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Department of Housing and Urban Development | Office of Policy Development and Research
e Obama Administrations Eorts
To Stabilize e Housing Market
and Help American Homeowners
January 2012
U.S Department of Housing and Urban Development | U.S. Department of the Treasury
January 2012 National Scorecard | Page 1
The Administrations goal is to stabilize the housing market and provide
security for homeowners. To meet these objectives in the context of
a very challenging market, the Administration developed a broad
approach implementing state and local housing agency initiatives, tax
credits for homebuyers, neighborhood stabilization and community
development programs, mortgage modications and renancing,
housing counseling, continued Federal Housing Administration (FHA)
engagement, support for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and increased
consumer protections. In addition, Federal Reserve and Treasury
Mortgage-Backed Securities purchase programs have helped to keep
mortgage interest rates at record lows over the past year. More detail
on the Administrations efforts can be found in the Appendix.
January 2012 Scorecard on Administrations
Comprehensive Housing Initiative
The Presidents housing market recovery efforts began immediately after
taking ofce in February 2009. The January 2012 housing scorecard
includes the following key indicators of market health and results of the
Administrations comprehensive response, as outlined above:
Market data show progress on housing overhang, but
continued fragility in home prices and sales. Inventories of
existing homes for sale have continued to improve over the last
two quarters, declining from 3.2 million in the second quarter
to 2.4 million in the fourth quarter. Housing units held off the
market have also fallen, from 3.9 million in the rst quarter to
3.6 million in the fourth quarter. Existing home sales continued
to increase this month, while new home sales declined. In
addition, foreclosure starts continued to fall in December, though
foreclosure completions ticked upward.
The Administrations recovery efforts continue to help
millions of families deal with the worst economic crisis
since the Great Depression, even as new mortgage
delinquencies continue to decline. More than 5.6 million
modication arrangements were started between April 2009 and
the end of December 2011 including more than 1.7 million
HAMP trial modication starts and nearly 1.2 million FHA loss
mitigation and early delinquency interventions. More than 930,000
homeowners have received a HAMP permanent modication
to date, saving an estimated $10.5 billion in monthly mortgage
payments. The Administrations programs continue to encourage
improved standards and processes in the industry, with HOPE Now
lenders offering families and individuals more than 2.6 million
proprietary mortgage modications through December. The impact
of recently-announced enhancements to HAMP to broaden the pool
of eligible homeowners, protect tenants at risk of displacement
due to foreclosure and provide more robust relief to underwater
homeowners will be captured in the Housing Scorecard over the
coming months.
Eligible homeowners entering HAMP have a high likelihood
of earning a permanent modification and realizing long-
term success. Eighty-four percent of homeowners entering HAMP
in the past 18 months received a permanent modication, with
an average trial period of 3.5 months. Quarterly re-default data
shows that HAMP modications are sustainable for the majority of
homeowners. After six months in the program, more than 94 percent
of homeowners remain in their permanent modication. HAMP
modications continue to show lower re-default rates than industry
modications. The December Monthly Report can be found at:
http://www.treasury.gov/initiatives/nancial-stability/results/
MHA-Reports/Pages/default.aspx
Given the current fragility and recognizing that recovery will take
place over time, the Administration remains committed to its efforts to
prevent avoidable foreclosures and stabilize the housing market.
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January 2012 National Scorecard | Page 2
U.S Department of Housing and Urban Development
U.S. Department of the Treasury
e Obama Administrations Eorts To Stabilize e Housing Market and Help American Homeowners
|
January 2012
*
1S0
17S
200
22S
2S0
27S
House Prices Dip in November,
Distressed Sales Remain Key In is Fragile Recovery
MonLhly Pouse rlce 1rends 8y lndex ($ 1housands)
Sources: SLandard & oor's, lederal Pouslng llnance Agency, Core Loglc, and Puu.
See noLe 1, Sources and MeLhodology.
CoreLoglc (Lxcludlng
ulsLressed Sales)
S&/Case-Shlller
lPlA
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
Existing And New Home Sales
MonLhly Sales (1housands)
Seasonally Ad[usLed
Sources: nauonal Assoclauon of 8ealLors
(Lxlsung home sales reecL uecember 2011 revlslons by nA8), Census 8ureau, and Puu.
