Session Objectives 6.1 Consider how a National Risk Management Standard Led to an International Standard
6.2 Discuss the ADPC Community-Based Risk
Reduction Process
6.3 Discuss Various Risk Assessment
Techniques Utilized by UN-HABITAT
Session 6 Slide 6-2
Australia and New Zealand • Similar in terms of: – Geography – Social makeup – Political frameworks – Agendas (public, policy) • Collaborate on risk management efforts
Session 6 Slide 6-3
Risk Management: Australia
A systematic process that produces a
range of measures that contribute to the well-being of communities and the environment.
Session 6 Slide 6-4
Risk Management: New Zealand The process of considering the social, economic and political factors involved in risk analysis; determining the acceptability of damage and/or disruption that could result from an event; and then deciding what actions should be taken to minimize likely damage or disruption.
Session 6 Slide 6-5
AS/NZS 4360 • 1993: New South Wales Government Risk Management Guidelines • Joint Standards Australia and Standards New Zealand Technical Committee – AS/NZS 4360:1995 – AS/NZS 4360:2004 • Communication • Review/Improve Session 6 Slide 6-6 AS/NZS RM Methodology • Risk management: – “a process that identifies the level of tolerance a group has for a specific risk” – used to decide “what to do where risk has been determined to exist” • At the center is Communication – A ‘two-way process”
Session 6 Slide 6-7
AS/NZS Risk Communication • Acknowledge presence of multiple potential stakeholders • Identify key stakeholders • Identify the issues and commence consultation process • Begin stakeholder analysis and refine through dialogue • Establish representation group of technical and stakeholder groups • Assess stakeholder acceptance of risk including implications of treating or not treating risk/s • Establish stakeholder acceptability criteria • Develop risk communication strategy
Session 6 Slide 6-8
AS/NZS RM Process • Establish the Context • Identify Risks • Analyze Risks • Assess and Prioritize Risks • Treat Risks • Risk Acceptance
Session 6 Slide 6-9
Establish the Context • Establishes the strategic, organizational and risk management contexts in which the process will take place • Criteria against which risk measured are established • Structure of analysis defined • Involves the following steps: – Define the problem – Identify stakeholders – Developing risk evaluation criteria – Defining key elements
Session 6 Slide 6-10
Identify Risks • Identify what, why and how things can arise as the basis of further analysis • Characteristics and interaction of the hazards, the community, and the environment that form the basis of the problem to be solved • Hazard analysis • Vulnerability analysis Session 6 Slide 6-11 Analyze Risks • How likely is the event to happen and what are the potential consequences and their magnitude – Determine risk controls – Analyze likelihood – Analyze consequence
Session 6 Slide 6-12
Assess and Prioritize Risk • Risk assessment = “the method used to define the likelihood of harm (probability x consequence) coming to an individual, group, or community or the occurrence of an event as a result of exposure to a sustenance or a situation.” • Risks ranked to identify management priorities Session 6 Slide 6-13 Treat Risks • Accept and monitor low-priority risks • For other risks develop and implement a specific management plan that includes consideration of funding • In emergency management, this is typically referred to as mitigation
Session 6 Slide 6-14
Risk Acceptance • Develop public awareness programs • Evaluate implementation process
Session 6 Slide 6-15
ISO 31000:2009 • International Organisation for Standardisation • Supported by Australia and New Zealand • First international risk management standard • Similar to AS/NZS 4360:2004
Session 6 Slide 6-16
ISO 31000:2009 Diagram
Session 6 Slide 6-17
AS/NZS / ISO Differences • Principles of Risk Management – Risk management creates and protects value – Risk management is an integral part of all organizational processes – Risk management is part of decision making – Risk management explicitly addresses uncertainty – Risk management is systematic, structured, and timely – Risk management is based on the best available information – Risk management is tailored – Others • Defines risk to be “the effect of uncertainty on objectives” • Provides guidance on how RM might exist within the organization or agency performing it Session 6 Slide 6-18 ADPC • Asian Disaster Preparedness Center • Regional emergency management technical assistance and training resource center • Created in response to an expressed need to assist countries in the region with formulating policies and developing capabilities in all aspects of disaster management Session 6 Slide 6-19 Community-Based DM • Top-down RM resulted in ‘poorer outcomes’ • Vulnerable communities most negatively affected • Must involve vulnerable people themselves • Communities feel they are the best judges of their own vulnerability • Aim: reduce vulnerabilities and strengthen people’s capacity to cope with hazards Session 6 Slide 6-20 Participatory Approach • Local participatory method works well because the community members are not only the primary drivers in the process, but also the beneficiaries • Community participation vs. community involvement
Session 6 Slide 6-21
Essential Features • The community has a central role in long term and short term disaster management • Disaster risk or vulnerability reduction is the foundation of CBDM • Risk management is linked to the development process • Community as a key resource in disaster risk reduction • Application of multi-sectoral and multi-disciplinary approaches • CBDM as an involving and dynamic framework
Session 6 Slide 6-22
Tools and Methods
Session 6 Slide 6-23
Strategies • Self insurance • Conducting seasonally based action • Encouraging long-term investments • Strengthening social and organizational support structures • Making health and sanitation services available at the community level • Conducting advocacy and campaigns Session 6 Slide 6-24 The ADPC Process • Foundation is Disaster Risk Reduction • Six sequential stages – Initiating the disaster risk reduction process – Community Profiling – Risk Assessment – Formulation of Disaster Risk Reduction Plan – Implementation and Monitoring – Evaluation and Feedback Session 6 Slide 6-25 UN-HABITAT • Mandated by the UN General Assembly to promote socially and environmentally sustainable towns and cities with the goal of providing adequate shelter for all • To help policy-makers and local communities get to grips with the human settlements and urban issues and find workable, lasting solutions • Assessing the Risk of habitats and settlements is central to the UN-HABITAT Disaster and Risk Management function.
Session 6 Slide 6-26
UN-HABITAT Techniques • Access Model • Computer Assisted Techniques • Disaster Risk Indexing • Event Tree Analysis • Failure Modes and Effects Analysis • Fault Tree Analysis • Historical Analysis • Impact Analysis • Participatory Analysis • Pressure and Release Model • Remote Sensing • Social Survey Session 6 Slide 6-27