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Payback Period
A project’s payback period is the number of years its
takes for a project’s net cash flows to pay back the net
investment. Shorter paybacks are better than longer
paybacks.
Payback period
= Original investment ÷ Annual cash flows
= Rs.1,000,000 / Rs.500,000
= 2 years
3
Payback Period
• Suppose a project has a Rs.200,000 net
investment and net cash flows (NCFs) of
Rs.70,000 annually for 7 years. What is the
payback?
Rs.200,000
Payback Period 2.86 Years
Rs.70,000
Example 1:
Due to increased demand, the management of Rani Beverage Company is considering to
purchase a new equipment to increase the production and revenues. The useful life of the
equipment is 10 years and the company’s maximum desired payback period is 4 years. The
inflow and outflow of cash associated with the new equipment is given below:
Required: Should Rani Beverage Company purchase the new equipment? Use payback method
for your answer.
Step 1: In order to compute the payback period of the equipment, we need to workout the net
annual cash inflow by deducting the total of cash outflow from the total of cash inflow associated
with the equipment.
Step 2: Now, the amount of investment required to purchase the equipment would be divided by
the amount of net annual cash inflow (computed in step 1) to find the payback period of the
equipment.
= $37,500/$15,000
=2.5 years
According to payback method, the equipment should be purchased because the payback period
of the equipment is 2.5 years which is shorter than the maximum desired payback period of the
Example 2:
The management of Health Supplement Inc. wants to reduce its labor cost by installing a new
machine. Two types of machines are available in the market – machine X and machine Y.
Machine X would cost $18,000 where as machine Y would cost $15,000. Both the machines can
reduce annual labor cost by $3,000.
Solution:
Machine X Machine Y
Cost of machine (a) $18,000 $15,000
Annual cost saving (b) $3,000 $3,000
Payback period (a)/(b) 6 years 5 years
According to payback method, machine Y is more desirable than machine X because it has a
shorter payback period than machine X.
Payback method and uneven cash flow:
In the above examples we have assumed that the projects generate even cash inflow (same cash
inflow during each period) but when projects generate uneven cash inflow (different cash inflow
in different periods), the payback period formula given above cannot be used to compute
payback period.
Example 3:
An investment of $200,000 is expected to generate the following cash flows in six years:
Required: Compute payback period of the investment. Should the investment be made if
management wants to recover the initial investment in 3 years or less?
Solution:
(1). Because the cash inflow is uneven, the payback period formula cannot be used to compute
the payback period. We can compute the payback period by computing the cumulative net cash
flow as follows:
Payback period is 4 years because the cumulative cash flow at the end of 4th year becomes equal
to initial amount of investment.
(2). As the payback period is longer than the maximum desired payback period of the
management (3 years), the investment should not be made.
The calculation of the Payback Period is best illustrated with an example. Consider Capital
Budgeting project A which yields the following cash flows over its five year life.
Cash
Year
Flow
0 -1000
1 500
2 400
3 200
4 200
5 100
To begin the calculation of the Payback Period for project A let's add an additional column to the
above table which represents the Net Cash Flow (NCF) for the project in each year.
Notice that after two years the Net Cash Flow is negative (-1000 + 500 + 400 = -100) while after
three years the Net Cash Flow is positive (-1000 + 500 + 400 + 200 = 100). Thus the Payback
Period, or breakeven point, occurs sometime during the third year. If we assume that the cash
flows occur regularly over the course of the year, the Payback Period can be computed using the
following equation:
Thus, the Payback Period for project A can be computed as follows:
Payback Period
Payback Period = 2 + (100)/(200) = 2.5 years
Thus, the project will recoup its initial investment in 2.5 years.
Advantages and disadvantages of payback method:
Advantages:
1. An investment project with a short payback period promises the quick inflow of cash. It
is therefore, a useful capital budgeting method for cash poor firms.
2. A project with short payback period can improve the liquidity position of the business
quickly. The payback period is important for the firms for which liquidity is very
important.
3. An investment with short payback period makes the funds available soon to invest in
another project.
4. A short payback period reduces the risk of loss caused by changing economic conditions
and other unavoidable reasons.
5. Payback period is very easy to compute.
Disadvantages:
1. The payback method does not take into account the time value of money.
2. It does not consider the useful life of the assets and inflow of cash after payback period.
For example, If two projects, project A and project B require an initial investment of
$5,000. Project A generates an annual cash inflow of $1,000 for 5 years whereas project
B generates a cash inflow of $1,000 for 7 years. It is clear that the project B is more
profitable than project A. But according to payback method, both the projects are equally
desirable because both have a payback period of 5 years ($5,000/$1,000).
Discounted Payback Period - DPP
• This improves upon the payback period by taking
into account the time value of money.
Where:
A is the rate of return with a positive NPV
B is the rate of return with a negative NPV
C is the amount of the positive NPV
D is the amount of the negative NPV
Example of Mutually Exclusive
Projects
NPV (Rs.)
IRR > r r > IRR
and NPV > 0 and NPV < 0.
Accept. Reject.
r (%)
IRR
Net-Present-Value Method
Mattson Co. has been offered a five year contract to
provide component parts for a large manufacturer.
16-44
Net-Present-Value Method
• At the end of five years the working capital
will be released and may be used elsewhere
by Mattson.
• Mattson uses a discount rate of 10%.
16-45
Net-Present-Value Method
Annual net cash inflows from operations
16-46
Net-Present-Value Method
Cash 10% Present
Years Flows Factor Value
Investment in equipment Now $(160,000) 1.000 $ (160,000)
Working capital needed Now (100,000) 1.000 (100,000)
Annual net cash inflows 1-5 80,000 3.791 303,280
Relining of equipment 3 (30,000) 0.751 (22,530)
Salvage value of equip. 5 5,000 0.621 3,105
Working capital released 5 100,000 0.621 62,100
Net present value $ 85,955
16-47
Profitability Index
PV of Cash inflow
PI =
Initial Cash outlay
• Payback Period
• Discounted Payback
• Profitability Index
The following formula shows the after-tax cost of a tax-deductible cash expense:
After-tax cost = (1 – Tax rate) × Cash expense
= (1 – 0.30) × $40,000
= $28,000
Income Taxes in Capital Budgeting: After-Tax Benefit
Without With
Depreciation Depreciation
Deduction Deduction
Sales.................................... $500,000 $500,000
Less expenses:
Cash operating expenses .... 340,000 340,000
Depreciation expense ......... 60,000
Total expenses ..................... 340,000 400,000
Taxable income .................... $160,000 $100,000
Income taxes (30%) ............. $ 48,000 $ 30,000
Depreciation Tax Shield
The depreciation deduction reduces the company’s
income taxes by $18,000.