Engineering Decisions Presented by: Hank Bonstedt Executive Director Prestressed Concrete Association of Pennsylvania What is Life Cycle Cost? An economic analysis procedure that uses engineering inputs
Compares competing alternatives considering all significant costs
Expresses results in equivalent dollars (present worth) Cost Considerations
Maintenance and Inspection Cost Initial Cost C o s t s
Present Worth Years Rehabilitation Cost Salvage Value Salvage Costs Present Worth Analysis Discounts all future costs and benefits to the present: t=n PW = FC + pwf [MC+IC+FRC+UC] + pwf [S] t=0 FC = First (Initial) Cost t = Time Period of Analysis MC = Maintenance Costs IC = Inspection Costs FRC = Future Rehabilitation Costs UC = Users Costs S = Salvage Values or Costs pwf = Present Worth Factor First (Initial) Cost Initial cost of structure
Incentive/disincentive payments should not be included since they would reflect user benefits or costs prior to structure going into service Time Period of Analysis Normally equal for all alternatives
Should include at least one major rehabilitation Needed to capture the true economic benefit of each alternative
Bridge design today is based on a probabilistic model of 100 years Maintenance Costs Annual cost associated with the upkeep of the structure Information is difficult to obtain for a given project Cost varies on the basis of size of the structure (sqft) Best Guess Values Frequency - Annual Concrete 0.05 % of Initial Cost Structural Steel 0.05 % of Initial Cost Inspection Costs Requirements set forth in the National Bridge Inspection Standards (23 CFR 650.3) Occurs for all alternatives every two years Cost varies on the basis of size of the structure (sqft) and by construction material Best Guess Values Frequency - Biannual Concrete 0.15 % of Initial Cost Structural Steel 0.20 % of Initial Cost Future Painting Costs Only applies to structural steel structures but excludes weathering steel Should occur every 20 years Cost varies on the basis of size of the structure (sqft) Best Guess Values Frequency every 20 years Concrete 0.0 % of Initial Cost Structural Steel 7.0 % of Initial Cost Future Rehabilitation Costs The frequency is not only a function of time but also the growing traffic volume and the structural beam system Cost varies on the basis of size of the structure (sqft) and structural beam system Best Guess Values Frequency First occurrence Concrete 40 years First occurrence Structural Steel 35 years Annual traffic growth rate .75 % (shortens rehab cycles) Concrete 20.0 % of Initial Cost Structural Steel 22.0 % of Initial Cost Salvage Value/Costs Occurs once at end of life of structure
Difference between Removal cost Salvage value
Best Guess Values Removal cost 10 % of Initial Cost Salvage Value Concrete - 0 % of Initial Cost Salvage Value Structural Steel - 2 % of Initial Cost Users Costs For early construction completion, maintenance and rehabilitations only
Delay-of-use Time delay Fuel consumption Driver discomfort
Vehicle operating costs
Accidents Users Costs Pros Users pay for transportation system Drives the results Cons Owner can not recoup costs Not in my budget Drives the results Users Costs Driver Delay Costs:
DDC = (L/S a -L/S n ) x ADT x N x w
L = Length of affected road way S a = Traffic speed during maintenance activity S n = Normal traffic speed ADT = Average daily traffic (vehicles per day) N = number of days of maintenance activity w = Hourly time value of drivers Users Costs Vehicle Operating Costs:
VOC = (L/S a -L/S n ) x ADT x N x r
L = Length of affected road way S a = Traffic speed during maintenance activity S n = Normal traffic speed ADT = Average daily traffic (vehicles per day) N = number of days of maintenance activity r = weighted-average vehicle cost Users Costs Accident Costs:
AC = L x ADT x N x (A a -A n ) x c a
