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By 2020, the number of Singaporeans aged 50 and over ("Seniors") is projected to reach 1,992,000. A two-pronged approach is needed to address each policy's gap. Existing policy maintains an emphasis on active ageing by encouraging seniors to participate activities such as volunteerism, lifelong learning, and fitness activities.
By 2020, the number of Singaporeans aged 50 and over ("Seniors") is projected to reach 1,992,000. A two-pronged approach is needed to address each policy's gap. Existing policy maintains an emphasis on active ageing by encouraging seniors to participate activities such as volunteerism, lifelong learning, and fitness activities.
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By 2020, the number of Singaporeans aged 50 and over ("Seniors") is projected to reach 1,992,000. A two-pronged approach is needed to address each policy's gap. Existing policy maintains an emphasis on active ageing by encouraging seniors to participate activities such as volunteerism, lifelong learning, and fitness activities.
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Healthcare. Government agencies in charge: Health Promotion Board (HPB) and Ministry of Community Development, Youth and Sports (MCYS).
2. Background information Singapore is facing an ageing population crisis that will only be more apparent in the coming years. The dependency ratio continues to decrease from 7.2 in 2010 to 7.0 in 2011 i . By 2020, the number of Singaporeans aged 50 and over (Seniors) is projected to reach 1,992,000 ii . With healthcare costs expected to increase, there is an urgent need to build a comprehensive healthcare framework in order to support the growing number of Seniors and manage healthcare costs.
2.1. Existing Policies in Place: While the existing initiative, People Associations Wellness Programme, encourages active ageing, there is a lack of incentives for Seniors to take part in the many activities or interest groups on a consistent basis. Another existing policy, Community Health Assistance Scheme (CHAS), subsidizes the primary healthcare costs of the Seniors, but does not encourage Seniors to take ownership of their own health. Therefore, a two-pronged approach is needed to address each policys gap by not only providing financial incentives but also encouraging Seniors to proactively take charge of their health and well-being.
3. Key Objectives and Issues Our policys key objective is to promote healthy ageing in Seniors by enhancing their quality of life, helping them cope with rising medical costs and instilling independence. From this, the key issues that arise are firstly, how to encourage a healthy lifestyle? Secondly, how to strengthen the social safety net for Seniors in addition to the existing health policies (i.e., MediShield and MediSave)? Lastly, can Seniors play an active role in propelling the programme forward, achieving the sustainability goal of By the Seniors, for the Seniors?
4. Recommendations & Rationales - LifeMed The existing PAs Wellness Programme iii (Budget 2009 and 2011 iv ) maintains an emphasis on active aging by encouraging seniors to participate activities such as volunteerism, lifelong learning, inter-generational programs, and fitness activities. To improve on this existing programme and also achieve the above stated key objectives, an overarching health policy will be introduced. This policy will introduce a fund, LifeMed, that is sustained through Life Credits given for participation in social activities. In addition, the policy encourages group participation by granting additional Credits when seniors participate in groups. The credits accumulated can then be used to subsidize medical expenses.
An increase in involvement in community activity by the Seniors will prevent or delay the onset of chronic disease and increase healthy life expectancy level, and in turn, manage the burden of increasing healthcare costs. This policy is therefore centered on promoting a healthy and active way of life. Succinctly put, our policy aims to bridge the objectives of MCYS and HPB by amalgamating the benefits of the Wellness Programme and CHAS while tackling the deficits of each respective policy. All Singaporean or Permanent Resident Seniors above the age of 50 will be in this policy unless they choose to opt out.
5. Mechanism/ Implementation of LifeMed: The mechanism behind LifeMed will be illustrated through the following example: Senior A (A) decides to participate in a cooking class at a community centre (CC). A will need his/her NRIC and relevant documents upon registration. The administrator will key in his/her particulars into an integrated LifeMed system which tracks the activities that A has signed up for. At the end of the cooking class, credits will be added to As account in the system. These credits can then be used for As medical expenses and other health expenditures namely, primary care and other illnesses listed under the existing Community Health Assist Scheme (CHAS). Using the LifeMed System, administrators at medical institutions will know the amount of Credits balance that A has and can advise A on the option to use them offset his medical expenses.