See noLe 3, Sources and MeLhodology.
Lxlsung Pome Sales
(lef axls)
new Pome Sales
(rlghL axls)
2
3
4
S
Existing Homes On e Market Trend Downward,
Number Of Units Held O e Market Remains High
Lxlsung Pomes Avallable for Sale (Lnd of erlod)
and 1oLal vacanL Pouslng unlLs (?ear 8ound) C MarkeL (Mllllons)
Sources: nauonal Assoclauon of 8ealLors
(lnvenLory of exlsung homes for sale reecLs uecember 2011 revlslons by
nA8) and Census 8ureau.
Lxlsung Pomes on
MarkeL
unlLs Peld o
MarkeL
7S
100
12S
1S0
17S
200
22S
2003 2004 200S 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Expectations On House Prices Remain Above 2009 Projections
S&/Case-Shlller, Pouse rlce luLures lndex (!an 2000 = 100)
Sources: SLandard and oor's and 8adar Loglc
See noLe 2, Sources and MeLhodology.
S&/Case-Shlller
lndex
Pouse rlce luLures
!anuary 2012
Pouse rlce luLures
!anuary 2009
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U.S Department of Housing and Urban Development
U.S. Department of the Treasury
e Obama Administrations Eorts To Stabilize e Housing Market and Help American Homeowners
|
January 2012
0
1
2
3
4
S
6
13.8 Million Homeowners Have Renanced Since
April 1, 2009
CuarLerly 8enance MorLgage Crlglnauons (Mllllons)
lPA Loss Mlugauon PAM Modlcauons Pope now Modlcauons loreclosure Compleuons
Sources: Puu, uepL. of 1reasury, Pope now Alllance, and 8ealLy 1rac.
See noLe S, Sources and MeLhodology.
MorLgage modlcauons lnluaLed slnce Aprll 1, 2009: S.6 Mllllon
40
80
120
160
Mortgage Aid Helps Foreclosures Trend Downward
Foreclosure Starts Are Down Again In December
MonLhly loreclosure Acuons (1housands)
Source: 8ealLy 1rac.
See noLe 6, Sources and MeLhodology.
Cumulauve foreclosure compleuons slnce Aprll 2009: 2.S mllllon
(lncludes lnvesLor, second home, and [umbo properues)
loreclosure
Compleuons
loreclosure
SLarLs
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
1S0
160
170
180
190
200
210
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
S.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
Mortgage Rates At Record Lows,
Aordability Index Remains High
ercenLage 8aLes And lndex values
30-?r llxed MorLgage 8aLe nA8 Pome AordablllLy lndex
Sources: lreddle Mac and nauonal Asssoclauon of 8ealLors
January 2012 National Scorecard | Page 3
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U.S Department of Housing and Urban Development
U.S. Department of the Treasury
e Obama Administrations Eorts To Stabilize e Housing Market and Help American Homeowners
|
January 2012
0
S
10
1S
20
2S
30
2009 C4 2010 C1 2010 C2 2010 C3 2010 C4 2011 C1 2011 C2 2011 C3
Homeowners Save From Reduced Mortgage Payments
Annuallzed Savlngs lrom aymenL 8educuons ($ 8llllons)
All 8enances PAM Modlcauons and 1rlals
AggregaLe annual reducuon ln morLgage paymenLs on renances slnce Aprll 1, 2009 plus acuve Lrlal and
permanenL PAM modlcauons.
Sources: M8A, 1reasury, lreddle Mac, and Puu.
See noLe 7, Sources and MeLhodology.
0
1
2
3
4
S
6
7
2009 C2 2009 C3 2009 C4 2010 C1 2010 C2 2010 C3 2010 C4 2011 C1 2011 C2 2011 C3
Housing Counselors Serve Millions Of Families
Cumulauve Pouseholds Counseled Slnce Aprll 1, 2009 (Mllllons)
Source: Puu.
Pouseholds counseled slnce Aprll 1, 2009: 6.7 mllllon
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Total Home Equity Similar To Prior Quarter
And Remains Higher an First Quarter 2009
Cwners' LqulLy ln Pousehold 8eal LsLaLe AL Lnd Cf erlod ($ 1rllllons)
Source: lederal 8eserve 8oard.
