Portraying huge market potential because of growth in key
industries like food & beverage and pharmaceuticals. P71D-15 June 2013 2 P71D-15 Research Team Name Krishna Chandra Dey Research Analyst Environment Technologies Practice +91.33.66273337 krishnachandraD@frost.com Lead Analyst Research Director Name Sasidhar Chidanamarri Industry Manager Environment Technologies Practice +91.44.66814081 sasidhar.chidanamarri@frost.com Strategic Review Committee Leader Name Nideshna Naidu Industry Analyst Environment Technologies Practice +91.44.66814351 nideshna.naidu@frost.com 3 P71D-15 Contents Section Slide Numbers Executive Summary 4 Market Overview 9 Total Packaged Wastewater Treatment Market in India - External Challenges: Drivers and Restraints 15 Forecasts and Trends 22 Market Share and Competitive Analysis 31 End User Segment Breakdown 40 State Suitability and Industry Breakdown 50 End User Segment Overview 53 The Last Word 63 Appendix 66 4 P71D-15 Executive Summary 5 P71D-15 Executive Summary The packaged wastewater treatment market presently is in growing stage with a market size of INR 1,600 million and 12.8 percent CAGR between 2012-2017, which throws ample opportunities. The packaged wastewater market in India is slowly expanding from Industries to hotels and institutions. Small break even period coupled with stringent laws and government initiatives and polices are the major drivers of the industry. The food and beverage industry growing at 25 percent Compound Annual Growth Rate(CAGR) and pharma industry growing at 15 percent CAGR dominates the industrial segment. The low penetration of such systems in class-I cities(32 percent) and class-II cities(8 percent) is an eye opener for new as well as present market players. Regulation in various cities like Gujarat and government initiative for wastewater treatment in Bihar is propelling such systems in these two cities enormously. West Bengal, Gujarat, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh and Bihar are high growth rate markets for packaged systems.
Source: Frost & Sullivan. 6 P71D-15 Executive SummaryMarket Engineering Measurements Market Stage Growing Market Revenues INR 1,600 M (2012) Average Price Per Unit INR 2.20 M Market size at the end of Forecast Period INR 2,925 M (2017) Base Year Market Growth Rate 11.2% 5 Year Forecast Market Growth Rate 12.8% (CAGR) Customer Price Sensitivity 5 (scale:1 [low] to 10 [High]) Market Concentration 15.4% Degree of Technical Change 6 (scale:1 [low] to 10 [High]) Market Overview Total Packaged wastewater treatment market: India, 2012 For a tabular version click here. Stable Increasing Decreasing (% of market share held by top 3 companies) Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2012. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. (2012) 7 P71D-15 Average Product Development Time 3-5 Years Number of Competitors 100-150 (active market competitors in base year) Executive SummaryMarket Engineering Measurements (continued) Competitor Overview Stable Increasing Decreasing Maintenance frequency 1-2 times per year (average maintenance frequency) Total Addressable Market Industry Advancement Marketing Spend as a Percent of Market Revenue 2-3% . Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2012. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 8 P71D-15 Executive SummaryCEOs Perspective 2 The market is highly Fragmented so Tie-ups with local players could be a game changer. 3 Educational promotions regarding low operating cost of such systems in long run is an efficient marketing strategy. 4 Patented technologies give cutting edge in enhancing the profit share as consumers are not much cost-sensitive as quality sensitive. 5 Such small systems are being promoted by state governments by giving tax breaks etc. which is leading to many start- ups in this industry. 1 Branding is extremely important for higher profit margins in case of Industrial packaged systems. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 9 P71D-15 Market Overview 10 P71D-15 Market OverviewDefinitions The market covered by this project comprises packaged wastewater treatment plants in India Upto a capacity of 500 Kilo liters per day(KLD). The scope of this project includes all sorts of wastewater treatment installations within 500 KLD. It doesnt include parallel pre-treatment facilities. This study covers the break up of packaged systems end user wise and also points the potential states and sectors for such systems. Revenue is specified in Indian Rupees (INR) Million. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 2017 Time Line Geographic Scope Short Term Long Term 2012 2014 2015 Forecast Period Base Year Medium Term 11 P71D-15 Market OverviewKey Questions This Study Will Answer Is the market growing, how long will it continue to grow and at what rate? What are the sectors which are expected to see major growth for packaged systems? Will these companies/products/services continue to exist or will they get acquired by other companies? Which states of India are most suitable for market expansion and what are the factors that drive the market in these states? Are the products/services offered today meeting customer needs or is there additional development needed? Are the vendors in the space ready to go alone, or do they need partnerships to take their business to the next level? Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 12 P71D-15 Market OverviewSegmentation Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2012. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. Commercial 20.0% Municipalities 30.0% Industries 50.0% Percent Sales Breakdown Packaged wastewater treatment plant: India,2012 13 P71D-15 Market Share by Technology . Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. Key Takeaway: RO Systems would increase its market share at the cost of MBBR.