The LifeMed System is an integrated information system which links the CCs with HPB and health institutions, i.e hospitals and polyclinics. The LifeMed System can tap onto the Electronic Health Record (EHR) system v to facilitate the administration of credit transfer and usage. Thus, in addition to their personal medical information, information on the LifeMeds activities and the LifeMed Credit can also be tracked in the EHR.
Credits Rates & Limits (Table 1):
Activities: The activities under consideration have to be from the following institutions including Peoples Association, Community Centres, Approved Voluntary Welfare Organization (i.e. SAGE vi ) and other institutions approved by MCYS and HPB.
Features of the policy: 1) Credit Limit As this policy aims to focus more on the low-income Seniors, there will be credit limit put in place according to the type of housing. The type of housing provides a reasonable gauge of income level and as well as allow for easy implementation. The Seniors will be segregated into 3 different groups which correspond to different Credits limits (Table 1). The low- income Seniors will have the highest Credits limit and thus, provides a greater incentive for them to participate in the policy and also indirectly relieves their medical expenses burden. 2) Group Incentives To promote cohesion and foster long-term relationships between Seniors, a group incentive is introduced to encourage seniors to join activities in groups. Through the network effect, the group incentive aims to push active Seniors to rope in those inactive Seniors, and therefore ensure the continuous increase in participation rate of activities. Mechanism: When a group comprising of 4 or more Seniors participate in an registered activity together, each Senior in the group will enjoy an additional $10 Credits. However this is not applicable for free activities. 3) Other features Firstly, the funds cannot be withdrawn by the Seniors and can only be used to pay for the Seniors medical treatment or other qualifying expenses. Secondly, the accumulated credits will be rolled over indefinitely and be available for life. Thirdly, the Life credits are non- transferable and non-convertible to cash. Also, upon the passing of the Seniors, the credits will be removed from the fund of the Seniors. Lastly, the fund can be accumulated on an annual basis, but restricted to annual credit limit.
6. Implementation: The entire policy will be comprised of three phases which spanning a minimum of 15 months. Firstly, the LifeMed system, will be set up within the next 9 months. The second phase will be a pilot phase, where the policy is implemented under a few selected CCs where participation rate is relatively low and where there is high concentration of Seniors. Thirdly, after a 6 month review of the pilot phase, the credit system will be rolled out to all CCs for all Seniors in Singapore.
How Our Proposal Fills the Existing Gaps 1) The usage of the Credits incentivizes the Seniors to take the first step to participate in social activities where they can make friends and after which, continue to participate actively in social activities. Together with the group incentive feature, active Seniors can rope in the less active ones through word-of-mouth, facilitating the creation and growth of social units within the community. Within the social units, Seniors can help to monitor fellow Seniors lifestyle, provide mutual support and encouragement. 2) By introducing different credit caps according to housing types, our policy will help the lower-income Seniors while still encouraging other Seniors to participate. Through a higher credit cap for the lower-income Seniors, the policy aims to boost participation rate among the lower income Seniors and provide more financial assistance for them. 3) The Credits system will enable Seniors to earn credits through participation in activities. This encourages senior citizens to take greater responsibility of their lifestyle and their health.
7. Desired outcome/ Key Performance Indicator (KPI) Participation Rate: This program will be able to increase the level of participation in community activities among the Seniors. This also helps the elderly in becoming an integral part of the society since it creates more opportunities for interaction among the young and old. The policys KPI is to achieve a participation rate of 70%, engaging over 900,000 participants aged 50 and over by 2017.
