Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
A59
Vietnam Real Estate Week 4, November
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MARKET SITUATION
A series of real estate brokerage The sluggish situation of the real estate market during the past year has made the transactions of real
estate brokerage agents in the "hot" spots in Ho Chi Minh City fall into the gloomy situation. Many agents
agents close down are obliged to close down because they cannot cover their costs.
Nguoi Lao Dong – 22 Nov, 2008
Many brokerage companies have closed down because of the sluggish situation. In the current market, if
the companies continue to operate, “doing nothing” is not the solution to save management costs for the
companies. ”From 30% - 40% of the brokerage places have closed down”, that is the number that the
real estate experts have estimated about the decrease level of the enterprises operating in this field. It
can be said that the recession storm of the market has destroyed many brokerage agents who have little
capital or previously opened in the way of "instant noodles". One of the areas affected most by the
frozen market may be the western areas of Ho Chi Minh City (District 2, 9, etc). According to the reports,
among every 10 transaction places established in 2007, about 3 - 4 places have to close down. The
remaining ones have had few customers and operated perfunctorily. Regarding the brokerage
companies, the transaction centers have also seen no better signs. Most of them are perfunctorily
operating with a few switchboard employees. 90% of the transaction centers have worked in the office
hours and had 2 weekend days off. Previously, the weekend is the time that many people inspect the
properties.
The fact has shown that many transaction centers that had formerly mushroomed have mainly served
the demand for investing in the high-end apartments and ground bases. When the market goes down,
these centers obviously have to close down. The transaction centers focusing on those who have real
housing demands will have much fewer difficulties because they are not affected much by the “virtual
increases” in the past time.
Seeking to buy villas instead of According to the real estate experts in Hanoi, the volume of customers requiring villas has increased
because in the current situation, the prices of many villa projects have not been much different from the
high-grade apartments high-grade apartment buildings.
Vneconomy – 26 Nov, 2008
Some real estate brokerage specialists in Hanoi have estimated that a high-grade apartment in projects
with great locations in Hanoi has the average selling price of approximately 4 - 6 billion/ unit, excluding
transfer fees. Previously, the clients of the high-grade apartment projects were mainly the secondary
investors. At this time, they could use their names to buy many apartments under construction. However,
these clients are now depressed due to the sluggish business situation and the difficulties in borrowing
bank loans.
Meanwhile, the villas that are 2 - 3 times larger than the high-grade apartments have not so much
difference in prices. Clients can own a villa with an average price of 4 - 5 billion in great locations.
However, in inner Hanoi, the villa prices are double as high as the high-grade apartments. In return, the
villas have larger usable area, separate spaces and many attached facilities such as garden yards,
swimming pools, etc.
The tendency of investing in the villas is not new, but in the sluggish transaction situation of high - grade
apartments, the secondary investors start to switch to this segment. Because this market segment has
an inconsiderable volume but it is highly profitable.
FDI until Nov has exceeded According to Bureau of Foreign Investment (Ministry of Plan and Investment), including the new-level
capital and extra capital during the first eleven months of the year 2008, the total foreign direct
60 billion USD investment of the whole country has reached 60.09 billion USD. In November, 2008, the whole country
Kinh Te Do Thi – 27 Nov, 2008 has a total of 106 licensed projects with the total registered investment of 726 million VND.
The FDI registered in November has focused on the fields of industry and construction with the total
registered investment of 32.5 billion USD, accounting for 53.7% in terms of the number of projects and
55.7% in terms of the registered capital. Malaysia has been leading with 49 projects and the registered
capital of 14.9 billion USD. Ninh Thuan has still been leading with one joint venture project of steel
production between Lion Malaysia and Vinashin with the total registered capital of 9.79 billion VND.
Sponsor:
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Opening model apartments of On 22th November, 2008, Hung Thanh Production - Trading - Construction Ltd., Co (member of Nam
Bay Bay Investment JSC - NBB) held the opening ceremony for the model apartments Carina Plaza at
Carina Plaza project the site plan of the project, Ward 16, District 8, Ho Chi Minh City with two types of apartments.