0
S
10
1S
20
2S
30
3S
40
4S
S0
FHA Supports Mortgage Lending During Crisis
lPA As Share Cf CuarLerly MorLgage Crlglnauons 8y 1ype (ercenL)
urchase 8enance Comblned
Sources: M8A and Puu.
See noLe 8, Sources and MeLhodology.
January 2012 National Scorecard | Page 4
U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development | Office of Policy Development and Research
e Obama Administrations Eorts To Stabilize e Housing Market and Help American Homeowners
|
January 2012
U.S Department of Housing and Urban Development
U.S. Department of the Treasury
January 2012 National Scorecard | Page 5
HOUSING MARKET FACT SHEET
Indicator is Period Last Period Year Ago As of Dec 2008 Latest Release
Mortgage Rates (30-Yr FRM, percent) 3.98 3.88 4.80 5.10 26-Jan-12
Housing Affordability (index) 194.5 198.5
(r)
180.9 166.3 November-11
Home Prices (indices)
Case Shiller (NSA)
FHFA (SA)
CoreLogic - Excluding Distressed Sales (NSA)
138.5
183.9
149.8
140.3
182.1
149.5
(r)
(r)
143.8
187.3
150.7
150.5
197.3
161.6
November-11
November-11
November-11
Home Sales (thousands, SA)
New
Existing
First Time Buyers
Distressed Sales (percent, NSA)
25.6
384.2
204.9
29
(p)
(p)
26.2
365.8
196.0
28
(r)
(r)
(r)
27.6
370.8
199.2
31
31.4
334.2
149.9
32
(r)
(r)
December-11
December-11
December-11
November-11
Housing Supply
Existing Homes for Sale (thousands, NSA)
Existing Homes - Months Supply (months)
New Homes for Sale (thousands, SA)
New Homes for Sale - Months Supply (months, SA)
Vacant Units Held Off Market (thousands)
2,380
6.2
157
6.1
3,606
2,620
7.2
158
6.0
3,839
(r)
(r)
3,020
8.1
190
6.9
3,628
3,130
9.4
353
11.2
3,542
(r)
December-11
December-11
December-11
December-11
4th Q 11
Mortgage Originations (thousands)
Renance Originations
Purchase Originations
1,328.9
431.5
(p)
(p)
950.6
582.6
1,613.0
498.0
767.2
986.4
4th Q 11
4th Q 11
FHA Originations (thousands)
Renance Originations
Purchase Originations
Purchases by First Time Buyers
42.0
77.7
58.1
(p)
(p)
(p)
30.6
57.1
42.7
(r)
(r)
(r)
44.5
64.9
48.0
62.9
72.7
56.2
December-11
December-11
December-11
Mortgage Delinquency Rates (percent)
Prime
Subprime
FHA
4.4
31.8
13.2
4.4
31.8
12.8
4.7
36.0
12.8
4.4
34.1
14.3
December-11
December-11
December-11
Seriously Delinquent Mortgages (thousands)
Prime
Subprime
FHA
1,441
1,751
711
1,449
1,778
689
1,584
1,828
598
913
1,642
333
December-11
December-11
December-11
Underwater Borrowers (thousands) 10,723 10,882 10,780
-- 3rd Q 10
Foreclosure Actions (thousands)
Notice of Default (Foreclosure Starts)
Notice of Foreclosure Sale
Foreclosure Completions
Short Sales
REO Sales
58.3
84.9
61.8
21.4
42.8
(p)
(p)
71.7
96.5
56.1
23.9
49.0
(r)
(r)
75.7
112.2
69.8
19.7
62.4
121.5
103.0
78.9
13.9
74.3
(r)
December-11
December-11
December-11
November-11
November-11
HOUSING ASSISTANCE AND STABILIZATION PERFORMANCE METRICS
Indicator is Period Last Period Cumulative From Apr 1, 2009 Latest Release
Distressed Homeowners Assisted (thousands)
HAMP Trial Modications
HAMP Permanent Modications
FHA Loss Mitigation Interventions
HOPE Now Modications
HARP Renances
20.1
23.4
38.7
56.9
36.3
19.1
26.9
41.9
53.4
33.6
1,775
933
1,188
2,687
998
December-11
December-11
December-11
November-11
November-11
Counseled Borrowers (thousands) 301.7 611.8
(r)
6,718 3rd Q 11
Borrower Annual Savings ($ millions)
HAMP Trial Modications
HAMP Permanent Modications
All Renances
--
--
--
--
--
--
450
4,547
24,639
(r)
(r)
3rd Q 11
3rd Q 11
4th Q 11
Activities Completed Under NSP (housing units)
New Construction or Residential Rehab
Demolition or Clearance
Direct Homeownership Assistance
--
--
--
--
--
--
7,455 [51,408]
18,245 [24,807]
8,494 [20,149]
(b)
(b)
(b)
3rd Q 11
3rd Q 11
3rd Q 11
Change in Aggregate Home Equity ($ billions) 44.6 10.2
(r)
22.6 3rd Q 11
SA = seasonally adjusted, NSA = not SA, p = preliminary, r = revised, b = brackets include units in process.