MBBR 50% MBR 10% RO 25% OTHERS 15% Packaged Wastewater System Breakdown by Technology 14 P71D-15 Technology Break Up Discussion Moving Bed Bio-Film Reactor(MBBR)- It uses polyethylene biofilm carriers operating in mixed motion within an aerated basin. It has the advantage of compact size but it requires maintenance and cant bear shock loads. Membrane Bio reactor(MBR)- It is the combination of a membrane process like microfiltration or ultrafiltration with a suspended growth bio reactor. It is effective at high concentrations of solids due to cross flow mixing. Reverse Osmosis(RO)- Reverse osmosis uses osmotic pressure gradient in opposite direction and produces extremely high purity of water and is highly used in Pharma industry. It is a costly method compared to MBBR and MBR technologies. Fluidized Media Reactor(FMR)- Its very similar to bio reactor with only difference that the entire medium is fluidized and air is generally used as fluidizing media and its a complete physical separation process. Other Technologies- Other Technologies like Field erected package(FEP), Sequential batch reactor(SBR) are relatively new technologies. Up flow Anaerobic Sludge blanket digestion(UASB) is a very slow process and is used where there are no space constraints.
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 15 P71D-15 External Challenges: Drivers and Restraints Total Packaged Wastewater Treatment Plant Market 16 P71D-15 Drivers and Restraints
M a r k e t
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1-2 years 3-5 years 6-10 years High growth rates of food and beverage industry is expected to propel the demand in industrial segment. Impact: High Medium Low Packaged Wastewater Treatment Plant Market: Key Market Drivers and Restraints, India, 2012-2017 Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. Construction industry development accompanying the industrial growth would drive the demand in hotels and institutions. Increasing government regulations, tax breaks and stringent water disposal parameters coupled with declining cost and increased awareness would lead to more use of such packaged systems. Lack of awareness about operating cost, and profitability is pegging the rapid growth. Negligence in the implementation of water pollution laws and back end corruption is also a deterrent. 17 P71D-15 Drivers Explained The Growth of the Food and Beverage Industry The Indian Food and Beverage Industry is witnessing an annual growth rate of 25.0 percent with a market size of $69.4 billion and expected to grow at massive rates owing to increasing population and higher rate of urbanization. Rapid Urbanization The increasing rate of urbanization and growing fast food culture coupled with westernization is propelling the Food and Beverage industry. This is pretty evident from the increasing per capita consumption of almost all food items. The expansion plans of all major companies in this sector and the opening of retail sector to foreign direct investment and the clause that they have to procure 30 percent of items from domestic suppliers, would lead to increase in efficiency in terms of water treatment technology which in turn would increase the demand of small packaged wastewater treatment plants.
Food Companies Expansion Plans Nutricia International Its aiming to double the sales in the next three years by consolidating the local brands acquired from Wockhardt and then introducing selected brands from Danones International nutrition portfolio. Poncho Indian Angel network has made an investment in Mumbai based Mexican quick service restaurant, Poncho to reach 15 outlets by 2012. New Silk route New Silk Route (NSR) plans to invest about US$ 100 million to expand its food and restaurant portfolio. Coca-Cola Coca-Cola plans to invest US$ 5 billion over the next 10 years as it expands its capacities in India. MOFPI The Ministry of Food Processing Industries (MoFPI) has formulated a Vision 2015 Action Plan that includes trebling the size of the food processing industry, raising the level of processing of perishables from 6 per cent to 20 percent, increasing value addition from 20 per cent to 35 percent, and enhancing India's share in global food trade from 1.5 per cent to 3 percent. 18 P71D-15 Drivers Explained (continued) The Growth of the Construction Industry The Indian Construction Industry is expected to witness an annual growth rate of 10 percent with a market size of INR 2.40 billion and expected to grow at massive rates owing to increasing population and higher rate of urbanization. Rapid Urbanization The constant demand supply gap in the construction industry is fuelling the real estate, hotels and institutions growth in urban areas and also leading to expansion of urban areas. Moreover the RBIS stand of reducing the interest rates and paring down the Cash Reserve Ratio is clearly an indicator of steps to spur investment which is bound to have a repel effect on the construction industry especially associated real estates, hotels and institutions. Maharashtra, Andhra Pradesh, Tamilnadu, Uttar Pradesh and west Bengal are key states for packaged systems in hotels and institutions.
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 Construction Industry Relative Growth, India, 2012 R e l a t i v e
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Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis 19 P71D-15 Drivers Explained (continued) Government Laws and Regulations and increased Awareness The water laws and regulations are getting stringent day by day and with more emphasis being laid on its implementation, the percentage of industries following the standards are on the rise. Many states like Bihar are giving tax breaks to the start up companies setting up wastewater treatment facilities. The government is also providing loans at zero percent interest rate on a case by case basis. Of the overall 4,339 MLD capacity Sewage treatment plant that has been sanctioned in 167 towns under national river conservation plan 3,095 MLD has already been installed. The low O & M cost of STP systems as well very low power consumption is a fact not much of a popular fact. As the awareness spreads more and more companies would adopt such systems and stop discharging the waste directly into the water bodies.
