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FTTH, LTE and VoLTE - Need to define new product. Fixed Broadband Target Market in 2016 3 Item End 2013 End 2016 Remarks Population 20,435,726 21,054,949 based on 2012 Census Data and constant population growth rate of 1.00% Total Households 5,239,930 5,398,707 based on 2012 Census Data and constant average household size of 3.
FTTH, LTE and VoLTE - Need to define new product. Fixed Broadband Target Market in 2016 3 Item End 2013 End 2016 Remarks Population 20,435,726 21,054,949 based on 2012 Census Data and constant population growth rate of 1.00% Total Households 5,239,930 5,398,707 based on 2012 Census Data and constant average household size of 3.
FTTH, LTE and VoLTE - Need to define new product. Fixed Broadband Target Market in 2016 3 Item End 2013 End 2016 Remarks Population 20,435,726 21,054,949 based on 2012 Census Data and constant population growth rate of 1.00% Total Households 5,239,930 5,398,707 based on 2012 Census Data and constant average household size of 3.
Presented to the Sri Lanka Telecom Technology Sub-Committee 07/11/2013 Product Definitions Megaline Triple play services delivered over a wired connection Can be provided over Copper or Fiber Broadband High Speed Internet Access over any access media Can be provided over xDSL, FTTx, LTE or any others PeoTV HDTV and SDTV services delivered via SLT IP network Can be provided over xDSL, FTTx, LTE or any others VoLTE Need to define new product Main Consumer Product Driving Sales will be Broadband 2 Fixed Broadband Target Market in 2016 3 Item End 2013 End 2016 Remarks Population 20,435,726 21,054,949 Based on 2012 Census Data and constant population growth rate of 1.00% Total Households 5,239,930 5,398,707 Based on 2012 Census Data and constant average household size of 3.9 Percentage of Households with Electricity 90.00% 100.00% Increase to 100% in 2016 based on vision outlined in Mahinda Chinthana Households with Electricity 4,715,937 5,398,707 2016 figure based on vision outlined in Mahinda Chinthana No. of Internet Connections 1,475,626 6,000,000 2013 Figure based on Telecommunication statistics published by TRCSL - July 2013 Percentage of Population using Internet 7.22% 28.50%
Percentage of Households with Internet 28.16% 111.15%
Percentage of Population using Fixed Broadband 2.14% 10.00% State of Broadband 2013 report by The Broadband Commission (ITU/UNESCO) 2013 Figures: Global Average: 9.8%; Developed Countries: 27.2%; Developing Countries: 6.1% Percentage of Households with Fixed Broadband 8.35% 39.00% Based on average household size of 3.9 Number of Fixed Broadband Connections 437,725 2,105,496 2013 Figure based on Telecommunication statistics published by TRCSL - July 2013 Market Fixed Broadband Share to SLT 81.58% 80.00%
