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FUNDAMENTALS OF STATISTICS
Origin of Statistics Statistics stems from the latin word Status, which was originally meant to determine the status of a nations population in connection with the description in public economics.
Types of Statistics
Descriptive Statistics: Recording, arranging & representing data Eg: recording grinding time of AC2 for one month
Inductive Statistics : Analysis ,evaluation & interpretation of data Eg: After analyzing Viscosity of AC2 of this month it is found that there is trend (ie moving towards upper limit)
Types of Data
Variable data: Data that can be expressed in numbers. eg: Viscosity, RS. Attribute: Data in subjective terms. eg: Ok/Not Ok , Close match to standard.
Variation
What is Variation? Difference between batches in characteristics is variation. Usually samples representing batches are taken for analysis to establish compliance /Variation. This is known as sampling Reducing Variation = Improvement
Variation Analysis
Central tendency: One of the important characteristics of distribution of sample data is that most of the observations tend to concentrate in the center of the distribution. This characteristic is called as central tendency How is Central tendency measured Mean: Median: Mode:
Central Tendency
Median: Center of given set of numbers which are arranged in ascending or descending order ( if there are n observations of the variate and they are arranged in ascending order ,then median is (n+1)/2 th value if n is odd. If n is even then the median is average of n/2 th and (n/2) +1 Mode: In given set of numbers, the number with highest frequency is mode
Examples
Calculate mean, median & mode 2,3,2,4,5,2,7,6,2,4,2 Median =3 Mode =2 Mean = 3.545
Variation analysis
Dispersion The extent to which the data is scattered about the zone of central tendency is known as dispersion. How to measure it? a) Range b) Standard deviation c) variance
a) Range: In a given set of data, Range= Max-Min Maxb) Standard deviation: Sigma = sqrt [(Xi-Xavg)2 /n] [(Xi-
Variation analysis
a) Range: Range= XMax- XMin b) Standard deviation: Sigma = sqrt [(Xi-Xavg)2 /n] [(XiC) Variance = Sigma 2 Where X are observed Values n number of observations
Probability Distribution
Probability Distribution : Is a mathematical model that relates the value of the variable with the probability of occurrence of that value in Population. Eg: Imagine diameter of pail as variable, because it takes on different values in the population according to some random mechanism, and then the probability of occurrence of any value of pail diameter in the population.
Probability Distribution
Types of Probability distribution : a) Continuous distribution : When the variable being measured is expressed on a continuous scale, its probability Distribution is called a Continuous distribution. eg: pail diameter Some continuous distribution are Normal distribution, Exponential distribution, Weibul distributions
Probability Distribution
b) Discrete distributions: When the parameters being measured can only take on certain values such as the integers 0,1,2 , the probability distribution is called discrete distribution. eg: Number of defects in painted surface Different discrete distributions Hyper geometric distribution Binomial distribution Poisson distribution
Normal Distribution
Normal distribution
Bell shaped curve 9 8 7 6 f(X) 5 4 3 2 1 0 10.05 10.10 10.15 X 10.20 10.25
7 Quality Improvement Tools PDCA Cycle : (Plan,Do Check and Act) Right First time and every time. Next process is your customer Rules of QC : No inspection without recording No recording without analysis No analysis without action
1
2 3
Questions of QC : Can we do it ok? Are we doing it ok? Have done it ok? Can we do it better?
5 Quality Environment : 5S ( Seiri, Seiton ,Seiso, seiketsu, Shitsukue) 6 7 5W 1H ( who where why when what & How) 7 basic tools of QC Check sheet Cause and effect diagram Control Charts, graphs & charts Histogram Pareto chart Stratification Scatter Diagram
7 QC Tools
Sr Tool No 1 Check sheet Key Words
Counting and accumulating data
Details
Check sheet is a systematic method of collecting, recording and presenting relevant data in a simple manner y y Establish what information is needed 5W-1H ( why data, what type,where to collect,Who to collect ,How and how much to collect) Construct check sheet Test check sheet Standarize and use check sheet Use the information( remember rule of QC)
y y y y
2 3
Understanding and reducing variation Identify and Cure causes Charting Dispersion Vital few and trival many
It is a run chart used for studying process performance over time in order to understand and reduce variation. A diagram which represents meaningful relationship between an effect and its causes Type of bar chart representing the frequency distribution of data from process. Diagram that shows the order of the largest number of occurrences by item or by classes and the cumulative total . (20% of causes/input/effort gives 80% effects/outputs/results) A chart used to study and identify the possible relationship between two variables A technique used to divide data into sub-categories or classification to provide useful insight into the problem
4 5
6 ,7
Check Sheet
What is check sheet? Check sheet is a systematic method of collecting, recording and presenting relevant data in a simple manner
Steps in preparing check sheet 1. Establish what information is needed 2. 5W-1H ( why data, what type, where to collect, Who 5Wto collect ,How and how much to collect) 3. Construct check sheet 4. Test check sheet 5. Standarize and use check sheet 6. Use the information( remember rule of QC)
Pareto Chart
Pareto chart is a diagram that shows the order of largest number of occurrences by item or by classes, and the cumulative sum total Vilfredo Pareto (1848-1923), an Italian economist (1848discovered in 1897 that 80% of a nations wealth was owned by 20% of population
Pareto Chart
Dr Joseph M Juran applied this principle to Quality Management and called it Pareto principle Pareto Principle
Inputs Causes Efforts 20% Outputs Effects Results
80%
Pareto Chart
Steps in constructing Arrange data in descending order (frequency of observation) Find out cumulative frequency Translate cumulative frequency in % Cumulative frequency
1.