Source: Infrastructure report 2011 & Frost & Sullivan analysis Polluting Sources Specific Standards Current Status Domestic sewage from towns and cities. MINAS STP facilities exists for only 26% of sewage from class-I and class-II cities. Out of those only 55% are complying with MINAS. Industrial Effluents (point discharges) MINAS(Industry specific) No Comprehensive statistics available but wide spread damage is documented by CPCB. Industrial and mines run-off No standards/legislation No comprehensive study measuring the quantum of contaminants available. Agricultural run-off No standards/legislation Widespread run off of pesticide prone water to water bodies have been documented. 20 P71D-15 Restraints Explained Lack of Awareness The lack of awareness about low operating cost and the subsequent tax benefits from meeting the government standards has created a myth that packaged systems are costly to operate and install. The installation cost varies between INR 10-30 lakhs depending upon the complexity of applications. The cost of power varies with technology and ranges from INR 1.31/m^3 to INR 9.61/m^3. The Operation & Maintenance cost varies from INR 0.57/m^3 to INR 5.48/m^3. Moreover industries complying the standards can export goods which is an additional revenue making feature. So as the wastewater management companies and consultants work for increasing the awareness, on short run they are major impediments. O & M cost & Power cost variation with Technology, India, 2011
Source: Grover(2011) & Frost & Sullivan analysis Technology O & M cost/m^3 (INR) Power cost/ m^3 (INR) Extended Aeration 0.57 1.31 Classical Tertiary+ UV+ CL 5.11 8.74 MBR +UV+ CL 5.48 9.61 Densadeg. (Degermont technology) + Bio formation. 1.73 3.01 Biotower+ Densadeg + Bio formation 1.14 1.68 21 P71D-15 Restraints Explained(continued) Negligence in law implementation and back end corruption Though there has been laws related to wastewater standards but lack of implementation has lead to low penetration of such laws even in tier-I cities. The prevalence of corruption in environmental departments leads to illegal approval of water discharge directly to water bodies without meeting the requirements. Even in Class-I cities the available treatment capacity is only 32% whereas in class-II towns it is only 8%. CPCB provides source specific pollution standards for industries with respect to pollution concentration of major water pollutants: (BOD), chemical oxygen demand (COD), suspended solids (SS), and PH.
Wastewater treatment Capacity in Urban Areas, India, 2012
Source: CPCB(2008) & Frost & Sullivan analysis Category No. Of Cities Total water supply(in MLD) Wastewater generation (in MLD) Treatment capacity (in MLD) Class-I city 498 44769.05 35558.12 11553.68(32%) Class-II town 410 3324.83 2696.70 233.7(8%) Total 908 48093.88 38254 11787.38(31%) 22 P71D-15 Forecasts and TrendsTotal Market 23 P71D-15 MEASUREMENT NAME MEASUREMENT TREND Market Stage (Nascent, Growth, Mature) Growing
Market Revenue (2012) INR 1,600 M Market Units/Volume (2012) 750-800 Average Price Per Unit INR 2.20 M Market Size at End of Forecast Period (2017) INR 2,925 M Base Year Market Growth Rate 11.2% 5 Year Forecast Market Growth Rate (CAGR) , 2012-2017 12.8% Customer Price Sensitivity (scale of 1 to 10, Low to High) 5
Degree of Technical Change (scale of 1 to 10, Low to High) 6 Market Concentration (% of base year market controlled by top three competitors) 15.4%
Market Overview Total Packaged Water Treatment Plant Market: India, 2012 Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2012. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 24 P71D-15 Maintenance frequency(average maintenance frequency) 1-2 times per year
MEASUREMENT NAME MEASUREMENT TREND Number of Competitors (active market competitors in base year) 100-150
Competitor Overview Total Addressable Market Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2012. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 25 P71D-15 MEASUREMENT NAME MEASUREMENT TREND Average Product Development Time 3-5 Years
Marketing Spend as a Percent of Market Revenue 2-3% Market Engineering Measurements (continued) TREND Decreasing Stable Increasing
Industry Advancement Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2012. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 26 P71D-15 Forecast Assumptions Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. A stable economic outlook has been considered for the next five years with GDP growth of 8 percent for the period (2012-2017).
The Asian market for water and wastewater treatment in the pharmaceutical industry is expected to witness a CAGR of 16.5 percent according to the Frost & Sullivan Global Pharmaceutical Water and Wastewater Study.
The growth of Textile industry has been assumed to be 16 percent according to National Manufacturing Competitiveness Council (NMCC) report.
The growth of Food & Beverage industry over the next five years has been assumed to be 25 percent according to government reports and the allowance of Foreign direct investment in retail with a clause of procuring 30 percent goods domestically.
The Pharma industry and Distillery industry are expected to grow at a rate of 15 percent and 9 percent annually according to planning commission annual report.
The Hotels and Institutions are expected to grow at a rate 10 percent annually considering the population growth and urbanization trend in India.
27 P71D-15 Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2012. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 9.5 10.0 10.5 11.0 11.5 12.0 12.5 13.0 13.5 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Revenue (INR Million) 1,600 1,779 1,993 2,251 2,559 2,925 Growth Rate (%) 10.9 11.4 12.3 12.6 12.9 G r o w t h
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Year Total Packaged Wastewater Treatment Market: Revenue Forecast India, 20122017 CAGR = 12.8% (2012-2017) Total Packaged Wastewater Treatment Plant Market Revenue Forecast Key Takeaway: Growth is fuelled by increasing adoption and industrial growth.
28 P71D-15 Revenue Forecast Discussion In 2012, the packaged wastewater treatment plant market in India was valued at INR 1,600 million. It is in growing stage with a highly fragmented market structure. The adoption of sewage treatment plants even in class-I cities have been only 32 percent and in class-II cities it is only 8 percent. These unexplored markets are key potential for packaged plants due to space constraints as well as due to government regulations. As the economy starts gaining confidence and the investment scenario comes back on track, the packaged system would get more popular due to environmental issues which explains the high growth rate predicted at the latter half of the forecast period when its expected to grow at a rate between 12-13 percent per annum. The growth is expected to be steady over the next 5 years and the market size is forecasted to grow to INR 2,925 million at the end of the year 2017. The opening up of foreign direct investment, lowering of cash reserve ratio and reducing the interest rates would bolster the investment mainly in infrastructure and food industry where huge demand potential is yet to be untapped.
Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2012. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. Total Packaged Wastewater Treatment Plant Market Revenue Forecast by End User Key Takeaway: Industrial segment outweighs municipal & commercial R e v e n u e
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Total Packaged Wastewater Treatment Market: Revenue Forecast by End User India, 20122017 30 P71D-15 End User Market Revenue Forecast Discussion The end user market can be broadly categorized into municipalities, commercial and industrial. The municipalities have about 30.0 percent market share, commercial which includes hotels, institutions and hospitals have 20.0 percent market share and industries form the major chunk taking 50.0 percent market share. The main driver among the end users is industries which is expected to have a CAGR of 15.4 percent whereas municipalities and commercial are pegged at 10.0 percent growth rate. In the municipal segment the second tier cities are expected to be the major contributor where rate of wastewater generation is on a higher note. In the commercial segment its the green buildings that are expected to be key driver due to higher rates of technology adoption. In the industrial segment food and beverage industries is the blooming sun growing at a CAGR of 25.0 percent followed by textile industry growing at a CAGR of 16.0 percent.
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 31 P71D-15 Market Share and Competitive Analysis Total Market 32 P71D-15 Competitive AnalysisMarket Share * A list of Other companies can be found in the appendix. Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2012. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. Key Takeaway: Smaller companies like cater to different market compared to bigger players like due to lack of technology to treat complex impurities. Ion Exchange 12% Aquatech Systems 9% Siemens 2% Aquadesigns 4% Driplex 1% Thermax 3% Degermont 6% Shubham Inc. 5% Marcus water Treatment 4% RO Chem 9% Lotus Environment Technology Pvt. Ltd 1% Neela Systems 3% Sai enviro 1% Others 40% Per Cent of Sales Total Packaged Wastewater treatment Plant Market: India, 2012 33 P71D-15 Market Share Analysis Companies Revenue (INR Million) Ion Exchange 195.0 Aquatech Systems 150.0 RO Chem 150.0 Degermont 90.0 Shubham Inc. 80.0 Others 935.0 Total 1,600.0 * A list of Other companies can be found in the appendix. Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2012. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. Total Packaged Wastewater Treatment Plant Market: Company Market Share Analysis of Top 5 Participants India, 2012 The packaged wastewater treatment plant market is highly fragmented. The top five players in the market occupy only 41 percent of market share. Ion Exchange has been the market leader since long and is expected to continue its position owing to wide portfolio of products and better brand positioning. RO Chem sells only patented systems which are expensive and have very high profit margins. They sell packaged systems only for industries. Degermont is a relatively new entrant in the packaged segment whereas Shubham Inc. caters to both industrial and hotels segment. They have MBBR, MBR as well as RO systems but the capacity is limited to 300 KLD. Moreover they dont treat industrial waste water having oil, grease or dye as impurities. Others form a major part of the market as there are many small players like Driplex, Sai Enviro etc. making the packaged wastewater treatment market a fragmented one. 34 P71D-15 Competitive Environment Packaged Wastewater Treatment Market: Competitive Structure, India, 2012 Number of Companies in the Market 100-150 companies with 7 companies more than INR 60 million revenue. Competitive Factors Brand, Operating cost, Reliability and Client relationship Key End-user Groups Municipalities, Commercial and Industries (Pharma, Distillery, Food and Beverage and Textiles). Major Market Participants Ion Exchange, Aquatech systems, RO Chem, Degermont Market Share of Top 5 Competitors 41 percent Other Notable Market Participants Shubham Inc., Marcus Water Treatment, Aquadesigns Distribution Structure EPC contractors, OEMs, direct sales, consultants Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 35 P71D-15 Top Competitors Company Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities Threats
Ion Exchange Excellent brand, wide product portfolio. Limited presence in class-II & class-III cities. Huge untapped market in class-I cities. Existence of small players. Aquatech Systems Diversified product range. Cost effective products. Lack of brand recognition in the market. Supply-demand gap of waste water system is maximum in Maharashtra where Aquatech systems is located. Existing players are also eyeing upon the prevalent market opportunity. RO Chem Patented Technology of RO system. Limited local presence, only in industrial segment, Expensive products. Huge market of smaller capacity systems yet to channelize. Companies like Ion exchange and Degermont are big threat in the RO segment.
Degermont Technologically efficient, excellent brand recognition. Limited product portfolio in smaller capacity systems. Can tap the industrial segment especially Pharma and food and beverage using its high quality product portfolio. Competition from bigger players like Ion, Exchange and RO Chem in the industrial segment. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 36 P71D-15 Competitor Growth Analysis Note: Bubble size represents relative capitalization. The base year is 2012. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. G r o w t h
r a t e
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Ion-Exchange Revenue ($ Million) Aquatech Systems Degermont RO Chem Key Takeaway: RO Chem is the fastest growing company in the packaged waste water treatment plant sector with yoy growth rate of 20%
Competitor Growth Analysis Total Packaged Wastewater Treatment Plant: India, 2012 37 P71D-15 Tier II INR 20.0-150.0 Million (10-15 companies) Tier I >INR 150.0 Million (3 companies) Tier III <INR 20.0 Million (400-450 companies) Competitive AnalysisMarket Share by Tiers Key Takeaway: Market is expected to remain fragmented for the next five years.
Total market participants = 100-150 Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2012. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. Total Packaged Wastewater Treatment Plant Market: Market Share Analysis by Tiers, India, 2012 Ion Exchange, Aquatech systems and RO Chem are Tier I companies operational in India. Among Tier-I companies RO Chem supplies only to industries.
