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Basic of Analysis
Learning Objectives
• Construct and explain the use of comparative analysis.
• Construct and explain the use of common-size analysis.
• Examine the purpose and the use of financial ratios.
• Show how the integrated analysis can be used to evaluate business
performance-DuPont System.
Comparative analysis
1. Year-to-year change analysis
Use both absolute and percentages.
Horizontal analysis
• Amounts for comparative years are expressed as a percentage of the base year
amount.
Guidelines
a) When an item has value in the base year and none in the next
period, the decrease is 100%.
b) A meaningful percent change cannot be computed when one
number is positive and the other number is negative.
c) A percent change is incomputable when there is no figure for
the base year.
(b) (a)
(c)
Year-to-year: Dell
$49,205 - $41,444
$7,761
÷
$41,444
Comparative analysis
2. Index-number trend
tools for long term trend comparisons.
Requires:
• Choosing a base period, for all items, with a preselected index number usually set to
100.
• Certain changes, like those negative amounts to positive amounts, cannot be
expressed by index numbers.
Index-Number Trend: Dell Example: If
sales were
$35,404 in
$49,205 ÷ $35,404 $41,444 ÷ $35,404 2003 and
$41,444 in
2004, then
sales
increase to
117% of the
2003 level in
2004, which
is an
increase of
17%
Example: If sales were $91,000 in 2007
and $95,000 in 2008, then sales increase
to 104.4% of the 2007 level in 2008,
which is an increase of 4.4%
Index-Number Trend: Melcher Company
Melcher Company
Income Statement
For the Years Ended December 31
2009 2008 2007 2009 2008 2007
Sales revenue $ 100,000 $ 95,000 $ 91,000 109.9% 104.4% 100.0%
Cost of goods sold 65,000 60,800 56,420 115.2% 107.8% 100.0%
Gross profit 35,000 34,200 34,580 101.2% 98.9% 100.0%
Operating expenses:
Selling expense 14,000 11,400 10,000 140.0% 114.0% 100.0%
General expense 16,000 15,200 13,650 117.2% 111.4% 100.0%
Total operating expense 30,000 26,600 23,650 126.8% 112.5% 100.0%
Operating Income before taxes 5,000 7,600 10,930 45.7% 69.5% 100.0%
Taxes related to operations 1,500 2,280 3,279 45.7% 69.5% 100.0%
Net Income $ 3,500 $ 5,320 $ 7,651 45.7% 69.5% 100.0%
𝐶𝑢𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑎𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠
𝐶𝑢𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 =
𝐶𝑢𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑙𝑖𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑒𝑠
The higher the current ratio means a more liquid current positions.
Indicator:
I. “1” = enough cash to pay off its debt
II. “>1”= successful to pay debt and have cash left
III. “<1” = unable to pay
Credit Analysis: Liquidity
2. Quick (Acid-test) Ratio
Measure how well the company can pay off its liabilities using its most liquid assets.
𝐶𝑎𝑠ℎ 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑐𝑎𝑠ℎ 𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑠+𝑀𝑎𝑟𝑘𝑒𝑡𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑆𝑒𝑐𝑢𝑟𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑒𝑠+𝐴𝑐𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑠 𝑅𝑒𝑐𝑒𝑖𝑣𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒𝑠
Q𝑢𝑖𝑐𝑘 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 =
𝐶𝑢𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑙𝑖𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑒𝑠
or
𝐶𝑢𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑎𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠 − 𝐼𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑦
𝑄𝑢𝑖𝑐𝑘 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 =
𝐶𝑢𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑙𝑖𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑒𝑠
Interpretations:
I. “=1” means that the business can pay its bills without having to sell inventory.
II. “<1” means that the business relies too much on inventories or other assets to pay
its short-term liabilities.
If CR>QR, current assets are dependent on inventory.
Credit Analysis: Liquidity
3. Collection Period
Average number of days required to convert receivables into cash
Interpretation:
I. The greater the period of the collection, the more time is required to
collect debts.
