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Checklist for THIS Thursday group meeting [Sept. 20]--things you should have done already
Appoint a group leader and an observer Group leader plans discussion/quiz Observer duplicates PMR forms for group to fill out at end of meeting Group members study course reading material in preparation for the group meeting
If you have not been assigned to a group yet--please see me after class
Stoners Risky Shift research replicated hundreds of times with original choice dilemmas
Average risk scores following discussion are more risky than scores made preceding discussion Not every group becomes riskier Of every group that moves in the direction of risk, not every member becomes riskier
1 in 10 A 2 in 10
Most risky
Unanimous
group decision riskier than mean of initial individual decisions Not everyone becomes riskier-primarily those near middle of the scale (5 in 10)
Final
So, risky shift is a special case of a more general phenomenon now called Group Polarization
Persuasive Arguments
Arguments favoring RISK
Bob
Jeff
Used Stoners original risk dilemmas Tape recorded scripts of discussions, varying proportions of arguments Subjects made initial judgment; listened to discussion; made new judgment
1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6
Risky
Mean shift
.1
.3
.5
.7
.9
Conservative
Social Comparison
Any specific choice dilemma evokes either risk or caution Before knowing others decisions, people make choice of what appears desirable Following discussion, people motivated to change position relative to other people
Initial Ratings
Low guilt cases
6
4
Not Guilty
6
Low guilt cases 4
Initial
Final
6
Low guilt cases 4
Initial
Final
Persuasive Arguments explanation in 12 Angry Men-In the trial, there was a biased sampling of arguments heard, favoring guilt
Overall arguments and evidence favor not guilty verdict
Socially Desirable
Socially Undesirable
Conclusion
12 Angry Men understandable in terms of the causal processes that have been found to influence group decision making: Persuasive arguments Social comparison Social Psychology identifies the causal processes that influence social behavior--not just personalities, but also characteristics of situations