Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
Planning Process
Firm Plan JCt and MRP JCt+1 Material Planning for JCt+1
Functions of planning
Coordination of materials with suppliers Efficient utilization of people and machines Efficient flow of materials Communication with customer
Planning hierarchy
Overall manufacturing plan Detailed materials and capacity planning Execution of plans
Indentified high value items (FG sales) Identification of top SKUs Understanding the trend and seasonality Chose SKUs for which forecasting can be done Forecasting using multiplicative method by identifying seasons
Top 20 SKUs
CHIK 4G BLACK CHIK 7ML BLK MEERA BADAM AND KK SHAMPOO 7ML INDICA 10 MIN NATURAL BLACK KARTHIKA SHIKAKAI 6G HWP INDICA HHC CHIK JASMINE 4G FAIREVER 9G MEERA HWP 5G KARTHIKA KKS 4G SHAMPOO
CHIK JASMINE 7ML SPINZ 20G ENCHANTE MEERA SHIKAKAI AND BADAM 8ML FAIREVER 25G NYLE MOISTURISING 100ML SPINZ ENCHANTE 100G NYLE NOURISHING 100 ML SPINZ 20G EXOTIC FAIREVER 50G CHIK 100 ML CHIK 100 ML
Top 20 SKUs
CHIK 7ML BLK MEERA BAD AND KKS 7ML INDICA 10 MIN NATURAL BLACK KARTHIKA SHIK 6G HWP INDICA HHC CHIK JS 7ML CHIK JS 4G FE 9G MEERA HWP 5G KARTHIKA KKS 4G SHAMPOO CHIK 4G BLACK SPINZ 20G EN MEERA SHIK AND BADAM 8ML SPINZ 20G EXOTIC FE 50G CHIK 100 ML FE 25G NYLE MOIST 100ML NYLE NOUR 100 ML 821491205.7 417289304.5 396594994.6 303694436.9 208244363 195037640 170666118.7 164184942.4 161113274.6 147583804.6 112409467.9 116763374.9 89435014.62 65201466.95 61083224.12 60268720.94 47176367.35 19600169.82 13818736.52
Top 20 SKUs
900000000 800000000 700000000 600000000 500000000 400000000 300000000 200000000 100000000 0 Series1
FORECASTING
Moving average of the observed data taking level as 4 Centered moving average Trend forecasted using linear regression (FORECAST function MS excel) Seasons Identified manually Forecasted by multiplicative model using seasonality index
CHIK BLACK 4G
140000 120000
100000
Demand
80000
60000
40000
Demand
20000
Trend Forecast
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
12
13
14
15
16
Quarter
40000
Demand
20000 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Quarter
Trend Forecast
12
13
14
15
16
Seasons observed
Seasons 1 2 3 JC 1,8,9 2,3,7,10,13 4,5,6,11,12
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
Quarter
KARTHIKA 6G HWP
Seasons Observed
Seasons 1 2 3 JC 1,5,6,9,13 2,8 3,4,7
10,11,12
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
Quarter
THANK YOU