Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
Principles of Risk
Risk Perception and Tolerance
Objective?
Subjective?
Williamson & Weyman (2005)
constructionist position: that reality is constructed and represented through discursive social processes . risk (is) relative
Perceived danger
Accidents
The individual
Behaviour
Group Organisation Environments
The situation
APM (2004)
Weyman and Kelly (1999) summarise some key findings, especially around specific hazardous substances:
The difficulties people face in understanding the differences between single exposure and repeated exposures. Patterns of repeated behaviour are understood as discrete incidents (accumulation bias) The decreased risk that people judge their own behaviour when comparing themselves to others who behave in the same way (optimistic bias) The search for causal explanation can bias people to make associations between two factors because they are close together (cerebral contiguity)
H Acceptance
(Trust)
Reliance
Distrust
L Scepticism
Rewards
51,000
Global deaths = 774
11,737 1,677
So . if Sars is nothing more than pneumonia plus contact history, but there is no agreed set of symptoms for classifying the up-stream contacts, how can we estimate the risk?
Perceived directly
Virtual risk
Scientists dont know or cant agree eg low level radiation, global warming, mobile phones .. The stock market?