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- Seth Mnookin
Science is the pursuit and application of the natural and social world
through the collection and analysis of evidence.
There are four major concepts in the pursuit of science:
Facts are observations that we make about the world.
Hypotheses are proposed, testable explanations of observations that can
serve as a basis for experimentation.
Theories are much broader explanations of various observations that have
been tested and confirmed through observation and experimentation.
Laws describe a constant phenomenon of nature, but do not explain it.
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A far different idea is pseudoscience – practices or beliefs that appear or
claim to be scientific, but does not follow scientific principles.
The claim is not repeatable or reproducible.
The claim is not backed by evidence.
No alternative explanations for the claim have been tested.
There are many examples of pseudoscience throughout science,
impacting the disciplines of biology, chemistry, and astronomy.
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Spontaneous generation is a theory that life can arise from non-living
matter.
This idea arose sometime in the 4th century B.C., and persisted through the
mid-19th century.
This is based on observations, such as:
Beetles will appear in piles of animal dung.
Maggots will grow out of rotting meat.
Mice will generate from jars containing
dirty garments and husks of wheat.
Fleas will arise from dust.
Spontaneous generation is considered pseudoscience, because:
No alternative explanations were considered.
No controlled experiments were conducted to test it.
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Since the time of ancient Greece,
many chemists believed that all
matter was composed of four
elements: earth, water, air, and fire.
Alchemy used this hypothesis to try
to devise ways to transform common
elements (like lead) into gold.
This led to many early discoveries in
chemistry, such as Hennig Brand
discovering phosphorous as he tried
to isolate gold from his own urine!
Alchemists kept much of their
research a secret, and this lack of
knowledge sharing kept progress in
the field of chemistry at a standstill
The Alchemist in Search of the Philosophers Stone
for many centuries. (1771) by Joseph Wright.
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Astrology is the belief that the
movements and positions of stars
and planets affects the natural
world.
This is partially based on the
zodiac, a series of constellations
that the sun crosses from the
perspective of the Earth.
The original 12 zodiac signs were
recorded by the ancient
Babylonians in about the 5th century
B.C., but are no longer accurate.
A “new” zodiac chart was created by
the Minnesota Planetarium Society
to reflect a shift in the Earth’s axis.
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Scientists all follow the same basic set of
steps when attempting to answer a
question or explain an observation, called
the scientific method.
The scientific method has been used to
solve some of the greatest problems to face
humanity, including the treatment of
disease.
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Up through the 20th century, one of the most serious diseases of mankind
was smallpox.
The most common form of smallpox had a 30% fatality rate.
The only known “cure” was to contract the disease and recover.
Some inoculated themselves
with fluid and pus from the sick,
hoping to contract a mild case
and survive.
A British physician named Edward Jenner observed that dairymaids living
in his hometown often contracted cowpox, a nonlethal disease with
similar symptoms to smallpox.
He decided to intentionally
infect a young boy with cowpox,
then expose him to smallpox.
Immunity was successfully
conferred to the boy.
This discover serves as the basis for
all vaccines used today, which have
prevented over 700,000 deaths in
the past 20 years alone. Edward Jenner vaccinating a child with
cowpox from a dairymaid. Source:
Bettman Archive / Corbis.
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The first step in the scientific method is making an observation,
information gathered by noticing specific details of a phenomenon.
Dr. Edward Jenner observed that dairymaids who contracted cowpox seemed
to be protected from the more deadly smallpox.
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The goal is to be able to explain
the observation.
A hypothesis, or testable
explanation, will be made based
on the scientist’s prior experience
and research.
Hypotheses are preliminary
explanations – they can and are
often not supported by the
resulting experiment.
Dr. Jenner’s hypothesis was that if
a child was exposed to cowpox ,
they would become immune to
smallpox.
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The experiment tests the hypothesis under controlled conditions, with
carefully defined variables.
The independent variable is the new factor or condition that is to be
introduced and tested.
The dependent variable changes as a result of the independent variable, and
will be measured and recorded as data.
Controlled variables are kept constant throughout the experiment.
Dr. Jenner’s experiment was to inoculate the 8 year-old son of his gardener
with fluid from a cowpox pustule, allow the infection to pass, then repeat
with a smallpox pustule.
The boy survived 20 inoculations without succumbing to smallpox!
The conclusion states whether or not the hypothesis is supported by the
results of the experiment.
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The final step is communication, where the results are published and
reviewed by others to check for errors, bias, or other issues.
Dr. Jenner submitted his study to the Royal Society for Medicine, but was
told he needed more proof.
“The Cow-Pock—or—
the Wonderful Effects
of the New
Inoculation!—vide. the
Publications of ye
Anti-Vaccine Society.”
- Satirical cartoon,
1802.
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Accounting for every single variable in a scientific study is nearly
impossible; there will be variability in all data.
Margin of error is an estimate of the amount of random sampling error in a
set of data due to errors in measurement, experimental design, or other
factors.
The margin of error can be
reduced by increasing
sample size, or the number of
observations used in an
experiment or study.
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Dr. Jenner was able to locate several other parents who were willing to
volunteer their children. He even included his own 11 month-old son in
the study.
The results were finally published. Jenner called his technique
vaccination after the Latin word for cow “vacca”.
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Controlled experiments aren’t always possible or ideal.
Natural experiments are conducted in the field under normal
circumstances.
The advantage is that these experiments take place in a more accurate,
realistic environment.
The disadvantage is that natural phenomena are often very difficult to find.
Another significant problem in science is bias; the preference for an
experiment to turn out in a certain way.
Bias is not always intentional, but must be controlled by the experimental
design.
A blind experiment is conducted so the experimental subjects do not
know which is the control and which is the experimental group.
Eliminates the “placebo effect”
A double-blind experiment also prevents the actual scientists from
knowing which is the control or experimental group.
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There are many examples of published
studies or report that have been later
found biased, flawed, or outright
fraudulent.
These are always detected, eventually,
due to the scientific method and peer
review.
The net effect is loss of time, resources,
and public mistrust.
In 1998, Dr. Andrew Wakefield
published a study in the British
journal The Lancet documenting a
link between the MMR vaccine and
autism in children.
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Although the study was
retracted, much of the public
trust in vaccines was shaken,
and vaccine rates dropped in
many countries.
Pseudoscience books, articles,
and speakers against the use of
vaccines have become
increasingly prevalent, even
though there is no evidence to
support their claims.
Similar movements can be
seen opposing climate change
and the use of genetically- “Green our vaccines” was a rally held in 2008
to raise awareness of supposedly toxic
modified organisms (GMOs). substances in vaccines.
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