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Distributions
Solution:
One way to get exactly 3 heads: HHHTT
5
P(3 heads and 2 tails) = x P(heads)3 x P(tails)2 =
3
10 x (½)5=31.25%
Typical Binomial Dist. problems
k
e
p( X k )
k!
Poisson Distribution
• For example, if new product is sold at a rate of
about 2 per day, then these are the
probabilities that: 0,1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, to 1000 to 1
million to… sales will occur in the next day:
X P(X)
0 =.135
1 =.27
2 =.27
3 =.18
4 =.09
… …
Poisson Distribution
1b. How many phone calls do you expect to get during the movie?
E(X) = t = 2(1.5) = 3
Normal Distribution
180
168
156
144
132
120
108
96
84
72
60
48
36
24
12
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
• +/-1 = .683
• +/-2 = .955
• +/-3 = .997
180
168
156
144
132
120
108
• 50% = +/-0.67
96
84
72
• 95% = +/-1.96
60
48
36
24
• 99% = +/-2.58
12
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Normal (and almost) distributions
Normal Distribution