Number of SLT Fixed Broadband Connections 357,059 1,684,343 2013 Customer Base for Broadband based on June MI-4 reports Fixed Broadband Target Market in 2016 4 Region Households (2016) Fixed BB HH Penetration (2016) Target Fixed BB Market in 2016 Expected SLT Fixed BB Market Share in 2016 Target SLT Fixed BB Connections 2016 SLT BB Subscribers as at 2013 (Sep) Fixed BB Net Growth between 2014-2016 Metro 798,415 64% 514,283 80% 411,426 170,408 241,018 Region I 1,920,063 37% 714,750 80% 571,800 108,525 463,275 Region II 2,021,986 33% 671,493 80% 537,194 84,246 452,948 Region III 658,311 32% 209,440 80% 167,552 34,840 132,712 All Island 5,398,775 39% 2,109,966 80% 1,687,973 398,019 1,289,954 Megaline Sales Plan for 2014 Type of Connection Existing NW New NW Total Megaline New Connections (Voice + PeoTV) 10,000 5,000 15,000 Megaline New Connections (Voice + Broadband) 55,000 20,000 75,000 Megaline New Connections (Voice Only) 20,000 20,000 Megaline New Connections (Voice + Broadband +PeoTV) 10,000 5,000 15,000 95,000 30,000 125,000 5 Network Resources for New Megaline connections: New Copper Loops from Small Scale Developments = 20,000 (with 75% utilization in 2014) New Copper Loops from Cable Re-farming = 20,000 (with 75% utilization in 2014) Recovery of Faulty Loops through Rehabilitation = 5,000 Other connections provided on existing Copper Plant Region wise Distribution of Megaline Target Region wise Breakdown of Targets Metro R I R II R III All Island Megaline New Connections (Voice + PeoTV) 4,560 4,410 4,170 1,860 15,000 Megaline New Connections (Voice + Broadband) 22,800 22,050 20,850 9,300 75,000 Megaline New Connections (Voice Only) 6,080 5,880 5,560 2,480 20,000 Megaline New Connections (Voice + Broadband +PeoTV) 4,560 4,410 4,170 1,860 15,000 All Types 38,000 36,750 34,750 15,500 125,000 6 Broadband Sales Plan for 2014 Type of Connection Existing NW New NW Total Fiber-to-the-Home 50,000 50,000 Megaline New Connections (Voice + Broadband) 55,000 20,000 75,000 Megaline New Connections (Voice + Broadband +PeoTV) 10,000 5,000 15,000 Megaline Voice Only to Broadband Upgrade 25,000 25,000 Megaline Voice Only to Broadband + PeoTV Upgrade 10,000 10,000 (Voice + PeoTV) to (Voice + Broadband + PeoTV) Upgrade 5,000 5,000 105,000 75,000 180,000 7 Ports for Broadband Connections: NGN Migration Phase V 650,000 New Ports NGN Migration Phase IV 73,000 currently commissioned Expansion of existing network elements Region wise Distribution of Broadband Target Region wise Breakdown of Targets Metro R I R II R III All Island Megaline New Connections (Voice + Broadband) 23,077 21,346 20,192 10,384 74,999 Megaline New Connections (Voice + Broadband +PeoTV) 4,615 4,269 4,038 2,077 14,999 Megaline Voice Only to Broadband Upgrade 7,693 7,116 6,731 3,462 25,002 Megaline Voice Only to Broadband + PeoTV Upgrade 3,077 2,846 2,693 1,385 10,001 (Voice + PeoTV) to (Voice + Broadband + PeoTV) Upgrade 1,538 1,423 1,346 692 4,999 Copper Based Connections 40,000 37,000 35,000 18,000 130,000 8 PeoTV Sales Plan for 2014 Type of Connection Existing NW New NW Total FTTH 20,000 20,000 Megaline New Connections (Voice + PeoTV) 10,000 5,000 15,000 Megaline New Connections (Voice + Broadband +PeoTV) 10,000 5,000 15,000 Megaline Voice Only to PeoTV Upgrade 10,000 10,000 Megaline Voice Only to Broadband + PeoTV Upgrade 16,000 16,000 (Voice + Broadband) to (Voice + Broadband + PeoTV) Upgrade 5,000 5,000 51,000 30,000 81,000 9 Target may be changed if the new PeoTV Platform is not commissioned on schedule. Region wise Distribution of PeoTV Target Region wise Breakdown of Targets Metro R I R II R III All Island Megaline New Connections (Voice + Broadband) 4,909 