“The Productivity and Costs Report” is a quarterly release from
the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) .
It measures the level of output that is achieved by businesses per unit of labor. Output is measured by using previously released gross domestic product(GDP). Input is measured in hours worked and the associated costs of that labor. STRENGTHS: Presents the results of many complex calculations . GDP can grow without causing concurrent gains in inflation. Non profit groups are removed from calculations. WEAKNESSES: It does not provide in time. No new series of data is released. The institute for Supply Management (ISM) is responsible for maintaining the Purchasing Managers Index. It is the headline indicator in the monthly “ISM Report on Business”. ISM is a non profit group. The PMI is made up of several different surveys that include: New orders Factory orders Employment levels etc. It is important indicator for investors looking for clues about economic growth. STRENGTHS: It gives report in time. A good predictor for future releases(GDP,BLS) Commodities such as silver ,steel and copper are reported individually. WEAKNESSES: o Only covers manufacturing sector. o Regional reports may have high correlations. This indicator tracks the dollar value of merchandise sold within the retail trade by tacking sampling of companies. Point -of -sale businesses and non-profit store retailers are used. Companies of all sizes are used in the survey(Wal-Mart). It is used by government agencies ,economists , academic analysts and researchers. STRENGTHS: It is extremely timely. Data release is robust. It is easy to understand. It is adjusted seasonally, monthly. WEAKNESSES: o 20% of all retail sales take place during Christmas/New Year. o Retail sales business is often volatile from month to month. o Does not account for retail services, only physical merchandise. It is the balance of trade between the U.S and rest of the world. It measures the value of country’s exports of goods and services against imports from other countries. It is important component of their current account. Compared to other indicators this report is relatively hard to estimate outside of petroleum. STRENGTHS: Monthly releases are concise and give results in nominal terms. Largest percentages of balance , as well as rates of change. Results shown against the backdrop of the past 6 months. WEAKNESSES: Monthly report does not show complete transaction. Inconclusive as to the long term effects of stock market and economy of a trade deficit or surplus. Volatile due to oil price and seasonality.