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Introduction
The Value Chain
The Product Life Cycle
Diffusion and Innovation
Portfolio Analysis
- B C G Matrix
- G E Multi Factor Matrix
- Shell Directional Policy Matrix
Experience Curve
Importance of Market Share
Profit Impact of Marketing Strategy ( P.I.M.S.)
Gap Analysis
S.W.O.T Analysis
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INTRODUCTION
There are many tools that can be used to help interpret the current situation. These are
often referred to as auditing tools. These tools or models cannot only be used for auditing
the current situation but can also play an important role in helping to develop future
strategy (ie they can be used for identifying both where we are now and where we want
to be).
This session will outline the various models and frameworks that can be used for both
strategic analysis and strategy development. The models will include;
Value Chain
Product Life Cycle
Diffusion and Innovation
Portfolio Analysis
Experience Curve and the Importance of Market Share
Profit Impact of Marketing Strategy PIMS
Gap Analysis
SWOT Analysis
Inbound
logistics
and sales
Figure 1
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Case Study
The Media Value Chain
During the 1980s and 1990s electronic media companies were highly successful. The
owners such as the ITV companies and Capital Radio were exceptionally profitable.
These companies dominated the key portion of the value chain described by Porter. In
most electronic media markets this chain is simple. Each link is a separate stage in the
process that takes the raw talent of an actor, comedian or football player and turns it into
great media that the consumer will listen to or watch.
At each stage value is added, but separate links in the chain are rewarded very differently
for the contribution they make. The key question in assessing the value of media
businesses and deciding which companies to invest in is to understand which of these
links in the chain will hold the greatest value in the long-term.
The real value seems to lie in vertically integrated businesses that have must-see
content and control the gateway. This lies at the heart of BSkyBs strategy and is the
rationale for the merger between AOL and Time Warner.
Applying this logic to the mobile phone industry makes the companies that paid 22.48
billion for the third generation spectrum in Britain weakest link in the media value chainrather nervous. To make an acceptable return on capital employed, they will need to
generate substantial profits from the content, packaging and consumer gateway links in
the value chain.
This will require some big changes. These companies must convert their existing billing
relationships into gateway relationships where they are at the heart of everything the
customer does. They also have to offer their customers must-see content that is
exclusive to their network. The final step would be to vertically integrate the whole
operation, as BskyB has in television. This would create significant synergies.
To achieve this will require a huge cultural shift. Companies that have core skills in
network and subscriber management must understand and adopt the very different skills
of integrated content providers. It is a tough proposition.
Source:
Inwardly orientated
Needs to take account of other value added activities outside of its organisation since
rarely are value creating activities limited to one company
Sales
Introduction
Growth
Maturity
Time
Figure 2
9
Decline
Total industry
Product Class
Product Form
Brands
eg motor industry
eg cars, vans or lorries
eg people carriers, estate and sports cars
eg Renault Espace, VW Passat, Rover 75
Marketing Mix
Introduction
Growth
Maturity
Decline
Product
Basic product,
limited range
Develop product
extensions and
service levels
Modify and
differentiate
Develop and
service levels
Price
Penetration
strategy
Price to meet or
beat competitors
Reduce
Distribution
Selective Build
dealer relations
Intensive Limited
trade discounts
Intensive Heavy
trade discounts
Selective Phase
out weak outlets
Advertising
Heavy spending to
build awareness
and encourage trial
among early
adopters and
distributors
Moderate to build
awareness and
interest in the
mass market.
Greater word of
mouth
Emphasise brand
differentiation and
special offers
Reduce to a level
that maintains
hard core loyalty.
Emphasise low
prices to reduce
stock
Sales
Extensive to
encourage trial
Reduce to a
moderate level
Increase to
encourage brand
switching
Reduce or stop
completely
Planning time
frame
Short to medium
Long range
Medium range
Short
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Diffusion of Innovation
The PLC provides an indicator of the various stages through which the product passes
but provides little indication of timescale. The rate at which new products are adopted
varies considerably, but Rogers (1981) developed a model which illustrates the pattern
of adoption that is evident following the launch of a new product. ( see below ).