U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development | Office of Policy Development and Research
e Obama Administrations Eorts To Stabilize e Housing Market and Help American Homeowners
|
January 2012
U.S Department of Housing and Urban Development
U.S. Department of the Treasury
January 2012 National Scorecard | Page 6
SOURCES AND METHODOLOGY
A. Items in Tables
Description Frequency Sources Notes on Methodology
Distressed Homeowners Assisted
HAMP Trial Modications
HAMP Permanent Modications
FHA Loss Mitigation Interventions
HOPE Now Modications
HARP Renances
Monthly
Monthly
Monthly
Monthly
Monthly
Treasury
Treasury
HUD
Hope Now Alliance
Federal Housing Finance Agency
As reported.
As reported.
All FHA loss mitigation and early delinquency interventions.
All proprietary modications completed.
As reported.
Counseled Borrowers (thousands) Quarterly HUD Housing counseling activity reported by all HUD-approved housing counselors.
Borrower Annual Savings
HAMP Trial Modications
HAMP Permanent Modications
All Renances
Quarterly
Quarterly
Quarterly
HUD, Treasury, and Freddie Mac
HUD and Treasury
HUD, and MBA
HUD estimate of annualized savings based on Treasury reported active HAMP trial modications
and Freddie Mac monthly savings estimates.
HUD estimate of annualized savings based on Treasury reported active HAMP permanent
modications and median monthly savings estimates.
Renance originations (see below) multiplied by HUD estimate of annualized savings per renance.
Completed Activities Under NSP (housing units)
New Construction or Residential Rehab
Demolition or Clearance
Direct Homeownership Assistance
Quarterly
Quarterly
Quarterly
HUD
HUD
HUD
Housing units constructed/rehabilitated using Neighborhood Stabilization Program.
Bracketed numbers include units in process, to be completed by 3/2013.
Housing units demolished/cleared using Neighborhood Stabilization Program. Bracketed
numbers as above.
Completed downpayment assistance or non-amortizing second mortgages by grantee to
make purchase of NSP unit affordable. Bracketed numbers as above.
Change in Aggregate Home Equity Quarterly Federal Reserve Board Difference in aggregate household owners equity in real estate as reported in the Federal
Reserve Boards Flow of Funds Accounts of the United States for stated time period.
Mortgage Rates (30-Yr FRM) Weekly Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, as reported for 30-Year xed rate mortgages (FRM).
Housing Affordability Monthly National Association of Realtors
NARs composite housing affordability index as reported. A value of 100 means that a
family with the median income has exactly enough income to qualify for a mortgage on a
median-priced home. An index above 100 signies that family earning the median income
has more than enough income to qualify.
Home Prices
Case-Shiller (NSA)
FHFA (SA)
CoreLogic - Excluding Distressed Sales (NSA)
Monthly
Monthly
Monthly
Standard and Poors
Federal Housing Finance Agency
CoreLogic
Case-Shiller 20-metro composite index, January 2000 = 100. Standard and Poors recommends
use of not seasonally adjusted index when making monthly comparisons.
FHFA monthly (purchase-only) index for US, January 1991 = 100.
CoreLogic national combined index, distressed sales excluded, January 2000 = 100.
(Only available as NSA).
Home Sales (SA)
New
Existing
First Time Buyers
Distressed Sales (NSA)
Monthly
Monthly
Monthly
Monthly
HUD and Census Bureau
National Association of Realtors