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Business Review

The Context
All Great Marketing Plans Begin Here

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Business Review Module - Presentation Flow


1. What is a Business Review/Why Bother

2. Structuring the Business Review Analysis


3. Translating Data into Key Issues and Opportunities 4. Opportunity Synthesis and Prioritization 5. Developing the Business Review Story

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1. What is a Business Review?


The opportunity to stand back and evaluate your total

market, business situation and activity.

The process of identifying opportunities to move the

business forward and achieve competitive advantage in the marketplace. marketing plan.

The all-important first step in preparing a great

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What is a Business Review?


The link in the planning process that drives insights for all types of plans.
Business Reviews

Long Term Plan Jan./Feb. Marketing Plan August

Category Plan September

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What is the Business Review End-Point?


Synthesis and prioritization of facts and data into a

singular focus area for the brand. build the business.

Identification of concrete, actionable opportunities to

Foundation for the objective, marketing strategy, substrategy and key program development decisions.

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Analysis is not an end in itself, its a means to an end The End Is

OPPORTUNITY IDENTIFICATION

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Examples of Opportunities
Implement an integrated communication campaign to

build awareness of new Nestl Classic confections.

Test an in-store sampling program on Frutips.


Explore launching a dehydrated dessert range. Develop an in-store cross-merchandising program

between Nescafe and Coffee-mate.

Test increased coverage in the Pharmacy channel.

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2. Structuring the Business Review Analysis


To stay focused on the most important issues for the

business.

To reduce dead-end number-tumbling.


To increase analysis productivity/ effectiveness.

If only we knew the answer to ...

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Structuring the Business Review Analysis


Conduct a scan of the critical questions to identify the key issues to

analyze in greater depth. most critical questions.

Look for specific issues and opportunities on your brand relative to the

What are the Opportunities to Build the Business?


Based on:

The Market

The Consumer

Our Competitors

Our Channel Customers

Our Business Performance

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The Critical Questions


The Market
What is the definition of the market we compete in (from a consumer

standpoint)?

What are market trends within key segments? Is the market growing or declining; is the trend consistent for sales

Taka, volume and profitability?

How can the size of the market be explained in terms of consumer

purchase behavior? What underpins category, segment and brand volumes in this market (i.e. high purchase frequency, purchases of large quantities, etc.)?
What are related/complementary category trends? What is the market outlook?

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The Critical Questions


The Consumer
What are critical consumer needs in this category? Which represent

unmet needs?

What are usage and habit trends amongst consumers?


What consumer perceptions exist about this category and our brand? Who is our consumer target (influencer, purchaser, user, etc.)? What is the most relevant consumer segmentation in this category?

What is the composition of our consumer base relative to this

segmentation?

How does our consumer base break down in terms of usage (heavy,

medium, light users)?

What behavior change amongst which target consumer is most important

to building our brand?

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The Critical Questions


The Consumer
What is the flow of the consumer purchase decision in this category? Where in the consumer purchase decision process can consumers be

most influenced?

What environmental factors trigger consumer need for the category (e.g.

media, special occasion, on shopping list, family input, price incentive)?

What specific factors trigger selection of our brand (i.e. what makes our

target consumer want to buy)?

What are household penetration, purchase frequency, purchase units/

buyer and share of requirement trends for our brand?

How would we categorize the level of loyalty in this category? How do consumers shop this category (e.g. price hunters, passive, etc.)?

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The Critical Questions


Our Competitors
Who is our competition (from a consumer standpoint)? What are key competitors business trends? What are key competitors strengths and weaknesses? How do we perform versus competition in key areas (e.g. product,

package, pricing, availability, etc.)? relative to our brand?

What are price/unit (or per serving) trends for key competitors
What is the price elasticity for our brand versus competition? What is the consumers perception of our brands value equation

versus key competitors?

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The Critical Questions


Our Channel Customers
What are category sales trends by channel? Have there been any

important shifts?

Which segments and brands are winning/losing & why?


Which channels are most important for us and the competition? What is the trend in level of support for this category by customers?

(display, merchandising, pricing, etc.) by channel?

What role does our category play for customers; how does this differ
What are availability trends for our brand? How do our trade margins

compare versus competition in the key channels?

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The Critical Questions


Our Business Performance
What are historical sales, market share and profit trends for our brand;

what are the drivers of these results?

What are the key financial and operating ratios on the brand?
Where have we sourced our volume; how will we create growth? (i.e.

growing the category vs. growing share within the category)? activity/spending and specific programs? drivers of these results?

What has been the historical effectiveness of our marketing What has been the success rate of new products? What are the key How are we performing versus our key substrategies (e.g. product and

packaging, integrated communication, customer business development)?

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So How Do I Apply these Critical Questions?


