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DECISION MAKING
BY –
RAKESH SHARMA
KAVAN TALATI
PRANSHAV PANDYA
SACHIN YADAV
CONCEPT OF DECISION
AND
DECISION MAKING
“Decision-making involves the selection of a course of action from
among two or more possible alternatives in order to arrive at a solution
for a given problem”.
‘What has always been done when problem of such type arose’
innovation.
SCIENTIFIC
APPROACH
Identification of problem
Acquiring preliminary observations about the problem.
Stating tentative solutions to the problem.
Investigating the problem thoroughly, using both current
knowledge and controlled experiments.
Classification of data obtained
Stating tentative answer to the problems.
Adjusting and stating answer to the problem.
Q UA N T I TAT I V E A P P R O A C H
I.Intuition
II.Facts
III.Experience
IV.Considered opinions
Q UA N T I TAT I V E T E C H N I Q U E S
Different types:-
1.Linear programming
2.Decision tree
3.Probability decision
4.Game theory
5.Queing theory
Decision tree
• A Tree shaped diagram that shows probability of
possible decision.
• It is a technique for solving the problem of
uncertainty.
CONSTRUCTION OF DECISION
TREE
• The first step is definition of various
alternatives.
• The second step is estimation of
probabilities for various events.
• The third step is calculation of payoff
from each alternative in various
events.
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