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For immediate release June 6, 2012

Franklin & Marshall College Poll


SURVEY OF PENNSYLVANIANS SUMMARY OF FINDINGS Prepared by: Center for Opinion Research Floyd Institute for Public Policy Franklin & Marshall College
BERWOOD A. YOST DIRECTOR, FLOYD INSTITUTE FOR PUBLIC POLICY DIRECTOR, CENTER FOR OPINION RESEARCH HEAD METHODOLOGIST, FRANKLIN & MARSHALL COLLEGE POLL

G. TERRY MADONNA DIRECTOR, CENTER FOR POLITICS AND PUBLIC AFFAIRS DIRECTOR, FRANKLIN & MARSHALL COLLEGE POLL

ANGELA N. KNITTLE SENIOR PROJECT MANAGER, CENTER FOR OPINION RESEARCH PROJECT MANAGER, FRANKLIN & MARSHALL COLLEGE POLL

KAY K. HUEBNER PROGRAMMER, CENTER FOR OPINION RESEARCH

June 6, 2012

Table of Contents
KEY FINDINGS ........................................................................................................................3 THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION IN PENNSYLVANIA ......................................................................3 THE STATE BUDGET ...............................................................................................................5 METHODOLOGY .....................................................................................................................6 ATTACHMENT A .....................................................................................................................7 MARGINAL FREQUENCY REPORT.......................................................................................8

TheFranklin&MarshallCollegePollisproducedinconjunctionwiththePhiladelphia DailyNews,WGALTV(SouthCentralPA),PittsburghTribuneReview,WTAETV (Pittsburgh),WPVITV6/ABC(Philadelphia),TimesShamrockNewspapers,Harrisburg PatriotNews,andLancasterNewspapers.Itmaybeusedinwholeorinpart, providedanyuseisattributedtoFranklin&MarshallCollege.

Key Findings
The June 2012 Franklin & Marshall College Poll finds President Barack Obama with a comfortable lead over his Republican challenger Mitt Romney. The president enjoys significant advantages over Romney in his personal popularity and most voters believe he is better prepared to handle the presidency even though they are ambivalent about some of his major policy initiatives.

The Presidential Election in Pennsylvania


President Obama has led Mitt Romney in every Franklin & Marshall College Poll since August 2011 (see Figure 1). The president currently leads Romney in Pennsylvania 48% to 36% with 12% undecided. President Obama leads in most regions of the state with the exception of central Pennsylvania and the northwest, and he has comfortable leads among non-whites and women (see Attachment A). Mitt Romney holds a slight advantage among working-class whites.

Figure 1:

Presidential Horse Race, Pennsylvania June 2012


If the November 2012 general election for president were being held today and the candidates were [rotate] Mitt Romney, the Republican, and Barack Obama, the Democrat, would you vote for [rotate] Mitt Romney, Barack Obama, some other candidate, or arent you sure how you would vote?

MittRomney June2012 Romney June February2012 January2012 Romney Jan October2011 August2011 Romney Aug 36% 33% 30% 26% 30%

BarackObama 48% 41% 41% 35% 36%

Other

DNK 5% 12%

8% 6% 10% 8%

18% 24% 30% 27%

0%

25%
3

50%

75%

100%

Both President Obamas personal favorability ratings and his job approval ratings have improved in Pennsylvania since February. Mitt Romneys favorability ratings have slightly worsened. Registered voters in Pennsylvania believe the president is better prepared than Mitt Romney to handle specific aspects of his job and to better reflect their concerns and values (see Figure 2).
Figure 2: Presidential Attributes, Pennsylvania June 2012
Regardless of how you plan to vote, which presidential candidate do you think is best described by each of the following statements? Do you think Barack Obama or Mitt Romney

Ismostpreparedtohandleforeignpolicy issues? Bestunderstandstheconcernsofordinary Americans? Willbetterhandlethejobofcommanderin Willbetter chiefofthemilitary?

