BULLET TRAIN

RISK MANAGEMENT PLAN

Sebastian I Siddharth I Sneha I Sri Harsha I Srinivasan
MPE 23
 RAILWAYS
Route length of 67,368 kms   Route length of 2,764.6 kms
Avg. speed: 50.6 kmph Max speed: 180 kmph Avg. speed: 100 kmph Max speed: 320 kmph
Safety: ~1000 passenger fatalities over 4 years Safety: Zero incidents since inception

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INTRODUCTION

The Mumbai Ahmedabad High Speed Rail

(MAHSR) is proposed between Mumbai
and Ahmedabad. The total distance is 506
kms with 12 stations; 4 in Maharashtra
and 8 in Gujarat. The estimated budget is
1.1 lakh crores and the targeted
completion date is August 2023.
A Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV) has been
created with participation from Ministry of
Railways and state governments of Gujarat
and Maharashtra.

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WHY RISK MANAGEMENT

High Speed Train projects are exposed to

risks of different natures and if not
addressed properly can become real
problems. In the case of MAHSR project, the
uncertainty elements are: Social, Politics,
Environment, Land Acquisition and
Technology. This study presents a
framework for categorizing risks and
propose mitigation plans.

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PROJECT
DELAY
RISKS

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 PROJECT DELAY RISKS

RISK EVENT IMPACT

The project can be delayed due to following: The project can be impacted due to following:

• Litigation by land owners • Revenue Impact

• Delay in land acquisition • Project Feasibility
• Delay in execution • Break-even Impact
• Delayed financial closure

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FINANCIAL
RISKS

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 FINANCIAL RISKS

RISK EVENT IMPACT

The project can be delayed due to following: The project can be impacted due to following:

• Low occupancy • Revenue impact

• Low Demand • Project feasibility
• Cost overrun • Break-even impact

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OPERATIONAL &
ENVIRONMENT
AL
RISKS

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 OPERATIONAL & ENVIRONMENTAL RISK

RISK EVENT TOPIC 02

The project can be delayed due to following: The project can be impacted due to following:

• Breakdown due to technology failure • High cost of operation

• Loss of green cover • Agitation & Criticism
• Agitation/ litigation by • Damage to environment
environmentalists

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HEAT MAP

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HEAT MAP
Almost Certain Delay in Execution Environmental Joint Venture Technology failure

Likely Delay Costs Government Safety Delay in Land acquisition

LIKELYHOOD

Possible Design System Integration Construction Delayed financial closure

Unlikely Low Demand Litigation by Land owners Project Feasibility

Rare Technology Transfer Cost Overrun Funding Moderate

Minor
Insignificant Minor Moderate Major Critical
Major
CONSEQUENCE Critical

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COMMUNICATION

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COMMUNICATION
INTERNAL
Project Status Reports (PSR) between Gujarat
and Maharashtra Governments
Joint completion status reports of the two state
Governments to Indian Railways
Application of funds reports from State
Governments to Railways
Interim statutory audit report, submitted to
Japan
Debt & Remittances reports (published in leading
dailies)
Certified project status reports, published by
Railways in the compendium & made available in
railway journal
Regular/ periodic press briefings held by Railways
to update the status of the project
EXTERNAL
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THANK YOU !