4,364 4,364 1,364 15,001 Megaline New Connections (Voice + Broadband +PeoTV) 4,909 4,364 4,364 1,364 15,001 Megaline Voice Only to Broadband Upgrade 3,273 2,909 2,909 909 10,000 Megaline Voice Only to Broadband + PeoTV Upgrade 5237 4655 4655 1455 16002 (Voice + PeoTV) to (Voice + Broadband + PeoTV) Upgrade 1,636 1,455 1,455 455 5,001 ADSL Based Connections 19,964 17,747 17,747 5,547 61,005 10 Region wise Distribution of FTTH Target FTTH All New Connections in 2014 50,000 Metro 30,000 Region I 9,000 Region II 8,000 Region III 3,000 11 FTTx Network Deployment: Fiber network to be deployed to cover 100,000 households within 2014 Network Equipment capacity to be planned to cater min. 150,000 FTTH connections by 2016. - 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 800,000 0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 LTE Deployment Plan Linear Curve for Growth Month Scenario 2 Commence Dec 13 4Q 2013 1Q 2014 2Q 2014 3Q 2014 4Q 2014
2,613 District Wise HHs to be served by Fixed LTE BB (End 2016 Target) 19% 20% 10% 9% 16% (A) District (B) Area SqKM (C) HH (D) % HH with Electricity (E) Feasible HH (F) Potential HH for Fixed BB [ (E) * 75% ] (G) HH served by Megalines (H) Potential HH for Fixed LTE BB [ (F) (G) ] (I) HH to be served with Fixed LTE BB [30% of (H)] District Wise HH to be served by Fixed LTE BB (End 2016 Target) Vavuniya 1,967 41,214 71% 29,254 21,940 6,170 15,770 4,731 Mullaitivu 2,617 24,334 24% 5,753 4,314 - 4,314 1,294 Kilinochchi 1,279 28,304 10% 2,873 2,155 - 2,155 646 Batticaloa 2,854 133,795 68% 90,312 67,734 30,072 37,661 11,298 Ampara 4,415 163,388 82% 133,700 100,275 4,247 96,029 28,809 Trincomalee 2,727 95,871 78% 74,914 56,185 10,088 46,097 13,829 Kurunegala 4,816 439,065 86% 377,947 283,460 46,540 236,920 71,076 Puttalam 3,072 200,784 84% 168,538 126,404 20,792 105,612 31,684 Anuradhapura 7,179 228,304 83% 190,406 142,804 16,937 125,867 37,760 Polonnaruwa 3,293 110,476 84% 92,402 69,302 8,453 60,848 18,255 Badulla 2,861 212,510 87% 183,885 137,914 11,039 126,875 38,062 Moneragala 5,639 117,935 71% 83,274 62,455 - 62,455 18,737 Ratnapura 3,275 280,581 84% 234,285 175,714 33,898 141,816 42,545 Kegalle 1,693 218,508 89% 193,664 145,248 21,027 124,220 37,266 65,610 5,188,047 4,550,876 3,413,157 992,095 2,421,061 726,318 20% 10% 12% 19% 1. eNodeB Deployment plan takes a high-level view; based on districts 2. Final number of eNodeBs required in a district is based on 30% of potential HH for fixed BB in that District 3. 60 to 75 % of that requirement is provided in phases 0 ,1 & 2 combined in high requirement areas and around 5 to 10 % in low requirement areas 4. Exact locations of the eNodeBs are decided by the distribution of such potential HH in the district (marketing input), availability of sharable sites and the radio design - subject to the integrated access technology utilization plan for BB 5. However, outcome of above need to ensure that the overall target set for Fixed LTE BB is achievable
Basis For eNodeB (BTS) Deployment Overall eNodeB Deployment Plan Linear Curve for Growth
1Q 2013 2Q 2013 3Q 2013 4Q 2013 Additions 0 0 0 63 Cumulative by end 0 0 0 63
1Q 2014 2Q 2014 3Q 2014 4Q 2014 Additions 365 0 734 0 Cumulative by end 428 428 1,163
1,163