Innovators
2.5%
Early
Adapters
13.5%
Early
Majority
34%
Late
Majority
34%
Laggards
15%
Figure 3
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The characteristics of consumers in each of these adopter categories varies as does the
rate at which they are likely to purchase new products. As such, the model is useful to
marketers in identifying potential target markets for new products and for tailoring the
marketing mix to meet the needs of each group/category of customers.
While a very useful tool for segmenting the market, the difficulty lies in a marketers ability
to identify those segments and reach them effectively (eg the innovators in the consumer
electronics market may not be innovators in the golf equipment market).
Innovators
These customers are eager to try new ideas and products readily and are
often prepared to pay high initial prices to be first in the market. They are
regarded as opinion leaders.
Early
Adopters
This group is willing to adopt new ideas, but not at the same speed as the
innovators. They are likely to seek out information before purchasing, but
should also be seen as opinion formers.
Early
Majority
In general this group is more conservative than above and more likely to be
risk averse. For example, people who would consider making a purchase
on the internet.
Late
Majority
Includes people who are cautious about anything new at the time. They
tend to reflect on new products and only buy once they are firmly
established in the market.
Laggards
This group are very traditional and averse to change. They tend to be price
sensitive and wait prices to fall. They will only buy CDs once cassette
tapes are no longer available.
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The value of the BCG matrix is that it examines the generation and management of cash
within a business. Relative market share is seen as a predictor of the products capacity
to generate cash and market growth is seen as the predictor of the products need for
cash. This suggests that products with high market share will achieve high sales, but will
need less investment in new brands and should have lower costs due to scale
economies. Products in fast growing markets require higher levels of investment than
those in slower growing markets. Products in low growth markets with a high market
share will generate cash, which can be used to fund other products needing investment.
Nb: Cash flow is not the same as profitability.
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High
High
Low
Star
Question Mark
Market Growth
Cash Generated
+
Cash Used
------
Cash Cow
Low
Dog
Cash Generated
Cash Used
10x
1x
The BCG Matrix
Figure 4
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+
0
0.1x
Question Marks
cash to
attempting to become
Stars
stage of
sustain and develop
Cash Cows
other
Dogs
capable of
The matrix highlights the need for succession planning and the issue of over dependence
on the current cash cows. As with the PLC there are many different patterns as products
enter the market and fail, or the organisation reinvests in them to prevent them becoming
dogs.
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Portfolio Analysis
Most companies have multiple products serving multiple segments / markets. Some of
these products require lots of investment and are cash hungry, others require limited
investment and are cash rich. Companies therefore need to devise means of allocating
their limited resources among product or SBUs so as to achieve the best performance
for the business as a whole.
Decisions have to be made regarding which products or brands should be invested in,
which to hold and which to let go. The process of managing groups of brand/product or
SBU is called portfolio planning. Portfolio models are used to identify and analyse the
current position of the organisation, highlighting the current resources, capabilities and
performance. Several of the more commonly used models are discussed below.
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B.C.G Strategies
Stars
Question Marks
Build selectively
Identify and focus on niches markets
Harvest and divest others
Cash Cows
Dogs
Harvest or
Divest or
Identify profitable niche markets and
focus on them.
Limitations of BCG
Preoccupation with simply market growth and relative market share. Other factors may be
of equal importance ie profitability
Difficulty with accurately measuring growth and share.
Ignores factors such as competition and developing sustainable competitive advantage
Markets that grow slowly may still be attractive as they may not cost as much in terms of
investment
It treats cash flow as the sole criterion for investment decisions. In practice a range of other
factors, such as ROI, market size, competitive position, costs etc are also used.
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Once the criteria had been selected each factor can be given a weighting that recognises
their relative importance. The table below gives an example of such weighting based on a
total of 10.