Reducing low-income Seniors medical costs: In order to help the low-income Seniors better cope with rising healthcare costs, this program will provide more assistance towards the lower income group through a higher credit limit as compared to the middle and higher income group. Therefore, this policy is able to reduce their burden of rising medical costs.
Cost Savings: With an increase in activity, likelihood of illness falls, and thus alleviates the problem of rising health costs vii . According to an analysis conducted by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control, it is estimated that a one-dollar investment in measures to encourage moderate physical activity leads to a cost saving of $3.2 in medical costs. Thus, we estimate that the government will be able to save a minimum of $1 billion dollars in medical costs with a $500 million investment into the policy.
Health Development Index: Singapore is ranked 26th out of 187 countries for the UNs Health Development Index in 2011, with an index of 0.866. With healthy life expectancy projected to increase and the delay in the onset of chronic diseases resulting from the policy, Singapore will be able to ascend up the ranking considerably by 2017. Annex: Cost Estimates & Financial Feasibility The total estimated cost for the scheme is $493.5 million. This is computed based on the multiplying the credit limit by the number of participants for each bracket (refer to Table 1 in Reference). Thus the total cost represents the maximum cost incurred based on the credit limits each year. The credit limits were carefully selected through a financial feasibility analysis (refer to Table 2) in order to ensure financial feasibility and provide an attractive credit system. Assumptions: 1. Percentage of the population aged 50 and over in each housing bracket is estimated based on demographic data from Department of Statistics Singapore (refer to Table 3 & 4). Based on observations of these data (Table 5 & 6), we have assumed the percentage of population aged 50 and over living in 1 to 3 room flats to be 30%, those living in 4 to 5 room flats to be 52% and others to be 18%. 2. Participation rate is expected to reach 45% by year 1 and progressively increase to a peak of 70% by year 5 as promotional campaign and group credit take effect. 3. Usage rate is assumed at 30% of credit balance of the beginning of year 1 with a annual increase of 5% in each subsequent year. 4. Population growth of Singaporeans above 50 is assumed to be at an average of 3.45% annually over the next 5 years computed based on forecasted growth rate from 2010 to 2020 from Euromonitor International. 5. Promotional cost is estimated at 7 million in the year 1 with the estimated FY2011 promotional cost of MOHs 5-year IT Blueprint for Health Promotion Board (6,974,100) serving as a gauge. It is expected to decrease to 2 million in year 5 as participation rate increases. 6. Information Systems cost which would involve the addition of a module to the existing National Electronic Health Records (NEHR) to be 5 million in the 1st year and 2 million for year 2 to 5. The amount is estimated with reference to the amounts spent for similar programmes like iGov 2010 for Healthcare Clusters ($4,672,500). 7. Miscellaneous costs including labor costs and operating expenses are estimated to be 2 million per year.