1Q 2015 2Q 2015 3Q 2015 4Q 2015 Additions 0 0 0 709 Cumulative by end 1,163
1,163 1,163
1,871
1Q 2016 2Q 2016 3Q 2016 4Q 2016 Additions 0 0 0 0 Cumulative by end 1,871 1,871 1,871 1,871 eNodeB Deployment Plan Phase 0 + Phase 1
District No. of eNodeB Colombo* 10 Gampaha 120 Kalutara 54 Kandy 65 Matale 20 Nuwara - Eliya 35 Galle 62 Matara 44 Hambantota* 38 Jaffna 22 Mannar 1 Vavuniya 1 Mullaitivu 1 Kilinochchi 1 Batticaloa 2 Ampara 3 Trincomalee* 4 Kurunegala 90 Puttalam* 13 Anuradhapura 4 Polonnaruwa 2 Badulla 43 Moneragala 2 Ratnapura 49 Kegalle 48 Total 734 Region wise Distribution of LTE Target LTE All New Connections in 2014 129,200 Metro 13,500 Region I 50,800 Region II 51,500 Region III 13,400 19 LTE Network Deployment: Base station deployment to get 129,200 customers in 2014 Wi-Fi Site Deployment Plan All Island Year Indoor Sites Outdoor Sites Cumulative Hotspot Sites 2013/14 98 51 149 2014 1600* 300* 2049 2015 640** 120** 2809 2016 640** 120** 3569 2017 640** 120** 4389 1. Wi-Fi Location may have one or many sites - e,g. A2 , A4 etc 2. * - Requirement provided by Marketing 3. ** - Estimate provided by Marketing THE END RTOM Area wise Fixed Broadband Targets Region wise Summary Area Househol ds with Elec. (2016) Fixed BB HH Penetrati on (2016) Target Fixed BB Market in 2016 Target SLT Fixed BB Connecti ons 2016
BB Customer Base (Sep 2013) BB NC to be provided between 2014- 2016 Revised LTE Targets Revised DSL + FTTH Targets DSL+FTTH 2014 DSL+FTTH 2015 DSL+FTTH 2016 Metro 798,415 64% 510,986 407,797 170,408 237,389 102,000 135,389 61,312 51,094 22,983 Region I 1,920,063 37% 710,424 571,800 108,525 463,275 347,300 115,975 52,520 43,766 19,688 Region II 2,021,986 33% 667,256 537,194 84,246 452,948 349,200 103,748 46,983 39,151 17,612 Region III 658,311 32% 210,660 167,552 34,840 132,712 90,350 42,362 19,184 15,987 7,191 All Island 5,398,775 39% 2,105,523 1,684,343 398,019 1,286,324 888,850 397,474 179,999 149,998 67,474 Metro Area Household s with Elec. (2016) Fixed BB HH Penetratio n (2016) Target Fixed BB Market in 2016 Target SLT Fixed BB Connection s 2016
BB Customer Base (Sep 2013) BB NC to be provided between 2014-2016 Revised LTE Targets Revised DSL + FTTH Targets DSL+FTTH 2014 DSL+FTTH 2015 DSL+FTTH 2016 Havelock Town 90,725 80% 72,580 58,064 30,411 27,653 5,000 22,653 10,259 8,549 3,846 Kotte 153,707 60% 92,225 73,780 34,455 39,325 15,000 24,325 11,016 9,180 4,129 Metro Central 244,432 67% 163,770 131,844 64,866 66,978 20,000 46,978 21,275 17,729 7,975 Maradana 184,747 60% 110,849 88,679 22,786 65,893 42,000 23,893 10,820 9,017 4,056 Wattala 98,081 60% 58,849 47,079 18,994 28,085 12,500 15,585 7,058 5,882 2,646 Metro North 282,828 60% 169,697 135,758 41,780 93,978 54,500 39,478 17,878 14,899 6,702 Nugegoda 125,492 70% 87,845 70,276 34,798 35,478 13,250 22,228 10,066 8,388 3,773 Ratmalana 145,663 60% 87,398 69,918 28,964 40,954 14,250 26,704 12,093 10,078 4,533 Metro South 271,155 65% 176,251 140,194 63,762 76,432 27,500 48,932 22,159 18,466 8,306 Metro Region 798,415 64% 510,986 407,797 170,408 237,389 102,000 135,389 61,312 51,094 22,983 Region I Area Household s with Elec. (2016) Fixed BB HH Penetratio n (2016) Target Fixed BB Market in 2016 Target SLT Fixed BB Connection s 2016