Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
Applying Decision-Theory to
Facilitate Individuals
Career Choices
Itamar Gati
The Hebrew University Jerusalem
Quality of Information
Soft, subjective
Fuzzy
Inaccurate or biased
Non-cognitive Factors
Todays Presentation
The three bases of career counseling:
Locating the focuses of the clients
decision-making difficulties (CDDQ)
Guidance in the decision-making process
The three-stage model (PIC)
Identifying the clients stage in the
process
Characterizing the clients decision-making
style (DS)
Career Decision-Making
Difficulties
The first step in helping individuals is to locate
Prior to Engaging
in the Process
Lack of Readiness
due to
Lack of
Indecimotivation siveness
8
Lack of Information
about
Ways of
obtaining
info.
Inconsistent
Information due to
Unreliable Internal
Info.
conflicts
External
conflicts
10
Lack of motivations
Indecisiveness
Dysfunctional beliefs
Lack of info about self
Lack of info about process
LoI about occupations
LoI about addition sources of
help
Unreliable Information
Internal conflicts
External conflicts
11
Computerized Assessment of
Career Decision-Making Difficulties
The CDDQ was incorporated into a career-
13
2.
Estimating Differentiation
3.
scale scores
4.
14
Doubtful
Credible
Estimating
Differentiation
Questionable
3
Aggregate
Reasons to Add
Reservation (RAR)
B/W < 1
RAR = 3
RAR 2
4
15
Add Reservation
to Feedback
Not Credible
Evaluating
Credibility
Low
High
Locate Salient
Difficulties
Compute
Informativeness
(B /W )
B/W > 1
Receives
Feedback
No
Feedback
5 Studies
Study 1: Ascertaining the Credibility of
Studies 1-4
Career counselors' expert judgments were used in
18
students
students
19
20
Difficulty category
21
Conclusions
The incorporation of a middle level of
22
23
24
25
26
27
- Prescreening
- In-depth exploration
28
- Choice
Prescreening
Goal: Locating a small set (about 7) of promising
yes
(most
important)
(second in
importance)
c
.
n
31
Promising
Alternatives
In-depth exploration
Goal: Locating alternatives that are not only promising
32
Choice
Goal: Choosing the most suitable alternative, and rank-
best alternatives
33
Still
Career decision-making requires collecting a vast
amount of information
Complex information-processing is needed
But luckily,
However,
although Internet-based, career-related selfhelp sites are flourishing,
these sites, as well as stand-alone computerassisted career-guidance systems, vary greatly
in quality.
Hence,
it is very important to investigate the utility
and validity of these self-help programs.
35
Stand-Alone, Internet-Based
Career-Planning Systems
Desirable Features
Possible Solutions
Assessment of needs
CDDQ
Providing guidance
concerning the process
Stand-Alone Internet-Based
Career-Planning Systems (continued)
Desirable Features
Monitoring the dialogue
37
Possible Solutions
MBCD
Making Better Career Decisions
MBCD is an Internet-based career planning
system that is a unique combination of
a career-information system
a decision-making support system
an expert system
Based on the rationale of the PIC model,
MBCD is designed to help deliberating
individuals make better career decisions
38
MBCD Goals
Advancing the users career decision-making by
39
MBCD
Systems Features
Prescreening
40
41
42
43
44
46
47
Sequential-Elimination search
model (Gati, 1986).
model-based search.
48
49
Sequential
elimination-based
list
Conjunction
list
Compensationbased list
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
Making
Better
Career
Decisions
Does it really work?
57
END of PART 1
58
Making
Better
Career
Decisions
Does it really work?
