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Managerial Economics

Meaning
Managerial economics is defined as the
study of economic theories, logic and tools
of economic analysis that are used in
process of business decision-making.
In other words economic theories and
techniques of economic analysis are applied
to analyze business problems, evaluate
business opportunities with a view to arrive
at appropriate business decision.
.

Managerial Decision Areas


Assessment of Investible
funds
Selecting Business areas
Choice of Product
Determining optimum
Output
Determining inputCombination of the product
Sales promotion
Application of
Economic
Concepts and
Theories in
Decision
Making

Use of
Quantitative
Methods
Mathematical
tools
Statistical Tools
Econometrics

Application of Economic Concepts, Theories and


analytical Tools to find Optimum Solution to Business
Problems

Why Economics?
Biology
contributes
to
medical
profession.
Physics to Engineering.
Economics to Managerial profession.
Achieve objective of the firm
Constraints is limited resources

Application of Economics to
Decision Making
I.

Determining and defining the objective to be


achieved.

II. Collection and analysis of business related data


and other information(Economic, social, Political
and technological environment.).
III. Inventing the possible courses of action
IV. Select the possible
alternatives.

action

from

the

II and III are crucial in decision making

given

Example Launching a
product
Production Related issues and
Sales related issues.

Production Related issues

Available techniques of Production.


Cost of Production
Supply position of inputs
Price structure of inputs
Cost structure of competitive
products
Availability of foreign exchange if
inputs are available.

Sales related issues


Market size, general market trends and
demand prospectus for the product
Trends in Industry
Competitors
Pricing of product
Pricing strategy of competitors
Degree of competition
Supply position of complementary
goods

Scope of Managerial
Economics
Economics applied to the analysis of
business problems and decision making.
Area of business issues to which
economic theories can be directly
applied are broadly divided into
1.Micro Economics (Operational and
internal issues)
2.Macro Economics (Environmental and
external issues)

Operational or Internal
issues
What to produce Nature of product or
Business
How much to produce Size of firm
How to produce Choice of technology
How to price the commodity
How to promote sales
How to face price competition
How to manage profit and capital
How to manage an inventory

Environmental or External
issues
The type of economic system in the country
Trends in GDP, Prices, Saving and Investment
Employment, etc.
Trends in Financial System Banks, Financial and
Insurance companies
Trends in Foreign Trade
Government Economic policies
Social Factors like value system, property rights,
customs and habits.
Socio-economic organization like trade unions,
consumers associations, Consumer cooperatives and producers unions.
Political environment
Degree of Globalization and Influence of MNCs

Micro Economic Issues

What to produce
How much to produce
How to produce
How to price the commodity
How to promote sales
How to face competition
How to decide on new investment
How to manage profit and capital
How to manage an inventory

Examples of Economic
Theories
Theory of Demand
It deals with the consumer behaviour
How do the consumer decides to buy
the commodity
How do they decide on Quantity
When do they stop consuming
How consumer behave on Price
It helps in making choice in commodity,
optimum level of production and price

Theory of Production and


Decision Making
It explains the relationship between
inputs and output.
Under what conditions the cost increases
or decreases
Helps to decide the optimum size of the
firm
Size of total output and amt of capital and
labour to be employed given the objective

Market structure and Pricing


theory
How price is determined.
When price discrimination is
desirable, feasible and profitable.
How advertising will be helpful to
increase sales.
Thus pricing and production decision
will help to determine the optimum
size of the firm.

Profit analysis and


Management
Elements of risk is always there even
if most efficient techniques are used.
It guide the firm to measure and
manage profit, to make the
allowance of risk premium, to
calculate the pure return on capital
and also future profit.

Theory of Capital and


investment decision
It contribute to deciding choice of
project, maintaining capital, capital
budgeting, etc

Macro economic Issues


Trends in Economics:
Level of GDP
Investment climate
Trends in National Output and
employment
Price trends

Issues related to Foreign Trade


Trends in International Trade
Trends in International Prices
Exchange rates
Prospectus in International Market

Issues related to Government


Policies:
Monetary Policy
Fiscal Policy
Foreign Trade Policy
Environmental Policy etc

Other Topics related to


Managerial Economics
Mathematical Tools

Economic theories for Decision


Making
Economic concepts (Cost, Price,
Demand etc.)
Ascertaining the variables which is
relevant.
Relationship between the two or
more variables.

What is Demand ?
When the desire for a commodity is backed by
the willingness and the ability to spent adequate
sums of money, it becomes demand or effective
demand in the economic sense of the curve.
Only desire for commodity or having money for
the same cannot give rise to its demand
Marshall
Demand for a product refers the amount of it
which will be bought per unit of time at a
particular price.

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23

RELATIVE CONCEPT
Demand is the relative concept i.e. it
is related to price and time:
1.The demand for rice is 100Kg
2.The demand for rice at Rs 5/- per Kg
is 100Kg per day.
Second
statement
is
complete
because it mentions the price and
time period, becoz demand varies
from time and price.
The demand refers to the quantity of
it purchased at a given price, during
a specific time period.

Determinants of
Demand

1.Price of the product.


2.Income and wealth distribution.
3.Tastes, habits and preferences.
4.Relative prices of other goods
Substitute products.
Complementary products.
5.Consumers satisfaction.
6.Quantity of money in circulation.
7.Utility of the commodity.
8.Quality.
9.Expectation regarding future price.
10.Number consumers, time and place: Transport,
communication and market facilities will increase the
consumers

11. Advertisements effects.


12. Growth of population.
13. Level of taxation.
14. Climatic or weather conditions.
15. Special occasions.
16. Technology.
17. Psychology of the consumers:
Bandwagon effect: Demand arises becoz others
have it others,
Snob effect: Demand arises becoz when it is not
commonly demanded,
Demonstration effect: Copying the others.

INDIVIDUAL DEMAND
It is the tabular representation of the various
quantities of a commodity demanded by an
Individual at a different prices during a given
period
Price per of
unittime
Demand for commodity X
50

10

40

20

30

30

20

40

10

50

05

60

Individual Demand

MARKET DEMAND
Price per Unit

Qty Demanded

Total market
Demand(A + B
+ C)

50

10

12

15

37

40

20

22

25

67

30

30

32

35

97

20

40

42

45

127

10

50

52

55

157

Demand and Demand Curves (d)


The market demand curve is the horizontal sum of the
demand curves of all individuals.
Market dd curve is also negatively sloped because 1.
Individual dd curves are downward sloping 2. At high
prices some buyers will exit the market

MARKET DEMAND

Generalized demand
function
The generalized demand function just set forth is
expressed in the most mathematical form.
Economist and market researchers often expressed
generalized demand function in a linear functional
form.
The following equation is an example of a linear form
of the generalized demand function:
Qd = a + bP + cM + dPR + eT + fPe + gN
Where the Variables are (P,M,PR,T,Pe,N).
And a,b,c,d,e,f and g are parameters.

Generalized demand
function
The intercept a shows the value of Qd
when the variables P,M,PR,T,Pe,N are all
simultaneously equal to zero.
The other parameter a,b,c,d,e,f and g are
called slope parameters.
They measure the effect on quantity
demanded of changing one of the variables
while holding rest of it as constant.
E.g. b measures the change in Qty dd per
unit change in price
i.e b =
Qd/
P.

Summary of Generalized
demand function
Variable

Relation to quantity
demanded

Sign of Slope
parameter

INVERSE

Negative

Direct for normal goods


Inverse for inferior goods

Positive
Negative

PR

Direct for substitute


goods
Inverse for the
complementary goods

Positive
Negative

Direct

Positive

Pe

Direct

Positive

Direct

Positive

Demand functions
The relation between price and
quantity demanded per period of
time, when all other factors that
affect demand held constant is called
as demand function or simply
demand.
It can be expressed as
Qd = f (P)

illustration
Generalized demand function is
Qd = 1800 20P + 0.6M 50PR
To derive a demand functions
Qd = (P)
The variables M and PR must be
assigned fixed value.
Suppose M = 20000, PR = 250
Substitute the value in generalized
demand function.

Qd = 1800 20P- 0.6(20000) 50(250)


= 1800 20P + 12000 12500
= 1300 20P
The intercept parameter 1300 is the amount
of the good consumers would demand if price
is zero.
The slope of the demand function
is
-20 and indicates that a Rs 1 increase in price
causes qty dd to decrease by 20 units.
Qd = 1300 20 (1)
= 1300 -20 = 1280

Determinants of Demand
Determinants of
Demand

Dema
nd
Increa
ses

Demand
decreases

Sign of Slope
parameter

M rises
M Falls

M Falls
M rises

C>0
C<0

Substitute goods
Complement good

PR
rises
PR falls

PR falls
PR rises

d>0
d<0

Consumer Tastes (T)

T rises

T falls

e>0

Expected price (Pe)

Pe rises Pe Falls

f>0

Number of consumers
(N)

N rises

g>0

Income (M)
Normal Goods
Inferior goods
Price of related goods
(PR)

N Falls

Demand Schedule

The Law of Demand


Other factors remaining same (habits, tastes
etc.) as price decreases demand increases and
vice versa
Marshall
Ceteris paribus, higher the price of a commodity,
smaller is the quantity demanded and lower the
price, larger the quantity demanded.

Demand Schedule
(Hypothetical)
Price of commodity (in Quantity demanded
Rs)
(unit per week)
5
4
3
2
1

100
200
300
400
500

Demand Curve
D
E1

P1

Price(P)

P1 - old price
P2 - new price
E2

P2

D
0

Q1

Q2

Quantity
demanded (Q)
A Linear Demand Curve

Q1 old quantity
demanded
Q2 new quantity
demanded
DD demand curve

Characteristics of A Typical
Demand Curve
Drawn by joining different loci.
Downward sloping.
Reciprocal relationship between price and
quantity demanded
( P 1/Qd )
Linear
linear

Non -

Assumptions (Other
things)
No change in consumers income.

a)
b) No change in consumers preferences.
c) No change in the fashion.
d) No change in the price of related goods :
Substitute goods.
Complementary goods.
e) No expectation of future price changes or
shortages.
f) No change in size, age, composition and sex
ratio of the population.
g) No change in the range of goods available to
the consumers.

Contd
h) No change in the distribution of income
and wealth.
i) No change in the government policy.
j) No change in weather conditions.

EXCEPTION TO LAW OF
DEMAND
Giffens Paradox: Giffen gods are
inferior goods. When the price rises
the real income of the consumer rises
and he will move to a superior goods.
This is also called as Giffens paradox.
Qualitative changes: It may increase
qty with the increase in the price.
Price illusion: Higher the price better
is the quality.
Prestige goods: Purchased by the
rich people.

Demonstration effect: Imitating


others or Snob appeal
Fashion:
Necessaries:

Movement along the curve


OR
Change in quantity demanded
Extension of demand
With a decrease in price, there is
increase in the quantity demand of the
product.
D

P1

Price

E`

P2

D
Q1

Q2

Quantity
demanded

Contraction of demand
With a increase in price, there is a
decrease in quantity demanded.