57% 29% 57% 31% 51% 33% 47% 37% 44% 38%

BarackObama MittRomney

handlethejob

Istheclosesttoyourviewsonvalueissues, suchasabortionandgaymarriage? Ismostpreparedtofixoureconomic Ismostprepared problems?

tofixour

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

The State Budget


Pennsylvania lawmakers are in the midst of preparing the state budget for the coming fiscal year. Governor Tom Corbett requested significant funding cuts in his February 2012 budget proposal to head off potential budget deficits. More registered voters in the state believe legislators should consider both tax increases and spending cuts (47%) to balance the state budget than either cuts (22%) or tax increases (10%) alone. More than seven in ten voters would like to see new taxes placed on smokeless tobacco and cigars and on natural gas extraction as a way of balancing the state budget (see Figure 3). Only one in five favors reducing spending on human service programs, local school districts or the states Keystone recreation, park and conservation fund.
Figure 3: Support for State Revenue and Spending Proposals, Pennsylvania June 2012
Do you favor or oppose the following measures as a way for the state of Pennsylvania to balance its budget? Do you favor or oppose(rotated)?

Placingnewtaxesonthesaleofsmokelesstobaccoandcigars Placingnewtaxeson Taxingcompaniesthatextractandsellnaturalgas Reducingthenumberofstateemployees Reducingthenumber Sellingthestateownedliquorstorestoprivatecompanies Expandingthesalestaxtoincludemoreitems Expandingthesales Increasingbusinesstaxes Increasingthestatesalestax Increasingthestate Reducingstatefundingforstateprisons Placingtollsonmajorhighways Placingtollsonmajor Increasingthestateincometax Reducingfundingforstateenvironmentalprotectionandconservation Reducingfundingfor Cuttingstatefundinginhalfforthestatespublicuniversities EliminatingtheKeystonerecreation,parkandconservationfund Reducingstatefundingforlocalschooldistricts Reducingfundingforhumanserviceprograms Reducingfundingfor 24% 21% 20% 16% 40% 39% 38% 36% 34% 51% 42% 62% 60%

79% 73%

%Support

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

Methodology
The survey findings presented in this release are based on the results of interviews conducted May 29-June 4, 2012. The interviews were conducted at the Center for Opinion Research at Franklin & Marshall College under the direction of the polls Director Dr. G. Terry Madonna, Head Methodologist Berwood Yost, and Senior Project Manager Angela Knittle. The data included in this release represent the responses of 412 Pennsylvania registered voters, including 207 Democrats, 154 Republicans, and 51 registered as Independent/Other. The sample of registered voters was obtained from Voter Contact Services. Survey results were weighted (age, gender, and party) using an iterative weighting algorithm to reflect the known distribution of those characteristics as reported by the Pennsylvania Department of State. The sample error for this survey is +/- 4.8 percentage points. In addition to sampling error, this poll is also subject to other sources of non-sampling error. Generally speaking, two sources of error concern researchers most. Non-response bias is created when selected participants either choose not to participate in the survey or are unavailable for interviewing. Response errors are the product of the question and answer process. Surveys that rely on selfreported behaviors and attitudes are susceptible to biases related to the way respondents process and respond to survey questions.

Attachment A
Horse Race: Obama vs. Romney, Pennsylvania June 2012
If the November 2012 general election for president was being held today and the candidates were [rotate] Mitt Romney the Republican and Barack Obama the Democrat, would you vote for: [rotate] Mitt Romney or Barack Obama, some other candidate, or arent you sure how you would vote? Obama Political Party* Republican Democrat Independent/Other Ideology* Liberal Moderate Conservative Gender Male Female Age 18-34 35-54 55 and over Education High school or less 45% 40% Some college 55% College degree Household Income Less than $35,000 55% 42% $35-75,000 52% Over $75,000 Race* Non-white 80% 44% White Marital Status* Not currently married 54% 51% Single, never married 45% Married Religious Affiliation** Other/unaffiliated 59% 41% Protestant 42% Catholic Born Again Christian or Fundamentalist* Yes 33% 54% No Household Union Member Yes 60% 45% No Military Veteran* Yes 31% 51% No Region* Northeast 56% 81% Philadelphia 54% Southeast 42% Northwest 34% Central 57% Allegheny 32% Southwest Employment Fulltime 51% 47% Other 44% Retired White, working class 39% $35-75,000 35% 41% 33% 29% 38% 39% 7% 39% 23% 26% 42% 24% 44% 39% 49% 29% 23% 38% 52% 32% 24% 12% 31% 52% 44% 28% 48% 33% 38% 38% 40% 6% 3% 4% 5% 5% 3% 3% 5% 0% 13% 4% 4% 5% 3% 6% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 2% 1% 2% 7% 3% 11% 5% 4% 3% 6% 15% 16% 8% 11% 15% 5% 10% 12% 22% 11% 9% 12% 10% 16% 12% 13% 13% 12% 12% 12% 16% 5% 14% 3% 16% 12% 9% 11% 10% 15% 15% 54% 46% 48% 27% 33% 39% 6% 9% 2% 13% 12% 12% 45% 50% 38% 33% 7% 3% 10% 14% 84% 52% 19% 6% 30% 64% 3% 3% 6% 7% 15% 11% 14% 72% 49% 71% 11% 27% 5% 3% 10% 10% 13% 14% Romney Other Dont know