Aquadesigns, Siemens, Degermont, Shubham Inc. are among the Tier II companies operational in India. The Tier II is the most competitive segment of the industry.
Tier III companies form a huge chunk with about 37.5 percent market share by revenue. They mostly cater to small municipalities and their capacity ranges to 100 KLD. 38 P71D-15 Technology matrix of Packaged Systems Companies . Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. Key Takeaway: New technologies like FMR, UF, SBR are gaining ground Name of the Company MBBR MBR RO FMR UF SBR UASB Ion Exchange Y Y Y Y Y Y N Aquatech Systems Y Y N N N N Y Siemens Y Y N N N N N Aquadesigns Y Y Y N N N N Driplex Y Y Y N N N N Thermax N Y Y N Y N N Degermont Y Y N N N Y Y Shubham Inc. Y Y N N N N N Marcus water Treatment Y Y N N N Y Y RO Chem N N Y N Y N N Lotus Environment Technology Pvt. Ltd Y Y N N N N N Neela Systems N N Y N Y N N Sai enviro N Y Y N N N N Technology used by Manufacturers, India, 2012 Y- yes & N- No 39 P71D-15 Product Quality: Product quality is important for industrial segment where higher profit margins can be garnered by superior quality. Reliability: Reliability is created by the prior experiences of the supplier and market brand name. Pricing: Prices still vary among suppliers due to differing technology, output specifications, reliability and brand value. Vendor Client Relationship: Client relationships are very important when the product differences start blurring out in small capacity systems of the order of 100 KLD. Acquisition: Acquisition of smaller companies is essential to gain regional dominance because the expertise needed to handle smaller clients at regional level would increase the operating and administrative cost for bigger companies, so using the distribution network of smaller companies by acquiring them would be an instrumental step towards market consolidation. Product Innovation: R&D has played an important role in product innovation. In a competitive market product innovation plays a crucial role in tapping the market potential. It helps in generating higher profit margins in the long run.
Market Revenue (2012) INR 480 M Market Units/Volume (2012) 80-100 Average Price Per Unit INR 2.20 M Market Size at End of Forecast Period (2017) INR 773 M Base Year Market Growth Rate 9.0% 5 Year Forecast Market Growth Rate (CAGR) , 2012-2017 10.0% Customer Price Sensitivity (scale of 1 to 10, Low to High) 5
Degree of Technical Change (scale of 1 to 10, Low to High) 6 Municipal Packaged Wastewater Treatment Plant Market - Market Engineering Measurements TREND Decreasing Stable Increasing
Market Overview Total Municipal Packaged Wastewater Treatment Plant Market: India, 2012 Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2012. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 42 P71D-15 Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2012. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Revenue (INR Million) 480 523 573 630 696 773 Growth Rate (%) 9.0 9.5 10.0 10.5 11.0 G r o w t h
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Year Total Municipal Packaged Wastewater Treatment Plant Market: Revenue Forecast India, 20122017 CAGR = 10.0% (2012-2017) Municipal Packaged Wastewater Treatment Plant Market Revenue Forecast Key Takeaway: Growth is fuelled by Increasing adoption and government initiative.
43 P71D-15 The market share of municipalities in the packaged segment is 30 percent with a market size of INR 480 million in 2012. The major drivers for such systems are small towns that comprise generally of class-II and class-III cities and villages where wastewater generation is increasing. The major restraint in the small municipalities is the lack of awareness and lack of keenness of adoption. They still discharge the wastewater directly into the water bodies and there are no proper regulatory framework to oversee such environmental degradation. Moreover lack of political will and initiative on the part of government has also lead to slow growth of such systems in municipalities. But states such as Bihar have taken initiative for providing zero interest loans for waste water management start-ups. Such steps can go a long way in promoting this huge market which is almost untapped.
Market Revenue (2012) INR 320 M Market Units/Volume (2012) 60-70 Average Price Per Unit INR 2.40 M Market Size at End of Forecast Period (2017) INR 515 M Base Year Market Growth Rate 9.0% 5 Year Forecast Market Growth Rate (CAGR) , 2012-2017 10.0% Customer Price Sensitivity (scale of 1 to 10, Low to High) 5
Degree of Technical Change (scale of 1 to 10, Low to High) 6 Market Concentration (% of base year market controlled by top three competitors) 27.1%
Market Overview Total Commercial Packaged wastewater Treatment Plant Market: India, 2012 Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2012. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 45 P71D-15 Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2012. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Revenue (INR Million) 320 349 382 420 464 515 Growth Rate (%) 9.0 9.5 10.0 10.5 11.0 G r o w t h
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Year Total Packaged Wastewater Treatment Market: Commercial Market Revenue Forecast India, 20122017 CAGR = 10.0% (2012-2017) Key Takeaway: Growth is fuelled by green buildings and remote constructions.
Commercial Packaged Wastewater Treatment Plant Market Revenue Forecast 46 P71D-15 The market share of commercial in the packaged segment is 20 percent with a market size of INR 320 million in 2012. The major drivers for such systems are new hotels and Institutions coming up in class-I and class-II cities where the rate of technology adoption is pretty high and lot of green buildings are coming up. Apart from these many companies like Oviva specialize in setting up packaged systems in remote areas where there are mining camps, schools, hospitals and residential care homes. The commercial market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 10 percent during the five years from 2012-2017. The major restraint is in the minds of real estate developers that tend to charge high for buildings with such facilities whereas such systems on the contrary have very low operating cost.