Tien Phong – 22 Nov, 2008
The apartments are equipped with full modern facilities: Dong Tam namelled tile, Inax hygiene
equipment, Hoa Binh door, Itavina window, Casta kitchen cupboard, Picenza sink, Dulux ICI paint. The
selling prices are offered by Hung Thanh company, ranging from 18 - 24 million VND/m2, depending on
the locations and the number of floors.
The company has also shown that the fundament of the project Carina Plaza is about to complete the
first period and the project is expected to be put into operation in 2010.
Opening An Nhan Real Estate JSC An Nhan Real Estate JSC has officially opened and come into operation with the initial charter capital of
80 billion VND, based at No.10, provincial road 25B, Binh Trung Tay Ward, District 2 , Ho Chi Minh City.
BDS & TS – 24 Nov, 2008
Besides the functions of investing and trading in the projects, An Nhan performs many services relevant
to real estate such as consulting, design, work execution, real estate brokerage...
Hong Quang contributes capital Ministry of Plan and Investment has officially granted the investment permit to the project of exploiting
and processing minerals, gold and ores in Chom Mani village, Say Set Tha suburban district, Vientiane
to exploit gold in Laos city, Lao.
Vnagency – 27 Nov, 2008
The project is invested 25 billion USD by Sa Kay Mineral Exploitation Joint Venture (joint venture
between Work Construction JSC and Hong Quang - Vietnam Real Estate Investment and Trading -
Mineral Ltd., Co). The project is expected to be executed for 10 years on a site of 385 heactares.
Works start on Sacomreal Hoa Binh On 27th November, 2008, Sai Gon Thuong Tin Real Estate Co. has officially started the construction of
Sacomreal Hoa Binh apartment building at Tan Thoi Hoa Ward, Tan Phu district, HCMC.
high-grade apartment
The total area of the project is 1.078m2. In which the ground floor and the mezzanine are used as the
Tuoi Tre – 27 Nov, 2008
trading – office for lease, the second floor is reserved for the community activity room and from the 3rd
floor to 11th floor are apartments. The project is expected to be finished and put into use in the second
quarter, 2010.
Sponsor:
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Sponsor:
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Works start on 40-storey hotel at On 23rd November, 2008, the project of Best western Premier Nha Trang Plaza which is invested by Hai
Van Nam JSC has been started the construction of the fundament and the prefabricated concrete body
Nha Trang by Coteccons.
VietRees – 24 Nov, 2008 Located on 38 Tran Phu Street, Nha Trang City, Khanh Hoa province, the hotel includes 40 stories with
90,000m2 floor area, designed following American standards. The project will be managed and operated
by Best Wester Group. In addition, the project also includes the smart swimming pool, restaurant and
Astronomical telescope system.
Building golf course at Tan Son The people’s Committee of Tan Binh district has ratified the detailed plan (at the scale of 1/2,000) of the
golf course and Tan Son Nhat services at Tan Son Nhat airport managed by Ministry of Defense.
Nhat airport
With an area of 162.26 hectares, the planning area borders the defense area and the runway of Tan Son
Nguoi Lao Dong – 24 Nov, 2008 Nhat airport. In which, the area for golf court and the auxiliary works such as golf club, golf room and
halting-place accounts for 136.5 - 137.5 hectares. In addition, about 9 - 10 hectares are reserved for
constructing houses for rent with the construction density of nearly 30 - 35% and the maximum height of
12 floors. The remaining area is for civil works such as: hotels, restaurants, golf training school, key
infrastructures, traffic...
In general, the price of high-class
apartments in Ho Chi Minh City have
tended to keep going down after the
slight increase in August
Edited by VietRees – Nov, 2008
Other Areas Yen Phong Housing Area (Bac Ninh) N04 AP in the South Eastern urban area (Ha Noi)
Vipco Tower Office Building (Hai Phong) Best Western Premier Hotel Nha Trang Plaza (Khanh
Hoang Cau Resettlement Area (Ha Noi) Hoa)
* Note: RA=Residential Area, AP=Apartment Building, HA=Housing Area, RuA=Reurban Area, TA=Tourism Area, IA=Investment Area, UA=Urban Area, ReA=Resettlement area
Sponsor:
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1
Kien A Investment & Services Co., Ltd. - An Phu Ward, District 2, HCMC - Tel: (84.8) 740 6688, Fax: (84.8) 740 6949
Danang: 225 Huyen Tran Cong Chua - T: (84) 511 836 216 * HCMC: 390 Nguyen Cong Tru, D.1 - T: 8 821 7509 * Hanoi: No.6-1D Trung Yen New Town, Caugiay - T: 4 783 1598
Sponsor:
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Real estate for the low income * Sai Gon – Gia Dinh Real Estate Company and Hoa Binh Phu Yen Company build Thoi An Apartment
Building in District 12 with 1,000 apartments.
