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2. Difference between commercial calculation &
SCBA there is multiplicity of objectives in SCBA
Entrepreneur – may also have several objectives ↑
Profit ↑ Sales ↑ Asset base
But SCBA enlarging national interest , employment,
GNP equals distribution of income.
3. Choice of Parameters
Private – rate of interest (cost of money)
Public sector projects - large projects, longer
gestation period
- Choice of rate of return to discount future benefits
represents compromise of different interests
One to compare value of benefits today to that of
benefits of future at today’s cost.
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Approaches to SCBA
1. UNIDO (United Nations Industrial
Development Organization)
2. LM Approach (Little Mirrlees Approach)
1. UNIDO :
- First guide lines of project evaluation
framed in 1972
- Guidelines to practical Project Appraisal
1978
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Under UNIDO Method of Project Appraisal
(five stages are involved)
1. Calculating Financial profitability at Mkt. prices.
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II Stage of UNIDO approach
Obtaining net benefit of project on saving &
investment (i.e. obtaining net benefit of project in
terms of economic prices (shadow prices)
Qs. Arise -
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(ii) Concept of Tradability (In Shadow pricing
goods tradability
Are the goods tradable or not?
For tradable goods, international price is the
measure of its opportunity cost to the country.
On International Trade
Increase/ Decrease in Foreign exchange value
exports
Increase/ Decrease in
imports
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(iv) Taxes:
Usually pose difficulties in computation of
shadow prices.
Ignore taxes for fully trade it goods
Include taxes for non- traded inputs.
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D-
Qty
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B. Shadow pricing of resources
Valuation of non – tradable output/input side
Valuation of Non – Valuation (Measure)
tradable
Output Side
Project increase in the Marginal consumers
consumption f the product in willingness to pay
the economy
Substitute other production Saving in cost f production
of the same non-tradable in
the economy
Input Side
Impact Measure (Mean of social
value) 17
Project reduces the User’s willingness to pay
availability of the input to
other users
Project’s input requirement Product cost
is met by additional
production of it
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(C) EXTERNALITIES.
It refers to external effect.
The Characteristics are:-
Not deliberately created by project sponsor but
incidental to outcome of legitimate economic
activity.
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Examples of beneficial external effect.
1. Oil Co drilling own field finds info that there is oil potential
in close by fields.
2. Approach road may improve the transport system (DND
bridge & approach road.).
3. Training programme may enhance skills of workers thus
may increase the earning power in Subsequent
employments.
Examples of Harmful effect
Environment pollution emitted by a new factory
(smoke/dirt) thus neighbor hood exposed to hazard.
Metro line produces noise, dust exposes & neighbor
hood.
Location of an Airport.
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A high way may cut farmers land into two.
Thus difficult to find values directly but can be
estimated by indirect means.
1. Neighboring oil field info can be equated with the
money saved by virtue of available info.
2. Approach road (DNB) can be estimated by the value,
the time and fuel saved by the short cut provided.
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(D) LABOUR INPUTS
The principle of Shadow pricing for goods can be
applied to labors
When a project hires labours it has three possible
impacts on cost of economy.
It may take labour away from other employment.
OPPORTUNIT COST
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III(B)
STAGE SAVING IMPACT AND ITS VALUE
In developing countries as capital is scarce Govt. is
concerned with the impact of savings and its value
there of.
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IV STAGE INCOME DISTRIBUTION IMPACT
Govts. regard redistribution of income to Weaker
Section of society or to backward region ie a socially
desirable objective.
- One way to do is through taxes, subsidies and
transfer measures of Govt.
- Investment measures are also considered as
income redistribution.
If involves suitably weighting net gains and loss by
each group.
The weights are usually reflected by political
judgment.
The weights are usually reflected by political
judgment. 31
V. STAGE ADJUSTMENT FOR MERIT &
DEMERIT
A merit good is one for which social value exceeds
the economic value.
Eg. Producing some goods in the country even if it is not
economical for reasons of avoiding dependence on
foreign suppliers.
Similarities
1. Calculating accounting (shadow) prices particularly for
foreign exchange savings and unskilled labour.
2. Considering the factor of equity.
3. Use of DCF analysis.
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Differences
1. The UNIDO approach measures costs and benefits in
terms of domestic rupees whereas the L-M approach
measures costs and benefits in terms of international
prices, also referred to as border prices.
2. The UNIDO approach measures costs and benefits in
terms of consumption whereas the L-M approach
measures costs and benefits in terms of uncommitted
social income.
3. The stage-by-stage analysis recommended by the
UNIDO approach focuses on efficiency, savings, and
redistribution considerations in different stages. The
L-M approach, however, tends to view these
considerations together.
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14.9 SHADOW PRICES
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Accounting Price of Non-Traded Goods
Some goods and services like land, building, transportation, and
electricity are not amenable to foreign trade.
For example, the marginal social cost of a bus trip is roughly equal
to the cost of material inputs (fuel, oil, wear and tear of the bus,
etc.) evaluated at border prices plus the social wage of the driver
and the conductor.
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The marginal social benefit is the value of an extra unit of the the
accounting price of a non-traded input, one should estimate good
from the social point of view
To determine the proportion in which the demand for that input will
be met from increased production and decreased consumption
elsewhere in the economy.
