 10.95% 11.95% 10.87% 13.57% 9.80% 11.77% 12.79% 3.25%

Valuation
12.13% overvalued 3.54% overvalued 6.03% overvalued 5.20% overvalued 18.87% overvalued 2.82% undervalued 5.68% overvalued 11.17% overvalued 18.33% overvalued 11.60% overvalued 18.18% overvalued 17.22% overvalued 10.85% overvalued 19.44% overvalued 9.09% overvalued 11.87% overvalued

Last 12MReturn
-6.45% -8.42% -22.90% -0.84% -11.50% -11.84% -3.06% -4.19% -2.95% -10.14% -8.29% -1.89% -19.23% 8.20% -13.73% 0.94%

P/E Ratio
30.04 31.84 22.09 24.85 42.67 30.57 28.13 23.12 22.16 26.52 39.83 16.01 41.06 21.94 21.57 24.74

Sector TalkRetail/Wholesale
Below, we present the latest data on leading Retail/Wholesale Sector Stocks from our Institutional software package (VEI). These results were filtered by market price and volume--no results below 3$/share or less than 100k shares/day volume.

Top-Five Retail-Wholesale Sector Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker
WMT AHONY CAH MCD BBBY

Name
WAL-MART STORES AHOLD N V ADR CARDINAL HEALTH MCDONALDS CORP BED BATH&BEYOND

Mkt Price
58.82 13.61 41.59 99.25 60.33

Valuation(%)
0.61 -50.15 -25.75 6.78 -9.29

Last 12-M Retn(%)

16.06 5.1 2.54 35.42 27.68

Top-Five Retail-Wholesale Stocks--Long-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker
WMT AHONY MCD M BBY

Name
WAL-MART STORES AHOLD N V ADR MCDONALDS CORP MACYS INC BEST BUY

Mkt Price
58.82 13.61 99.25 38.85 24.7

Valuation(%)
0.61 -50.15 6.78 -5.11 -40.9

Last 12-M Retn(%)

16.06 5.1 35.42 68.62 -22.11

Top-Five Retail-Wholesale Stocks--Composite Score

Ticker
GME AHONY M BBY CAH

Name
GAMESTOP CORP AHOLD N V ADR MACYS INC BEST BUY CARDINAL HEALTH

Mkt Price
23.84 13.61 38.85 24.7 41.59

Valuation(%)
-26.35 -50.15 -5.11 -40.9 -25.75

Last 12-M Retn(%)

21.69 5.1 68.62 -22.11 2.54

Top-Five Retail-Wholesale Stocks--Most Overvalued

Ticker
NFLX SCHS PSS TUES CHUX

Name
NETFLIX INC SCHOOL SPECIALT COLLECTIVE BRND TUESDAY MORNING OCHARLEYS INC

Mkt Price
112.75 3.17 18.14 3.41 9.9

Valuation(%)
300 300 204.16 100.69 77.2

Last 12-M Retn(%)

-44.9 -79.03 -17.99 -24.89 55.66

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As a bonus to our Free Weekly Newsletter subscribers, we are now offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our $ 25.00 Detailed Valuation Reports.
This week's free download is our report on AT&T (T,$T) AT&T Inc. is a premier communications holding company. Its subsidiaries and affiliates, AT&T operating companies, are the providers of AT&T services in the United States and around the world. Among their offerings are the world's most advanced IP-based business communications services, the nation's fastest 3G network and the best wireless coverage worldwide, and the nation's leading high speed Internet access and voice services. In domestic markets, AT&T is known for the directory publishing and advertising sales leadership of its Yellow Pages and YELLOWPAGES.COM organizations, and the AT&T brand is licensed to innovators in such fields as communications equipment. As part of their three-screen integration strategy, AT&T operating companies are expanding their TV entertainment offerings.

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ValuEngine has created and tracked a variety of investment portfolio strategies which reflect varying investment objectives. Known as benchmark portfolio strategies, these strategies provide an excellent starting point for using ValuEngine's cutting-edge research to select a basket of stocks. A research team of Ivy League academics and Wall St. investment professionals created ValuEngine's proprietary financial models and investment tools. This four-year effort required a team of 12 PhDs and a budget of more than $4 million. Each ValuEngine model takes a view of the market from a different perspective and then the various outputs are combined in order to rate and rank each ticker in our universe of 8000 stocks--of which @ 500 are ADRs and foreign companies that trade on US exchanges. The two main models utilize complex mathematical modeling formulas as well as computer simulation techniques to compute what stock prices should be if the market were totally rational and efficient and what stock prices will be given the actual state of the market today. Many investors like to bolster their portfolios with returns garnered from dividend-paying companies. The VE Income Strategy is provided on our website so you can easily screen for stocks which pay out something extra to shareholders. Stocks selected for this strategy must go ex dividend and pay dividends during the next month and have a projected one-year gain in excess of 4% from our Forecast Model. Stocks which meet these criteria are selected on the basis of their dividend yields--highest stocks first. The portfolio consists of a maximum of 20 stocks. Here's a sample VE Income strategy portfolio run TODAY:
Ticker
AGNC ARCC WIN MPW EPR ATVI MCY