P2

Price

E`
E

P1

Q2

Q1

Quantity
demanded

SOURCES OF SHIFTS IN THE DEMAND


CURVES

Tastes
Prices of related goods
Income
Demographics
Information
Availability of credit
Changes in expectations

Movement of Demand Curve


OR
Change in demand
Increase in demand:
a) More quantity demanded ------ at a
given price.
D` ------ at a
b) D`
Same quantity demanded
D
D
higher price.
b

P1

P2

Pric
e

Price
D`

P1

a
D

D
Q1

Quantity

Q2

D`

Q1

Quantity demanded

Decrease in demand :
a) Less quantity demanded ---- at
same price.
b) Same quantity demanded ---- lower
price.
D
D
D`

Price
P1

D`
P1
a

Price

b
D

P2

D
a
D`

D`
Q2

Q1

Quantity demanded

Q1

Quantity demanded

Factors And Effects of Change


(increase or decrease) in
demand
a) Change in income :
D`

Increase

Decrease

D`
Price

Price D

D`

Quantity
demanded

D
D`
Quantity
demanded

b) Change in taste, habit and


preference :
D`

Positive

Negativ
e

D`

Price

Price
D`
D

Quantity
demanded

D
D`

Quantity
demanded

c) Change in fashion and


customs :
Favorable

Unfavorable
D

D`

Price

D`

Price
D`

D`

Quantity
demanded

Quantity
demanded

g)Change in population :
Increase

Decrease
D

D`
D`

Price

Price

D`

D`

Quantity
demanded

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demanded

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h) Advertisement and publicity


persuasion :
Aggressive

D`

Price

Docile

Price D`

D`

D`

Quantity
demanded

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demanded

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i) Change in value of money :


Inflationary

Deflationary
D

D`

Price

Pric
e

D`

D`

D
D`

Quantity
demanded
( Value of
money)

Quantity
demanded
( Value of
money)

j) Change in level of taxation :


High

Low
D

D`

Price

Price

D`

D`
D

Quantity
demanded

D
D`

Quantity
demanded

k)Expectation of future changes


in prices :
D`

Price

Rise

Fall

Price D`

D
D`

D`

Quantity
demanded

Quantity
demanded

Shift in Demand
Price

Qd = 1300
Qd = 1600
Qd = 1000
20P
20P
20P
(M = 20000) D0 (M = 20500) D1 (M = 19500) D2

65

300

60

100

400

50

300

600

40

500

800

200

30

700

1000

400

20

900

1200

600

10

1100

1400

800

Shift in Demand

Determinants of Demand
Determinants of
Demand

Dema
nd
Increa
ses

Demand
decreases

Sign of Slope
parameter

M rises
M Falls

M Falls
M rises

C>0
C<0

Substitute goods
Complement good

PR
rises
PR falls

PR falls
PR rises

d>0
d<0

Consumer Tastes (T)

T rises

T falls

e>0

Expected price (Pe)

Pe rises Pe Falls

f>0

Number of consumers
(N)

N rises

g>0

Income (M)
Normal Goods
Inferior goods
Price of related goods
(PR)

N Falls

Supply
The amount of a good or service
offered for sale in a market during a
given period of time (e.g a week, a
month) is called quantity supplied.

Concept of Supply
Supply is defined as the various
amounts of goods and services which
the sellers are willing and able to sell at
any given price during a specific period
of time
It is related to time, place and person
The supply of sugar is 50 kg is not a
complete sentence
The supply of a sugar at price Rs 5/- is
50kg. Per day is the complete sentence

Factors affecting Supply

Price
Price of other commodities
Goals of the producer
State of technology
Cost of production
Climate and forces of Nature
Transport facilities
Taxation: Heavy taxes supply will
reduce
Expectation regarding future prices

Self-consumption
Time element: Short period the
supply is fixed and vice

Individual Supply Schedule


Individual
supply
schedule
is
a
tabular
representation of the various quantities of
commodity offered for sale by an individual seller
at different prices during given period of time

Price Per Unit of X

Qty. supplied of X

10

10

20

15

30

20

40

25

50

30

60

Individual Supply Curve

Market supply schedule


It is the tabular representation of the
various qty. of a commodity offered
for sale by all the sellers at different
prices during a given period of time.
It is the total supply of a commodity
by all the sellers at different prices

Market supply schedule


Price( Rs
Qty. supplied of X
)
Seller I
Seller II
Seller III

Market
supply (I
+ II+ III)

10

20

30

60

10

20

25

40

85

15

30

30

50

110

20

40

35

60

135

25

50

40

70

160

30

60

45

80

185

Market supply Curve

Law of Supply
Others things remaining the same ,
qty. supplied of a commodity directly
varies with its price. i.e. S= f (p)
SUPPLY SCHEDULE
Price Per Unit of X

Qty. supplied of X

10

10

20

15

30

20

40

25

50

30

60

Supply Curve

Assumption

Price of other commodities remains the same


The cost of production remains the same
The method of production remains the same
No change in the availability of goods
No change in transport facilities
No change in weather condition
No change in tax structure and govt. policies
Goals of producer remains the same
No change in expectation about the price
No natural calamities and no self
consumption

Exceptions to the law of


supply

Backward bending supply curve


Wage rate
( Rs.)

Hours of work

Daily Income
(Rs.)

40

10

70

10

12

120

12

10

120

Fixed income groups: If person


expects the income of Rs.20 he will
save 500 Rs at 4% rate of interest and
at 5% rate he will save Rs. 400 Rs.
Expectation regarding future prices
Need for cash by the seller
Rare collection the supply is
permanently fixed whatever the
price.
Self consumption

Movements or variation in
Supply
When there is change in supply
exclusively due to change in Price

Shift in supply
When there is a change in supply due to change
in factors other than the Price

Generalized supply function


It shows how the different variables jointly
determine the quantity supplied.
The generalized supply function is expressed
mathematically as
Qs = g(P, Pi, Pr, T, Pe, F)
Qs = Qty of goods and service offered for sale
P = Price of goods or service.
Pi = Price of inputs
Pr = Price of goods that are related to production.
T = Level of available technology.
Pr = Expected price of the producer
F = No. of firms in the industry

Generalized supply function


As in case of demand, economists often
find itself to express the generalised
supply function in linear functional form:
Qs = h + kP + lPi+ mPr + nT + rPe +
sF
Where P, Pi, Pr, T, Pe, F is a variables
affecting the supply, h is the intercept
parameter, and k, l, m, n, r, and s are
the slope parameters.

Relation to Generalised demand


function
Variable

Relation to
Quantity supplied

Sign of slope
parameter

Direct

K=

Pi

Inverse

L=
Negative

Pr

Inverse for substitute


in production (Wheat
and Corn)
Direct for
complement in
production(Oil and
Gas)

m=
Negative

Direct

n=
Positive

Pe

Inverse

r=
Negative

is

Direct

S=

is

m=
Positive

is Positive
is

is

is

is

Supply function
Supply function is derived from generalised supply
function.
A supply function shows the relation between supply
and price.

Qs = g(P, Pi, Pr, T, Pe, F) = g (P)


Illustration
Qs = 50 + 10P 8pi + 5F
Suppose the price of the input is Rs. 50 and there are
90 firms then the supply function will be
Qs = 50 + 10P -8(50) + 5(90)
= 100 + 10P
The supply schedule with equation can be drawn and is
given in next slide

Qs = 100
+10P

Price

Quantity Supplied
schedule

65

750

60

700

50

600

40

500

30

400

20

300

10

200

Shift in Supply
Price

Qs = 100 +
10P
Pi = 50, F =
90

Qs = 250 +
10P
Pi = 31.25, F
= 90

Qs = -200 +
10P
Pi = 50, F =
30

65

750

900

450

60

700

850

400

50

600

750

300

40

500

650

200

30

400

550

100

20

300

450

10

200

350

Shift in Supply
Determinants
of supply

Supply
Increases

Supply
Decreases

Sign of Slope
parameter

Price of inputs
(Pi)

Pi falls

Pi rises

I<0

Pr falls
Pr rises

Pr rises
Pr falls

M<0
M>0

State of
technology (T)

T rises

T falls

n>0

Expected Price
(Pe)

Pe falls

Pe rises

r<0

F falls

S>0

Price of goods
related in
Production (Pr)
Substitute good
Complement
good

Number of firms F rises


or productive
capacity in

Market Equilibrium
Demand and supply provide an analytical framework
for the analysis of the behaviour of buyers and sellers
in markets.
Demand shows how buyers respond to changes in
price and other variables that determine quantities,
buyers are willing to purchase.
Supply shows how sellers respond to changes in price
and other variables that determine quantities offered
for sale.
The interaction of buyers and sellers in the market
place leads to market equilibrium.

Market Equilibrium
Market equilibrium is a situation
which at the prevailing price,
consumers can buy all of a good they
wish and producers can sell all of
good they wish.

Market Equilibrium
Price

Qs = 100 + 10P
S0

Qd = 1300
20P
D0

Excess
supply
( +)
Excess
Demand
( -)

65

750

+750

60

700

100

+600

50

600

300

+300

40

500

500

30

400

700

-300

20
10

300
900
-600
Qd = Qs
200
1100
-900
1300 20 P = 100 + 10P
Solving this equation for the equilibrium price,
1200 = 30P
P = 40

Market Equilibrium

Market Equilibrium
At Market clearing price of 40
Qd = 1300 (20 * 40) = 500
Qs = 100 + (10 * 40) = 500
If the price is Rs 50 there is a surplus of 300 units.
Using the demand and supply. equations, when P =
50,
Therefore, When price is Rs 50.
Qd = 1300 (20 * 50) = 300
Qs = 100 + (10 * 50) = 600
There fore when the price is Rs 50
Qs Qd = 600 300 = 300

Changes in Market Equilibrium


Demand Shifts (Supply remains constant)

Supply Shifts (Demand


Remains constant)

Simultaneous Shift in Demand


and Supply

Simultaneous Shift in Demand


and Supply

Predicting the Direction of


change in Airfares (Qualitative
analysis)
Suppose you manage a travel department for a U.S.

corporation and your sales force makes heavy use of air travel
to call on customers.

The president of the corporation to reduce travel expenditures


for 2004.
You need to predict what will happen in future price of airfares
in 2004.
The wall street journal recently came with the news.
A number of new, small airlines have recently entered the
industry and others are expected to enter in 2004.
Video-conferencing is becoming a popular, cost effective
alternative to business travel for many U.S. corporation. The
trend will cut the price on teleconferencing rates.

Direction of change in Airfares:


Qualitative Analysis

ELASTICITY OF DEMAND
The degree of responsiveness of Qty.
demanded of a commodity to a change
in its price is known as elasticity of
demand.
Ed = % change in qty. dd /%
change in determinant
Elastic: Small change in price brings
big change in demand
Inelastic: Big change in price brings
small change in demand

Kinds of Elasticity

Price Elasticity
Income Elasticity
Cross Elasticity
Arc Elasticity

PRICE EASTICITY OF
DEMAND
IT is the degree of responsiveness of qty.
demanded of a commodity to a change
in its price.
Ed = % change in qty. dd /% change
in P
Ed = proportionate change in qty.
dd /Proportionate change in P
Ed =
Q/Q =
Q/Q * P/
P
P/P

Definition: Elasticity of
Demand
Price elasticity of demand is defined as
the percentage change in quantity
demanded divided by the percentage
change in price.
% change in Qd
Equation:
Elasticity of Demand =
% change in
Price

Example
Suppose Monginis cake is originally priced at Rs.
10 and the amount sold is 50 cakes per week. If
the price is increased to Rs. 11, then 40 cakes are
sold per week. What is the price elasticity of
demand?
% Change in Price = [(11-10)/10]*100 = 10%
% Change in Quantity Demanded = [(4050)/50]*100 = 20 % (ignoring the negative sign)
Elasticity = 20/10 = 2
Even a very small change in price has lead a highproportional fall in quantity demanded.

TYPES OF PRICE ELASTICITY


OF DEMAND

TYPES OF PRICE ELASTICITY


OF DEMAND

The Farmers Dilemma


For many crops, a strange situation arises a bad crop
year results in a good year for farm incomes, and a good
crop year results in a bad year for farm incomes. How
can this be?
Price elasticity gives us the answer:
Bad crop year: supply decreases, prices for farm products rise,
but quantity demanded doesnt fall very much. The quantity
demanded of farm products is not very responsive to changes
in prices
Good crop year: supply increases, prices for farm products fall,
but quantity demanded doesnt increase very much. The
quantity demanded of farm products is not very responsive to
changes in prices

It is easy to show this with a graph. But first we need yet


another concept: Total Revenue = Price x Quantity

Measurement of price elasticity


of demand
Percentage Method
Total outlay Method
Geometric Method

Percentage Method or Ratio


Method
It is the ratio of % change in Demand to a %
change in Price.
Ed = %

OR

Q *

P *

P
Unit elastic Ed =1
Relatively Elastic Ed >1
Relatively Inelastic Ed <1

Total Outlay Method or Revenue Or


Expenditure Method
Price (Rs)

QTY. DD
(units)

Total Outlay
(Rs)

Elasticity

50

250

40

10

400

Relatively
elastic Ed > 1

30

20

600

20

30

600

10

40

400

50

250

Unit Elastic Ed
=1
Relatively
inelastic Ed <
1

Geometric Method Or Exact


Method
Ed = Lower segment of demand
curve
Upper segment of demand curve
Ed at pt A = DA/DA = 1
Ed at pt B = DB/DB = 1/3 < 1
Ed at pt C = DC/DC =9/3 > 1

Other concepts of Elasticity of


Demand
Income Elasticity of Demand =
Q *
Y
Y
Q
Ed = % change in qty. dd /% change in Y
Cross Elasticity of Demand =
Qx
* Py
Py
Qx
Arc elasticity of Demand =
Qx
P
Q1+ Q2
P1+ P2

Factors Influencing Elasticity


Nature of commodity: Necessary or luxurious
goods
Availability of substitutes:
Number of Uses of a commodity:
Multipurpose elastic and vice-versa.
Income:
Proportion of Expenditure:
A small prop. Of exp demand is elastic.
Time period:

Height of Price and Range of Price change:


Very low or very High price demand is inelastic;
Diamonds or salt but moderately priced goods
have elastic demand.
Urgent or postponement:
Durability of commodity:
Short run Inelastic , but
Perishable goods is elastic.

long

Habits and customs:


Complementary goods: Inelastic

run

elastic

Recurring Demand: Relatively


elastic
Demonstration effect:

Significance of elasticity of
Demand
Useful to Producer
and monopolist:

Useful to the govt.