Credit Analysis: Liquidity
4. Days to Sell Inventory
Average number of days required to sell inventory to customers
𝐴𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝑖𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑦
𝐷𝑎𝑦𝑠 𝑡𝑜 𝑠𝑒𝑙𝑙 𝑖𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑦 =
𝐶𝑜𝑠𝑡 𝑜𝑓 𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠/365
Convert inventory into sales
Interpretations
𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐿𝑖𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑒𝑠
𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐷𝑒𝑏𝑡 𝑡𝑜 𝐸𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 =
𝑆ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒ℎ𝑜𝑙𝑑𝑒𝑟 ′ 𝑠 𝐸𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦
The higher the ratio, the higher the risks
Interpretations:
I. “<1”= company assets are mainly supplied by equity
II. “>1”= company assets are mainly finance by debt
Credit Analysis: Capital Structure & Solvency
2. Long-Term Debt to Equity
To know how much debt of the company has to pay
𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑙𝑖𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑒𝑠
𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐷𝑒𝑏𝑡 𝑡𝑜 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡 =
𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠
Low percentage means that the company is less dependent on leverage.
Credit Analysis: Capital Structure & Solvency
4. Times Interest Earned
Indicates how well operating earnings cover fixed interest expenses
The lower the ratio, the more of a burden the company’s interest debt is
on the company.
Profitability Analysis: Return on Asset
1. Return on Assets (ROA)
Measure the firm’s ability to utilize its assets to create profits.
𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝐼𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒
𝑅𝑂𝐴 =
𝐴𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑎𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠
The higher the return, the more efficient management is in utilizing its
asset base.
Profitability Analysis: Return on Investment
1. Return on Investment (ROI)
the income earned on the invested capital .
Show the ability of the firm to reward those who provide long-term
funds and to attract providers of future funds.
Shows the relationship between sales and the cost of products sold
I. Indicate how many percent the company uses its revenue/net sales to pay
for the direct cost.
II. Higher profit margin indicates a favorable profit indicator
Profitability Analysis: Operating Performance
2. Operating profit margin (pretax)
To understand the financial health of the company in terms of knowing
whether or not the company’s profit is enough to pay off its other expenses.
Demonstrates how much revenues are left over after all the variable or
operating cost have been paid
Examples: if OPM is 25%, this means that 75% of sales is used to pay for
variable cost and the remaining 25% is to cover all the non-operating or fixed
cost.
Profitability Analysis: Operating Performance
3. Net Profit Margin
Measures profitability after consideration of all revenue and expense,
including interest, taxes, and operating expenses items
𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝐼𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒
𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑓𝑖𝑡 𝑚𝑎𝑟𝑔𝑖𝑛 =
𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠
Low profit margin indicate lower sales but does not reflects that the
company is doing poorly, but rather the possible pricing strategy or the
impact of competition.
Profitability Analysis: Asset Utilization
1. Inventory Turnover (Turns per year)
Measures how many times on average inventory is sold during the year
𝐶𝑜𝑠𝑡 𝑜𝑓 𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠
𝐼𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑦 𝑇𝑢𝑟𝑛𝑜𝑣𝑒𝑟 =
𝐴𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝐼𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑦
The higher the ratio, the stronger the sales
𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠
𝐴𝑐𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡 𝑅𝑒𝑐𝑒𝑖𝑣𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑇𝑢𝑟𝑛𝑜𝑣𝑒𝑟 =
𝐴𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝐴𝑐𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡 𝑅𝑒𝑐𝑒𝑖𝑣𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒
Higher ratio indicates the firm’s efficiency in its ability to collect those
payments, and/or the company operates more on a cash basis.
A low ratio may means that the company should possibly re-think its credit
policies and find out why the firm cannot collects its customer’s payment on a
timely fashion.
Valuation: Market Measure
1. Earning per share
Represents the profit of the company equally split among each share of
the stock.
In essence, if you own one share of the company, how much of that profit
is designated to your share.
Valuation: Market Measure
2. Book Value per Share
Provides investors a way to compare the market value, or what they are
paying for each share, to a consecutive measure of the value of the firm.
Net Income
Sales
Net Sales
Total Assets
Measures the activity of the assets and the ability of the firm to
generate sales through the use of the assets
he higher the asset turnover ratio, the better the company is
performing, since higher ratios imply that the company is
generating more revenue per dollar of assets.
Potential distortion
• Investments
• Construction in progress
• Other assets that do not relate to net sales
Return On Assets
Net Income
Total Assets
Measures the ability to utilize assets to create profits
Net Income
Total shareholders’ Equity
Measures the return to both common and preferred
stockholders.
Measure the success of the firm in generating profit
DuPont ROE
ROE = NPM x TAT x FINANCIAL LEVERAGE
Financial leverage or equity multiplier
• Captures the effect of the firm’s use of debt financing on its ROE
1
= 𝑅𝑂𝐴 𝑥
1 − 𝐷𝑒𝑏𝑡 𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜
Identical ROE
End of LU3