Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
Domestic
Commercial
Types of Load Forecasting
Short Term
Medium Term
Long Term
Classification of Demand Forecasting
Qualitative
Generally used by planners e.g Delphi method, curve
fitting.
Quantitative
Regression analysis , exponential smoothing.
Load Demand
Factors Affecting Load Demand
Population growth
Cost of electricity
Weather condition
National policy, which involves the use of power and also grant available
for the same.
Weather Dependence
Traditional
- Regression , multiple regression , exponential smoothing.
Modified Traditional
- Adaptive demand Forecasting , Auto regressive AR
Model, Auto regressive moving average ARMA Model.
Soft Computing
Traditional Techniques
L(t)=Ln(t)+Σaixi(t)+e(t)
Ln= standard/normal load at time t
ai= slowly varying coefficients
Xi(t)= independent influencing factors e.g weather.
E(t) = error
n= no of observations
Traditional Techniques