Factor pricing:
Importance to trade unionist:
International Trade:
Useful to policy Makers: Prices of agricultural
goods , Fiscal and monetary policies etc.

THEORY OF PRODUCTION
The fundamental questions that managers are faced with
are
How can production optimized or cost minimize?
How does output respond to change in quantity of inputs?
How does technology matter in reducing the cost of
production?
How can the least- cost combination of inputs be achieved?
Given the technology, what happens to the rate of return
when more plants are added to the firm?

Input and output


An input is simply anything which the firm buys for
in its production or other processes.
Inputs are classified as
1) Fixed inputs: A fixed input is one whose supply is
inelastic in the short-run. In technical sense, a
fixed factor is one that remains fixed (or constant)
for a certain level of output.
2) Variable inputs: A variable input is defined as
one whose supply in the short-run is elastic, e.g.,
labour and raw material, etc. all the users of such
factors can employ a larger quantity in the shortrun as well as in the long-run.

Short-run and Long-run


Production
The short-run refers to a period of time in which the supply of

certain inputs (e.g. plant, building, machinery etc.) is fixed or


inelastic.

In the short-run therefore, production of a commodity can be


increased by increasing the use of only variable inputs like labour
and raw materials.
Variable Input: labor force, Fixed Input: machinery, plant size,
raw materials.
Long-run refers to a period of time in which the supply of all the
inputs is elastic, but not enough to permit a change in technology.
That is, in the long-run, all the inputs are variable.
Corresponds to the planning stage

Production Function
The total amount of output produced by a firm is
a function of the levels of input usage by the firm.
Relation Between Input and Output the
maximum amount of output that can be obtained
per period of time given the factor inputs is
captured by the production function.
Describes purely Technological Relationship.
Flow Concept.

Production Function
A real-life production function is generally very
complex.
Q = f(LB, L, K, M, T, t)
Where LB = land and building L= labour,
K= capital, M= raw materials, T=
technology and t= time.
The economists have however reduced the
number of input variables used in a production
function to only two, viz., capital(K) and
labour(L), for the sake of convenience and
simplicity in the analysis of input-output
relations.

Production Function
Also, technology (T) of production remains constant
over a period of time.

That is why, in most production functions, only


labour and capital are include

As such, the general form of its production function


for coal mining firm may be expressed as
Qc = f (K, L)
Where Qc = the quantity of coal produced per time
unit,
K = capital, and L = labour.

Production Function
The short-run production function or what may
also be termed as single variable input
production function, can be expressed as
Q = f (K, L) where K is a constant (1a)
For example, suppose a production function is
expressed as
Q = bL
Where b =

gives constant returns to labour.

Total, Average and Marginal


Product
Total Product: Total Output Produced
during some period of time by all
factors of Production employed during
that Period.
Total Product (TP) function In the
Short
Run
captures
relationship
between the amount of labor and the
level of output, ceteris paribus

Total Product
Variation of Output (One
fixed, one variable factor),
with Capital fixed at say 5
Units

Quantity of Total
Labour
Product
0
0
5
50
10
120
15
180
20
220
25
250
30
270
35
275
40
275
45
270

Average Product
AP is merely the Total product per
Unit of the Variable Factor

AP = TP / L

Average Product
Quantity of Total Average
Labour
Product Product
0
0

5
50
10.00
10
120
12.00
15
180
12.00
20
220
11.00
25
250
10.00
30
270
9.00
35
275
7.86
40
275
6.88
45
270
6.00

Marginal Product (MP)


The additional output that results from
the use of an additional unit of a variable
input, holding other inputs constant.
Measured as the ratio of the change in
output (TP) to the change in the quantity
of labor (or other variable input) used
MP = in Output / in Labour

Marginal Product
Quantity of Total Change Marginal
Labour
Product in TP
Product
0
0

5
50
50
10
10
120
70
14
15
180
60
12
20
220
40
8
25
250
30
6
30
270
20
4
35
275
5
1
40
275
0
0
45
270
-5
-1

Marginal Product
(Continued)
Note that the MP is positive when an
increase in labor results in an
increase in output;

A negative MP occurs when output


falls when additional labor is used.

Production Function
In the long -term production function, both K and L
are included and the function takes the following
form.
Q = f (K, L)

(1b)

Consider, for example, the Cobb-Douglas production


function-the most famous and widely used
production function given in the form of an
equation as
Q=

(1.2)

(where K= capital, L= Labour, and A , a and b, are


parameters and b =1 a).

and are the output elasticities of capital and


labor, respectively.
These values are constants determined by available
technology.
Output elasticity measures the responsiveness of
output to a change in levels of either labor or
capital used in production, ceteris paribus.
For example if = 0.45, a 1% increase in capital
usage would lead to approximately a 0.45%
increase in output.

Production Function
Production function (1.2) gives the general form
of Cobb-Douglas production function.

The numerical values of parameters A, a and b,


can be estimated by using actual factory data on
production, capital and labour.

Suppose numerical values of parameters are


estimated as A=50, a=0.5 and b=0.5.
Once numerical values are known, the CobbDouglas production function can be expressed in
its specific form as follows.

Production Function
This production function can be used
to obtain the maximum quantity (Q)
that can be produced with different
combinations of capital (K) and
Labour (L).
The maximum quantity of output that
can be produced from different
combinations of K and L can be
worked out by using the following
formula.

Production Function
For example, suppose K = 2 and L = 5. Then

And if K = 5 and L = 5, then

Similarly, by assigning different numerical


values to K and L, the resulting output can be
worked out for different combinations of K and
L and a tabular form of production function can
be prepared.

Similarly, by assigning different numerical values to K and L, the


resulting output can be worked out for different combinations of K
and L and a tabular form of production function can be prepared.

It is important to note that the four combinations of K and L


10K + 1L
5K + 5L
2K + 5L and
1K + 10L produces the same output

Production with one variable


input
The law of diminishing returns states that
when more and more units of a variable input
are used with a given quantity of fixed inputs,
The total output may initially increase or
increasing rate, but it will eventually increase at
increasing rate.
That is, marginal increase in total output
decreases eventually when additional units of a
variable factor are used, given quantity of fixed
factors.

Assumptions:
The law of diminishing returns is
based on the following assumptions:
Labor is the only variable input,
capital remaining constant;
Labour is homogeneous;
Input prices are given.

To illustrate the law


returns, we assume

of

diminishing

i) That a firm (say, the coal mining firm in


our earlier example) as a set of mining
machinery as its capital (K) fixed in the
short-run and

ii) It can employ only more mine workers to


increase its coal production.

Thus, the short run production


function for the firm will take the
following form.
Q c f(L), K constant
Let us assume also that the labour output relationship in
coal production is given by a hypothetical production
function of the following form.

Q c L3 15L2 10 L,

K constant

Given the production function, we may


substitute different numerical values of L in the
function and work out a series of Q c i.e.

The quantity of coal that is produced with


different number of workers.

For example, if L = 5, then by substitution, we


get
Qc= -53 + 15 x 52 + 10 x 5 = -125 + 375 + 50 =
300

What we need now is to work out marginal


productivity of labour (MPL) to find the trend in
the contribution of the marginal labour and
average productivity of labour (APL) to find the
average contribution of labour.
Marginal Productivity of Labour (MPL) can be
obtained by differentiating the production
function.
Thus,

(Q c L3 15L2 10 L), K constant

Q
2
MP

3
L
30 L 10
can be written as L L

Alternatively,
where
labour
can
be
increased at least by one unit (MPL) can be
obtained as
MPL = TPL - TPL-1
Average Productivity of Labour (APL)
can be obtained by dividing the production
function by L. Thus,
L3 15 L2 10 L
APL
L2 15 L 10
L

No of Workers
(N)

Total Product
(TPL) (tones)

Marginal
Product* (MPL)

Average product
(APL)

Stages of
production(based on
MPL)

1
2
3
4
5
6

24
72
138
216
300
384

24
48
66
78
84
84

24
36
46
54
60
64

I
Increasing
returns

7
8
9
10

462
528
576
600

78
66
48
24

66
66
64
60

II
Diminishing
Returns

11
12

594
552

-6
-42

54
46

III
Negative returns

SHORT-RUN THEORY OF
PRODUCTION
Long-run and short-run production:
fixed and variable factors

The law of diminishing returns


The short-run production function:

total physical product (TPP)


average physical product (APP)
marginal physical product (MPP)
the graphical relationship between TPP, APP and
MPP

Wheat production per year from a particular farm


(tonnes)

Tonnes of wheat produced per year

Wheat production per year from a particular farm


Number of
workers
TPP
0
0
1
3
2
10
3
24
4
36
5
40
6
42
7
42
8
40

Number of farm workers

Wheat production per year from a particular farm

Tonnes of wheat produced per year

TPP

Number of farm workers

Wheat production per year from a particular farm

Tonnes of wheat produced per year

TPP

Diminishing returns
set in here
b

Number of farm workers

Wheat production per year from a particular farm


d

Tonnes of wheat produced per year

TPP

Maximum output

Number of farm workers

Tonnes of wheat per year

Tonnes of wheat per year

Wheat production per year from a particular farm


TPP

TPP = 7

Number of
farm workers (L

L = 1

MPP = TPP / L = 7

Number of
farm workers (L

TPP

Number of
farm workers (L)

Tonnes of wheat per year

Tonnes of wheat per year

Wheat production per year from a particular farm

MPP

Number of
farm workers (L)

Tonnes of wheat per year

Tonnes of wheat per year

Wheat production per year from a particular farm


TPP

Number of
farm workers (L
APP = TPP / L

APP

MPP

Number of
farm workers (L

Tonnes of wheat per year

Tonnes of wheat per year

Wheat production per year from a particular farm


TPP

Diminishing returns
set in here
Number of
farm workers (L)

APP

MPP

Number of
farm workers (L)

Tonnes of wheat per year

Tonnes of wheat per year

Wheat production per year from a particular farm


d
TPP

Maximum
output

Number of
farm workers (L)

APP

d
MPP

Number of
farm workers (L)

Tonnes of wheat per year

Tonnes of wheat per year

Wheat production per year from a particular farm


d
Slope = TPP / L
= APP

TPP

Number of
farm workers (L)

APP

d
MPP

Number of
farm workers (L)

Iso-quants
An iso-quant is a curve or line
that has various combinations
of inputs that yield the same
amount of output.

Production function
Here we will assume output is made with the inputs capital and
labor. K = amount of capital used and L = amount of labor.
The production function is written in general as Q = F(K, L)
sometimes we put a y instead of Q, where Q = output, and F and the
parentheses are general symbols that mean output is a function of
capital and labor.
The output, Q, from the production function is the maximum output
that can be obtained form the inputs.
On the next screen we will see some isoquants.
Note: on a given curve L and K change while Q is fixed.

ISOQUANT- ISOCOST
ANALYSIS
Iso-quants
their shape
diminishing marginal rate of substitution
isoquants and returns to scale
isoquants and marginal returns

Iso-costs
slope and position of the isocost
shifts in the isocost

An isoquant

Units of capital (K)

Units
of K
40
20
10
6
4

Units
of L
5
12
20
30
50

Units of labour (L)

Point on
diagram
a
b
c
d
e

An isoquant

Units of capital (K)

Units
of K
40
20
10
6
4

Units
of L
5
12
20
30
50

Units of labour (L)

Point on
diagram
a
b
c
d
e

An isoquant

Units of capital (K)

Units
of K
40
20
10
6
4

Units
of L
5
12
20
30
50

Point on
diagram
a
b
c
d
e

c
d
e

Units of labour (L)

MRTS

The slope of the isoquant defines the substitutability


between two factors of inputs (capital and labor).