* p<0.01

** p<0.05

Marginal Frequency Report


Responses may not total 100% due to rounding.

REG. Some people are registered to vote, and many others are not. Are you CURRENTLY REGISTERED to vote at your present address? 100% 0% Yes No

RegPARTY. Are you currently registered as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or as something else? 37% 50% 10% 2% Republican Democrat Independent Something else

RightDir. All in all, do you think things in PENNSYLVANIA are generally headed in the RIGHT DIRECTION, or do you feel that things are off on the WRONG TRACK? Headed in right direction 30% 31% 38% 38% 34% 37% 27% 31% 30% 35% 32% 37% 39% Off on the wrong track 57% 56% 47% 49% 53% 53% 64% 59% 58% 55% 58% 50% 53% Dont know 13% 13% 15% 13% 13% 10% 9% 10% 12% 10% 10% 13% 8%

June 2012 Feb 2012 Jan 2012 Oct 2011 Aug 2011 Mar 2011 Oct 2010 Sep 2010 Aug 2010 May 2010 Mar 2010 Feb 2010 Jan 2010

IntFav. Please let me know your opinion of some people involved in politics today. Is your opinion of [FILL name] favorable, unfavorable, undecided, or havent you heard enough about [FILL name] to have an opinion? (rotated) Strongly favorable BARACK OBAMA June 2012 Feb 2012 Jan 2012 Mar 2011 May 2010 Mar 2010 Feb 2010 Jan 2010 Oct 2009 Aug 2009 Jun 2009 Feb 2009 Oct 2008 Sep 2008 Aug 2008 MITT ROMNEY June 2012 Feb 2012 Jan 2012 BOB CASEY June 2012 Jan 2012 Mar 2011 May 2010 Mar 2010 Feb 2010 Jan 2010 Oct 2009 Aug 2009 Jun 2009 Feb 2009 Tom Smith June 2012 TOM CORBETT June 2012 Jan 2012 Mar 2011 Oct 2010 Sep 2010 Aug 2010 May 2010 Mar 2010 Feb 2010 26% 23% 25% 17% 26% 25% 27% 23% 29% 29% 39% 38% 38% 31% 25% 11% 6% 4% 14% 9% 6% 10% 9% 13% 9% 11% 17% 11% 11% 2% 7% 6% 14% 17% 12% 8% 7% 8% 5% Somewhat favorable 21% 22% 20% 24% 18% 17% 22% 21% 16% 26% 17% 18% 15% 18% 18% 16% 21% 21% 24% 20% 19% 23% 24% 20% 23% 21% 24% 21% 19% 6% 25% 23% 19% 18% 15% 19% 17% 14% 16% Somewhat unfavorable 11% 12% 12% 11% 12% 13% 10% 11% 12% 9% 6% 8% 8% 9% 7% 17% 18% 13% 10% 9% 11% 9% 10% 9% 11% 9% 10% 12% 9% 2% 14% 15% 8% 8% 5% 7% 5% 4% 3% Strongly unfavorable 33% 35% 32% 33% 34% 33% 29% 33% 27% 28% 21% 15% 25% 21% 22% 31% 26% 22% 8% 8% 8% 11% 11% 9% 9% 12% 8% 5% 8% 4% 25% 17% 15% 9% 5% 8% 5% 3% 3% Undecided 9% 8% 9% 14% 10% 11% 11% 10% 13% 7% 14% 17% 12% 17% 23% 24% 21% 21% 14% 18% 19% 16% 17% 15% 17% 15% 17% 17% 21% 8% 15% 18% 24% 17% 17% 19% 17% 17% 19% Dont know 1% 0% 1% 2% 0% 1% 1% 2% 3% 1% 3% 4% 3% 3% 5% 1% 8% 19% 29% 35% 37% 31% 29% 34% 31% 32% 24% 34% 32% 77% 14% 20% 21% 31% 45% 40% 49% 54% 54%