A guide to focus data collection in the initial

development stages of a Business Review. Review as input to the Marketing Plan.

A tool to finetune and build on the existing Business

What are the Opportunities to Build the Business?


Business Reviews
Category Review

Long Term Plan

Marketing Plan Category Plan

The Market

The Consumer

Our Competitors

Our Channel Customers

Our Business Performance

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3. Translating Data into Key Issues and Opportunities


For each of these critical questions, we want to answer: Whats happening? Why? Ill bet ...... What are the opportunities?

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Translating Data into Key Issues and Opportunities


Whats Happening?
Gather Business Performance Data

Why?

Opportunity Identification
Provide Rationale

Determine Whats Happening? Dont here

Hypothesize Why? Ill bet ...

Identify What are the opportunities?

Gather Causal Data Dont here

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Translating Data into Key Issues and Opportunities


Whats Happening?
Collect and analyze the

Why? Ill Bet


Purpose is to focus

What are the Opportunities?


So what? What should we do

relevant data to answer the questions


Examples:

share/volume is down why is East higher than West why did we achieve these sales results

analysis and gather/ analyze causal data to address your hypotheses


Long list and prioritize

about it? action orientation

your bets so data search is limited to proving/disproving your hypotheses


Ask a series of

questions until there are no more to ask!

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Translating Data into Key Issues and Opportunities


Whats Happening?
Nestl Milo is

Why? Ill Bet


A key barrier to Nestl

What are the Opportunities?


Explore the launch of an

stagnating in growth while the category grows at 5% per annum.

Milo is that the perception that Nestl Milo offers little nutritional value

intensive sampling and communication campaign that focuses on the nutrition of Milo and a means of getting kids to drink milk.

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Documenting the Key Issues and Opportunities


Example
Statement of key Reversing the trend on the Nestl Milo is critical to the long-term issue or problem viability of the brand. plan must address Summary of quantitative, factual support
Nestl Milo has stagnated at 50 tonnes for 4 years with extensive

PFME funding.and the category continues to grow. Within the category, Milo decline\ have been offset by growth in Horlicks and Ovaltine.

Statement of preliminary opportunity

"Restage" the Nestl Milo brand including product improvements to

achieve 60/40 preference, new communication message to increase relevance, and reformulation. Intensive sampling campaign.

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Which Are Good Key Issue/Opportunity Statements?


1. We need to increase consumer top-of-mind awareness of Nestl core chocolate brands to drive consumption Nestl confectionery brands have low consumer awareness versus competition

Opportunity: Increase advertising investment on core brands and increase in-store visibility
2. Weaker distribution and sales in the Pharmacy channel of Nutrition products indicate a serious area of underdevelopment for Nestl Only 2% of Nestl Nutrition sales come from Pharmacy Opportunity: Support medical detailing strategy with increased distribution and facings in the Drug channel

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Which Are Good Key Issue/Opportunity Statements?

3. Nestl GUM is over-reliant in the Central Region 80% of sales in Central region

Opportunity: Develop a specific initiative for the East and West Region
4. A key issue for Nescafe is maintaining distribution in small grocery stores 200g and 50g are not maintaining distribution and does not offer a one time consumption Opportunity: Develop a specific product for the small grocery outlets

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4. Opportunity Synthesis And Prioritization


Purpose: Isolate key drivers of a brands sales to enable prioritization of strategic options/ opportunities and focus of effort 1. Volume Modeling

2. Brand Strategic Gap Scorecard

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Volume Modeling
Target Segment Population x Awareness x Distribution = Household Base x Trial Rate (Household Penetration) = Number of Trier Households x Retained User Rate/Repeat Rate = Retained User Households x Average Annual Volume/Frequency of Purchase = Total Annual Sales

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Volume Model - Nestl Milo Example


Target Segment x Awareness x Distribution = Household Base x Trial Rate = Number of Households x Repeat Rate = Average Annual Volume 1.75MM households 80%

80%
1.12MM households 70% (user rate)

784M user households


70% 1.6 200ml/week

Total Sales

45,660M drinks consumed

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Volume Modeling - Example


Alternate Opportunity Area(s) A) Expand target segment population by 50% (to 2.6MM) Incremental Sales ? Marketing Spend ? Risk/Degree of Difficulty High

B) Increase usage rate from 70% 80%

Medium

C) Increase consumer usage frequency (+1 drink/year/consumer)

Medium

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Volume Modeling - Key Variables


Influenced by: Target Segment size of target market Population awareness rate trial rate distribution Awareness Distribution Trial Rate*
based on media spend and reach/frequency delivery perceived product relevance/uniqueness investment in listings

relevance of positioning and product product uniqueness degree of unsatisfied needs perceived value price acceptability expected product quality

* can be substituted by household penetration or usage rate

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Volume Modeling - Key Variables


Retained User Rate/Repeat Purchase Average Annual Volume/ Frequency of Purchase Influenced by product delivery matches consumer expectations consumer acceptability (taste, performance, ) price/value acceptability

establishment of habit meaningful product advantage integration into consumption pattern price advantage/acceptability

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Volume Modeling - So Where Does This Get Us?