Long Term Cost Estimates (in 2020) The long term cost at year 2020 is estimated based on the future demographics forecast by Euromonitors Singapore Future Demographic Report 2008. The total population aged 50 and over is estimated to reach 1.99 million by 2020. Based on the same distribution of the population by housing types, total cost is estimated to reach $168 million in 2020 (Table 7). The increase in annual cost incurred is kept in line with the growth in population aged 50 and over with the use of maximum annual credit limits. ! !"#"$"%&"'( !"#$%&'& ! !"#$%&(& ! "#$! %&'($! )*! *$&+,-.$! /0)0&.! 1)+0! )*! 2'3$%! 4566! 7,..,)'8! 1)7-,'&0,)'+! )*! 9)92.&0,)'! ,':).:$3! &'3! 1%$3,0!.,7,0!,+!,'3,1&0$3!-;!0#$!(%$$'!&%$&<! ! ! !""#$%&'()" *+,-.(($" /+0-.(($" 1&234" Maxlmum credlL cap/year/person 140 $ 120 $ 90 $ of populaLlon above 30 30 32 18 5364-7 5364-* 5364-8 5364-, 5364-/ 5364-0 arLlclpaLlon raLe 43 33 60 63 70 usage raLe ( of credlL) 30 33 40 43 30 populaLlon growLh 3.43 3.43 3.43 3.43 3.43 populaLlon over 30 ('000s) 1,129.6 1168.6 1208.9 1230.6 1293.7 1338.4 parLlclpanLs ('000s) 323.9 664.9 730.4 840.9 936.9 94(:3;&3<-=43<'&->6?6);3" !"#$%&'(%')*** 5364-* 5364-8 5364-, 5364-/ 5364-0 beglnnlng credlL provlslon 0 63,418.36 121,407.40 163,337.39 191,231.76 addlLlon Lo credlL provlslon 1 - 3 room 22,086.00 $ 27,923.29 $ 31,314.96 $ 33,319.07 $ 39,348.17 $ 4 -3 room 32,813.48 $ 41,489.00 $ 46,822.22 $ 32,474.03 $ 38,460.13 $ Condo, rlvaLe, Landed & CLhers 8,318.88 $ 10,771.18 $ 12,133.77 $ 13,623.07 $ 13,177.13 $ 1oLal 63,418.36 $ 80,183.47 $ 90,492.93 $ 101,416.20 $ 112,983.43 $ deducLlon/usage of credlL - (22,196.43) (48,362.96) (73,301.82) (93,623.88) endlng balance 63,418.36 121,407.40 163,337.39 191,231.76 208,611.33 94(:3;&-!))#6?-=("&" !"#$%&'(%')*** 5364-* 5364-8 5364-, 5364-/ 5364-0 AddlLlon Lo CredlL rovlslon 63,418.36 80,183.47 90,492.93 101,416.20 112,983.43 romoLlon cosL 7,000.00 3,000.00 4,000.00 3,000.00 2,000.00 lnformaLlon sysLems cosL & malnLenance 3,000.00 3,000.00 2,000.00 2,000.00 2,000.00 Mlsc. cosL 2,000.00 2,000.00 2,000.00 2,000.00 2,000.00 1oLal annual cosL 77,418.36 90,183.47 98,492.93 108,416.20 118,983.43 1oLal addlLlon Lo credlL 448,498.42 1oLal promoLlon cosL 21,000.00 1oLal lS cosL 14,000.00 1oLal Mlsc. CosL 10,000.00 1oLal cos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able 5 Resident Households by Type of Dwelling andAge Groupof Headof Household Number Type of Dwelling Tot al Below25 Years 25 - 29 Years 30 - 34 Years 35 - 39 Years 40 - 44 Years 45 - 49 Years 50 - 54 Years 55 - 59 Years 60 - 64 Years 65 - 69 Years 70 - 74 Years 75 Years & Over Tot al 1,145,920 6,579 37,396 86,430 131,447 145,602 165,376 165,699 140,411 106,227 58,122 45,826 56,806 HDB Dwellings* 943,859 4,967 31,957 73,455 107,257 117,206 135,334 136,532 116,159 87,093 48,612 38,606 46,680 1- and 2-Room Flat s 52,275 496 1,443 1,424 2,285 3,657 5,139 6,409 6,529 6,380 4,786 5,276 8,452 3-Room Flat s 229,718 1,328 7,661 15,121 21,155 24,561 30,038 31,722 27,706 24,121 15,782 14,084 16,440 4-Room Flat s 365,423 1,648 13,039 30,476 42,923 46,060 