Pol_Int. Some people don't pay much attention to political campaigns. How about you? Would you say that you arevery much interested, somewhat interested or not very interested in the 2012 elections? Very much interested 51% 52% 46% Somewhat interested 38% 39% 44% Not very interested 11% 9% 11%

June 2012 Feb 2012 Jan 2012

Pres2012. If the November 2012 general election for president was being held today and the candidates were [rotate] Mitt Romney the Republican and Barack Obama the Democrat, would you vote for: [rotate] Mitt Romney or Barack Obama, some other candidate, or arent you sure how you would vote? Obama June 2012 Feb 2012 Jan 2012 Oct 2011 Aug 2011 48% 41% 41% 35% 36% Romney 36% 33% 30% 26% 30% Other 5% 8% 6% 10% 8% Dont know 12% 18% 24% 30% 27%

CertPres Are you absolutely CERTAIN you will vote FOR [candidate] in the election, or are you still making up your mind? (358 respondents with a vote choice) Certain June 2012 82% Making up Mind 17% Dont know 1%

LeanPres As of today, do you lean more to (rotated) or are you leaning toward some other candidate? (54 undecided respondents) Rotated June 2012 Obama 30% Romney 15% Other 12% Dont know 43%

IntDesPres Regardless of how you plan to vote, which presidential candidate do you think is best described by each of the following statements? Do you think Barack Obama or Mitt Romney Obama Best understands the concerns of ordinary Americans? Is most prepared to fix our economic problems? Is closest to your views on value issues, such as abortion and gay marriage? Will better handle the job of commander in chief of the military? Is most prepared to handle foreign policy issues? 57% 44% 47% 51% 57% Romney 31% 38% 37% 33% 29% Dont know 13% 18% 15% 16% 14%

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IntFavPol Please tell me whether you favor or oppose each of the following policies that President Obama signed into lawDo you favor or oppose the.is that strongly or somewhat (favor/oppose)? June 2012 Fiscal stimulus plan of 2009 Financial bailouts for the largest banks Financial bailouts for the automobile industry Health care reform act Strongly Favor 19% 7% 28% 24% Somewhat Favor 25% 20% 26% 22% Somewhat Oppose 15% 21% 15% 11% Strongly Oppose 23% 45% 29% 37% Do Not Know 19% 7% 2% 6%

Sen2012 If the November 2012 general election for U.S. SENATOR was being held today and the candidates were [rotate] Tom Smith, the Republican and Bob Casey Jr., the Democrat, would you vote for: [rotate] Tom Smith or Bob Casey Jr., some other candidate, or arent you sure how you would vote? Casey June 2012 42% Smith 21% Other 2% Dont know 35%

CertSen. Are you absolutely CERTAIN you will vote FOR [candidate] in the election, or are you still making up your mind? (266 respondents with a vote choice) Certain June 2012 73% Making up Mind 25% Dont know 2%

LeanSen. As of today, do you lean more to (rotated) or are you leaning toward some other candidate? (54 undecided respondents) Rotated June 2012 Casey 19% Smith 10% Other 9% Dont know 63%

BalBud. Pennsylvania is expected to have a large budget deficit this year and next year, which has forced state legislators to think of ways to balance the state budget. Generally speaking, do you think the state legislature should increase taxes to balance the budget, cut state programs and services to balance the budget, or should the legislature both cut spending and increase taxes? Cut state programs and services 22% 29% 39%

