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3-4
The summary of the transactions
Example 3.1
Credit: Boeing’s export +$50 million
Example 3.2
Debit: Thomson's acquisition of Reuters –$750
million
Credit: Barclays’ purchase of U.S. securities +
$750 million
Balance of Payments Accounts
Statistical Discrepancy
3-6
The Current Account
3-7
The Current Account
3-9
The Capital Account
3-10
Sovereign Wealth Funds
3-11
Statistical Discrepancy (net errors
and omissions)
There’s going to be some omissions and
misrecorded transactions—so we use a “plug”
figure to get things to balance.
Mostly is due to differences in the sources of data
causing some misrecorded or errors and
omissions.
In practice, it is difficult to trace the sources of the
errors and omissions
3-12
The Official Reserves Account
3-13
The Balance of Payments Identity
BCA + BKA + BRA = 0
where
BCA = balance on current account
BKA = balance on capital account
BRA = balance on the reserves account
3-15
Balance of Payments and the
Exchange Rate
Credits Debits Exchange rate $
Current Account
1 Exports $2,096.3 P S
2 Imports ($2,818.0)
3 Unilateral Transfers $24.4 ($114.0)
Balance on Current Account ($811.3)
Capital Account
4 Direct Investment $180.6 ($235.4)
5 Portfolio Investment $1,017.4 ($426.1)
6 Other Investments $690.4 ($400) D
Balance on Capital Account $826.9
7 Statistical Discrepancies ($18)
Overall Balance ($2.4) Q
Official Reserve Account $2.4
As U.S. citizens import, they are supply dollars to the FOREX market.
3-16
Balance of Payments and the
Exchange Rate
Credits Debits Exchange rate $
Current Account
1 Exports $2,096.3 P S
2 Imports ($2,818.0)
3 Unilateral Transfers $24.4 ($114.0)
Balance on Current Account ($811.3)
Capital Account
4 Direct Investment $180.6 ($235.4)
5 Portfolio Investment $1,017.4 ($426.1)
6 Other Investments $690.4 ($400) D
Balance on Capital Account $826.9
7 Statistical Discrepancies ($18)
Overall Balance ($2.4) Q
Official Reserve Account $2.4
As U.S. citizens export, others demand dollars at the FOREX market.
3-17
Balance of Payments and the
Exchange Rate
Credits Debits Exchange rate $
Current Account
1 Exports $2,096.3 P S
2 Imports ($2,818.0) S1
3 Unilateral Transfers $24.4 ($114.0)
Balance on Current Account ($811.3)
Capital Account
4 Direct Investment $180.6 ($235.4)
5 Portfolio Investment $1,017.4 ($426.1)
6 Other Investments $690.4 ($400) D
Balance on Capital Account $826.9
7 Statistical Discrepancies ($18)
Overall Balance ($2.4) Q
Official Reserve Account $2.4
As the U.S. government sells dollars, the supply of dollars increases.
3-18
The J-Curve Effect
Following a currency
depreciation, the trade
Change in the Trade Balance