This is known as the marginal rate of technical


substitution (MRTS) and is presented mathematically
as:

Diminishing marginal rate of factor substitution

Units of capital (K)

g
K = 2

MRS = 2

MRS = K / L

L = 1

isoquant

Units of labour (L)

Diminishing marginal rate of factor substitution

Units of capital (K)

g
MRS = 2

K = 2

MRS = K / L

L = 1
j
K = 1

MRS = 1
k

L = 1

isoquant

Units of labour (L)

Units of capital (K)

An isoquant map

I1

Units of labour (L)

Units of capital (K)

An isoquant map

I1

Units of labour (L)

I2

Units of capital (K)

An isoquant map

I1

Units of labour (L)

I2

I3

Units of capital (K)

An isoquant map

I1

Units of labour (L)

I2

I3

I4

Units of capital (K)

An isoquant map

I5

I1

Units of labour (L)

I2

I3

I4

A Cost Function: Two Resources


Assume that there are two resources, Labor (L)
and Capital (K).
The money payments to these resources are
Wages (W) and Rent (R).

An isocost line is similar to the budget line. Its a


set of points with the same cost, C. Lets plot K on
the y axis and L on the x axis.
WL + RK = C; solve for K by first subtracting WL from both sides.
RK = C - WL; next divide both sides by R.
K = C/R (W/R)L; note that C/R is the y intercept and W/R is the
slope.

An isocost line
K (machines rented)

C/R

Absolute value of slope equals


The relative price of Labor, W/R.

C/W Labor hours used in


production

A Numerical Example
Bundles of:

Labor

Machine rental

with C = Rs30 (Rs6 per labor hour)


hour)

(Rs3 per machine

10

Points a through f lie on the isocost line for C = Rs30/hour.

Capital, K (machines rented)

The Isocost Line


10

a
b

8
c
6
d
4
e
2
f
0

6 7 8 9 10
Labor, L (worker-hours employed)

The Isocost Line


Wage-rental ratio
With K on the y axis and L on the x axis, the
slope of any isocost line equals W/R, the wagerental ratio. It is also the relative price of labor.

The y-intercept shows the number of units


of K that could be rented for Rs.C.
The x-intercept shows the number of units
of L that could be hired for Rs.C.

Capital, K (machines rented)

Changes in One Resource


Price
10

Cost = Rs30; R = Rs3/machine


The money wage, W = ...

8
6

A Change
in W

4
Rs6

2
Rs10
0

h
2

f
4

7 8 9 10
Labor, L (worker-hours employed)

Capital, K (machines rented)

Changes in Cost
10
A Change
in Cost; every point
between g and h costs Rs18.

8
6

4
2

W = Rs6; R = Rs3;C = Rs30

h
0

7 8 9 10
Labor, L (worker-hours employed)

Capital, K (machines rented)

Cost
Minimization

Choose the recipe where the


desired isoquant is tangent to
the lowest isocost.

12
10

8
C = Rs36

6
4

W = Rs6; R = Rs3;C = Rs30

equ.

2
C = Rs18

7 8 9 10
Labor, L (worker-hours employed)

Conclusion: Buy resources such


that the last dollar spent on K
adds the same amount to
output as the last dollar spent
on
L.
The |slope| of the isocost line = W/R.
The |slope| of the isoquant =
MPL/MPK
This will be demonstrated on the board.

An isocost

Units of capital (K)

Assumptions
PK = Rs20 000
W = Rs10 000
TC = Rs300 000
a

TC = Rs300 000

Units of labour (L)

An isocost

Units of capital (K)

Assumptions
PK = Rs20 000
W = Rs10 000
TC = Rs300 000
a
b

TC = Rs300 000

Units of labour (L)

An isocost

Units of capital (K)

Assumptions
PK = Rs20 000
W = Rs10 000
TC = Rs300 000
a
b

c
TC = Rs300 000

Units of labour (L)

An isocost

Units of capital (K)

Assumptions
PK = Rs20 000
W = Rs10 000
TC = Rs300 000
a
b

c
TC = Rs300 000
d

Units of labour (L)

ISOQUANT- ISOCOST
ANALYSIS
Least-cost combination of factors for
a given output
point of tangency
comparison with marginal productivity
approach

Highest output for a given cost of


production

Finding the least-cost method of production


Assumptions

Units of capital (K)

PK = Rs20 000
W = Rs10 000
TC = Rs200
000
TC = Rs300 000
TC = Rs400 000
TC = Rs500 000

Units of labour (L)

Units of capital (K)

Finding the least-cost method of production

TPP1

Units of labour (L)

Units of capital (K)

Finding the least-cost method of production

TC = Rs400 000

TPP1

Units of labour (L)

Units of capital (K)

Finding the least-cost method of production

TC = Rs500 000

TC = Rs400 000

Units of labour (L)

TPP1

Units of capital (K)

Finding the maximum output for a given total cost

TPP5

TPP1
O
Units of labour (L)

TPP4
TPP3
TPP2

Units of capital (K)

Finding the maximum output for a given total cost

Isocost

TPP5

TPP1
O
Units of labour (L)

TPP4
TPP3
TPP2

Finding the maximum output for a given total cost

Units of capital (K)

TPP5

v
TPP1
O
Units of labour (L)

TPP4
TPP3
TPP2

Finding the maximum output for a given total cost


r
Units of capital (K)

TPP5

v
TPP1
O
Units of labour (L)

TPP4
TPP3
TPP2

Finding the maximum output for a given total cost


r
Units of capital (K)

TPP5

v
TPP1
O
Units of labour (L)

TPP4
TPP3
TPP2

Finding the maximum output for a given total cost


r
Units of capital (K)

K1

TPP5

v
TPP1
O

L1
Units of labour (L)

TPP4
TPP3
TPP2

Properties of Iso-Quant
An isoquant has a negative slope in the
economic region and in the economic range of
isoquant.
Economic region is also known as the product
maximizing region.
The negative slope of the isoquant
substitutability between the inputs.

implies

It means that if one of the inputs is reduced, the


other input has to be so increased that the total
output remains unaffected.

Isoquants are convex to the origin


Convexity of isoquants implies two things.
I) substitution between the two inputs, and
II) diminishing marginal rate of technical substitution
(MRTS) between the inputs in the economic region.

K
MRTS
LK

III)The MRTS is defined as,


L
the isoquant.

= slope of

IV)MRTS is the rate at which a marginal unit of labour


can substitute a marginal unit of capital (moving
downward on the isoquant) without affecting the
total output.

This rate is indicated by the slope of the isoquant.


The MRTS decreases for two reason:
i) no factor is a perfect substitute for another, and
ii)inputs are subject to diminishing marginal returns.
Therefore, more and more units of an input are
needed to replace each successive unit of the
other input.

the corresponding units of


L substituting K go (in fig.) on increasing
i.e.
K 1 K 2 K 3

L1 L2 L3
K
MRTS=
L

As a result,
decreasing i.e.,

goes on

Isoquants are non-intersecting and


non-tangential. This implies that in
terms of output.
Capital (K)

Q2 = 200

J
Q1 = 200
O
L1
L2
Fig. Intersecting Isoquants

Labour (L)

OL 2 (L) JL 2 (K) OL 2 (L) KL 2 (K)

Since OL2 is common to both the


sides, it means,
J L2 (K) = K L2 (K)
But it can be seen in fig that J L2 < K
L2(K)but the intersection of the two
isoquants means that JL2 and KL2 are
equal in terms of isoquants will not
intersect or be tangent to each other.

Upper isoquants represent


higher level
of output.

Quality of K

a
b
c

IQ2 = 200
IQ1 = 200
O

Fig. Comparison of Output at Two Isoquaqnts

Quality of L

Economic region
Economic region is that area
of production plane in which
substitution
between
two
inputs is technically feasible
without affecting the output.

Capital (K)
Upper ridge line
d

Lower ridge
line

This area is marked by


locating the points on the
isoquants at which MRTS = 0.

h
Q4
g
Q3

Q2

A zero MRTS implies that


further substitution between
inputs
is
technically
not
feasible.
It
also
determines
the
minimum quantity of an input
that
must
be
used
to
production a given output.

Q1

Labour
(L)

Beyond this point, an additional


employment of one input will
necessitates employing additional
units of the other input.

By joining the resulting


points a, b, c and d we get a
line called the upper ridge
line, Od, similarly by joining
the points e, f, f and h we
get the lower ridge line, Oh.

Capital (K)
Upper ridge line
d

Lower ridge
line

h
Q4
g

Q3

f
Q2

Labour
(L)

The ridge lines are locus of


points on the isoquants
where
the
marginal
products (MP) of the inputs
are equal to zero.
The upper ridge line implies
that MP of capital is zero
along the line, Od. The
lower ridge line implies that
MP of labour is zero along
the line, Oh.
The area between the two
ridge lines, Od, and Oh, is
called Economic Region
or
technically
efficient
region of production.

The laws of returns to


scale
The laws of returns to scale explain
the behavior of output in response to
a proportional and simultaneous
change in inputs, increasing inputs
proportionately and simultaneously
is, in fact, an expansion of the scale
of production.

Three technical possibilities


Total output may increase more than
proportionately.
Total
output
may
proportionately and

increase

Total output may increase less than


proportionately

kinds of returns to scale


Increasing returns to scale;
Constant returns to scale, and
Diminishing returns to scale.

Increasing returns to scale


When inputs, K and L are increased
at a certain proportion and output
increase
more
than
proportionately,
it
exhibits
increasing returns to scale.
The increasing returns to scale is
illustrated in fig.

Increasing returns to scale


The movement from point a to b
on the line OB means doubling
the inputs.
It can be seen in fig that input
combination increases from 1K +
1L to 2K + 2L.
As a result of doubling the
inputs, output is more than
doubled; it increases from 10 to
25 units e.g. an increase of
150%.
Similarly, the movement from
point b to point c indicates 50%
increase in inputs as a result of
which the output increases from
25 units to 50 units i.e. by 100%.

Capital (K)

B
4K
Product lines
c
3K

C
Q = 50

2K

1K

Q = 25
Q = 10

1L

2L

3L

4L

Fig. Increasing Returns to Scale

Labour (L)

Economies of scale
The scale of production has an very important
bearing on the cost of production.
It is the manufacturers common experience
that larger the scale of production, the lower
generally is the average cost of production.
That is why the entrepreneur is tempted to
enlarge the scale of production so that he
benefit from the resulting economies of scale.
There are two types
External Economies.

of

Internal

and

Internal Economies of Scale


These are those economies in production, those in
production costs, which accrue to the firm itself
when it expands its output or enlarges its scale of
production.
The internal economies arise within a firm as a
result of its own expansion of the industry.
The internal economies are simply due to the
increase in the scale of production.
They arise from the use of the methods which
small firms do not find it worthwhile to employ.

Three reasons for increasing


returns to scale

Technical and managerial indivisibilities:


Certain inputs, particularly mechanical equipments and
managers, used in the process of production are
available in a given size.

Such inputs cannot be divided into parts to suit small


scale of production.

Because of indivisibility of machinery and managers,


given the state of technology, they have to be
employed in a minimum quantity even if scale of
production is much less than the capacity output.

Therefore, when scale of production is expanded by


increasing all the inputs, the productivity of indivisible
factors increases exponentially because of technological
advantage. This results in increasing returns to scale.

Internal Economies
Labour Economies: Division of Labour, this will
increase the efficiency, saves time and promote skill
information.
Technical economies: Modern machinery.
Marketing Economies: Buying inputs at large qty
when it expands the output. Small firms are deprived
of these benefits.
The cost of marketing the product is also reduced
providing thereby the economies of large scale
transportation.
Per unit advertisement cost is reduced.

Higher degree of specialization (Managerial


economies)
The use of specialized labour suitable to a particular
job and of a composite machinery increases
productivity of both labour and capital per unit of
inputs.

Financial economies: The finance will be available


at competitive rate and at easy terms. Can also raise
money from the market, because of its goodwill.

Risk Bearing Economies: Can diversify the risk by


selling products in different parts of the world.

Dimensional relations
For example, when the length and breadth of
a room (15 x 10 =- 150 Sq. ft.) are doubled
then the size of the room is more than
doubled; it increases to 30 x 20 = 600 sq. ft.
In
accordance
with
this
dimensional
relationship, when the labour and capital are
doubled, the output is more than doubled
and so on.

External Economies
These are those economies which
accrue to each member firm as a
result of the expansion of the
industry as a whole.

External Economies
Availability of raw-material and machineries at lower
price: Expansion of the industry may results in the availability of
inputs like raw-material and other equipments at lower prices.
Technical external economies: Since the growth of industry
enables the firm to use the new technical know-how employing
thereby improved machinery and other inputs.
Development of Skill labour: By training and development of
the industry.
The growth of subsidiary industry:
material.