Increase taxes June 2012 Feb 2012 Mar 2011 10% 14% 6%

Both 47% 46% 38%

Increase Revenue 2% 1% 2%

None of the above 14% ---

Dont know 6% 11% 15%

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IntQ9. Do you favor or oppose the following measures as a way for the state of Pennsylvania to balance its budget? Do you favor or oppose (rotated) Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Favor Favor Oppose Increasing the state income tax June 2012 8% 28% 21% Feb 2012 9% 27% 16% Mar 2011 6% 21% 22% Increasing the state sales tax June 2012 10% 30% 22% Feb 2012 10% 28% 17% Mar 2011 10% 26% 18% Taxing companies that extract and sell natural gas June 2012 55% 18% 8% Feb 2012 55% 19% 9% Mar 2011 41% 21% 13% Reducing state funding for state prisons June 2012 18% 21% 27% Feb 2012 19% 21% 30% Mar 2011 23% 20% 27% Reducing state funding for local school districts June 2012 8% 12% 14% Feb 2012 7% 12% 13% Mar 2011 7% 12% 20% Expanding the sales tax to include more items June 2012 19% 32% 15% Feb 2012 16% 34% 12% Mar 2011 16% 36% 15% Reducing the number of state employees June 2012 35% 27% 15% Feb 2012 37% 24% 15% Mar 2011 35% 25% 12% Selling the state-owned liquor stores to private companies June 2012 43% 17% 10% Feb 2012 44% 17% 10% Mar 2011 45% 19% 11% Increasing business taxes June 2012 17% 25% 20% Feb 2012 16% 28% 20% Mar 2011 14% 23% 24% Placing tolls on major highways June 2012 14% 24% 24% Feb 2012 11% 28% 17% Mar 2011 13% 22% 21% Placing new taxes on the sale of smokeless tobacco and cigars June 2012 60% 19% 7% Feb 2012 62% 15% 9% Mar 2011 53% 19% 7% Strongly Oppose 38% 43% 46% 35% 41% 42% 13% 10% 17% 23% 21% 19% 62% 66% 58% 27% 32% 30% 14% 17% 23% 19% 18% 15% 29% 29% 32% 36% 42% 39% 13% 14% 19% Do Not Know 5% 5% 6% 4% 4% 4% 6% 7% 8% 11% 9% 11% 4% 2% 3% 8% 6% 4% 9% 7% 5% 12% 11% 11% 9% 7% 6% 3% 2% 6% 1% 2% 3%

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Reducing funding for human service programs such as homeless assistance and mental health services June 2012 6% 10% 20% 59% 4% Cutting state funding for the states public universities June 2012 9% 15% 23% 47% 6% Feb 2012* 11% 15% 20% 51% 4% Mar 2011* 12% 16% 21% 46% 5% Reducing funding for state environmental protection and conservation programs June 2012 11% 23% 24% 38% 5% Feb 2012 15% 20% 23% 37% 5% Eliminating the Keystone recreation, park and conservation fund that provides funding for state parks, trails and open spaces June 2012 6% 15% 27% 46% 6% *Wording change: Cutting state funding in half for the states public universities

CU1. The state legislature is considering several proposals related to gay marriage and civil unions. Would you favor or oppose a constitutional amendment that would allow same sex couples to get legally married? Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Dont favor favor oppose oppose know June 2012 35% 13% 8% 41% 4% Aug 2011* 33% 17% 5% 37% 8% Jun 2009* 27% 15% 12% 40% 6%
*Wording change: The state legislature is considering several proposals related to gay marriage and civil unions. Would you favor or oppose a constitutional amendment that would allow homosexual couples to get legally married?

CU2. Would you favor or oppose a state law that would allow same sex couples to legally form civil unions, giving them some of the legal rights of married couples? Strongly favor 40% 37% 33% 21% Somewhat favor 23% 25% 25% 21% Somewhat oppose 7% 5% 7% 11% Strongly oppose 26% 29% 30% 39% Dont know 3% 5% 5% 8%

June 2012 Aug 2011* Jun 2009* Feb 2004*

*Wording change: Would you favor or oppose a state law that would allow homosexual couples to legally form civil unions, giving them some of the legal rights of married couples?

