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Documente Cultură
ANALYSIS
Presented by Syarief Fauzie
Summarize From Books:
1.Modern Financial Management(8th ed);Ross,
Westerfield, Jaffe & Jordan; McGrawHill 2008
2.Principles of Corporate Finance(9th ed);Breadley,
Myers & Allen; McGrawHill 2008
Learning Objectives
Explain
the purpose
of analysis.
Identify the building
blocks of analysis.
Describe standards
for comparisons in
analysis.
Identify the tools of
analysis.
Explain
and apply
methods of horizontal
analysis.
Describe and apply
methods of vertical
analysis.
Define and apply
ratio analysis.
Basics of Analysis
Application of
analytical tools
Reduces
uncertainty
Involves
transforming
data
Purpose of Analysis
Financial
Financial statement
statement analysis
analysis helps
helps users
users
make
make better
better decisions.
decisions.
Internal Users
Managers
Officers
Internal Auditors
External Users
Shareholders
Lenders
Customers
Ability to provide
financial rewards
sufficient to
attract and retain
financing
Liquidity
and
Efficiency
Solvency
Market
Profitability
Prospects
Ability to
generate future
revenues and
meet long-term
obligations
Ability to
generate
positive
market
expectations
Statement of Cash
Flows
Notes
Intracompany
Intercompany
Industry
Guidelines
Tools of Analysis
Horizontal
Horizontal Analysis
Analysis
Comparing a companys financial condition
and performance across time
Time
Tools of Analysis
Comparing a companys
financial condition and
performance to a base amount
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Tools of Analysis
Using key relations
among financial
statement items
Horizontal Analysis
Time
Now, lets
look at
some ways
to use
horizontal
analysis.
Comparative Statements
Calculate Change in Dollar Amount
Dollar
Change
Analysis Period
Amount
Base Period
Amount
Comparative Statements
Calculate Change as a Percent
Percent
Change
Dollar Change
Base Period Amount
100%
Now, lets
look at trend
analysis!
Trend Analysis
Also called trend
percent analysis
or index number
trend analysis.
Trend
Trend analysis
analysis is
is used
used to
to reveal
reveal patterns
patterns in
in data
data
covering
covering successive
successive periods.
periods.
Trend
Percent
100%
Trend Analysis
Berry Products
Income Information
For the Years Ended 31 December
Item
Revenues
Cost of sales
Gross profit
2004
$ 400,000
285,000
115,000
2003
$ 355,000
250,000
105,000
2002
$ 320,000
225,000
95,000
2001
$ 290,000
198,000
92,000
2000
$ 275,000
190,000
85,000
Trend Analysis
Berry Products
Income Information
For the Years Ended 31 December
Item
Revenues
Cost of sales
Gross profit
2004
$ 400,000
285,000
115,000
2003
$ 355,000
250,000
105,000
2002
$ 320,000
225,000
95,000
Item
Revenues
Cost of sales
Gross profit
2004
2003
2002
(290,000 275,000)
(198,000 190,000)
(92,000 85,000)
100% = 105%
100% = 104%
100% = 108%
2001
$ 290,000
198,000
92,000
2001
105%
104%
108%
2000
$ 275,000
190,000
85,000
2000
100%
100%
100%
Trend Analysis
Berry Products
Income Information
For the Years Ended 31 December
Item
Revenues
Cost of sales
Gross profit
Item
Revenues
Cost of sales
Gross profit
2004
$ 400,000
285,000
115,000
2004
145%
150%
135%
2003
$ 355,000
250,000
105,000
2003
129%
132%
124%
2002
$ 320,000
225,000
95,000
2002
116%
118%
112%
2001
$ 290,000
198,000
92,000
2001
105%
104%
108%
2000
$ 275,000
190,000
85,000
2000
100%
100%
100%
Trend Analysis
We can use the trend percentages to
construct a graph so we can see the
trend over time.
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Vertical Analysis
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Common-Size Statements
Calculate Common-size Percent
Common-size
Percent
Analysis Amount
Base Amount
Financial
FinancialStatement
Statement
Balance
BalanceSheet
Sheet
Income
IncomeStatement
Statement
Base
BaseAmount
Amount
Total
TotalAssets
Assets
Revenues
Revenues
100%
Liquidity
and
Efficiency
Solvency
Profitability
Market
Inventory
Inventory
Turnover
Turnover
Acid-test
Acid-test
Ratio
Ratio
Days
DaysSales
Sales
Uncollected
Uncollected
Accounts
Accounts
Receivable
Receivable
Turnover
Turnover
Days
DaysSales
Salesin
in
Inventory
Inventory
Total
TotalAsset
Asset
Turnover
Turnover
Use this
information to
calculate the
liquidity and
efficiency ratios for
Norton
Corporation.
Working Capital
Working capital represents current assets
financed from long-term capital sources
that do not require near-term repayment.