Weighting the Criteria
Market Attractiveness
Market share
Patents
Distribution capabilities
Relationships
Cost advantages
Total
2.5
1
2
2
2.5
10
Competitive Strength
Market growth rate
Market size
Strength of competition
Social factors
Profit opportunity
Total
2
2.5
1
0.5
4
10
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Each market attractiveness factor and competitive strength is scored out of 10 (ie 1 = very
unattractive/weak and 10 = very attractive/strong). Each score is multiplied by their weighting
to produce an overall score for market attractiveness and competitive strength for each
product and SBU. The results are plotted on the G.E. matrix. Once the products have been plotted
on the matrix it is possible to identify potential strategies for each position of the matrix as
shown below:
High
Market
Attractiveness
Medium 6
Low
3
0
Figure 5
6
Strong
3
Medium
0
Weak
Business Strengths
Key
Invest for growth
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Sector Profitability
Unattractive
Competitive
Capabilities
Average
Attractive
Weak
Disinvest
Phased Withdrawal
Double or Quit
Average
Phased Withdrawal
Custodial Growth
Try Harder
Strong
Cash Generation
Growth Leader
Leader
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Case Study
Unilever Portfolio Management
Unilever, a multinational company in fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) used to
produce approximately 1600 consumer brands. The company realised that they could
improve economies of scale, and increase efficiency of their supply chain, by reducing
the number of products they manufactured.
They undertook a portfolio exercise that revealed that only a quarter of their brands
provided 90% of their turnover. Therefore, they decided to reduce their brands by 75%
and to concentrate their marketing activity on 400 of their high growth brands.
The criteria used to identify the brands to maintain were that they should be in the top
two sellers in their market segment such as Dove soap, Lipton tea and Calvin Klein
perfume. In addition, highly successful local brands, such as Marmite and Persil, were
also to be supported.
The rest of the brands, such as Pears soap and Timotei shampoo, would either be sold
off or would be harvested gradually. It was anticipated that this strategy would reduce
costs by approximately 1 billion over 3 years and provide an additional 450 million to
spend on marketing the surviving brands.
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Cumulative experience
Unit costs
Figure 6
Volume
The implication of this is that the first company to enter a market and attain a large market share
will have cost advantages over those entering the market later. Examples, such as, IBM market
leader in main frame computers and Texas Instruments who entered the market a couple of
years later, but had to withdraw soon after and VHS compared to Betamax video recording
systems.
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Aaker, 1998 acknowledges however there are several considerations when using the
experience curve;
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Profitability
Figure 7
Profitability
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Gap Analysis
Gap analysis is a fairly simple diagrammatical method of presenting where we are now
and where we want to be, as illustrated below;
Objectives
70
60
50
Current forecast
40
30
20
10
2
10
Time (years)
Figure 8
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Strategic analysis will identify the current situation and then forecasts can be made of how
the company will perform in the future based on existing products serving existing markets.
However, the corporate goal/objectives of the organisation may be a lot different to that
forecast and this creates the strategic gap. In closing the gap marketers can use Ansoffs
Growth Matrix which seeks to develop businesses through one of 4 strategies as shown
below:
Market penetration
Market development
Product development
Diversification
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SWOT
This analysis is derived from the initials of the words strengths, weaknesses,
opportunities and threats. The accent is on the key factors of the marketing audit which
have been identified as having an impact on the success or failure of the business eg:
Strength
Weaknesses
Opportunity
Threat
The analysis is what goes into the marketing plan (not the full audit). It seeks to produce a
concise, clear and reliable short account of where the is organisation is now, how it sees
itself in the market place against its competitors, what shortcomings need to be overcome,
where opportunities can be turned into competitive advantage, where it can do better than
the competition and what is required for all these things to be achieved.
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IMPORTANCE
PERFORMANCE
High
Low
High
B. Concentrate here
Low
C. Possible overkill
D. Low priority
Figure 10
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The analysis points out that even when a business has major strengths/(distinctive
competencies), it does not necessarily create a competitive advantage. The competence
may not, or example, be of any importance to the market or competitors may have a
similar strength.
What becomes important is that the business has relatively greater strength in the
important factor than its competitors. In examining strengths and weaknesses a business
can decide which strengths and weaknesses to concentrate on.
The issue is whether to;
1. Solely focus those opportunities for which it is more capable of providing fr but may
offer less profits, OR
2. Consider better opportunities and seek out and acquire those required competences
to succeed, but which it lacks.
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