Market Revenue (2012) INR 800 M Market Units/Volume (2012) 125-150 Average Price Per Unit INR 2.10 M Market Size at End of Forecast Period (2017) INR 1,637 M Base Year Market Growth Rate 13.4% 5 Year Forecast Market Growth Rate (CAGR) , 2012-2017 15.4% Customer Price Sensitivity (scale of 1 to 10, Low to High) 5
Degree of Technical Change (scale of 1 to 10, Low to High) 6 Market Concentration (% of base year market controlled by top three competitors) 30.9%
Market Overview Total Industrial Packaged wastewater Treatment Plant Market: India, 2012 Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2012. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 48 P71D-15 Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2012. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Revenue (INR Million) 800 907 1,039 1,201 1,399 1,637 Growth Rate (%) 13.4 14.5 15.6 16.5 17.0 G r o w t h
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Year Total Packaged Wastewater Treatment Market: Industrial Market Revenue Forecast India, 20122017 CAGR = 15.4% (2012-2017) Key Takeaway: Growth is fuelled by Food and Beverage Industries giants.
Industrial Packaged Wastewater Treatment Plant Market Revenue Forecast 49 P71D-15 The market share of Industries in the packaged segment is 50 percent with a market size of INR 800 million in 2012. The major drivers in the industrial segment are the Food and Beverage Industry which is expected to witness a CAGR of 25 percent over the next five years from 2012-2017. Textiles and pharma are also key industries with CAGR of 16 percent and 15 percent respectively where packaged systems see a huge demand. The capacity of packaged systems generally installed in pharma industries is of the order of 200-300 KLD but the quality of water generated is very high. So packaged RO systems have been used a lot in pharma industry. Higher capacity systems of 500 KLD are mostly deployed in distillery which presently is growing at a moderate CAGR of 9 percent. The overall Industrial market segment is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 15.40 percent.
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. Industrial Packaged Wastewater Treatment Plant Market Revenue Forecast Discussion 50 P71D-15 State Suitability and Industry- Breakdown 51 P71D-15 State Suitability and Industry Breakdown Analysis Discussion The top 5 states for implementation of Packaged Systems in Pharma Industry are Maharashtra, Gujarat, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh and West Bengal. The concentration of Pharma Industries are typically high in these states owing to high population and presence of many multinational Pharma firms. The required quality of water in Pharma industries is very high which generally suits packaged RO systems and the general capacity of such systems is of the order of 200- 300 KLD. The top 5 states for implementation of Packaged Systems in Distillery industries are Maharashtra, Uttar Pradesh, Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu and Karnataka. The capacity of systems in distillery industry is very high and can to the order of MLD, so packaged systems are of the order of 500 KLD. The top 5 states for implementation of Packaged Systems in Textile industries are Maharashtra, Gujarat, Tamil Nadu, Rajasthan and Karnataka. Packaged systems in Textile industry are of smaller capacities and ranges from 100-200 KLD.
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 52 P71D-15 State Suitability and Industry Breakdown Analysis Discussion (continued) The top 5 states for implementation of Packaged Systems in Pharma Industry are Maharashtra, Delhi, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh and West Bengal. The high concentration packaged food industry in Delhi coupled with space constraints have surged the demand of such systems in these states and union territories. So finally to arrive at the combined state suitability these five industries where packaged systems are used have been considered. The top 5 states where there are highest demand of packaged systems in industrial applications are Maharashtra, Gujarat, Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu and West Bengal. The greatest driving force have been the food and Beverage Industry followed by Textile Industry and Pharma Industry.
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 53 P71D-15 End-user Segments Overview 54 P71D-15 Construction Industry Overview Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. Construction Industry Real estate Residential Commercial Retail Hospitality Special Economic Zones Infrastructure The Construction Industry is the second largest economic activity of India after agriculture and has been growing at a CAGR of 11.1 percent over the last eight years.
The Real estate segment contributes to around 76 percent of the total construction market by GDP.
The booming real estate market has been pegged at 66.80 billion US$ in 2011 and has been estimated to grow at a CAGR of 20 percent owing to the acute housing shortage coupled with expected inflow of foreign capital.
The Residential market has a major chunk of around 90 percent in the real estate market followed by commercial and retail segment with a share of 4 percent and 2 percent respectively.
The hospitality segment is in very premature stage and is highly correlated to industrial growth.
The hospitality segment consists of hotels that can be further categorized into economic and premium hotels.
55 P71D-15 Commercial Segment Source: ICRA & Frost & Sullivan analysis. 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 L e a s e
R e n t a l s ( r s / s q f t / m o n t h )
Year Average lease rental :Indian cities(indexed to 2005) 8 9 12 12 2 19 20 18 Commercial office space absorption: Indian cities, rating,2012 (%) Pune Mumbai Chennai Kolkata Hyderabad NCR Bangalore Others The commercial office market is fragmented with very few big players.
The demand for office space is increasing more in Kolkata and Tier-II cities owing to high rental prices in Mumbai and other region.
Presently the supply outstrips demand as in the year 2013 the demand is expected to be around 55 million square feet whereas the supply figures soared to 180 million square feet.