Will supply the raw-

Transport and marketing facilities:


Information Service: Will disseminate information, technical
knowledge and R and D

Constant returns to scale


When the increase in output is proportionate to the
increase in inputs it exhibits constant returns to
scale.
Capital (K)

1K 1L 10
2 K 2 L 20
3K 3L 30

4K

Product lines
c

3K

Q = 30

2K
a

1K

Q = 20
Q = 10

1L

2L

3L

4L

Fig. Constant Return to Scale

Labour (L)

Decreasing Return to Scale

When economies of scale reach their


limits and diseconomies are yet to begin,
returns to scale become constant.

For example, doubling of coal mining plant


may not double the coal deposits.
Similarly doubling the fishing fleet may not
double the fish output because availability
of fish may decrease in the ocean when
fishing is carried out on an increased scale.

Decreasing Return to Scale


Capital (K)
B
4K

c
Product lines

3K

C
2K

1K

Q = 24

Q = 18
Q = 10

1L

2L

3L

Fig. Decreasing Return to Scale Scale

4L

Labour (L)

INTERNAL DISECONOMIES
Large scale production firms faces a problem of
management and control over the production unit.
Lack of proper coordination and supervision of
different departments.

So growth of the firm beyond the limit will bring


more problems.

The increase in the scale of output beyond its


optimum size creates the managerial structure
inflexible and cumbersome which ultimately
reduces efficiency of the management

External Diseconomies
Constraints in the Supply of rawmaterial.
Demand for labour will increase due
to growth of industry.
Instabilities
product

of

demand

for

the

Economies of Scope
When
the
cost
efficiencies
in
production allow the firm to produce a
variety of products rather than a single
product in large volume, it can be
referred to the Economies of Scope.
This allows product diversification in
the same scale of plant and with the
same technology.

Returns to Scale (Summary)


Increasing returns to scale
When the % change in output > % change in inputs
E.g. a 30% rise in factor inputs leads to a 50% rise in output

Long run average total cost will be falling

Decreasing returns to scale


When the % change in output < % change in inputs
E.g when a 60% rise in factor inputs raises output by only 20%

Long run average total cost will be rising

Constant returns to scale


When the % change in output = % change in inputs
E.g when a 10% increase in all factor inputs leads to a 10% rise in
total output
Long run average total cost will be constant

Consumer Surplus
The concept was formulated by Dupuit in
1844 to measure the social benefits of
Public goods such as canals, bridges,
national highways etc,
Marshall further popularized the concept
The concept was based on cardinal
measurability
and
interpersonal
comparison of utility

Concept or Defination
It is simply the difference between the
price that one is willing to pay and the
price one actually pays pays for a
particular product.
It is also used in policy formulation by
government
and
price
policy
purchased by the monopolistic seller
of a product.

People generally get more utility


from the consumption of goods than
the price they actually pay for them.
This extra satisfaction which the
consumer obtains from buying a
good is called as consumer surplus.

The amount of money which a person is


willing to pay for a good indicates the
amount of utility he derives from that good.
Marginal utility of a unit of a good
determines the price a consumer will be
prepared to pay for that unit.
The total utility which a person gets from a
good is given by the sum of marginal utilities
( MU) of the units of a good purchased.

The total price the consumer actually


pays is equal to the price per unit of
the good multiplied by the number of
units of it purchased.
Consumers surplus = MU (Price *
No. of units of a commodity
purchased.)

Consumer Surplus and DMU


The concept of consumer surplus is derived from the
law of diminishing marginal utility.
As the consumer purchase more units of a good its
MU diminishes and the consumers willingness to pay
for additional units of commodity declines.
The consumer is in equilibrium when MU from a
commodity becomes equal too its price.
That is consumer purchases the number of units of
commodity at which MU equals price.

This means willingness to pay and


actually pays are equal but rest previous
units there is a consumer surplus.
But for the previous units customers
willingness to is greater than the price
he actually pays for them.
Because the price of all units are same.

Consumer Surplus
It measures extra utility or satisfaction which a
consumer obtains from the consumption of a
certain amount of a commodity over and above
the utility of its market value.
The total utility obtained from consuming water
is immense while its market value is negligible.
It is due to the occurrence of DMU that a
consumer
gets
total
utility
from
the
consumption of a commodity greater than its
market value

Marshall tried to obtain the monetary


measure of this surplus, i.e. how
many rupees this surplus of utility is
worth to consumer.
It is the monetary value of this
surplus
that
Marshall
called
Consumer surplus.

Determine Monetary value


of Surplus
Total utility of money in terms of money
that consumer expects to get from
consumption of a certain amount of
commodity.
The total market value of the amount of
commodity consumed by him.
It is easy to find out market value i.e. P*Q

Marginal Utility and Consumer


Surplus
No. Marginal Price Net Marginal
of Utility
Benefit
Unit
s
1
20
12
2
18
12
3
16
12
4
14
12
5
12
12
6
10
12
Consumer Surplus
(from 5 Units) =

8
6
4
2
0
-2
20

Consumer Surplus - Example


Price
(Rs)

The consumer surplus


of purchasing 5 units is
the sum of the
surplus derived from
each one individually.

20
18
16
14
12
10
14

Market Price
Consumer Surplus
8 + 6 + 4 + 2 + 0 + -2 = 20

13

Will not buy more than 5


because surplus from
additional units is negative
1

Price of X

Consumer Surplus
The stepladder demand curve can be converted into a
straight-line demand curve by making the units of the good
smaller.
Consumer surplus measures the total net benefit to
consumers =
total benefits from consumption (-)the total expenses.
Thus, consumer surplus is area under the demand curve and
above the price.
Note that the area under the demand curve up to the level of
consumption measures the total benefits.

Consumer Surplus
Price
(Rs.)

20

Consumer
Surplus
12

Market Price
Demand Curve

Actual
Expenditure
0

Price of X

Consumer Surplus and Market Price


A lower market price will usually increase
consumer surplus.
A higher market price will usually reduce
consumer surplus.
Consumer surplus will be smaller when the demand
curve is more elastic and larger when the demand
curve is inelastic.

How the Price Affects Consumer Surplus?


Price

Consumer Surplus at Price P2


vs. at Price P1

Initial
consumer
surplus
P1

P2

Consumer surplus
to new consumers
F

D
Additional consumer
surplus to initial
consumers

E
Demand

Q1

Q2

Quantity

Consumer Surplus
Price

Consumer Surplus

Maximum Willingness to Pay for Qo

Po

What is paid

D
Qo

Quantity

Change in Consumer Surplus: Price


Increase
Price
New Consumer Surplus
Original Consumer
Surplus

Loss in Surplus: Consumers paying more


P1
Po

Loss in Surplus: Consumers


buying less

Q1

Qo

Quantity

PRODUCER SURPLUS
The revenue that producers obtain from
a good over and above the price paid.
This is the difference between the
minimum supply price that sellers are
willing to accept and the price that they
actually receive.
A related notion from the demand side
of the market is consumer surplus.

Producers' surplus is the extra revenue


received when selling a good.
The supply price is less than the price
actually received.
Most producers under most circumstances
receive some surplus of revenue.
Even competitive markets overflowing
with efficiency generate an ample amount
of producer surplus.

Producer Surplus
The amount a seller is paid , minus the sellers cost.
It is the area above the supply curve, and below the
equilibrium price.

Producer Surplus
Price

Producer Surplus
Po

What is paid

Minimum Amount Needed to


Supply Qo
Qo

Quantity

Consumer and Producer Surplus


Price
Consumer
Surplus

Po

Producer Surplus

D
Qo

Quantity

The magic of perfectly competitive markets


At equilibrium, both consumer and producer surplus are at
their maximum
Any interference with the equilibrium price in perfectly
competitive markets will reduce total consumer and producer
surplus

Cost

By "Cost of Production" is meant the total sum


of money required for the production of a
specific quantity of output. In the word of
Gulhrie and Wallace:

"In Economics, cost of production has a special


meaning.

It is all of the payments or expenditures necessary


to obtain the factors of production of land, labor,
capital and management required to produce a
commodity.

It represents money costs which we want to incur in


order to acquire the factors of production".

Cost of Production

The following elements are included in the cost of


production:

(a) Purchase of raw machinery,


(b) Installation of plant and machinery,
(c) Wages of labor,
(d) Rent of Building,
(e) Interest on capital,
(f) Wear and tear of the machinery and building,
(g) Advertisement expenses,
(h) Insurance charges,
(i) Payment of taxes,
(j) In the cost of production, the imputed value of the factor of
production owned by the firm itself is also added,
(k) The normal profit of the entrepreneur is also included In
the cost of production.

FIXED, VARIABLE, AND


INCREMENTAL COSTS
Fixed costs: unaffected by changes in activity
level over a feasible range of operations for the
capacity or capability available.
Typical fixed costs include:
insurance and taxes on facilities
general management and administrative salaries
license fees
interest costs on borrowed capital.

Fixed costs will be affected When:


large changes in usage of resources occur
plant expansion or shutdown is involved

FIXED, VARIABLE AND


INCREMENTAL COSTS
Variable costs: associated with an
operation that vary in total with the
quantity of output or other measures of
activity level.
Example of variable costs include :
Costs of material and labor used in a
product or service.

FIXED,VARIABLE AND
INCREMENTAL COSTS
Incremental cost: additional cost that results from increasing
output of a system by one (or more) units.
Incremental cost is often associated with go / no go decisions
that involve a limited change in output or activity level.

A very simple example of incremental cost would be a factory producing


widgets where it takes one employee an hour to produce one widget.
the incremental cost of a widget would include the wages for an hour in
addition to the cost of materials used in production of a widget.
A more exact figure could comprise added costs, like electricity consumed if
the factory had to stay open for a longer duration, or the cost for shipping the
additional widget to a consumer.

SUNK COST AND


OPPORTUNITY COST
A sunk cost is one that has occurred in the past and has no
relevance to estimates of future costs and revenues related to
an alternative course of action;
Example : Product Research
Companies spend money each year for research and
development as they work to come up with new products and
services.
While the nature of research varies from business to business,
It's recognized as a sunk cost, since once the money is spent
on conducting a focus group or administering a survey, it's
gone.

Opportunity cost
An opportunity cost is the cost of
the best rejected ( i.e., foregone )
opportunity and is hidden or implied;

What is opportunity
cost?
Andy had $65.00
to spend at the
toy store. The
basketball net
cost $50.00, so
he had to buy
that instead of
the skateboard,
which cost
$75.00.

Sara had enough


money for either
the rabbit or the
bike. She decided
to buy the bike
because then she
could ride bikes
with her friends
after school.

Opportuni
ty Costs

Purchase
s

Opportunity cost
is the process of
choosing one good
or service over
another. The item
that you dont pick is
the opportunity
cost. The rabbit is
Saras opportunity
cost and the
skateboard is Andys
opportunity cost.

Social Cost
Building a new railway
$100
million
Creating pollution nearby (e.g.
cutting trees, noises)
$5
million
Social cost of building highway
= private cost + external cost
= $105 million

Historical Costs and


Replacement Costs.
Historical cost or original costs of an asset refers to the original
price paid by the management to purchase it in the past.
Whereas replacement costs refers to the cost that a firm incurs to
replace or acquire the same asset now.

The distinction between the historical cost and the replacement


cost result from the changes of prices over time.

In conventional financial accounts, the value of an asset is shown


at their historical costs but in decision-making the firm needs to
adjust them to reflect price level changes.

Example: If a firm acquires a machine for $20,000 in the year 1990 and the
same machine costs $40,000 now. The amount $20,000 is the historical cost
and the amount $40,000 is the replacement cost.

Money Cost
Money Cost of production is the actual monetary
expenditure made by company in the production
process.
Money cost thus includes all the business
expenses which involve outlay of money to
support business operations.

For example the monetary expenditure on


purchase of raw material, payment of wages and
salaries, payment of rent and other charges of
business etc can be termed as Money Cost.

Real Cost
Real Cost of production or business operation on
the other hand includes all such expenses/costs of
business which may or may not involve actual
monetary expenditure.
For example if owner of a business venture uses
his personal land and building for running the
business venture and
He/she does not charge any rent for the same
then such head will not be considered/included
while computing the Money Cost but this head will
be part of Real Cost computation.

Accounting Cost
Accounting Cost includes all such business expenses
that are recorded in the book of accounts of a business
firm as acceptable business expenses.

Such expenses include expenses like Cost of Raw


Material, Wages and Salaries, Various Direct and Indirect
business Overheads, Depreciation, Taxes etc.

When such business expenses or accounting expenses are


deducted from the Sales income of any firm the
accounting profit is obtained.

Such Accounting/Business expenses or costs are also


termed as Explicit Costs.

Accounting
Cost:
business expenses.

