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1
1. Introduction
4. Conclusion
2
North Korean Views of the South
North Korea has seen South Korea as a competitor or a rival in making an all-Korean
nation state, having political instinct, motivation, idea, and interest to remove it. But
North Korea had to adapt itself to the changing power relations between the two and
viewed the South as a more powerful and threatening competitor since 1970s and
as a strategic competitor particularly since June 2000.
3
North Korea’s Desire to make an All-Korean State
• State Formation: Theory
(1) Agential variables
- Statemaker’s instinct, motivation, idea, and interest
- Statemaker’s three capabilities: coercive, war-making, and extractive capabilities
(2) Structural variables
- Domestic and external opportunity structures
4
North Korea’s “Unification Policy” towards the South
• Unification Policy: Result of the Interaction between Agential and Structural Variables
- Construction of the North as a Democratic Base
- Unification by the Use of Force (The Korean War)
- Strengthening of a South Korean Revolution
- Pursuit of a Federal State: Towards Coexistence
*1960: a confederal state (confederation)
*1973: Confederal Republic of Koryo (federation)
*1980: Democratic Confederal Republic of Koryo (federation)
*1991: a temporarily-loosened form of Democratic Confederal Republic of Koryo
*2000: a lower stage of Democratic Confederal Republic of Koryo
5
North Korea’s “Unification Policy” towards the South (Cont’d)
6
“Continuity” and “Change” of North Korean Views and Policy
• North Korea has basically continued to have political instinct, motivation, and interest to
form an all-Korean nation state on its own terms by winning an authority competition
in the whole Korean peninsula.
• Such instinct, motivation, and interest expressed themselves into differing views and policies
depending on the leadership’s ideas and decisions and domestic and external circumstances.
• Overall, the changes in North Korea’s views of and policy towards the South have been
influenced by the changes in power relations vis-à-vis the South and in domestic and external
political opportunity structures.
• Concretely, North Korean unification strategy has changed from an offensive policy
even of using military force at the early years to a defensive policy of pursuing reconciliation
and cooperation and peaceful coexistence.
7
Prospects for North Korea’s Policy towards the South