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TITLE
Slots and flow management (Slot allocation & operational planning: airport and en-route slots, CFMU) Rosa Arnaldo, UPM
COURSE 102: RESEARCH IN DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS FOR FUTURE AIR TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT
La Granja
www.hala-sesar.net
Introduction
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Imbalance between air transport demand and airport facilities/infrastructure availability and airspace systems to meet demand.
Results in congestion
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Introduction
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Airspace
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EOBTs
ETOTs
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Airport Slots The Building Blocks of Air Travel Flow Management Demand and Capacity Balance Connecting Airport slots and ATFM slots
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Demand = Capacity
Schedules submitted to facilitator who seeks cooperation and voluntary schedule changes to avoid congestion. No slots are actually allocated . No historical precedence.
Airport
Airport
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Belgium- Brussels Airport: Sabena Finland: Finnair. France. New Society formed by French airlines : COHOR. Germany. A natural person that reports to DGAC. Greece: Olympic Airways. Italy. Until 1996, it was Alitalia. In November 1996, after protests from airlines, the DGAC temporarily took the responsibility until the creation of an independent company. Denmark. New company of the Danish airport and airlines: Airport Coordination Denmark. Sweden. New company of the Swedish airport and airlines: Airport Coordination Sweden. Norway. New company made by the Norwegian airport and airlines: Airport Coordination Norway. UK. An independent company, ACL, owned by nine British airlines. They have contractual relationships with airports.
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An the coordinating parameters? Twice yearly Objective analysis . Maximum number of departures and landings . At coordinated airports there are shortfalls as regards these capacities so the timeframes have to be allocated by an airport coordinator.
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Two stages
overall and worldwide schedule co-ordination at twice-yearly IATA meetings; and local co-ordination at individual airports usually through their own scheduling committees.
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Guiding rules
1 grandfather rights 2 use it or lose it
3 slot pool
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SC: Slot Canceled SNC: Slot not granted SCO: Slot granted and correctly operated SCD : Slot granted at different time SCN: Slot granted but not operated
A=SCO/(SCO+SCD+SCN+SC) A= 19/(19+2+1+1)=0,82
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Second step : determination of the time and period of the historic series A=SCO/(possible operations within the period)
10:10 - B=10 / 26 10:20 - B=4 / 8 10:20-- B=4 / 5
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(April 3 - Sept 25) < 80% (Jun 12 - Jul 31) < 80% (Jun 12 Jul 10) = 80%
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Historic Slots
Remaining capacity and any new capacity for the season
50%
50%
New entrants
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Changes to Historic Slots for nonoperational reasons Regular services, commercial flights Most frequently, longer duration, more days of the week 24 All other request
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Slots can be freely exchanged between airlines as long as the slots exchanged are going to be used Only authorized: between the main company and subsidiaries between subsidiaries of the same main company, as part of the capital acquisition of an airline, in the case of total or partial acquisition, when the slots are directly related to the airline acquired.
Transfer of Slots
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SUMMER SEASON
SEP
OCT
NOV
DEC
JAN
FEB
MART
SEP
OCT
IATA Conference 26
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Aviation is one of Europe's most competitive sectors. Europe as "hub" for the world. Over the next five years, air transport growth will be driven mainly by regions like Asia Pacific, the Middle East and Latin America. Two major challenges facing European airports: capacity and quality. Capacity crunch. Airport capacity must be optimised. Today 5 major European airport hubs are at saturation . By 2030, on current trends 19 key European airports will be at saturation. Quality and efficiency of services at airports must be improved. 70% of all delays to flights are already caused by problems due to the turn around of aircrafts at airports .
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Few carries holds a very large amount of available slots: babysitting. No incentive for efficient use od slots. Slots close to peak times used within peak times. Lack of timeframe protects established carriers against effective competition.