Various

allowed

Such as Cost of Raw Material, Salaries


and Wages, Electricity Bill, Telephone
Charges,
Various
Administrative
Expenses,
Selling
and
Distribution
Expenses,
Production
Overhead
Expenses,
Other
Indirect
Overhead
Expenses etc.

Accounting Profit
Accounting Cost

Sales

Income

Economic Cost
Economic Cost on the other hand includes all
the accounting expenses as well as the
Opportunity cost of a business firm.
Economic Cost and Economic Profit is thus
calculated as follows:
Economic Cost = Accounting Cost (Explicit
Costs) + Opportunity Cost.
Economic Profit = Total Revenues
(Accounting Cost + Opportunity Cost)

Private Cost and Social Cost


The actual expenses of individuals/ firms which are
borne or paid out by the individual or a firm can be
termed as Private Cost.
Thus for a business firm this may include expenses
like Cost of Raw Material, Salaries and Wages, Rent,
Various Overhead Expenses etc.

On the other hand Private Cost for an individual will


be his or her private expenses such as expense on
food, rent of house, expenses on clothing,
expenses on travel, expenses on entertainment
etc.

Social Cost
Social Cost on the other hand includes Private Cost
and also such costs which are not borne by the firm
but by the society at large.

Such Cost (that is cost not borne or paid out by the


firm) is also known as External Cost.

Another example of external cost can be the cost of


providing the basic infrastructure facilities like good
roads, sewage system or network, street lights etc.

Cost Concepts
I. Total Costs (TC)
whatever total cost is for any level of output
sum of all costs
Two Sub-Components:
(A)Total Fixed Costs TFC (Overhead
Costs)
do not vary with
output
come from fixed inputs
(B) Total Variable Costs TVC
vary with
output
Note:
variable inputs

TC = TFC + TVC

come from

Understanding Fixed, Variable,


Total cost
Numbe
r of
Units
Produc
ed

Fixe
d
Cos
t

Variabl
e Cost

Total
Cost

10

15

10

10

20

10

17

27

10

30

40

10

45

55

Cost Concepts
Graph of Total Cost Concepts

Cost(
Rs)

TC

TVC
(TFC)

TFC

Output (or
TP or Q)

Tonnes of wheat per year

Tonnes of wheat per year

Wheat production per year from a particular farm


d
Slope = TPP / L
= APP

TPP

Number of
farm workers (L)

APP

d
MPP

Number of
farm workers (L)

Cost Concepts
II. Average Total Costs (ATC)
Total Cost Per Unit of Output

TC
ATC
Q

Two
Average
Costs!!

Two Sub-Components:

(A) Average Fixed


Cost:

TFC
AFC
Q

(B) Average Variable AVC


Cost:
Note:

ATC = AFC + AVC

TVC
Q

Cost Concepts
III. Marginal Costs (MC) : Increase in Total Cost
that
results from an
increase in output

TC
MC
Q

The Short Run Cost Function


Add ATC = AFC + AVC to the
table

The Short Run Cost Function


ATC = AFC + AVC

Cost Concepts
Graph of Average & Marginal Cost Concepts

Cost(
Rs)

MC
ATC
AVC

AFC
Q1 Q2

Output

Cost Concepts
Summary of Relationship Between Marginal Cost &
Average Cost
(1) When marginal is below average average
is falling.
(2) When marginal is above average average
is rising.
(3) When marginal is equal average average
is at its lowest
Note : There is a certain correspondence
point.
between product
concepts and cost
concepts.
When AVC is at its minimum, AP will be at its
maximum.
When MC is at a minimum, MP will be at its
maximum.
(See diagram in book.)

285

The Short Run Cost Function


Production cost graph or map is

The Short Run Cost Function


Important Map Observations
AFC declines steadily over the range
of production. Why?
In general, ATC is u-shaped. Why?
MC intersects the minimum point (q*)
on ATC. Why?

The Short Run Cost Function


A change in input
prices will shift
the cost curves.
If fixed input costs
are reduced then
ATC
will
shift
downward.
AVC
and MC will remain
unaffected.
Computer Chip Case

The Short Run Cost Function


A change in input
prices will shift
the cost curves.
If variable input
costs are reduced
then MC, AVC,
and AC will all
shift downward.
Airline Industry Case

Long-Run Average Cost Curve


(No distinction between fixed and variable in
Long-Run)
Plots the relationship between
the lowest attainable Average
Cost and output when both capital (or plant size) and labor
can be varied.

Total Costs
per
Unit(Rs)

LRAC
Attaina
ble
Costs

(LRAC)

C1
C2

Unattaina
ble Costs

Q1

Q2

Q
(Output)

Relationship Between SATC & LRAC


Short-Run & Long-Run
Costs
SATC 3

LMC

SATC 2

SATC 1

SMC 1

Average
Costs per
Unit (Rs)

LRAC
0

Q
(Output)

Relationship Between SATC & LRAC


Short-Run & Long-Run
Costs
Average
Costs per
Unit (Rs)

LRAC

Xmi
n

X = minimum point

Q
(Output)

Long-Run Average Cost Curve


Slope of LRAC
LRAC

Costs per
Unit

Qm

Q
(Outpu
t)
Qm Rightward: Diseconomies
of

0 to Qm: Economies of
Scale
Scale
* Qm is the most efficient point doubly efficient:
(1) It represents the lowest possible costs for its production
level (like all
points on LRAC curve).
(2) It is the output level that has absolutely lowest costs of
all output levels.

Other Possible Shapes for LRAC


Constant Returns to Scale
: LRAC curve is horizontal
Doubling Input spending
always leads to a
doubling of output.

Average
Cost per
Unit (Rs)

LRAC
0
OR
Average
Cost per
Unit (Rs)

Q
(Outpu
t)

LRAC

Q
(Outpu

Other Possible Shapes for LRAC


Continually Decreasing
Costs

Average
Cost per
Unit (Rs)

Decreasing
Cost!!!

LRAC
0
Q
(Outpu
t)

Minimum Efficient Scale

Definition :
The smallest quantity of output at
which long-run average cost reaches
its lowest level.

A Perfectly Competitive Market


A perfectly competitive market is a market in
which economic forces operate unimpeded

For a market to be perfectly competitive, six


conditions must be met:
1. Both buyers and sellers are price takers
a price taker is a firm or individual who
takes the price determined by market supply
and demand as given
2. The number of firms is large any one
firms output compared to the market output
is imperceptible and what one firm does has
no influence on other firms

A Perfectly Competitive Market


3. There are no barriers to entry barriers to
entry
are social, political, or economic
impediments that prevent firms from entering a
market.
3. Firms
products
are
identical

this
requirement means that each firms output is
indistinguishable from any other firms output
4. There is complete information all consumers
know all about the market such as prices,
products, and available technology
5. Selling
firms
are
profit-maximizing
entrepreneurial firms firms must seek

Total Revenue of a Competitive Firm


Total revenue for a firm is the selling
price times the quantity sold.
TR = P Q

Average Revenue of a Competitive


Firm
T o ta l re v e n u e
A v e ra g e R e v e n u e =
Q u a n tity
P ric e Q u a n tity

Q u a n tity
P ric e
Average revenue is the revenue per unit sold
P = AR.
This is simply because all units sold are sold at the
same price.

Marginal Revenue of a Competitive


Firm
Marginal Revenue is the increase
() in total revenue when an
additional unit is sold.
MR = TR / Q

Revenue of a Perfectly Competitive Firm


Total Revenue: The amount of money received when the
firm sells the product, i.e.,
Total Revenue = Price of the product Quantity of the product sold
TR = P Q

Since the firm is a price taker under perfect competition, it


sells each additional unit of the product for the same price.
Average Revenue = Total Revenue/Quantity sold
AR = TR/Q = P

Marginal Revenue = Additional revenue earned from


selling an additional unit of the product.
MR = TR/Q = P

Thus, for a competitive firm AR = P = MR

Total Revenue: PQ
TP = Q

TR

AR

MR

10

30

25

75

50

150

70

210

85

255

95

285

100

300

101

303

95

285

85

255

The Revenue of a Competitive Firm


In perfect competition, marginal
revenue equals price: P = MR.
We saw earlier that P = AR
Therefore, for all firms in perfect
competition, P = AR = MR

9.4 Profit Maximization (SR):


TR and TC approach

What Is Perfect
Competition?
Figure illustrates a firms revenue concepts.
Part (a) shows that market demand and market supply
determine the market price that the firm must take.

What Is Perfect
Competition?
A perfectly competitive firms goal is to
make maximum economic profit, given
the constraints it faces.
So the firm must decide:
1. How to produce at minimum cost
2. What quantity to produce
3. Whether to enter or exit a market
We start by looking at the firms output
decision.

Profit Maximization by the Competitive Firm:


Approach I: Total Profit = TR TC

TP = Q

TR

TC

Profit

80

-80

10

30

105

-75

25

75

130

-55

50

150

155

-5

70

210

180

30

85

255

205

50

95

285

235

50

100

300

255

45

101

303

280

23

95

285

305

-20

10

85

255

330

-75

On the Diagram, the profit maximizing level of output is the


level where the vertical difference between the TR and TC is
the largest.

The Firms Output Decision


Profit-Maximizing Output
A perfectly competitive firm chooses the
output that maximizes its economic profit.
One way to find the profit-maximizing
output is to look at the firms the total
revenue and total cost curves.
Figure on the next slide looks at these
curves along with the firms total profit
curve.

The Firms Output Decision


Part (a) shows the total
revenue, TR, curve.

Part (a) also shows the


total cost curve, TC,
which is like the one in
previous Slides.
Total revenue minus
total cost is economic
profit (or loss), shown
by the curve EP in part
(b).

The Firms Output


Decision
At low output levels,
the firm incurs an
economic lossit cant
cover its fixed costs.

At intermediate output
levels, the firm makes
an economic profit.

The Firms Output


Decision
At high output
levels, the firm again
incurs an economic
lossnow the firm
faces steeply rising
costs because of
diminishing returns.

The firm maximizes its


economic profit when
it produces 9 sweaters
a day.

Profit Maximization by the Competitive


Firm:
Approach I: Total Profit = TR TC

Max Profit
Max Output

Profit Maximization by the Competitive Firm:


Approach II: MR = MC
Most managers do not make decisions looking at TR and TC.
Most decisions are made at the margin.
The output level that will maximize profit is determined by
comparing the amount that each additional unit of output adds
to TR and TC.
Recall, Marginal Cost (MC) represents additional cost from
producing an additional unit of output; and Marginal Revenue
(MR) represents addition to TR from selling (producing) an
additional (one more) unit of output, which is equal to the
price of that output.
Thus, MC and MR can be used to determine profit maximizing
level of output.

Profit Maximization by the Competitive Firm:


Approach II: MR = MC

TR

MR

TC

MC Profit

10

30

105

2.50

-75

25

75

130

1.67

-55

50

150

155

1.00

-5

70

210

180

1.25

30

85

255

205

1.67

50

95

285

235

3.00

55

100

300

255

5.00

45

101

303

280

25.0

23

95

285

305

-4.17

-20

10

85

255

330

-2.50

-75

80

-80

The firm will continue to expand production until MR is equal to MC, i.e., profit
is maximized when MR = MC.
With P being Rs 3/unit, profits are maximized by producing 95 units of output.

The Firms Output


Decision
Marginal Analysis and Supply Decision
The firm can use marginal analysis to
determine the profit-maximizing output.
Because marginal revenue is constant and
marginal cost eventually increases as output
increases, profit is maximized by producing
the output at which marginal revenue, MR,
equals marginal cost, MC.
Figure on the next slide shows the marginal
analysis that determines the profit-maximizing
output.

The Firms Output


Decision
At high output
levels, the firm again
incurs an economic
lossnow the firm
faces steeply rising
costs because of
diminishing returns.

The firm maximizes its


economic profit when
it produces 9 sweaters
a day.

The Firms Output Decision


If MR > MC, economic
profit increases if
output increases.

If MR < MC, economic


profit decreases if
output increases.
If MR = MC, economic
profit decreases if
output changes in
either direction, so
economic profit is
maximized.