VietRees
* Construction Co. No.8 (CIC8) will invest in construction of 10,000 Keppel Land apartments & Tien
Phuoc Co. will build a resettlement area including 1,900 apartments at An Phu, Binh Khanh, District 2.
* HCM City People’s Committee will advance 50.5 billion to carry out the project of Vinh Loc B, Binh
Chanh residential area for resettlement with hundreds of townhouses and 40 apartment blocks.
* Construction Co. No.5 will invest in construction of 500 apartments at Ward 22, Binh Thanh District.
* HCM City Cooperative Alliance has developed its construction investment project of housing area at Le
Minh Xuan Commune, Binh Chanh Suburban District on a site of 67.49 hectares.
* 50% of the house reserve at The Splendor apartment area (Go Vap Dist.) will be intended to serve
resettlement demand in the district.
* Dat Lanh Co. will offer 1,500 apartments to the market with the prices of 500 - 700 millions VND/unit.
* People‘s Committee of HCMC has approved the project of the resettlement area on a site of 55.24
hectares at Dong Nam Cu Chi industrial - residential area in Cu Chi.
* House management of Dist.1 is assigned to construct the resettlement area at 7/4ª Kha Van Can, Thu
Duc district.
* In early 2010, Hai Thanh company will complete 352 apartments of Hai Thanh 1 resettlement area
project, Binh Tan District for the civil servants at Binh Tan District.
* People’s Committee of Binh Chanh has just cooperated with Hung Vuong university Investment &
Development JSC to construct resettlement area at Tan Kien commune, Binh Chanh suburban district.
* People’s Committee of HCM City has just licensed Cho Lon Real Estate JSC to invest in the
construction of the apartment building at No. 99 Ben Binh Dong, ward 11, district 8 in order to make the
house reserve at the social welfare housing program.
* People’s Committee of HCM City has promulgated the decision about reclaiming the land areas at
Phuoc Kien, Nhon Duc and Phuoc Loc communes, Nha Be suburban district for the construction of the
resettlement area in order to serve the project of Nhon Duc - Phuoc Kien new urban area.
* The HCM City Union of Housing Co-operatives has prepared to commence the construction of Thanh
Loc apartment building with 238 apartments on a site of 6.600 m2 in District 12. The Union intends to
construct another apartment building with over 200 apartments at Truong Tho ward, Thu Duc district.
* HCMC People’s Committee has ratified the planning of Binh Khanh residential area (Dist.2) which is
built on a site of 384,019 m2 to serve the resettlement of the locals in Thu Thiem new urban area.
* Dat Lanh has cooperated with Truong Son Vanguard Youth General Squad to build apartments for low-
income people at Dist.12
* Go Vap People’s Committee and Go Vap Public Benefit Service Co. have bought back the house
reserve belonging to Phu Gia Hung high-end apartments, Duong Quang Ham Street, Ward 15, Go Vap
Dist. and Dong Hung Thuan 1, 2 apartment buildings, Dist. 12 to serve the resettlement of the locals at
Tham Luong project - Ben Cat - Nuoc Len ditch.