In the coming years the supply demand gap is expected to narrow down to increase the occupancy rates to around 90 percent by the end of 2014 which would lead to new projects in commercial office segment. 56 P71D-15 Retail Segment Source: ICRA & Frost & Sullivan analysis. 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Demand Projections Across top 7 cities(million square feet), India, 2012 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Demand Analysis of Top 7 cities(million square ft.), India, 2010-2014 Demand for retail space grew from 4 million square feet in 2010 to 11 million square feet in 2011. The Indian retail market stands $500 billion presently which is expected to rise to $900 billion by 2020. Organized retail is expected to increase from $25 billion to $250.00 billion by 2020. The retail industry is expected to grow at a CAGR of 14 percent in the short term and 19 percent in the next 5 years. The Emergence of foreign direct investment in retail sector would open the gateway for mega retail outlets which would lead to a spurge in the construction of hyper markets and supermarkets. Presently there are 59 malls in the construction phase and most of them are concentrated in the NCR, Bangalore and Chennai. Apart from these many new retail projects are coming up in TIER-II cities but they are being developed by local developers.
57 P71D-15 Hospitality Segment Source: ICRA & Frost & Sullivan analysis. Group Existing Hotels Planned Hotels By Marriot international 18 80-100 2015 Hilton worldwide 8 50-100 2016 Intercontinental Hotels Group 12 150 2020 Accor group 13 90-100 2015 Choice hotels international 27 100 5-7 years The growth in hotel industry is directly linked to tourist industry and industrial growth. The tourist industry is growing at a CAGR of 5 percent and the trend is expected to be stable and continue. Presently there are around 1,70,000 hotel rooms in India across all segments of which 60,000 are branded and around 60,000 hotel rooms are expected to be added in the next 3-5 years. Almost all major hotel groups are having huge expansion plan and aim to increase their numbers by five times in the next five years. The occupancy rates of premium hotels which dropped below 50 percent during 2008 has picked up to touch the Asia average of 75 percent. Private equity players are more interested in Mid- size and budget hotels that work on asset light models rather than asset heavy models that take huge time to become profitable. Easier financing, public- private partnership are the key drivers whereas execution delays and soaring interest rates are the major constraints.
Hotels & their Expansion plans, India, 2012 58 P71D-15 Food Processing & Beverage Industry overview
Source: Ministry of Food Report & Frost & Sullivan analysis. Food Processing and Beverage Industry Meat, Fish, Fruit & vegetables Dairy Products Grain mill, starch and animal feeds Bakery, sugar, cocoa, cereals and similar products Beverages including soft drinks, alcohol etc. Among all the sectors the Dairy and fruits and vegetables sector is oligopolistic with Herfindahl Hirschman index between 0.2- 0.7. Delhi, Maharashtra, West Bengal & Tamil Nadu comprise of 53% of Beverage industry. Fish & fruits & vegetables export is declining due to increasing local consumption. In fact the growth rate of this sector has been low to meet the increasing demand. Dairy giants like Gujarat cooperative milk marketing federation that markets the Amul brand has extensive plans to inject Rs. 3000 crores over the next five years in the dairy industry. Classification of Food & Beverage Industry, India, 2012 59 P71D-15 Food Processing & Beverage Industry overview(cont) India holds a prominent position in the production of agricultural, horticultural and dairy products but the processing industry is ate very low levels of 2.2 percent compared to European and U.S counterparts. India currently ranks at the bottom for the processed food sector and is essentially a net importer as per trade competitive map. The Indian food market is estimated to be around $69.4 billion of which value added food products comprise of only $22.20 billion. The food processing industry is witnessing an annual growth of 20 percent and the demand is expected to double by 2020. The processed food industry is derived from agro products and incurs taxes at multiple levels. This multiple taxing combined with varying tax rates across states is a barrier in food processing industry. Another critical restraint in food processing industry is the lack of refrigerated food storage facilities which is in dismal condition and also highly priced which is reflected from the fact that 20 percent of the potato cost is attributed to refrigeration. Foreign direct investment in food and retail sector would play a big role in eliminating the restraints and leading to robust growth of this industry segment. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 60 P71D-15 Pharma Industry overview
Source: Economic Times & Frost & Sullivan analysis. The global pharma industry are fragmented between high growing developing markets and slowly growing developed markets. India ranks third largest by volumes and tenth largest by value. The market is expected to grow at 12-14 percent CAGR to become a $20-$24 billion market by 2015. The key drivers propelling the market are rising incomes, enhanced medical infrastructure, rise in prevalence and treatment of chronic disease, greater health insurance coverage, launches of patented products and new market creation. The launch of branded generics and significant expansion of market coverage by multinational coupled with mergers and acquisitions illustrate the new market creation. The tier-I and tier-II cities would lead the growth baton as health insurance penetration to increase to 45 percent of population by 2020. The health care spend by both central and state governments have shown increasing trend with a CAGR of 18 percent. Measures like 100 per cent foreign direct investment(FDI) in the pharmaceutical and drugs sector and the establishment of pharmaceutical special economic zones(SEZs) have attracted global pharmaceutical MNCs to India. 61 P71D-15 Distillery Industry overview
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. Sugar, molasses Alcohols, ethanol, methanol ,etc. Distillery Industry Presently in India there are 579 sugar mills and 325 distilleries(alcoholic, ethanol, etc.) in India. There are two categories of water treatment facilities required in distilleries, one water treatment and the other wastewater treatment. Currently about 45.72 million metre cube of spent wash is generated annually from distilleries alone in India. Most of the distilleries are located around Uttar Pradesh, where there are high concentration of sugar mills because of the ready availability of sugarcane. The decontrol of sugar industry and abolition of release order mechanism would allow the sugar mills to set up the selling prices thus making it more profitable for new entrants. Moreover if any entity wants to establish new sugar mill or wants to expands their existing capacity, it will be given rebate on land registration fee and stamp duty. Such measures make Uttar Pradesh and Maharashtra a prime location for distillery industry growth thus opening the gate ways for packaged wastewater treatment systems.