RateSenC. How would you rate the way that Bob Casey, JR. is handling his job as U.S. SENATOR? Would you say he is doing an excellent job, a good job, only a fair job, or a poor job as U.S. Senator? Excellent Job 5% 4% 4% 5% 5% 3% 7% 5% Good Job 33% 26% 31% 33% 27% 26% 31% 37% Only a Fair Job 32% 43% 36% 38% 43% 39% 32% 36% Poor Job 8% 12% 11% 9% 9% 9% 10% 7% Dont Know 21% 15% 19% 16% 16% 23% 20% 15%

June 2012 Feb 2012 Jan 2012 Oct 2011 Aug 2011 Mar 2011 Feb 2009 Aug 2007

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RatePres. How would you rate the way that Barack Obama is handling his job as president? Would you say he is doing an excellent job, a good job, only a fair job, or a poor job as President? Excellent job June 2012 Feb 2012 Jan 2012 Oct 2011 Aug 2011 Mar 2011 Oct 2010 Sep 2010 Aug 2010 May 2010 Mar 2010 Feb 2010 Jan 2010 Oct 2009 Aug 2009 Jun 2009 Mar 2009 Feb 2009 13% 11% 9% 9% 9% 7% 8% 10% 9% 14% 12% 12% 11% 17% 14% 20% 23% 25% Good job 29% 26% 31% 28% 25% 28% 24% 26% 28% 24% 28% 29% 27% 23% 33% 35% 37% 30% Only a fair job 30% 29% 29% 31% 33% 30% 31% 33% 28% 32% 27% 32% 32% 31% 29% 25% 22% 23% Poor job 28% 35% 30% 32% 33% 34% 36% 30% 35% 29% 32% 27% 29% 28% 24% 19% 14% 13% Dont know 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 4% 9%

RateBOEcon How would you rate the way that Barack Obama has handled the economyis he doing an excellent job, a good job, only a fair job, or a poor job handling the economy? Excellent Job 8% 9% 6% Good Job 30% 23% 23% Only a Fair Job 26% 26% 27% Poor Job 35% 42% 43% Dont Know 1% 1% 1%

June 2012 Feb 2012 Jan 2012

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FinToday. We are interested in how people are getting along financially these days. Would you say that YOU and YOUR FAMILY are better off, worse off, or about the same financially as you were a year ago? Better off June 2012* Feb 2012* Jan 2012* Mar 2011 Aug 2010 May 2010 Mar 2010 Feb 2010 Jan 2010 Oct 2009 Aug 2009 Jun 2009 Mar 2009 Feb 2009 Oct 2008* Sep 2008* Aug 2008* Feb 2008* Jan 2008* Nov 2005 Sep 2005 Jun 2005 Mar 2005 Nov 2003 Apr 2003 Sep 2002* Jun 2002* Jul 1999 Jul 1998 Mar 1998 Jul 1996 Feb 1996 Apr 1995 16% 16% 15% 11% 13% 14% 13% 13% 10% 8% 9% 11% 11% 10% 14% 12% 16% 20% 17% 20% 17% 24% 21% 17% 16% 25% 29% 31% 31% 31% 21% 21% 26% Worse off 27% 28% 26% 31% 33% 39% 36% 41% 40% 36% 39% 43% 36% 44% 44% 40% 37% 29% 25% 28% 36% 24% 28% 29% 30% 26% 20% 16% 16% 16% 22% 21% 21% About the same 57% 56% 60% 57% 54% 46% 51% 46% 50% 55% 52% 45% 53% 46% 42% 47% 46% 51% 57% 51% 47% 52% 51% 53% 54% 47% 50% 52% 52% 52% 56% 57% 52% Dont know 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

