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Return = P1 - Po + D1
Po
Stock Returns:
Return = P1 - Po + D1
Po
P1 - Po D1
= +
Po Po
Stock Returns:
Return = P1 - Po + D1
Po
P1 - Po D1
= +
Po Po
Capital Gain
Stock Returns:
Return = P1 - Po + D1
Po
P1 - Po D1
= +
Po Po
P1 - Po D1
Return = +
Po Po
Financing Profitable Capital
Investments:
P1 - Po D1
Return = +
Po Po
Financing Profitable Capital
Investments:
P1 - Po D1
Return = +
Po Po
Paying Dividends:
If we pay dividends,
P1 - Po D1
Return = +
Po Po
Paying Dividends:
P1 - Po D1
Return = +
Po Po
Paying Dividends:
P1 - Po D1
Return = +
Po Po
So, dividend policy really
involves two decisions:
Three viewpoints:
1) Dividends are Irrelevant
2) High Dividends are Best
3) Low Dividends are Best
Three viewpoints:
P1 - Po D1
Return = +
Po Po
Dividends are Irrelevant
P1 - Po D1
Return = +
Po Po
High Dividends are Best
P1 - Po D1
Return = +
Po Po
Low Dividends are Best
2) Clientele Effects:
Different investor clienteles prefer
different dividend payout levels.
Some firms, such as utilities, pay out
over 70% of their earnings as
dividends. These attract a clientele that
prefers high dividends.
Growth-oriented firms which pay low
(or no) dividends attract a clientele that
prefers price appreciation to dividends.
Other Considerations
3) Information Effects:
Unexpected dividend increases
usually cause stock prices to rise,
and unexpected dividend decreases
cause stock prices to fall.
Dividend changes convey
information to the market
concerning the firm’s future
prospects.
Other Considerations
4) Agency Costs:
Paying dividends may reduce agency
costs between managers and
shareholders.
Paying dividends reduces retained
earnings and forces the firm to raise
external equity financing.
Raising external equity subjects the
firm to scrutiny of regulators (SEC) and
investors and therefore helps monitor
the performance of managers.
Other Considerations
5) Expectations Theory:
Investors form expectations concerning
the amount of a firm’s upcoming
dividend.
Expectations are based on past dividends,
expected earnings, investment and
financing decisions, the economy, etc.
The stock price will likely react if the
actual dividend is different from the
expected dividend.
Dividend Policies
1) Constant Dividend Payout Ratio: If
directors declare a constant payout
ratio of, for example, 30%, then for
every dollar of earnings available to
stockholders, 30 cents would be paid
out as dividends.
The ratio remains constant over time,
but the dollar value of dividends
changes as earnings change.
Dividend Policies
stock price
P/E =
(
net income
# shares )
Before the 50% stock dividend:
EPS = 750,000 / 250,000 = $3.
P/E = 84 / 3 = 28.
After the 50% stock dividend:
# shares = 250,000 x 1.50 = 375,000.
EPS = 750,000 / 375,000 = $2.
P/E = P / 2 = 28, so P = $56 per share.
(A 50% stock dividend is equivalent to a
3-for-2 stock split.)
Stock Repurchases
Stock Repurchases may be a good
substitute for cash dividends.
If the firm has excess cash, why not
buy back common stock?
Stock Repurchases
Stock Repurchases may be a good
substitute for cash dividends.
If the firm has excess cash, why not
buy back common stock?
Stock Repurchases
Repurchases drive up the stock
price, producing capital gains for
shareholders.
Repurchases increase leverage, and
can be used to move toward the
optimal capital structure.
Repurchases signal positive
information to the market—which
increases stock price.
Stock Repurchases