L = Length of affected road way ADT = Average daily traffic (vehicles per day) N = number of days of maintenance activity A a = Accident rate during maintenance activity A n = Normal accident rate c a = Cost per accident Present Worth Factor 1 pwf = (1 + i) n
pwf = Present Worth Factor for discount rate i and year n i = Discount rate n = Number of years when cost (benefit) will occur Discount Rate Interest - Inflation i = 1 + Inflation Interest The return of an investment that raises the future value of an invested dollar
Inflation The erosion of a dollars value that raises any future expenses
Use of a discount rate allows for the use of constant dollars in the analysis Process And Approach Limits Government does not invest money to gain cash benefits (interest)
Government money is generally invested only in depreciating assets
Anything not bought this year costs more next year (inflation) User Costs Input User Costs Inputs Alternative 1 Prestressed Concrete Len gt h of affect ed roadway * 2.00 2.00 miles ADT * 5,000 5,000 veh icles per day Normal t raffic speed 45 45 mph Con st ruct ion t raffic speed 20 20 mph Normal acciden t rat e 1.9 1.9 / million veh icle miles Con st ruct ion acciden t rat e 2.2 2.2 / million veh icle miles Number of con st ruct ion days Early Construction Completion 90 0 days Maintenance 10 10 days/ occurren ce Inspection 5 8 days/ occurren ce Painting 0 90 days/ occurren ce Rehabilitation 120 120 days/ occurren ce Hourly t ime value of drivers 6.25 6.25 $/ h our Weigh t ed average veh icle cost 8.00 8.00 $/ h our Cost per acciden t 100,000 100,000 $/ occurren ce Note*: Total traffic affected by Maintenance, Inspection, Painting, and Rehabilitation activity over and under structure Alternative 2 Structural Steel Discount Rate Inputs Present Worth Factors For All Alternatives Discount Rate 0.00% Inflation Rate 2.00% Structure Costs Input In it ial Cost of St ruct ure 7,000,000 An alysis Period 100 Frequency (Years) Cost Factor Per Occurrence Cost Main t en an ce Cost s 1 0.05% 3,500 In spect ion Cost s 2 0.15% 10,500 Pain t in g Cost s 0 0.00% 0 Reh abilit at ion Cost s First Rehabilitation 40 20.00% 1,400,000 An n ual Traffic Growt h Rat e * 0.75% Salvage Cost s/ Value Demolition Costs 100 10.00% 700,000 Salvage Value 100 0.00% 0 Net Salvage Costs 700,000 Alternative 1 - Prestressed Concrete Structure Costs Input In it ial Cost of St ruct ure 7,000,000 An alysis Period 100 Frequency (Years) Cost Factor Per Occurrence Cost Main t en an ce Cost s 1 0.05% 3,500 In spect ion Cost s 2 0.20% 14,000 Pain t in g Cost s 20 7.00% 490,000 Reh abilit at ion Cost s First Rehabilitation 35 22.00% 1,540,000 An n ual Traffic Growt h Rat e * 0.75% Salvage Cost s/ Value Demolition Costs 100 10.00% 700,000 Salvage Value 100 2.00% 140,000 Net Salvage Costs 560,000 Alternative 2 - Structural Steel Life Cycle Costs Results Costs User Costs Total Construction 7,000,000 (383,250) 6,616,750 Maintenance 346,500 4,215,750 4,562,250 Inspection 514,500 1,043,292 1,557,792 Painting 0 0 0 Rehabilitation 4,200,000 1,533,000 5,733,000 Salvage 700,000 700,000 Total Constant Dollars 12,761,000 6,408,792 19,169,792 Present W orth 30,235,675 21,746,666 51,982,341 Alternative 1 - Prestressed Concrete Life Cycle Costs Results Costs User Costs Total Construction 7,000,000 0 7,000,000 Maintenance 346,500 4,215,750 4,562,250 Inspection 686,000 1,669,267 2,355,267 Painting 1,960,000 1,533,000 3,493,000 Rehabilitation 6,160,000 2,044,000 8,204,000 Salvage 560,000 560,000 Total Constant Dollars 16,712,500 9,462,017 26,174,517 Present W orth 48,910,066 31,365,348 80,275,414 Alternative 2 - Structural Steel Life Cycle Costs Comparisons Prestressed Concrete Savings Costs User Costs Total Constant Dol l ars 31% 48% 37% Present Worth 62% 44% 54% Questions? Thank you for your Attention!