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Sampling
Distribution Models
Objectives
54.
55.
56.
15.1
Sampling
Distribution of a
Proportion
Slide 1- 4
Slide 1- 5
Sampling Distributions
Sampling Distribution for Proportions
Symmetric
Unimodal
Centered at p
The sampling distribution follows the Normal model:
N p,
pq
n
Mean = p
npq
pq
( p ) =
=
n
n
pq
p,
Standard deviation = ( p ) =
0.43 0.57
1007
0.0156
10
Slide 1- 11
11
Slide 1- 12
12
Slide 1- 13
13
Slide 1- 14
14
15
Practice
12) Public Health statistics indicate that 26.4% of American adults
smoke cigarettes. Describe the sampling distribution model for
the proportion of smokers among a randomly selected group of
50 adults. What are your assumptions and conditions?
15) Based on past experience, a bank believes that 7% of the
people who receive loans will not make payments on time. The
bank has recently approved 200 loans.
What are the mean and standard deviation of the proportion of
clients in this group who may not make timely payments?
What assumptions underlie your model? Are the conditions met?
What is the probability that over 10% of these clients will not
make timely payments?
Copyright 2014, 2012, 2009 Pearson Education, Inc.
Slide 1- 16
16
Practice
16) Assume that 30% of students at a university wear
contact lenses.
We randomly pick 100 students. Let p^ represent the
proportion of students who wear contact lenses.
Whats the appropriate model for the distribution of p^?
Specify the name of the distribution, the mean, and
the standard deviation.
Be sure the verify that the conditions are met.
Whats the approximate probability that more than one
third of this sample wear contacts?
Slide 1- 17
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18
SD p =
0.13 0.87
90
0.035
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15.3
The Sampling
Distribution of Other
Statistics
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15.4
25
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How Normal?
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Normal
Uniform
Bimodal
Skewed
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SD y =
n
Copyright 2014, 2012, 2009 Pearson Education, Inc.
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Standard Deviation:
n
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Caution!
Pay attention to how the sampling distribution of means
differs depending on the size of the sample.
Be careful to distinguish between the underlying
distribution of the population (which may or may not be
normal) and the sampling distribution of means (which
depends on sample size n).
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Slide 1- 34
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Model:
Independence Assumption: Not random, but
probably independent.
Sample
37
59
( y ) = 190, SD( y ) =
=
18.66
n
10
Show
Plot:
38
Mechanics:
y 250 190
z=
=
3.21
SD( y )
18.66
Tell
Conclusion: There is only a 0.0007 chance that the
10 men will exceed the elevators weight limit.
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Score Percent of
Students
5
12.6
22.2
25.3
18.3
21.6
Slide 1- 40
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Slide 1- 41
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15.5
Sampling
Distributions: A
Summary
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SD( y ) =
n
SD( p ) =
pq
n
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