Name
AMER CAP AGENCY ARES CAP CP WINDSTREAM CORP MEDICAL PPTYS ENTMNT PPTY TR ACTIVISION BLZD MERCURY GENL CP

Mkt Price
30.87 16.63 12.08 9.78 45.78 11.68 43.59

Valuation VE (%) Rating

6.95 -0.57 -11.37 -19.73 8.05 -13.3 0.87 4 4 4 3 3 3 3

P/E Ratio
6.19 11.14 15.71 13.16 13.65 14.07 15.22

Dividend($) (Ex-Date)
1.25 (03/05/12) 0.37 (03/13/12) 0.25 (03/28/12) 0.2 (03/13/12) 0.75 (03/28/12) 0.18 (03/19/12) 0.61 (03/13/12)

Sector
FINANCE FINANCE UTILITIES FINANCE FINANCE CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY FINANCE

Ticker
BX POM OB GCI RAI BCE PPL AEE CBL UIL PWE WR

Name
BLACKSTONE GRP PEPCO HLDGS ONEBEACON INSUR GANNETT INC REYNOLDS AMER BCE INC PPL CORP AMEREN CORP CBL&ASSOC PPTYS UIL HOLDINGS CP PENN WEST EGY WESTAR ENERGY

Mkt Price
15.73 19.5 15.3 14.79 42.16 41.2 28.57 32.14 17.86 35.1 22.15 27.67

Valuation VE (%) Rating

0.58 -2.62 -7.09 -2.24 -4.73 -1.3 -23.21 4.94 14.91 4.02 -7.98 13.6 4 4 4 5 5 4 5 4 4 4 4 4

P/E Ratio
13.78 15.94 25.25 6.9 15.79 12.81 10.9 12.47 8.49 15.34 15.14 19.61

Dividend($) (Ex-Date)
0.22 (03/13/12) 0.27 (03/08/12) 0.21 (03/14/12) 0.2 (03/07/12) 0.56 (03/07/12) 0.543 (03/13/12) 0.36 (03/07/12) 0.4 (03/12/12) 0.22 (03/28/12) 0.432 (03/08/12) 0.27 (03/28/12) 0.33 (03/07/12)

Sector
FINANCE UTILITIES FINANCE CONSUMER STAPLES CONSUMER STAPLES UTILITIES UTILITIES UTILITIES FINANCE UTILITIES OILS-ENERGY UTILITIES

Currently on our website, you can find screening tools for four Benchmark Portfolio Strategies: the VE Aggressive Growth Portfolio Strategy, the VE Diversified Growth Portfolio Strategy--formerly know as the "VE Forecast," the VE Top-Rated Portfolio Strategy, and the VE Income Strategy--we will soon add the VE International Strategy as well.

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These strategies feature stocks selected according to specific criteria designed to meet the overall strategy goals for return and risk. All selections are based on calculations made by ValuEngine's proprietary stock valuation and forecast models as well as additional fundamental datamarket capitalization, e/p ratio, momentum, dividend scheduleswhere applicable, as well as other factors. You can always check out the performance of our benchmark portfolio strategies on our website by going to the ValuEngine Portfolios page. HERE you can view the current and historic holdings of the portfolio and view performance data. You can run the strategies for yourself and get baskets of stocks selected with up-tothe-day market data by going to our VE Benchmark Portfolios screening page HERE. By running your own screens for the strategies, you can re-balance your portfolio according to your own needs.

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Suttmeier Says
--Commentary and Analysis from Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier
If you have any comments or questions, send them to Rsuttmeier@Gmail.com Treasury Yields 10-Year-- 2.033) My annual value is 2.502 with weekly and daily pivots at 2.034 and 1.979, and annual, weekly and quarterly risky levels at 1.903, 1.874 and 1.687. Commodities and Forex Comex Gold--(($1716.4) Semiannual, annual and weekly value levels are $1659.5, $1635.8, $1575.8, $1593.9 with my quarterly pivot at $1740.0, and daily, monthly and weekly risky levels at $1783.2, $1853.4 and $1888.4. Nymex Crude--($108.90) Semiannual, annual, quarterly, monthly and semiannual value levels are $104.84, $103.58, $99.87, $97.96 and $79.83 with a weekly pivot at $105.24, and daily and annual risky levels at $111.73 and $117.00.