*Question asked of registered respondents only

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FinFut. Now looking AHEAD, do you think that A YEAR FROM NOW, YOU and YOUR FAMILY will be better off financially than you are now, worse off, or about the same as you are now? Better off June 2012* Feb 2012* Jan 2012* Mar 2011 Aug 2010 May 2010 Mar 2010 Feb 2010 Jan 2010 Oct 2009 Aug 2009 Jun 2009 Mar 2009 Feb 2009 Oct 2008* Sep 2008* Aug 2008* Nov 2005 Sep 2005 Jun 2005 Mar 2005 Nov 2003 Apr 2003 Sep 2002* Jun 2002* Jul 1999 Jul 1998 Mar 1998 Jul 1996 Feb 1996 Apr 1995 21% 23% 27% 27% 24% 29% 27% 28% 27% 31% 31% 32% 27% 29% 33% 25% 28% 29% 27% 32% 31% 33% 27% 38% 35% 38% 41% 39% 24% 29% 37% Worse off 14% 13% 13% 26% 15% 17% 17% 18% 17% 14% 19% 21% 12% 19% 14% 18% 15% 20% 23% 15% 20% 13% 17% 8% 6% 8% 9% 7% 12% 16% 12% About the same 57% 58% 53% 43% 54% 49% 50% 47% 49% 50% 47% 41% 55% 45% 40% 42% 45% 48% 45% 48% 45% 49% 51% 43% 49% 50% 45% 50% 54% 49% 44% Dont know 8% 6% 6% 5% 7% 5% 6% 7% 7% 5% 3% 6% 6% 7% 14% 15% 12% 3% 5% 5% 4% 5% 5% 11% 10% 4% 5% 4% 10% 6% 7%

*Question asked of registered respondents only

RespEcon. Who do you feel is most responsible for the countrys current economic situation: former President Bush, President Obama, the Congress, are all equally to blame or is no one really to blame? President Bush June 2012 Feb 2012 Jan 2012 Aug 2010 27% 22% 26% 38% President Obama 9% 9% 7% 12% All equally to blame 38% 45% 42% 29% No one really to blame 5% 5% 4% 15% Do not know 2% 2% 3% 6%

Congress 19% 17% 19% --

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DEMO I now have a final few questions for statistical purposes only. CNTY. Region of state (What is the name of the county you live in?) 9% 14% 9% 8% 8% 33% 20% Philadelphia Northeast Allegheny Southwest Northwest Central Southeast

RESD. How many years have you lived at your current residence? 21.8 Mean

AGE. What was your age on your last birthday? 4% 7% 13% 20% 21% 35% 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65 and older

EDUC. What was the highest grade level of schooling you have completed? 3% 31% 15% 11% 19% 21% Non high school graduate High school graduate or GED Some college Two-year or tech degree Four year college degree Post graduate degree

MAR. What is your CURRENT marital statusare you single, married, separated, divorced, or a widower? 15% 65% 1% 9% 10% Single, Never Married Married Separated Divorced Widow or widower

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IDEO. Politically speaking, do you consider yourself to be a liberal, a moderate, or a conservative? Liberal June 2012 Feb 2012 Jan 2011 Oct 2011 Aug 2011 Mar 2011 Oct 2010 Sep 2010 Aug 2010 May 2010 Mar 2010 Feb 2010 Jan 2010 25% 17% 21% 20% 24% 16% 16% 15% 19% 19% 17% 21% 19% Moderate 34% 39% 39% 39% 32% 33% 37% 34% 32% 32% 35% 33% 30% Conservative 36% 40% 36% 33% 37% 41% 39% 40% 40% 40% 40% 37% 42% Dont know 5% 4% 4% 8% 7% 10% 8% 10% 9% 9% 8% 9% 9%

LABR. Are you or is any member of your household a member of a LABOR UNION? 19% 81% Yes No

VET. Are you a military veteran? 17% 83% Yes No

Hisp. Are you Hispanic or Latino, or not? 2% 98% Yes No

RACE. Which of the following categories best describes your racial background? 90% 10% White Non-white

REL. Do you consider yourself to be Protestant, Catholic, some other religion, or not affiliated with any religion? 38% 30% 15% 18% Protestant Catholic Some other religion Not affiliated with any religion

BAC. Do you consider yourself to be a born-again Christian or fundamentalist, or not? 31% 68% 2% Yes No Dont know

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WORK. Are you currently working FULL-time, PART-time, going to school, keeping house or something else? 42% 9% 2% 8% 3% 3% 33% Full-time Part-time Going to school Keeping house Unemployed Disabled Retired

INC1. And, just for statistical purposes, we need to know if your total family income is above or below $50,000 per year? 11% 11% 16% 23% 14% 20% 5% Under $25,000 $25-$35,000 $35-50,000 $50-75,000 $75-100,000 Over $100,000 Dont know

DONE. Sex of respondent: 48% 52% Male Female

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