Current Ratio
Current
Current Assets
=
Ratio
Current Liabilities
Current
=
Ratio
$65,000
= 1.55 : 1
$42,000
Acid-Test Ratio
Quick Assets
Acid-Test =
Current Liabilities
Ratio
Quick assets are Cash, Short-Term Investments,
and Current Receivables.
Accounts
$494,000
Receivable = ($17,000 + $20,000) 2 = 26.7 times
Turnover
This ratio measures how many times a
company converts its receivables into cash
each year.
Average
Collection
Periode
365
=
Account Receivable Turnover
365
=
26,7
= 13,7 days
Inventory Turnover
Inventory
Turnover
Inventory
Turnover
$140,000
=
= 12.73 times
($10,000 + $12,000) 2
365
Inventory Turnover
Days Sales
365
=
in Inventory
12,73
= 28,68 days
Account
Payable
Turnover
$140,000
=
= 3.55 times
($39.000 + $40,000) 2
Average Age
Account
Payable
365
Account Payable Turnover
365
=
3,55
= 102,82 days
Solvency
Debt
Debt
Ratio
Ratio
Equity
Equity
Ratio
Ratio
Pledged
PledgedAssets
Assetsto
to
Secured
SecuredLiabilities
Liabilities
Times
TimesInterest
Interest
Earned
Earned
2004
Net income before interest
expense and income taxes
Interest expense
84,000
7,300
234,390
Total liabilities
112,000
Total assets
346,390
Debt Ratio
Total Liabilities
Debt
Ratio =
Total Assets
Debt
Ratio =
$112,000
$346,390
=
32,34%
Equity Ratio
Total Equity
Equity
Ratio =
Total Assets
Equity
Ratio =
$234,390
= 67.7%
$346,390
Total Equity
Debt
to =
Equity
$70,000
$234,390
= 30%
Times
$84,000
Interest =
= 11.51
$7,300
Earned
This is the most common measure of the ability of a
firms operations to provide protection to the long-term
creditor.
Profitability
Basic
BasicEarnings
Earnings
per
perShare
Share
Profit
Profit
Margin
Margin
Gross
GrossMargin
Margin
Return
Returnon
onTotal
Total
Assets
Assets
Book
BookValue
Valueper
per
Common
CommonShare
Share
Return
Returnon
on
Common
Common
Shareholders
Shareholders
Equity
Equity
Use this
information
to calculate
the
profitability
ratios for
Norton
Corporation.
Profit Margin
Profit
=
Margin
Net Income
Net Sales
$53,690
Profit
= 10.87%
=
Margin $494,000
This ratio describes a companys ability to
earn a net income from sales.
Gross Margin
Gross Net Sales - Cost of Sales
=
Margin
Net Sales
Gross $494,000 - $140,000
= 71.66%
=
Margin
$494,000
Net Income
Total Assets
= 15.50%
59
T o ta l A s s e t T u rn o v e r
60
ROA
T o ta l A s s e t T u rn o v e r
Sales
Total Assets
6
1
T o ta l A s s e t T u rn o v e r
Sales
Total Assets Common Equity
6
2
Sales
Total Assets Common Equity
Profit Margin Total Asset Turnover Equity Multiplier
ROA Equity Multiplier
ROE
$53,690
$494,000 $346,390
6
3
Return on Common
Shareholders Equity
Return on
Common
Net Income - Preferred Dividends
Shareholders =
Average Common
Equity
Shareholders Equity
Return on
Common =
Shareholders
Equity
$53,690 - 0
$234,390
= 22,88%
Market Prospects
Price-Earnings
Price-Earnings
Ratio
Ratio
Dividend
DividendYield
Yield
Market Prospects
Use this
information
to calculate
the market
ratios for
Norton
Corporation.
Price-Earnings Ratio
Price-Earnings
Market Price Per Share
=
Ratio
Earnings Per Share
Price-Earnings
$15.00
=
= 7.65 times
Ratio
$1.96
Dividend Yield
Dividend
Annual Dividends Per Share
=
Yield
Market Price Per Share
Dividend = $2.00 = 13.3%
$15.00
Yield
Common Stock
Market Price Per Share
Common Stock
Commom Stock
Book Value Per Share
Percentage
of Sales
1.000
Cost
800
Taxable
Income
200
Taxes (34%)
68
Net Income
132
Dividen
44
Addition
Retain
Earning
88
80% of Sales
Example (continue)
ROSENGARTEN CORPORATION
Balance Sheet
Current Assets
-Cash
$ 160
%sls
Current Liabilities
16%
-Account Payable
-Notes Payable
-Account Receivable
440
44
-Inventory
600
60
Total
$1.200
120
Fixed Assets
-Net Plant Equipment
Total
Long-term Debt
%sls
$ 300
100
n/a
400
n/a
800
n/a
Owners Equity
$1.800
180
-Common stock
800
-Retained Earnings
Total
1.800
Total Aktiva
30%
$3.000
300
Total Passiva
$3.000
n/a
1.000
n/a
n/a
n/a
1.250
Cost
1.000
Taxable
Income
250
Taxes (34%)
85
Net Income
Dividen
Addition
Retain
Earning
Percentage
of Sales
165
55
110
80% of Sales
Current Assets
-Cash
$ 200
Current Liabilities
40
-Account Payable
-Notes Payable
-Account Receivable
550
110
-Inventory
750
150
Total
$1.500
300
Fixed Assets
-Net Plant Equipment
Total
Long-term Debt
375
$ 75
100
475
$ 75
800
Owners Equity
$2.250
450
-Common stock
800
-Retained Earnings
Total
1.910
Total Aktiva
$3.750
750
0
1.110
Total Passiva
$3.185
EFN
$ 110
$ 110
$ 185
$ 565
$ 565
FORMULA :
EFN = Assets/Sales x Sales
Spontaneous Liabilities/Sales x Sales
PM x Projected Sales x (1-d).