53,521 53,655 46,460 33,027 17,524 12,399 14,692 5-Room and Execut ive Flat s 293,336 1,460 9,622 26,191 40,629 42,667 46,212 44,351 35,082 23,228 10,324 6,735 6,837 Condominiums and Privat e Flat s 128,854 1,252 4,674 10,995 20,094 21,808 21,096 17,870 12,666 9,012 3,913 2,607 2,866 Landed Propert ies 64,908 207 426 1,305 3,211 5,782 7,992 10,232 10,725 9,139 4,968 4,186 6,736 Bungalows 8,319 67 42 97 249 603 795 1,110 1,384 1,311 756 623 1,281 Semi-Det ached Bungalows 19,507 41 101 289 846 1,655 2,278 2,969 3,160 2,949 1,655 1,470 2,094 Terrace Houses 37,082 99 283 918 2,115 3,524 4,920 6,153 6,181 4,879 2,556 2,093 3,360 Ot hers 8,298 152 338 675 885 805 953 1,064 862 983 630 427 524 * 'HDB Dwellings' includes ot her HDB dwellings. opulaLlon Above 63 of populaLlon 1oLal 344,069 Pu8 uwelllngs* 284,603 1- and 2-8oom llaLs 26,236 7.63 3-8oom llaLs 81,338 23.63 31.28 4-8oom llaLs 103,046 29.93 3-8oom and LxecuLlve llaLs 73,034 21.23 31.18 Condomlnlums and rlvaLe llaLs 22,233 6.46 Landed roperLles 34,432 10.01 17.28 8ungalows 3,473 1.39 Seml-ueLached 8ungalows 11,443 3.33 1errace Pouses 17,313 3.09 CLhers 2,801 0.81 ! ! ! !"#$%"&'()*+#",*-%#(.$',( )"/%(*0()*+#",*-%(/1"%(23( /&%(*4"5 6(*0('*'/-( ,*+#",*-% 27893:; <789=>? >?@76 879>8? =@=6 ;?:9>22 ??@76 ?:@86 ;779727 8;@36 ;?=9227 ??@;6 28@;6 <>9:8< >@26 <29:>= >@36 ;>@26 =9<=2 ;@;6 ;<9?:7 ?@26 ?29??? <@<6 <9<:3 3@>6 !"#$%&-& ! !"#$%&'()%*"+,%-+,.)/,'+%012123 Age Croup ln '000 30-34 388 33-39 398 60-64 374 63-69 303 70-74 228 73-79 103 80-84 133 80+ 41 1oLal 1992 arLlclpaLlon 8aLe 70 1-3 room 4-3 room oLhers Pouslng 1ypes ( of opulaLlon above 30) 30 32 18 arLlclpanLs ('000) 418.32 723.088 230.992 Maxlmum credlL cap/year/person 140 $ 120 $ 90 $ 1oLal cosL ('000) 168,164.64 $
!"#$"%&'()*+, , i Population in Brief, 2011. Department of Statistics Singapore. Retrieved from http://www.singstat.gov.sg/stats/themes/people/popinbrief2011.pdf on 1 February 2012
ii National statistics, UN, Euromonitor International. Retrieved from http://www.agentschapnl.nl/sites/default/files/bijlagen/Bijlage%20marktkenmerken%20Singa pore_1.pdf on the 1 February 2012
iii Thang, L.L. Singapore Pilots a Two-Year Wellness Program. Human Kinetics. Retrieved from http://www.humankinetics.com/aaccprograms/aacc-programs/singapore-pilots-a-two- year-wellness-program on 28 January 2012
iv Ministry of Community Development, Youth and Sports (MCYS). 18 March 2011. Retrieved from http://www.mof.gov.sg/budget_2011/expenditure_overview/mcys.html on 1 February 2012
v Infoimation anu Communication Technologies in Singapoie's Bealthcaie. uene Wiieu. Su }une 2u11. Retiieveu fiom http://genewired.com/en/blogs/1-blog-articles/117- information-and-communication-technologies-in-singapores-healthcare.html on 27 January 2012
vi Singapore Action Group of Elders. Retrieved from http://www.sage.org.sg/index.htm on 3 February 2012
vii James F. Fries et al. Reducing Health Care Costs by Reducing the Need and Demand for Medical Services. 29 July 1993. Retrieved from http://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJM199307293290506 on 2 February 2012