Determining Profits Graphically: A Firm with Profit


P

Find output where


MC = MR, this is the
profit maximizing Q

MC
MC = MR

ATC
P=D=
AVCMR

Profits

ATC

ATC at Qprofit max

Qprofit
max

Find profit per unit


where the profit max
Q intersects ATC
Since P>ATC at the
profit maximizing
quantity,
this firm is earning
profits

Determining Profits Graphically:


A Firm with Zero Profit or Losses
P

Find output where


MC = MR, this is the
profit maximizing Q

MC
ATC

Find profit per unit


where the profit max
Q intersects ATC
Since P=ATC at the
profit maximizing
quantity,
this firm is earning
zero profit or loss

MC = MR

AVC

P
=AT
C

P=D=
MR

ATC at Qprofit max

Qprofit
max

Determining Profits Graphically: A Firm with Losses


P

Find output where


MC = MR, this is the
profit maximizing Q

MC
ATC at Qprofit max

ATC
P

ATC
AVC
P=D=
MR

Losse
s

MC = MR

Qprofit
max

Find profit per unit


where the profit max
Q intersects ATC
Since P<ATC at the
profit maximizing
quantity,
this firm is earning
losses

Determining Profits Graphically:


The Shutdown Decision

P
The shutdown point is
the point below which
the firm will be better
off if it shuts down than
it will if it stays in
business
If P>min of AVC, then
the firm will still
produce, but earn a
PShut
loss
down
If P<min of AVC, the
firm will shut down
If a firm shuts down, it
still has to pay its fixed
costs

MC
ATC

AVC
P=D=
MR

Qprofit
max

Short-Run Market Supply and


Demand
While the firms demand curve is perfectly
elastic, the industrys demand curve is
downward sloping
The market (industry) supply curve is the horizontal
sum of all the firms marginal cost curves
The market supply curve takes into
account any changes in input prices that
might occur

Short-Run Market Supply and Demand Graph


P

Market

Firm
MC

Market
Supply

ATC

P
ATC
Market
Deman
d

P=D=
MR

Profits

Qprofit
max

Long-Run Competitive Equilibrium


At long run equilibrium, economic profits are zero

Profits create incentives for new firms to


enter, market supply will increase, and the
price will fall until zero profits are made
The existence of losses will cause firms to
leave the industry, market supply will
decrease, and the price will increase until
losses are zero

Long-Run Competitive Equilibrium


Zero profit does not mean that the
entrepreneur does not get anything for his
efforts
Normal profit is the amount the owners would
have received in their next best alternative
Economic profits are profits above normal profits

Long-Run Competitive Equilibrium


Graph
P

At long-run
equilibrium, economic
profits are zero

MC
LRAT
CSRAT
C

P = D = MR

Market Response to an Increase in Demand Graph


P

Market

Firm
MC

S0(SR)

P1
P0

2
1

S1(SR)

2
1
1

Q0 Q 1 Q 2

S(LR)
D1
D0

ATC

P1
P0

SR Profits

1
2

Q0,2Q1

Long-Run Market Supply


If the long-run industry supply curve is
perfectly elastic, the market is a constant-cost
industry
If the long-run industry supply curve is upward
sloping, the market is an increasing-cost industry
If the long-run industry supply curve is
downward sloping, the market is a
decreasing-cost industry
In the short run, the price does more of the
adjusting, and in the long run, more of the
adjustment is done by quantity

Monopoly
Only one seller of a particular
product

Characteristics of Monopoly
Single Producer
No close substitute
Inelastic demand curve
Price Maker
Barriers to entry
Legal restrictions or barriers to entry of
other firms
Control over key raw material
Examples: Public utilities telephones
and electricity etc.

Total Revenue
Price
6
5
4
3
2
1
0

Quantity
0
1
2
3
4
5
6

Total Revenue
0
5
8
9
8
5
0

Can you work out the demand, total revenue and marginal
revenue functions from this information?

Demand and Total Revenue


TR
Graph A
9

0
Price 6

TR
3

D
Graph B

AR = D
3

Marginal Revenue
TR

C
A

Graph A

TR
0

P,MR
Graph B

C
0

X
Q1

Q2

MR

AR = D
Q

Profit Maximizing Output Decision


under Monopoly in the Short-run
The Total Curves Approach
Profit maximization output decision
rule for a monopolist depends
on two considerations.

$
TR
TC

One, whether there is any


output level at which TR
exceeds the TVC. If not, the
profit maximizing strategy is to
shut down.

If there are output levels at


which TR > TVC, the
monopolist will produce where
the vertical distance between
TR and TC is at its maximum.

TVC

Profit Maximizing Output Decision


under Monopoly in the Short-run
The Total Curves Approach

In this case, the vertical


distance between TR and TC
is at maximum at the Q* level
of output.

Note that at Q* units of


output, TR and TC curves
have the same slope, i.e.,
MR = MC. (This is called
the Necessary Condition of
profit maximization)

Further, the slope of MC


exceeds that of the MR (MC
has a positive slope and MR
has a negative slope). (This
is called the Sufficient
Condition of profit
maximization)

$
TR
TC
TVC

Q*

Output and Price Determination


Steps for Graphically Determining the Profit-Maximizing Output, ProfitMaximizing Price, and Economic Profits (if Any) in Pure Monopoly
Step 1

Determine the profit-maximizing output by finding where


MR=MC.

Step 2

Determine the profit-maximizing price by extending a vertical


line upward from the output determined in step 1 to the pure
monopolists demand curve.

Step 3

Determine the pure monopolists economic profit by using


one of two methods:
Method 1. Find profit per unit by subtracting the average total
cost of the profit-maximizing output from the profitmaximizing price. Then multiply the difference by the profitmaximizing output to determine economic profit (if any).
Method 2. Find total cost by multiplying the average total cost
of the profit-maximizing output by that output. Find total
revenue by multiplying the profit-maximizing output by the
profit-maximizing price. Then subtract total cost from total
revenue to determine the economic profit (if any).

LO2

10-337

Finding Pm and Qm
Price
MC
Pm

Cost data will determine


a monopolists profit.
MC = MR
Market Demand

Qm

MR

Quantity of output

Price, Costs, and Revenue

Output and Price Determination


$200
175
Pm=$122

MC

150
125
100
75

Economic
Profit

ATC
D

A=$94
MR=MC

50
25
0

LO2

MR
1

5 6 7
Quantity

10

10-339

Misconceptions of Monopoly
Pricing

Not highest price


Total profit
Possibility of losses

LO2

10-340

Misconceptions of Monopoly
Pricing
MC
A
Pm

ATC

Loss

AVC

V
D
MR=MC
MR
0

LO2

Qm

10-341

Price Discrimination
It refers to discrimination of price for
different consumers on the basis of their
income or purchasing power,
geographical location, age, sex, colour,
marital status, quantity purchased, time
of purchase etc. for eg: Physicians and hospitals
Merchandise sellers
Railways and Airlines
Cinema shows or musical concerts
Domestic and foreign markets

Necessary conditions
Different Markets must be separable for

a seller

The Elasticity of demand must be

different in different markets

There must be imperfect competition in

the market

Profit maximizing output should be

larger than the quantity demanded in a


single market or section of consumers

First Degree of Price


Discrimination
Costs / Revenue

Output / Sales

Second Degree of Price


Discrimination
Costs / Revenue

S
P1
P2
P3
P

Q1

Q2

Q3

Output / Sales

Third Degree of Price


Discrimination
Costs / Revenue

Market B

Market A

Total Market

MC

PB

PA

AR=D

ARA
MRB

MRA
0

QA

Output / Sales

ARB

QB

Output / Sales

MR
0

Output / Sales

Four Market Models


Characteristics of the Four Basic Market Models
Characteristi
c
Number of
firms

Pure
Competitio
n

Oligopoly

Monopoly

Many

Few

One

Type of product Standardized

Differentiated

Standardized or
differentiated

Unique; no
close subs.

Control over
price

None

Some, but within


rather narrow limits

Limited by
mutual interdependence;
considerable
with collusion

Considerabl
e

Conditions of
entry

Very easy, no Relatively easy


obstacles

Significant
obstacles

Blocked

Nonprice
competition

None

Considerable
emphasis on
advertising, brand
names, trademarks

Typically a great
deal,
particularly with
product
differentiation

Mostly
public
relation
advertising

Examples

Agriculture

Retail trade, dresses,

Steel, auto, farm Local

LO1

A very large
number

Monopolistic
Competition

DEMAND FORECASTING
Demand forecasting means estimation of the
demand for the good in the forecast period.
It is a process of estimating a future event by
casting forward past data.
The past data are systematically combined in
a predetermined way to obtain the estimate
of future demand.

Why demand forecasting?

Planning and scheduling production


Acquiring inputs
Making provision for finances
Formulating pricing strategy
Planning advertisement

Criteria for selecting a good


forecasting method
1. Accuracy: Different methods of forecasting yield
accurate results under different circumstances. An
appropriate choice of method will ensure more accurate
results.
2. Reliability: A time tested method increases the
reliability of that method. If a particular method was
used to give reliable result in the past then the same
method can be reused for forecasting future.
3.

Economical: Although complete enumeration


method of forecasting demand would perhaps yield
more accurate result yet it would be a very expensive
method.
The team conducting forecast cannot afford to discuss the
economic aspect of forecasting and therefore should
select the least expensive of the methods which would
give some reliable forecasts.

Criteria for selecting a good


forecasting method
4. Data availability: Forecasting is made on the basis of
the availability of primary or secondary data and therefore
the required data should be easily available preferably in the
required form.
5. Flexibility: As the managerial economist is faced with a
number of uncontrollable variables, flexibility in using would
be a necessary condition for a good forecast.
6. Durability: The forecast that are made should be valid
in the long run because there is a certain time lag in
conducting the forecasts and the period when the product is
likely to enter the market.
7.

Simplicity: Depending upon the objective the


researcher should apply a simple and straightforward
method of forecasting

Consumer Surveys:
It involves gathering of information about
consumer behavior from a sample of
consumers which is analyzed and then
further projected onto the population.
Surveys are conducted to assess consumers
perception of various aspects, such as new
variations in products, variations in prices of
the product and related products, new
variations in services provided etc.
The drawback of this method is that the
consumer has to respond to hypothetical
situations.

Complete Enumeration
Method
Complete Enumeration Survey covers all the
consumers. It resembles the Census Data
Collection which considers the entire
population.
In this case all the consumers are covered and
information is obtained from all regarding the
prospective demand for the product under
consideration.
In this method the consumer is asked about the
future plan of purchasing product in question.

For Example if majority of households


in a city report the quantity (q) and
they are willing to purchase a
commodity then the total probable
demand (DP) may be calculated as

Advantages
(a)Quite accurate as it surveys all the
consumers of a product
(b)It is simple to use
(c)It is not affected by personal bias
(d)It is based on collected data

Disadvantages
(a)It is costly
(b)It is time consuming
(c)It is difficult and practically
impossible to survey all the
consumers
(d)Useful only for products with limited
consumers

Sample Survey:
In case of the sample survey
method, few consumers are selected
to represent the entire population of the
consumers of the commodity consumed.
The total demand for the product in the
market is then projected on the basis of
the opinion collected from the sample.
The most important advantage of this
method is that it is less expensive and
less tedious compared to the method of
complete enumeration.

On the basis of information collected the probable


demand is estimated through the following formula

D = Probable demand Forecast


H = census number of households from the

relevant market

= number of household reporting demand for


the product

= number of household surveyed.

= Average expected consumption by the


reporting household ( = total qty reported to be
consumed by the reporting household / no. of
households)

Sample Survey Method


Instead of surveying all the
consumers of a commodity, only a
few consumers are selected and their
views on the probable demand are
collected
Populatio
n
Sampl
e

Advantages
(a)It is simple and does not cost much
(b)Since only a few consumers are to
be approached, the methods works
quickly
(c)The risk of handling a large number
of data is reduced
(d)It gives excellent results, if used
carefully

Disadvantages
(a)The conclusions are based on the
view of only a few consumers and
not all of them
(b)The sample may not be a true
representation of the entire
population

End Use Method


A given product may have different end uses.
For example: milk may have different end uses
such as milk powder, chocolates, sweet -meats like
barfi etc.
Therefore the end users of milk are identified.
A survey is planned of the end users and the
estimated demands from all segments of end users
are added.
This method of demand forecasting is easy to
manage if the number of end-users is limited.
In this method the investigator expects the endusers to provide correct information well in advance
of their respective production schedules.

Advantages:
(a)The method yields accurate predictions
(b)It provides sector wise demand forecast
for different industries
Disadvantages:
(a)It requires complex and diverse
calculation
(b)It is costlier as compared to other survey
methods and is more time consuming
(c)Industry data may not be readily available

Opinion Poll Method


It aims at collecting opinions of those
who are supposed to possess knowledge
of the market, e.g sales representative,
sales executives, professional marketing
experts and consultants,
The opinion poll methods include:
Expert opinion method
Delphi method
Market studies and experiments

Expert Opinion
The expert opinion method, also known as
EXPERT CONSENSUS METHOD, is being widely
used for demand forecasting.
This method utilizes the findings of market
research and the opinions of management
executives, consultants, and trade association
officials, trade journal editors and sector analysts.
When done by
An expert, qualitative techniques provide
reasonably good forecasts for a short term
because of the experts familiarity with the
issues and the problems involved.