EFN = $3.000/1.000 x 250 300/1.000 x
250 0,132 x 1.250 x (1 1/3) = 565
sebelumnya
adalah
berapa dana dari luar
jika
yang
penjualan naik
diperlukan?
Sekarang kita balik dengan permasalahan :
Jika kita tidak ingin menambah dana dari
luar, brp pertumbuhan penjualan seharusnya?
(Internal Growth Rate)
Jika kita ingin menambah dana dari luar yang
berupa pinjaman dengan
mempertahankan debt
to equity ratio, berapa pertumbuhan penjualan
seharusnya?
(Sustainable Growth Rate)
INTERNAL GROWTH
RATE
(EXAMPLE)
Percentage
of Sales
Sales
500
Cost
400
Taxable
Income
100
Taxes (34%)
34
Net Income
66
Dividen
22
Addition
Retain
Earning
44
80% of Sales
%sls
Current Assets
200
40%
Total Debt
300
60%
Owners Equity
250
n/a
500
100
%
Total Passiva
500
n/a
Total Aktiva
250
n/a
HOFFMAN COMPANY
Income Stement
Percentage
of Sales
Sales
548
Cost
439
Taxable
Income
109
Taxes (34%)
37
Net Income
72
Dividen
24
Addition
Retain
Earning
48
80% of Sales
%sls
Current Assets
219
40%
Total Debt
329
60%
Owners Equity
Addition RE
Total Aktiva
548
100
%
Total Passiva
250
250
n/a
n/a
48
$
548
n/a
ROA x b
1-ROA x b
Example :
IGR =ROA x b/ 1- ROA x b
=0,132 x (2/3)
1 0,132 x (2/3)
= 9,65%
Percentage
of Sales
Sales
500
Cost
400
Taxable
Income
100
Taxes (34%)
34
Net Income
66
Dividen
22
Addition
Retain
Earning
44
80% of Sales
%sls
Current Assets
200
40%
Total Debt
300
60%
Owners Equity
250
n/a
500
100
%
Total Passiva
500
n/a
Total Aktiva
250
n/a
HOFFMAN COMPANY
Income Stement
Percentage
of Sales
Sales
606,8
Cost
485,4
Taxable
Income
121,4
Taxes (34%)
41,3
Net Income
80,1
Dividen
26,7
Addition
Retain
Earning
53,4
80% of Sales
%s
ls
Current Assets
242,7
40%
Total Debt
250
n/
a
364,1
60%
Owners Equity
303,4
n/
a
606,8
100
%
Total Passiva
553,4
n/
a
EFN
53,4
Total Aktiva
ROE x b
1-ROE x b
Example :
SGR =ROE x b/ 1- ROE x b
=0,264 x (2/3)
1 0,264 x (2/3)
= 21,36%
$8,912
COGS
$5,426 Cash
Gross Profit
$3,486 AR
SG&A Exp
Depreciation
EBIT
Interest
EBT
Taxes
Net Income
1,949 Inv
246 Total
Balance Sheet
$1,084 AP
$1,182
1,092 NP
28
1,469 Other
1,377
$3,646 Total
$2,587
$6,932 LT Debt
$5,388
$1,291
232 FA
$1,059
323 Total Asset
$736
Equity
$10,578
$2,603
$10,578
Retun on
Equity 28,3%
Return On
Assets 6,96%
Profit Margin 8,26%
Divided By
Net income
$736
Total Cost
$8,176
COGS
$5,426
SGA Exp
$1,949
Multiplied
By
Multiplied
Sales
$8,912
Sales
$8,912
Depreciation
$246
By
Equity
Multiplier 4,06
Total Asset Turnover
0,84
Sales
$8,912
Total Assets
$10,578
Fixed
Assets $
6,932
Cash
$1,084
Interest
$232
Taxes $323
Current
Assets
$3,646
Account
Receivable$1,092
Inventory
$,1469
ECONOMIC PROFIT
EP
Superior Economic
Profit
Higher Gross
Profit
Lower SG&A to
Sales Ratio
Lower Capital
to Sales Ratio
High Market
Share
- Superior manage
- Benefit ad
ment of working
vantage
capital.
- Lower price
- Efficiencies in uses
due to
of fixed assets
advantage
I LOVE FINANCE