62 P71D-15 Textile Industry overview
Source: Textile Ministry Report & Frost & Sullivan analysis. 73 8 11 6 2 Break up of textile companies, India, 2012 Cotton Manmade Blended Silk Others 0 10 20 30 40 50 Diversify New market & Market related Plans Capacity Expansion Future Plans of textile industry break down, India, 2012 The Indian Textile and apparel industry is estimated to be around $36 billion in the year 2012 accounting to around 15 percent of Indias exports. The textile industry is expected to grow at a CAGR of 16 percent per annum for the next five years. Presently Indias share in Global textile industry trade is 3 percent and the government aims to increase it to 10 percent by allowing 100 percent Foreign direct investment in the textile sector and executing technology mission on cotton. 22 percent of the companies have shown revenue growth up to 30 percent in the last couple of years. The major hindrances faced by the textile industry are Infrastructure, taxes and duties and lack of government subsidies. 50 percent of the sample companies are private limited, 10 percent are public limited, 26 percent are partnerships and 14 percent are proprietary firms. 40 percent of the private limited companies are in the turnover bracket of Rs 40 million 100 million. About 22 percent of the private limited companies are in the turnover bracket of Rs 100 million 250 million.
63 P71D-15 The Last Word 64 P71D-15 The Last WordThree Big Predictions 2 Mergers and Acquisitions are anticipated to give access to superior technology for small companies. 3 RO based packaged systems would gain immense popularity in the next five years. 1 Food and Beverage, Pharmaceuticals and Textile industry will be the most promising industrial segment for packaged wastewater systems. In hotels and Institutions green buildings would be a thriving market for packaged systems. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 65 P71D-15 Legal Disclaimer Frost & Sullivan takes no responsibility for any incorrect information supplied to us by manufacturers or users. Quantitative market information is based primarily on interviews and therefore is subject to fluctuation. Frost & Sullivan research services are limited publications containing valuable market information provided to a select group of customers. Our customers acknowledge, when ordering or downloading, that Frost & Sullivan Research Services are for customers internal use and not for general publication or disclosure to third parties. No part of this Research Service may be given, lent, resold or disclosed to noncustomers without written permission. Furthermore, no part may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without the permission of the publisher. For information regarding permission, write to: Frost & Sullivan 331 E. Evelyn Ave. Suite 100 Mountain View, CA 94041 66 P71D-15 Appendix 67 P71D-15 Market Engineering Methodology One of Frost & Sullivans core deliverables is its Market Engineering studies. They are based on our proprietary Market Engineering Methodology. This approach, developed across the 50 years of experience assessing global markets, applies engineering rigor to the often nebulous art of market forecasting and interpretation. A detailed description of the methodology can be found here. Source: Frost & Sullivan research. 68 P71D-15 List of Companies Included in the Others Category
GE Water Siemens Water Doshion Veolia Nilson Nishotech Grey Water Solutions Permionics Trans Organics Watertec Enterprises UEM India Chemtronics
Source: Frost & Sullivan research. 69 P71D-15 Partial List of Companies Interviewed Ion Exchange Aquatech Systems Siemens Aquadesigns Driplex Thermax Degermont Shubham Inc. Marcus Water Treatment RO Chem Neela Systems Source: Frost & Sullivan research. 70 P71D-15 Acronyms and Abbreviations Used Abbreviations & Acronyms Full Form BOD Biochemical oxygen demand CAGR Compound Annual Growth Rate CAPEX Capital Expenditure CL Chlorination CPCB Central Pollution Control Board FDI Foreign Direct Investment FMR Fluidized media reactor GDP Gross Domestic Product INR Indian Rupees MBBR Moving bed biofilm reactor MBR Membrane bioreactor MOFPI Ministry of food processing industries N No NA Not Applicable Pharma Pharmaceutical R&D Research and Development Source: Frost & Sullivan research. 71 P71D-15 Acronyms and Abbreviations Used(cont) Abbreviations & Acronyms Full Form RO Reverse osmosis SBR Sequencing batch reactor SS Suspended solids STP Sewage treatment Plant UASB Upflow anaerobic sludge blanket UF Ultrafiltration USD United States Dollar UV Ultraviolet Y Yes Source: Frost & Sullivan research. 72 P71D-15 Additional Sources of Information on Environmental Technologies and Frost & Sullivan Frost & Sullivan's Environmental Technologies Research and Consulting practice is part of Environmental and Building Technologies Practice http://www.frost.com/prod/servlet/svcg.pag/EVEV http://www.frost.com/prod/servlet/svcg.pag/EV00 Join Frost & Sullivans Global Community of Growth, Innovation, and Leadership http://www.gil-global.com Previous Analyst Briefings http://www.frost.com/prod/servlet/analyst-briefings.pag?ref=RHC Past Webcasts http://www.frost.com/prod/servlet/cpo/180011605 Source: Frost & Sullivan research. 73 P71D-15 Learn MoreNext Steps Analyst Briefings http://www.frost.com/prod/servlet/our-services-page.pag?mode=open&sid=178041065 Growth Workshops http://www.frost.com/prod/servlet/growth-workshops.pag Growth Excellence Matrix http://www.frost.com/prod/servlet/growth-ex-matrix.pag