59
Tikotzki,1989)
60
decidedness
variables
61
METHOD
Participants
247 males and 465 females who filled out
62
4% high-school students
6% recent graduates from high school
58% recently completed their military service
9% considering an alternative to their current major
3% college graduates deliberating a job choice
8% considering a career transition
12% "other"
Decidedness
No change
Decreased
355
(50%)
266
(37%)
91
(13%)
MPB
3.12
2.57
2.52
WR%
93.5
74.8
72.5
Measure
Frequency
63
Increased
Decidedness
After the Dialogue
1- no direction
34
2 - only a general
direction
41
66
15
3 - Client is considering a
few specific alternatives
27
58
84
30
23
51
35
54
20
21
41
28
16
Decidedness
After the Dialogue
with MBCD
1- no direction
38
14
17
29
--
85
73
67
67
100
3 - considering a few
specific alternatives
4 - client would like to examine
additional alternatives
5 - would like to collect information
about a specific occupation
100
93
82
97
100
100
92
100
82
100
100
85
90
98
89
100
--
100
100
81
d
.31
Motivation
.13
General indecisiveness
.29
Dysfunctional Beliefs
.16
.72
The Process
.48
The Self
.45
Occupational Alternatives
.78
Additional Sources
.20
Inconsistent Information
.11
Unreliable Information
.18
Internal Conflicts
.01
External Conflicts
-.13
Total CDDQ
.65
67
100%
90%
too long
80%
70%
60%
suitable
50%
40%
30%
too short
20%
10%
0%
2
(n=23)
3-4
(n=74)
5
6
7
(n=71) (n=121) (n=236)
8-10
(n=45)
11-15
(n=40)
16-25
(n=46)
26+
(n=37)
69
Method
Participants
70
Method
Instruments
71
MBCD
Results
72
73
Conclusions
Accepting the recommendations of the
Alternative Explanations
Differences in the lengths of the lists
No difference was found in the OCS between clients
75
Alternative Explanations
(cont.)
Clients who accepted MBCDs
recommendations are more compliant, and
therefore more inclined to report a high
level of satisfaction.
However, following the compensatory-model-based
76
Method
Participants. 226 females (74.1%) and 79
77
Instruments
http://mbcd.intocareers.org)
Preliminary analysis
Lists of occupations. We used MBCD to generate
(1) sequential-elimination
(2) compensation, and, for 235 participants,
(3) the list based on the conjunction between the
sequential elimination and the compensatory search
lists.
79
Preliminary analysis
80
sequential-elimination
compensation
and, for 235 participants,
the list based on the conjunction
between the sequential elimination and the
compensatory search lists
Preliminary analysis
Determining the degree of gender-ratings of
81
Preliminary analysis
82
sequential-elimination
compensation
and, for 235 participants,
the list based on the conjunction
between the sequential elimination and the
compensatory search lists
83
84
is possible
to start the PIC process from
inItthe
Process
85
total
1-before pre-screening
1
3
1 13
11
44
17
5 77
3- before choice
12
45
29
4 after choice
85
50
60 203
181
98
73 386
34
(10%) 39
moved backwards
93
89
90
91
92
Analytic
4.5
3.4
4.4
2.3
2.4
Effort
4.6
3.9
4.2
3.3
2.2
Comprehens.
4.6
3.4
4.2
3.5
2.4
Consulting
4.5
2.3
4.4
3.1
3.3
Realistic
3.6
3.2
2.7
4.0
3.7
Locus of
2.9
4.1
4.6
1.9
2.6
Speed
2.6
3.9
3.7
3.1
3.7
Procrastin
3.2
4.1
3.9
3.4
2.9
Dependence
3.9
4.9
4.4
3.1
4.1
Acceptance
4.1
4.6
3.6
2.0
4.2
94
Group
Sd
2.91
0.43
3.17
0.50
3.82
0.48
3.87
0.36
4.03
0.23
95
To sum up
Career choices are decision-making processes,
96
97
END
Sofsof
98
:Figure 2
non
credible
Ascertaining
Credibility
doubtful
credible
Estimating
Differentiation
partial
low
high
Locate Salient
Difficulty Categories
Aggregate
Reasons to Add
Reservation (RAR)
RAR = 3
B/W < 1
Compute
Informativeness
(Bv/Wv)
RAR 2
Add Reservation
to Feedback
99
B/W > 1
Receives
Feedback
No Feedback
Results:
10
10