The Euro--((1.3307) Weekly, semiannual, weekly, monthly, and quarterly value levels are 1.3193, 1.2980, 1.2622, and 1.2499 with daily, annual and semiannual risky levels at 1.3542, 1.4239 and 1.4405. Major Indices Equity Technicals On Wednesday at 10:00 AM the Dow was above 13K, the S&P 500 had cleared 1370 and the NASDAQ was testing 3000. Then Bernanke says, "The job market is far from normal" and stocks reversed course. On Thursday at 10:00 AM, weaker than expected ISM and Construction Spending pushed the Dow below 13K and SPX below 1370. Stocks proved their resiliency once again with closes that straddled the key headline levels, but my Pop then Drop prediction remains illusive. My monthly value levels for March are; 11,902 Dow Industrials, 1222.5 SPX, 2651 NASDAQ, 4470 Dow Transports and 684.13 Russell 2000. My weekly risky levels will decline next week from; 13,281 Dow Industrials, 1404.4 SPX, 3101 NASDAQ, 5427 Dow Transports and 864.51 Russell 2000. Dow Transports and the Russell 2000 lag their all time highs set on July 7th at 5627.85 and on May 2nd at 868.57.

Equity Fundamentals: 55.2% of all stocks are undervalued / 44.8% of all stocks are overvalued. Back on October 4th - 93.5% of all stocks were undervalued. Fifteen of sixteen sectors are overvalued; ten are overvalued by double-digit percentages. (10.9% OV to 19.4% OV) Back in March 2009 the sectors were undervalued by 33% to 45%. PE Ratios range from 16.0 times for Multi-Sector Conglomerates to 42.7 times for Computer and Technology. Sectors have shifted to Overvalued from Undervalued Key Levels for the Major Equity Averages Dow --(12,980) Quarterly, annual, monthly and semiannual value levels are 12,478, 12,312, 11,903, 8,425 and 8,336 with a daily pivot at 13,000, and weekly and annual risky levels at 13,281 and 14,032.

S&P 500--(1374.1) Quarterly, monthly and semiannual value levels are 1305.4, 1222.5, 841.7 and 829.9 with annual and daily pivots at 1363.2 and 1372.7, and weekly and annual risky levels at 1404.4 and 1562.9. NASDAQ (2989) Quarterly, annual, monthly and semiannual value levels are 2777, 2698, 2651, 2012 and 1952 with a daily pivot at 2982, and weekly and annual risky levels at 3101 and 3232. NASDAQ 100 (NDX) (2644) Monthly, quarterly, annual and semiannual value levels are 2428, 2422, 2300, 1851 and 1743 with annual and daily pivots at 2603 and 2642, and weekly risky level at 2721. Dow Transports (5211) Daily, monthly and semiannual value levels are 5094, 4470, 4407 and 3778 with weekly, quarterly, and annual risky levels at 5427, 5448, 5861 and 6111. The all time high was set at 5627.85 on July 11, 2011. Russell 2000 (815.22) Monthly and semiannual value levels are 684.13, 572.90 and 510.81 with daily and quarterly pivots at 813.03, 824.46 and 829.03, and weekly and annual risky levels at 864.51, 836.15 and 969.09. The all time high was set at 868.57 on May 2, 2011. The SOX (424.78) Daily, quarterly, monthly, annual and semiannual value levels are 418.51, 390.17, 323.52, 269.80, 277.90 and 194.47 with weekly and annual risky levels at 460.92 and 520.61. The 2011 high is 474.33 set on February 18, 2011.

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We provide a variety of means for accessing ValuEngine market analysis and other content. You can find us on some of the leading financial media websites as well as the more popular social media services. While our own website ValuEngine.com provides access to lots of analysis--and you can always sign up to receive email daily and weekly bulletins HERE, some users prefer to download PDF reports of content while others prefer to garner info while browsing the web. Our Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier is a prolific market observer and you can find his content in a variety of places. His weekly column on Forbes provides insights into his "Buy and Trade" strategy while his daily market analysis can be followed and accessed at Scribd, Twitter, and Minyanville. Senior Editor Steve Hach re-posts PDFs and web-accessible copies of Daily and Weekly ValuEngine bulletins at Seeking Alpha and Scribd. In most cases, you can receive notification of VE content posting by Suttmeier and Hach by following the ValuEngine feed on twitter @ValuEngine. Links for this content are provided below, you may also find these links on our website HERE Intelligent Investing with Richard Suttmeier Articles by Richard Suttmeier | Articles by Steve Hach Newsletters, Articles and Other Research Pieces Articles by Richard Suttmeier | Articles by Steve Hach Get short, timely messages from ValuEngine Inc Daily Bulletin PDFs, Weekly Newsletter PDFs, and PDF Research Reports