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Is the current system of slot allocation inefficient? Is the "grandfather clause" sufficiently performant? How to avoid capacity to remain unused? May be a solution allow market incentive for airlines to sell on under used slots to other airlines who could make better use of the capacity? Does the system hinders competition and passenger choice? Is the System resistant to air traffic increase? Can carriers enter the market at congested airports? Does airlines will do everything necessary to keep their slots from one season to the next? Are pool slots often only available for flight timings which are less attractive (e.g. mid afternoon, late evening, when fewer people wish to fly)?
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Allocation system in place prevents optimal use of the scarce capacity at busy airports . EC Better Airports Package December 2011 : Introducing the possibility of secondary trade in slots and increased competition Strengthening the transparency of the slot allocation process and the independence of slot coordinators Integrating slot allocation with the reform of the European air traffic management system (SES) Amending the '80-20' rule on grandfather rights
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Drawbacks
Possible improvements
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Flow management
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different meanings:
Declared capacity : before taking the above factors into account. Co-ordinated Capacity: after taking the above factors into account.
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Regulated Demand
Actual Demand
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Why Flow Management What is Air Traffic Flow & Capacity Management ?
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A concept which extends the role of ATFM to the optimization of traffic patterns and capacity management. Through managing the balance of capacity and demand, the aim of ATFCM is to enable flight punctuality and efficiency according to the available resources with the emphasis on optimizing the network capacity through the collaborative decision making process
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The Challenge
Enabling flight punctuality and efficiency according to the available resources
The Answer
Improving Traffic Flow & Capacity Management
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Planning and optimisation of the required capacity. Overcome as far as possible the slot allocations. Minimise the impact on Aircraft Operators. Inclusive and transparent collaborative decision making process Implementation of local solutions based on a global ATM awareness. Anticipation of any events according to new information
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CFMU systems
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All IFR GAT flights intending to operate within the CFMU areas of operation must file a flight plan (inform CFMU ). The flight plan is used when comparing demand and capacity.
Flight Departing from within the ATFCM area of the CFMU to anywhere Departing from an FIR immediately adjacent of the ATFCM area of the CFMU, and entering the ATFCM area Departing from an FIR immediately adjacent of the ATFCM area of the CFMU NOT entering the ATFCM area Departing from outside the ATFCM area of the CFMU and outside FIRs immediately adjacent , to anywhere
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Subject to ATFCM measures May be subject to ATFCM measures May be subject to ATFCM measures Not subject to ATFCM measures Not subject to ATFCM measures
Calculated Take Odd Time (CTOT) If affected by Regulation If affected by Regulation Not issued
Not issued
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RJAA
NO CTOT
DTTA
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1 2
2.a
2.b
YES
Adjust Sector Configuration ?
YES
Level capping?
NO
YES
Coordinate a temporary increase of capacity?
NO YES NO
Re-routeing of traffic flows or individual flights?
3
CFMU informs Customers of ATFCM measures and CTOT
NO
4 END
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END
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AOs
Flight Plan
CFMU
Flight Data Operations Flight Data Operations
ACK Message
ATC Units involved
Flight Plan
OK?
No Manual Change
Flow Management Operations
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ACK Message
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CFMU
Flight Data Operations
Demand
Yes
NO
Match Capacity to demand?
AOs
NO
Match demand by Regulation 14/07/2012 49
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CFMU
Flight Data Operations Flow Management Operations Yes
Regulation Required?
Yes
CTOSs Required?
(CTOTs) Yes
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Issue a CTOT
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CFMU
Flight Data Operations
Demand
Yes
Yes
Yes Yes
New/changed /cancelled CTOT?
