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MANAGEMENT
CHAPTER 6
LIQUIDITY MANAGEMENT
INTRODUCTION
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DEMAND FOR
LIQUIDITY
Customer deposit
withdrawal
Repayment of non-deposit
borrowings
Dividends for
shareholders
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- Demands on
for liquidity
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Liquidity deficits
Total demand for liquidity exceeds
total supply of liquidity (demand >
supply)
Liquidity surplus
Total supply of liquidity exceeds total
demand for liquidity (supply >
demand)
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In reality:
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So the management of banks liquidity is
subject
to:
1.
Timing
- bankers must plan carefully how, when, and
where needed liquid funds can be raised.
2.
3.
Availability risk
- the risk that liquid funds will not be
available in the volume needed.
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2.
2.
3.
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Examples of liquid assets:
Cash
Clearing account balances with BNM
Money at call with the discount houses
Treasury bills
Government debt securities
BNM debt securities
Cagamas debt securities and other
approved securities
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4.
5.
Borrowed Liquidity
(Liability) Management
Strategies
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Sources of borrowed liquidity:
1. Negotiable certificates of deposits (NCDs)
2. Borrowing from BNM to cover daily
clearing deficit (Federal funds borrowing)
3. Repurchased agreements (Repos)
4. Eurocurrency borrowing (NCD, overnight,
commercial paper etc)
5. Borrowing at discount window at BNM
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Cont
Drawbacks:
1. Risky approach because money
market interest rate is highly volatile
2. Must purchase liquidity when it is
most difficult to do so, both in cost
and availability.
3. Other financial institutions are less
willing to lend to bank with chronic
liquidity crisis
4. Uncertain borrowing costs therefore
uncertain net earnings
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2.
3.
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4.The
liquidity
manager,
in
cooperation
with
senior
management and the BOD, must
make sure the bank or other
financial
firms priorities and
objectives for liquidity management
are clear.
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ESTIMATING BANKS
LIQUIDITY NEEDS
Approach in estimating a banks
liquidity needs:
1. The Sources and Uses of Funds
Approach
2. The Structure of Funds Approach
3. The Liquidity Indicator Approach
4. Signals from the marketplace
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How to forecast deposits and loans?
1. Trend component
Construct trend or long run average growth rate
in
deposits and loans using specified reference
points
(yearly, quarterly period, yearly figures for last 10
years or more).
2. Seasonal component
How deposits and loans respond in any given
week or month due to seasonal factors as
compared to the most recent year-end deposit or
loan level.
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3.
Cyclical component
Represents positive or negative deviations
from a banks total expected deposits and
loans (measured by the sum of trend and
seasonal components), depending upon
the
strength or weakness of the economy in
the current year.
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2. Structure of Funds
Method
1.
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3. Liquidity Indicator
Approach
1.
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3.
Capacity ratio
Net loans and leases
Total assets
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5.
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MALAYSIA
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