Expert Opinion
Salesmen are required to estimate expected sales in their territories.
Salesmen being the closest to the customers, have most intimate feel
of the market.
The estimates of individual salesmen are consolidated to find out
the total estimated sales.
These estimates are reviewed to eliminate the bias of optimism or
pessimism.
Thereafter they are further revised in the light of factors proposed
change in prices, product design, advertising budget, expected
change in competition, changes in purchasing power, income
distribution, employment, population etc.
The final forecast will emerge after all these factors are taken into
account.
The method is known as collective opinion as it takes advantage of
the collective wisdom of salesmen, departmental heads like
production manager, sales manager, marketing manager, managerial
economist and top executives, as well as dealers and distributors.

Advantages:
1. The method is simple and does not involve the use of
statistical techniques.
2. The forecasts are based on first-hand knowledge of salesmen
and others directly connected with sales.
3. The method is useful in predicting sales of new products.
Here, salesmen will have to depend more on their judgement
than in the case of existing products.
Disadvantages:
1. It is subjective. Salesmen may underestimate the forecast if it
is to be used to decide their quotas.
2. This method can only be used for short-term forecasting.
3. Focus of salesmen is centered round the present trend, and they
dont think about the future. They may even lack the breadth
of vision for looking into the future.

Delphi Method
This is a variant of the opinion poll or survey
method.
In Delphi Method, an attempt is made to arrive at a
consensus of opinion.
The participants are supplied with responses to
previous questions from others in the group by a
leader.
The leader provides each expert with opportunity to
react to the information given by others, including
reasons advanced, without disclosing the source.
The Delphi method is primarily used to
forecast the demand for NEW
PRODUCTS.

Advantages & Disadvantages of Delphi


Method:

Delphi method has some exclusive advantages:


a) It facilitates anonymity of the respondents identity. This enables
respondents to be frank and forthright in giving their views.
b) It facilitates posing the problem to the experts at one time and have their
response nearly as good as pooling the panelists together. In one case
620 experts from different background such as policy-makers,
technologists, scientists, economists, administrators and advisers were
consulted.
However, Delphi method presumes these two conditions: 1) panelists must be
rich in their expertise, having wide knowledge of the subject and are
sincere and earnest in their disposition towards the participants.
2) The conductors are objective in their job, possess skill to conceptualize the
problems for discussion to generate considerable thinking, stimulate
dialogue among panelists and make inferential analysis of the numerous
views of the participants.

Experimental Approaches
Customer Surveys are sometimes conducted
over the telephone or on street corners, at
shopping malls, and so forth.
The new product is displayed or described, and
potential customers are asked whether they would
be interested in purchasing the item.
While this approach can help to isolate attractive
or unattractive product features, experience has
shown that "intent to purchase" as measured in
this way is difficult to translate into a meaningful
demand forecast. This falls short of being a true
demand experiment.

Consumer Panels
Consumer Panels are also used in the early
phases of product development.
Here a small group of potential customers are
brought together in a room where they can use the
product and discuss it among themselves.
Panel members are often paid a nominal amount
for their participation.
Like surveys, these procedures are more useful
for analyzing product attributes than for estimating
demand, and they do not constitute true demand
experiments because no purchases take place

Market Experiment

Market Experiment can help to


overcome the survey problems as
they generate data before
introducing a product or
implementing a policy.

Market Experiments are two types:1) Test marketing:2) Controlled experiments:-

Test marketing
In this case, a test area is selected, which should be a
representative of the whole market in which the new product is
to be launched.
A test area may include several cities and towns,
particular
region of a country or even a sample of consumers.

or a

More than one test area can be selected if the firm wants
to
assess the effects on demand due to various alternative
marketing mix.

Advertising or packaging can be done in various market


areas.
Then the demand for the product can be compared at different
levels of price and advertising expenditure.

In this way, consumers response to change in price or


advertising can be judged.

Test Marketing
Test Marketing is often employed after new product
development but prior to a full-scale national launch of
a new brand or product.
The idea is to choose a relatively small, reasonably
isolated, yet somehow demographically "typical"
market area.
The total marketing plan for the item, including
advertising, promotions, and distribution tactics, is
"rolled out" and implemented in the test market, and
measurements of product awareness, market
penetration, and market share are made.

DRAWBACKS OF THE MARKET


EXPERIMENT
1)
2)
3)

The test experiments are that they are very


costly and much time consuming.
If in a test market prices are raised, consumer
may switch to the competitors products.
It may be difficult to regain lost customers
even if the price is reduced to the previous
level. Moreover, it is often difficult to select an
area, which accurately represents the
potential market.

Controlled experiments
Controlled experiments are conducted to the test
demand for a new product launched or to test
the demands for various brands of a product.
They are selected consumers.

DRAWBACKS OF THE CONTROLLED EXPERIMENTS

1) The consumers may be biased in the process of


selection of a sample of consumers on which
experiments is to be performed.
2)The selected consumers may not respond
accurately If they come to know that they are a
part of an experiment being conducted and their
behavior is being recorded.

Statistical Method

Statistical method is used for long run


forecasting.
Statistical & mathematical techniques are
used to forecast demand.
Statistical methods has been used to
explain time-series & cross-section data
for estimating long-term demand.
Statistical methods are considered to be
superior
techniques
of
demand
estimation.
The important statistical methods are
1. Trend Projection method/time series
2. Barometric methods
3. Econometric method

1. Trend project method

Trend project method are also called as time


series method therefore, it is also known as
time series analysis.
The data relating to sales over a period of time
is known as time series data (10 20 yrs).
On the basis of the past trend in demand,
forecasting the future demand trend is
possible.
Trend project method classified into 3 types
1. Graphical method
2. Fitting trend equation/least square method &
3. Box Jenkins method

1. Graphical Method

Annual data on sales are plotted on a graph paper


& a line is drawn through the plotted points.
This method is very simple & less expensive.

2. Fitting Trend Equation

A trend line (curve) is fitting to the time-series


sales data with the aid of statistical techniques.

3. Box Jenkins Method

This method of forecasting is used only for shortterm predictions.


This method is suitable for forecasting demand
with only stationary time series sales data.
Stationary time-series is one which does not
reveal a log term trend.

Graphical method:
The past data will be plotted on a graph
The identified trend will be extended
further in the same pattern to ascertain
the demand in the forecast period
In the figure trend 1 is linear, trend 2 is
non-linear

Demand

Trend 2

2. Barometric Method
Barometric method is an improvement
over trend projection method.
Under barometric method, present events
are used to predict the directions of
change in future.
This method done with the help of
economic & statistical indicators.
This method is also known as Economic
Indicators Methods. Under barometric
method, present events are used to
predict the directions of change in future.

Barometric Technique
The Bhuj earthquake in January 2001, lead
to a massive destruction of property &
buildings in Gujrat.
This necessitated construction of buildings
to rehabilitate the people of affected areas.
The construction was followed by a spurt in
the demand for cement, fans, tube lights,
etc.
Thus, construction of buildings leads to the
demand for cement.
Here, construction of buildings is the
leading indicator or the barometer

TREND PROJECTION
METHOD
Based on analysis of past sales
patterns
Shows effective demand for the
product for a specified time period
The trend can be estimated by using
the Least Square Method

A producer of soaps decides to


forecast the next years sales of his
product.
The data for the lastSALES
five IN
years
is as
YEARS
Rs.LAKHS
follows:
1996
45
1997

52

1998

48

1999

55

2000

60

The data is plotted on a


graph:

The equation for the straight line trend


is

Y = a + bx
a-intercept
b-shows impact of independent variable
The Y intercept and the slope of the line
are found by making substitutions in
the following normal equations:

Y = na + b x
XY = a x + b x2

YEARS

SALES Rs.
LAKHS (Y)

X2

XY

1996

45

45

1997

52

104

1998

48

144

1999

55

16

220

2000

60

25

300

N=5

Y=260

X=15

X2=55

XY=813

Substituting the above values in the normal


equations:
260=5a +15b (Eq.3)
813=15a + 55b (Eq.4)
solving the two equations,
a = 42.1 , b = 3.3

Therefore, the equation for the


straight line trend is
Y=42.1 + 3.3X

Using this equation we can find the trend


values for the previous years and estimate
the sales for the year 2001 as follows:
Y 1996
=

42.1+3.3(1)
=

45.4

Y 1997
=

42.1+3.3(2)
=

48.7

Y 1998
=

42.1+3.3(3)
=

52.0

Y 1999
=

42.1+3.3(4)
=

55.3

Y 2001
=

42.1+3.3(6)
=

61.9

Thus, the forecast sales for year 2001 is Rs.61.9


2000
42.1+3.3(5)
58.6
lakhs. Y
=
=

Estimation of Trend by the Method of Least Squares

Q. The annual sales of a company are as follows:


Year
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
Sales 000
45
56
58
46
75
Using the method of least squares, fit a st. line trend and estimate the annual
sales of 1997.
Year

Sales

1990 = 0

x2

xy

Estimated
Trend000
Y=45 + 5x

TimeDeviation
x

1991

45

45

50

1992

56

112

55

1993

78

234

60

1994

46

16

184

65

1995

75

25

375

70

n=5

y = 300

x = 15

x2 = 55

xy = 950

n=5
y = 300
xy = 950

yn.a. + b x
xy = a x + b x2

. 2

Substituting the computed values


we have,
300 = 5a + 15b .3 (x 3)
950 = 15a + 55b . 4
Multiplying (3) by 3 we have
900 = 15a + 45b
950 = 15a + 55b
Therefore, 10b = 50,
b=5
Substituting b = 5 in (3)
300 = 5a + 15(5)
300 = 5a + 75
5a = 225
a = 45

x = 15

x2 = 55

St. line equation is Y = a + bx


Substituting the values of a and b,
Y = 45 + 5x
Therefore,
Y1991 (x=1) = 45 + 5(1) = 50
Y1992 (x=2) = 45 + 5(2) = 55
Y1993 (x=3) = 45 + 5(3) = 60
Y1994 (x=4) = 45 + 5(4) = 65
Y1995 (x=5) = 45 + 5(5) = 70
Y1996 (x=6) = 45 + 5(6) = 75
Forecast for the year 1997
Y1997 (x=7) = 45 + 5(7) = 80
i.e. Rs.80,000/-

Use of Economic Indicators


The use of this approach bases demand forecasting on
certain economic indicators following these steps:
1. See whether a relationship exists between demand for
the product and the economic indicator.
2. Establish the relationship through the method of least
squares and derive the regression equation. Assuming
the relationship to be linear, the equation will be Y = a +
bx
3. Once the regression equation is derived, the value of
Y i.e. demand can be estimated for any given value of x.
Draw back: Finding an appropriate economic indicator may
be difficult.
For new products it is inappropriate as no past data
exists.

Illustration: Suppose a company manufacturing tractors


finds that a relationship exists between sale of tractors
and Farm Income Index published by CSO. Table below
shows the number of tractors sold and
the corresponding farm income index 1988 through
Regression
is calculated
asx follows:
Year 1992.
Farm
Sales of equation
X
Y
y
x2
Income Tractors
Index (x)
(y)

1 = x/10

1 = y/10

1 1

1988

100

110

10

11

110

100

1989

110

130

11

13

143

121

1990

140

150

14

15

210

196

1991

150

160

15

16

240

225

1992

200

180

20

18

360

400

n=5

X1=70

Y1 =73 X1y1=1063 X12=1042

The equations to be solved simultaneously are:


y1 = n.a. + b x1 .(1)

x1y1 = a x1 + b x12(2)
Substituting the various values, we get,
73 = 5a + 70b
(x14)(3)
1063 =70a + 1042b
1022 =70a + 980b
62b = 41
b = 41/62 = 0.66
Substituting the value of b in (3)
73 = 5a + 70 (0.66) = 5a + 46.2
5a = 73 46.2 = 26.8
a = 26.8/5
= 5.36
a = 5.36
b = 0.66

y1 = 5.36 + 0.66x1
Y/10 = 5.36 + 0.66 (X/10)

Y = 10(5.36) + 0.66(x/10)10
= 53.6 + 0.66x
If the index of farm income becomes
210, sale of tractors will be
Y = 53.6 + 0.66(210)
= 53.6 + 138.6
= 192 tractors.

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