Yes
ATFCM messages) 51
SLC
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Operational structure
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CFMU
Updated flight data
Flight Data
Flight plans
IFPS
AOs
Flight plans
Env. data
RPL
Flight Plat
ENV
Env. data
/
AROs
Updated flight data
ATC
Flow Management
CTOTs % Updates
ETFMS (CASA)
ANMTs % Updates
capacities
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ATFCM Phases
ATFCM consists of 4 phases:
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Phase
Strategic Flow Management Pre-Tactical Flow Management
Time horizon
More than 7 days before the day of the operation During the six days prior to the day of operation Applied on the day of the operation
Output
Network Operations Plan (NOP)
ATFCM Daily Plan (ADP) published via ATFCM Notification Message (ANM) / Network News and via the NOP portal. Updates the daily plan according to the actual traffic, capacity and monitoring values CTOT
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ATC Capacities
Possible AIP amendments Routing & Level Capping Scenarios Pre-tactical phase
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FMPs Lessons learnt Predicted sector configurations & Agreed routing scenarios & capacities for day of operation (previous phase)
Formulate pre-tactical plan for day of flight Compare demand (reference day) with available capacity and sector configuration Assess network effects
Refine plan Coordinate with FMPs
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AOs
ATFCM messages
Updated sector configurations & capacities Updated real time flight data (DEP message, FSA & CPR)
Monitor traffic load vs available capacity + Assess network effects of implemented measures
Calculates Take Off Timeas CTOT ATFCM Messages
CASA Slot Allocation Refine plan Coordinate with FMPs
CTOT Updates
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Affected by Regulation?
Estimated Off Block Time ( EOBT) = 16:35 Aerodrome Taxitime = 10 Minutes Estimated Take off Time (ETOT) = EOBT + taxitime =16:45
ISSU CTOT
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Affected by Regulation?
Estimated Off Block Time ( EOBT) = 1635 Aerodrome Taxitime = 10 Minutes Estimated Take off Time (ETOT) = EOBT + taxitime =1645
4 3 2 1 Initial flight profile 5 6 7
ETOT 16:54
ETOT 17:07
ETOT 17:18
ETOT 17:30
ETOT 17:41
ETOT 17:52
SECTOR 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
CAPACITY 40 25 35 40 30 35 40
DEMAND 35 25 30 55 28 33 50
ISSU CTOT
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Affected by Regulation?
Estimated Off Block Time ( EOBT) = 1635 Aerodrome Taxitime = 10 Minutes Estimated Take off Time (ETOT) = EOBT + taxitime =1645
4 3 2 1 Initial flight profile 5 6 7
ETOT 16:54
ETOT 17:07
ETOT 17:18
ETOT 17:30
ETOT 17:41
ETOT 17:52
The system looks at the Slot List for sectors 4 and 7 CTOT= EOBT+ taxi i.e. 40/hr. slot are Slot List based on capacity time + delay every 1.5 mins
ISSU CTOT
X X
17:18 17:21
X
17:24 17:27 17:30 17:33
ETO
X X
17:51 17:54
X
17:57 18:00
ETO
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Affected by Regulation?
Estimated Off Block Time ( EOBT) = 1635 Aerodrome Taxitime = 10 Minutes Estimated Take off Time (ETOT) = EOBT + taxitime =1645
4 3 2 1 Initial flight profile 5 6 7
ATO 16:54
ATO 17:07
ATO 17:18
ATO 17:30
ATO 17:41
ATO 17:52
Actual times
Improve or change requested
YES ISSU CTOT
Current Tactical Flight Model ( FTFM) [-5, +10] minutes CTOT Tolerance
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Performance Assessment
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Punctuality
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Performance Assessment
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ATFM slot adherence measures the share of take-offs outside the ATFM slot tolerance window (-5min +10 min). Share of regulated hours with over deliveries in Europe. ATFM regulations avoidable as there was no excess of demand.
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7. Economic controls
Market based mechanisms for demand control pre-day of operations
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Drawbacks
Possible improvements
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Flow management
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FPL
Airlines prepare initial FPLs and send RPL
CFMU compares expected air traffic with ATC capacity to prepare season
Tactical / Operational phase ( day of operation Post Operational phase ( after day 14/07/2012 of operation
Airlines prepare final FPLs taking into account Real Time events
Airport coordinator analyses actual use of airport slots to prepare following season
AFTM analyses imbalance and delays to prepare the following pre-tactical and strategic phase
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