Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
16% 13%
Consumer Goods
Intermed Goods
Capital Goods
71%
Mexican Imports by Composition
Growth/Decline
Import Composition Increase (% )
30.00%
20.00%
10.00%
0.00%
Consumer Goods
-10.00%
Intermed Goods
-20.00%
Capital Goods
-30.00%
-40.00%
-50.00%
2006 Sep-08 Jan-09
Best Opportunities: Before and After
October 2009 devaluation
I. Before - Almost everything except “snow shoes”
1. Government Procurement: Oil & Infrastructure Plan
2. Capital Goods
a. Full Machinery sales down, high inventory
b. Adjust to Parts and Rental Revenue = profits up
4. Consumer Goods
a. Cost Savings Products (razor sharpeners)
b. Packaged sets (appearance of more for less)
c. Price & Returns Push = Domestic product
NAFTA has been a Bilateral Benefit
I. NAFTA – Good resulting in Benefits
1. Trade: Tariff Elimination = trade explosion
a. Trilateral Trade: over $900 Billion annually
b. Bilateral Trade: over $365 Billion annually
c. US Exports to Mexico: Over $150 Billion annually
d. US Agricultural Exports – Mexico #2 destination
2. Manufacturing
a. Production Sharing - bilateral synergies
b. Help keep jobs in the US & region vs. moved to Asia
3. Social
a. Implementation of progressive measures in Mexico
b. US better appreciate and understanding of Mexico, especially
since the increase in the importance of Chinese imports
Concern I: NAFTA - Bad or Incomplete
I. Labor and Environmental Measures
1. Ineffective, last minute Clinton iniciatives
2. Environment: Big Need, not regulatory-driven
II. Government Procurement Accessibility
1. Mexico - Federal: ok; Muni, State, Pemex: same
2. US - Mexico opportunities are complex/difficult
3. Superficial/ineffective like labor/environment
III. Transportation – 1994 and 2008 and 2009
1. Teamsters vs. Canacar: keep border closed
2. Does anyone really want the border open?
IV. Regulatory Concerns – Noms, Permits
1. Mexico: Delays, Testing, Enforcement and
NOM/Permit holding Inconsistencies; US: Regulatory:
very complex
V. Feelings by both sides: Reopen NAFTA
renegotiations
Concern II: Mexico Crime Image
US IMAGE: Crime, Violence, Drugs, Kidnappings, Murders
I. Reality – Calderon taking on like never before
1. Taking on drug cartels = inevitable transitional violence
II. 7000 Deaths in 2008: 93% Police & Drug Cartel
1. Other 7% = Almost all Mexican to Mexican
2. Foreigners are very rarely victims and never targets
3. Business Travel in Mexico - travel with confidence
III. But there are problems ….
1. Border Situation – Juarez and Tijuana
2. Local Police - Ineffective and unprofessional
a. 5% of stolen cars found, tolerate/support crime
3. Kidnappings, Phantom calls – Foreigners not targets
4. Kidnap express, crime, taxi concerns – Affects us all
5. DRUG INTERDICTION EFFORTS IS NOT ONE OF THEM
II. Channel Options & Related
Technical Trade Issues
I. First Experience with Mexico: Indirect
I. Exporting by Diversion – Manufacturer unaware
1. Product sold to US company, sent to Mexican operation
2. Sales to US distributors/reps that end up in Mexico
a. Examples: Martinelli and Oshkosh B´Gosh
II. Mexican companies request sales and you delivery to US
border and they import it
1. Mexican clients trying to go around US distributors
2. Or Mexican clients stumble on company website
III. Maquiladora: buying decisions by US home office, product sent
to US or border location
1. Maybe regional rep/distributor calls on Mexican maquila plant but
product shipped to US location
IV. TERMS: Cash in advance or extending credit to US entity
II. Decision to take the next step:
How to sell more proactively in Mexico
I. As direct requests or indirect sales increase, or with
addition of new international sales people
II. Decision – dictated by costs vs. investment mentality, sector
dynamic, Int´l experience (CEO & sales), possibly US DOC,
State, or Association export development efforts
1. Using US trading company – most expensive option but
can test market and give access
a. Short term/transitory: Less & less likely for Mexico
2. Direct Sales with own US sales staff – Right staff, right
sales volume potential, and finite, large sales targets
3. Finding Mexico-based distributor or rep/agent
a. Even with resources, local presence often needed
Channel Market Strategies – Intermediaries
I. US intermediaries – Usually very sector and client specific
1. Rep and distributor options varied and plentiful
II. Mexico intermediaries – smaller market so much broader
1. Distributors culture with fewer viable reps who are hard to find
a. Distributor margins higher than US, more than expect
2. No MANA in Mexico, rep agencies few, low-tech approach
III. National & Multisector Coverage Challenges
1. Exclusivity vs. Non-Exclusivity – National, Regional, Sector
2. Some Industries require local coverage and stocking and are hard
to cover with one intermediary (hardware, MRO).
3. Multisector coverage challenges – sector vs. functional focus
a. Often with overlapping regional coverage issues
b. Need for multiple intermediaries = channel conflicts
Mexican Distributor Option
I. Most typical & traditional market entry strategy
1. When practical, the first method considered
VI. Decision: Big fish in small pond vs Small fish in big pond
Mexican Rep/Agent Option
I. Not as typical, growing with push towards selling direct
II. Nature of Reps - Hard to find, very small, accidental not professional
reps, suspicious, little formal organization
III. Role: Does not buy/resell nor import product, finds & forwards clients.
receives commission when client pays, helps with AR.
IV. Advantages – You control pricing, have better marketing/ branding
control, will help with service, helps with AR with pay contingency;
Better meet commitment & presence expectations .
V. Disadvantages – You are responsible for invoicing, importing AR/credit
risk with clients, no stock in country = delays,
VI. Rep When: Above $5-10,000, capital goods, non-stocking, master
distributor inappropriate, want more than distributor support, and/or service/technical
knowledge important.
knowledge important.
III. Indirect – Find integrators and provide products they cannot make or
get in Mexico
1. Some Import Substitution & Price Sensitivity Concerns
2. Try to get products speced into bid with integrators help
IV. Gov´t Revenue Up: 1/3 of federal spending and large part of federal
subsidies to states/cities = oil
1. $120 US a barrel at peak, $70 now with hedging
2. Savings & debt profile: Peso debt is 6x more than dollar debt.
3. 2006-2012 NIP infrastructure program underway
a. Money reserved for projects before crisis
b. Mexican govt: project spending will not be altered in 2009
c. Mexican govt efforts to eliminate red tape to excelerate projects
B2B Sales Dynamic in Mexico
I. With crisis, sales will be difficult, especially automotive,
maquiladora, capital goods.
II. Three best approaches/focuses in 2009:
1. Inputs and aftermarket parts without local competition
a. Not made in Mexico or inferior/unacceptable quality
b. “Cubanization” of Equipment: Repair and wait.
2. Less expensive products that can handle devaluations
3. Worst Case Scenario: Use time to establish, improve, or
change channels to prepare for 2010 recovery
IV. LGA can help fill in these gaps so that you can have
the tools to make Mexico market decisions
Preliminary Market Analysis Services
Website: www.lgaconsulting.com