2. 3.
Pareto Chart
4. 5.
Plot observation against respective frequency Superimpose % cumulative frequency against observation.
Pareto Chart
FTC/PTC share in appr val
er f c
Nu
Testing . .
FTC . .
PTC . .
COA . .
Percen
which represents meaning full relation between effect and its causes
JIS Definition A Diagram which shows the relation between a Quality Characteristic and cause factors.
Dr. Kaoru Ishikawa developed the first cause and effect diagram in 1943 while consulting for Kawasaki steel works Dr Juran named it as Ishikawa diagram
which represents meaning full relation between effect and its causes
JIS Definition A Diagram which shows the relation between a Quality Characteristic and cause factors.
Dr. Kaoru Ishikawa developed the first cause and effect diagram in 1943 while consulting for Kawasaki steel works Dr Juran named it as Ishikawa diagram
Cylindricity of the circle enveloping drive and ( it is often noted that if container idler roller. ( This is like a inscribed circle with touches idler roller at an angle, stamping shifts) three rollers forming vertex of triangle) Rollers (drive & idler rollers)
Load of Drive roller on container needs to balanced by idler rollers ( otherwise rotation pattern of container gets affected) Affects rotation pattern intermittently ( specially for 1 liter) Slight shake will result in parameter change
Rigidity in camera fixing Room to fix camera ( needed to focus Zebra Data capture will not be correct union) Orientation of camera focus and zebra union Camera Printer Angle of camera focus Distance of printer from container
If zebra union is horizontal then focual area should be horizontal during trials this improved results
Analy i
Measurements
in Stamping in HSPM
Men
Material
Container ovality monitoring of stamping Zebra union quality Un skilled /not trained
Mix up of new and old design in one batch Spray ink quality
Stamping Missing/Shift ing/Line Capability of Machine mark Ht of idler rollers w.r.t drive rollers
Flatness of table where container Run out of rollers Alignment of drive & idller rollers ( Clamping method of camera ( C camera should be setting ( focus
daily mainteance Cleaniness level parameter selection printer distance from container extent coverage of reference image reference image selected
Env ironment
Methods
Machines
Control chart
Understand and Reduce variation
It is a type of run chart used for studying process performance over time in order to understand and reduce variation.
Control chart
How to construct Control chart( X R chart)? a) Design check sheet for data collection b) Plan the data collection methodology (Maxm Homogeneity within subgroup, Heterogeneity between sub group ) C) Find Range. d) Calculate Control limits X chart: UCL= Xavg + A2 * Ravg LCL = Xavg - A2 * Ravg R Chart LCL= D3* R UCL= D4 *R
Constants
Observation
7 7 . . 6 1 .34
16,39 6,934 ,7
6 6 ! 6 !
Defect in PPM for Two Specifications
Cp
7
Part N ty I s Pr j ct d
Sub Group No
!
9
SrNo
ct d
1- 4
Control chart
I s By A r v d By
Dat
Control Chart
35,7 9
967 31
Grand Av 9
"
!
! ! ! !
9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
Range
LCL -X
UCL -X
Average UCL R
X Chart
. 5 . . 15 . 1 . 5 .
Range Chart
96
ange UCL
Range
&
average
Sub Group
ucl
lcl
reject
is 2700
CB B
A@9
1 0
10 5 1 0
Sub Group No
# # #
Process capability
Comparing process dispersion with specification is process capability When process is in statistical control process capability is Tol/(6 * sigma) Process capability Index Cp= {T/(6 *sigma)} Process performance Index Cpk= Min { (USL- X avg)/3*Sigma , (USL(Xavg(Xavg-LSL)/(3*Sigma)}
ABC ANALY I
RULE:A RULE:B RULE:C Average Wt of the container should be equal or more than the required Wt. Omitted
Any package/container should not have an error in defeciency greater than the maximum permissible error.
24.03.07 ACE WT
cba
Grand A g
UC of X LCL of X
Sub Group r
G
2 3 4 5
Min Range A g
D
RE ULT Rule A
Rule C
PA
PRQ P PQ I I
R Q QP I I I I
PA
Max
27.7 0
27.8 5
First
Second
Third
Fourth
Fifth
ixth
Officer QA
DILLIBABU.K
.989 eventh
Sigma Eighth
0.0 Ninth
.0
V U
Officer Packing
P AKAS
LCL of
A ociate
WW
IYYAPPAN
Tolerance (Kg)
0.55424
UCL of
0.1712 0.0000
Requirred Wt.(KG)
QV R U I
XR R I I X
11
Tolerance (%)+/
t. of Container (g)
30.000
.00% .
Grand Range
PQ V X
. 8
V RR R U I
27.8210 27.7276
0.08 0
8 Tenth