* Approximately 184,000 apartments belonging to the investment program in the construction of the
social welfare houses in the stage of 2009 – 2015 with the total investment of about 49,000 billion VND
have been submitted to the government for approval. (30/09/2008)
* 800 social welfare houses for lease - lease to purchase will be built at 19A and 21A plots, Viet Hung
urban area in 2009, which have been ratified by The People’s Committee of Ha Noi City. (16/10/2008)
* 462 units of Khang Gia 3 apartment building (Go Vap Dist.) invested by Khang Gia Real Estate
Investment – Development JSC will be used for the resettlement demands. (27/10/2008)
The Committee for overseas Vietnamese in HCMC has showed that there have been 130 overseas
Dwellings for overseas Vietnamese Vietnamese buying houses, mainly in HCMC. Those who brought houses are those who come back to
and foreigners the country for their long term and direct investment, scientists, culture researchers invited to come back
VietRees to the country to become experts and repatriating overseas Vietnamese. To buy houses, beside
documents verifying priority subjects, the buyer must present their passport (issued in Vietnam). In the
case that house buyers bring foreign passports, they must have certificates of Vietnamese nationality or
documents confirming their losing Vietnamese nationality, or certificate of citizenship registration.
Sponsor:
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Confidence in Vietnamese real Every expert has his own arguments to judge the market. However, according to 100% of the experts,
the current market is facing many difficulties but they are still confident and optimistic about the future
estate market market. According to Mr. Jean Chretien, former Canadian prime minister and the advisor of Asian Coast
Development Ltd. “Although Vietnamese real estate market is having difficulties, it is only temporary.
The market still has a lot of potential and foreign investors are aiming at the long-term investment here".
In fact, there are some experts that have not clearly expressed their confidence in the market. However,
they have still believed that "the real estate market does not have a big problem, in the near future the
market will change according to the stability of the financial market as well as other stable indexes of the
economy”.
More particularly, nearly 90% of the experts are still optimistic and confident in the development of the
Vietnamese real estate market in the near future because in the so-called current recession of the
market, some other real estate segments are still developing.
According to the Chairman of Viet Nam Real Estate Association, Le Hoang Chau "Although the real
estate market is leveling off, it only affects the segments of ground bases and apartments. The offices
and industrial zone land for rent are still in the situation of “the supply not meeting the demand”. With the
same opinion, Matthew Koziora, the director of the Vinaland company (VinaCapital Group) states: “The
interesting fields are attracting foreign investors, including houses, industrial zones, hotels, high rise
office buildings for rent, tourism sites".
Forecasting the time of Vietnamese As of now, many individuals and units take interest in the time that the real estate market begins to
recover and develop stability. The result of these statistics will answer these queries to some extent.
real estate market recovering According to the result, 70% of the experts have not yet determined the specific time when the market
will be up and about again.
The reason for having not yet determined the time of the real estate market recovering is that the real
estate market has still been much affected by other economic factors, shown by these experts.
30% of the experts’ opinions determine that the exact time for the recovery of the market is in 2009 or
after 2009 (in which, 12% of the opinions determine that the market will recover in 2009 and 18% of the
ideas determine that the market will recover after 2009).
Summarizing all of the opinions of the experts, we can see that it is very difficult to determine the time for
the recovery of the market. The recovery of the market depends on many factors. Only when we fully
analyze the factors and economic indexes, combining with statistical prediction science, we can
somewhat determine the exact time of the market recovering. Forecasting the time for the recovery of
the market is only exact to some extent. Because the forecast does not just look at some expressions of
the economy or not base itself on the opinions of some people but it needs to base itself on many
different researches and scientific analyses.
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General trends on HCM market The transaction situation of apartments, townhouses and project land in October has continued to go
down compared to September and the previous months, the offered prices for sale have fallen after
leveling off in October. The decrease in the land prices (- 5%) is somewhat higher than that of apartment
prices (-1%, -2%) compared to the previous month. Generally, regarding the market situation in the third
quarter and the fourth quarter, the prices seem more stable but the rate of successful transactions has
still not seen any sign of prosperity and appeared to be worse to some extent. The number of successful
transactions has been on the downturn.
According to the surveys of VietRees, in many trading floors (transformed from the previous center
transaction) and the newly born trading floors, the transactions have almost mainly focused on
properties with low values such as projects of apartments and ground bases in the areas around HCMC.
The townhouse transactions in the existing urban area have also significantly decreased as compared to
many previous months due to the difficult situation of the real estate field and the whole economy.
According to the forecasts of VietRees, many transaction centers will close down from now until late
2008 and early 2009.