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L-M Suggest the following formula for
calculating the shadow wage rate:
SWR = c’ – 1/s (c - m)
Where SWR = shadow wage rate
c’ = additional resources devoted to
consumption
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To understand clearly the components of SWR, may be
rewritten as follows:
1
SWR = m + (c’ – c) + (1 - ---- )(c – m)
s
• The future social profit for all the projects must be discounted in
the same way.
• The accounting rate (s) of interest should be such that all
mutually compatible projects with positive present social value
can be undertaken.
• The accounting rate of interest should maintain some kind of
balance between investment and investible resources: too low an
accounting rate of interest would lead to over-investment with
inflationary effects and too high an accounting rate of interest
would leave savings under-utilised and result in excessive
unemployment.
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• The rate of return currently being earned is a good guide to the
accounting rate of interest when the following conditions are
reasonably satisfied: (i) indirect taxes are fairly uniform with little
discrimination between imported and exported commodities, and
(ii) the social wage rate is close to the actual wage rate.
• The initial estimate of the accounting rate of interest should, in
principle, be such that it would allow only a few of the best
projects in the past.
• Experience is the best guide to the choice of accounting rate of
interest: if the investment requirement of acceptable projects
exceeds the availability of investible funds, decrease the
accounting rate of interest. The adjustment in the accounting
rate of interest, however, should be gradual over a time.
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Techniques for Social Cost Benefit Analysis
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SCBA By Financial Institutions
The main Financial Institutions are
- IDBI
- IFCI
- ICICI
eg. IBDI considers three aspect for appraising industrial
project.
To calculate the economic rate of return.
IDBI follows “Partial Little Mirlees approach”
1 ECONOMIC RATE OF RETURN
- The international prices are regarded as
economic prices. 49
(i) For tradable items CIF prices are used.
(ii) For tradable items without relevant international
prices and for non tradable items, social
conversion factors are used.
Tradable Component – Social cost of tradable
component obtained by multiplying 1/1.5
Labour Component – Social cost to labour is
obtained by multiplying factor of 0.5
Resident Component – Multiplying Factor 0.5
2 Effective rate of protection (ERP)
Value added at domestic prices – value added at
world prices divided by value added at world
prices to get percentage multiply it by 100.
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2 Domestic Resources Cost
It reveal domestic cost incurred per unit of foreign
exchange saved or earned.
Formulas :-
DRC = A+B+C X Exchange Rate
P-(Q+R+S+T)
A= A/L Charge (rate of interests) on domestic
Capital normally 10%
B= A/L Depreciation (normal 8%)
C= A/L Cost of non tradable input.
P= Sales realization at int. prices
Q= A/L Change on imported capital (10%)
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R= A/L Depreciation on imported capital (8%)
S= A/L Cost of imported inputs
T= A/L Cost of domestically procured but tradable
inputs
Note 1 International prices – also called border prices
which means CIF prices for importable.
2 Substitute good and FOB price for exportable
good.
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Public Sector Decisions in INDIA
Def. Public policy is the sum of Govt. activities, whether
acting directly or through agents as it has influence on the
life of citizens.
Some Govt. Institutions - Help Public Sector
Investments in INDIA.
1 Bureau of Public Enterprises (BPE) – 1965
Decision making of Govt. is strengthened , integrated
and economically coordinated with the help of
evaluating tech, economic and financial aspect of
project.
2 Project appraisal Division (1972) ((PAD)
Established 1972 under Planning Commission.
- Suggest standard Formats for Projects 53
- Conduct Techno - economic evaluation of major
projects.
- Assets of Centre / State Govts.
3 High Powered Public Investment Board (PIB)
1972 (to help take public investment decision)
- Examines investment proposal.
- Prepares feasibility report.
- Revises cost estimates if required.
Decision making Process in Public investment
- Planning commission makes five year plans.
- To identify project of public sector enterprises.
- Sectoral plans are developed by administrative
ministries. 54
- Preliminary feasibility report is also done by Admin.
Ministry.
- PAD (of planning commission) ie public appraisal
dir. does detailed appraisal.
- Investment Planning Committee of Planning
Commission discussions the appraisal report of
PAD & recommends to PIB (Public Investment
Board).
- PIB takes into view PAD, BPE, Plan Finance Div.
Under Ministry of Finance views and forwards with
comments to cabinet for approval.
Note PAD follows the modified version of LM approach.
ie - All tradable inputs are valued at border price.
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- Transfer cost items are ignored.
- Non tradable items are evaluated in terms of
marginal cost.
- FE involved in input / output are valued at specified
premia.
- Social Wages are applied in unskilled and semi
skilled labour.
- Numeraire is defined as saving in domestic rupee
rather than FE.
PIB (members)
- Secretary Expenditure men of Finance serves as
chairman.
- Secretary Economic Affairs. (Min. of Finance).
- Secretary Planning Commission
- Secretary Industrial Development. 56
- Secretary to Prime Minister.
- Secretary to Administrative Ministry.
Director General of BPE and the adviser PAD are
permanent member of PIB.
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