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Chapter 12

12-1 Fifth Edition

Corporate Finance
Ross Westerfield Jaffe

Risk, Return, and Capital Budgeting


Irwin/McGraw-Hill The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999

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Review Item
12-2 Fifth Edition

Yahoo is considering building a cafeteria for its

Corporate Finance
Ross Westerfield Jaffe

employees. At a high discount rate appropriate to Yahoos risk, the NPV of the cafeteria is negative. At a low discount rate appropriate to a Wendys, the NPV of the cafeteria is positive. Should Yahoo build the cafeteria? Explain briefly.

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The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999

Answer
12-3 Fifth Edition

Build the cafeteria. The project is safe like a Wendys, not risky like an

Corporate Finance
Ross Westerfield Jaffe

internet service. NPV is market value. The market it not deceived but sees the project for the safe investment that it is.

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Example of beta and NPV


12-4 Fifth Edition

Wingmar Inc. has a beta of 2. The Market risk premium is 8.5% The risk-free rate is 4%. Wingmar has a project with cash flows -100, 60, 80. The project is typical of Wingmars core business. Should the project be undertaken?

Corporate Finance
Ross Westerfield Jaffe

. .

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The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999

Answer
12-5 Fifth Edition

Part 1. Cost of equity financing. The appropriate

Corporate Finance
Ross Westerfield Jaffe

discount rate for projects of Wingmar is .04+.085(2)=.21. Part 2. The NPV of the project is 4.2278533. Take the project.

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The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999

Chapter 12 Risk, Return, and Capital Budgeting


12-6 Fifth Edition

Determinants of the Cost of Equity

Corporate Finance
Ross Westerfield Jaffe

Capital Estimation of Beta Financial leverage.

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The Cost of Equity


12-7 Fifth Edition

E(rs) = RF + bs x [E(RM) - RF] Business risk 1: Cyclicality of revenues Business risk 2: Operating leverage. Financial Leverage

Corporate Finance
Ross Westerfield Jaffe

. .

Irwin/McGraw-Hill

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Cyclicality
12-8 Fifth Edition

Capital goods, consumer durables, construction are

Corporate Finance
Ross Westerfield Jaffe

cyclical and synchronized with general economic conditions.

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Operating leverage
12-9 Fifth Edition

Fixed cost of debt service, leases, employment contracts

Corporate Finance
Ross Westerfield Jaffe

versus variable costs. High operating leverage means high fixed costs. MRI labs. Low leverage, low fixed cost. Fast food, services. EBIT = earnings before interest and taxes. Assume depreciation = loss of market value.

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Beta Estimation
12-10 Fifth Edition

Problems

Corporate Finance
Ross Westerfield Jaffe

Betas may vary over time. The sample size may be inadequate. Solutions

More sophisticated statistical techniques.

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The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999

Beta Estimation
12-11 Fifth Edition

Problem: Beta for a firm is overly influenced by

Corporate Finance
Ross Westerfield Jaffe

random factors peculiar to the firm.


Solution: Look at average beta estimates of several

comparable firms in the industry.


Problem:

Firms have shouldnt matter in NPV.

financial

leverage,

which

Solution: Adjust as follows.

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Irwin/McGraw-Hill

The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999

12-12 Fifth Edition

Financial leverage means debt


Equity beta for the firms shares. Debt beta for the firms debt. Asset beta for the physical firm.

Corporate Finance
Ross Westerfield Jaffe

. .

Irwin/McGraw-Hill

The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999

The physical firm (the asset) is a portfolio


12-13 Fifth Edition

S = market value of equity (stock) B= debt (bonds) A= asset (firm) Portfolio weights are

Corporate Finance
Ross Westerfield Jaffe

. .

S XS , SB
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B XB SB
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Beta of the (physical) firm


12-14 Fifth Edition

Beta of a portfolio is the weighted sum

Corporate Finance
Ross Westerfield Jaffe

of the betas of the components.

S B bA bS bB SB SB
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. .

The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999

Normally
12-15 Fifth Edition

Stock is risky Debt is less risky Asset is in between.

Corporate Finance
Ross Westerfield Jaffe

. .

Irwin/McGraw-Hill

The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999

Weighted Average Cost of Capital


12-16 Fifth Edition

Corporate Finance
Ross Westerfield Jaffe

rWACC

S B rS (1 TC )rB SB SB

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Irwin/McGraw-Hill

The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999

Chapter 13 Corporate-Financing Decisions and Efficient Capital Markets


12-17 Fifth Edition

13.1 Can Financing Decisions Create Value? 13.2 A Description of Efficient Capital Markets 13.3 The Different Types of Efficiency

Corporate Finance
Ross Westerfield Jaffe

. .

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The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999

Reaction of Stock Price to New Information in Efficient and Inefficient Markets


12-18 Fifth Edition

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Ross Westerfield Jaffe

Stock Price

Overreaction to good news with reversion Delayed response to good news

Efficient market response to good news -30 -20 -10 0 +10

+20

+30

. .

Days before (-) and after (+) announcement


Irwin/McGraw-Hill The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999

Reaction of Stock Price to New Information in Efficient and Inefficient Markets


12-19 Fifth Edition

Stock Price

Overreaction and reversion

Corporate Finance
Ross Westerfield Jaffe

Delayed response Efficient-market response to new information

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30 20 10
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+10 +20 +30

Days before (+) and after (-) announcement

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Sets of Information relevant to a stock


12-20 Fifth Edition

Corporate Finance
Ross Westerfield Jaffe
Irwin/McGraw-Hill

All information

Publicly available information

Past prices

. .

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Three Forms of Market Efficient Hypothesis


12-21 Fifth Edition

Weak

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Ross Westerfield Jaffe

Prices reflect information in past prices Random Walk Semi-strong Prices reflect publicly available information Strong Prices reflect all information

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The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999

Implications for Corporate Financial Managers


12-22 Fifth Edition

Corporate Finance
Ross Westerfield Jaffe

Can financial managers fool investors? Can financial managers time security sales? Are there price pressure effects?

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The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999

Some anomalies
12-23 Fifth Edition

Monday effects Weekend effects January effects Small firm effects Pre acquisition run-ups

Corporate Finance
Ross Westerfield Jaffe

. .

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The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999

Some explanations
12-24 Fifth Edition

Closing positions over the weekend. ditto Tax timing, annual reporting, data mining. Trading with better informed quasi-insiders. Information leaking out bit by bit.

Corporate Finance
Ross Westerfield Jaffe

. .

Irwin/McGraw-Hill

The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999

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