Prioritization of Brand Focus of Effort:
expand target segment(s)? or increase awareness? or increase distribution? or increase trial? or improve product performance? or increase frequency of purchase?

Based on: incremental sales incremental marketing spending risk/degree of difficulty

What If?

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Brand Strategic Gap Scorecard


A tool to assess the gap in our performance in key

strategic areas of the brands business.

Are we actually executing our strategic intent?

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Brand Strategic Gap Scorecard


Area Competitive Position Desired Performance Identify 2-3 areas of superiority or uniqueness vs. competition Actual Performance How are we performing Gap Root Cause for Gap Indicated Action

Focus of Effort

Trial, re-trial, continuity, increased consumption frequency, etc.


Benefit/price relationship

Quantitative level achieved

Value Proposition

How are we performing

Effort Priorities

List of 5-6 strategic initiatives

How many completed

Product and Packaging

Target performance (e.g. 60/40, taste profile)

Test results

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Brand Strategic Gap Scorecard


Area Integrated Communication Desired Performance Image/equity Actual Performance Image scores Gap Root Cause for Gap Indicated Action

Media

Reach/frequency/GRPs, share of voice, awareness level Avg. price vs. competition Feature price vs. competition Channel price targets Distribution targets

Actual results of media plan

Pricing

Actual pricing gaps versus target Actual results

Availability

In-Store Effectiveness

Display targets Shelving targets Merchandising targets

Actual results by channel

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Brand Strategic Gap Scorecard - Example


Area Competitive Position Desired Performance 60/40 product preference 55% leadership share of voice Actual Performance 40/60 30% share of voice Gap (20) points (25) points 20 points Root Cause for Gap Milo is not being prepared correctly High spend in Sponsorship Ineffective sampling program NA Indicated Action Intensive sampling Focus on sampling / SOV Refocus sampling effort and tie in to outlet coverage NA

Focus of Effort

30% trial level through sampling

Sampling to achieve 10%

Availability

75% distribution at grocery channel

80% achieved plus

NA

Value Proposition

Superior rich chocolate delivery at parity with other single serve beverages on per serving basis Competitively priced versus other value-added value beverages on a per serving basis

Parity price achieved; product not 60/40 preferred Achieved

Product/ Package

Consumer preparation Lack of single serve NA

Awareness Introduce RTD

Pricing

NA

NA

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Brand Strategic Scorecard - Gap Analysis


Alternate Opportunity Area(s) A) Improve product performance ratio to 60/40 Incremental Sales ? Marketing Spend ? Risk/Degree of Difficulty High

B) Invest in increased media support (build SOV to 55%)

Low

C) Increase sampling effort

Low

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5. Developing The Business Review Story


Synthesis of business overview: hows business on

the brand and why explains key reasons for results

Can be tackled as a news story

headline concept sub-headlines text

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The Business Review Story - Coffee-Mate Example


2000 was another disappointing performance year for Coffee-Mate with sales down -10% and profit flat versus 1999.

Over the past 4 years, the brand has experienced a rapid decline in household penetration (a loss of approximately 40% of our user base) as consumers have shifted away from the static powder segment of the whitening market into the growing liquid segment. On a combined powder and liquid basis, our brand share has declined from 34% in 1999 to 27% in 2000, and within powder, share has declined from 45% to 40%.

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The Business Review Story - Coffee-Mate (contd.)


Beyond losing share to other whitening occasions (e.g. liquid), Coffee Mate is also being hurt by the continued growth of Private Label powders (19% share), driven by aggressive pricing. Average selling prices for Control Label were up to 40% less than those for Coffee-Mate in 2000. Critical to the long-term reversal of this business performance is consideration of a launch into the liquid segment followed by a plan to minimize losses on powder including product reformulation, aggressive product cost savings and targeted investment in PFME support.

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Characteristics of a Good Business Review Story


Provides sufficient business context (past year, history).

Sufficiently explains the why behind business performance.


Identifies how the reader should be thinking about the brands performance (is this good/bad/indifferent). Self contained (like newspaper headlines)

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Business Review Module - Presentation Flow


1. What is a Business Review/Why Bother

2. Structuring the Business Review Analysis


3. Translating Data into Key Issues and Opportunities 4. Opportunity Synthesis and Prioritization 5. Developing the Business Review Story

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