Apartment market The supply of apartments belonging to the average and low segment is quite limited, so the market of
this segment has also not seen any movement compared to the previous month. The successful
apartment transactions do mainly belong to this segment. The investors are beginning to implement the
new apartment projects of the average low segment, but in at least 2 years, the new market will have
more supplies of the new apartments of this type. According to VietRees, the construction material
prices in the past 2 months have declined, which has created favorable conditions for the investors to
implement or speed up the construction progress of the projects, especially for this segment.
The high-grade apartment prices have slightly decreased in the past month. According to VietRees, the
prices have fallen down by approximately 2% as compared with September 2008. The domestic
customers of this segment are gradually scaling down.
The investors are looking for the new directions aiming at the Vietnamese overseas who are in need of
buying houses in Vietnam. However, according to VietRees, there are many difficulties in approaching
as well as successfully trading with this group of customers in the short term (1 - 2 years).
The market of project land plots According to VietRees, the land market has continued to decline as compared with September, 2008
and the average decrease is recorded at -5%. The price fluctuations are explained that the project land
has a special connection with the ups and downs of the stock market and the interest of the investors
when most of the project land is being held by the investors and there are few of the people who have
real demands. Similarly to September, the successful transactions of the project land are much lower
than that of the apartments which is currently quite limited.
CONSTRUCTION MATERIAL MARKET
Steel prices back to upturn due Last week, many steel enterprises increased the selling prices of the steel products because the steel
ingot prices in the world and the steel demand in the domestic market is tending to go up.
to price increases of steel ingots
The steel prices have increased by 400,000 - 700,000 VND/ton, the rolled steel prices at factory range
in the world from 10.6 million VND/ ton & the bar steel price is 11.75 million VND/ ton. However, the steel prices in
Edited by VietRees the Southern provinces have been 500,000 - 700,000 VND/ton lower than in the Northern provinces.
Anyway, the experts have said that it is hard for the construction steel prices to increase more sharply.
Because when the steel ingot prices in the world grow, it will stimulate the steel ingot production, as a
result, the supply will go up. Meanwhile the domestic steel consumption has been difficult to dramatically
increase, especially from now until the end of the year. The current sources of the finished steel & the
steel ingots in stock are sufficient for the domestic market until the end of the first quarter of 2009.
In addition, the risk of the steel from China being poured into Vietnam has been very large due to many
reasons since the beginning of January 2009. China will reduce the export tax on the steel products
down to 0%. If this happens, there is a strong possibility that Chinese steel of all types will flood the
Vietnamese market, pushing down the domestic steel prices. To protect the domestic steel producers,
Vietnam Steel Association has also petitioned the authorized offices to increase the import taxes on the
steel products from 8% up to 20% and the imported steel ingots from 2%, up to 5% or 10%.
STOCK MARKET
Stock back to upturn, In the last week of Novemeber, at HCMC bourse, the
transaction situation has seen many positive signs. Closing
VN-Index adds 11.2 points and the first phase, VN-Index has almost regained the number
HASTC-Index surpasses 100 points of points lost in yesterday session. The total trading
Edited by VietRees volume has reached over 3 million units. Entering the
consecutive order-matching phase, the transaction
Chart Source: Vietstock situation on the market has been rather dramatic. VN-
Up to date: 28 Nov, 2008 Index has added 2.73 points as compared to the first
phase, up to 314.09 points. The total trading volume has
reached nearly 10.8 million units. Closing the session, the
upturn has been maintained, VN-Index has added a total of
11.2 points (or 3.68%), up to 314.74 points. After one trading week, VN-Index has 2 upward sessions
and 3 downward sessions. As compared to the last week, VN-Index has lost 4.22 points (down from
318.96 points to 314.74 points).
At Hanoi bourse, HASTC-Index has added 6.59 points to close at 104.2 points. The trading volume has
reached 9.66 million units worth 252.41 billion VND. After one trading week, HASTC-Index has 3 upward
sessions and 2 downward sessions. As compared to the last week, HASTC-Index has added 0.3 points
(going up from 103.9 points to 104.2 points).
In sum, ending Nov, 2008 two bourses have 9 upward sessions & 11 downward sessions. As compared
to the last closing session of October, VN-Index has lost 32.31 points (down from 347.05 points to
314.74 points) and HASTC-Index has also lost 10.68 points (down from 144.88 points to 102.2 points).
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